[000:00:00;00] well, rain is expected tomorrow in kyiv, it will be strong during the day, the maximum air temperature will be 11-12°c, and a strong stormy wind of southeast origin is also expected , this is the closest, cyclonic, synoptic perspective in ukraine, i remind you once again, not tomorrow forget the umbrellas and keep a close eye on the detailed forecasts on the espresso channel. good. glory to ukraine, this is the verdict program, my name is serhii rudenko, i congratulate everyone and wish everyone good health. molotov cocktail for sharia. the russians are storming avdiivka, and musk ready to surrender ukraine to putin. we talk about this and other things today in the program. new

cemeteries for the occupiers. the russians are advancing. on avdiivka and kupyansk, why are these directions so important for the enemy? the summit of the crimean platform in prague and the upcoming meeting on the peace formula in malta, what are these events for ukraine and who is participating? the situation in the middle east, why did israel not carry out a ground operation in gaza and how will this affect aid to ukraine? during the next hour , the veteran of the russian-ukrainian war oleksiy will be the guest of our program. hetman, people's deputy of ukraine and sbu colonel roman kostenko and political expert volodymyr physsenko. however, before starting our big conversation, i suggest you watch a video of what avdiyivka looks like now, which the russian occupiers have been actively shelling for the past few weeks, this is a video of my colleague, journalist yuriy

butusov. this is how the entrance to avdiivka looks like from now on, everything is ruined, destroyed, there is no whole , not one, complete destruction in avdiivka, 1,500 people, yes, 1,600, 1,600 live, but the people of revenge are still walking, bombing, with their own works is engaged, now the whole street looks like this house, the occupiers have destroyed the entire city, whole

houses. there are none on the central streets or on any streets at all, the neighborhoods are destroyed in the same way, this is what the russian army is doing to the city, this is what it looks like, the real genocide of the ukrainian people, on the same night in spain , the villa of the russian propagandist of ukrainian origin, anatoliy sharia, was thrown by unknown people with molotov cocktails , this was reported by

the publication eldir. let's see how it was. friends, for those who are watching us live now on youtube and facebook, please like this video, subscribe to our pages on youtube and facebook, and also vote in our poll, today we ask you about whether ukraine needs peace talks with russia, yes no, if you have your personal opinion, please leave it in the comments below this video, we are always interested in reading your thoughts, and analyzing what you wrote. i would like to introduce our first guest today, he is a veteran of the russian-ukrainian war, a major of the national guard of ukraine in the reserve. oleksii hetman. mr. oleksiy, i congratulate you, i am glad to see you on our air. good evening let's start with the situation around avdiyivka, because for the last few weeks the russian occupiers have been trying to attack this city without any effort, but

we saw at the beginning of the program what the occupiers have turned the city into, in fact, like any city located in or in the east or in the south, the occupiers are simply destroying these cities, destroying them and erasing them from the face of the earth, what, what goal are the occupiers pursuing in this situation, and it is clear that avdiivka is the gateway to donetsk, but i understand that they obviously want to reach the borders of donetsk by some date, i don't know whether by november 7, which is probably celebrated in russia, or by january 1 luhansk regions and report to putin that the lpr and dpr are completely controlled by the russian occupiers. do you understand the logic of the russian army? well, many questions in one question. well, first of all, what, what are they doing, why are they so densely shelling? this is the so-called

barrage of fire, this is their tactic, attack, attack on the city, they did it on severo-donetsk, lysychansk, popasnaya, bakhmut, i.e. first there is a powerful artillery attack, with an attempt to turn the city into ruins, and then already. there is infantry, other units are motorized, trying to attack to capture this city, either head-on, or, like the sub-widow, trying to attack from the north and the south, that is, to take a siege like that, why what do they tie it to, well it it is no longer a big secret that this is a political, political decision of the leadership of the russian federation, that this city must capture, they call release, by which, by what date, well, most likely, no later than january 1 of the next year, because it was putin's order that by the end of the year it must be released, as they say, released, and

