well, any object, the situation is getting worse and worse, and these are also objective things , and the question here is not even now, we are not talking about the people who work there, about psychological pressure, about everything that happens there , the station has not been working for more than a year, and what's more, we supply electricity there, ukraine, in order to ensure the operation of security systems, but this is a nuclear generation facility, and for this it is a high-tech facility, and accordingly, appropriate measures must be taken there work such as maintenance of the condition of the equipment, these works are not are being carried out, and the situation is called, if they can be described professionally, it is the degradation of the equipment, and every day it will be worse and worse, and it is not only us, it is also confirmed by the specialists of the magat, who are experts there today.

that are present on the station, so again, the longer they are there, the worse the situation is going to be, the question of where is that limit, when a certain event can happen that will affect the environment there, it's a matter of time, so the sooner we will take them away from here, the world will take them away, that is, i always say that it is not, the war between ukraine and russia, yes, this is a question, in fact the russians put the whole world at risk and destroyed everything that the world has achieved in terms of instruments, international conventions regarding nuclear security. thank you, mr. minister, for agreeing to the interview with us, thank you for the conversation, we continue, you are watching the marathon.

the only news, 5 am on the clock now, nikita mikhalov, serhiy chernshov, we are working for you in this studio, and now we will pay attention to the map of alarms, so the luhansk region and the autonomous region remain traditional, traditionally red the republic of crimea and, unfortunately, the traditional one, there is now danger in the nikopol district, there remains the threat of artillery fire. meanwhile , the occupiers transferred 15 ships to novorossiysk. and a submarine, including caliber carriers, satellite images that confirm this were published by analyst matthew anderson, and stated that one russian ship is in dry dock, according to the analyst, as of october 17, the dock was flooded, but on the 19th drained again, this mr. analyst suggests that this is possible there was a check on the sealed hull of the ship , which is under repair, but in general, there are two ships at the second base of the black sea fleet, this is admiral

hryhorovych, four small missile ships, three patrol boats, two submarines and four large amphibious ships, so what is this means, we will not only talk about this, we will talk with serhiy bratchuk, he is the spokesman of the ukrainian volunteer army south, a military expert. mr. serhiy, we welcome you, our greetings. glory to ukraine, glory to the forces, congratulations colleagues. to the heroes glory. so, about the 15 ships, in particular naval submarines, which the russian occupiers threw into novorossiysk, well, of course , on the one hand, we would like to give birth on this occasion, on the other hand, we would like to ask questions, and what could be the reasons, besides the fact that, well, they are frankly afraid in to leave them in the sevastopol bay? in fact, it is the main reason that the ships are re-based to what i hope will be the future permanent deployment point of the russian federation's black sea fleet, at least what will remain after the russo-ukrainian war, after our victory who certainly has no

doubts, precisely to novorossiysk. the enemy also uses feodosia, the enemy also uses kerch, and tries to withdraw as many ships as possible from sevastopol, what he actually demonstrates, on the other hand, one should not forget an equally important thing in my opinion, which is the existence of the infrastructure of the black sea fleet of the russian federation, which works not only exclusively to maintain the trousers of the black sea fleet of the russian federation, this infrastructure also works to provide the corresponding units of the russian occupation army, which is also located on the territory of the temporarily occupied crimea, and actually works, including those groups of russian troops located in the southern direction, the threat of missile strikes, unfortunately, it has not disappeared anywhere, these are the most important risks that today there is, well , in addition to the air situation, we understand that the enemy's tactical aviation is constantly operating in the waters of the black sea. therefore, of course

, we are talking about the fact that this missile threat is very relevant today, and despite the certain shortage of calibers that can to arise today with the enemy, and we understand very well, this is no longer news here, i will not reveal to america now that the enemy, judging by everything, is accumulating a missile arsenal in order to use it in the near future. the threat to energy facilities is the most important risk that also exists today. well, we perfectly understand that just like from the black sea equator to the crimean region, these carrier ships launched calibers, these calibers, they can also do it from the equator in the novosiysk region, to level this threat, it turns out, has become more difficult from the point of view of logistics, since , well , then you need to be logistically novorossiysk

