[000:00:00;00] and the third important point was that there are different estimates of the resources that are available to the cream in order to continue the war, and it should be said that although often a-ah , there was still a rather mournful mood, well , this is the account that the sanctions are weak there, that uh, the west of the borders states are cut off, there is circumvention of sanctions, and so on. but still , with a careful look , it is clear that the degradation of the russian economy and the russian management system is only unfolds on in our eyes, and as if the best confirmation of this is imagined, you have a beautiful thing and what is happening now in the generator, that is , that

is what it is. in the 14th year, when he alixed crimea , he himself is in a sacred position in relation to his own elite . everything is fine destroyed now he has such a situation as if it were visible to the whole world and the situation during the war he has, as it were, a large group of generals is accused of disloyalty, it is investigated by the fsb, the military prosecutor's office, and so on this is to say that the clarity of management is part of the resources because not only economic resources determine the war but also human resources in this sense .

this portrelization of the economy is happening quickly, that is, leaving for the inevitable drop from the dollar and the euro, and from global currencies. increases but this increase is not strong enough to compensate for all the losses that the kremlin and the russian federation are carrying, so this is the third factor. the key story is that we are talking about a rebellion from prigozhina that it did not end in swan lake. that is, everyone expected that certain actions would be held. instead, prigozhina was buried with certain honors. putin is now banking on this and this attempt to restrain his appetites or criminal fantasies, we can also see that it failed, that is, i think that the generals decided well let it be but as it will be, we will go but the way it goes and no one

wants to follow the path of the beauty of the general, so to speak , they like to take risks well, no, first of all, this story is not over yet i would say so because the inertia of this place, which putin, as it were, formed in the political system is very large, and accordingly, during two decades, all these generals and, in general , the entire right-wing top, as it were, in business together with putin, in general relations actually prigozhin finally caused such a powerful explosion within this system because they were all connected to him and he connected to them he had a big mandate from putin and he would have more of a mandate than, say, ramzany kadyrov, and at the same time, he s- how would he undermine everything within this reprisal , such a strange explosion, er, putin has not completely gotten out of it yet, although really, er

, we don't even know until конца какой будет. parishioner by entering the top military leadership so as not to be like that they won't annoy the army, yes they annoy the special services. but you can't do it, and it's one of the facts of the further treatment of the system. it's obvious that there are two , well, 2.5 very good scenarios, one scenario. it's true that putin simply disappears in the political scene is simply disappearing. can someone from the alliance of russian military leaders go to this ? now, no, but how dynamically is it developing in the last six months

? half a year, it will become possible, this is one scenario, and then, of course , there is a driver, the most different perspectives of which are not available now , because then it is possible. when the whole russian political system is a public system, it is only at the start that kevich was forced to transfer the war to his territory. месяцев такое такое рарастание этого, that is, if it was six months ago, the speech was there, well, there were some episodes in two or three russian provinces, then now this message is every day, that is, the drone war has acquired, and not only drones and war, but in general how

would er-er cars hydronova diversionary war took on such a character that penetrates very deeply increasing on uh, many people say that, well, probably there are creams, how can you develop some kind of anti-drone protection there, increase the defense and so on, he will strengthen his work in air defense, and he does it, but uh, nevertheless , we clearly see that this is the second the front is conventionally said to be the front, uh, literally wars on earth in the south and east, where the unit of the armed forces is fighting for the liberation of the occupied territory. of course, it can lead to the fact that putin's entourage will put the question before him

