[000:00:00;00] and step by step we are getting closer to victory, i am the hands of a warship blessed ships i honor the borders of ukraine with drones join the gathering of the border guard our

weapon is the truth marathon the only news is the team working with you a neighbor of the information front about the current events of the russian-ukrainian war everything will be ukraine good morning ether and of the information marathon passes to the public with you vyacheslav putin and iryna skolova we start with the news six air alarms sounded throughout the country until midnight they were announced almost every hour by the air force in telegram reported that there was a threat of missile attacks on kharkiv, dnipro, poltava oblast and zaporizhzhia, the enemy launched attack drones until the morning again. due to the threat of using ballistic weapons, sirens were activated in sumy , poltava, kharkiv, dnipropetrovsk, kyiv, chernihiv, cherkasy regions in zaporizhzhia, the activity of russian tactical aviation was recorded during the attack on nikopol, 59 were killed. -year-old man in the city

of damaged power lines, gas company, two private houses and a car published a photo in a photogram, the head of dnipropetrovsk region serhiy lysak managed to take 11 more ukrainian children from russia and the temporarily occupied territories . mykola kuleba, the former representative of the president of ukraine for children's rights in 2014-2019, wrote about this on facebook. this video was posted on the page of the save ukraine fund, which now a colleague is working, what did the regional military administration write about this in a telegram, in particular , the khotynsk shalyginsk community of smalsk was under fire, despite the shelling in the border areas , people still remain as they live in the village of mogrytsia for 5

km from the border with russia, the report report of our correspondents, every day is especially urgent, like a thunderstorm, thunder, and thick sounds , we and we will not understand what is frightening, very frightening from the whole of hrytsia to the russian-ukrainian border, 5 km , the sounds of explosions are constantly heard at first, they did not undress or take off their shoes that's how it was, and what they were shooting, the throwaway was pressing on the street, maybe i was naked, i was three years old, there was a shell , my wife was sitting on the window, all i had left was 3 hours. has left, says the head of mogrich tetyana korbchenko, currently about 500 people live here, there is a school, a kindergarten, a grocery store, ms. tetyana says there are no interruptions, once a week a medical center is opened, doctors come, the post office works twice a week , the farm and several agricultural companies continue to work, some fields are sown, which are up to the border , that is, a two-kilometer zone, no

fields are sown there. and basically all fields are sown with locust beans, sunflowers , corn, and currently harvesting is underway the harvest has already been harvested turn on the championship on megogo invincible oleksandr usyk vs. daniel dubois speed and intelligence against destructive power who will win in the battle of the titans find out on august 26 exclusively on megogo the most important events events that are happening right now and affect our lives of course the news feed reports about them but little to know what is happening, you need to understand antin borkovskyi and invitation experts soberly

evaluate events analyze them by modeling our near future that saturdays at 1:00 p.m. with a repeat at 10:00 p.m. studio event with anton by borkovskyi naespresso every week, the saturday political club helps to understand the processes taking place in ukraine and the world vitaly portnikov, the host of espresso and invitations, experts based on facts give their assessment and forecast of the development of events, you want to understand how our today will affect our tomorrow, see the saturday political club, that saturdays are not with the press , the independence of ukraine are held on their shoulders , real heroes protect our right to life and freedom around the clock. we ukrainians never encroach on other people's property, but

we fight for our land until victory. sbu destroys the enemy everywhere on land, in the air and at sea, independence is a component of the genetic code that unites ukrainians, it was, is and will be because we will definitely drive out the darkness that came from the east happy independence day ukraine sbu we are approaching victory together i congratulate you on espresso channel today in our military program we we will talk about the main topic of our offensive, and also about what

the format of a war of attrition means for ukraine and our partners, as well as for the enemy of russia, because now, in my opinion, it is a somewhat strange period, because in western comments, the narrative of the fact that the offensive of the armed forces in the south is turning into disappointment, they say that they gave so many weapons and not enough progress. so, the joy is that you concentrate your efforts in one point, the children are more active in the direction of melitopol and think less about losses, but in such situations it is important to pay attention, for sure, not to politicians or unnamed officials of the pentagon or white house and on specific practitioners with experience and in contrast to these but army publications , yesterday in the volume of the washington post published an article by general petraeus entitled ukrainian counteroffensive may still surprise petra's critics here it is in the former commander of the collection forces in afghanistan and the former head of the cia, and probably one of