. there were cases when the enemy attacked us with calibers from the waters of the sea of ​​azov, but it should not be forgotten, and at least in the summer the enemy did this, as far as... loading, for example, with calibers, that is, the relevant technical, routine work that takes place at arming the rocket launchers with missiles, this happens only in sevastopol, then they will have to return to sevastopol after a possible attack, and it is clear that they are trying to close the bays there as much as possible today and somehow they are already closing them in order to secure their ships, of course, at the same time various situations are possible during the transition. and our intelligence is sure that it is usually monitored, those units that can really cause damage to enemy ships, primarily surface ships, we understand that surface, surface flotilla of naval drones

of ukraine, it is not standing still, it is developing, and i hope that these results will eventually be shown on the battlefield, well, of course, the physical destruction of ships is huge... it will be a plus for us, and actually, let's not forget that , what i said a little earlier, infrastructure, it is very important, because, well , as it is customary to say today, this game can be played by two people, that is , the struggle for preemption, that is, the launch of missile strikes from our side on objects, military about projects on the territory of crimea, in particular in the sevastopol district, in sevastopol bays, bays, of course, this will be a huge plus for our success in this struggle, and in terms of infrastructure, just with the speaker, we recently spoke at the ukrainian ministry of foreign affairs, and he said that, well, anyway , ukraine is without, a fleet, a classic the fleet cannot be dispensed with, so ukraine still needs

to invest money in building its own classic fleet, not a mosquito one, not only to use naval drones, but in particular there must be a classic fleet in order to provide, provide. in particular, sales grain by sea well, look, if we are talking about preliminary, for example, about sea babies, yes, about sea drones, we are talking first of all about a tool that today exists and can be effective precisely in the russian-ukrainian war, so it is a tool, once again i say that as regards the development of the naval forces of ukraine, the national fleet, of course it is not only about this. also , the mosquito fleet should not only be about the mosquito fleet, of course we are talking about the construction of new ships, and we know that in the shipyards of the partner countries there are such vessels

are being built, i hope they will be launched, with a certain time they will be ready for the work you said about, well actually look, first of all we are grateful to the naval forces of the armed forces of ukraine that the route that today is called apparently for the expansion of the export corridor, it works, because the first task was set precisely for the naval forces of the armed forces of ukraine. mr. serhiy, regarding the threats in the black sea again, now from the migs, the carriers, yes, of the kinzhal missiles, that is, the british intelligence says that this does not go beyond the scope of russian rhetoric, which already existed before that, so in fact the situation will not change, if the situation does not change, then this is a reversal, then it says something, just that there was something freeze putin's internal audience and no more? you know, i agree with this, as with the main thesis, because, well, just look at the time , at this period of time that has passed since putin allegedly gave the order, or rather,

announced this initiative to the whole world, as they say migi himself will be overturned, of course he also talked about daggers on the territory of temporarily occupied crimea, but actually he was talking about the waters of the black sea. it is clear and literally immediately the order of the so-called supreme commander from the kremlin was carried out, again, today there is no 100% confirmation that these migs of the 31st, which are located on the territory of crimea, they are precisely this prefix with the letter k, that is , dagger carriers, and again, let's talk about l logic, the logic is that if mig 31 with daggers take off from any airfield in the depths of the russian federation or other territories, it is clear that the alarm is being sounded throughout the territory of our country, we have been going through this since the beginning of the great invasion, does the situation of the presence of migs in the territory of crimea change, something in this regard, absolutely not, the alarm signal is sounding, we

again, let's not forget, this is strategic aviation, there are still restrictions in the air, including territorial ones, well , again, i don't think that this is only for the domestic russian public, i think that this is also an effort, well it is an old concept that is no more works, in my opinion, after all, russian, to work for a western audience, i think that even at the ... basic level today this pressure, even with migs 31 mik, informationally, is still not so key, well, how was it , for example, at the beginning of a large invasion. well, by the way, regarding migs and daggers, i will quote you, just a couple of days ago you said that you think that this is a story with daggers, another horror story of putin, primarily for the west, until now he believed that that can frighten the president of the russian federation as well tried to joke, but his

