[000:00:00;00] along the perimeter, as military intelligence managed to lure a russian pilot with a helicopter to our side , no one wants a war. program studio event we will analyze the most important events of this week, of course the key stories are unfolding now on the big front of the russian-ukrainian war and at the same time extremely important ones are coming impulses from both the international community and the kremlin about this other broadcast roman svitan and oleksandr morozov our first guest roman svitan military expert colonel of the reserve of the armed forces of ukraine glory to ukraine mr. colonel i salute you as a hero glory i wish you health i wish you health too well, accordingly, let's move to the southern direction

, we understand that extremely heavy battles are going on , difficult battles, hard battles, but there are certain advances from the other side, the enemy already has information, he is starting to transfer additional human reserves there, yes manpower and not only its two directions in the area of ​​the zaporizhzhya e-e front where the ukrainian army is moving where there are positive dynamics of e-e introduction of combat dey district orehal verbovoe general direction to the south towards melitopol berdyansk that is to the azov coast to the line already happened on a few kilometers passed the support line of the first line of defense of the russians, the very first line of defense has already opened the support line, the first line of defense and already on the second line, we are now working right here

between recruitment and work. it is very difficult the russians will indeed transfer additional units there, 2 divisions will be transferred there, airborne, russian, to strengthen , on the one hand, the breakthrough of ours, which was formed in the area of ​​recruitment work, and on the other hand, to hang on the flanks , it is very dangerous for the movement of our troops , flanking strikes and therefore, at the moment , work is being done to strengthen the flanks, at least the western flank and the expansion of the eastern flank. why, we are moving towards the willow work and in the direction of the slopes from tokmachki and orekhova, that is, the general general task is to expand the bridgeheads for further movement , precisely in order not to get under-plan strikes, since after all there are two mottos of serious russian forces that are concentrated there now and with

they will have to introduce rather serious battles . the second direction is in the time and glass district. dynamics i think in the next week and a half, eh, you will be freed , and on the vodonetska novomayorskaya, the general movement will again be in the direction of the azov pobedezhde, for this southern time. i call the enemy well, according to the textbooks , they are still soviet classics. they are waiting until the moment of extinguishing the so-called offensive impulse on our part in order to raise their additional reserves and possibly develop one or another of their offensive strikes yes, it is possible that it will be kupyansk, the limansky direction, it is possible that there will be some more. how do you see this threat when

the offensive momentum declines and the enemy begins to use this situation ? well, somewhere in the middle, that is, after our reserves are introduced, those that are ready for the breakthrough of the front of the zaporozhian movement further to the side of the azov victory, and at this moment they are getting ready to strike in the luhansk direction, this is mainly in mainly the kupyansk matchmaking direction, that is, on kupyansk, on kupyansk, the corner can be with kremennoy, on atorskaya naliman , that is, in general, the direction . we will advance a few more kilometers, especially after sowing bakhmut groups in the area of ​​berkovka, er , bakhmut will fall to

the russian bakhmut organization. the flight is in a very er, difficult situation . now we control the entrance, exit, and later we will completely close the exit to the north of bakhmut, and the entrance and exit from bakhmut , then they will have such a boiler, and not only the operational problems will be very big , because now they are just trying to keep our troops in the berkhovka area and not allow them to advance further, concretely powerful attacks are coming now and the fight is south of bahmut, our movement is going to the side in horlovka, too, russia does not understand very well that the movement in the toilets of the old ridge mmm there is an excess of somewhere 200-220 m in horlovka for 300 m , they understand that it is dangerous for them, that is there too it also throws in the region of andreevka's shoulder with a podkobyumovkoy, that's where they can also be activated just when the main part of our offensive

will go. well, the reduction of the period of the offensive . they have a window of opportunity, and right in the middle of offensive actions , in the near future, they will literally begin to increase the pressure in the luhansk direction in the luhansk direction in the kupyansk area. well, in the bakhmut area, they are generally interested in stretching the military campaign as much as possible, because it is impossible to have additional manpower ready, they are now trying to restart their missile production and so on, they have put the shahed production on stream . so, colonel, if we talk about the medium-term military perspective, what should we expect from the enemy? they are asking to play a long time, that is, until the elections and re-elections of the president of america, this is practically until the 25th

