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're on the brink of world war iii, with the colossal resurgence in the middle east in particular. the united states. the americans sent an additional flagship from italy to reinforce the two aircraft carrier groups, so we understand that everything is on the edge, so to speak. objectively speaking, this is far from the threshold of the third world war. in general, it all boils down to the second cold war. there's a lot going on in the world, but these are just proxy battles, like those during the cold war, when people were fighting, for example, in africa and other places. are not watching that russia is going or preparing to fight with nato, they probably are understand that this was a mistake, so at this point there are only two things that can lead us to a third world war, that is an attack on nato, or a chinese attack on taiwan, the situation in

the middle east can remain autonomous, of course, if iran has a nuclear the bomb and decides to use it, that would change everything, using nuclear weapons would certainly change everything, but at the moment i just don't see that prospect. so we will see a continuation of the battle between russia and ukraine, as well as between israel and hamas and possibly even hezbollah. however, i don't think so now possible geographic military expansion. to be honest, china is not ready for this either. we understand that war is not only about battles , war is about resources, and on the one hand, we have a certain fear that part of the resources that should support us can. be directed to strengthen, for example, the american allies in the middle east, this is one point, on the other hand, we understand that the western structure, the western defense system, it is moving into full dynamics, because it is really not only about russian aggression against ukraine , and it is about

a major war is possible, and accordingly, the western countries will no longer be able to pretend that nothing is happening, and help ukraine, i don't know, a couple... that is, the western world must join in, otherwise it may simply be destroyed by one or another warhead that will fly, for example, from iran, for example, some arab militants can launch something and a chain reaction will begin. regarding the first point, i do not think that what is allocated to israel reduces the amount of funds allocated to ukraine. this will never happen. most likely, there will be different packages, different groups of weapons. and everything else, because ukraine is not ready for what israel needs now, and vice versa, israel does not need much of what ukraine is asking for, so such conclusions should not be drawn. as for the readiness of the west, it worries me because i still think they have not accepted the full seriousness

of this war. instead, they behave as if the war is somewhere over the mountains, and it will not reach them. if the theater of war changes, then for certain countries, including in britain, it is will be an unexpected blow, because in my opinion, most of the european countries have not properly learned the lessons learned. they view these lessons through their own cultural lens. we forget that it will not work to oppose russia and at the same time do business with it. the west is not as ready as it should be . now the situation is improving somewhat. however, there is still a lot of work to be done. many countries, such as the czech republic, the baltic states, have provided ukraine with a huge amount of equipment, and in the case of latvia, it has transferred all its air defense equipment and almost all anti-tank missiles, still waiting for their replenishment. so we can only hope that nothing in this regard

happens quickly, as the west needs time to replenish its reserves in case russia does decide to expand the geography of the war. etekems, they worked extremely well. the key story is that the united states finally dared to hand them over. we understand that this decision has been on president joseph biden's desk for an extremely long time. and finally, two dozen etekems, far from the first model, it is better than nothing, but we understand that it is necessary to strengthen the supply of atakams , and accordingly, your prospects and in general, how do you in... evaluate etekems in order, for example, to break through the front line, and before that to destroy russian logistics in the south . firstly, i'm not sure exactly which models of atakams were shipped, there are about five different models and it looks like the older ones were actually shipped. why such a small

number? because this is the amount that can be placed on board several planes, and not send them by sea which would take more time. that's my guess as to the number. that is, if it was possible to quickly provide 20 missiles, it will be possible, if necessary, to quickly provide another 20, and perhaps even more modern ones. the us is interested in not depleting... its own stockpile, because atakams is a key weapon in the us arsenal and they don't want to waste it. regarding hostilities. the danger with attacks is that they are long-range weapons, and when you fire them, you tend to shoot objects that are at a great distance. is it possible to break through the front with such a weapon? the answer is no, will it help weaken the front? yes, but there is a danger that if there is... too much of a time delay between the atakams attack and something on the frontline changing in our favor, it