, as it were, and he himself can start asking it extends to russian territory, then the kremlin will not be able to continue that rhetoric indefinitely . another formula will appear which the kremlin propagandists said the most bitterly about the formation of the ethos of the great patriotic war, the great patriotic war, and then they start again to play their trumpet about how their motherland would be in danger and so on, but on the other hand, we understand that the current war is already in full swing and i don't know if they have enough internal strength to reformat the entire war , because when they called the war and aggression against ukraine as something like that, that's one

story, and here when they start talking about the existential war, yes, we regularly honor the drunken and non-drunk bear, yes, this is the existential war, and this is already something else , yes, it’s a shambles and i must say here what well, how does the kremlin present to me now, and they will not withstand any hospitality war, although it is for itself warms up to this level, i completely agree with it, we can see everything because the rhetoric is bearish, as if it were such a bearish warning, but the fact is that the kremlin will not withstand such a war, and even the demand for it means that it is used here it is not a conventional weapon there, nuclear, or let’s say some kind of biological weapon, that is, in order to fight and stop this war on its territory, it is somehow radically different in terms of its capabilities from what

stalin had at the time of our nuclear blackmail, and even khrushchev putin has to a large extent already lost the opportunity to blackmail with nuclear weapons . more massive sounded mysteriously than now when the possibility of these instruments of war is in the hands of putin, it has weakened incredibly, so i think that the expansion of this war on the territory of the russian territory will lead to the fact that the kremlin has overheated in general, not only the kremlin, but in general the entire bureaucracy and the entire part of this so-called society that somehow serves the war. it overheats on this.

ensure this special war of mobilization. yes, he will not be able to make such an impression at the moment, and he will not be able to cope at all , so to speak, even with such large-scale organizational actions as a large mobilization. alexander, they stopped steaming , they all remind me of such a collective director of the museum of the second world war war in russia, or rather the great patriotic absolute ram, who corresponds to the same second historical illiterate putin and cannot name elementary numbers and is the director of the so-called central museum and putin is sitting there pouting, he is ashamed of him, but this is about the quality of the management circuit, but on the other hand, we understand that, as you rightly pointed out, this does not affect the decision of the bet on the decision of the criminal bunker, well , accordingly, we are waiting for three genes. i don't know the tower , the submarine in moscow, the river, what are the drones that open the urals

? well, it's free here, that's what it's like, two such big ones, that's the factor, that's the first factor , it's the real thing, that's what the shaygu drove by taming putin will inspect the new land of nuclear weapons test sites, and of course everyone has read this, who deals with this topic. how is it that kremy is not going to use nuclear weapons, but he is going to conduct tests a-a and this will be a new step , which will also be an element, so to speak , of the designation of the next america. first moment how will this affect further, well, we don't know yet, that is, it is clear that the answer to this will be and collect so say what he calls the word , as it were, the global alliance is a struggle with putin, he will react to it and that the first, the second, is the most important factor for many. it seems to many that it may not be very important, but i think that it has a decisive meaning. but the restructuring of the position of a large number of countries that have not yet been involved

in it is clearly putin's isolation , political isolation, and so on. what is it that ukrainian diplomacy is doing actively ? redefining the position of the countries of latin america, this is all very important, so it is very important in order to stop bleeding further , this is the second point, the second point and the third point . it seems to me that the attention of the secretaries to the black sea is very strong and not groundless. in black, most likely. and if so, then it is impossible for putin to achieve military success in any way, eh, this is a fundamental moment now, that is, no matter how putin does not say that there is a ukrainian counteroffensive, they are effective, yes, and

they are not moving anywhere, it does not change anything about for eh all the pictures of the war compared to the fact that the creams have lost the possibility of a military initiative at all, and there is such a common one , and there is a rumor that they will increase their army there to a million to 9 million there putin here he is, you can use nuclear weapons, but in reality they warmly look at the picture of the war, he understands well that he does not have it, as if in his hands, and here is an opportunity to do so with a little something that he wants, so no matter how much putin is now not ego people are there, this is ego окресные е та караганов это you are the other experts did not write about the fact that ukraine should be destroyed in general there yes or somehow there is something in this horn there is no longer an instrument for this and er in this it means to a certain extent this is such er such a tragedy of the 24th year because, uh, putin can’t stop the war, but he has the tools to further achieve the result of how he has his formulas

