[000:00:00;00] the ministry of defense will not be headed by a person like lloyd austin. in america , there will be problems. we will deal with the problems in the ministry of defense . document turnover - this means that it will not make sense. if we talk about attempts to open up russian logistics in the south, what are the prospects, because the military says they can dig in concrete and sit there , but if they start having problems with supply of bc fuel and lubricants and it went, it went, it went, then they won't know how

to get out of this situation. any army that is defending, the destruction of the advancing army, the two sections of the supply chain, then the first natural task is to disable the crimean bridge . the second task of the land corridor is to cross it, or at least try to take it under operational control, that is, under the attack of either army artillery or rockets of the russian federation, hammers will reach any point of this land traffic, therefore, in eh, even get on the railway to tokmak from the side of volnovakha, chernihivka, this is already a great success of this offensive. after exiting and crossing the railway, we will be able to deliver army artillery from there to the land route from berdyansk to tokmak, that

is, we will take it under control. well, with the help of we can already have a lot of land labor until land labor from rostovan, melitopol, rostov, mariupol, berdyansk, melitopol, therefore, there are about 15 , perhaps 20 km maximum left to complete such a task, and these are already these two tasks, that is, the conclusions of the crimean system bridge and until after we take under operational control er land er land er already supply lines this will already er bring the russians into the regime of such an operational encirclement and what's more the crimean part of the zaporozhye kherson region all this crimean kherson group will be an operational so-called operational environment, because this is the task that is worth it, and in principle, we will carry it out for the russians , it will indeed be problematic to conduct hostilities when there is fuel

, there will be no ammunition delivery, and on large ones, every kilometer every the tenth km increases the necessary amount of the same fuel , the ammunition is lighter, and there is about 500 km, that is , the shoulder on the pond is very long, therefore they are especially in the kherson region, in the kherson part zaporozhye region is in such a disadvantageous position, we will do it in poland. thank you, mr. colonel, for this extremely interesting and honest conversation . i will remind our tv viewers that i caught espresso on the air . a colonel of the armed forces of ukraine worked for them in the reserve, a military expert, roman svitan. the stairs are not mine for pain in the knees. try the dolgit cream , it relieves pain, reduces swelling and improves the mobility of the joints. you can also walk, the only

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game, watch the super match from boro and megogo , the war continues and not only on the territory, it is also and the war for minds russia is throwing millions of oil dollars to turn ukrainians into little russians ukraine is in the state of the highway dissection and analysis of information about ukraine by russian propagandists specific facts and methods by which enemy propaganda turns people into obedient zombie-like inhabitants of the people's republic of china we counter the information attacks of the russians in the project of the chronicle of information wars with olga laziness tuesday thursday friday at 17:10 on the espresso tv channel a collaborator a person who knowingly cooperates with the occupation authorities

to the detriment of their own country until recently these people they lived next to each other pretended to love ukraine our home school family is our only ukraine but in fact they were waiting for russian peace independence day on this day we honor our family we have traitors in our faces know what to punish watch the program of the collaborator every wednesday at 17:45 on espresso tv channel the war in ukraine the main topic for ukrainians is victories and losses, analysis and forecasts, politics and geopolitics, serhii rudenko and the guests of his program will talk about all this, people who have information and shape public opinion, people who defend ukraine and create the future is already the main and interesting thing in the program verdict by serhiy rudenko from monday

to friday at 8:00 p.m. repeat at 12:10 p.m. this is the 23rd separate rifle battalion of the armed forces of ukraine. now we are already in such a significant performance. we will get defense, the battalion is wedged in the defense of the orks in donetsk region and is holding positions right now, the military needs our help, the fighters need drones to lead the development and destroy the enemy on the approach, we will save each drone - this is the loss of the enemy and the saved life of our soldier, join the gathering let's show our soldiers that we are by their side. oleksandr morozov, a political scientist, a teacher at charles university, will be working on the espresso tv channel in the event. dear mr. oleksandr, i would first of all like to ask you about the forgiveness of the war scenarios and we understand . a couple of days ago, putin gathered to celebrate the victory in the second world war with a very loud anniversary in the 25th year, there is a feeling that despite the efforts of our western, eastern and

