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caring people. espresso in the evening. welcome to the espresso channel. today, our military program will be devoted to things related to both strategy and tactics. when we talk about strategy, we will try to assess the current situation in which the defense is now taking place and on. the entry of our army and why the next year of war, against the background of international changes, analysts are apt to consider as bringing a number of new challenges and mysteries for ukraine. and when it comes to tactics, then, or a little more broadly, it is about actions and the approaches of our armed forces, which can significantly increase the losses of the enemy on the front line, which is extremely important, it is about weapons and about training in certain directions, which essentially affect changes on the front line.

so we will talk about all this in different dimensions with leading experts and our military in the next issue of our military program. my name is serhii sgurets, i am the director of the information and consulting company defense express, which is currently working together with the espresso channel to highlight the most current trends in the defense system and the defense-industrial complex. and now we are joined by valentyn badarak, director of the army research center conversions and armaments, analyst and writer, mr. valentin, i congratulate you, i am glad to see and hear you, mr. serhiy, thank you for the invitation, congratulations, yes, i will start by saying that it is literally the day or two, such a large analytical report was published on ukrainform, which was written by academician volodymyr horbulin, and you, as the director of the center for the study of the army, disarmament conversion, and this report is called the military 24th year of the mystery

for ukraine, this report... actually outlines the current situation and prospects , i would like you to briefly summarize for our viewers what the main risks, challenges and puzzles are precisely for the defense of ukraine for the next year, well, you should probably start with that , that all this is happening, all events are taking place against the background of intensifying rivalry between the anti-western bloc, which is now led by china. and in fact the western democracies are under the flag of the united states of america. ukraine found itself right in the middle of this rivalry, with this war waged by russia, and therefore, strictly speaking, a lot depends on ukraine, because it both defends the eastern flank of nato and serves as a deterrent for china, therefore, it seems to me

that the western partners and the united states , in particular, well, they will do everything possible to prevent a reduction in aid, the first mystery, of course, is western aid, but the question is that the biden administration has been very, very, i would say limited in its capabilities for some time, we know there are now 5.2 billion remained as of the beginning of the war in israel, yes, october 7th, so this is the second puzzle, right , this is the possibility of escalation, the war in the middle east, and so with the first puzzle, it is important for us now, and we are all waiting for the election of the speaker of the house of representatives , it is very good that the candidacy of the republican jordan, who, as we know, expresses anti-ukrainian theses and is...

a trumpist supports trump and wants to stop aid, but it seems that he will not become the speaker, we hope so and still still we think that if the united states receives , and literally this friday, biden will address the congress with the intention to advance 100 billion dollars for three countries at once, about 60 billion for ukraine and the rest for israel and taiwan. if it succeeds now, it will mean that in the 24th year, well , one of the huge problems will be removed: related precisely to the reduction of western aid, although, of course, there may still be pitfalls and various currents during the preparation for presidential elections of the united states and can be used

any, any things, we know in the official document the integrated strategy for the development of ukraine, which the state department issued the other day , it was said for the first time in the official document that the states wish victory to ukraine, but, but in the end, there is a lot about corruption , and about the failure of the kyiv authorities, so the second mystery is the scaling of the war, and now at this moment, well, at the moment when a hospital in the gas sector was hit the other day, it could be said that china is somewhat losing, today together with all its supporters, the western bloc, but not all so simple, and the fact that the arab world seemed to distance itself from the west and there was a leveling of these efforts, in particular, the main node station - this, saudi arabia, israel did not happen,

it stopped and was frozen, but not everything has been said yet, the parties will fight, these two huge mysteries are the biggest for us right now, mr. valentin, then this raises the question of what ukraine itself should do in the preparation of the army and its defenses in order to adequately meet the risks and uncertainties that, relatively speaking, the next year may bring us, you in in your report, you write that there are opportunities for ukraine to achieve technological advantages through independent efforts, what is it about? well, definitely. it is not strictly about the 24th year, it is probably about the next five-year period, but big steps can be taken already in the 24th year, it is necessary to remove all restrictions for industry and provide opportunities

