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, will be working on espresso tv channel. thank you . thank you for inviting. well, what is the key story? yes, we understand that the russian federation, the kremlin, putin is preparing, rather, for the scenarios of the so-called long war. we understand that this scenario it is not easy. he foresees a series of measures, but in any case, what putin did by removing prigozhin indicates that he is entering a kind of for himself. perhaps the finish line , that is, the fascisization or crystallization of the reich is happening. a-and already this means that a special military operation did not take place

. what kind of point impact eh will quickly take over kiev , will quickly put his puppet there eh and here are the handles with the resulting consequences, that is, the war has come to a new quality, let's say it directly, and putin certainly did not count on this, although he continues to make a youthful appearance and-y explain that everything is according to plan well, of course, according to the plan, you thought so, nevertheless m the majority in russia

, the second one, has not seen it , and it is visible that he believes that he will protect ukraine from andreysi, the country of nato, etc. the guy, uh, until now, uh, victory on the bullet, in principle, the battle is a hitler concept, and uh, the germans also applauded with their front limbs and ears , especially in the 40s, when it was very fast , uh, just right. or special operations, the victory over france, then i absolutely support hitler, i have more than 40 votes, a few years of war, a defeat, and then a few years of brainwashing the german people in order for him to see, obviously, he answered because he did not want to see after the invalid

they didn't tell about it, but he didn't want to know about it, a similar situation with the russian people, he doesn't want to know what's going on in ukraine, he doesn't want to believe that russian soldiers killed civilians in buche ah, no one likes what they say. well, russian soldiers can't act like that in order for the opinion to turn from head to toe to the head of the public . the social term should take place . it's only the beginning with 3 greens and predictions in fact, even or not, because the reaction is aggressive, that's why ukraine allows itself to strike the

territory of pskovo, how is it, how long is it necessary in order for the average russian citizen to understand that the war is about two sides, that there cannot be a war only in ukraine , that the war will return to the territory of russia and , accordingly, how they will act, we had two scenarios: the scenario of the first russian-chechen war and the scenario of the second russian- of the chechen war during the first russian chechen war, it worked, i don't know, maybe the afghan syndrome, when did they understand so this matter must be completed, the second russian chechen war was marked by putin, the finalization crystallization, and over time it will be fixed well, i would not bother about this topic at all, because in putin's model of power , public opinion is a non-subject, and the object

is not a political subject according to the political object. the authorities will not change, but public opinion will not be restructured, or this process will be excruciatingly long and measured by at least many places. and maybe it will take years. elites, first of all, they are the best informed, and secondly, they have learned how to independently analyze information, simply because, uh, they are forced to make decisions, and in peacetime, in wartime, to bring some kind of responsibility to the decision, that's where there can be a re-awareness, it's already happening in fact we see some indirect signs : someone leaves, someone like volosh suddenly declares himself a kazakh businessman and renounces the russian

ones and so on but on the other hand dmytro borisovych patrushev nareshkina medvedev demonstrate the completely opposite scenario , i.e. it seems that there is an urgent need to contact specialists of the appropriate profile . part of it is turbo turbo patriotic part of putin's elites yes, they have very high influence, but they know how to take money into nightstands, they don't think, they know how to think about that where does money come from in a nightstand and money it is necessary to pay soldiers to buy weapons already a third of the russian budget, which is about 30 trillion rubles, and 10 of them practically go to the war

. i flew out there, there is a secret flow of tumult and disappointment, and there is disappointment on their part. well, it is clear that the people who would like to see russia in a european-oriented country are driven under the bench, they are silent, they are intimidated and carry out the orders that vladimir putin gives us, but now the main threat to putin appears just turbo patriots conditional grief people of the parish-prihozhenskoy dylkinskogo plan who present to putin the claim that he is fighting badly ukraine should have won a long time ago should have raised the tricolor over kiev and putin is a slovak that's the most interesting thing and that's why now uh, putin's repression falls just on this turbo patriotic public and in this sense, the country before the elites is a rupture of the template . so that's the answer

to your question. strikes, in particular, on russian territory and with the penetration of the corridor to the sea of ​​azov, depending on these strikes, and the consciousness of the elites of putin's tpc will go faster or not. putin is from the country of russian gates, and as for the public , i don’t have it, he sits with his mouth open in front of the tv and does not understand what is happening at all. please excuse the prostate of the russian elite after the murder prigozhina utkin and several other quite active figures in the principle of putin's potential oprichnina, so we understand that putin is embarking on some other possible training scenario for himself, well, if i correctly answer the questions