year, so that is, they have it scheduled somewhere for two and a half years, the dynamics in the movement along and along the front and the natural development of the army, but they have already advanced with some points related to maximum production , that is , they can no longer increase the production of some types of equipment, including supplies , later e- they entered the international markets, so far north korea, china and iran are already asking for a certain amount of ammunition from their partners, but these countries also have, well, they can give 25-30%, but more than 70%, we will return less than 70% of the ammunition purchased they they will not reduce their reserves, because here, too, it is not like that. the endless barrel, because in the near future, the russians will try to hold the

front line as long as possible. to break through with great speed, let's say in the direction of the azov coast, it was not bad to walk in the zaporozhye direction. mariupol is strengthening the wave well, by itself, they have already opened the line of circulation there, that is, the configuration of eh is already visible , when i will collapse the russian french from zaporozhye and kherson, that is, krym will be sealed in crimea and align the front line exactly along the line of eh kupyansk svatovo bakhmut donetsk volnovaha-mariupol i.e. severo nauk is what you can see. here is the closest perspective just before the new year, although they will have all the forces that they only have , well, the presence of those forces will hold the zaporozhye direction because it understands perfectly if we get to tokmak, the front will collapse, er, and one and the other kherson and

zaporizhia, that's what's in the near future. well, by the new year, they'll be asking, um, er, stretch along kupyansk, that is, they'll try to push our troops out of the kupyansk triangle lyman kremennaya for oskol for seversky donetsk, this is what they can in principle try to do, at least they won't be able to do it, that is, we have a sufficient amount of uh, forces, there are some funds, the truth is, i think our partners understand uh these problems will increase the ammunition stand min ammo больше име этот сейчас неужно налиманское direction in ukraine also begins preparation for increasing the production of drones, and the existing russian rap is unlikely to be able to accept an increase , for example, of attacks by unidentified flying objects by an order of magnitude, that is, i know there several times how do you see the readiness of the russians of the russian reb and the russian air defense systems to cover

military facilities in general in russia and not only in moscow or leningrad and here are two anchors perception of this kind of attacks. the russians earlier began to carry out drone attacks. they are already working together with drones with these martyrs . basically, all drones are going to russia now , er, in russians, they operate on the waves of drone tvs, up to fifty units - this means that they have at least half a hundred operators , and they are quite serious er problems because, er, the range is 10-12 km, and with translators up to 2 kg of explosives, the speed is more than 100 km/hour. of course , such an operator is needed, but nevertheless, they have prepared , that is, the russians have already reached such a medium

level, the use of a friend is only at the beginning of this all the more precisely because of the fact that china has stopped shipping and ships only to russia, uh, this fully supports russian aggression on ukraine , um, we have a slack uh opportunity, uh, to purchase a possible assembly, and therefore it is very important now to set up production and from other details that there is another element of the base of our partners, so it is very important to once again invite these drones plus the number of operators. well, at least a hundred operators who can perform this kind of tasks. it is quite difficult to complete the task of controlling drones - it is not an easy task , therefore, there is also a need for preparation and a whole set of measures, and therefore we are now only at the very beginning of the anti-

drone and anti-drone war, at least which are now video against russian drones and at the beginning of our drone war already because they are limited in production, but due to the fact that in russia the production of weapons is scattered over a very large territory, they at one time covered themselves with this dispersion on the territory, you will not have enough of them in the next few years, the russians will not be able to cover the system with all their production capacities, because our window of opportunity is only limited by the number of drones and the number of операторов if we talk about priorities, for example, among the military facilities of the russian federation, that is, is it the southern direction - the northern direction, should we try

to push back their strategic aviation ? the blood of any army , which if you run out of fuel, the army will dry up, even more . this destruction will begin with the sinking, we must work with the wells, that is, the destruction of a-a oil and gas wells, more destruction of oil refineries, e-e, chemical production, namely, the production of gasoline, diesel fuel, e-e, and further oil and fuel receivers e-e ports for fuel overload that is, this is all the fuel structure. russia must destroy it first . because if it is not reached, it is impossible to reach the strategic bombers