the most famous and respected american soldiers, and he says about several important things . plan and therefore prematurely, this excessive pessimism due to the seemingly slow advance of the ukrainians is completely inappropriate. the second thing the general says is that this is not the end of the ukrainian operation in zaporizhzhia, but still its beginning, because the ukrainian operation has been going on for 10 weeks, but according to petraeus' assumption, it will last at least four more months and the third thing is that he says that ukrainian actions in the south are carried out according to the principle of exhausting, stretching and beating the enemy along the entire front line, and these approaches look quite logical and effective in that they are actually flags, but we will advise something later and also i will say that the ukrainian commanders claim that the time for

their contrast has not yet passed, and the commander-in-chief of the armed forces, general valery zaluzhny, another powerful american publication refers to him officials , that his troops are on the verge of a breakthrough. so, we will discuss these different points of view on the current front-line reality with our leading experts and military specialists in the next issue of our military program. the press seeks to highlight current trends in the field of security and defense, and now we are joined by mykhailo samus, the head of the international analytical organization nu of geopolitics-serisochnoi and also the deputy of the research center of the army of conversion and disarmament mr. mykhailo glad to see and hear you on the air espresso channels ana sergey i congratulate you i am very glad to see so i drew a general picture

that was connected with different visions and assessments of what is happening on the field battle and i would like you to give your own angle of what is happening and what are the current and potential dynamics on the line of contact , the athlete did not hear you did not hear your question i would like you to assess what is happening on the front line and give your own an assessment of these current and potential dynamics that may affect the situation on the front line, what is happening precisely from your assessments well, it is actually really strange to read assessments in the western press that it is necessary to focus , for example, on one area or to hit one

point, well, that is, of course, people who write such articles. they have never studied operational art, strategy, tactics, and so on. you can't hit any point, because really, war is not a linear process, war is especially modern - it's multidimensional, it's multidimensional processes that move according to linear laws and when we talk about carrying out various operations that form and prepare a further breakthrough or further decisive operations, all this is interconnected. and of course , the pace of progress cannot be evaluated only by how much territory or which settlements are liberated, all this is much more complicated and if you look at it in general on the front, which stretches for many, many hundreds of kilometers between russia and ukraine, then i concluded for myself that russia actually fell into its own trap

, this trap is called the predominance of military and political forces and propaganda goals over the actual military and military-static goals of this operation, and when the russians, for example, created their own mythology around bakhmut, believing that it is such a center, the center of gravity, the center of gravity of ukrainian defense, if , for example, bakhmut falls, the ukrainian defense will collapse, they invested just in operation a-a for the occupation of bakhmut , well, huge resources, including the wagnerites, who actually destroyed under the same bakhmut and eh, the same mythology, in fact , is now being created around kupyansk and around this area, that is, they initially declared that they are now breaking through the defenses, and near kupyansk they are now creating conditions when the ukrainian defense crumbles

, the ukrainian command will be forced to withdraw reserves from the south and from the same bakhmut direction, and in this way russia will seize the initiative and start again the operation and e-e in the kharkiv region to capture kharkiv itself and create a new group that will threaten kramatorsk and slavyansk and at the same time stop the possibilities of the ukrainian offensive in the eastern direction, in the bakhmut direction and in the southern direction, including the kherson region, when they got there, that is, they created a propagandist-propagandist reality and which they now have to follow, that is, they continue despite the fact that ukrainian forces are creating enormous tension in several directions in the south and under with bahmut they continue to burn their reserves in the direction of kupyan, they send more and more forces there, still trying to implement the

the plan that they made public in fact and in which they joined in order to implement it, but we see that it leads to the fact that they cannot create sufficient reserves in the south, now there if you take the tokmak direction, for example, they feel real, real the deficit is real. i wouldn’t say panic, but a commotion , which means that they really don’t know how they will stop the ukrainian invasion . the same thing is happening in the berdyan direction , although there is a situation there. i would say more. transparent for the russians, but the two directions in the south are very, very tense for the russians, the bakhmut direction is the same, ukrainian troops are moving forward, we know that on the left bank of the kherson region, the ukrainian special operations forces are carrying out a raid operation and the implementation of measures to expand the gray zones on the coast

