hero on saturday at 7:45 a.m. and at 11:45 a.m. in the only news marathon, i am a russian military ship, i propose to lay down a weapon, a military ship, the helm of ukraine, and celebrate the dawn of fate, ours will perish. like cross-country skiing

in the sun, with satan's brothers at our side, soul and body, we will lay down.

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icons and the possibility of personal communication with the espresso team. click sponsor and become part of the community with a ukrainian perspective. every week, the saturday political club helps to understand the processes taking place in ukraine and the world. vitaly portnikov, espresso presenter and invited experts give their assessment and forecast of the development of events based on facts. do you want to understand how our c will affect the our tomorrow, see saturday politics club, every saturday on espresso. vasyl winter's great ether. two hours of air time, two hours of your time, two hours to learn about the war and what the world is about. two hours to keep up with economic and sports news. two hours in the company of favorite presenters, presenters who have become many. relatives, as well as

distinguished guests of the studio, events of the day in two hours, vasyl zima's big broadcast, a project for intelligent and caring people. espresso in the evening. the war in ukraine is the main topic for ukrainians. victories and losses, analysis and forecasts, politics and geopolitics, serhii rudenko and the guests of his program will talk about all this. people who have information and shape public opinion. people defending ukraine and creating the future right now are the main and interesting thing in the verdict by serhiy rudenko program. from monday to friday at 20:00, repeat at 12:10. welcome to the espresso channel. today, our

military program will be devoted to things related to both strategy and tactics. when we talk about strategy, we will try to assess the current situation in which. and now the defense and offensive of our army is taking place and why the next year of war against the background of international changes, analysts are apt to consider as bringing a number of new challenges and mysteries for ukraine. and when it comes to tactics, then, or a little more broadly, it is about the actions and approaches of our armed forces, which can substantially increase the losses of the enemy on the front line, which is extremely important, it is both about weapons and about training in certain directions, which fundamentally affect changes on the front line. so we will talk about all this in different dimensions with leading experts and ours military personnel in the next issue of our military program. my name is serhiy sgurets, i am the director of the information and consulting company

defense express, which is currently working together with the espresso channel to highlight the most relevant trends in the defense system and the defense-industrial complex. and now valentyn badarak joins us. director of the center for the study of the army, conversions and disarmament, analyst and writer, mr. valentin, i congratulate you, i am glad to see and hear you, mr. sergey, thank you for the invitation, congratulations, yes, i will start with the fact that literally a day or two on ukrainform published such a large analytical report, which was written by academician volodymyr horbulin and you, as the director of the army research center on disarmament conversion, and this report is called the 24-year military mystery. for ukraine. this report actually outlines the current situation and prospects. i would like you to briefly summarize for our viewers, what are the main risks, challenges and mysteries, precisely for the defense of ukraine for the next year?

well, you must start with the fact that all this is happening, all events are happening in the background the aggravation of the rivalry between the western bloc, which is currently led by china, and actually the western democracies under, let's say, the flag of the united states of america, ukraine found itself right in the middle of this rivalry, with this war launched by russia, and therefore, strictly speaking, there is a lot from ukraine depends, because it both defends nato's eastern flank and serves as a deterrent. for china, therefore, it seems to me that the western partners and the united states, in particular, will do everything possible to prevent a reduction in aid, the first mystery, of course, is western aid, but the question is that

the biden administration has been very, very, i would say limited in its capabilities for some time, we know, there are now 5.2 billion left at the beginning of the war in israel , yes, october 7, so this is the second puzzle, right, this is the possibility of escalation, the war in the middle east, and so, with the first puzzle , it is important for us now, and we are all waiting for the election of the speaker of the house of representatives, it is very good that twice the candidacy of republican jordan, who, as we know, is anti-ukrainian, failed. theses and is a trumpist, supports trump and wants to end aid, but it seems that he will not become the speaker, we hope so and we still think that if the united states gets, and literally