the great year to capture the donetsk-luhansk region within the territorial boundaries, well, within the territorial boundaries of our regions, these luhansk and donetsk regions, what is this, what does this indicate, this is the very statement of the question, what is needed within these boundaries, he says that this is a political decision, because they are military, they don't operate political maps, they operate with physical maps, and advancing or securing some positions must correspond, well, by and large, to the relief of the area, there on military maps, well, on the maps used by the military, there are none, well, maybe there are a few dotted lines somewhere, which are there administrative borders, borders, it does not matter at all, what matters are gaps, forests, there are rivers, ladies... no height, well, everything that is needed in order to conduct combat operations, offensively or defensively, administrative borders are not at all unprincipled for the military

actions, well, if they are set, tasks are set specifically for the administrative court, not abroad, regardless of whether it will be convenient for the military or inconvenient, whether there is a sense in it or not, then this is an exclusively political order and i am sure that it has been done in order to be able to explain within the russian federation. that the task of theirs, of their special military operation was accomplished, that no one had planned, well, their memory there is very much like that of a goldfish, although they say that her memory there is not so bad, that it was not the task was to capture a large part of ukraine there, all of the left bank, kyiv, and the task was to help the donetsk people's republics recognized by the russian federation, which we bombed there for 8 years, bombed them, as they say, well, and then you can tell. inside the russian federation, that the task has been completed and to start above all some negotiations or pressure through our international partners about the fact that, as you can see, we are a task that we wanted to protect people, we are generally a very peace-loving country, and now we have to

agree that already as if we are attacking these too territory that we are 100% certain that we will be there, they will tell that we are the aggressors and that we are trying to seize something there, well, that's why their logic is quite clear here, this is a political, political decision , and the logic is such that, well, such actions, the capture of avdiyivka, well, the exit to the administrative borders, so that later it would be possible to tell politically what about what we just talked about, so as not to repeat ourselves, sir, mr. major, yuriy botusov, a military correspondent who is near evdiyivka, and who reported from avdiivka, he says about the fact that the russian army was... unable to take avdiivka and now they are throwing the wagnerites, the private military company wagner, the defenders of avdiivka at the city, yuriy writes, in three weeks they destroyed most of the infantry and

equipment of the 114th-15th, 21st and the 30th motorized rifle brigades of the armed forces of the russian federation, which stormed north of avdiivka. now, they say they threw in the wagnerites so that shuigu and gerasimov would have a trial, so what if the ministry of defense failed in everything, then you see, even the wagnerites can’t take it, and they say everything, everything want to write off the private military company vagne. well, over the past year and a half, we have been talking a lot about the wagner pmc, their participation in this war, obviously we are talking about the remains of wagner, that they are trying to use them for, well, for meat assaults, it is simply difficult to call it another way they do, you know, well, with great respect to mr. butusov, but something seems to me that the russians are unlikely to use shaygut gerasimov's pvk wagner for mesnih.

first of all, there is almost nothing from that vagnyu pvc remained, many representatives of the vagnivites, representatives of this private military company signed contracts already directly with the regular units of the russian russian army, so where can those vagnivites come from in such numbers to make strong assaults, and there were units, units a and units k, in vagnilovites during the attack on bakhmut, some of them were professional, from the 13th year, this is a private army. the company exists, professional, well, with experience, military, this is one unit, and the other unit - these were the prisoners who they mobilized in order to, in order to make, make strong assaults out of them, now i am so sure that in this wagner there are almost no syzekovs left, because they put everyone under bakhmut, and those who moved to belarus, well i think that there were definitely not convicts there, there were only professional soldiers, well, maybe there were a few convicts there, but they did not make any kind of

weather, or they were not the overwhelming majority, so it can be said that it is the wagner military police that is trying, maybe there are a few convicts there are present, there is half south of avdiivka there is a storm yes called, that is, it is sheyguvskii, it is a storm z, it is the same local storms, only the storm groups are no longer vagnirevsya, ashaigu, that is, the minister of defense of russia, so mr. butusov may have meant, and besides, there are armed forces there from the south, yes of the so-called donetsk people's republic, here is the somali battalion, which we have heard many times, what is this, what is this unit, maybe this was meant, i am more visible to him, he is located there directly, i am at a greater distance, but frankly speaking, based on the information we had the last, let's say, weeks, even months, then i expect that a large number of wagnerites may appear there, well, where did they gather them,

