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access to exclusive content, personal thanks, pinned comments, special icons and the possibility of personal communication with the espresso team. click sponsor and become part of the community with a ukrainian perspective. these are the chronicles of the hostilities, with ivan kyrychevsky, a military expert of defense-express, we continue to discuss the attempted offensive of the russians in the avdiyivka area, and actually what could this mean? ivan, look, well, that there will be an offensive in the avdiivka area , in principle it was clear from last week, well , at least no one came from the russians that they have such plans, we even in this program last week, i personally discussed that we should probably wait for an intensification of some hostilities there, but here is the question, is this a local offensive, do they have some local goal, or is it some kind of larger effort across the entire front?

do we have a connection i see i see we're having a little bit of a connection problem here maybe let's try let 's redial the thing is why am i even talking about this because anyway but oh well first of all, the russians do not stop their attempts to do something in the lyman area, in the kupiansk area, when they are constantly doing something there some forces are carrying out their offensive forces, moreover, there is a large group there, to say that there is a large group near avdiivka, well , it is probably not possible, but nevertheless, there are some, and there are also declarations of the russian generals, primarily there shoigu, who say that they recruited there too, formed reserves, recruited 300 or so, 20,000 volunteers there, and now they...

as if they have to demonstrate something, that they recruited these volunteers for something, what happened, well, it is clear that some of these volunteers were already killed during their attempts there fought near bakhmut, in the south, when they were forced to draw up troops to resist the ukrainian counteroffensive, there , well, it is known that they threw just newly recruited new brigades there, including those that they announce as volunteers, they went there were thrown, but one way or another, well, this is a constant attempt to carry out some offensive actions of its own , which could demonstrate, in the opinion of the russian leadership, that the russian army is capable of conducting offensives in general, and not just standing idly on the defensive, well, it is, it can to take place and this can continue

, obviously, the only question is how much strength they have for this, how much their declarations are real and how much, well, these are really threatening actions. for us eyes, because at the moment, we can only talk , well, this, foreign analysts say about this, that currently the russians can conduct defensive actions and, in principle, their character is all summer, all summer actions, these were primarily defensive actions, carried out by the russians, and now we see, now, after such an attempt, there are russians near kupyansk, we also see an attempt vorushitsy near avdiivka, and in principle, it is even a little clear why near avdiivka, because this enclave is very close to donetsk, and it is , well, let’s say this, probably an ideologically important position, that’s how ivan kryachevsky came back to us, the same

i'm actually asking, is it something local, does it have some other goals, or is it, well, a fragment of a larger effort, oh, a very good definition, after all, it is a fragment of a much larger effort, because on the one hand, here it has been shown quite a bit, that yesterday they decided to even write about their future campaign what avdiyivka said, this is the current situation of the russian army, which, to begin with, spent resources on its summer counteroffensive, which we may not have noticed, because after all, the fact that they constantly counterattacked near bakhmut, the fact that they constantly carried out some kind of assault counterattack actions in the south, well, plus, they still tried to advance in the summer... in the kupinsky and lyman directions, then it was not successful for themselves, well, after all, this should also be perceived as their counteroffensive operation , which failed unlike well, it is still too early to draw conclusions from our side, but obviously the russians are now preparing positions for what could be called

a conditional such a large offensive in the east, because as far as i remember, our general staff has not yet abandoned the qualification that the actions of the russians are in the east, they precisely aimed at occupying the entire territories of the luhansk and donetsk regions, and even if we take the situation there in general, it looks like the russians need to move to kupyansk and raisin precisely in order to ensure the northern flank for attack in the east, to attack the action itself, to surround it, they just need it, not just there, well, to capture a symbolically important city, to overcome our enclave very close to donetsk, but in general, to cut off the ledge, which as we can see there , that's what will form our lines around, well, defense lines around avdiivka, well, a plus as a bonus, of course, as there , as far as is known, the people of kadyriv very much like to bargain for broken scrap metal, but obviously, the avdiivka kokhsohim is interested in them as a source of scrap metal here, well, and of course that

