e aviation, missile systems, and what is actually happening near donetsk, a detailed analysis of the situation based on the facts of the week. we last saw the footage, which seems to be the uprising, back in february -march 2022. a huge column of russian vehicles is moving along a field road. the occupiers assembled this armored fist with one goal: to attack the neighborhood , create a threat to the city's encirclement, force our garrison to withdraw, and obviously report to putin about another great victory at the front. but will the russians succeed in this plan? facts of the week talked to experts, and soon they will answer this question. avdiivka did not become a front-line city on february 22, but much earlier, because the city has been fighting on its outskirts since 2014. in essence, the city is our outpost on the approaches to donetsk.

it is only 5 km from there to the resort of the regional center. the russian occupying forces launched an assault using the already familiar tactics of pinning the city from the flanks, cutting off the logistics of its defenders. they are currently approximately 3-3.5 km from the main road, which connects avdiyivka with the rest of tyla. and, well , what is 3 km in the war, it really is. to get everyone already gets it, and they get mortars, that is, it does not mean that they were able to completely destroy this route, but it became extremely difficult to use it, it is now approximately the same as in the last months of the defense of bakhmut, the route was through times, it was used until the last day, that is, until the last fighter came out of bakhmut, but for the last few months it was used only at night and very much so, let's say in an extreme mode, but for now here is such

a pleasant story with the avdiivskaya track, that is, they did not use it they were able to cut it, but they cut it put under serious threat. according to the reports of the ukrainian general staff, the main efforts, in addition to the attack directly on avdiyivka, the occupiers concentrated in the directions of tonenko, ceramic and pervomaisky. in avdiivka, they use tactics similar to tactics with bachmut, it is a firestorm, but they are not attacking head-on, they are trying to wear down the city from the flanks, as they did in solidar, so here. you know, to say that this is some new tactic, it's not a new tactic, it's just one of the tactics that's known, and we're fine with it understood, and our intelligence was doing well there, we knew that they would try to attack precisely from the flanks , so it was not the main force, but we deployed a sufficient number of forces and means, our armed forces were deployed on the flanks so that they would not succeed to do this, and so far they have not succeeded, while the russians are actively involving aviation to weaken ukrainian defenses with their

so-called high-precision weapons, guided bombs. this is still not the accuracy to which we have recently become accustomed when working with nato weapons, but how about orcs, this is relatively accurate, that is, it is no longer a plus-minus city, after all, a plus-minus square, at least some, so last summer they used the first such bombs, about 20 pieces per month, roughly speaking, they were on our heads . and currently, up to 20 such bombs are used in one evdiivka per day, that is, these are very powerful airstrikes , of course, and from what is already usual, of course it is supported by powerful artillery training, that is, in fact, it is not easy for our defenders to hold on there now, when such a person flies on the head, er, well, really, avdiivka - this is a very good fortified area.

meanwhile, their attempt, on the contrary, to break through the actual... the very airfield, it led to extremely bad results for them, that is, they thought that probably, well, they probably thought, here we can only predict, but that after such powerful airstrikes, actually everyone there they will only be hiding somewhere in the minks, they are worried about waiting for these airstrikes , they will not be met normally, well, they were not just met normally, they were spotted from drones a few kilometers away, when they actually just started moving towards our positions, met very fully and the result is very bright. and indeed, during the first days of the russian offensive, the occupiers lost up to three battalion-tactical groups according to the most cautious estimates, the researchers counted three dozen armored vehicles alone. but from which source did the russians get such a huge amount of iron ore, did our intelligence and intelligence

manage to restore the equipment and carry out a secret mobilization of new soldiers, or were they still forced to weaken other areas of the front. we remember that they had... well a large grouping remains in the liman-kupin direction, the same number of groupings in the uglidar direction is approximately the same, but it is this grouping that they may have removed from the kupin-limon area, which is unlikely, unlikely, this is the grouping that was there, it is not there are some additional resources or additional forces that they have added there at the expense of freshly mobilized or at the expense of some weapons depots. with heavy equipment, no, they had this group, they just narrowed the front line to 5-30 km so that it a relatively small, large section of the front can be made, well, such a powerful kuda. most likely, the russians are carrying out such powerful attacks in the avdiivka area with the aim of weakening

the ukrainian counteroffensive in the south, in particular, to remove the threat of encircling their troops and the loss of an important logistics center, tokmak. and now they are urgently looking for where we could create such a situation, where we would be forced to throw reserves, why they chose avdiivka for this, to be honest, it is a mystery to me, from my point of view it is not optimal for them the choice, precisely because it is a really very good fortified area, which they have not broken their teeth against, well, but for some reasons they decided for some reason that we will have to defend it, not only with the forces of the garrison that is there now, but also to throw there are still fresh brigades there, well, let's see, in order to surround avdiivka, the russians need reserves - the main question is where to get them, transferring new units from other areas of the front is not the best idea, because you can receive a blow in return, so most likely the situation around the city will remain the same heavy, but stable, well, heat

