[000:00:00;00] with president zelensky in the fact that we can control the western part, well, the large water area of ​​the black sea and not give the russians the opportunity to intercept there, as they tried to create a blockade for grain, for ships that transport grain, for, well, and they had to take their fleet to novosibirsk, to abkhazia, they are building there, you are right, they are building additional ports of some kind, the port is not needed because the ship needs to be docked there somewhere, and the sailors can go for a walk there, that is, in the port, after each departure to the sea, a ship certain regulations for work must be carried out there, and this must be done only in the port, there, well, regulatory work, maintenance, it’s so easy to push it to the shore, throw it, that’s it, well, it’s possible, but that is, after that the ship can become incapacitated

, all the points in the crimea, they are within range, or our surface, without ... crew boats or our means of air impression, these are drones, and this, of course, is a missile , including attacks, well, at the range at which we have so far we can shoot with what we have well, that is, the prospect of the crimean bridge ceasing to exist as, as general budanov said, as an unnecessary structure in the kerch strait, in principle, in the strait, in principle, this is not such a distant prospect, that’s right, i understand, yes, it not a distant prospect, it just makes sense to do it, either at the same time or there with a certain periodicity , isn’t the crimean bridge annoying, because it ’s some kind of ugly architectural structure, it’s one of the two railway arteries actively using the railway even historically

there, since the last century, they have tried to transport the main number of troops there, well, everything that is needed, from a military point of view, so it is necessary to destroy not only this railway, but by the way, this railway that we talked about in the south, well, there is a lot stations, but conditionally, so that it is clear, this is valnavakh, takmak and beyond , dzhankoy, there are no other railways there, because they are now trying to build an additional railway from mariupol along the coast of the sea of ​​azov, realizing that sooner or later we , well, sooner, well, soon, there are 15-20 km left, we will monitor, and they understand that without this logistics, it will not only get worse, it will be a little more difficult, but it will simply become impossible, there will be no way to transport, well for example, shells, even ammunition, well, that’s all, and it will not be possible to transport missiles for these same boats , calibers, well, and so on, that is, they understand it perfectly and they, that is why such an uproar arose when a person said that we

destroy, they are sure of something. that we have nothing to destroy and we don't destroy it, because we don't can destroy it, no, we can already destroy it, it just needs to be done, well , in a timely manner, and not, not like in sinom hols, as soon as possible. thank you, mr. oleksiy, for the conversation, this was oleksiy hetman, a veteran of the russian-ukrainian war, a major of the national guard of ukraine in reserve. friends, we are live on the espresso tv channel and also on our youtube and facebook platforms, for those who are currently watching us live on youtube and facebook, you... can join our pages and also like this video , no hurry up, i see that a lot of people are watching us on youtube, but not everyone has liked them, and you, friends, can also take part in our survey, today we ask you about this, does ukraine need peace talks with russia? yes, no, your option, please write in the comments below this video. next, we will be in touch with colonel of the security service of ukraine, people's deputy of ukraine,

roman kostenko. mr. colonel, i am you. congratulations, glad to see you on our air. good evening, back today, denys shmyhal, the prime minister of ukraine, is in an interview financial times, said that there is a huge shortage of ammunition in the world, warehouses are empty, i quote mr. shmyhal, we have a huge shortage of ammunition not only in ukraine, but also in the whole world, we understand that we have to produce it here in ukraine, because all over the world they have run out, they are exhausted, all warehouses are empty, and he said that, in principle, we are ready to develop the industry, the production of projectiles, artillery and anti-aircraft means, but this is a very difficult task in the conditions of constant shelling of the russian federation, ukrainian territory that you say about this shortage, it is clear that the whole war that is going on, the big war that is going on calibers, we did not have it, before the beginning of the full-scale invasion, and these calibers

were in the country. of the former warsaw pact, and we took away almost all the stocks there, because, i say once again, the consumption is very high, and now there are several factories in europe that manufacture these ammunitions, but they are not, not so many of these factories are in countries that are friendly to us, and they , as a rule, these countries are in nato, and they nevertheless gradually transitioned, therefore there was not much demand for soviet ammunition, but now it is there and they have launched some of their capacities there, but they are not enough for the intensity of the hostilities that are going on, the war of ukraine against the russian federation, there are reserves, if we continue to talk about the soviet ones, there in

other countries, there are many of them, but these countries either support the russian federation, or they are somehow dependent on the russian federation, or their defense-industrial complex, their army, or somehow economically, or they are neutral and the russian federation does not give them the opportunity, for example, to sell those or ammunition to our country, that is why we are now limited to these friends , there the work goes through some third and fourth countries, so that even those countries that sympathize with us, but cannot transfer it, for example, due to their geopolitical circumstances, or some unfriendly circumstances in the region, when they understand, if they sell it directly, then they will have problems with neighboring countries, or countries, or with the same, the same russian federation, and there is also a problem here, it does not always mean that they are not , they... are not in countries that friendly to us, because these are civilized, often countries, which have already given up these ammunitions and uh, let's say, switched to nato standards, uh, that's why there are, and i repeat again, that there are countries that have not even

started their stockpiles to use, often the calibers are the same in china, of course , no one supplied, kazakhstan has large reserves, india has large reserves of these ammunition, but these countries, well, i am not talking about north korea there. that is , these ammunitions are in some countries, in serbia, for example, but they are also for one reason or another for some reason, they cannot sell us ammunition, because the russian federation has great influence there, and if we are talking about the 155th caliber, which is in service with nato, then there is also a problem with it, because, in fact, before this war, no one did not prepare, these factories, they produced and worked purely for the needs of the army. nato, as a rule, these needs were provided exclusively there by some training shootings or some conflicts that occurred, but they were not so intense, they simply