although it may be just such an information input, which is used by the wagners, it is an input from the russian federation about that they, well, it is quite possible to blame the failure precisely on these people, well, mr. oleksiy, one more point, or rather one line, this is kupyansk, svatov and krymina, there is now constant pressure on the districts of kup' janska, lyman the first, maksyu. masyutivka, we are earlier reported that the russian occupiers had concentrated up to 1,000 of their army there, that 's what they want in this situation, let's explain to our tv viewers so that the entire battlefield on the eastern front, i.e. kupyansk, avdiyivka, is clear , what they want as a result of this, simultaneous strikes that they do not want to achieve, well, they want, again, they want, to go to the borders of the donetsk-luhansk region,

they can advance further, well, this group is in the kupinsko-limansk direction, well, kupintsi 100 km section, section, there in them as it was and still is remained, more than 1,000 servicemen, they did not particularly involve them in hostilities, well, they were there in the spring, there were some attempts at tank strikes, but not all forces were involved, there were more than a thousand tanks, more than a thousand armored vehicles, 500. barrel artillery is even more there, there is a reactive fire control system, there are up to 400 different systems, that is, there is a powerful group, of course they will try to advance, go to the oskil river, then try to cross the oskil river, advance as much as possible further, although those guys and the girls who are there say that even if they go to the river, the bank of gornyk kryash is there on the right, it is so fortified there that they will not be able to advance, well, force this river, so...' worst case scenario,

that they will go out to the river until they have reached, have not reached, what do the people who are there say, that it does not look like, their actions do not look like trying to advance, but more like trying to bind our troops and force to add some more of our reserves there, well, most likely remove from the south, where we are conducting offensive actions on the takmak, so here is the situation there, as far as it is now the last day, yesterday... today, today according to information, the activity of hostilities has decreased a little there, the number of military clashes there has decreased almost twice, even three times in some areas, they stopped or changed their minds, most likely they were torn apart, they are now reorganizing and what the next wave will be, there is no doubt here, like in limano-kupinsko -liman direction, as well as near bakhmut, klishchiivka, andriivka, and, of course, avdiivka - i think that this is their main attack, well, at least that's how it looks

, well, and further south to marinka, maybe if even south to the coal mine, maybe they will try to do something there some offensive actions too, well, it most likely looks like that. in order to force us to transfer part of our forces and resources from the south from the kherson direction to this, well, let's conventionally call it the eastern front. mr. major, on the night of october 24 , explosions rang out in the temporarily occupied sevastopol, later, gunshots were heard. the russian occupiers reported countermeasures, that is, a possible underwater attack, and before that they said that they were attacked by a drone from the air. volodymyr zelenskyi says that there is now no security base for the occupiers in crimea, that the russian fleet is gradually fleeing the peninsula. the russians can no longer control the western part of the sea. let's listen to what zelensky said. ukraine

was able to return to the black sea the role of a security artery on which global food stability depends, without our agricultural export. these. a food crisis and social chaos threaten dozens of nations from the west coast of africa to bangladesh to indonesia. this is a cornerstone, when ukrainian food exports disappear, the entire global food market collapses. by the way, there is a lot of violence in russia after the spokesman of the naval forces of the armed forces of ukraine, captain. third rank dmytro plettenchuk said that we will destroy the crimean bridge when the situation requires it, there just howl in the swamps, they say that how is it, how is it there, a captain of the third rank can talk about it, how do you now assess the southern direction, and in particular, crimea, the situation

in crimea, it is clear that they, the russians withdrew their ships there in novorossiysk, building a new base in occupied abkhazia and yet. are they preparing to leave? well, it's very good that they have eyelashes in the swamps, that what the captain of the third rank says, they don't understand that this is our territory, and that we will destroy not only the crimean bridge, with our own weapons, we agreed with our partners that we will not use their weapons on the territory of the russian federation, we will use our own weapons, destroy their military facilities, other decision-making facilities, and so on, and so on, because they, as it were, you know, as in those days, for what. that is, they attacked our country, a full-scale invasion has been going on for a year and a half already , and when we start to show, as they say, our teeth, to give an answer to him, they start to blow a lot, and what is this, that we are doing this, how can we do this to say, wait, don’t worry, there will be more, but what about when we destroy the crimean bridge, of course, when it happens, there will be

