health, politics, the return of crimea, military analytics, nine presenters, journalists, experts, opinion leaders. in real time, about the most current: events through the prism of war in author's projects on espresso. there is a war going on, and not only for territories, it is also a war for minds. russia is throwing millions of petrodollars into turning ukrainians into little russians. ukraine will become analysis and analysis. about ukraine by russian propagandists, specific facts and methods by which enemy propaganda turns people into obedient zombies. by residents of the ldnr will vote for a historical reunion. let's counter the information attacks of the russians in the chronicles of information war project with olga len. tuesday, thursday-friday at 17:10 on espresso tv channel. every day, every hour, every minute we receive a large

amount of information. the most anticipated event of the year, which is actually happening on the front. what are the losses of personnel and equipment on the battlefield. how the international community evaluates our successes, and what moscow is lying about. from the stream of news coming from everywhere, we single out the most important the tweet closely monitors whether there will be weapons for ukraine and what kind, and what the russian occupiers are whispering about behind the commander's back. news, summaries of the week - this is an overview of only important events, important, reliable events, this is analytics, fact-checking, professional comments , about this and much more in the issue today, about important things in simple language, available to all viewers, congratulations, in the studio of iryna koval, and these are the results of the week on the espresso tv channel. news, summaries of the week, every saturday at 21:00 on espresso. saturdays every week. the club helps

to understand the processes taking place in ukraine and the world. vitaly portnikov, host of espresso and invited experts based on facts give their assessment and forecast of the development of events. if you want to understand how our today will affect our tomorrow, watch the saturday political club, every saturday on espresso. hello, this is svoboda ranok, an informational project of radio svoboda. top guests every day, this is the ship district, kherson, inclusion live. we are somewhere in the vicinity of bakhmut, we are telling the main thing. on weekdays at 9:00. vasyl winter's big broadcast. two hours of air time, two o'clock. of your time, two hours to

learn about the war and how the world lives, two hours to keep up with economic news and sports news. two hours in the company of favorite presenters, presenters who have become like family to many, as well as distinguished guests of the studio. events of the day in two hours. big broadcast of vasyl zima, a project for intelligent and caring people. espresso in the evening. our next guest is david handel, an israeli military expert. i congratulate you, dear mr. handelman, well, we are entering the winter campaign, although autumn has not ended, we understand, how fierce the battles are now, in particular in the south and east of our country, on the other hand, we understand that the russians are now starting to use their so-called strategic reserves, in particular the 18th and 25th armies, they are under-formed, under-staffed and

the use of the strategic reserve in general means that both with the personnel and with the so-called plugging of holes at the front, the russians are not all good, but this does not mean that the situation is easier than this, first of all, as you said, it is not winter yet, to begin with in principle, the autumn campaign will be over, the summer campaign can still continue, but in principle, as we see, even if the slow campaign will continue for some time, the so-called clock is ticking, that is, there are chances that there will be some major breakthroughs, major successes decrease, after this, perhaps, after some operational pause , perhaps even without it, if the ukrainian command decides to slow down, we move on, then the question is really a reserve, the very fact that 18-25 armies began to transfer, this is in principle, yes how many months... in

mainly on the mutual reserve, who still has enough reserve with russia for advancement we really see. at least according to the available information, the schedules for the formation of these armies have not been met, they began to be transferred faster, a positive factor in the sense that this means that the russians apparently do not have enough of those, let's see if the ukrainian command itself has enough reserves, from the ukrainian side we see information about the fact that 10 more new brigades are being formed now, there is also the question of the schedule, who should be prepared in october for... what the image is going to be used either to continue the continuous offensive, or in connection with the beginning, this will not unravel, after all , the ukrainian command will decide to take a break and rethink the next phase of the war, but we will see this when

the summer finally ends, not according to the calendar, but according to the climate, when the situation will really change, the autumn dew will come. dear david, the next phase of the war, which you mentioned, we understand that the so -called long war has begun. yes, the russians were not ready for it, he was not ready for it world. in principle, we have heard quite optimistic forecasts from one or another of our military experts, but the reality is as it is, very harsh, very bloody, and there is a feeling that putin is really trying to play the long game. on the other hand, a series of events occurred that were not expected either in the kremlin or in russia. the headquarters were definitely not waiting at the black sea occupation headquarters, which was defeated. the offensive itself, the strategic summer company of the ukrainian army had as its goal the difficult access to the shores of the sea of ​​azov with dissection