taking into account the fact that the russians, at the same time, they are not sparing their efforts there, let's say so, on counterattacks near bakhmut and are not sparing the pace of the onslaught, as they are trying to storm and, well, attack on mariinsky. then it all really looks like part of such a large piece of effort. the russians have the appropriate array of forces and means for these efforts, because if their occupation group is only there, well, the front and, well, the first, second, and third lines of defense have 330,000 bayonets, not counting, let's say, their own gendarmerie, well that is, those forces that will simply ensure the occupation regime, there is a militia, what else can they have there, there are too many of them to... you know, to introduce such offensive actions while continuing the limited mobilization that they had, that they are currently conducting , moreover, to the extent that , as they approach new battles in the urbanized area, there may even be a situation where they will, let's call it, carry out

the concept of mobilization through wagnerization, that is, multiply various such small private military campaigns, well, what can we say yes, on the one hand, to repeat the twain success story in the labki, well, according to their standards, wagner, and on the other hand, to avoid the political problems created by the existence of the wagner pmk, which, in fact, created there, well, constituted two army corps, such as well-equipped, especially since it is still possible that the optics in the events could be confused, well, even this accentuation from our official sources that, well, the russians immediately transferred this unformed army to the front 25, forgive me, but if this one the army turned out to be capable of going on the offensive, so, unfortunately, they did not fulfill their plan to form this general military unit, even if it began to be implemented there only in december of last year, so this is a joke, there are reasons to qualify part of it such large-scale efforts, and unfortunately for the efforts in other areas, so that at the same time we do not have the opportunity to concentrate our efforts only on

the offensive, the russians also have, well, such an appropriate array of forces. well, with avdiivka, there is another complication that, in principle, it is true one, and probably the most. our position is really the most fortified, because there are many ditches, well, underground communications, well, that's really it, it's such an engineering structure. at its heart, that is, let's just let the audience understand that this is not just a thin line of cops, no, this is a completely different story, and uh, this story can be enough in terms of show that look how they can storm this is all business, because attempts to storm the way they stormed it in bakhmut, throwing, even there, according to wagner's principle, this is how they they say meat assaults, yes, well, this is not about this, not about this story, because

there have already been such attempts here and they failed, what can they count on next, that they have to change some of their tactics and, in principle, this change we are probably already observing a little bit of tactics, but what exactly is it, well, judging by what they will always return to it here and here, in my opinion, it is very much like there a little bit goes away. to the side, but just in the context of our events, especially even the story with that hamas there seems to be an underestimation to everyone, well, let's put it this way, i had to meet a good statement that everyone was shown that simply leaving the enemy there seems to be something disadvantageous, irrational to do something, well, it's wrong, well, because, so to speak, the russian style of waging war , he foresees approximately the same thing, that is, doing it as it is rationally unprofitable, accordingly, they may have even tried to change something there, that is , to advance exactly as the russian army was going to do it until february 2022, well, that is, rapid

such aggressive breakthroughs by mechanized convoys with the support of aviation and drones, well, because for example the number in the general staff report about 125 shot down and seven reconnaissance drones at once, clearly it did not just happen, but from the fact that the russians massed the use, so to speak, of their aviation assets, well, they did not succeeded, obviously they are even from this concept, that there should be small forces, but effective. they tried to attack yesterday and it didn't work, but obviously they will do as they are used to, that is, try to take the siege itself, try to intensify the shelling there, to try to recruit these new storms, other such, let's say, assault infantry , which is not a pity, let's call it that, well, all the more so that why the mechanism of private military companies is still preserved there, well, because try to mobilize or contract a person to sign up for such