excitement gave out. are these only, well, such demonstrative actions to scare, or after all, well, there is a certain threat, and for the kamats as well , is putin really afraid of attacks now, especially after the recent events, when they showed themselves quite well, any weapon , it is dangerous. perfectly understood, especially if it is in the hands of a russian monkey, from the lowest to the highest level, and this is not trolling now, not trying to make a joke in some way, this is the absolute truth about the attacks, about of other ukrainian weapons, we can talk about the fact that it works , works effectively in the hands of ukrainian soldiers, and accordingly we talk about the fact that the aviation component in the near future, as much as possible, of course... can change the situation, affect it, at least

including on the battlefield, but of course, we must talk about the most important weapon in my opinion that we have today and which we cannot simply lose, this is the unity of ukrainian society and this is the unity of our western partners and allies, this is the most what today the enemy is afraid, two points are key in my opinion, it is from the enemy's side , to influence today the separation of these factors, which i mentioned, and the attempt to intimidate , including the ukrainian society in some way , because of the losses, because of those blows, first of all ballistics today, when we are suffering losses, to intimidate civilian people in order to somehow raise the appropriate mood of pacifism, there is an attempt to come to power, let's go to negotiations, these are the theses that the enemy is trying to... attempts of some loud victories, that

what we see, for example, in the area of ​​avdiyivka, great respect for our soldiers, they are not just steel, and i don’t even know such an epithet that you can call them today, and of course, if you mentioned ballistics, then my sincere condolences to the families of the dead and the fastest recovery of the victims from the strikes in the kharkiv region, mr. serhiy, now moving on to the situation on the front line, taking into account... the avdiyivka that you just mentioned, taking into account the transfer of enemy forces and means from the east from lemyanno to the lymano-kupyan axis and from the south exactly to on donets direction, and what is left of siltazabs with the enemy in the south of our country, in the temporarily occupied territories? first of all, aviation weapons, we can see how the enemy is actively using them, there are already certain statistics here, according to the kherson regional military administration, we have all seen these statistics and know how the enemy

, with what number of aerial bombs strikes at on the right bank, personally, this is an attempt to restrain in some way possible, i emphasize, possible advances or intensification of the actions of the ukrainian armed forces, because exactly those reserves that you said about, they really spill over to the avdiivka direction, borog needs avdiivka, and here we are talking not only about military art, about some kind of operational-strategic initiative, it is about what they need to do at any cost , frontal. attacks, and they throw in those units that were today the most combat-capable in general on the russian-ukrainian front, these are the brigades that were already ground near avdiivka, they restore them again, throw them into battle again, that is, this butchery is russian, it is working, and i really want our units, which are there today, to hold out in this

fortress and inflict as much damage as possible, but the situation... is very difficult, and in the south, i already said that the enemy is trying to attack precisely with aviation weapons, that is, where today, unfortunately, he has a certain dominance , i hope, once again i am talking about the aviation component, which should appear in our country, we hope, mr. serhiy, thank you for these explanations, serhiy bratchuk, spokesman of the ukrainian volunteer army south, a military expert has just been with us on communication, well, we will continue literally in a few minutes... we still have many important topics ahead of us. chevrons approaching victory. infamous, united,

independent ukraine was, is and will be. because we are ukraine, no matter how they try to quarrel with us, we are united, so don't try to do to us , we will keep our line, because we are strong, we will contribute and do everything for victory, because we are free, we support those who are close to us, who lost spirit, who lost and continues to lose, we release from captivity those who stood up for the defense of the country. and our future, because a strong rear - the guarantee of a strong army, inevitable victory and our independence, which we prove every day. rules of a warm country: bathroom. thank you for passing through the night at low

temperatures, loading the drum as much as possible. let's beat the winter together. i don't know if i can, what i have is enough for me, women don't get paid that much, he is more professional than me, can i change anything, i don't deserve this kind of money, can i get more, and what if they refuse me, a high position is probably not for me, there are many people like me, i can't, of course i can. well, now about money in different cuts, the export of ukrainian grain fell by almost three times in october, the press service of the ministry of agriculture reported this, according to the department, for this month, the export of grain amounted to about a million tons, which is almost three times less.