to work more confidently, at the same time to choose a model of industrial defense management, which is not yet available, unfortunately, where can i see now about halyny, the state now, well, there are moments where, no all the points have been fully worked out, we know about the audit service that interferes with the rocket industry, we know that the ministry of technology seems to have received new opportunities, but has not yet fully approached the creation of a model, and in particular, well, we proposed and consider these key points, urgently withdrawal of the entire missile industry from any subordination, except for the ministry of strategy and technology, well, i understand that, let's say, for kabeluch now, a layer in the form of the already updated ukroboronprom, there is no longer such a huge obstacle as before, but everything is equal, for

the times of growth have not come to the aviation industry either, and actually speaking, it needs to be removed from ukroboronprom, it is necessary... the creation of an institute of general designers, which are authorized, because today, i am the most vivid example, we have 200 companies engaged in drones, we have 30 types various drones, but at the same time the issue of shahed's analogue is not reached, right? further , the ministry of defense and all other ministries that are currently working in the field of national innovative solutions should proceed in such a way as to be the coordinator of the creation new, and not, strictly speaking, here's what's happening now, only what the industry offers is being considered, so far no one, let's take an example, let's say, a ground

robotic complex, we have 20 companies now offering, but these are developments that exist, but to create a new one, for example, to assemble, to take, a public -private partnership, to unite and take weapons, a complex of weapons that has already been made by kabeluch, to take basic, let's say... robots, robotic platforms, to take the best to select navigation systems, connection and so on, who has it to do, i think that this is the task of the ministry of strategy and industry, and the ministry of defense should buy what is already ready, they are so in principle and ready , and now the evaluation system is being refined, and we know that this is done jointly by the ministry of defense and the general staff, but we need to speed up the work regarding 340... that resolution, because there are many problems, a lot of problems , everything must be speeded up from months to days, and

mindratekhprom must clearly deal with military-technical cooperation, better times are coming to us now, they even agreed with france to make a big strategic plan, a drone, but for it to really be an already implemented project, a lot needs to be done in the administration... the defense industry needs to be accelerated and demarcated, demarcate the situation, i think there are two big streams, there should be financial, one stream ready for what the ministry of defense buys both in ukraine and abroad, and the second stream - this is all that the ministry of strategy and industry will do within the limits and development of its own technologies and within the limits of military-technical cooperation, where there will be large work-out projects. with such

by companies like right metal, like systems, and others, baicar maxina and so on, yes, this is what needs to be done, that is, there is a huge amount of work ahead, but it needs to be done very quickly, then something can happen, actually with the technological gap from russia, and you mentioned russia, i would like to ask your assessment of the plans of the enemies, because the language says, does it say that the 25th year will be decisive from the point of view of the... war, why the 25th year, which takes place in enemy, what are the approaches to the transformation of the defense industry, what should we pay attention to? well, the 25th year is a saying shoigu, we don't need to cling too much to this, because shoigu meant a political, political nuance, it was a political statement, because he himself is not sure of victory, we remember how he threw up his hands when his populist propagandist asked whether russia will win, he could not answer, and then he already started to say something there, saying that he is not a military man and he does not understand the situation that is happening in general

in the military sphere of russia, as far as the defense industry is concerned, of course it is easier there, because since the seventh year, a rosht has appeared, which is managed by putin's friend, who worked with him back in dresden and so uh, actually there's over 1,000 companies now in one hand and it's all done very quickly, what can they do, they're really focused on scaling everything, plus getting drone missiles from iran, for this shoigu went there in september and tried to come to an agreement there, and actually speaking, north korea will help as much as it can. ah, but in the end, russia is also exhaling, and despite the fact that