land corridor, the strategic goal of this exit was precisely to break the trend of turning this war into a long war of attrition in the style of iran. because in the event of the cutting of this land corridor, it would change the entire strategic situation at the front, which is what basically makes the southern direction different from all the others, because the entire front has the shape of a horseshoe and the only place where it is possible to break this horseshoe into two parts, let's say, it's a yoke, but if it doesn't work out, the war continues as it has been going on until now, that is indeed, it turns into an iran-orak war, in itself, the war on... is never beneficial to anyone, but in this case it is clear that it is much more disadvantageous to ukraine than to russia, because there are millions of refugees, missile airstrikes continue throughout the country, strikes continue in terms of infrastructure, industry, etc., and generally unclear

prospects for the state, how to continue state construction in such conditions, the russians, on the one hand, of course, did not plan in advance war, but after the fact that kiev did not succeed in 3 days, and even after the retreat from the kharkiv region, from the kherson region, in principle, if you take a couple of steps back and look, the situation of russia at the front is not so bad, there is no collapse of the front, there is no collapse of the russian army, the russian statehood, the enemies of moscow, in principle it is possible to fight, that is why all these plans and... long games, all these already announced plans until the twenty-sixth year for building up the armed forces, and we we see the expansion of the military industry and the already announced figures of the increase in military spending, indeed, russia is entering this long war of attrition in a better position

than ukraine, because even the same shelling, for example, affects only a few border areas, of course, no one deep in russia flies away, and the whole question really is how much longer it is possible to continue like this, especially considering that in terms of military equipment, ukraine is almost completely dependent on the western allies, that is, in simple words, it depends on as they see the goal of this war, it is far from the amount that ukraine would like for itself, for some decisive victories, this is all not enough, therefore, everything is precisely based not so much on the possibility as such, but on the intentions, in the case of the intentions of the western leaders, first of all, of the united states. and here again there are additional political points, we are entering the pre-election period in the united states, in principle any war is first of all a political matter, then a military one, but this concrete war is even more so, namely because ukraine is almost completely dependent on the western allies, they themselves do not fight

, so they are guided not so much by military reasons as by political reasons, so let's really see in which direction their true desires will go regarding what they see, which is called the end-game of this. .. which way is the war pushing, is it, for example, theoretically speaking , putting pressure on the ukrainian leadership so that it goes to something, or in the other direction they can theoretically say, what? let's say, even this summer offensive did not bring such results, as we wanted, but in principle the war is not yet lost, we will continue to supply weapons, for example, for the next summer offensive, we will allocate as much and so on, but all this should be decided first of all by the western leadership, it is not so much a military, but a political issue vopros, we still don’t know how the same abrams m1 tanks will be used, yes, but as if the process is going on, yes, i want to believe that their number will increase there, i don’t know, from a dozen

units to several hundreds, but it’s like you rightly noted, will depend significantly in terms of the plans of the united states, on the other hand, there are chances of receiving cassette etecoms, and here the key story is that america can overcome this psychological threshold, yes, because etecoms is extremely serious, although we understand the various modifications and so on, but as for the south, cassette attacks would be very, very good. in principle, you can say that i stretch my legs, the same as stormshadow, the scalps were also not placed, but they do not fully prove their usefulness, if you add more kms to them, an additional, additional plus, perhaps for ukraine in that there is no need to use airplanes for them, they are launched from land-based aimars, perhaps it will be easier for ukraine, in any case, not for nothing, ukraine has been asking for a long time from the kms, in principle not

easy yes, the united states has not yet given it, apparently both sides agree that it will bring a positive effect, and perhaps so positive that the united states is afraid of escalation, that is why they do not give it, that is, the very fact that it is not given shows that a lot is allocated to it importance, but on the other hand, it is still necessary to emphasize once again that this... some kind of miracle will not solve the war by itself, but there is another plus, an additional plus, let's say, the influence on the southern front, that there is too much far from the front, the russians still have the same ships, so they can’t pull them away, because sooner or later they won’t be able to withstand the sea, that’s why they have limitations, they can deliver tkms to all this depth, so we’ll really see if they will go to the front in next time, because everyone has information the day is coming, they already promised, no , they didn’t promise, in fact, they just didn’t give them... he says, but in any case , there was no application as such, apparently at the front, so we’ll see if they still arrive

