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tv   [untitled]    September 26, 2023 8:00pm-8:30pm EEST

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[000:00:00;00] my name is vasyl zima, two hours of airtime, two hours of your time, we will talk about the most important thing, two hours to learn about the war, serhiy izgurets joins our broadcast, the military results of the day, and what the world lives, what is there in the world, he will tell yuliy fizel, two hours to keep up with economic news, i will hand over the floor to oleksandr morchyvka, he will talk about the economy during the war and sports news, yevhen pastukhov is ready to talk about sports, two hours in the company of his favorite presenters, about the tour under lina cheshnina is ready to speak during the war. leaders, many of whom have become like family. maybe the weather will at least give us some optimism. mrs. natalka didenko is ready to tell us. and also distinguished guests of the studio. we will have volodymyr ogryzko today, if all goes well. events of the day, in two hours. vasyl winter's big broadcast. a project for smart and caring people. espresso in the evening. mykola veresen, vitaly portnikov and the main topics
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of the week. if , god forbid, a truly tactical nuclear weapon is used against ukraine, it will definitely change the world. stories, problems, analysis and personalities. john herbst, the former ambassador of the united states to ukraine, is waiting for us. good afternoon, thank you for the invitation. if you have questions, you will get answers. also interesting questions, worth looking into, portnikov veresen, every friday at 21:15 on espresso. greetings, this is svoboda la radio svoboda. we have already come to shock. news from the scene. live attacks of the snake itself. the following shots can kamikaze drones. political analytics, objectively and meaningfully. there is no political season, exclusive interviews, reports from the hottest points of the front. freedom life frankly and impartially.
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judgment conclusions. the same every day, every hour, every minute, we receive a large amount of information. the most anticipated event of the year, what is actually happening at the front, what are the losses of personnel and equipment on the battlefield. how does the international community evaluate our successes and what is moscow lying about? from the stream of news coming from everywhere, we single out the most important ones. the world is closely watching whether there will be weapons for ukraine and what kind, and what are the russian occupiers whispering about behind the commanders' backs? news, summaries of the week - this is a review of only important events, significant, reliable events, this is analytics, fact-checking, professional comments. about this and much more in today's issue. about important things, in simple language, available to all viewers. greetings, iryna koval is in the studio, and these are the results of the week on the espresso tv channel.
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news, summaries of the week, every saturday at 21:00 on espresso! glory to ukraine, this is the verdict program, my name is serhiy rudenko, i congratulate everyone and wish everyone good health, today in the program. attack on the ukrainian-romanian border. russian drones have flown to the international checkpoint. the west will again express concern. abrams is already in ukraine. takams is on the way, how will it change the situation on the front? the path to nato, whether the washington summit will be successful for ukraine. having demolished the fence to get into poland, belarus is again using migrants to destabilize the situation on the border with the eu. we will talk about this and other things during the next hour with our guests, this is yevhen dyky, a veteran of the russian-ukrainian war and
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the military. expert oleg katkov, chief editor of the defense agency. however, before starting our conversation, let's watch a video of the consequences of the russian night shelling of odesa. last night, the enemy once again attacked the danube region, odesa region, and in particular, the invaders targeted the orlivka international checkpoint on the border with romania. let's see. fugi că pică aici, uite o aici picat direct în vamă,
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capeți, luce b my nechale. for those who are currently watching us live on youtube, i suggest you take part in the survey. today we ask you about the following: nuclear weapons are wanted by ukraine, yes, no, and your option, please write in the comments below this video. i want to introduce our first guest, tsevgen dykiy, a former platoon commander of the aidar battalion, a veteran of the russian-ukrainian war. mr. yevgeny, i congratulate you, i am glad to see you on our air. mutually, glory to ukraine. glory to heroes. today, mr. yevgeny, shoigup said that the war in ukraine will continue until 2025 at the collegium of the ministry of murder of the russian federation, he said that we are calculating everything, our goals will be achieved by 2025, well, not in two or three days, no by