will remain, because they will now begin, well, they will not stop their offensive actions, but their intensity will certainly not increase, but they will begin now, well, this is not even a forecast - these are obvious things, they will begin to use artillery, aviation, and missile systems more actively , including, they will destroy mariupol, oh, mariupol, you see, mariupol , destroy avdiivka, as they did with bakhmut, turn, turn this city into ruins, and if we draw analogies with bakhmut, then this city even after his the temporary occupation continues to grind russian reserves, similarly the situation with avdiivka, the daily losses of russians in the war have doubled, the occupiers lose thousands of people every day only by being killed. pavlo vasiliev, weekly facts, single news.

chevrons approaching victory. and another year, when we do not celebrate, but choose our independence, and another day, when they try to deprive us of the right to be ourselves, and another fleeting moment of a terrible war, which has been going on for centuries, but the whole world is already convinced that dependence cannot be conquered, not drown, no burn, don't shoot, and the greater our hatred, the stronger our independence, the closer our victory, independence, we prove

every day, up-to-date data is the foundation for effective decisions, the state statistics service launches the first online survey, we collect information on the level of employment and unemployment among ukrainians, collected thanks to you, take part in the survey and become a part of significant government changes. to go to the survey page, just scan the qr code on the screen, easier than making your morning coffee, we are making a difference, for and thanks to each of you. do not scold your child for sitting with a smartphone, it is better to take care of his safety: the child is watching his favorite cartoon on your gadget. a notification appears on the screen: congratulations, you won a million, the child clicks on the link, the screen starts to flicker and fades, the child gets scared and hides it. your personal data goes

to fraudsters. to prevent this , install security programs on the gadgets used by the child. tell your child not to click on suspicious links. more. there is such an epithet of fairy tales: stupid, well, this if we translate the original literally, this is what they call people who do extremely stupid things, such as hamas terrorists, as it turned out, this enclave is actually completely dependent on israel, from where the palestinians received the lion's share of electricity, fuel, water and food, i.e. the necessities of life things when you don't want to spit on the hand that feeds you, but cut it off, well, that 's not even much of a shot, although on the other hand, hamas spits on their countrymen, you must

be wondering where they got so many rockets, edition the telegraph writes that the militants are digging up water pipes, stealing pipes and turning them into deadly weapons. such a trifle that it was the residents of the gas sector who received water through these pipes did not seem to bother them, fabulous fools, although perhaps from our bell tower it seems that hamas saws the branch on which it sits. and in fact, the action films fulfill their part of the global plan, who wrote it and what it foresees, the screenplay by alla chish. undercover games of politicians and secret agreements of the war of hamas against israel. a domino effect has been set in motion. will they meet in the great battle of the usa, iran and china? just. arms supplies and the kremlin, why did the news of evil

open a second front, this is what iran and putin wanted, and how will the escalation in the middle east ultimately affect ukraine? hamas militants shoot at toilet stalls at a music festival in israel. a creepy video appeared on the network at the end of this week. it shows the first shots of the attack. more than 250 people died then. then the rockets flew to telyaviv and other large cities in the south and center of the country. the violent attack of hamas on israel did not go unnoticed reactions sakhal struck the gas sector, and this response is a prize... until the next step on the part of the militants. a domino effect has been set in motion.

the events of one day set off a chain reaction. the parties began to look for allies, and not only in the near east, but also far beyond its borders. is the world on the threshold of the third world war? i will tell you about this soon, but until the key events of the last few days, in response to the atrocities of the palestinian islamist movement, israel dropped thousands of aerial bombs on the gaza strip. and announced the full blockade cutting off the sector from food, water, medicine, fuel and electricity, massive strikes leveled entire

districts. and the militants dug in the labyrinths of tunnels under gas. it turned out that there is a whole underground city. the israeli air force dropped leaflets on civilians urging them to evacuate during the day. however, according to the times of israel. hamas forbids the population from leaving, essentially holding it hostage, and after word of the upcoming ground operation, people did start to break through. israel defense forces tzahal deployed gas, infantry and armored units numbering several hundred thousand people on the border with the sector. the operation promises to be brutal and bloody, its goal is to eliminate ha for most of the countries of the persian gulf, this situation is such that they

are not ready to support hamas there, at the same time, if a ground operation in gaza begins, they will be forced to react . re-election, or israel will stage a brutal gas massacre there, which is far from endearing it to many quarters of the world, or israel will conduct some limited there. the situation is getting worse every hour, and in parallel with this there is a consolidation of forces around both camps. qatar threatens to cut off gas supplies to the world if the gas bombardment does not stop. and it is the largest exporter, which helped push russia out of the global market. pakistani officials promised the militants weapons. the pro-iranian islamist organization hezbollah has already intervened in the conflict. it