, i personally understand that yes, putin created this class of prichnikov and now this class the janissaries of the personal guard, whatever you call them, they represent a threat to him because he has a boat that he has to control power by idleness, and if he controls his own, he is weak, nothing is possible to do everything you want is his nightmare, uh, putin without power is different from gelsin, who was not afraid, uh, to part with pleasure , putin can't do it for psychophysiological reasons, from the point of view of an outside observer, of course, he lost , of course, uh, he's a murderer now it is clear that he is a murderer, of course, he is a cowardly murderer , he was killed by fear, of course, he first uttered words about throwing a blow in the back, treason

, and then sat down, or he began to negotiate with this handsome man, he instilled some weakness, and of course there is a disintegration of consciousness in the putin majority , but he controls the whole century. i dared to say that i think mrs. putin retained power and lost a few serious percentage points of support for this very turbo of the patriotic public, which is articulated because it has nothing left now except how to support putin he understands that he is a bad weakling and a grumpy guy even shouts

about it there, but the characters who really have their own resources, that is, the generals there, putin’s chekists, putin’s oligarchs, they prefer to keep quiet because the price of the questions is too high, but inside they understand that the peak of putin's power has passed, they don't see an alternative, they don't know what to do, uh , they're waiting for clues, they're looking at each other, winking but if you ask them, they'll definitely answer that i fully support and- i'm doing it, and uh, everything is going according to plan everything is correct so that at least a few more months will pass before one of them dares to articulate something in some way, and again, the more similar pskov-like topics arrive, the faster this knowledge will be at the top of the prodvinets in order for the transit to be successful, one or another figure is needed on whom they could bet, and we understand that due to certain institutional procedures

, transit should preferably be headed by a mixed prime minister who, in the case of something, so to speak, when the leader meets with a snuffbox and has to lead the russian state the problem that i am trying to think of now is that putin has destroyed trust in state institutions and in this sense the russian state has degraded to the level of age . fork - i amforer yes , yes, yes, that's exactly the way it is. where is the gradation, that's why the people and the scarf have changed, and it doesn't make sense anymore, even there is no

constitution, it says that in case of death of the president or there his anti-ability to leave the president eh his functions are performed by the prime minister who prepares elections for three months and there the elections actually determine the following eh the person of the president is an absolutely normal procedure for an absolutely normal fusion state , well russia - it will be putin's old it has not been a legal state for a long time, and that is why we had to somehow agree on concepts with the importation. so all these putin generals perfectly understand that the constitution is worth money, there is no need for such a complex scenario of complex vaudeville alya privozhensky, you know how the apparatchiks have been since soviet times, and perhaps even earlier since the 18th century, well , they decided to take a much shorter route to get into

the wrong place er, any of these generals will be beaten, this is not even half the case, this is the third case , it is important so that you will not be beaten later, and er, it is important to keep this very power because, well, you can make your way into the tsar's lairs of bikers or a silk scarf, if you do not agree beforehand with other people, then you will find yourself in the kremlin , surrounded by the golden guard, who will finish you off and take power in their own hands - it is necessary for some general, no, it is not necessary , accordingly, before they crash, it is necessary to secure for self-force support, we need to negotiate a puck with gold, a puck with uh-uh, it won’t matter, either with bortnikov or with a pike, skadyr, and

so on. they are knocking on each other and all these generals look at each other as if they are not enemies . yes, they have some people whom they personally trust , but they understand very well that among these people, er, there may well be agents of other power structures. putin built a system of military deterrence and in the spring, where everyone is knocking on everyone, putin, after the privozhensky riot , gave heavy equipment to whom the gold is personally trusted. it doesn't matter what the internal army is, or there is a guard with heavy equipment. for what, in order to to answer if the military riot is not citizens, they will stop the heavy equipment and that's right. and that's exactly why i say that yes, generals, i understand that something needs to be done, but as soon as one of them tries to organize something, that's it.