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two or three months, and it turns out in two or three years or even in four, what can you say about shoigu's intentions and plans, about the war until 2025, well, actually here... in my opinion, two in one, actually , on the one hand, this corresponds to their current strategy, er, which currently consists in waiting for trump, but they have already accepted the fact that with the level of support that the western world currently gives us, they have no chance, but they now set themselves the task of continuing this war until at the end of next year on according to their calculation, trump should return to power in america, who, again, according to their calculation, immediately turns off the faucet, stops supplying us with weapons, bull, and then they will finally bite us and show us, this is one dimension, that is, in them
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now their entire strategy , it is currently completely based on the fact that during the next year they do not even hope for any real gains, but they hope to hold on to the occupied territories and continue ... hostilities, until trump, until the second the coming, that is, they actually now have calculations for the second coming of trump, well, in reality, they are almost religious for the second coming, but secondly, i do not rule out that also in parallel, comrade shaigu shchey slandered freud a little, right in the fact that the russian narrative, which they are carefully planting in the west, and which is really perceived, which... comes in, is that russia is supposedly ready for a long, protracted war of resource depletion, and that in such a war, russia must necessarily wins, because it is ready to fight for decades, and ukraine
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and the west are not ready, in fact, the situation with the assessment of their resources shows that they do not have such a reserve of strength, which is actually how they already have many different things that seemed to be absolutely or prominent, which were accepted by the world, for example, about the second army of the world, just as a lot of such things turned out to be just a bluff, it seems absolutely the same with their readiness for a protracted war, and it seems to me that shaigu, if he did not want it himself, actually exposed how much they have there is really a resource left, what for in fact, they have to finish their grade by grade by the age of 25, because the resource simply ends there. well, you are talking about the fact that russia is running out of resources and will run out of resources by 2025, it seems that they have already
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reached the ceiling of their weapons capabilities, because today dmitry piskov, putin's press secretary, said that weapons capable of changing the balance of forces in the area of ​​the so-called special military operation, does this mean that russia has already achieved its capabilities, because as otherwise, it is difficult to understand that the ukrainian and russian armies are currently in a state of military-technical parity on the battlefield, if russia constantly talks about the fact that they still have a lot of weapons there, from moscow to the urals, which have been standing since the second world war . and peskov also said this about perite, i understand that this is not a quote about parity, it's just that. commentators are already commenting on this story, saying that it would be interesting if he really said that, it would be, well, no, well, look, i'm still against what's called rolling the lip, so
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it is a little too early to fall into euphoria and think that all the orcs have been exhausted, actually , we, following their example, know what happens if we greatly underestimate the shunt, but in general the picture is very different for different types of weapons, i.e. there are those types of weapons, according to which they are more or less able to maintain the current level, the current level of production, and accordingly the current level of combat use, for example, cruise missiles, but according to iskanders, daggers, the current level of actual use is already higher than the current level of production, that is, they they are melting little by little, as far as the winged ones are produced in them, that is how much is being produced, so much is flying for us, but that is, without a reserve, but with such a regular renewal, in terms of armored vehicles, in terms of artillery and in terms of anti-tank missiles, and here the situation in them is most similar to a catastrophic
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one , for example, in terms of tanks, we have already completely destroyed, put out of order, all these tanks that were in service with the russian armed forces at the time of the invasion, plus 40% of the very large storage warehouses that you mentioned, which are over there somewhere the urals, which were made during the third world war, you can imagine, that is, everything that was in the army plus 40 % of the reserve, and we destroyed it in one and a half years of the war, that is, what was left, it is for a maximum of one more year, yes, there is a certain percentage of renewal, but just after it is pathetic for armored vehicles, they produce a maximum of 20 new tanks per month, and up to 50 of them can be removed from conservation, well, here we have to explain for those who, let's say, imagine that when we read the numbers, there are 1,000 tanks in reserve, then it sat in them...