and start be applied, then we will already be able to really see, not theoretically but practically, dear mr. handelman, and how do you think a breakthrough of the enemy's front line might look under the current circumstances, the battles are complicated by the fact that the entire territory, the entire perimeter is mined, and we understand that the russians, well, their key, main task is to stop the offensive impulse so that it may move to some of its own actions, perhaps a counter-offensive plan, but in any case we understand that russian logistics is collapsing, gradually, but collapsing, and if, for example , what is called the railway part of the tokmak will be destroyed, the russians may have additional big problems, after the first requests in june, when the ukrainian command saw what was true. it was not enough for some quick breakthrough, then the dilemma was whether to close

offensive in full, or to switch to the tactics of slow penetration, they decided that it is better to be slow than nothing, so now it is also difficult to expect that the russians will suddenly run out of strength, and this will allow some kind of quick breakthrough and access to the operational space, while the slow process continues penetration, also, in principle, a couple of hundred meters, according to the same principle, it is better to be slow, as for... in fact, if it was possible at least, then it could be considered partially, this offensive, about the transition of the counteroffensive for the russians just now it is far from a fact that if they have more or less enough for defense, for the offensive they need much more, first of all, military equipment, it is not a fact that they are now ready in this regard, especially if these 18-25 armies have already been successfully disorganized. rush to the front even at the stage of defense, it is not a fact that even if the ukrainian

offensive stops in the near future, and it is not a fact that the russians, purely physically, will soon be able to carry out some kind of massive offensive there, in other areas, as in and kupyansk and lymansk direction, we saw the offensive demands of the russians, there in general they have a rather large grouping in the summensko-mlembo direction , more than 100,000 and 800-900 tanks , etc. their chances of a russian offensive are not particularly high, but the problem for ukraine is that it is now... counting on the success of its own offensive, so let's see when it will finally end, how exactly it will end, what will be the achievements, even without that the russians immediately go on the offensive if, for example, there are no significant results. that is, the end of our offensive momentum does not mean that the russians have the forces and equipment, well, it is talking about

, i don’t know, personnel and additional mechanized units, thanks to which they could, for example, open... an additional section of the front, in general, we we see, the lemano-kupian axis that they wanted to form is basically stuck, but maybe they would start trying to roll out additional sections of the front, vopros gde zamin, now, in principle, the russians are now conducting a strategic defense operation in the south, they are also defending in the bakhmut direction, they are not conducting offensive offensives in the kupenskom area without much success. therefore, if they go somewhere to conduct an offensive action, it will be on one, on one of the active sections of the front, they are expected to open some new direction, for example, through the dnieper or through belarus, this is extremely unlikely, because in in principle, it is not particularly profitable from all sides in terms of logistics, first of all turn, so if they enter somewhere, then the simplest thing will be to increase the offensive demands

where they are already being conducted, that is, in the north-eastern kupyan, lyman direction. but let's see first of all how this phase of the war will end, after all, we still don't know how the ukrainian command wants to use these 10 brigades that are now preparing, perhaps they will want to launch, let's say, a permanent offensive, if the ukrainian command decides not to stop in winter свое наступление, then россияна всё еще will not be up to its offensive, if ukraine continues its offensive, then automatically the russians will be forced to defend themselves there, and perhaps they simply will not have enough strength for some other area for their own offensive, everything depends on the results and the desire of the ukrainian command, depending on these results, to continue or not to continue the offensive operation after the autumn break-up is possible even during it, well