southern partners, i don't know, later they will move in the same direction that the murdered boris nimtsov described very well at the time on the first my we always carefully formulate some predictions regarding the war because there are many factors of uncertainty about the events of which you can't say anything yet, but nevertheless, there are at least three, three, that are obvious to everyone. it seems today that the circumstances that determine the contours of the near and middle immediate future are the first - that's what's small as it represents

from themselves , the war machine and the militarization machine of the return to peace, any kind of development. some kind of turn in the other direction. this is war. it must be taken into account that although the kremlin clearly expresses the hope that something in the west will crack, this will not happen. the european union will not change its position regarding support for ukraine. united states and the november elections in the usa it is unlikely that this word will change in this case, that is, it is even possible to confidently say that there is no such a strong enough alliance that, regardless of the change of governments, will act in the direction of supporting ukraine simply because that as boris boris johnson wrote in his famous column simply because putin's victory was complete

, and the war was completely unrehearsed. security and the third important fund included here is that there are different estimates of the resources that the kremlin has in order to continue the war uh, there is uh, circumvention of sanctions and so on. but still , uh, with uh, so to speak, uh, with a careful look, it is clear that there is a degradation of the russian economy and the russian uh, management system, uh, it is only unfolds before our eyes, as it were the best proof of this is that we are also beautiful and what is happening now in the generator, that is what it is. this is not self-evident evidence of the collapse of putin's management model, and he is not in the confident

position in which he was allowed in oh, yes, when aleksiriroval krym, he himself is in the second perfect position in relation to his own elites now, eh . he was ruining it now, as if the whole world could see the situation during the war, he had it as if there was a large group of generals accused of disloyalty in something, it is being investigated by the fsb, the military prosecutor's office, and so on this is to say that the clarity of management is part of the resources because not only economic resources determine the war but also human resources in this sense . this portrait of the barterization of the economy is quickly happening, that is, the inevitable withdrawal from the dollar and the euro and from global

currencies significantly complicates all economic communication is increasing but this increase is not strong enough to compensate for all the losses that the kremlin of the russian federation bears , so this is the third factor. the key story. why are we talking about a rebellion from prigozhina that he did not end up with a family lake. that is, everyone expected that certain actions would be held. instead, prigozhina was buried with certain honors. putin is now banking on this and this attempt to restrain his appetites or criminal fantasies, we also see that it failed, that is, i think that the generals decided well let it be but as it will be, we will go but the way it goes and no one wants to follow the path

of beauties, so to speak, the generals do not like to take risks , the story is not over yet i would say so because, yes, finally, eh, so to speak, inertia this is the place that putin, as it were, formed in the political system, it is very large , and accordingly, during two decades, all these generals and in general the entire right-wing elite, it is as if in business together with putin in all relations prigozhin himself, finally such a powerful explosion occurred within the system because they are all , and he is connected to them, he had a big mandate from putin , uh, well , let’s give only the scandinavian counterparts, even if it turned out to be more, he would have a mandate than, say, ramzan and kadyrov, and at the same time, he how would blow up all of this within him, such a strange explosion occurred, and putin has not completely gotten out of it yet, although really, we don’t even know what it will be until the end. how will it affect the military leadership

? will putin leave the country? or it won't be eh here eh he is in a bad position he can be wanted he eh in the old way he should have balanced will annoy the army, yes they annoy special services, but you can do it, you can’t, and this is one of the facts of the further treatment of the system. it is obvious that there are two. well, or 2.5 very good ones . one scenario - this is true if putin simply it disappears in the political scene , it just disappears . can someone from the alliance of russian military leaders go there ? so much so that in six months it will become possible this is one scenario and

then of course the most different perspectives arise which are not available now because then it is possible and who is the degree of longing for transformation of internal foreign policy and and and and and wars and it consists of the second good scenario concluded this is the moment when the entire russian political system is faced with the transfer of the war to its territory at the very beginning. that is, if 6 months ago it was said that there were some episodes in two three russian provinces , now this message is every day, that is , the drone war has acquired and not only drones and the war in