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the tankers suddenly left, but no, in fact, the tanks are from these long-term storage warehouses, they need to come to the plant first, not on their own, there they have to be very seriously serviced with the replacement of some units, and only after that they can continue on their own are going to fight, so the pace of this deconservation is up to 50 cars per month, and it seems to be their ceiling, and this is with three-shift work and so on. eh, that is , it is not people who are limiting in the first place, but spare parts, eh, 20 new ones are also theirs the limit is seven, that is, 70 new machines will arrive at the front every month, well, we are currently destroying about 200 machines per month , that is, this difference, it will grow and grow every month, in terms of artillery, their situation is even worse, they only produce up to 10 new saus per month, this is the highest estimate of all the ones known, eh , besides, they didn’t have anything left for conservation at all,
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only trailer guns were left for conservation, and they take them out of conservation, but they also just melt, because in that , well, our harps, on fortunately, we learned to shoot so accurately, so we compensate precisely with the accuracy of our artillery, their initial basic quantitative advantage in artillery, initially they had an order of magnitude advantage, currently we are really approaching parity and not because we have already given so much to the allies, but because we have already destroyed so many of them, that is, we do not, we do not so much raise ourselves to their level as we ground them to ours, and in fact this is what is generally called counter-battery fighting, or otherwise artillery duels, well, it is currently more begins to resemble the hunting of our armies for theirs, but with this they have, well, whether with bc to artillery and to armored vehicles, they also have big problems and on... a better manifestation of this,
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yes, well, according to the numbers, if, they have currently the rate of production is up to a million shells per year, they hope to increase it to 2 million , in another year, and at the same time, in one and a half years of this war , they have already spent 12 million shells, that is, the way they fight, well, the difference, you see, the difference 12 times what they are used to using and how much their industry able to give them, and actually a clear proof that i... with the bc they have huge problems, there were these recent dances with bubn around comrade kim jong un, you know, i didn't i never loved the soviet union, i'm happy that i took participation in its collapse, but at least the soviet union provided itself with weapons and also provided satellites , and to imagine that the general secretary of the central committee of the cpsu would ask the general secretary of the labor party of korea for bull
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observed, moreover, by the way they are there danced around ina, well, it was obvious how critical this need is for them, uh, but the situation is not in our favor, it is currently about drones, unfortunately the situation about drones is such that with long-range drones, the russian industry did not manage at all, they are not capable of producing them themselves, but unfortunately, iran stepped in, first mass deliveries of shaheeds, and now a license actually for the assembly of shaheeds in russia itself, and this assembly has already begun, i have already seen with my own eyes how ours are dismantling the knocked-down mine shaft, which is already on its own assembled in russia with a part of local... and for drones, close-range, they themselves set up production. the same lancet, it’s not some kind of super-duper weapon, to be honest, it’s a very mediocre product, but they produce them en masse, it’s a big assembly line production, we have a little bit of a problem
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with the fact that our drone engineers have developed a lot, really successful models, technologically we are several steps ahead of the russians, eh, but these are all small series, it seems that the country is full of kulibins, but not a single henry ford, who would be able to put it on a large conveyor, and if we are in the next few months, this is exactly the problem, i repeat once again, not engineering, not technological, everything is very good with this, but the problem of scaling production, if we are in a few we won't solve it for months, but with drones, they will already have a very significant advantage, so we have to really work on it. when piskov says that there are no weapons capable of changing the balance of forces on the russian-ukrainian front, we remember that russia was and remains owner and possessor of nuclear weapons , at the same time we understand that when he talks
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about weapons that can change the balance of power, he obviously does not take into account what is happening on the ukrainian-russian front. not yet the weapons we are waiting for, i.e. f16 fighters, maybe f35, in the future, i am very sorry to interrupt, but the prospect of the f35 would mean that we have at least another 10-15 years to fight, i still, hope it's not that bad, if they are talking about the 25th year, then maybe the f-35, we will still see in our skies, once again the f-35 is faster than 10 years is impossible. not to fall into childhood and without silly fantasies. and long-range attack missiles, that is, what they have in stock, the trump card, is nuclear weapons , we have what the west promised us, but the delivery of attack missiles is just beginning, and the f-16s will