today, friday, biden will address to the congress with the intention of advancing 100 billion dollars for three countries at once, for ukraine. 60 billion and the rest for israel and taiwan , if it succeeds now, it will mean that in the 24th year, one of the huge problems related to the reduction of western aid will be removed, although of course there there may still be pitfalls and various currents during the preparation for the presidential elections of the united states and any, any things may be used, we know in the official document, the integrated strategy for the development of ukraine, which the state department issued the other day, there for the first time... there was it is said in the official document that the states wish victory to ukraine, but, in the end, there is a lot to be said about

corruption and the underperformance of the kyiv authorities. so the second mystery is the scaling of the war, and now at this moment, well, at the moment, when a hospital was struck the other day in the gas sector, it was possible to say that china is losing somewhat, today, together with all its supporters, the western bloc, however, not everything is so simple, and the fact that the arab world seems to have begun to distance itself from the west, and there was a leveling these efforts, in particular the main node station, this , saudi arabia, israel, did not happen, stopped and froze this, but not everything is said yet, the parties will fight, these two huge mysteries are the biggest for us from now on, mr. valentine,

then, against this background, the question arises as to what ukraine itself should do in the preparation of both the army and its defense industry in order to adequately respond to the risks and uncertainties that , relatively speaking, the next year may bring us, in your report you write about what is opportunities for ukraine to achieve technological advantages through independent efforts. what is it about well, of course, it is not strictly about the 24th year, it is probably about the next five-year period, but big steps can be taken already in the 24th year, it is necessary to remove all restrictions, both for industry and to provide opportunities to work more confidently, at the same time it is necessary to choose a model of management of the defense industry, which it does not yet have, unfortunately, and where i see gaps now, the state now, well, there are moments where not

all moments have been fully worked out, we know about the audit service, which interferes with the rocket industry, we know that the ministry of technology seems to have received new opportunities, but has not yet fully approached the creation of a model, and in particular, well, we proposed and believe that these are the key points, the urgent withdrawal of the entire rocket industry with under any subordination, except for minstratekhprom, well, i understand that, let's say, for kabeluch, now the layer in the form of ukroboronprom, which has already been updated, is no longer such a huge obstacle as before, but all the same, the times of growth have not come for the aviation industry, and actually speaking, it is necessary to withdraw... from ukroboronprom , we need the creation of an institute of general designers, who are either

authorized, because today, i am the most vivid example, we have 200 companies engaged in drones, we have 30 types of various drones, but at the same time we do not the question of an analogue of shahed has been reached, yes, then the ministry of defense and all other ministries that are currently working in the field of innovative solutions should proceed in such a way as to be the coordinator of the creation of a new one, and not, as a matter of fact, what is happening now, only what the industry offers is considered, so far no one, let's take an example, let's say, a ground robotic complex, we have 20 companies now offering, but these are developments that already exist, and to create a new one, for example, to assemble, take , public-private

partnership, unite and take weapons, the weapons complex already made by kabeluch, take basic, let's say, robots, robotic platforms, take the best select systems of navigation, communication and so on, who should do it, i think it's up to minstratekhprom task, and the ministry of defense should buy what is already ready, they are in principle that way, and now the evaluation system is being refined, and uh, we know that this is done jointly by the ministry of defense and the general staff, but we need to speed up the work on resolution 345, because there there are many problems, a lot of problems, everything needs to be speeded up from months to days, and the ministry of strategy and industry needs to clearly deal with military-technical cooperation. better times are coming to us now, we even agreed with france to make a big strategic

plan, an unmanned aerial vehicle, but for this to really be an already implemented project, a lot needs to be done in the administration of the defense industry, it is necessary to speed up and demarcate, demarcate the situation, i believe two large streams should be financial, one stream for the ready-made, which is bought by the ministry of defense and in to ukraine and beyond, and the second stream - this is all that the minstratekhprom will do within the limits and development of its own technologies and within the limits of military-technical... cooperation, where large projects will be worked out with such companies as rain metal, as baye systems, well and others, bayikarina and so on, yes, this is what needs to be done, that is, there is a huge amount of work ahead, but it needs to be done very quickly, then something may actually happen with a technological gap from russia, and you

