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tv   [untitled]    September 12, 2023 12:30am-1:01am EEST

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[000:00:00;00] under operational control eh land eh land eh already supply lines this already eh will lead the russians into the regime of such an operational rotation, and the crimean part of the zaporizhia kherson region, the whole crimean kherson group will be an operational so-called operational environment because this is the task and it is worth it, and we will, in principle, carry it out for the russians , it will indeed be problematic to introduce hostilities when there is fuel , there will be no ammunition delivery, but on big shoulders uh, every kilometer every tenth km increases the necessary amount of the same fuel, lighter ammunition, and there is about 500 km, that is, the shoulder on the pond is very long , therefore they are especially in kherson, uh, in the kherson part of the zaporozhye region , we are in such a disadvantageous position
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use thank you, mr. colonel, for this extraordinary and honest conversation , i will remind our viewers of what i did on the espresso broadcast, a colonel of the armed forces of ukraine worked for them, a military expert, roman svitanok, ran a cold immediately, and did not die. silver deflu silver silver colossus - against viruses and bacteria there are discounts on de plus silver spray 20% in pharmacies podorozhnyk to you and savings so that ukrainians don't think about so that they don't talk in the first place anyway war war and our victory only on espresso from monday monday, completely different spheres of human activity, sports, health, politics , the return of crimea, military analytics
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, nine presenters, journalists, experts , opinion leaders in real time about the most current events through the prism of war in author's projects on espresso hello, this is freedom in the morning, the informational project of radio svoboda, guests are here every day, this is the shipping district of kherson, the inclusion is live, we try out bahmut, we tell the main thing on weekdays at 9:00 a.m. this is a scary place and such places have appeared again
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in ukraine, we see them in liberated cities , torture camps, we know about them the existence of the russian peace in the occupied territories. if he had reached lviv again, it is very possible that this place would work again as a prison, as a place of destruction, unacceptable. who knows where i would be , where you would be, but now it is a museum at the cost of lives our soldiers at the cost of destruction, the price that is paid all of ukraine is a museum and let it remain a museum forever the war continues and not only for territories it is also a war for minds russia is throwing millions of oil dollars to turn ukrainians into little russians ukraine
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will become russia analysis and analysis of information about ukraine of russian propagandists specific facts and methods by which enemy propaganda turns people into obedient zombies union plans to vote residents of the ldr let's counter the information attacks of the russians in information war chronicle projects with olga len tuesday thursday friday at 17:10 on espresso tv channel vasyl zima's big broadcast two hours of air time two hours of your time two hours to learn about the war and what the world is like 2 hours to keep abreast of economic news and new sports for two hours in the company of favorite presenters, presenters who have become like-minded to many, as well as distinguished guests of the studio, events of the day in two hours , vasyl's big broadcast in winter, a project for smart and
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caring people in the evening, nayspresso, now on the air of the espresso tv channel, oleksandr will work morozov political scientist, lecturer at charles university in prague dear mr. oleksandr, i would first like to ask you about the forgiveness of the war scenarios and we understand that a couple of days ago , putin gathered to celebrate the victory in the second world war very loudly on the 25th anniversary, there is such a feeling that despite the efforts of our i do not know the western and eastern and southern partners will then move in that forvator which was very well described at one time by the murdered boris nimtsov at the first we always carefully formulate some predictions regarding er war because it has a lot of factors of uncertainty about the events of which you can't say anything yet, but nevertheless, there are at least three er three
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obvious to everyone, as it seems to me today , the circumstances that determine the contours of the near and medium term the future first is that little who doubts that as long as putin is in the kremlin, the war will continue and putin himself will not be able to end the war, and he will be in the closest environment now, as he himself represents the war machine and the machine militarization of the return to peace, none of them represents any development , they are all a boy, so to speak. this is the war. it must be taken into account that although the kremlin is clearly hoping that something will crack in the west, this will not happen. the european union will not change its position regarding support for ukraine, nor will the united states and november
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elections in the usa it is unlikely that in this case the word will change, that is, it is even possible to confidently say that there is no such a strong enough alliance that , regardless of the change of governments, will act in the direction of supporting ukraine simply because as you wrote, you give boris johnson of his well-known column simply because putin's victory in this war was absolutely not pleasant and a number of positions of the future of the european future and the global world in general and global security and the third important fund closed here is that there are different estimates of the resources that the kremlin has at its disposal in order to continue the war, and it should be said that although often, well, there was still a rather mournful mood, this is the account that the sanctions there are weak, that the uh, the west is not able to cut off the uh there is the circumvention of sanctions and so on, but even
