[000:00:00;00] uh, the months of our war before the classic dictatorship, they purge everyone they can. girkin is in prison, prigozhina well, let's see, but it looks like someone also destroyed uh, i think that this process continues for putin and the stability of his regime. what does he think, what does he think that the russian empire it's not fair what mountains and the regime because he likes to compare himself there with the fifth first with others uh this is the number one issue and as far as i'm concerned in the near term in the very short term his regime has a chance to become tough it will become stronger but on

the future perspective is a fundamental challenge for putin. well, imagine what the representatives of the russian elite think, they get on any plane, get in a car , go somewhere, go on vacation, go hunting , i don’t know, because the russian special services are creative in this sense. well, of course it is it’s not pretty, since it would be an incompetent person, everyone immediately pointed the finger at putin, and here ’s the plane crash, so i think that for the russian elite, which is already understandable, everything is based on this word, and this word in the mafia sense. in the russian sense, even more difficult times are coming, and they have to think about the future and what will happen to them. and what will putin think about them? and why not them, and in general , the election process for putin will be very difficult now, since they

will be preparing no elections there. presidential and we are not even talking about free and honest people or something like that, we are talking about the fact that it will be putin's election and all this, the whole performance will be based on this, so the question of showing your feelings, as they say, loyal subjects, will be very important for the russian elite, otherwise, what about where and how will you be, will your merits not be forgotten? here is putin talking about prigozhyn's merits. well, the big question in general is, first of all, what will they give to russia now with an asset worth in africa? putin says this, and for me, for example, a very interesting question prigozhyn and with his legacy, so to speak, in the sense of compromising prigozhyn is not stupid. he understands that the spiders in the bank have

to ensure their existence and worry about their safety, and he has a sea of ​​various compromising materials. no, the russians should not worry about it, but for me it is a very interesting question, will this compliment get into someone's hands correctly, which was necessary in advance, and how will it affect the stability of putin's regime in general ? dots not they staged this only one of the stages of this story, we will still see the impact if, after all, they did not kill his death on the further er-er on the further russian reality well, while putin feels like the main

ivanchists again, there is no difference, well, everyone as if they cleaned it, but the hairstyle is always dangerous, you know. i cleaned them, then i looked around and there was no one there . well, stalin already went through this story, so in principle , it reminds me of something, and then there is no one to even give water when it is necessary. well, i mean with his inner circle, but putin's favorite propagandist solovyov was ashamed. when he talked about what happened to prigozhyn, he called one of the killers the killers and said that none other than the ministers of the current ministers were involved in the liquidation of the leader of the wagnerites

justice of ukraine denys molluska, let's see because she remembers that this is precisely the logic of the bandera people, that is, the commission of high-profile political criminals, so it will not be the first attack. he must have confused the mollusk with the baby. well, in the end, what can we expect from solovyov, but there is also a reaction of zelensky to the accident the plane is approaching or to shoot it down, please ukraine spoke and appealed to the countries of the world regarding the planes, we did not mean this season, frankly, we meant something completely different and we wanted support, although it is probably also in

in some sense, the word will definitely help, and as for well, first of all, we have nothing to do with this situation, that's not exactly the case. i think everyone realizes that anyone who can have a relationship with this situation will somehow concentrate power in their hands and er, continue to tighten the nuts until these keys do not break these nuts and someone does not do this to putin what he actually does to all his opponents who are who are still left in russia because many of them simply do not have you what do you think mr. pavla where is the limit of that? dimension where these nuts will simply start to take off and these nuts will simply start flying into putin's head, because you can't have hundreds of thousands of people who are now in this conditional plane

of putin's just go and put your heads, you are correct in saying that it is not known who will go hunting in the sauna somewhere, will burn somewhere else, well, there could be a million of these situations, if there were not already thousands of these situations in russia, then this could be the next step, and really we, russia, will simply plunge into the 37th year, well, people actually can, and i have a very, very pessimistic feeling and a very pessimistic view of the russians, of the residents, and i don’t want to call them citizens. this is really a situation when good russians