, let's say this, if you hired a private military company, you are paid simple money, but as part of your contract you sign that you will go on this assault, they will obviously carry out this mechanism, there really is, as you very rightly noted that in the case of avdiivka, it is in kriprayon, a very powerful kriprayon, the power level of which cannot be compared with anything now, but on the other hand , let's note, maybe this is why the russians decided to abandon the assaults on the forehead of this fortified area, which were in the winter and spring of this year, there where the russians recruited as many as 30 formations of the level of a regiment, a brigade, they overtook a lot of heavy artillery here, they did not succeed, that is why they tried to leave and such a target, and apparently they will even continue to try to hit like that in order to capture, and then already when to continue the siege there and all that we will say, all the formats and techniques of hostilities that we could

observe on. when you talk about taking the audio unit into the environment, where it can happen, in which directions, because it is clear that this is the idea, that is , to sharpen, but well, if you look on the map, where is krasnogohorivka from, battles, this is part eh, precisely this attempt to surround avdiivka, and where are there other points that are, well, probably... well, i would say, dangerous at the moment, i think that they will just be to beat, to try, to try to beat where they beat yesterday too, that is, just to beat where in one point, well, just like that based on our logic, to beat in one point where it is irrational, because well, you can prepare, there, but to decide, they act just the opposite , that if the bat is the same there... then sooner or later you can break through, well, they simply did not demonstrate the ability to adjust their

strategy in such a way as to look for some ways around it, especially that they may even consider that they have some partial yesterday it was a success, all the more so because, for example, there is such a strange situation that the general staff claims that no position has been lost, well, but there are good people from the deep state resource, who are very professionally able to geologize the current battle line, say that a certain gray zone arose, as far as i recall, when a small gray zone appeared in the kupinsky-limansk direction, where three villages with 10 people were in this gray zone, it was perceived as not an administrative disaster. which was later corrected, that is, well, we can't, unfortunately, we can just say that all the efforts of the russians that they did there yesterday, that they did not give them any results, respectively, if they can see a result in it, they will just continue to do it in the same way, well, because they don’t know otherwise, what are the russians’ capabilities for some intervening

actions, not only in this area, in general, that is, however you would evaluate them, because the russians are talking about 320,000 volunteers there, who recruited, well, these are all conditional numbers, which are not serious no, you should not treat them, because they most likely do not correspond to reality, or it is already together with those who have already managed to fight, but nevertheless, what we have now on the battlefield, that we can somehow everything to identify and confirm this data, well, if we take the data that is available, then we can express the formula as follows: for the offensive, they have all the necessary resources, but in order to achieve the goals of the offensive, here is the question in fact it is open, well, because after all, if you take, well, this example, from yesterday's losses in defense equipment, why does he look quite optimistic, and maybe it gives some commentators a reason to hope for a positive

end to the case for us, well, because if you don't take it in general, the russians have 2,000 tanks left in the entire occupation group of them a thousand tanks are stuck in the kupnitsky direction, well, it is obviously so inefficient to lose tanks in the avdiiv direction, they cannot afford, er, 90 armored vehicles in one day, well , you know, two of them at this rate, if you take those data on the occupying forces that are known , well, they will be enough for two or three months of such losses, the next question is, therefore, if you proceed from the logic that, after all , the russians, after they try to take something by snoring, they it doesn’t work out, they are already moving... unfortunately the usual regime , that is, assault groups with limited support of armored vehicles, then the story arises that they will be able to enter into prolonged hostilities for a very long time, several months, but the result there will be so very slow , well, approximately how the wagner pvk advanced in urban development, this bakhmut, a hundred meters is roughly a week, well, that is, they have such

opportunities, here we just have to accept the story that although it seemed to us that the russians ' resource base there is completely undermined. is falling, but to accumulate strength for such a large, at least one offensive, or let's call it, one large offensive attempt in the east of ukraine, which may last several months there, even cover the winter period, they have what they will do after that, that is the question open because it looks like they decided with their resource base to go in abank, that is, either you are a master or you are gone, if roughly speaking, the western allies will already say something there about the formation of advantageous positions for us on the battlefield, well, it’s obvious, and how are these advantageous positions on the battlefield as a basis for negotiations and for negotiations it is possible now to accumulate everything they have there, how do they think of achieving their goals in the war, try to impose their own peace conditions , because, well, if they have some contracts or some plans for the military-industrial complex, the horizon is up to 2025, well they