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obviously arrive in the spring, will this change the balance of forces regarding weapons and our capabilities, because now it looks like piskov is not saying this, but we are saying that there is some parity on the front line, there is, there really is parity, uh, very very characteristically, just that he does not mention the nuke, which means that the west drew this red line bold enough, obvious enough for them, and they understand that the use of nukes will completely change the nature of this war, but at this point we will stop fighting... until themselves, and the west will intervene directly, and therefore they will not cross this border, and without a nuke, i would say that in fact, the only trump card they have left is the next waves of mobilization, that is the only thing they can really do to us to oppose a really significant one, it is
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only cannon fodder, but in a significant way quantities, we have already seen that precisely because of the slow pace of providing us with weapons, they managed to mobilize last year, but they were given such an opportunity, and this has already prolonged this war for more than a year, and that is exactly what they are currently and they calculate when they are making their plans, in anticipation of the second coming of trump, they are going to pour large waves of cannon fodder all this time and hold on to it, but at the moment there is already an order from the same shaygi, about the next 2,000 mobs, since the order is fresh , september, in reality , we will see these mobs at the front, well, somewhere not earlier than january, in fact, but we will see them someday, and this , a large enough number for this, nevertheless, in fact, this is what they are hoping for in the next waves of this mobilization and for filling us with meat, as for our prospects, yes , we hope to gnaw atakumse, we have already gnawed the planes anyway, now it is already
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a technical question, when they will actually fly, and well, such optimistic-realistic scenarios are spring . but let's not forget that it will arrive in small portions, the same atakums will not pour hundreds upon us at once, but the same will happen with planes, first one squadron will arrive, well, ideally maybe two, but by no means an air army, so all this will improve our capabilities, that’s all will be very helpful, but, well, there is no such and in the near future, there is no such, you know, what is called a silver bullet for a vampire, just the appearance of which immediately completely turned the entire course of the war, the course of the war will have to be turned, first, gradually, step by step, and secondly, still in first of all, the course of the war. as before, as from the very beginning, our boys and girls, our
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fighters, will be the first to break through, so what do you know, they say that this is a war of drones over there, an artillery war over there, well, with all the importance of both drones and artillery and very a lot of things, but it was and remains an infantry war, a war of soldiers, and i don’t think that it can change in such a close perspective, there is another nuance here, the fact is that the supply of weapons to us by our allies, it has there is one such very systematic error the government, as the white house actually thinks, let's give aid in moderation, let's give something else, and maybe this will finally be the last drop that will affect the russians, they will understand that the war cannot be won, so we need to sit down at the negotiating table and already to speak objectively, there about the output. there about the terms of peace, etc., well, it doesn’t work like that for the russians, but then the white house sighs and after a few months
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gives us something next, and again hopes, well, maybe at least this will be enough for putin to finally sit down and come to an agreement, not so for the russians works, on the contrary, it works as an immunization, but when we receive one type of weapon in turn, despite the fact that the entire nato doctrine is based on the simultaneous mass use of all this, then what happens is that, at the beginning of the war, remember which baraktars and javelins played a role, but it was simply a super weapon , and it greatly influenced the course of the first months of the war there, and then the russians adjusted, then the russians learned to fight with it, and now, well, they are not so scary, they are no longer baraktars jivylins, still helpful, but not terrible, khymars appeared, khymars really, the russians ' entire logistics broke down, they suddenly had 70 km
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from the entire front instead of 20 km of dangerous strip, well, kapets, okay, six months have passed, they learned, they moved their headquarters 70 km away, arranged logistics, yes longer, yes more difficult, more difficult, more flammability eats up, but still they continue to fight, and this is exactly what will happen if one type of weapon continues to advance one by one . that's why we proceed from the fact that each delivery brings our victory closer, but there is no such delivery that we have to wait for, and it immediately guarantees victory, today the deputy head of the security council of the russian federation, dmitry medvedev, said that it seems that russia is left with less and less choice, except for a direct conflict with nato on earth, which turned into an openly fascist block, well, there is this delusion about hitler's axes and something else. and that it is necessary to achieve the victory that was in 1945, that is, in its rhetoric, moscow does