than in the same period of october last year, in general , t wheat, 654,000 barley, a ton of rye, and 3,000 tons of corn were exported in the new season. the main part of this shipped volume is wheat flour, which is 38,500 tons. well , i will also add that at the same time the export of wheat flour and flour from other crops increased by 23.5%, or by 7,500 tons, that is, it is 30, almost 40,000 tons. we will now. talk about it all with ivan us, he is the chief consultant of the national institute of strategic studies and candidate of economic sciences. congratulations, mr. ivan, our greetings. good night to the studio, good night viewers. well, let's figure it out, first with the fall, yes, about which minap reports, on the one hand, the reasons are clear, but

now we need to understand, and how it will happen in the global situation in the world, well, i understand. that ukraine will feed itself, but regarding, for example, the global south there, as we like to talk about it, what will happen to it? actually, really, if we look at the dynamics, we had, let's say, a period until march, when the situation was more or less normal, and then, let me remind you that in april, our partners in the european union, they started to create, let's say, certain problems, and after that it began... a reduction in grain exports, which was then imposed by the withdrawal of the russian federation, or rather the reluctance of the russian federation to continue the work of the black sea grain initiative in july and what. what do we have now, let's face it, in march, grain exports from ukraine reached 1 billion 200 million dollars, in september, the month has already ended, it was 340 million, that is, such

a drop, and how does it affect other countries of the world? and you know, well, yes, i agree, ukraine will feed itself, at the same time, there, for example, bangladesh, such a very large country in terms of population, has significantly reduced the volume of the world's grain purchases. because there a certain share came from ukraine, now they do not receive them, and if we look at the un reports, we see that many countries in africa, there are kenya, ethiopia, they name it, which also most likely do not receive grain, precisely because there is no opportunity to receive it from ukraine, because if you look at the data of the monitoring center of the black sea grain initiative, china was the first there. who received the goods, followed by spain in second place, italy in fourth, and therefore ukraine was accused of selling to rich countries, at the same time it turns out that

rich countries of the european union, whether the netherlands were there or not, they bought grain, and then handed it over to the united nations, which actually went to africa, that is, this is the grain from ukraine initiative, where either wealthier countries buy grain and give it to poor african countries. now there is also a risk that these countries, they are african , will not receive the grain because there is simply no way to buy from ukraine, that is why we are constantly talking about the need to return to the black sea grain initiative, in fact all of last week i was in ankara , and we were talking with our turkish colleagues about what can be done and , let's say, how to put pressure on russia, of course turkey, it has its own, let's say, its own vision. and that's why they talk about the need to return rossel hosbank to swift, because that's what russia says, that is , turkey is giving more, at the same time , everyone has a clear understanding that

this initiative must be returned. actually, well, i had certain hopes for the meeting between putin and xi jinping, why, because china, as i mentioned, is the main beneficiary, and i hope that china from its side will also put pressure on russia, because it also needed this agreement. because for china, i emphasize that ukraine is a very important supplier of corn, if there is no ukraine for the world corn market, china remains, as statistics show, only one supplier of the usa. when there was no ukraine there in 22 years after the start of a full-scale war, the us share in china's corn imports reached 99%. china does not need it. mr. ivan, well, for now we have what we have, yes, the grain initiative in the version that we corridor, but in parallel with this, recently vice prime minister kubrakov, commenting on the topic of exporting, yes, our grain abroad, focused on romania and moldova and

the development of transport links with them in order to increase the volume of transportation, plus greece, which recently also stated that, in principle, it can also give its ports for use, such as the transshipment of ukrainian grains, as far as it is promising and how quickly it can be. effectively develop the network with romania, moldova, potentially use transshipment of greek ports, well and we will earn something from this, because the longer the export arm, the smaller the margin, and i completely agree, because this alternative initiative, let's call it that, when the waters, the territorial waters of romania, bulgaria and turkey are used, that is, it definitely increases the time necessary for delivery for grain and it's not very profitable, not that it's not profitable, well it increases our grain and we lose a little bit of competitiveness, as for romania, romania said that it