in general , how would eh tachki tidronova sabotage war took on such a character that penetrates very deeply the increase in uh, many people say that the kremlin is probably somehow able to develop some kind of anti-drone defense there , increase its air defense and so on this is the second front, conditionally they say there is a front, uh, literally wars on earth in the south and in the east , where a division of the armed forces is in the fight for the liberation of the occupied territory. of course, it can lead to the fact that putin's entourage will put the question before him, and he himself can start asking it with this question, which means that it must be followed, that is,

what is the next step? why, if the war if it spreads like this to the russian territory, then the kremlin will not be able to continue that rhetoric indefinitely. will stop working, and then another formula will appear , about which the kremlin propagandists were talking about the formation of the ethos of the great patriotic war. on the other side, we understand that the current war has already started and i don't know if they have enough internal forces to reformat the goals of the war, because when they called war and aggression against ukraine

how is it that there is something like that - it's one story, and here when they start talking about an existential war, well, we regularly read a drunken and not a drunken bear , that's an existential war, and that's something else for the saints, for sure, and i have to say here что как мне now represents the kremlin and will not withstand any kind of hospitality war, although he himself warms it up to this level, i completely agree with this, we see everything because medvedev's rhetoric is like a bearish warning, but the point is the kremlin will not withstand such a war, and even the demand for it, it means that it is used here . well, it is not a conventional weapon, there is a nuclear one, or even a biological weapon , that is, in order to fight, so it means to stop this war on its territory, it is somehow radical differs in its capabilities from what stalin had at the time of our nuclear blackmail, and

even khrushchev putin, to a large extent, has already lost the ability to blackmail with nuclear weapons, this is certainly very strongly felt in the international atmosphere because that at the time of the confrontation between the two systems, it all sounded more mysterious than it is now, when the possibility of these instruments of war is, as it were, in the hands of putin , it is incredibly weak, so i think that the expansion of this war on the territory of the russian territory will lead to that that the kremlin has overheated well, how could i not only the kremlin, but in general the entire bureaucracy and the entire part of this pure society that somehow serves the war. television can individually raise the degree of this absurd war, but i will ensure a high-social mobilization war. it cannot, at the moment, make such an impression, and it will not be able

to cope at all, well, so to speak, even with such large-scale organizational actions as a large one mobilization oleksandr , they stopped steaming, they all remind me of such a collective director of the museum of the second world war in russia, more precisely , great patriotic absolute ram, which corresponds to the same second historical analfet putin can't give elementary numbers and this is the director of the so-called central museum and putin is sitting there puffing himself up for him, but this is about the quality of the management circuit, but on the other hand, we understand that, as you rightly noted , this does not affect the decision of the bet on the decision of a criminal bunker, well, and accordingly, we are waiting for three genes солжный вопрос відведить что что пройлотный вспаском бастов , i don't know the submarine in moscow, the river that the drones

that cover the urals well, here it's free vorsta сейчас as if there are two such big facts here is the first factor, uh, the most important thing is that the puck went to putin to inspect the new land, the test site for nuclear weapons, and of course, you have read everything . a step that will also be an element , so to speak, the designation of further america, the first moment how it will affect further hmm, well, we do not know yet, it is clear that the answer to this will also be collected, so to speak, what it calls in a word, how would the global alliance fight with putin, he will react to it, and this is the first, second, in my opinion, the most important factor. here, it seems to many that it may not be very significant, but i think that it has a decisive importance. the restructuring of the position of a large number of countries that are not yet involved. yes, they have not been increased

in a clear isolation of putin. political isolation is what ukrainian diplomacy is trying to do actively. uh, what is going on is the struggle to change the position of such an important group of countries in southeast asia and uh, to redefine the position of the countries of latin america . the third po. it seems to me that the attention of the secretaries to the black sea is very strong and not unfounded. yes , because it is necessary to take an escalation of military actions in the black sea, most likely . the fundamental moment now, that is, no matter how putin says that the ukrainian contour offensive is effective, and they are not moving anywhere, this does not change anything

