[000:00:00;00] this path is not logistically prepared, the occupiers demonstrated something like this somewhere in march, in february 2022, when they were still, well, undaunted, had no experience of defeat, but rather had just passed a certain training, here it can be completely omitted that for this attack the russians used those units that, for example, are recuperating after attempts to take avdiivka in winter or spring, have undergone training, or on the territory of the russian federation. or at those training grounds that were set up in the temporarily occupied part of the territory of ukraine, respectively you can see that this bet is precisely on aggressiveness, that is, to break through the breach, as it were, to eliminate this fear in your head of our anti-tank means or anti-drones, but somehow they have learned this during this time, well, how much of course they have learned, we can see from the results of their losses , well, in principle, this is also such a record figure for losses, i don’t remember such

photos for a long time... 34 tanks and more than 90 armored cars in a day, but the fact that the prepared occupiers left is unfortunately a fact, and if they left that's it for snoring and to take some more positions in they did not succeed, they will be charged, well, probably for such a long-term campaign, until the task is completed, because obviously the task there now is such that either the achievement of the goals set in the kremlin, well, or another general. well, let's go to a little commercial break now, and then we'll continue on the same topic, because i think this is the most interesting twist in the fighting that 's worth analyzing, so now the commercial is on the espresso channel, stay tuned, we will continue to analyze this situation avdiyivka, people and ideas that protect and create ukraine, the sixth carpatia forum, the future of tradition, ukrainian in the global

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21:15 vasyl winter's big broadcast, two hours of air time, two hours of your time, two hours. to learn about the war and how the world lives, two hours, to keep up with economic news and sports news, two hours in the company of favorite presenters, presenters who have become like family to many, as well as distinguished guests of the studio, the events of the day in two hours , vasyl zima's big broadcast, a project for the intelligent and those who care, in the evening at espresso, these are the chronicles of military operations with ivan kyrychevsky, a military expert of defenspress we continue to discuss the attempted offensive of the russians in the avdiyivka region, and actually what this could mean, here ivan, look, well, what will be the offensive in the avdiyivka region, in principle, it was clear since last week, well, at least

no one came from the russians, that they have such plans, we even in this program last week, i personally discussed that we should probably wait for an intensification of some hostilities there , but here is the question, is this a local offensive, do they have some local goal, or is it some kind of greater effort on the entire front? do we have a connection i see what, i see we're having a little bit of a connection problem here maybe let's try let's redial because the thing is why am i even talking about this because anyway , but first, the russians do not stop their attempts to do something in the area lyman, in the area of ​​kupyansk, where they are also constantly carrying out some forces , their offensive forces, moreover, there is a large group, to say that there is a large

group near avdiyivka, well, it is probably not possible, but nevertheless, there are some, and there are also declarations of the russian generals, first of all, there shoigo, who say that they recruited and formed there... the reserves recruited 300 or something like 20,000 volunteers, and now they seem to have to demonstrate something, what, they were recruiting these volunteers for something, what happened, well it is clear that part of these volunteers had already been killed during their attempts to fight there, near bakhmut, in the south, when they were forced to raise troops in order to resist... the ukrainian counteroffensive, it is well known that they just threw new recruits there , new brigades, including mobilized ones, and those that they announce as volunteers, they

threw there, but one way or another, well, this is a constant attempt to carry out some offensive actions of their own, which could demonstrate, in the opinion of the russian leadership, that the russian army is capable to conduct an offensive at all, not only to be silent in the defense, eh, well, this, this, this , this can take place and this, can continue, obviously, the only question is how much strength they have for this, how much their declarations are real and to what extent, well, these are really threatening actions for us, because at the moment, we can only say, well, that's what foreign analysts say about it. that currently the russians can conduct defensive actions and in principle their character is all summer, all summer actions, these were primarily defensive actions carried out by the russians, and here we see

now, here, after such an attempt, there are vorushitsi near kupyansk, here we also see an attempt of vorushitsi near avdiivka, and in principle it is even a little clear why near avdiivka, because this enclave is very close to donetsk and this one, well... well, let's say yes, probably an ideologically important position, that's how ivan kyryachevsky came back to us , i ask the same thing, is it something local, does it have some other goals, or is it, well, a fragment of a larger effort, oh, a very good definition, after all this is a fragment of a much larger effort, because on the one hand, it showed quite a bit that yesterday the rechistes themselves even wrote about their future campaign against the avidians, who said that in the current situation of the russian army, which, to begin with, spent resources on its summer counteroffensive, which we may not have noticed, because after all, that they constantly counterattacked near bakhmut, that they constantly carried out some