as it is better in all respects, such an option is well calculated for bozhovskie er trigoors well , of course, there were well-known chekists, if in the present states they knew that a prisoner was being prepared there, then bolen lubyanka would know about it and that is why they worked with frorovite but that's why he prepared a raw material during the day of the mutiny, he refused to join with the possibility of this , i regret it now, because he would have had a chance to preserve his influence. one scenario, that is, regularly studying medvedev’s pistols, i came across a rather disturbing moment there, in particular, it is about the formation of an attack on ukraine as an existential war of the kremlin and, accordingly, as far as i understand their main task is to sell the attack on ukraine

to conscript citizens of russia as a necessity for survival, and this means that they will sell it as a patriotic patriotic war, this is not the case because medvedev has long been trying to present this war as a patriotic war and it is not working, among other reasons that the war is perceived as hotey on tv , that's all putin's propaganda, eh, adjusted to what you are. it doesn't concern you, you live well , guys, your salary even went up because they started paying more to those who were taken away to the army a-a m-m life is getting better, we got up from our knees uh-uh, here you are watching tv , switch beer and the homeland war is when they attacked us so medvedev is virtually trying to draw the homeland and in practice , uh, putin's bolshynskogo is digested more than that

it feels the damage to its own school, so it will check dissatisfaction now. this is the roman dance, which requires bread and spectacles . putin gives them bread and spectacles . the ukrainian war is a spectacle. personal life, and they consider this a violation of the rules, here are the pskov pavlykas after the attack on the moscow airfield, they prevailed . it seemed to me. someone else and we're here and why is it not according to the rules that we should have won the popskov and nothing we didn't pay anything for it such a one, that one, that 's an amazing standard lives in putin's head, the majority in the bears

tells an imperial war no to those until they invade the territory of russia and reach voronezh or moscow , and the idea of ​​a fatherland war will be dead, and no fatherland war will be allowed by medvedev, who shakes the air for nothing, in fact , for the last year and a half, he he has no cards in this political game, he's just a talking head . well, he's trying to raise his own because of what he's saying . he's as loud as possible and as aggressive as possible. political resources, the entire political resource is in putin's hands, that's why you can't look at medvedev's ruthlessness, and putin looks at him like that. well, here's a small little dog until he's old, a puppy. let him run ahead of the locomotive and ring, that's actually the whole story, if

you take the nearest quarter, the next few months, your vision putin will raise the degree of escalation or, on the contrary , he will try to keep it at least at this level with the aim of possibly reaching certain negotiating positions. it seems to me that putin has already entered the zone where he lost freedom of choice, he chose a trajectory, and this trajectory led him to a dead end, and now he is simply doomed to hope for an escalation , at the same time, it is not concluded that he will probe the soil through closed channels and think how he will retreat, he is not a fool, he understands that the script did not go as it should therefore, in real practice, he will intimidate, uh, the question first of all inflicts increasingly bloody blows on ukraine, because he needs

to imagine victory, and at the same time, in horror at night, to think that there is no victory , accordingly, uh, probably some kind of happiness he spoils his players or they sanya begin to grope options for ways out of this critical situation with a victorious expression on his face this is very important with a victorious expression on his face until he feels the possibility of a way out it will draw and this victorious expression on tv is actually hysterical victorious, or the rhetoric of poverty in soviet information , it is in recent days, it seems to me that it has gotten even stronger, well, actually, the howling bear is exactly what it is, it’s good