will give russia time to reel from what the attacks have done, to pull up more reserves and ammunition. that is, it is about tactics, a lot of fire, a lot of maneuvers. you must shoot and act simultaneously on the front lines to create a complex, synchronized attack. if you just run atakams. but do nothing on the front line. russia will have time to deal with what happened and return to previous positions. of course, it will definitely not be easier for them from these missiles. the russians will not get too close because ukraine will find a target and neutralize it. they will have to think about how to act differently. so, in the next few weeks, putin's generals will be racking their brains over how to counter the attacks so as not to lose the ones they need. key resources, the uk was the first, yes

storm shadow, later there were scalps, french ones, then the united states with atakams, well, accordingly, we are waiting for the german tauruses, but still we feel a certain dosage, and we understand that long-range missile systems are very good, but this may not be enough for to make a qualitative change in the south, the situation is extremely difficult, we are entering winter, it should not be forgotten that only the infantry can occupy and hold positions, you can strike in the rear, but this will not change the position of the front line, unless you will manage to destroy so much ammunition that the enemy on the front line will simply have nothing to fight with, ukrainian planners are also now facing a challenge, they have to make sure that they can really use the existing artillery in a targeted manner to help the soldiers in the brigades, because the most important thing is to enable the brigades to continue move forward and defend better. it is clear that russia is not

going to stop. instead, it will attract even more people, even more ammunition and weapons. even if her weapons, her tanks are old, they are they still shoot, that should not be forgotten. i think we missed the opportunity, or the moment, when russia could break. now they stubbornly stand their ground and do not stand for anything else. the only thing left is to defeat them. but frankly, it is now extremely important for ukraine to stop relying only on resources from abroad, and start spending much more time and energy on creating its own weapons and its own systems, because if this war goes from winter to summer, getting equipment from the west it will be harder and harder. ukraine must find ways of quick compensation. there are such weapons systems as ukraine. could produce, for example, mortars, mortars are created quite quickly, as well as ammunition for them. if

each battalion will have six mortars, as for example in great britain, this will be of fundamental importance for ukraine. the military must think in a new way. what i see now is still the old military mindset, people need a new mindset on how to operate and use the resources they have. you can't just rely on a civil society that buys drones can't win a war like that, so a new way of thinking is needed, and i'm afraid that the current staff will not be able to find it. dear mr. colonel, you were one of the first to boldly and clearly say that the russians are preparing for a so-called long, protracted war, this was at a time when very many military experts were talking about a short war there for a few months, yes there were a number of factors that demonstrate that the russians are preparing for a protracted campaign, if we take the current phase, the current moment and the current

available resources, i think the west has calculated the plus or minus level of the efficiency of the russian so-called defense industry, which will be the russian vision of offensive actions, or perhaps the so-called active defense that putin said, they just continue to do what they do because in their minds they are winning. the russians are used to not sparing people and losing a lot of equipment, and a great example of this was the second world war, in which their losses were colossal, and it seems that there is no desire in russia...' to stop the war. russians now support putin like never before, and putin is putting all his energy and russian resources into this war. despite their weak intellectual and technological power, they will continue to manufacture many low-quality things that will complicate the life of ukraine, and this is about numbers, this is the strength that russia has. so if we don't break

them over the winter, there's a chance the war could go on for another two or three years. and i'm quite serious. i'm talking about it, russia needs to be broken, but now we 're not doing it, we're just holding them back. yes, there is some progress, but it is not a breakthrough. we need a breakthrough. perhaps it will happen near kherson with a new operation to ford the river. that is, we need to act elsewhere, act in a different way, because strategy is about capabilities. and at the moment. our capabilities are not strong enough to make the strategy work. even according to the tatakas. even with the f-16, because the main capability is a hundred combat brigades, which today are not properly equipped to win this war, so you need to think bigger and better. and in your opinion, putin has already appeared, no i know, the sense of the purpose of this war, yes, when he announced an absolutely false so-called special military operation, we understand that