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so, with a careful look, it is clear that the degradation of the russian economy and the russian administrative system is such that it turns to in our eyes and somehow better this is not a self -proclaimed evidence of some kind of managerial er collapse of the managerial model of putin, but he is not in the confident position in which he was allowed in the 14th year and when he annexed crimea, he himself is in the second perfect position in relation to his own elite now a-a and er-er there have never been so-so- such large-scale er-er shocking events as you have in this political system, where is he luckily everything was ruined now he has such a situation as it would be visible to the whole world and the situation during the war he has, as
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it were, a large group of generals is accused of disloyalty in something , it is being investigated by the fsb, the military prosecutor’s office and so on resources. but this is to say that the clarity of management is part of the resources , because not only economic resources determine the war, but also human resources, that is. and as for economic resources , the kremlin still makes a good one precisely with a bad game, in reality, such a picture of barterization of the economy occurs quite quickly, that is, the inevitable withdrawal from the dollar and the euro, and from global currencies significantly complicates the entire economic communication, the reorientation of the whole economy to the east, so-called, it is going very poorly, economists it shows well that all traffic to china is increasing. but this increase is not strong enough to compensate for all the losses that
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the kremlin of the russian federation bears, so here this is the third factor. the key story if we are talking about prigozhin’s rebellion is that it did not end with a single lake. that is, everyone expected that certain actions would be held . instead, prigozhin was buried with certain honors. putin is now banking on this and this is an attempt to curb his appetites or criminal fantasies . we can also see that it failed, that is, i think that the generals have decided well, let it be but as it will be, we will go but as it goes and no one wants to follow the path of beauties, so to speak, the generals do not like to take risks, the story is not over yet i would have said so because yes of course er so say the inertia of this place that putin, as it were, formed in the political system it is very large and accordingly during two decades two decades all these generals in general the entire right-wing top is as it were in business together with putin in all relations prigozhyn himself finally produced
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such a powerful explosion within this system because they are all and he is connected to them he had a big mandate from putin it turned out to be more and he would have a mandate than, say, ramzan and kadyrov, and at the same time, he somehow undermined all of this inside him, causing such a strange explosion. to the end of what will happen. what will happen next? it will be said to the military leadership . will putin leave the country ? i would uh, leave the parishioners by entering the top military leadership, so that it wouldn't be like that they will not annoy the army, yes, they annoy the special services, but you can do it, you can’t, and this is one of the facts of the further treatment of the system, it is obvious that there are
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two, so to speak, well, or 2.5 very good scenarios, one scenario - it's true if putin just disappears from the political scene, they simply disappear . can someone from the alliance of russian military leaders go there ? that everything is overheated so much so that in six months, this will become possible, this is one scenario . and then, of course, the most different perspectives arise , which are not available now, because then it is possible. this is the moment when russia's entire political and public system is faced with the transfer of the war to its
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territory at the very beginning. that is, if 6 months ago it was said that there were some episodes in two three russian provinces, then now this message is every day, that is , the drone war has acquired and not only drones and war, but in general, how would uh-uh tachki tidronova sabotage war took on such a character that very deeply penetrates uh-uh, in general , this is the very fabric of all these russian system and we do not know what will happen in three months in this regard everything that we see as a trend the increase in uh, many people say that well, probably there are creams somehow able to develop some kind of anti-drone protection there, increase the air defense and so on, he will strengthen his work in air defense, and he does it, but uh, nevertheless , we clearly see that here
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this second front is conditionally said to be a front, uh, literally wars on earth in the south and in the east , where a division of the ukrainian armed forces is in the fight for the liberation of the occupied territories . he of course, it can lead to the fact that putin's entourage will put the question before him, and he himself can start asking it with this question, which means that it must be followed, that is, what is the next step? why, if the war if it spreads like this to the russian territory, then the kremlin will not be able to continue that rhetoric indefinitely.