sort of assault counterattack actions in the south , well, plus, after all, they still tried to advance in the summer in the kupin and liman directions, then it was not successful for themselves, after all, it would have been worth it to be perceived also as their counteroffensive operation, which failed on the contrary. well, from our side, it is still too early to draw conclusions, but obviously the russians are now preparing positions for what could be called a conditional such a large offensive in the east, well , because as far as i remember, our general staff has not yet given up the qualification that the actions of the russians in the east , they are precisely aimed at occupying the entire territories of the luhansk and donetsk regions, and even, if you take the situation there, in general, it looks so that the russians need to move to kupyansk and raisin precisely in order to secure the northern flank for the offensive in the east, to attack the action itself, to encircle it, they just need it in order not only to capture a symbolically important city,

overcome ours in kryprayon very close to donetsk, but in general, to cut off the ledge , which, as we can see there, forms our lines around, well, the lines of defense around avdiivka, well, and also as a bonus, of course, as there, as far as it is known that the people of kadyriv really love it to bargain for a battered metallob, obviously the avdiyiv kokhsokhim, they are interested as a source of metallobt, well, of course, given the fact that the russians, at the same time, they do not spare their , let's say, counterattack efforts near bakhmut and do not spare the pace of the onslaught , how they are trying to storm and, well, attack in the mariinsky direction, the voglodar direction, it all really looks like a part of such a large fragment of efforts, the russians have an appropriate array of forces and means for these efforts, because if their occupying group only there, well, the front, and well, the first, the second, there on the third line of defense, there are 430,000 bayonets , not counting, let’s say, their own gendarmerie, well, that is, those... forces that simply ensure

the occupation regime, there is the militia, what do they have there there may still be, there are too many of them, unfortunately, to be able, you know, to conduct such offensive actions, continuing the limited mobilization that they were, that they are conducting now, moreover, to the extent that, to the extent that they will approach new battles in an urbanized area, it may even happen such a situation that they will, let's call it, carry out this concept of mobilization through wagnerization, well, that is, multiply various such small... private military campaigns, well, let's say, on the one hand, repeat the so-called success story in the pews, well, how by their standards, wagner's pmk, and on the other hand, to avoid the political problems created by the existence of wagner's pmk, which essentially created, well, constituted two army corps, such well-equipped ones, especially since it is still possible, which could to confuse the optics of the events, well, even this accentuation from our official sources about the fact that, well, the russians have transferred to the front 25 this unformed army, forgive me,

but if this army turned out to be capable of going on the offensive, well, it means that on unfortunately, the russians have fulfilled their plan for the formation of this general military unit, even if it began to be implemented there only in december of last year, so all this is in the air, there are reasons to qualify it as part of such a large-scale effort, and unfortunately for efforts on other areas, so that at the same time we do not have the opportunity to concentrate our efforts only on clothing, the russians also have, well, the appropriate array of forces, well, with avdiivka there is another complication, that in principle, it is really one, and probably the largest, most fortified really ours, our positions, because there are many trenches, well, underground communications , well, that’s really it, it’s such an engineering structure in its essence, that is, let’s just let the audience understand that it’s not just a thin line of cops, no, it’s completely different story, and this

story can be quite in that respect it's telling, look how they can storm this whole thing, because trying to storm the way they stormed it in bakhmut, throwing, even there, here according to the principle of wagner, here, as they say, meat storms, yes, that's not a bit about this, not about this story, because there have already been such attempts here and they failed, what can they do...' that they have to change some of their tactics and, in principle, we are probably already observing this change of tactics a little bit, but what exactly is she, well, judging by so far, they are all the same here they will come back and here, in my opinion, they are a little bit sidetracked, but just in the context of our pre-binding events, especially even the story with that hamas and the underestimation of everyone, as if, well, let's put it this way, i happened to come across a good statement,

that everyone has been shown that it is not profitable to simply leave the enemy there, it is irrational to do something, well, it is wrong , well, because if you were to say the style of russian warfare, it assumes roughly the same thing, that is, to do as it is rationally unprofitable, respectively , they are possible even they tried to change something there, that is, to advance exactly as the army of the ref was going to do it until february 2022, well, that is, rapid such aggressive breakthroughs by mechanized columns with the support of... drones, well , because, for example, the figure in the general staff report about the downed su -25, and seven reconnaissance drones at once, it clearly turned out not for nothing, but from the fact that the russians maximized the use of their aviation assets, well, they did not succeed, obviously, they even from this concept that there are small forces, but effectively, they tried to attack yesterday, it didn’t work out, well, obviously, they will do as they are used to, that is, they will try to take the ovidian siege itself, try to intensify the shelling there,

try to recruit these new storms, other such, let’s say, assault the infantry, which is not a pity, let's call it that, well, especially since why do they have a private mechanism. of military companies is still preserved, well, because try to sign up a mobilized or contracted person for such, let's put it this way, if you are hired by a private company, you will be paid simple money, but as part of your contract, you sign that you will go on this assault, they will obviously carry out this mechanism, indeed, as you very rightly noted, in the case of avdiivka, it is a fortified district, a very powerful fortified district, a level. .. power, which cannot be compared with anything now, but on the other hand, let’s note, maybe that is why the russians decided to abandon the assaults on the front of this fortified area, which were in the winter and spring of this year, where the russians gained as many as 30 units of regimental brigade level, they caught up with a lot of heavy artillery here , they didn't succeed, that's why they