there are no exceptions, of course there are some, but this exception confirms the rules and these people do not really see another life . well, you have also seen from history, and nazi germany or imperial japan, then it took years under occupation for people to look in the mirror and understand who they were and this the process was extremely painful, very, very difficult. he needed the fact that the whole nation actually looked inside itself . there are absolutely no prerequisites for this in today's russia, so i agree with you. if we are to expect some actions from her, then these actions are based on evaluation these are the actions of the russian oligarchs of the russian elite, it still reflects

the medieval medieval structure of this society. therefore, these are the people who serve, these are the people who earn money and share it with the state, but they are worried about their own safety of course, they can raise the stakes, but so far it feels like they are fundamentally afraid and afraid not only for their physical safety . don't forget. we talked about it today, that russia is a state that was completely understandable in the 90s. and they are considered owners there in the sense of the civilized world and holders of these assets on which they can make money but nevertheless, if putin says so, they won't have these assets, remember khodakovsky and all

these cases because many uh even the russian oligarchs are interested in the fact that putin will continue to be a man who will maintain this conceptual consensus, they want to continue to earn money, they understand perfectly well that someone else will definitely not be the best sense of democracy. he will definitely not be the best sense that he will treat better us to ukraine as a state to the ukrainian nation, but they really hope that, first of all, this next head of russia will save them from the fact that they have to go as in the old mongol-tatar times, now in dependence on china also has signs of this, and secondly, they want to return

to the west to have their own , what do they think is a happy life ? psychological isolation and physical isolation so that people cannot actually find themselves schizophrenic at the same time in russia and in the western world and to convince the west that it should keep this framework for not just because putin and something threatens me, it threatens me from the russian elite , but from the russians. well, of course, such as and like other prigozhins can raise someone up there in russia, and it was, but prigozhin , agree, it is some kind of peculiar mixture of russians, i don’t know what they call a rebel and a clown there medieval, that is, he worked within the framework

of the system and he was joined by the system. but at the same time he tried to criticize them. that is, it was what raised him in the eyes of these revanchist russians. and now putin is once again alone on the theory and no one looks at anyone, neither to the left nor to the right, putin is alone and there is no one even nearby. i agree with you, when it leads to the fact that there will be a question, then actually water will be given , but that is not what should concern us, what should concern us is how stable this regime is. and that can disrupt its stability, and here we critically need a hoarded strategy with a carded line with the west, because the west naturally wants to strategically defeat this regime, but at the same time it wants it to be controlled without fundamental

destabilization. but if it is on er clay feet, destabilization cannot be avoided, therefore we need to maintain a very frank, very tough conversation, including with our friends , and what is around this well, by the way, about the stable and instability in connection with what happened with there is information from the representatives of wagner pvc that they are ready to start, as they say, and we have a little synchronicity. look, we are already starting. wait for us. who is waiting for them is still unknown and where they will start is also unknown . but wagner's group is without yevhen's leadership.

prigozhina, which previously posed a serious threat to poland, was announced on polish radio by deputy minister of finance and regional policy martin gorala. mr. pale, according to you , will wagner's group pose a threat to ukraine? well , certainly to the whole world. i think that putin will now try to use military assets for military operations and certainly for provocations uh, vagne in this one still has a slightly different mentality and he is a beauty if we didn’t treat him, of course we won’t cry for him 100% and no one will for sure , he uh was a certain spacer between uh

russian special services and by putin's instructions and, accordingly, by his actions, he actually earned political capital in africa and in the middle east, he had connections and without him there was no way, and now those who care will be directly used by the mercenaries, now they are actually a commodity now they are meat, now they are not wagner, the sense of management is beautiful, if utkin also died, who was one of the key managers of wagner, then this means that wagner will be stretched and will be used banally and who will go where, that's what we heard we will see these shots if they have any potential, but for now i am skeptical about it because i follow

uh in russia, friends, we work live on the espresso tv channel, as well as on our platforms on facebook and youtube for those who are now please watch us on youtube take part in our voting. we are asking you today about how the assassination of gogoshen will affect the situation in russia . there are no options for answers. the second option will have some effect. because our audience on youtube is very large and there are few likes please make the right choice on independence day and click on the like well , mr. pavla, a full-scale war is cardinal