they obviously understand that they won't be able to fight with the material and technical base that they have for years, yes, a year and a half, and if they start to advance so intensively, this base will narrow, so they will try to squeeze out a few months as much as possible , that will be able to, well, it seems to me, this is also, in principle, enough, if a pragmatic vision of the situation, because most likely in the next two months we will see attempts to advance in such clear directions, the kupyan-limansk one. avdiivskyi, it is still possible, well, who else, ughledarsk, i don't know, ivavansk, and go to the offensive in the south, well, because the logic is approximately such that if the enemy, well, if you look at it from the russian side, if the enemy counterattacks, after a certain time it is exhausted, then you have to go to your

counteroffensive, i.e. even try to attack our defensive positions, they will clearly try, well, all the more so, let's be honest, after a certain time, even if it is a couple of months, after achieving certain results in the south, our troops will be forced to take operational a pause for recovery, then the russians will also try what they call cutting off the flank, so the question is only, but i will repeat once again, here the question will simply be that they have the resources to go on the offensive, but not how many resources will achieve their goals goals, well, i think that they will do it in the near future, and we will soon see all their efforts, because this situation, when they are on the defensive, will drag on too much for them politically. and it simply becomes politically dangerous, that is, this offensive carries such a certain political one, it is an attempt by the kremlin to show that they have the strength to attack and that is why they... will now concentrate their forces, well, the next few weeks, and avdiyivka in this regard is just the beginning of this process, you have to understand it, it seems to me, so

i don't know, well, thanks to ivan kyrychevskyi, this is a defense express military expert, the situation, as you can see, has escalated again, precisely from the point of view of the russians, they have started offensive actions, well, we will, we will deter, well, what can i say? they have been beaten more than once, the equipment continues to destroy them, here are the last ones all their conversations about how ukrainian equipment burned there, now we can see how beautifully russian equipment will burn in large quantities, so watch the espresso tv channel, we will show you all this, we caught the virus, faith has faith in decasan, inhalation dekasan gets into the lungs where the virus is, dekasan works, faith rejoices, dekasan is an inhalation antidote to viruses and bacteria, and dekasan is indicated for angina, dekasan is an inhalation

antiseptic. icelandic moss, vitamin c - your power to fight cough and hoarseness icelandika has discounts on icelandika pastilles, 20% in the pharmacies of plantain, bam and ochad, there are discounts on nazoferon 15% in the pharmacies of travel bam taschad. what’s wrong, i drank an antibiotic, yes, i took an antibiotic, i drank a probiz, gavrila, you’re also sick, i’m sick, i drank an antibiotic, i got a probiz in your stomach, every week saturday’s political club helps to understand the processes taking place in ukraine and the world, vitaly portnikov, host of espresso and are invited based on the facts, they give their assessment and forecast of the development of events. do you want to understand how our today will affect ours tomorrow, see saturday politics club, every saturday

on espresso. greetings, this is svoboda live on radio svoboda. we have already come to the most serpentine. the following shots may shock you. news from the scene. live kamidze drone attacks. political analytics. objectively and meaningfully, there is no political season, exclusive interviews, reports from the hottest points of the front. freedom life frankly and impartially. you draw your own conclusions. see this week in the judicial control program with tatyana shustrova. honorable resignation. instead shameful dismissal. judges of dubious reputation should not have the option of honorable resignation. but who was lucky enough

to keep the benefits from the state. instead of them suffering a just punishment, we will pay a lifetime monetary benefit. on thursday, october 12, at 5:45 p.m., watch the judicial control program with tetyana shustrova on the tv channel. the roof is a project about feelings. home, about our roots, about identity, it was the children who built the house, behind us, my great-great-grandparents . what does old ukrainian architecture mean to us today? good architecture is not necessarily made with the participation of an architect. churches, mills, houses, mazankas, it depends on us whether these buildings will slowly fade into oblivion. a wooden church is a phenomenon, indeed, it is a nationwide village, it is still alive, will we still preserve our past? there is legislation, why doesn’t it work, we have democracy there, so it does as it wants, culture about ukrainian folk