, it is clear that it will be even slower than now if they want to work, if they talk about the use of mechanized units, in particular, well, we are talking about leopards and american abrams, we understand that there is a front line, it is mined, on the other hand, we understand that the guns and our fighters are working extremely successfully, i don’t know if it is interesting or not , just as this war once again shows that in this war quality is not so important as quantity, the main benefit is the leopards then from the abrams, when they do not give in... in some quality, how much they specifically shoot there and what are there millimeters of armor penetration and so on, the main quantity, even if it is a little worse than a tank, but even if there were more of them, this war will swallow up a different amount, in principle , even the same leopards, we have already seen them, they are also like any other tank, they too

they fight back, they also say that there is no such thing as a miracle of tanks, and the challengers will be the same, everything depends on the quantity, not on the quality , it’s purely here, again, it was not for a purely military political reason, and now if this 31 abrams is really finally coming, then it is clear that, if desired, the united states, unlike europe, where there really are not so many prisoners left , the united states could, if desired, take out of its pocket not 30, but 300 framers, and ukraine would find for them both tankers and mechanics and etc., but the united states do not want, they hold that this is why, in principle, the problem is even, in principle, there are two combined problems, one of them is that it is clear that in the conditions of the southern front, as they are, it is difficult to use large mechanized forces, but just that that there are not many tanks, this forces them to save more, if there were more of them, then perhaps the ukrainian command once again

thought about the possibility of some major breakthrough, but it is clear that there are several aspects at work at the same time in all these aspects, the totality was accepted the solution is mainly to act in small infantry groups, and armored vehicles mainly support them, but here and there we see a message that where it is possible, even if small units still use armored vehicles, let's see, really whether it will be possible to break through these lines of defense, to get more or less into the operational space , if it is possible at all in the conditions of such slow progress, we will see, but in any case, in general and as a whole, regarding the equipment , it should be emphasized once again that in this war... dear david, at one time you said an undoubtedly prophetic phrase, yes, the russians did not prepare and did not expect such a war. no one expected, in particular, it is about the situation in the sky, so we understand that the russians prevail, but despite this, our counteroffensive is developing, with

on the other hand, drones, unmanned, lethal, including naval ones, even drones, they are starting to play an increasingly important role, on the other hand, we understand , they are increasing the production of drones, i think they have already established the production of iranian products and not only iranian products, if speaking specifically . about drones, in general, if ukraine had an advantage at the beginning of the war, the russians lacked drones in the first place, again in the quantitative aspect, because in principle they had individual copies, operationally along the entire line, all that was they had what they needed, but it was trivially little, it was not enough for such a big war, so they urgently turned to iran , a few months after the start of the war, iran closed as much as possible, partially, of course, but closed the bottlenecks for the russians in this area, but then over the past time, russia has so developed this entire area of ​​drones of all types that

now it has basically bypassed ukraine at the turn, this whole topic of lancets and fpv, drones, russia has now already moved forward, if ukraine from its side will not spur his own opportunities, both in terms of production, and from... purchases and other things, in general , this, as it is, it is now a trend towards a war of drones is unfavorable for ukraine, joint production in poland, in principle, in ukraine itself if desired in a year and a half, it was also possible to create even an underground production, it is quite possible that this is also being done, for obvious reasons, it does not get into the open press, because immediately after this, russian gifts for this production are flying. it is clear that what is possible is being done, but if you look at it purely objectively indicators, how it looks at the front, russia has come forward, in your opinion, where

would the new minister of defense umerov and the new team of the ministry should make maximum efforts now, that is, in which areas of what is called the work of the ministry of defense, where should they speed up? in principle, of course, they themselves know everything very well, they have a list of tasks, but the ministry of defense... and in fact its task is not to fight, but to make everything for the army, the logic of planning, yes, yes, yes, everything that was called everything for the front, everything for victory, first of all, military production, including in cooperation with allies, precisely because if it is possible to transfer even a part of production abroad, where it will not be hit, this of course must be done, partially it is already being done, and even partially it has already been announced in the press , as danilov said that at least part of the missile... production of ukraine is carried out abroad, it is clear that what can be done is far away, not everything gets into the press, but the fact itself, if there are still reasons,

therefore, despite all the objective reasons, it means that it is necessary to strengthen even more, up to necessarily more science-intensive , let's say, the production of rockets for the same mortars, which at one time was not for nothing throughout the ukrainian army, with splashes on the internet , there were conversations about , that there is an extreme lack of mortars, the last one... we see a message about how, apparently, this topic has been taken up more actively, it seems that there are more of them, but in any case, i need to emphasize once again that mortars are not airplanes, not tanks , in principle, it is not difficult to produce i it is strange why such a topic of a shortage of mortars arose at all, it would seem that in the first hour it was possible to produce much more , it is clear that, in principle, everyone knows the list of tasks, the most simple thing remains is just to do it, it is clear that it is easy to say, but in principle , if you do not activate it, then no excuses will help, that it was difficult , they could not do it, they did not succeed, if ukraine loses, because of this, no one will be