he was preparing for a short scenario, so now a long scenario is bequeathed, possibly with the involvement of additional theaters of military operations, possibly in the middle east, perhaps in the caucasus and so on, we very often hear statements from russian propagandists about the so-called existential war against ukraine, so we see a number of, so to speak, propagandistic clichés that indicate that this war indeed, their goal is to turn the aggression of the russian army against ukraine into a war of the entire russian people, that is, they would like it to become the so-called third... world war for russia, some kind of new, great national war. you are right, however, i think that putin understands that without ukrainian resources he cannot wage an existential war against nato, he needs ukraine, its prepared human resources to fight for russia, that is what he is aiming for.

he has already attracted many ukrainians from crimea and kherson, who are fighting on the other side of the demarcation line, cannot talk about it. forget, this is the scenario he wants, putin will continue to set the world order , he will support anything that looks like hamas, as well as any war in the middle east or africa, because he wants to divert the attention of the west from the war in ukraine, and it can be said that he is already doing it, he is doing it when he places nuclear weapons in belarus, thereby taking the time and energy of latvians and lithuanians, for example, because at the time when they should conduct training. they stand and watch the border because hundreds of migrants are crossing it, so he will look for all possible ways during the winter and next year to divert the attention, time and other resources of the west supporting ukraine in this war. i don't know what exactly, but putin is already actively planning something, i have been repeating this since

2014 and every time i was right, something will happen soon. and we just need to be mentally ready. and returning to the existential war, putin can really lose it only in ukraine. and that is why ukraine should take this very seriously, because something may happen that will definitely not be in favor of the implementation of the strategy of the ukrainian military command. dear glen, has the concept or vision of war changed now in our key allied capitals, back in the day. the feeling that our friends would like to localize the war, and that is why they were not in too much of a hurry to allocate important, long-range and powerful resources, now there is a question about aviation and so on, well, the question is not only about the quality of those resources, but also about the quantity, and so on what formula our friends in

the pentagon, in london, and possibly in berlin see the conduct of the war and possibly the conclusion of the war. a number of important things: firstly, you have to understand that any formula must be based on trust, if it is not based on trust, then nothing good will definitely happen, no formula will work, this trust is built by what was given ukraine, and what was used properly. the question of whether ukraine is fighting corruption or whether it is fighting in the legal field is important, because this is what what trust is based on. access to nato depends entirely on the political. compatibility in certain aspects, ukraine has military interoperability, but in other aspects, such as logistics, interoperability as such is absent at all. the fact that you have to conduct all your own. to other countries to repair it, suggests that something is wrong with the logistics system. so, the situation with military compatibility is

more or less, but political compatibility is extremely weak. ukrainian ambassadors are weak by establishment, except for the ambassador to the united states, and therefore you cannot create a relationship that would ultimately lead to a proper understanding of what to do to help ukraine. therefore, trust is above all else, and until it is strong and 100% will always lack confidence in what to do next to support the country, it's like a boy's mind, i'm telling everything here, it's important to understand that this is the main problem of ukraine, there's no point in just constantly asking for something, you have to create relationships that b relied on as a real relationship that will be strong and last for years, currently in in many aspects, unfortunately, this is not done, we already have several weeks as the new minister of defense, we are talking about rustem umerov, we understand that there are many challenges, i do not know, this is about a thorough study of what the previous minister of defense did, what he did not do