. it’s not a fundamental moment, the level of absorption of corpses, we understand that there is such a gross sociological characteristic of a certain society we understand that the kremlin's task is putin's task, first of all, to convince the west that they can throw a million two three into the furnace of war. well, we understand that at one time the west was shocked by the attitude of the russian command towards the lives of russian soldiers, so we understand that in the kremlin they started having fun using prisoners they used contractors from some of those remote mountain villages and so on, but still they come to the conclusion that well, 250 or 300,000. you can't hide it just like that anymore, and still there is no fidbe socially in russia nothing happens and will not happen in such a political system from below, and it will not happen on

this great hope - there is no society that will simply wake up from the war. smestely will make some kind of radical transition to the second state, but at the same time, eh, they still can’t. civilian infrastructure, that is, in response, it flies in, flies in, and accordingly, the war creeps into russia itself , and what does it take to sober up both the population and the generals ? to the russian population, too, the kremlin did not answer this, this is an important point, clearly, in such a situation, the population, including the pskov region, generally asks where it

came from, how did it come, and there was no answer, that is , the creams are not in a position to answer publicly the population and that’s for sure, well, at first, the whole group produced raids on moscow-syty, then, as it were, on the pskov airfield, and here the last word has not been said, it’s obvious that here , uh, well, there’s still a lot of opportunity, we see it well that probably putin gives not a break but an indication the fsb, but because it is clear that there is such a reevaluation, it is a hoax, that is, there are opportunities, including hardware ones, that is, uh, in facebook, it cannot be covered, there is not enough strength , so the personnel who are all of these secret servicemen at putin are good, they are good it is not there to master the occupied territories, it means, accordingly, when the task is given to find out where and where the drones are launched from

the russian territory. uh, the war that putin declared to the world in general is so large-scale that he doesn't have enough specialists, uh, it's not in the field of special forces, they are in the field of actual military operations, this war means that it exceeds the capabilities of the russian federation, simply speaking federació therefore, er, every next successful er, er, want this war from the side of ukraine, of course, it has a very strong influence on the internal situation. of course, we can see everything from the reaction of many european american experts who, well, i think, look, they say yes, well, there , it’s great, it works, it works, and i think it’s understood by the immediate environment. and we

see well that in this immediate environment now there are no people who would come forward with some strategic ideas , they ca n’t. yes, there is someone who would come out and look for us . maybe here in the horizon of one year there will be no expulsion of the kremlin, this will sound too strong, but it will lead to a very strong strengthening of ukraine and to no and to such a stupor and such a dead-end isolation, it means russia even from itself, this is the war this will be approximately the picture on it is with great regret that i have to end our conversation, i am grateful to you, oleksandr, for this extremely interesting and informative conversation, and i want to remind our tv viewers that oleksandr morozov, a political scientist from charles university, is currently working for them. take care of yourself and your

loved ones see you on the air of ukraine on megogo at the legendary san siro stadium, our national team will impress the italian audience with a bright game, watch the superman of the euro-2024 selection on september 12 at 21:45 on megogo when the pain squeezes in the back arget patch with lidocaine for wild back pain 20% in pharmacies podorozhnik you and save there are floor discounts from 10% in pharmacies podorozhnyk you and save attention total sale from unpacking tv super warm and very comfortable boots alaska style with a discount your ideal solution for the cold season at an incredibly favorable price of only uah 699 perfect fit it is repellent

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our today will affect our tomorrow, watch the saturday political club, what saturdays express, and then on our air a documentary from the main intelligence agency downed pilots russia is a documentary film with the stories of 8 russian pilots shot down in the sky of ukraine , as well as the chronology of the special operation of the military intelligence tit, during which the russian flew to the side of good together with his helicopter mi-8, the term as translated from french here is the oldest card in the deck of playing cards in a figurative sense, a skillful bold term of the origin of france during the first world war to designate the best combat pilots, i.e. ace, a master

of air combat, then an asum was called a pilot who shot down five and more enemy planes in the second world war with aces of cards , especially spades of diamonds, on duty , the fuselages of planes of various armies were blown up, this tradition has also passed into modern combat aviation , to mark your planes with aces means to consider himself as an ace pilot and demonstrate this is the largest air invasion in the world combat aircraft and winged winged and ballistic missiles unmanned attack reconnaissance drones not every pilot believed that this is really not training this is really for real how our pilots and anti-aircraft fighters dropped a thief from the ukrainian