, thereby depriving the russians of the opportunity to control the situation there and obviously preparing for larger-scale, more active actions. that is , it turns out that the russians have created their own paradigm uh, the propaganda and political one that the military is now being asked to follow and thus again fall into the same trap that they fell into under the bahmut, that is, by investing huge reserves now uh in kupyansk and again under the bahmut, they lose the opportunity to stop the ukrainian offensive in the south. i think that the ukrainian troops have really already created the conditions or are very close to the start of a more active movement in the south, but i do not think that this is a sufficient goal, after all , it is a self- sufficient goal. defeating the enemy

and now it is being achieved in several directions, including the kupyan direction, where the russians are spending huge resources without any prospects of achieving the results they are trying to force the ukrainian command to stop the offensive in the south and move the reserves to kharkiv direction, mr. mykhailo, about the fact that the russians actually created their own paradigm and became hostages of this paradigm, now they are throwing resources in different directions without having the opportunity to respond promptly to the actions of the ukrainian army, but then it turns out that a certain information paradigm is being created by american and european experts in journalism who are trying to form three further scenarios there, uh, assessments, well , the future of actions, the first scenario there - in particular , there are two countries that have come to a dead end, have already come to an end , and we need to put pressure on russia, ukraine to force a friend to negotiate. there, the version is that the mother's is better, let's wait for the results of the ukrainian counteroffensive and then, based on this reality, we will

form our own policy regarding ukraine's visa relations with the russian federation. well, and the third option is that it is possible to say that regardless of what the tempo of the ukrainian offensive will be and what the results will be, the war will be long and we europeans and americans need to prepare for a long war, prepare defense forces and prepare to help ukraine. three directions of movement . what do you think will dominate in the near future in order to understand how our partners will conduct themselves by giving us advice or help, interesting again it seems to me that the russians want to sell the idea that russia has

unlimited resources, that is , no matter how much ukraine fights, no matter how much our western partners did not help ukraine, the russians have more resources, that is, they can spread such information, they are now mobilizing 5 million military personnel. and what will you do? ukraine will lose , so there is no point in continuing this war. let's freeze, that is, i have the impression that they want to blackmail the west into such a big, long war, in which there is no chance of winning in ukraine at all, and they are still leaning on them in order to start negotiations about what kind of frost, that is, a freeze, minsk-3 of course, we will be talking about the unblocking of russian financial resources abroad

, there was no talk about any compensation for the damage to ukraine, of course. remove the issue of punishing war criminals. sanctions and so on. and against this background, russia can propose there that they stop some active phase of hostilities and thus, as it were, free the west from such a heavy burden of aid in ukraine, that is, such work is obviously being carried out, judging by what publications appear which opinions are expressed, including unconscious analysts , that is, these topics are currently being discussed, but this topic is not new, the russians actually started promoting the topic of freezing the conflict immediately after they realized that 24 on february 22, a catastrophic mistake was made that led to extremely tragic consequences for putin 's regime, i.e. they are trying to advance it somewhere er-er parallely adapting to the situation somewhere bypassing sanctions but they understand that in any case

the situation will not improve for russia and will worsen, and in this regard, i would like to say right away that it is absolutely not true that in russia there is an unlimited resource, in russia the resource is very limited, especially if we talk about the same heavy equipment, the technology is especially high machine tool technology and so on, that is, the sensational mode is extremely important here, so they can really restore a certain part of heavy armored vehicles, they can buy a certain part, for example , drones or take technology for the production of the same shaheds, but if you look globally they don't have a lot of reserves, so they can't mobilize 5 million people, because then the russian economy will collapse. i understand that the putin regime, in principle, everything will be the same with the russian economy, but on the other hand they have to keep some kind of balance, therefore it is very important for our western partners to understand that resources in russia are limited

, the sanctions regime is extremely important and this war has its own time frames, and these time frames exclusively depend, among other things, on the scale of aid to ukraine, that is, if for example f16 was handed over to us a year ago, so i think that now we would be talking about completely different events at the front and we would have a conversation not about linear forecasts of any kind, but after all about the conduct of the military to me, as they say an all-out war using all possible spaces, including airspace, unfortunately, now russia dominates the airspace and this is a problem , including specific offensive actions offensive operations by the way, your conclusion completely coincides with the recommendations given in this article by the general petraeus, because he also talks about the fact that aviation should have been handed over to ukraine much earlier, not to drag out the transfer

of rocket launchers and much more to ensure the transfer of ammunition before that. and we, how are we they started asking for cluster munitions, he also says it as field practice, because i think that these tips are really worth listening to, and this publication, petre, is interesting because it does not explain to us what is happening there on the southern front, but it is precisely focused on american and european politicians in order to they did not wring their hands and were preparing for really such a normal , correct job of accepting what is happening in ukraine, i really hope that there will be more and more such publications, i think that actually the ukrainian community still has more to work with our european media there so that we form an agenda and not react to those publications that appear in foreign media so absolutely, but of course there is also our ukrainian choice and our ukrainian dimension consists in the fact that we really have