interested in these excuses and explanations, finally, david, you see some prospect that russia can raise the level of escalation in one way or another, in particular, it may be about the use of ballistic missiles, in principle, ballistic missiles are already being used. iskanders, they exist both in the form of cruise missiles and ballistic missiles, now, in principle, this topic started an hour ago, now it has received a second wind, about the fact that, in addition to the shahedam, russia may purchase from iran also medium-range ballistic missiles range, possibly patakh 110 or zulfikar, an hour ago this topic was actively discussed, then apparently for these or other reasons... iran did not succeed, but next month the next restriction imposed on iran in terms of trade in missile weapons ends, on this topic it is quite possible

to expect that... maybe in the near future we are even if we hear news about iranian hockey for russia, if it is true, then it is unlikely that there will be individual copies, if there are already deliveries, most likely we will talk about at least dozens, if not hundreds, of iran in this area of ​​ballistic missiles, as well as in the field of drones, they have advanced very far since the 1980s, in particular because they have big problems with piloting, so they invested in other air areas, like ... that david handelman, an israeli military expert, was currently working for them on espresso. the time of our program has run out, stay with the espresso tv channel. my colleagues will analyze the most important events of the day.

take care and your loved ones, see you in broadcast, we are looking for 16-year-old artur drozdyk from the kherson region. the connection with the child was broken on the first day of the full-scale war, and during all this time there was no news about the boy. i really hope that everything is okay with artur, he doesn't get in touch exclusively. because of the occupation, because the boy met the war in the village of gornostaivka, which is the left bank of the kherson region, which is still not under the control of the country. therefore , i appeal to everyone who sees me now, and especially to the residents of gornostaivka and nearby settlements, who may be watching this program in social networks. look carefully at the boy's photo and remember this face. if anyone has seen arthur or knows where he might

be now, please get in touch. call us on the hotline of the magnolia children's search service at the short number 11630. calls from any ukrainian mobile operator are free. if it is not possible to call, write to the chatbot of the child search service in telegram. any information is important. this is just one story of a missing child. in general, since the beginning of the war, we have received almost 3,000 requests for help in tracing. fortunately, mostly more. the children have already been found, but the fate of many remains unknown, especially in the temporarily occupied territories, where the work of the police is virtually paralyzed, where it is impossible to leave and there are communication problems, anyone can help find the missing children, take just a minute of your time and come to the website of the magnolia children's search service, here you can view all the photos of the missing, who knows, maybe you

will recognize someone and in the end... help to find look at the photo: this is 15-year-old dmytro ganyukov, who also disappeared on the first day of the full-scale war in the kherson region. the boy lived in the kakhov district in the city of tavriysk, and imagine that since february 24 of last year, there was no news about him. therefore, i very much ask everyone to look carefully at dmytro's photo. he looks 15-16 years old. he has long dark hair and dark eyes. if anyone has seen him or knows where he might be, please call the magnolia children's helpline immediately. by short number 1163. calls from any ukrainian mobile operator are free. i also want to remind you that the search for nine-year-old nikita nikolaev from the town of rubizhna in the luhansk region is still ongoing. this settlement was occupied since may last year, but nikita disappeared already

this may. and in fact , nothing is known about the fate of the child for six months, so i really hope that thanks to your concern, the boy will be found. please look carefully at the photo again and try to remember nikita nikolaev's face. he has blue ones eyes and light blond hair, he looks like a nine-year-old boy. if suddenly someone has seen nikita, or at least knows something about his possible whereabouts, do not hesitate and dial from any. operator, the short number of the magnolia children's search service is 1163. calls are free. if it is suddenly not possible to call, write to the chatbot of the child search service in telegram. and i will ask for a moment of your attention. this is 12-year-old herman virchenko. the boy also lived in luhansk region in the city of svatove, which was also occupied in may 22. communication with this boy