mentioned russia, i would like to ask your opinion regarding the plans of the enemies, because linguistically they say that his... about the fact that the 25th year will be decisive from the point of view of the end of the war, why the 25th year, what is happening with the enemy, what are the approaches to the transformation of the defense industry, what should we pay attention to? well, the 25th year is a saying of shoigu, we don't need to cling too much to it, because sheigu had in mind a political, political nuance, it was a political saying, because he himself is not sure of victory, we remember how he threw up his hands , when popov asked him, this propagandist asked if russia would win, he did not answer, and then he already started something there to say, he is not a military person and he does not understand the situation that is happening in general in the military sphere of russia, as far as the defense industry is concerned, there, of course, it is easier, because since the seventh year there has been a rosth, which is run by a friend of putin, who

with he worked with him in dresden. eh and eh so actually there are over 1000 companies now in the same hands and it's very fast everything is done what can they do they are really aiming to scale everything plus get drone missiles from iran for this shoyug went there, in september and tried to negotiate there, and actually, north korea will help... as much as it can, but in the end, russia is just as exhausted, and despite the fact that, despite the fact that there there are still a lot of resources, formally, we called it the 25th year, but formally, russia can confidently fight with these resources for the next three to five years and with such approaches that exist now,

in order to limit russia, a complete ban must be introduced export to this country. with the introduction of powerful secondary sanctions, example, very classic, this morning there was a message that kazakhstan has imposed sanctions and will refuse and will refuse the export of drones, already on the day kazakhstan , the leading ministry that deals with this, has already asked this and says that no, we will use the general rules, as in the arms market and so on, this shows that many countries are wavering, are afraid, and need, need a ban, a complete ban on exports, first by the big seven, then the eu will support it, that's for sure, and then it has grow under the influence of sanctions, this will be resorted to even by countries

that are geographically close, through which russia still re-exports various machines, such as from turkey, from half of south korea, from japan, there were such cases from germany, and ending directly with some microelectronics and so on , so the situation here is deadlocked with sanctions, but, well, still, the western world, under the understanding that the threats are increasing, the 24th year is a huge increase in threats compared to the 23rd and so i think the nuts will be clamped more powerful and there will be a transition from sanctions to a ban on exports, this is inevitable, because without this it will be impossible to restrain the development of russia in industrialization, these are the forecasts. mr. valentin, we talked about what we now expect to be the amount of military or military-technical assistance from

the united states and other western countries, but somehow the question of security guarantees or aid guarantees for ukraine took a back seat. or they will be conventionally speaking, because it is a component of the security guarantee for ukraine, an important element that should be used ukraine and what could be the potential... reaction on the part of our partners, a valid question, just yesterday i read what is already happening with the fifth country of the big seven, negotiations, and for us the key countries here will definitely be the united states and the introduction of the israeli model we saw how it works, it works very powerfully, because even the ammunition that was intended for ukraine and was in warehouses in israel, the decision was made to hand it over to israel , and everything that israel asks for, everything is given to them quickly, literally, even launchers

installations for their irondom, and, that is, anti-missile defense systems, especially since israel has made a lot of progress due to joint developments, actually with the united states, joint developments, so this model is very suitable for us, it is very important to us if we are going to yes and in addition to the united states, we will reach strong agreements, primarily with great britain, with germany, i have less faith in france, because macron is constantly wavering, he said that the eu should prepare and support ukraine in case of the arrival of macron's friend, i'm sorry, friend of trump, but a few weeks later he already said that if the states are not able to... in full, then europe will not be able to replace, yes, then these fluctuations changed again and now paris is catching up, and berlin has taken up, and

just a few days ago he announced , that the huge help will be in ammunition, the production volume has been increased three times from a thousand , well, three times more ammunition will be supplied per month from the 24th year, i will not say the number so as not to be mistaken, and the production of self-propelled artillery units has been increased from two to eight caesar, i understand that ukraine will also get enough there, so this is all very important , after all, europe understands the danger more than the politicians in the united states, i am not talking about the biden administration here, and therefore we see that the security guarantees for ukraine must be valid, i did not say that, because it is not even appropriate to talk about it now, it is appropriate to talk about technological advantages, arms supplies and the inclusion