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allow the possibility of a conflict, a direct of a conflict with nato on the ground, if they allow it, then the key word is in rhetoric, in rhetoric, let's not confuse their rhetoric for laughs with what they are really ready for, in reality they know perfectly well what will happen to them direct confrontation with the nato armies, they should, by the way, so to speak, they had, for example, in syria , when for some reason their internal showdowns there between the towers of the kremlin, the evil ones angered the wagners and gave the americans a signal through diplomatic channels that we are not there, well, they really didn't exist there, fight fight, that's the only straight line the battle between the americans and the russians lasted about an hour, the result was 200 killed wagners, not a single american was killed, this is such a great technological feat. precisely the difference between these two armies. the russians know this very well, and they will tell lakhterat everything
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they need to tell lakhterat, in fact , they will do everything in order not to enter into a direct conflict with nato. well, unfortunately for us, in this case the desire is mutual. the russians are madly afraid of a direct conflict with nato, but unfortunately for some reason nato is too is very afraid of direct conflict. therefore, we live in that reality in which they help us, but we will fight ourselves. another event that has been quite actively commented on during the last week is the relationship between poland and ukraine, the grain scandal, russian propagandists are very active in commenting on the statements of polish politicians who are currently in the pre-election parliamentary campaign, who said: well, then we will not supply weapons there, it means the one that was on the territory of poland, russian. bandits are comforted, by the way, this is already designed, how you know, by the polish authorities, i just want to show a fragment when
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a political analyst was invited to skabieva's program... rayba and he on the air with kabiev dispelled all the propaganda myths, that is, they wanted to fuel it with this, but it turned out that everything was not as they imagine themselves there in moscow. let's see. yakub, in short, this scandal may turn into the fact that poland will actually reduce the supply of weapons? well, first of all, over the past year and a half, ukraine from the point of view of polish interests has become... incredible result, but for about an hour now we are in the area not of the realization of a plan, but simply of the realization of a dream. ukraine has solved all our strategic problems, in this context we need to consider all other tactical details.
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naturally, no one will ever stop any support as long as ukraine performs the function that it performs, as long as our interests... will completely coincide, as long as they coincide in all directions, so there are no prerequisites for stopping every day that what ukraine erases russia's forces, increases poland's role in the region and generally changes the mechanics of international relations throughout central and eastern europe, thank you at least for the honesty. skabeva simply wiped herself and after everything that this polish expert said, well, it's clear that poland needs us, by the way, it's interesting what kind of polish expert is he who allows himself to be tuned into russian propaganda channels, but at the same time, speaking russian cuts the truth of the uterus, and at the same time, such that skebeeva probably did not know there at all,
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what to do, how to exclude him, because he said what is in principle. poland thinks, well, ukraine also understands the role of ukraine now for poland, and poland understands the role of ukraine for the whole region, of course, in connection with this, so just to finish these conversations, we have been discussing with internationals for several days , including, in your opinion, the role that ukraine is playing now both in the region and for the eastern eastern european states, does this mean that our path to nato, which we are going to, is very attractive for these countries and they will be our lobbyists despite all the grain, some scandals there, some misunderstandings with the hungarians, something else, well, they understand very well that ukraine will be for nato, that is, it is the eastern border with russia, well, let's take hungary out of parentheses, because it is
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absolutely another story, hungary is absolutely. virtually no longer a hidden ally of the russian federation, orban is the only full-fledged ally of putin within nato and the european union. this is a completely different story, this is actually a country that is formally in nato and in the eu, but in fact on the other side. as for the poles, czechs, slovaks, baltics, of course they will be our lobbyists in nato, but let me remind you that they already are, i will even remind you absolutely. disgusting material, i don't remember whether it was in the washington post or the new york times, but it was in one of these two, namely the newspapers that are affiliated with the democratic party in the states, after the villeneuve summit, when one of these newspapers , wrote with delight about the courage and resilience of biden, who stood up under the frantic
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, unprecedented pressure of the poles and lithuanians and i did not let us into nato, well, we now take out the brackets that it would be better to apply such stability of biden, here is not in which direction, but exactly what is, these, these, let's say, these salivanivtsi, all these figures who are afraid to let us into nato, in the states, that they were complaining about the unprecedented pressure of the lithuanians and poles, this is just very revealing, those countries are already our lobbyists in nato, and i think that they will remain so in the future, but with the eu , again with lithuania, the baltic states, i am sure, with poland, it will really depend, in particular, on nuances, namely, on what terms we will join the eu, specifically economic ones, there is indeed a direct conflict of interests of our two agricultural sectors, ours and the polish one, and when it comes to big money, here values ​​often

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