tried to leave and that's how they aimed, and judging by this, they will even continue to try to hit like that in order to capture it. there is a siege and everything, let's say so, all the formats and methods of fighting that we could observe, when you talk about taking the audio player into the environment, where it can happen, in what directions, because it is clear that this is the idea , that is, to sharpen, but if you look at the map, where does krasnogohorivka come from? er, exactly of this attempt to encircle avdiivka, and where are there other points that are, well, probably , well, i would say, dangerous at the moment, i think that they will just hit,

try, try to hit where they beat, and yesterday, that is, just to beat where in one point, well, just like there, based on our logic, to beat in one place is irrational, because you can prepare there, but decide, they act just the opposite, what there if the bat is the same point, then early or late can be nailed, well, they are just up to that did not demonstrate the ability to adjust their strategy in such a way as to look for some workarounds, especially since they may even believe that they had some partial success yesterday, especially since, for example, there is such a strange situation that the general staff of claims that no position has been encountered, well, but there are good people from resursay, who are very professionally able to geologize the current line of conflict, say that a certain gray zone has arisen, as far as i can remember, that when there was just some small gray zone on in the kupinsky direction, where three villages per 100 people were in this gray zone, it was not perceived as an administrative disaster, which

was later corrected, that is, unfortunately, we cannot simply state that all the efforts of the russians that they made there yesterday , that they... didn't give them any result , respectively, if they can see the result in this, they will just continue to do it in the same way, because they don't know otherwise, what are the possibilities of the russians for some intervening actions, not only in this raini, in general, that is, how would you evaluate them, because the russians are talking about 320,000 volunteers who recruited, well, these are all conditional figures, which should not be taken seriously, because they do not correspond. most likely true, or it is already together with those who have already managed to fight, but nevertheless, what we have now on the battlefield, that we can somehow still identify and confirm this data, well, if we take those the data that are available, you can express

the formula like this, for coming on the offensive, they have it all the necessary resources, but in order to achieve the goals of the offensive, here the question is actually open, well, because everything is like that, if you take, well, this example, with yesterday's losses in armored vehicles, why does it look quite optimistic, well, maybe for some the commentator gives a reason in principle to hope for a positive conclusion to the case for us, well, because if we do not take it for granted that the russians have 2,000 tanks left throughout the occupation group, and of them a thousand tanks are stuck in the kupnitsky directions, well it is obviously so ineffective, they cannot afford to lose tanks in the avdiiv direction, er, 90 armored vehicles in one day, well , you know, they are two at such a rate, if you take the data on the occupation troops that are known, well, about two three months of such losses will be enough for them, further questions, therefore... and if we proceed from the logic that, after all, the russians , after they try to take something by snoring, they do not succeed, they move, very

usual for unfortunately, regime, that is, assault groups with limited support of armored vehicles, then here the story arises in such a way that they will be able to introduce long-term hostilities, for a very long time, several months, but the result there will be so very slow, well, approximately how the wagner pvk advanced in the urban development of this bakhmut, a hundred meters somewhere oriented for a week, well, that is, somewhere these are the possibilities, here we simply have to accept the story that , although it seemed to us that the russian resource base there was completely undermined, falling, but to accumulate strength for such a large, at least one offensive, or let's call it that, one large attempts to attack the east of ukraine, which may last several months there, even cover the winter period, they have what they will do after that, this is an open question, because it looks like they decided to go to abank with their resource base, that is, or mr. or disappeared, if roughly speaking, the western allies will already say something there about the formation of advantageous positions for us on the battlefield, it is obvious and how it is, well, advantageous positions

on the battlefield as a basis for negotiations and for negotiations, then it is possible now to accumulate everything , what they have, there as they think, to achieve unity on the battlefield, to try to impose their own peace conditions , because, well, if they have some kind of contracts or some planning for the military-industrial complex with a horizon of 2025, well, they obviously understand that fighting at that time is materially - the technical base that they have, for many years, they won’t be able to, for a year and a half , yes, and if they start to advance so intensively, then this base will narrow, so they will try to squeeze out as many months as possible, well, i think it is there is also in principle, it is enough if a pragmatic vision of the situation, because most likely in the next two months we will see attempts to advance in such clear directions, kupyan-lymansky,