is shelling israel from lebanon. declares a possible full-scale intervention, and this a considerable resource. tens of thousands of fighters at least, tens of thousands of fighters at least, and they are trained fighters, that is, they are an army, they are not guerillas like hamas, if you saw how they entered israel, there were some running barefoot, they have rockets and rockets more more perfect than hamas. hamas makes them on its own, and hezbollah, thanks to lebanon of syria, received professional rockets of factory production, most likely, hezbollah will carry out its threats, invade the territory of israel from the north, pull all the militias that are on territories of syria, clashes may begin on the dutch heights. dutch height. at the same time , experts call iran the leading donor, supplier of weapons and ideologist of hamas.

he is also the main beneficiary of the conflict. there is even a version according to which iran, hezbollah and hamas. could jointly plan the invasion of israel. iran, one way or another involved in these operations , wants to consolidate er, the middle east around itself in this way, to use one of the pillars of the iranian strategic culture, islamism, and this, such a development of the situation is very dangerous, and scenarios the development of events will ultimately be largely determined by powerful players from other continents, and this has already escalated events in the middle east, the main strategic partner of israel, of course, the united states, and they did not delay with help and public statements. already now , one aircraft carrier group is stationed off the coast of israel, and the other is on its way there. aircraft carrier group in terms of combat power, like the army of iran. one aircraft carrier, so you understand, is more than the entire black sea

fleet of russia. the aircraft carrier gerald ford will lead the strike group. usa will accompany him guided-missile mortars and missile cruisers, and at the opposite pole, all this will be watched by china, which may volunteer to support iran. china will china will support any confrontations that will harm the authority of the us, it is beneficial to them, and no matter where and no matter with whom. for now, china is keeping its distance and pausing. but here it should be said that over the past few years, china has actively cooperated with iran, and visits to china and to iran, and accordingly, recently the visit of bashar al-assad, the syrian dictator to china, which also confirms that beijing is betting on this

shiid corridor and, in general, on this interaction with these countries. the key question is what could happen to trigger a major war and is it really possible? experts consider several scenarios: the first will be limited to a war between israel and hamas. it will not be an apocalyptic war for many months, because otherwise there israel will spoil its relations with many neighboring countries, and then the inclusion of lebanon is possible, the wider inclusion of iran is possible, but... not in the interests of israel and its arab neighbors above all countries of the persian gulf, so that this conflict lasts for a very long time and turns into such a bloody confrontation, in fact, as we now have in ukraine. the second scenario: hezbollah will be fully involved in the case, this process has already begun. then the war will bring much

more to the region. and will definitely drag on for a long time. however, there is a third scenario, it is the worst. this is when iran enters the war, because hezbollah is actually a proxy of iran, that is, people are trained by iran, armed by iran, they receive commands in advance and control them, realistically speaking, iranian generals. the question is whether iran itself as a country will enter the war, the probability of this is very small, but it is there. as soon as iran steps in, consider us in world war iii. in the sense that then the whole situation will only worsen, some countries will join, each will choose its own age. then it will immediately use its military might against iran. the united states, which is now just showing off its muscles. the united states is now trying its best to play a key role in normalization because it

feels that ground is being lost, which may russia can get in, sludovo arabia can get in. however, such a big war is not beneficial to either the west or iran, so, at least so far, this worst-case scenario is not so likely, tigeran is not interested in openly entering the war, but even. even russia learned from iran in proxy war, iran has its proxies, hezbollah, jihad, hamas, houthis, militias in iraq, why is this for iran, it is much more profitable to hand over weapons and drones to the militia, it will be much more profitable for it than to get involved and expose itself to world war. meanwhile, with a queue of potential mediators who will settle the conflict and receive dividends has already been sought, and do not believe in it. putin, one must call a spade a spade. knowing his methods, we can assume that he will want to liberate the russian-speaking palestinians next. in

relation to the gas sector, military and non-military measures can be taken . but the question that concerns us the most is how the new challenges in the middle east might affect us. after all, this is a shift of the world's focus of attention from ukraine and a possible decrease in military support. but the head of the pentagon lloyd austin has already declared that the united states is the most influential country in the world and it will be able to support both israel and ukraine at the same time and ironically added: we can walk and chew gum at the same time. but what are the facts of the week ictv - single news. guerrillas are not sleeping, this week's detonation of a 150 m long railway section in melitopol destroyed the logistics