a need for it, we have the opportunities for it, it’s just not necessary, it must be done when there , come on, the crimean bridge is one of the two arteries that feeds the troops in the temporarily occupied crimea, there is a railway there, the russians actively use the railway, this is one railway from the russian federation to the crimea and to the kherson group of troops, and the second is ot volnovaho jenkoi, this the second railway, and paikei is the main artery, well, of course, when we go to takmak and physically control this railway, then most likely it will be the time when... the kershchen bridge will also be destroyed, then they will be left without the opportunity to supply all that is needed in crimea, there will remain a few roads , well, this is approximately 5 - 10% of what they could do with two railways, and this will not give them anything, they will only have those

means, well, shells, ammunition, everything there is it is necessary for the army, only for two, two, maybe three months, this is the maximum of those... external reserves that they have there, and the supply is all, the supply will largely stop, as for the fleet, well, our surface , well, these are surface drones, these are unmanned boats, they are asked to call them that, our sailors, well, that ’s right, the rules of the sea must be followed in them, even when we are not sailing, going out, and so on, that’s right, of course, that already called the mosquito fleet, we even created a separate surface brigade without... patrol boats, now there is information that we have already conducted tests of unmanned submarines, well, a guided torpedo is a big deal, if the surface submarine is difficult to intercept. the submarine will be almost impossible at all, and in this way you can completely agree with president zelensky

that we can control the western part, well, the large water area of ​​the black sea and not give the russians the opportunity to intercept there, as they tried to create a blockade for grain , for vessels which they transport grain, for that, well, and they had to take their fleet to novorossiysk , to abkhazia, they are building there, you are right, they are building... in addition, somehow, some ports, the port is not needed because the ship needs to moor there somewhere and go out for a walk there american, it’s in the port, after every trip to the sea, the ship has to carry out certain routine work there, and this must be done only in the port, there, well, routine maintenance work, it’s so easy to protect it there, it’s okay, it’s possible, but that is, after that the ship can become incapacitated, all of them... points in crimea, they are in the range

of our unmanned surface boats, or our air impression means, these are drones, and this is, of course , a missile, including attacks, well, at the range at which we have so far we can shoot with what we have, well, that is, the prospect that the crimean bridge will cease to exist, as, as general budanov said, as an unnecessary... construction in the kerch strait, in principle, in the strait, which, in principle, is not such a distant prospect, i understand correctly, yes, it is not a distant prospect, simple it makes sense to do it, either at the same time, or there with a certain periodicity, it’s not the crimean cable-stayed bridge, because it’s some kind of ugly architectural structure, it’s one of the two railway arteries russians actively use the railway, even historically, even there a century ago they the railways tried to transport the main number of soldiers there, everything that is needed from

a military point of view, so it is necessary to destroy not only this railway, but also this railway that we talked about in the south, well , there are many stations, but conditionally that there of course, this is volnovaha, takmak and further, dzhankoi, there are no other railways there, because they are trying from mariupol now. to build an additional railway along the coast of the zovsk sea, realizing that we will control that railway sooner or later, well sooner, well soon, there are 15-20 km left, and they understand that without this logistics, it will not just happen worse, it is a little more difficult there, it will simply become awkward, there will be no reason to transport, well, for example, shells, even cartridges, well, that’s all, and rockets will not be possible to transport for these same boats, calibers, and so on, that is, they understand it perfectly. they, that's why such an uproar arose when a person said that we will destroy the bridge, they somehow believe that we have nothing to destroy, and we do not destroy it, because we

cannot destroy it, no, we can already destroy it, it's just that it must be done, well, in a timely manner, and not like the hols hay, as soon as possible, thank you, mr. oleksiy, for the conversation, it was oleksiy hetman, a veteran of the russian-ukrainian war, a major of the national guard of ukraine in reserve, friends, we work live on the espresso tv channel. also on our youtube and facebook platforms, for those who are watching us live on youtube and facebook right now, you can join our pages and also like this video, don't be stingy, i see we have a lot of people on youtube is watching, but not everyone liked it, as well as you friends, you can take part in our survey, today we ask you about whether ukraine needs peace talks with russia, yes, no, your option, please write in the comments below video. next, we will be in touch with colonel of the security service of ukraine, people's deputy of ukraine roman kostenko. mr. colonel, i congratulate you, i am glad to see you on our air. good