avdiivsky, it is still possible, well, what ughledarsky, not i know, ivan, ugledarsky, and go to the offensive in the south, well, because the logic is approximately such that if the enemy, well , if you look at it from the russian side, if the enemy counterattacks, after a certain time it is exhausted, then you have to go into your counteroffensive, that is even try to attack our defensive positions there, they will try, well, all the more so, let's be honest, after a certain time, even if it is after a couple of months, after achieving certain results in the south, our troops will be forced to take an operational pause for recovery, then the russians will also try what they call cutting off the flank, so the only question is, but i will repeat it again, here the question will simply be that they will go to the offensive, they have the resources, but to what extent will the resources achieve the set goals , well i think they are will do in the near future and we will see it in the near future, we will see all their efforts, because this situation, when they are on the defensive, has politically dragged on too much for them and is simply becoming politically

dangerous, that is, this offensive has such a certain political er, it is an attempt the kremlin needs to show that they have the strength to attack, and that's why they will do it now with concentrated forces, well, the next few weeks, and avdiyivka in this regard is just the beginning of this process, you have to understand it, i think, but i don't know. well, thanks to ivan kyrychevskyi, this is a military expert from defense express, the situation, well, as you can see, has escalated again, precisely from the point of view of the russians, they have started offensive actions, well, we will, we will hold back, well, what can i say , they have been beaten more than once, their equipment continues to wear down, here are the last all their talk about how ukrainian equipment burned there, now we can see how beautifully it will burn... russian equipment in large quantities, so watch espresso tv channel, we

will show you all this. see this week in the judicial control program with tatyana shustrova honorable resignation instead of dishonorable dismissal. judges with dubious reputations should not be afforded the option of honorable resignation. but who was lucky enough to save benefits from the state? instead of they suffered a just punishment, we will pay a lifetime monetary benefit. greetings, you are watching judicial review, i am tetyana shustrova. every month, the supreme council of justice dismisses dozens of judges, and not all of them finish their careers after reaching 65 years of age. age also allows many to continue working health, but they prefer to leave the system with honors as soon as possible, and not to be fired for violations. after all, judicial resignation is not just a pension, it is the continuation of immunity and huge lifelong, monetary payments from

the state. all this, after working for 20 years, should only be received by the virtuous servants of themis, those who did not take bribes, did not abuse their position and observed the norms of judicial ethics, and in fact , those whose integrity is questionable often try to escape to an honorable retirement in order to make it impossible investigation of their activities, do not undergo a qualification evaluation and retain all the privileges of an honorable discharge. we continue to talk about the judges whom the vrp, instead of bringing to justice, sent to honorable retirement this year. in april , lyudmila harnyk, judge of the northern commercial court of appeal, resigned. she was one of the first judges to take the initial qualification assessment and failed. in 2016, the judge was unable to confirm her professional knowledge and ability

to administer justice. the qualification commission sent her for retraining to the national school of judges. even then, the members of the commission had a lot of questions about garnyk's fortune. in 2014, 3 million hryvnias appeared in the judge's accounts. she was never able to explain their origin. at first, she said that it was from the sale of the apartment, and it turned out that she sold the apartment a year later. at the next qualifying assessment. the version has changed, everything is very transparent, everything is very simple, i worked further for 20 years, even more, i worked a lawyer in odessa, my son also worked as a lawyer after graduating from the academy, and after coming to kyiv he also worked as a lawyer, i worked in a women's colony, i already have 40 years of experience

as a lawyer, and a leading lawyer in odessa. what does leading mean? a good lawyer. it should be noted that lyudmila garnyk worked with the judge since 2002, which means that in 2014 she simply could not earn millions while performing the work of a lawyer. the position of a judge prohibits working part-time. lyudmila garnyk has a luxurious house 335 km away, in the elite coastal village of sauvignon in odesa region. her income was only a salary, we rented and published this house , how it looks, there is a really chic estate near mine, with a move to kyiv, a beautiful woman who, judging by the declaration, had more or less savings, spending them on housing in the capital is not became,

simply privatized an office apartment for more than 100 km. i got the same apartment on chervonozorny, as a judge, and you later privatized it, privatized it, and we still use it. lyudmila harnyk is a candidate sciences, during the qualification assessment, she shares her thoughts. we will not even comment on it, we suggest you just listen. i came to a very interesting thought, why i wrote a scientific one. this, if there is a decision that has gained legal force, then this is an official decision, you are a candidate of sciences , yes, in the 10th year, americans, they are more, pitiful to their own, farmers, to

their own, here are these singles, everything is aimed there to... help this person, as it were, to get out of this situation. in 2016, the qualification commission recognized harnyk's professional level as insufficient for judicial proceedings and sent him to study. for almost five years, the judge was deprived of the right to work, until march 2021. however, all this time you and i as taxpayers continued to support an unprofessional judge. it is monthly. received her high judicial salary. from 2016 to 2020, lyudmila harnyk could be said to have simply received a salary without doing justice, and because she still could not pass the qualification assessment. as a result, she still passed it, her fortune