about the whole picture of the war compared to the fact that the creams lost the possibility of a military initiative at all, yes, there is such a thing - that's the general thing from the club that they're going to build their army up to a million to 9 million . putin, you can use nuclear weapons, but in reality, that is, they look at the picture of war and understand well that he doesn't have one how would it not be in the hands and here is this opportunity further with a little that what he wants so no matter how much putin now is not ego people there it’s ego inside there karaganov it’s easier experts didn’t write that ukraine should be destroyed in general there yes or something there is something in this city that there is no longer an instrument for this, and uh, that means it is not the degree , this is such a uh, such a tragedy of the 24th year , because uh, putin cannot stop the war, but he also has the tools to achieve further results because he has his own formulas

. no, this is a fundamental moment of the level absorption of corpses, we understand that there is such a crude sociological characteristic of a certain society, and we also understand that the task of the kremlin is putin's task, first of all, to convince the west that they can throw into the furnace of war a million two three well, we understand that , at one time, the west was shocked by the attitude of the russian command towards of the lives of russian soldiers, we understand that in the kremlin they started having fun, used prisoners , used contract workers from some remote mountain villages, and so on, but still they come to the conclusion that, well, 250 or 300,000 you you can't hide it just like that, and anyway, there is no social feedback in russia, there is no such political system from below, nothing is happening and will not happen on this , there is no big hope, the society will just stand up from

the war. the initiation of the displacement of putin, but the society itself, in their state, no one was displaced, will make some kind of radical transition to another state, but at the same time, it is still impossible for them to evaluate this growing fatigue you understand that drones can be played by two sides, not only the russian federation can make daily raids on our civilian infrastructure, that is, well, in response , it flies, flies, flies, and, accordingly , crawls into russia itself, and what does it take? well , they could force both the population and generality, the attack on the pskov airfield made a very big impression, including on the russian population, and the kremlin did not respond to this. this is an important point, after all, in

such a situation, the population, including mopskov region generally asks and where did it come from? how did it come? well, there was no answer, that is, the kremlin, they are in a position to publicly respond to the population, and that’s for sure. first , a large general made one raid on moscow-syty, then, as it were, on the pskov airfield, and here the last word has not been said , obviously what is there? well, there is still a lot of opportunity. we can see clearly that probably putin is not giving a break at the direction of the fsb, but since it is clear that there is such a scene , a hoax from opportunities, including hardware, that is, the fsb cannot cover there is not enough strength, it means that the personnel that putin has, all these special services, they are all thrown there to master the occupied territories , which means, accordingly, when the task is given , he will find out where drones are launched from russian territory.

it is necessary to deal with it and the fact is that this is the degree of the war that putin announced to the circling world. it is so large-scale that he does not have enough specialists, but not in the field of special forces. in the sphere of actual military action, this war means that it exceeds the capabilities of the russian federation , simply put. that's why every next person is lucky. that 's the war from the side of ukraine. it certainly has a very strong influence on the situation . effectively and actually speaking to everyone who looks at it, uh, i can clearly see, of course, by the reaction, we can see everything by the reaction of many european american experts who look at it, thought , look, say, yes, well, there, that’s what, well, it works, it works, and i think that understands his immediate environment and we can clearly see that in this immediate environment now there are no people who would come forward with some

strategic ideas , they cannot no, this is a routine, it will still lead to the mosel in the horizon, and here in the horizon of one year there is no expulsion of the kremlin, this will sound too strong, but it will lead to a very strong strengthening of ukraine and to no and to such a stopper and er such a dead end isolation, eh, means russia, even from itself , it is not like this will be a typical picture, unfortunately, i have to end our conversation , i am grateful to you, oleksandr, for this extremely interesting and informative conversation, and i want to remind our viewers that oleksandr morozov, a political scientist, a teacher at charles university, has been working hard for them right now the time of our program has run out stay tuned tv channels from the press my colleagues will inform you about all the most important events take care of yourself and

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