evening, come on. today, denys shmygel , prime minister of ukraine, in an interview with the financial times, said that there is a huge shortage of ammunition in the world, warehouses are empty, i quote mr. shmygel. we have a huge shortage of ammunition not only in ukraine, but also in the whole world. we understand what we have to produce. here in ukraine, because all over the world they are over, they are exhausted, all of them the warehouses are empty, and said that, in principle, we are ready to develop the industry, the production of projectiles, artillery and anti-aircraft weapons, but this is a very difficult task in the conditions of constant shelling of the russian federation, ukrainian territory, what do you say about this deficit, it is clear that the whole war that is going on, the big war that has been going on for a year and a half, it is going on in a complete deficit. of course, no matter how many shells there are, no matter how many weapons there are, there will still be few of them, is

this lack of weapons so critical, about which says mr. shmigel. well, we have to understand that yes, indeed, a lot of ammunition is wasted in this war, some even say that at some stages it was so that more ammunition was used than, during the second world war, in the whole the soviet german front, but we have to understand what he is talking about. if we talk about the shortage, we are talking from our point of view, taking into account that the biggest shortage in the first place is soviet-style calibers, and we understand that we do not have the production of these calibers it was, er, before the start of a full-scale invasion, and these calibers were in the countries

of the former, warsaw pact, and there are practically all the stocks, we... took them, because i say again, the consumption is very high, and er, now there is there are several factories in europe that manufacture these ammunitions, but they are not so many of these factories in countries that are friendly to us, and they, as a rule, these countries are in nato, and they still gradually transitioned, so there was not much demand for soviet ammunition , but now it is there and they have launched some of their capacity there, but there are not enough of them for the intensity of hostilities that are going on in the war of ukraine against the russian federation, there are reserves, if we continue to talk about the soviets, there are many of them in other countries, but these countries either support the russian federation or are somehow dependent on the russian

federation, their or the defense-industrial complex, their army, or some kind of economy. or neutral and the russian federation does not give them the opportunity, for example, to sell certain ammunition to our country, so we are now limited to our friends, the work there goes through some third, fourth countries in order to even those countries that sympathize with us, but cannot transfer it, for example, because of their geopolitical circumstances, or some unfriendly circumstances in the region, when they understand, if they sell it directly, then they will have problems with neighboring countries or countries or with the same, with the same russian federation, there is also a problem here , it does not always mean that they are not there, they are not in countries that are friendly to us, because these are often civilized countries that have already given up these ammunition and e- er, let's say, they switched to nato standards, er, therefore, there are, and i repeat once again, that there are countries that have not even started to use their stocks, often the calibers are the same

in china, of course, no one has supplied, kazakhstan has a large... stocks, india has large stocks of these ammunition , but these countries, well, i’m not talking about north korea , that is, these ammunitions are there, they are in some countries, there in serbia, for example, but they too, for one reason or another, cannot sell us ammunition, because there is a large the russian federation has influence, and if we are talking about the 155th caliber, which is in service in nato, yes, there is also a problem with him, because in fact, no one prepared for this... for the war, these factories, they produced and worked purely for the needs of the nato armies, as a rule, these needs were met exclusively there by some training shootings or some conflicts, which there were, but they were not so intense, they simply replenished them, the old ones were shot, new ones had to be put in their place when such a mass exodus began, as is happening now in our country, and even more

so when the conflict zones expand as well as there in the middle east, then everyone understood that more ammunition needs to be made, even when i was at the munich conference last year, in february, the leaders of the country, both scholz and macron, spoke, and their main point was that they will develop their defense industrial complex, they recognized that it is in decline, especially the production of ammunition, and they called...' in order to reach normal volumes, it takes several years for them to establish a normal amount ammunition, and normally they calculate, judging by the intensity of what is currently happening in our country and roughly counting the time that may be there in the conflict with the russian federation, well , we say, let's say, yes one part, er, ammunition, but

the biggest problem in the world and and we have