of ukraine in clubs for the development and production of new weapons, this can happen, and we should strive for it, demonstrating struggle with corruption, demonstrating transparency and willingness to work according to world rules, mr. valentin, thank you very much for your time, for your comments, for your evaluations, i would like to remind you... that on the air of clanpress was valentin badrrak, director of the army, conversion and disarmament research center, analyst and a writer. and then we will talk about other directions, which are already connected with the tactical actions of the armed forces, with the development of certain directions, but about this after the informational pause. the roof is a project about the feeling of home, about our roots, about identity. this kid was building behind us. my great-great-grandmother's house, about what the old ukrainian architecture brings to us today? good architecture is not necessarily made with the participation of an architect.

churches, mills, houses, mazankas, it depends on us, will these buildings slowly fade into oblivion? the wooden church is a phenomenon, indeed. it is still alive in the ukrainian village. will we still preserve our past? there is legislation, why does it not work. we have a democracy where people do what they want. ukrainian culture. about ukrainian folk architecture, its features and ways of salvation in the documentary cycle from the roof project. on saturday at 11:15 at espresso. about carrying out a special military operation. it's just

a slush. a much bigger and more dangerous story, how in 30 years the russian orthodox church in ukraine has evolved from agitators of the russian world to terrorists. if it were not for the activities of the russian orthodox church, there would be no war. we firmly know that russian peace and russian orthodoxy bring us war, death and ruins. we continue our war program and further on we will talk about the actions and approaches of the armed forces, which can significantly increase the losses of the enemy on the front line, which is extremely important, by the way, today the general staff reported that 1,380 occupiers were destroyed in the past day, these are actually colossal losses on the part of the enemy

, and we understand that our snipers contributed to the losses of the enemy, and against the background of this, of course, the question arises that it is extremely important to train snipers, increase the number of schools and provide them with modern means to destroy the enemy, how is this happening, what is the progress is now in our country, we will talk about this with our next guest, and we are joined by yurii chornomorets, doctor of philosophy, volunteer and sniper, mr. yurii, i congratulate you, i am glad to see and hear you. good afternoon everyone, i would like you to tell us something about what has changed in the past 19 months of hostilities, can we say that attention to snipers has increased, that there are more schools that train snipers at different levels, that equipment has improved , what is happening, what dynamic is positive or neutral, or maybe some other? well, there is

a positive dynamic is that as well as western partners train and retrain a large number of snipers, that is, a large number of snipers are trained in ukraine, in the west, and also informally we also try to retrain snipers, and accordingly, in principle, these are the snipers who we personally provide, we handed over 216 rifles, and also 160 government rifles , we were able to...' put them into service, they are now effectively used more, because we put better sights on them, and accordingly in general, this is more than 3.5 hundred snipers are now using our help, but let's say, it is not enough to simply train people here, i emphasize once again that it is necessary to study the 21st year tutodichka,

the experience of using sniper groups by special operations forces based on the experience of ato, which says that it is necessary to create combat units of six to ten snipers, which would be provided with full cover and scouts and drones and the like, provided with everything that is necessary, because there are unfortunate cases, for example, one battalion commander asked my sniper group in the kherson direction to carry out a task where their battalion is located, because the battalion suffered heavy losses from the enemy, four of my professionals arrived, headed by the group commander, i.e. a total of five people , worked for a week, inflicted significant losses on the enemy, the enemy completely lost its activity on this front, because the guys, together with local scouts

, made a battle out of it... all kinds of miracles and accordingly the enemy was completely demoralized, and then an unexpected question arose, on the last day, when they were leaving, it turned out that in this brigade, to which this battalion belonged, there were 32 full-time snipers, who were equipped with absolutely beautiful gmentovka, which could have the ability to actually work day and night, but they said there was no... the ability to work on the front line, behind the front line , and so on. then my commander of the sniper group, who has been in the profession for 15 years, i just started shouting at the chief of staff, what is this, i worked here for a week, here are my results, here are the results of my guys, your 32 beds are equipped with everything that the state gave, they are all like that after all the training

and so on, that they are not could...' buy yourself thermal punches