to prepare for a war of attrition, and again , a war of attrition does not mean that it will last 15 years. as some forecasters say, given the age of putin, who can really still live to be 15. can be created in general , some kind of clone is digital and in russia it will be accepted as absolutely normal and this regime can exist for as long as it is. the double acts, that is, the ukrainian context in this ukrainian content of this strategy should be that we really have to pay attention to the optimization of our processes that also take place in the state. i am talking, for example , about the system of planning the development of

the defense-industrial complex based on needs of the armed forces of ukraine if it didn't sound trite, but at the moment this system still doesn't work, that is, i mean, again, the unclear situation with the ministry of static industry, uh , the very active role of the ministry of digital transformation, for which we can only simply thank the minister personally of the digital transformation of fedorov and those people who support and all citizens of ukraine and not only ukraine who help to donate to the projects of the army drones e-e about 10,000 e-e fp-v drones were recently financed just for the account of donations, contributions, but this is not enough to talk about the war about attrition, we must have a state system working here , it is very cool that the ministry of digital transformation has joined, it is very cool that people support us and we have a bunch of volunteer initiatives, the program all this helps the army but it should be everything - still, the state system must have a clear understanding

of the needs of the armed forces. for example, if we need a specific type of cluster or with certain characteristics, then in this situation there must be i guess i don't know how to explain it, but probably there must be a state program that must be coordinated by the ministry of strategic industry, budgeting, and the executors can, of course, be private companies and foreign companies, but there must be a leader and driver of the process who in the state must be responsible for these issues, for example, i cannot say right now clearly, who is responsible for such state programs and this is actually a problem if we are talking about an intensive war and a war of attrition precisely not in time, but in the fact that we have to break the e-e in certain directions of development, especially if you you proceed from the fact that we are symmetrical to russia. we will not defeat this, this is a well-known fact , we have to act asymmetrically, and this asymmetry

requires clear coordination at the state level, because only private initiatives and initiatives of citizens, e.e., individual ministers, etc. should not be enough. after all, the system sounds like a banal thing, but after all, we have already been at war for a year and a half, and that is why i think that it is possible to find some kind of activity format that would help us to form just such a systemic paradigm of war, and not sporadically on the fact that by the way, there is only one question of the minister of technology, because society is also a little bit. let's just say that the disappointed part is really trying to find the maximum options to help our soldiers on the battlefield, and the rest have distanced themselves from this, and i think that there is nothing so clear now grouping regarding the fact that society , industry, politicians are really determined to conduct hostilities, where everyone has their optimal place. as for his power of possibilities, i, you are ready to admit that

this is not there yet, and this is exactly that resource which has not yet been used, but is extremely necessary in order to withstand this russian onslaught, and returning a little to the military operations, did you mention the south, or is it really important to break through to the azov coast? there is an exit to the line there well, i don't know vasylivka there tokmak gives birth there kamyanka er volnovakha to ensure, first of all, by means of fire , control of that land corridor that is still used by the russian federation, can it be enough let's say that's enough there is a step in order to ensure, in particular, by the end of the year, at least fire control over the areas where the enemy is located. well, in fact, it is difficult to say which will be

sufficient, of course we are talking about where all the territories should be bought. if we talk about what are the possible prospects and what would be the desired results, uh, looking at the theater of water operations, first of all, i still think that it would be advisable to break up this only theater of military operations, which stretches all the way from the kharkiv region to the crimea, after all divide it into several theaters of military operations, with which it is possible to work separately. well, i mean that it would be good to physically cut off the water theater of donbas and the theater of military operations of crimea, because these are different theaters with different approaches, with different, let's say , even formats for the implementation of operations with a different set of forces and means, and what is important here , if we are talking about such a cutting of these theaters, why is it important? well, first of all, of course , logistics are breaking down, the enemy's single plan for holding these territories is breaking down. and what

it is also very important if we, after all, physically cut the logistics completely , roughly speaking, if we are talking about melitopol and below and berdyansk already on the sea of ​​azov, then looking at the left bank of the kherson region. precisely this area is the most dangerous for the russians, in fact, because if there is a breakthrough now in the main line of defense in the tokmaya direction and development goes to melitopol , then the conditions are created for you to conduct more active operations already on the left bank of the kherson region, and if there active operations will begin, then the entire group that is currently there , i mean the left bank of the kherson region, they will be in such a global dead end, which will be very similar to the global dead end in which the group of russian