. will destroy the production of kerosene, jet kerosene, and this plane will stand as just a piece of iron and no more . that is, there is metal, there will be holes in the aluminum foundations , that's how you can land all the aviation if you can't get to it, but now our groups are working, our intelligence and service foreign intelligence and the main intelligence agency, counterintelligence, sbu, special operations work at great depth, by and large, i think we will get the children planes and drones already purchased by the chinese, just purchased in russia, just such tanks you can buy it, but you can make it from a drone. kamikaze drone is, in principle, a big problem. it won’t deliver, because we will destroy it for sure. and the fuel will destroy the entire supply chain of fuel production and airplanes on the parking lots , and the important destruction is permissible.

less er-e sanctions are making themselves felt and er-e russians are slowly blocking er-e supply lines of the m-m element base that cannot be produced and the one that can be produced is not located just closer to our border in the same kursk, in the same bryansk, in the same gandrog, these factories that have been burning for the last time understand that these are one of the main ones, of course, our intelligence and er, in carrying out combat tasks to destroy, this production of the element base also needs to be destroyed the production of the main rockets is mainly in the suburbs of moscow, in kolomna, in dubna, that is, that is where our beavers go - this group is engaged in the main control of surveys, that is, they are carried out in the work , the event is held. well, it takes time it requires financial determined efforts it requires the production or purchase of long-range soviets defeated

by the mayor will now be able to speed up what was slipping in the times of different people so because history i don't know about the strengthening of our ryab, we heard from the first days of the war and so on and so on drones and on and on the fact is that a person who does not have a professional education, he will not understand the specifics of performing tasks, rather the specifics of the appearance of problems and how to solve them, it is simply unrealistic, he cannot fasten who has the education of a surgeon. they will perform a heart operation or even a banal operation for appendicitis . the profile military circumcision of education during the war in a warring country , eh, in the unresolved problems that exist in the ministry of defense and in our army now

, therefore, until the minister of defense becomes, eh, a former serviceman, that is, with a profile by education, the best is the best, if it is the commander of a military unit and higher, or necessarily with education, that is, he has passed training at the academy at the academy of the general staff, that is, it is optimal, look at the minister of the united states, lloyd austin, a combat general who has passed several wars, leading departments in the general staff, that is, he he knows the specifics very well, it is he who leads the pentagon in the ministry of defense in this sense, therefore there are no questions. the number of weapons, but in the nato bloc, it is permissible to appoint a civilian as the minister of defense, but we will get

similar ones from these countries, from the united states , because until the minister of defense is a former military man, nothing will change, no, well, we just understand that we have the commander-in-chief, the commander of these or other directions , like whiskey, and so on, there is the general staff, and as far as i understand, they have to voice the needs, in particular , what concerns the provision of production, and so on, and the ministry of defense has a job. well in my opinion, this is what the current scheme looks like. well, the fact is that the general staff itself is now fighting, and the commander of the general staff is also fighting for honor and, uh, some tasks that mosh and the general staff used to solve now. therefore, it should be at the level of the subconscious, uh, contact uh, with people in the ministry of defense, who should know the basic needs, even somehow predict, again, at the level of the same

subconscious well, for this, you need to go through a certain military school won't understand the needs won't understand eh what's the first priority what's the second priority that's it, the new minister took on this digitalization privilege and so on and so on for the introduction of hostilities, these are the same drones, that's it. the most important thing is digitalization - it 's more for the political tinsel, and not for the performance of military tasks, because he will be a civilian, especially a half-politician engage in civil politics, er, then i will repeat it again. while

the military, uh , the ministry of defense will not catch a man like lloyd austin in america. более того а ето если человек начал вас в джитилазации из документооборот - это межды толку будет такое. if we talk about attempts to open up russian logistics in the south, what are the prospects, yes, because the military says they can bury themselves in concrete and sit there but if there are problems with the supply of bc fuel and lubricants and it went , it went , it went, then they will not know how to get out of this situation. the destruction of the russians as the first task of any defending army, the destruction of the advancing army , the intersection of logistics supply chains, therefore, the first natural task is to disable the crimean

bridge. military munitions to crimea and to the kherson region and the second task is the land corridor er crossing it or at least an attempt to take it under operational control , that is, under strikes either by army or er missiles, if the heimers reach any point of this land traffic alive that's why even going to the railway that goes to tokmak from the side of volnovakha, chernihivka, this is already a big luck of this offensive, after exiting and crossing the railway, we will be able to get the army artillery to the land route from berdyansk to tokmak, that is, we will take it under control. well, with the help of the same m.m. heimers, we can already deliver to the land route to the land route from rostovan, melitopol