sky the most important thing is that they do not have an advantage in the air, they cannot operate more freely on our territory if military intelligence found out from the downed enemy pilots and how many of ours they were exchanged for the matter still belonged to an absolutely senior officer, we absolutely have a personality, downed russian pilots from the navigator of the evacuation helicopter to the deputy commanders of the air regiments, how were they prepared, the touch thought that it would be possible, it would be очень быстро может быть three days in the course of three weeks from the west, and when will ukraine receive the first combat aircraft the ukrainian f-16 will be one of the strongest signals from the world that russia, because of its own aggression, will only

lose the cold , dark, quiet, but disturbing ukrainian sky suddenly burst with sirens, explosions and with outbreaks on the night of february 24, 2022, as soon as the dictator putin had finished broadcasting his half-hour cannibalistic speech about the beginning of the great war at five in the morning, the russians began it just as western ukrainian intelligence had predicted massive air strikes, their main goal was to destroy ukraine's ability to carry out even on the ground resistance on sunday that is to achieve first superiority and then we complete dominance in the air before the ground operation for the first time let's say minutes and hours of the invasion

russia actually launched missile bomb strikes on the main airfields of the base of our aviation, on the locations of the air defense units and on the units of the radio engineering forces, but the power of these strikes, let's say, did not correspond to the task set before the aerospace forces of the russian federation, indeed, the preparations of the russians for the great war were especially impressive in their scale in the air military component at the airfield captured crimea in the south, in neighboring belarus in the north and in russia in the east, the enemy relocated an increasing number of them before the invasion combat helicopters and airplanes, all of them were in the palm of our hands for the space reconnaissance satellites of our western allies, more than 500 aircraft models, i.e. su-30 cm -

135s su-34. su-24m, which they used in the last instance, all this was arranged and placed at more than 40 airfields, if you take it in europe, then it is most likely the second world war , after that there was nothing like it in europe for the ukrainian air force, which was much more modest in its combat potential was critically important to preserve it precisely in the first hour of the day, just two weeks after the invasion, the russians flaunted the destruction of almost all of our air defenses, 90% of ukrainian military airfields on which the main body of combat aviation was based were drawn up , but it did not happen as expected, warned means armed having received accurate information from military intelligence on the scale of the direction and time of the air attack , our defenders of the sky managed to disperse

the planes and anti-aircraft missile complexes, that is, they in fact, they hit about 20% of the objects from the entire list that wanted it and it became an obstacle to complete dominance in the air. and the fact that he did not manage to destroy most of the air defense complexes nullified their dominance in the classes of aircraft and the number of aircraft set 24 back 09 i answer with two air crews, we were given the command to withdraw from the attack, we performed the take-off e-e departure e-e duty zone, then received the command to depart to the e-e operational airfield, almost all

the planes that were there at that time on rotations were carried out because our ground-based air defense began to work, this is the target, the date, the target in your area, to detect , prove, accept, what is the probability of defeat , i allow the work, plus, we did not shine constantly from a certain position , everyone was in standby mode, then the time was determined, when the information about the aviation flight was guaranteed, the equipment was turned on, conducted launch ago of course it was spent minimal time air force of ukraine - it is the most technological and therefore the most valuable type of armed forces in its composition three types of troops combat and transport aviation

anti-aircraft missile and radio engineering troops. they are three in one tightly connected and form a single air defense combat system. to counter in time, i.e. as far as possible from potential objects of damage, to detect numerous enemy air targets in the sky - this is the primary combat task performed by our heavenly eyes and the ears of the radio engineering troops, respectively, the unit was primarily tasked with conducting intelligence of all types, valuable, accordingly, the modes of operation changed, the radar equipment used for conducting intelligence, the interception of the radio exchange of pilots of russian planes, testified that the enemy was calm, even self-confident, the air base of the 40th tactical aviation brigade in vasylkiv which covered the capital

was a priority target for enemy pilots