can increase the monthly throughput to 4 million tons, that's a very good number , because i i would like to remind you that in the same september that i mentioned, ukraine exported 3.9 million tons of new oil, that is, it actually completely covers, at the same time, it is... time and it is not as profitable as the possibility of using the black sea directly . plus again, here now, going back to my visit to turkey, then the question was, why is russia not attacking these boats, i know, well, so far they are afraid, at the same time, this is not a guarantee that at some point they will not start it is to attack, and i will remind you that ukraine itself insures these cargo, so for us it will be another blow to the budget, and it is very unprofitable for such a case to happen, at the same time, these are not the only initiatives, i emphasize, there is another proposal from italy, which is already being implemented, it is through the village of

horodnia. in the transcarpathian region, where the terminal is located next to the border with romania and which, most importantly, like mukachevo, is approached by a railway track of european size, that is, not as wide a track as in ukraine, and this will contribute to a faster supply of grain from this of the terminal, which was built back in 1985 year, to the ports of italy, and this will also allow us to increase the volume of grain exports when, let's say, this initiative is ready. ugh. mr. ivan, but here the question is about volume, and it is clear that land corridors, well, they cannot simply fully replace the sea, what do i mean, i don’t want to burden our viewers with numbers now, at 3 in the morning, well, for example, ukraine, we will to speak frankly, established its temporary route from the ports of greater odessa, and since september 16, 32 ships, and

what is the question here? in that it is common the capacity of these ships roughly corresponds to the volume of agricultural products shipped for export in the first month of the black sea grain initiative, that is, it is only a third of the volumes that were exported from ukrainian ports, respectively, when this initiative was working, and i would like to ask, well, what is next, what is possible is there an alternative to this, or is it, well, as you said, we need to go back to the initiative, we are ready, russia does not want to go back there, you know, i once joked that if we sink one russian submarine, russia will be more willing to return to this initiative, there is already minus one submarine, so in my opinion the best option is to explain to russia that it has five remaining submarines in the black sea, that is, if it does not return to this initiative, then further

the process of dismantling the military and the fleet continues and this, as they say, will be a kind of open blackmail, but this blackmail is forced, because first of all russia endangers the poor countries of the world, and we are doing it, first of all, for their sake, that is, i am already waiting here for a more active role of nato and our nato partners, first of all, for the sake of turkey , which is also in nato, precisely so that they are next to the united states of america, to make it clear to... russia that if it gives the green light to this initiative, then trouble may happen with its fleet and for its safety it is better to do it, that is, unfortunately , russia is a country that understands only force, and therefore i think that if we force them to return by withdrawing a certain number of fleets of the black sea fleet, the ships , apologize to the chornom fleet, i

i think that this will contribute to a positive decision regarding ukraine's ability to export products directly, without bypassing, let's say, the entire black sea, and not only from three, but perhaps even five batches, which ukraine constantly talks about. mr. ivan, let's talk about the budget in more detail now, here the focus is again in the context of the life of the country for the next year, we understand that half, half of the budget will be financed by our partners, so this is not a challenge for today and not for tomorrow, as long as the full-scale invasion and what do you think is the main thing the challenge among those positions that concern each of us is the growth of the economy, gdp by 5%, according to the forecast, if i am not mistaken, control of inflation, speed, growth of goods and services, here in the district 10-11% control, which is the largest and the most difficult challenge, next year, is the speed of price growth, or is it the speed of economic recovery, you know, i'll be back on duty.

before my visit to ankara, the turks constantly asked me the question, what will happen if your partners stop funding ukraine, because it seemed to the turks that it was quite possible, well, in turkey they generally like to believe in conspiracies, so they believed that even there in poland and ukraine already have very bad relations, and that the poles should support ukraine, and that, in principle, the united states the united states will stop doing this, so in my opinion, the biggest risk is losing... good relations with our partners, who not only help ukraine militarily, but also economically, because in this war, a war of attrition, the main thing is to persevere, you know, everyone already remembers the first world war, germany did not lose it because the military, the military component was