evidence so that putin is doomed, it seems to me that in the next few weeks, the months may strengthen the military component from the last strength, but at the same time, in a cold sweat and in nightmares, he thinks about how to get out of this situation if ukraine does not get scared if the west does not reconcile hopes for what scares all the more weak all the more ghostly but very much nadet that it is not necessary that my answer is already sochechaniya need you thank you dmytro borisovych for this honest and extremely interesting conversation i wish to our viewers to remind you that dmytro oreshkin, an independent political scientist, a professor at the university in riga, is currently on the air of the espresso channel. he is recognized in the russian federation as a foreign agent of ukraine-england. on megogo, in the selection for euro 2024, our national team needs to tame three lions. turn on the match on

september 9 at 19:00 cheer for the main team of the country on megogo i am the goalkeeper and youth national team of ukraine alesenko my task is to defend the football goal at the same time our heroes are fighting for every piece of their native land for our freedom with you thank you our unbreakable warriors ukraine most of all there are discounts on motilium tablets 20% in pharmacies traveler bam and saving during sports the body loses water and electrolytes as a sports doctor i recommend reo i was dehydrated i will recover from reo water for

special medical purposes ukrainians romanticize freedom, this is how it happened in our tradition, volya svoboda, it’s all like air , something that you can’t touch, but without it you can’t breathe, and on the one hand, it’s really like the classics.

after leveling all the gold against freedom, it is just a swamp, but only now, when they try to subjugate us again , not metaphorically, but literally, when they try to seize or destroy. events of this week vitaly portnikov and top experts on the most striking events of the last seven days, our guest will be the generator of companion forces, the former national security adviser to the president of the united states states donald trump herbert mat-master yuriemsya current topics hot questions authoritative comments and forecasts in the project information marathon with vitaly portnikov every sunday at 20:10 on espresso

vasyl winter's big broadcast two hours of airtime two hours of your time two hours to learn about the war and what the world lives for 2 hours to stay up to date with economic news and new sports, two hours in the company of favorite presenters, presenters who have become likeable to many, as well as distinguished guests of the studio, events of the day in two hours, big vasyl's air in the winter, a project for intelligent and caring people in the evening, nayspresso, the espresso tv channel will work, ihor yakovenko, a sociologist, a journalist recognized in russia as a foreign agent , mr. ihor is currently in lithuania. i congratulate you, mr. yakovenko, i would like to ask you right away about the most important scenario, yes, the syndrome of the long war in the execution of the kremlin ice , in particular, it is about medvedev's statements about

the so-called existential war of russia against ukraine and, of course, how this matter is felt by ordinary russians bryansk pskov, we understand that a war can be played both ways, this is anton. well, what can you say about the fact that the war is really happening, uh, apparently for a long time? well, at least it was clear that from the very beginning , and putin starts the war, he did not understand what he did at all. and there is a lot that he did not understand he did not understand that ukraine is a large european country, that ukraine has a state, that ukraine has a people, that ukraine has an army, and that there is no chance that kiev will take over ukraine tomorrow, but there is absolutely no chance under any circumstances

he will fix it and achieve his goals no. and now the war is really coming to russia, you can’t say that it has already come to russia because most of russia still doesn’t feel the war, it er started coming in the fall of last year when putin er announced a partial mobilization and over a million people fled from russia because, in general, people did not want to go to war . that's what was happening here the last time - these are strikes on the territory of military objects that are located on the territory of russia . this is really the beginning of the beginning of the war in russia.

when we talk about the fact that strikes are carried out on some russian objects, i mean that ukraine still strikes military objects, in particular at a school, and the military airfield was destroyed, and in other cities are also being attacked, military objects are being attacked, in contrast to what russia is doing, because at the same time the drone attack was happening, at the same time, russian rockets were attacking kiev, and there were human casualties, this is a fundamental difference that is, the war is still being waged asymmetrically, russia strikes in a ukrainian manner in peaceful cities, kills peaceful citizens, ukraine in rare cases responds to military objects and destroys military targets , this is the fundamental difference and not only in of course, the main difference is that the war is mainly going on the territory of ukraine, they are on the territory of russia, so