, this is rostov, mariupol, berdyansk - melitopol. 15, probably 20 km maximum in order to complete such a task and that’s it. these are two tasks, that is , the conclusions of the structure of the crimean bridge and eh , after we take under operational control eh land eh land supply lines eh already er will take out the russians will transfer the russians to the regime of such an operational encirclement, whereby the crimean part of the zaporozhye kherson region, the entire crimean kherson group will be an operational so-called operational encirclement , therefore, this is the task and it is worth it. there will be no fuel for ammunition, and on the big shoulders, every kilometer, every tenth kilometer increases the necessary amount of the same fuel, lighter ammunition, and there

about 500 km, that is, the shoulder of the pond is very long, because they are especially in the kherson region, in the kherson part of the zaporozhye region , we are in a disadvantageous position . we will use it. thank you , colonel, for this extremely interesting and honest conversation . on the espresso broadcast, a colonel of the armed forces of ukraine worked for them in the reserve, a military expert, roman svitan , listen to your fm galicia, ukraine-england on

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of the sky repelled the largest air attack from during the second world war and what exactly will f16 fighter jets help ukraine f16 will help us keep away russian terrorists unique special operation tit let's run and take away the situation around the perimeter steel how military intelligence managed to lure a russian pilot with a helicopter to our side no one wants to see war when ukraine will win it lysh vopros vremeny documentary film downed russian pilots watch on saturday at 1:50 p.m.

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winner of the vasyl stus award in 2023 turns on espresso on thursday, september 14 at 7:15 p.m. this is the 23rd separate rifle battalion of the armed forces of ukraine. now we are already engrossed in such a significant performance. and actually at the very edge of this performance , we are holding the defense. the battalion is wedged in the defense of the orks in donetsk region and is holding positions right now the military needs our help fighters need drones to lead development and destroy the enemy even on the approach we take infantry each drone is the lost enemy and the saved life of our soldier join the gathering we will show our fighters that we are next to them oleksandr morozov, political scientist, lecturer at charles university, will work in case dear mr. oleksandr, i would first of all like to ask you about the forgiveness of the war scenarios , and we understand. a couple of days ago, putin gathered to celebrate the victory in world war ii very loudly, the 25th anniversary, there is a feeling that despite our efforts, i do not know the western and

eastern and southern partners will then move in that forvator which was very well described at one time by the murdered boris nimtsov on the first because it has a lot of factors of uncertainty about the events of which you can't say anything yet, but nevertheless, there are at least three uh, three obvious to everyone . as it seems to me today, the circumstances that determine the contours of the near and medium immediate future that's what little. who doubts that while putin is in the kremlin, the war will continue , and putin himself is not in a position to end the war ? none of them represents a return march to peace, any kind of development, they are all priceless, so to speak, there is no cloud ahead

, and the secret form of the international tribunal is a meeting, so how could they themselves not be the sources of some kind of turn, the other side. here and war it is necessary to take into account that although the kremlin clearly expresses hope that something in the west will crack, this will not happen, the european union will not change its position regarding support for ukraine, nor the united states and the november elections in the usa in this case, it is unlikely that the word will be changed, that is, it is even possible to confidently say that there is no such a strong enough alliance has already been created, which, regardless of the change of government, will act in the direction of supporting ukraine, simply because as boris boris johnson wrote of the well-known column simply because putin's victory was so great that the war was completely unrehearsed, a list of positions of the future of the european and global world, and global

security, and the third important point the conclusion here is that there are different estimates of the resources that the kremlin has in order to launch the war further , and it should be said that although there was often a rather sad mood, well, this is the account that the sanctions there are weak, that the west is not able to cut off the u.s. - bypassing sanctions and so on but still , with a close look, it is clear that the degradation of the russian economy and the russian administrative system is unfolding in front of our eyes. how would be the best proof of this. we are also beautiful, and what is happening now in the generator, that is, that is what it is. this is not a self-evident evidence of some kind of management model. putin is not in the confident position in which he was allowed in 14 -th year and when he alixirov krym he himself