architecture, its features and ways of salvation in a documentary series from the ukrainer project of the attic, on saturday at 11:15 a.m. espresso. we are looking for 16-year-old daryna zhuravel from the kherson region. imagine, the girl disappeared on the first day of the war, and until now there was no news about her. i know that when the full-scale invasion began, darina was in the city of nova kakhovka, which is still under occupation. maybe that's why the girl doesn't get in touch, so i 'm asking everyone, especially the residents of the left bank of the kherson region, who may be watching this program. look carefully at the photo of darina zhurravel and try to remember her face. if someone suddenly sees a 16-year-old girl, or you will know her possible

whereabouts. do not delay and immediately call us on the hotline of the magnolia children's search service at the short number 11630. calls from any ukrainian mobile operator are free. if it is not possible to get in touch by phone, write to the chatbot of the child tracing service in telegram. any information is important. i also want to remind you that we are continuing the search for 16-year-old karina kanivets, also from the kherson region. prose. her mother told us about the girl. imagine, a woman has not known anything about the fate of his daughter for more than five months. and i turned everywhere i could, i'm already shouting as much as i can, this is how they tied my hands and told me to swim, so i'm in this situation at the moment. it so happened that karina's parents separated long before the start of the war and lived separately, the girl lived with her mother on a permanent basis, but on the eve of the full-scale

invasion she was with her father, and when she came... russians found themselves in the occupied territory, from time to time, she says a woman, she corresponded with my daughter on social networks, but in april the connection with karina mysteriously broke off, the girl stopped logging into her accounts and no one knows where she is now, i already wrote everywhere, even here on this territory to search for a child, because i i don't know where they are shouting, how to find the child, i can't, i am an adequate mother, for me the child is mine... karina kanivets' mother is now also in the occupied territory, but continues to do everything in her power to find my daughter i want to appeal to everyone who saw or someone knows something about my child, who has been missing and stopped coming out since april 2023. this is skaryna igorevna konevets, date of birth, august 9, 2007. if

someone have seen karina kanivets, or do you know anything about her possible whereabouts, do not delay and immediately contact the magnolia children's search service at the short number 1163. calls from any ukrainian mobile operator are free if there is suddenly no connection and it is not possible to call us , write to the search service chatbot children in telegram. i am asking my beloved child that if she sees, hears me, she speaks up, i am really looking forward to it, thank you to everyone who can help. this is just one story of a missing child. in general, since the beginning of the war, we have received thousands of appeals for help in the search. fortunately, the vast majority of children have already been found, but the fate of many remains unknown, especially in the temporarily occupied territories, where the work of the police is practically paralyzed, where it is impossible to leave and there are communication problems. help from search

anyone can find missing children, take just a minute of your time and go to the website of the magnolia children's search service. here you can view all the photos of the missing. who knows, maybe you will recognize someone and eventually help find them. we have created a resource through which you can report any crime against a child. in any city, at any time. just go to the site and report, and we will launch all possible mechanisms to punish the criminal. stopcrime ua. join the community with a ukrainian view of the world. become a sponsor of the youtube channel. and this is access to exclusive content. personal thanks, pinned comments, special icons and

the possibility of personal communication with the espresso team: click sponsor and become part of the community with a ukrainian perspective. greetings to all viewers of the espresso channel, we are starting the information day with news. khrystyna perubiy works in the studio. half a billion dollars in aid for ukraine. these are the results of the meeting in the rammstein format. this was reported by the minister of defense rustem umyerov. with these funds, they plan to fully provide the armed forces for the winter period. it is about ammunition for anti-aircraft defense and artillery. they also plan to transfer additional air defense systems to nasams, as well as missiles and tanks. aviation weapons will also be strengthened. denmark has already announced the transfer of f-16 fighters to ukraine in the spring.