influenced the image of ukraine in the world, we are talked about on all continents , ukraine has become a key item on the agenda of global and regional leaders, they help us, support us, and help us. for the world, ukraine was the object of international politics, which can be collectively pressed to disarm and lead to the signing of the budapest memorandum, and two events turned the world order upside down head of the revolution of dignity as the first way to declare oneself and on february 24, 2022, when russia began a large-scale invasion of our country, today ukraine is a subject that is reckoned with, this subject influences the agenda, and we

annoy many countries to which some of us respect some of us strongly respect some of us would like to forget about ukraine in principle but cannot afford it ukraine has finally proved its self- sufficiency its capacity its ability to perceive it as a leader's state of the free world of the united states, ukraine has always been a partner but not an ally, therefore there was no complete trust between the parties, american intelligence could not decide whether kyiv will fall in 72 hours or in two weeks and how many thousands of ukrainians will go to cooperate with the enemy, so before the invasion, washington sent us only anti-tank weapons for guerrilla warfare in one and a half years of the great war. the united states became our largest partner and supplier. their aid amounted to 66 billion dollars. over the past one and a half years, the americans realized that ukraine surprises the world. ukraine will definitely not be the second afghanistan, an almost unique case. that is, we are not the main ally of the united states outside of nato

. we are not a member of nato. freedom of speech, the rule of law , victory over dictators, but this positive change did not help ukraine to achieve its strategic goal of taking a powerful step in joining nato right now, right from the chat , germany became the main opponents of this of the ambitious idea of ​​kyiv during the extreme the path to accession was paved for us by confirming the promise of 2008 and eliminating the need to implement the action plan and the time frame of joining the alliance . it is impossible to predict. there will be something in nato. maybe something will happen. some black swan will fly to the territory of the russian federation. there are things that are very difficult to predict now, but we definitely need the alliance to stop being an alliance of the frightened. and finally, they understood that

they need ukraine in nato, russia wants less and continues to dominate the information space of the middle east country, they mostly adhere to neutrality without joining western sanctions because they protect their own economic interest. if there is an opportunity to involve more in any cooperation, it can be the defense industry , it can be e - is again partially joining the sanctions or at least blocking the channels for circumventing european sanctions, this can be expert diplomacy that affects the processes of political decision-making in these countries in ukraine need to be very actively involved, the expert is stealing to find a unique approach to these states, taking into account their pragmatism and national interests. the arab emirates and saudi arabia have already begun to help us diplomatically . accepted the peace summit traditionally in african countries pro-russian sentiment flourished there they remember how in the distant times of the last century the ussr helped

them in the fight against colonialism now on on the continent, the significant influence of the wagnerites, who in one way or another were present in 12 countries, russia has been investing for years, and in particular, in recent times, since 16-17, it has been strengthened on the side of the southern countries of the global south, thanks to the former colonialists, when the war began, they gave messages that it was a nato war for harmony there , the united states, but over time , of course, ukrainian also receives certain messages, albeit weaker, but they are transmitted. of the kremlin and about the chinese states of the continent, putin's african friends are gradually realizing that the dictator cannot be trusted , especially after the withdrawal of the russian federation from the grain agreement , only a third of the 54 invited leaders arrived at the summit in africa . ukrainian milk was used for other things

, and of course in metallurgy, there were still normal attempts about the production of mechanical engineering, the figure of the arms market, china formally recognizes its territorial integrity ukraine never declared the russian recognition of crimea or other regions, but beijing always abstained during the voting for the un assembly resolution in support of kyiv , no steps were taken there to avert aggression even earlier, putin warned everyone about the preparation of the invasion, but there is probably no resistance from him felt, and during these one and a half years, china never retreated from what it accepted for itself at the beginning of the 22nd year, and actively supported russia. not at all levels, and what we saw. of course, the increase of cooperation because where russia did not have chinese help, probably the financial sector in the economic aspect, now it all came down, supplies russia with components for drones and missiles