, but in any case, we understand that there are states that are allied to us, yes, that regularly send signals, if you try to generalize, what the ministers of defense are talking about now, are the chiefs of general staffs of the allied states, i don’t know, the united states, britain, france, poland and so on, the composition of the ministry of defense, what strategy do they propose and how quickly can it be implemented, in particular, it is about logistics, ensuring ukrainian production within the borders of our state and beyond its borders, and in general, whether any comprehensive advice is given, i don’t know, how to do this, to strengthen our defense industry? sure that everything they talk about is everything you and i have talked about in all ours. interview, i don't think anything will change, because structural things will always remain structural things, and logistics

logistics, logistics need to be designed and built, and people need to be trained, they definitely talk about improving training, and that structures and combat structures need to be updated as well, that's all that everybody understands, that's what they're doing in all the other countries, so of course , for the new minister of defense, it will be something new, but definitely not for the system, without a doubt, the hardworking one gives a lot. advice and returning to trust, i would add that unfortunately there are no american or british generals who are really close to the system, although it only to the best of my knowledge. ukraine does not use the potential of all the retired officers who are in the west, who came during the cold war and were involved in other wars. for example, in the war in the persian gulf, almost none of them were invited to share their experience and help, because the system allows only to be a private. a soldier, which means that the military and intellectual capital of the west is wasted, and it is a great pity, thank you very much, dear mr. colonel, for this

extremely informative and honest conversation, i would like to remind our tv viewers that glen grand, a retired colonel of the british army, a well-known military expert, and god save the king, and glory to ukraine, glory to the heroes, worked for them on expresso, and in conclusion, i will add one thing: we will succeed, but difficult things lie ahead the days we have to be ready for, you can't think that victory is easy, russia is preparing for a protracted war, and this is what you need to think about, thank you, the child caught the virus, mom has faith, has faith in dekasan, inhaled dekasan enters the lungs , to where the dekasan virus works, mother faith rejoices, dekasan is an antidote to viruses and bacteria, and dekasan is indicated for angina, dekasan is an inhalation antiseptic. why am i here i have sensitive teeth, eat ice cream - pain, cold

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of personnel will look now, because we understand that the executive power is extremely important, and it is unlikely that president andrzej duda will transfer huge powers to his, so to speak , big opponents. the board, the executive committee of the civic platform, instructed donald tusk to form the government and nominated him for the position of prime minister, well, two, other political parties or political coalitions, the left, the third way, they said that because of the victory in within the framework of the opposition the trump card of the civil coalition, and it must nominate a candidate for prime minister, and that candidate will be donald tusk, the president of duda, well, of course, hypothetically, when we speak, he can nominate someone for the position of prime minister, but his approval, i.e. he must receive a vote of confidence in

the parliament. without a parliament , thank god, nothing happens in poland, because poland is a parliamentary republic, not even a parliamentary-presidential one, but a parliamentary republic, the position of the prime minister in the constitutional system poland is very strong, it's basically called the chancellor system, like the german system, so that the position of prime minister, in fact, has enormous powers, he has all the executive power in the country. now regarding the political calendar, it must be said that the president has 30 days according to the constitution to convene the first session of the newly elected parliament, the parliament is already bicameral, and then the president assigns a function to a politician to perform the function of the prime minister, and in he has 14 days to get it confidence in parliaments.

in fact, in the diet in the lower house, the only problem that can be here is that the president wants to say that he is not interested in the opinion of the political forces of the opposition, but next week allendey duda invited representatives of all the political forces that came to the diet, ugh, these are five political forces and they will take turns talking about the political configuration, and the three political forces will come with a unanimous decision that their candidate for the position, they are different, they signed a coalition agreement, in them 200 there are 48 seats in the diet and their candidate for the post of prime minister is donald tusk. well, now i can imagine that andrzej duda will start talking, and i don't like it, or something , and we have the winner of the election, president

andrzej duda will say, and justice will consult with yaroslav kaczynski, well, i'm also considering such a hypothetical scenario and after that , they will try to form a coalition based on law and justice, but even with the votes of the confederation, they will not be able to create the majority necessary to form a government, and if, for example, such an idea as to block the coalition of the opposition nomination from the civic platform of the prime minister and proceed to elections, new... early elections. is this scenario even real? no, just like the scenario too, the nomination of another candidate, like donald tusk, i think , he, well, his probability will be somewhere, well , a poker player, it's about 10 percent, no more, the probability that president duda,