, despite the fact that there are still a lot of resources, formally, we called the 25th year, but formally russia can confidently fight for the next 3-5 years with these resources and with such approaches that exist now , in order to limit russia, it is necessary to introduce a complete ban on exports to this country, with the introduction of powerful secondary, a very classic example was this morning the message that kazakhstan has imposed sanctions and will refuse and will refuse the export of drones, already on the day kazakhstan, the leading ministry that deals with this, has already questioned it and says that no, we will use the general rules, as in the arms market and so on, this shows that many countries are wavering, are afraid, and need... a ban, a complete ban on exports, first from the side of the big seven, then the eu is supported, that is

for sure, and then it must grow under the influence of sanctions , even countries that are geographically close, through which russia still re-exports various machines, such as from turkey, south korea, and japan, will resort to this. there were such cases from germany and ending directly some microelectronics and so on, so the situation here is deadlocked with... but , well, still, the western world, under the understanding that the threats are growing, the 24th year is a huge increase in threats compared to the 23rd , and therefore i think that the nuts will be tightened more powerfully, and there will be a transition from sanctions to an export ban, this is inevitable, because without this

it will not be possible to restrain russia's industrial development. these are the forecasts. mr. valentin, we talked about what we now expect, what will be the volume of military or military and technical assistance from the united states and other countries of the west, but somehow the issue of security guarantees or guarantees of assistance for ukraine has been put on the back burner, whether, conditionally speaking, this component of the security guarantee for ukraine will be an important element that should be used by ukraine and what might be the potential reaction from our partners? it is a valid question, just yesterday i read what is happening already with the fifth country of the big seven, the negotiations, and for us the key countries here will definitely be the united states states, and the introduction of the israeli model, we have seen how it works, it works very powerfully, because even the ammunition that was intended for ukraine and was in warehouses in

israel, a sharp decision was made to hand them over to israel and everything that israel asks for, everything to them is quickly provided, literally, even launchers for their air-dom, and , that is, anti-missile defense systems, especially since israel has made great progress due to joint developments, actually with the united states, joint developments, so this model is very useful to us suitable, it is very important to us if we are going to go further, and besides the united states, we have strong agreements, primarily with great britain, with germany, i have less faith in france, because macron is constantly wavering, he said that the eu should prepare and to support ukraine for, in case of the arrival of the second macron, sorry, the second trump, but a few weeks later he

already said that if the states cannot help in full, then europe will not be able to... replace, yes, then these fluctuations changed again and now paris is us berlin started to catch up and just a few days ago announced that there will be huge aid in ammunition , production volumes will be tripled from thousands, well, three times more ammunition will be supplied per month from the 24th , i will not say the number so as not to make a mistake. and the production of caesar self-propelled artillery installations has been increased from two to eight, i understand that ukraine will also get enough there, so this is all very important, europe still understands the danger more than the politicians in the united states understand this, i am not here i'm talking about the administration biden, and that is why we see that security

guarantees for ukraine should be in place, i did not say anything about nato, because now it is time to talk about it. it is even inappropriate, it is appropriate to talk about technological advantages , arms supplies and the inclusion of ukraine in clubs for the development and production of new weapons, this can happen, and we should strive for it, demonstrating the fight against corruption, demonstrating transparency and readiness to work according to world rules. mr. valentin, thank you very much for your time, for your comments, for your evaluations, i would like to remind you that in valentyn badrrak was the host of the preso class. director of the army conversion and disarmament research center, analyst and writer. and then we will talk about other directions, which are already connected with the tactical actions of the armed forces, with the development of certain directions, but about this after the informational pause. they caught the virus, faith has faith in dikasan. inhaled

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operations, this is only an illustration of a much larger and more dangerous story, how in 30 years, the russian orthodox church in ukraine has evolved from agitators of the russian world to terrorists. if it were not for the activities of the russian orthodox church, there would be no war. we firmly know that russian peace and russian orthodoxy bring us war, death and ruins. vitaly portnikov is with you and we are talking about the main events of this week. vitaly portnikov and top experts about the most vivid events

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svoboda. top guests every day, this is the shipping district, kherson. turn on live. we are somewhere in the vicinity of bakhmut, we are telling the main thing. on weekdays at 9:00. the war in ukraine is the main thing. for ukrainians, victories and losses, analysis and forecasts, politics and geopolitics, serhiy rudenko and the guests of his program will talk about all this. people who have information and shape public opinion, people who defend ukraine and create the future is already now, the main and interesting thing in the program verdict by serhiy rudenko, from monday to friday at 8 p.m. 0:00 repeat at 12:10 we continue our military program and further we will talk about the actions and approaches