, ammunition, the only thing received so far from the transfer of lethal weapons, the adoption of this decision depends only on the personal position of the secretary general communist parties are all among the positives. beijing can join the implementation of the peace formula. in environmental, food and nuclear aspects, china was, is and will be closer to china's position is their strategy, but so far china is not doing anything to establish a critical threat to the national interests of ukraine . to ask a lot valeria talked about our move to nato and from the moment it took place in vilnius, enough

time has passed for the ukrainian side to somehow react or reflect on this year's updated annual plan that ukraine has for joining nato, we don't have a plan, but this annual plan is, as far as i remember, it was introduced for the first time in 2008, and already then they talked about these annual plans that ukraine must implement we have been talking all the time and the president is talking and the society is saying that we need to join the north atlantic alliance as soon as possible let's already accept us the north atlantic alliance itself it will be literally eight or nine months later in the spring of 2024 she realizes this the annual plan, that is, do you understand, for example, what we have to do before the washington summit, or in principle, these are markers that are constantly, well

, the annual plan can be updated ad infinitum , our membership in the alliance is not yet some technical story, and when they try to show what else let's do it with this plan let's make it better let's make it faster this is of course an important story but it is not decisive it is 100% not critical the main issues surrounding our accession to nato are political and if you want security because on today, a significant number of the alliance members do not know what to do with ukraine, when in fact they cannot draw the conclusion of acceptance during the war, what does this mean for nato and for the fifth article. will this mean that nato will be in a direct or indirect conflict with russia, you will point out that

this conflict can develop into a nuclear or other conflict what are the risks of escalation and under what conditions and all this revolves around this and plans - this is an important matter but definitely secondary and i know that when it appeared, it is new the definition is yes so-called annual plans, i know who pushed it and to a large extent it was the germans , they really did not have any new concept, they just wanted to show that this decision will not be a letter where today for tomorrow today in americans germans we want to hear what we want to hear what i feel from my contacts now more than

half of the nato member countries are thinking about and what actually means the possibility of accepting ukraine when it is the first conflict with russia, and secondly, it also means ah, will russia not want to protest the fifth stationary, the fifth article of nato is such a sacred manta. it is absolutely security for the western world, and the fifth article is the basis of the general understanding of security will be provided now and not in the future, but for now. as you can see, no one has seriously tested it. of course, it was there on september 11. after that, the formal fifth article was implemented, and this attack was considered an attack on nato, but this is a terrorist attack, namely in

the military sense of nato, no one did not test and now in nato, politicians and experts are racking their brains over the fact that what will it actually mean that ukraine, which a few years ago until the 14th was considered by many to be part of the russian world? of this plot that the west will of course continue to help us and the west has discovered ukraine and ukrainians for itself, but that is not enough for us. it is important for the west to raise the stakes, for the west to do more , it is not enough for us to win that the west does that what he does and how he does it as well as not. it is important for us to show the western world that all geopolitics have changed and ukraine

will never again be a part of the russian world. as some believed in africa, it will not actually be part of the gray zone and if it happens in the center of europe some options for indenization or , god forbid, not definlandization and what does this mean when there will continue to be various discussions that are reasonable and tame but nevertheless , discussions instead of actions about the security model for ukraine and at the same time will continue very a difficult programming process for our membership in the european union, we are creating a security vacuum in europe, and this security vacuum has nothing to fill. this is a fundamental question, a question of security, a security model for ukraine . this is the number one question for our future, because it can be military financial obligations

are discussed now, but these are not security guarantees, and they can be some kind of security guarantees for japan or for the southern ice , and it can be a combination of these two approaches, the first and the second, and it can be membership in nato and i believe that there is no alternative in principle to membership in nato as long as we have not talked about it, moreover , i believe and i say this to our western friends that a successful process of accession to the eu is actually impossible without accession to nato and here we do not need to to go to the summit since we are raising our expectations there, looking at the free steppe and we are looking at washington , it is not about ourselves, it is about the west in the end not just understanding that ukraine is no longer part of the gray reality, and ukraine is officially