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will stop working, and then another formula will appear, about which the kremlin propagandists talked about, well, the most annoying kremlin propagandists, in particular , about the formation of the ethos of the war waged in the great patriotic war, and then they start again to start their slang about how their motherland would be in danger, and so on , but with on the other side, we understand that the current war has already started and i don't know if they have enough internal forces to reformat the goals of the war, because when they called war and aggression against ukraine as if there is some kind of sfo - it's one story and here when they start talking about an existential war, well, we regularly read a drunken and not a drunken bear, that's an existential war, and it's already something different for the saints, for sure, and so i have to say here что как мне предстант now the kremlin will not withstand any essential war
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, although he himself is heating it up to this level . it will withstand such a war and even the demand for it means that it is used here. well, it is not a conventional weapon, there is a nuclear one, or let’s say some kind of biological weapon , that is, in order to fight, yes, it means to stop this war on its territory, it is somehow radically different in to his capabilities, from what stalin had at the time of our nuclear blackmail, and even khrushchev, putin, to a considerable extent, has already lost the ability to blackmail with nuclear weapons, this is certainly very strongly felt in the international atmosphere because that at the time of the confrontation between the two systems, this increasingly sounded more mysterious than it is now, when the possibility of these instruments of war is, as it were, in the hands of putin , it is incredibly weak, so i think that
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the expansion of this war on the territory of the russian territory will lead to that that the kremlin is overheated well, how could i not only the kremlin, but in general the entire bureaucracy and the entire part of this pure society that somehow serves the war? television can raise the degree of this edistential war by individuals, but er, i will ensure a dissocial war of mobilization. yes, it cannot, er, at the moment, such an impression, and it will not be able to cope at all , well, so to speak, even with such large-scale organizational actions as a large mobilization oleksandr, they stopped steaming , they all remind me of such a collective director of the museum of the second world war in russia, more precisely, the great patriotic absolute ram, who
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does not correspond to the same second historical annalfet to putin can name elementary numbers and this is the director of the so-called central museum and putin sits there puffing himself up with shame for him , but this is about the quality of the management circuit, but on the other hand, we understand that, as you rightly noted, this does not affect the decision of the bet on the decision of the criminal bunker, well and accordingly we are waiting for three genes солжный вопрос відведить что что drone rescue tower i don't know a submarine in moscow river what drones covering the urals well here it's free vorsta сейчас how would two such big ones of the factors, here is the first factor , the essential factor is that the puck traveled to inspect the new land of the nuclear weapons test site, and of course they read everything. there will be some new step that
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will also be an element, so to speak, the designation of further america, the first moment how will it affect further hmm, well, we do not know yet, it is clear that the answer to this will be collections, so to speak, that calls the word as it were the global alliance eh fight with putin he will react to it and this is the first second eh in my opinion the most important factor here it seems to many it may not be very significant but i think it has a decisive importance a here is the restructuring of the position of a large number of countries that are not yet involved. yes, they have not been increased in a clear isolation of putin, political isolation , this is what is currently being done by ukrainian diplomacy actively. uh, what is going on is the struggle to change the position of such an important group of countries in southeast asia and uh, to redefine the position of the countries of latin america
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. the third po. it seems to me that the attention of the secretaries to the black sea is very strong and not business . yes, because it is necessary to take an escalation of military actions in the black sea, most likely. and if so , then putin cannot achieve military success in any way the fundamental moment now, that is, no matter how putin says that the ukrainian counteroffensive there is effective, and they are not moving anywhere, this does not change anything about the whole picture of the war compared to the fact that the creams lost the possibility of a military initiative at all, yes, there is such a thing there is a general fear that they will build up their army to a million to 9 million. putin , you can use nuclear weapons , but in reality, those who look at the picture of the war understand well that he does not have any.
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not in the hands, and here is the possibility of more than that, what he wants, therefore, no matter how much putin now, it is not his people, it is his ego , it is karaganov, it is easier for you. then in this country there is no longer any tools for this, and in this way it means that this is such a tragedy of the 24th year, because putin cannot stop the war, but he still has the tools to achieve the result that he ego formulates in him no, this is a fundamental moment, the level of absorption corpses, we understand that there is such a crude sociological characteristic of a certain society, and we also understand that, well, the task of the kremlin is putin's task to first of all convince the west that they can throw a million two three into the furnace of war. russian soldiers, we understand
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that they started having fun in the kremlin, used prisoners, used contractors from some of those remote mountain villages, and so on , but still they come to the conclusion that, well, 250 or 300,000 you can no longer hide it just like that, and still there is no social feedback in russia . there is no such political system from below. who will take the initiative to displace putin, but this society itself, in their state of this, no one has been displaced, will make some kind of radical transition to another state, but at the same time, it is still impossible for them to evaluate this growing fatigue you understand that drones can be played by two sides, not only the russian federation can make daily raids on our civilian