of the occupiers. of course, temporarily, but still , for a certain time, the russians will not be able to deliver fuel and ammunition to the hot southern direction, where every day counts, and they will not be able to take them out of melitopol, from dniprorudny to... iron ore, grain. in general, the tactic of a thousand cuts marks the enemy quite strongly, on the black sea it simply turned into a bloodbath. this week it became known about the destruction of two more ships of the black sea fleet of the russian federation by ukrainian surface drones . it is known about the new patrol vessel pavel derzhavin, about the tug nikolay muuru, and sources. the security service of ukraine very cautiously reported the damage to the missile ship, the carrier of buyan calibers. western media generally write that ukraine

destroyed the black sea fleet of the russian federation, well, on the one hand, it sounds quite defiant, but on the other, russia really urgently takes its ships away from our shores. what does this mean, and whether ukraine really succeeds in turning the situation in the black sea on its own , kostyantyn pavlov explained. course of the ship moscow, a new attack on two ships of the russian federation at once. historical sou in the black sea. as a result, the russian fleet is expelled from sevastopol. it is safer for them to be somewhere in the baltic sea. will escape from ukrainian defense forces save russians? they are like there. moscow or makarov from essem simply become big targets. and what to do with caliber carriers hiding from our drones. first, the missile strike, secondly, we

analyzed the real situation in the black sea. a russian vessel, the large patrol ship pavel derzhavin, which entered service only two years ago, is on fire during the sevastopol raid. in addition to derzhavin, the tug professor nikolay muru was hit, say the naval forces. and this is a case of naval drones, a kid with experimental weapons. a joint operation of the sbu and the navy of ukraine. the news about a new successful attack by ukrainian surface drones on the black sea fleet of the russian federation immediately spread around the world and only intensified the talk that historic shifts are taking place in... russian ships, big and small, are fleeing to the west of the black sea, trying

to hide from our surface drones and missiles. but what can happen in sevastopol? and what, who can threaten us? no, no one can threaten us until it flies to the fleet headquarters. yes, it has started. only this fall, the russian navy received several such powerful blows that is no longer able to ensure the former control of the black sea water area. can use its fleet as intended by about 20-25 percent, well, a maximum of 30. according to our general staff, since the beginning of the full-scale war, russia has lost 20 ships and one submarine. at the event , they even announced the defeat of the black sea fleet of the russian federation, but let's analyze the situation in detail. have we really driven the russian sea rat to a dead end? let's look at the map. part of the ships

are occupiers. transferred to feodosia, but how we can see the distance from the unoccupied territory of ukraine, to sevastopol, to feodosia in the range of the scalp or storm shadow rocket. it is more difficult with novorossiysk, the distance is at least 350 km, and it is beyond the range of our missiles. but where the rocket does not reach , it swims up and hits the surface drone baby, its range is not disclosed, it is known that it is more than 800 km. but russian also ceased to be such, well, let’s say, a reasonable harbor for them, after the attacks on the ships, well , the handsome alelnegorsky, it was in novorossiy that some auxiliary ships were moved ships, and carriers are hummingbirds, the same ones that terrorize the southern regions of ukraine. at anchor, these missile boats and submarines scream at their barriers, so this is a task not for sea drones, but

for the air. it is a completely different thing to catch a ship on an external raid, it is a serious job, well, but with such work, you see, our military already copes. pavel derzhavin is a vivid example of the guard ship. the russian patrol ship pavel derzhavin surprised chinese analysts with its weapons hidden from view. and now he impressed even westerners analysts, because he was beaten on the outside. reredi sevastopol with our drones, which successfully overcame the floating barriers and did not even notice them, but we are returning to novorossiysk. so let's see, both baby drones and morok drones arrive in novorossiysk, the range of 800 km allows them to be launched even from boryspil, so the russians are already thinking about moving their fleet to occupied abkhazia.

development of ochamchirskyi. the occupiers have been working on the sea port for more than a year, but all they did was deepen the bottom to 10 m. well, you can put one, one, one big ship there, 10,000 tons, and about ten small ships, the implementation of elementary regulatory procedures there, i mean refueling and everything, and refueling ships it is necessary, which is true, not all ports are waiting for them, we will not supply your steamer. trying to maintain their influence in the black sea, the russian occupiers are engaged in their usual business - terrorism, in particular, they mine the grain corridor, that is, they drop drifting mines into the sea, which can drift along of our coast, in principle, because this is how the current is arranged, and of course they are like that, in this way they violate all international conventions, and of course, in case of mining, their only target remains civilian

ships. another insidious tactic is dropping guided aerial bombs there on the route of movement of this corridor of ours without russia, where they have placed these minefields, actually detonating these mines and they begin to drift over a much larger area. therefore, the solution for us is almost the only one, to send as many russian ships as possible after the cruiser moskva, while they about 15 were destroyed. in order for the fleet to be considered not combat-capable there, 40% of it must be destroyed , then what to do with caliber carriers and other vessels that hid as far as possible from our drones and missiles, such a hole must be dug that it would stand in the factory for six months .