of the armed forces, which can substantially increase the losses of the enemy on the front line, which is extremely important, by the way, today the general staff reported that over the past day there was 1,380 occupiers were destroyed, these are actually colossal losses on the part of the enemy, and we understand that our snipers made their contribution to the losses of the enemy, and after this, of course, the question arises that it is also important to train snipers, increase the number of schools and provide them with modern means to destroy the enemy, how is this happening, what progress is currently in our state, we will talk about this with our next guest, and we will be joined by yuriy chornomorets, doctor of philosophical sciences, volunteer and sniper, mr. yurii, i congratulate you, glad to see and hear. good afternoon everyone , i would like you to tell us something about what has changed in these 19 months of hostilities, can we say that attention to snipers has become

has become bigger, that there are more schools training snipers of different levels, that the equipment has improved, what is happening, what dynamics are positive or neutral, or maybe some other, well, there is a positive dynamic in the fact that the state... western partners are also preparing retraining carry out a large number of snipers, that is, a large number of snipers are trained in ukraine, in the west, and also informally we also try to retrain snipers, and accordingly, in principle, these are the snipers that we personally provide, we handed over 216 rifles, and we were also able to put 160 state rifles in them, they are now effectively used more, because we put better sights on them and, accordingly, in total, it is more than 3.5 hundred snipers, who are now using

our help, but, let's say, here, just prepare people, it is not enough, i emphasize once again that it is necessary to study the 21st year, the experience of using sniper groups, special operations forces, based on the experience of ato, where it is said that it is necessary to create combat units of six to ten snipers, which would be a full-fledged cover, and scouts, and drones and the like , provided with everything that is necessary, because there are unfortunate cases, for me, for example, one battalion commander asked my sniper group in the kherson direction to take, carry out the task there , where their battalion is located, because the battalion suffered heavy losses from the enemy, four of my

professionals arrived at the head of the group, i.e. a total of five people, worked for a week, inflicted substantial losses on the enemy, the enemy completely lost its activity on this front, because the guys together with the local scouts from this battalion did all kinds of miracles and accordingly the enemy was completely demoralized, and then an unexpected question arose, on the last day when they left, it turned out that in this brigade... to which this battalion belonged, there were 32 full-time snipers, who were equipped with beautiful , absolutely gmentovka, who were maybe able to actually work day and night, but they said that there was no way to work on the battle line , behind the battle line and so on further, then my sniper group commander, who has been in the profession for 15 years, just

started shouting at the chief, the headquarters, what is this, i worked here for a week, here are my results, here are the results of my guys, your 32 beds are equipped with everything that the state gave, after all the training, they lie down and so on, that they could not buy thermal ponchos that would protect them from russian drones at night, that they could not do that on the 5-10th, and in order to be able to really function, here i want to say that it all depends on how experienced you are people lead these sniper groups below, how proactive they are, how much they can use this huge toolkit, because there are really such stupid approaches, when, on the contrary, the snipers have worked and only then the guys who are defending there are even more coming from artillery, mortars and

so on, and it would be better if they did not appear there, but it really happens that snipers are used as a high-precision surgical tool, but it all depends, again, on specific commanders, specific sniper groups, how experienced they are, how well they know how to use this tool, well, it also depends on the fact that there are good snipers in some areas of the front, but the command cannot understand that they should, let's say really... in autonomous groups, be formed and that they really had the opportunity to work autonomously, to cut tasks for themselves, to propose to the command, and in agreement with the command, to work very cool and accordingly then have results, now everywhere in the south, in the east, where these groups function, they perform a huge amount tasks, especially where the russians under kupyansk are pressing and trying to seize.

kupyansk, the most dangerous situation right now is even more dangerous than under avdiyivka, and we send a large number of guys there, for example, from the kherson direction, from other secondary directions, and there are results, because people act autonomously, they themselves know that to do, and accordingly they can act even in the composition, that it is just a sniper couple and already do miracles, and when they come there 6-10 people with an escort, then accordingly the results fantastic, unfortunately there are losses, because in the whole war we lost seven snipers, for these 200, even more snipers who are our subordinates, in the last 10 days we lost two snipers and yesterday we lost two more, but in general you you see, this survivability is absolutely fantastic for the front, that is, well, 11 killed per...