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infrastructure, that is, in response , it flies in, flies in, and new ones creep in, enters russia itself, and what does it take? well, they could force both the population and generality, the attack on the pskov airfield made a very big impression , including on the russian population, too, because the kremlin did not respond to this, this is an important point , after all, in such a situation, the population is the number of the pskov region generally asks and where did it come from? how did it come? well, there was no answer, that is, the kremlin is in a position to publicly respond to the population, and this is of course, but first , a large city made one raid on moscow, then, as it were, on the pskov airfield, and the last word has not been said here. it is obvious that there is still a lot of opportunity, we see well that probably
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putin gives not a break but an instruction from the fsb, but since it is clear that there is such a scene , a hoax about opportunities, including hardware ones, that is, the fsb cannot cover there is not enough strength, it means that the personnel that putin has, all these special services, they are all thrown there to master the occupied territories , which means, accordingly, when the task is given , find out where drones are launched from russian territory. they are not able to find the ends of their small, that is, they are busy it is necessary to do more, and the point is that this is the degree of the er war in general , which putin announced to the circling world. it is so large-scale that he does not have enough specialists, er, not in the special sphere, not in the in fact, military action means that the war exceeds the capabilities of the russian
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federation, simply put. therefore, every next successful person is the one who wants to. this is the war on the part of ukraine, and it definitely has a very strong influence on the situation. and actually speaking, everyone who looks at it, uh, i can clearly see, of course, by the reaction, we see everything by the reaction of many european american experts who played it, i think they look and say yes, well, there, that’s what, well, it works. works and i think that his immediate surroundings understand it. and we can clearly see that in this immediate environment. now there are no people who would come forward with some strategic ideas. they cannot. yes, there is someone who would come out and say, we know where the war is going from the outside . russia doesn’t have it, and if it doesn’t, it’s a routine, it will still lead to the moselle on the horizon, and here there is no expulsion of the kremlin in the horizon of one year, it will sound too strong, but it will lead to a very strong
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strengthening of ukraine and to no and to such a stopper and uh-uh, such a dead-end isolation uh-huh means russia, even by itself , it won’t be a typical picture, unfortunately, i have to end our conversation, i am grateful to you oleksandr for this extremely interesting and informative conversation, and i want to remind our tv viewers that now i have been working for them oleksandr morozov, political scientist, lecturer at charles university, the time of our program has run out , stay tuned to tv channels from the press my colleagues will inform you about all the most important events, take care of yourself and your loved ones . see you on the air. congratulations, we have very encouraging news about three brothers from the kherson region, whom we are trying to find, about nine-year-old yaroslav , 12-year-old valentin and 16-year-old sasha, the boys lived in the kherson region in the small village
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of krynky, this village came under occupation almost at the beginning of a full-scale invasion, and the brothers are officially wanted since february 23, all this time , nothing has been known about the boys. and now we have received very important information that gives us hope that everything is okay with the children. so, on to the service the search for children was addressed by a man who said that he now lives in poland but knows the speaker's family well. he used to be their neighbor . he said that he saw our program on youtube about the search for brothers and decided not to remain indifferent and help. the man contacted the boys' mother through the internet and she allegedly informed him that now she and her three sons live in russia, specifically in the krasnodar region, the woman wrote that everything is fine with yaroslav valentyn and sasha and they are with her. unfortunately
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, the husband did not manage to provide any more details to find out from the boys' mother, and of course we understand that this information has not been verified, but we passed it on to the police and thanked the man very much for his concern, because what he told in the end may actually help to establish the exact location of the speaker's brothers, we really hope that the information about the missing boys will be confirmed because despite the fact that now they are in russia, of course , the most important thing is that everything is fine with them and that they are really together with their mother , but until it becomes known for sure that this information is reliable, we will continue searches, so if you also know something about the mostyat brothers, can you suddenly help contact their mother , please inform us on the hotline at the short number 116 000 000, the calls are free. if you do not have the opportunity to call, write to our website or chat - bot of the child tracing service in telegram, we will be very grateful to you for
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any information about yaroslav valentyn and sasha mostiats, judging by the fact that the boys' mother told a caring man how the war started, we can assume that they left for russia voluntarily at the same time thousands of ukrainian children are deported to the aggressor country, as of now it is more than 19,000 of our boys and girls, the deportation of children is a component of the crime of genocide, so i want to note that if you know about any crime against a child, in particular about kidnapping or deportation , do not remain indifferent and immediately report this to the police or report to our site stopkraym.ua, you can do this anonymously if you wish, also in the kherson region and also in the first days of the full-scale invasion of russia this girl is missing. her name is liza galushko. she lived in the city of nova kakhovka, which was occupied immediately on february 24, 2022, and
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since that day , nothing is known about the fate of the girl. officially, she is considered missing, but i really hope that one of you recognizes liza and will help to find her or find out some information about her. so please look at the girl's face, she has a bright appearance , it is quite easy to remember her, and look especially carefully at liza's photo. i ask the residents of the temporarily occupied part of kherson the region, in particular, novaya kakhovka, where the girl was last seen. of course, ukrainian tv channels are not broadcast there, but there is hope that at least on the internet, on youtube or on facebook , residents of the left bank kherson oblast, who are currently under occupation, will see this video and be able to help in the search for lisa galushko, if you suddenly recognize the girl do not delay and immediately report to the hotline of the child tracing service at the number 116,000 , we have created a resource thanks to which you can

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