replenished them, the old ones were shot, the new ones it was necessary to invest in their replacement, when such a mass exodus began, as is currently happening in our country, and even more so, when the conflict zones expand in the same way as there in the middle east, then everyone understood that it was necessary to make more ammunition when i was at the munich conference last year in february, the leaders of the country, scholz and macron, spoke and their main point was that they would develop their defense industrial complex, they admitted that it was in decline, especially the production of ammunition, and they called in order to to reach normal volumes, they need several years in order to establish normality. the amount of ammunition, but normally they calculate, judging by the intensity of what is currently happening in our country and approximately calculate the time that may be there in the conflict with the russian federation, well

, we say, let's say, yes one part, ammunition, but the biggest problem and in the world, and in our country, i think, and there in other countries that do it. er, this is gunpowder, but gunpowder is a real problem all over the world, it is produced by china and several other countries, and there is no such mass production of gunpowder, once again, because few people made it before the war, and those enterprises that did, they went into decline here, and similarly in many other countries it was easier to buy there in the same china or somewhere else, because no one hoped for a war and a lot of this production was lost, so gunpowder is the main thing now ... a material that is very necessary, because even there during the production of projectiles , you can cast the projectile body itself,

it is difficult to make a leveler, but you can we do it pour to make an explosive, well, looking at it, tnt is easier there, hexogen is more difficult, but you can find it, by the way, the prices of hexogen have also skyrocketed, they used to be a few dollars there, now they are there, i won’t say tens of dollars, more than 50 is the price of physagene , where and it is constantly growing, because the market economy is growing, the demand for it is growing and prices are rising, so you can pour something in there, but in order for the projectile to fly, you need powder, and each projectile needs a separate one, and this is also a problem in the world with powders, so i told you almost the whole link, going back to ukraine, the same problems as everywhere, it is not a problem to cast some shells there, something can be done there , i won’t say much there either, but we have fixed something, we have private companies that have mastered the production of some projectiles and it's all food.

of course, this requires other conditions, not like the european one, we understand that all these enterprises can be under the sights of the russian federation, the conditions for their creation are different, the conditions for their security are different, it is necessary to change and it is necessary to do so that they are not , you know, there are factories that are surrounded a thorny road, yesterday it was not, but today the towers are standing, as it is written in some documents, everything needs to be changed, it is necessary to open, it is necessary to simplify and then the production will be adjusted, but there are many problems. we are trying to solve them in this way already in the stage of war. colonel, why am i asking about weapons and these stocks, because the americans are predicting the possibility of a continuation of the war or an escalation, let's say, with the axis of evil, conditional, china, iran and russia, a bipartisan commission of the congress of the united states of america says that the united the united states can enter such a zone.

the tensions in relations with russia and china between the 27th year and the 35th year, and what can be problematic, which can lead to a military conflict between these states, i believe that given the fact that the world was not ready for such a hot war of russia against ukraine, well, parallely, the war of hamas against israel has also started, and it is obvious. there will also be some continuation, and not only with hamas, but also with neighboring countries that support hamas and palestine, er, considering on the prospects of what they are describing, the americans are talking about the fact that there could be a global war, or a bigger war, does this mean that we are entering the era of another arms race, because when there was a soviet union, this arms race was big enough, stocks , which is now used by the russian federation as well, these are the stocks that were accumulated

by the soviet union, somewhere beyond the urals, these tanks were standing, and this equipment was simply standing under trailers, and then they transported here, is such an explosion possible, military industrial complex of the world, taking into account all these threats, and what will the world gain as a result? from my point of view, it is clear, i am sure that in the next 50 years, even if the war in ukraine ends there, i do not know, in some short period, then this, these scars from this war, will force all other countries to treat your defense industrial complexes so lightly with your military, and i'm sure that there will be, i've already talked about this, that there will be something like an arms race and a cold war, because even if you

you say correctly, we see now. what geopolitical processes are taking place in our country, the middle east, china, which there claims to be a regional leader in central asia, when it has territorial claims to taiwan, north korea, the russian federation, there, there is japan, there there is south korea, yes, different worlds, different political movements, which are located there, the management of countries, then of course all this is there, and even if it is not, it will not catch fire, if there is no war, then all these shams from the ukrainian war will keep everyone on board to accumulate weapons and to understand that how ukraine found itself in a situation where it is one on one with the enemy and only after a few months countries began to help it, everyone should understand and here the question is whether they will start helping or not, you can already see

the conclusions of that , that the united states sent its aircraft carriers to the mediterranean sea to support israel, they already understand that sometimes it is more important to come and help immediately, or to show other countries that there is no need to attack this or that country, that they will defend it, it was different with us russia entered, for about three months we fought practically by ourselves, yes, there were some infantry weapons that were handed over to us, the first artillery came somewhere, i remember, in may there were three sevens, haimarts, they were probably there at the end of summer or inside , who really helped us with something, they started some kind of armament there, so of course i am sure that for... the next 50 years, maybe i am exaggerating, but i take 50 years somewhere based on estimates of how it was after the second world war, and there will be an arms race, there will be new weapons, and the practice of using them will be constantly studied troops, i think there will be some new alliances that will be united already based on regional er

interests, which will plan their defense together, their life near the russian federation, in that stormy sea, i said a long time ago that we need there if we are talking about the black sea, coverage of the surface situation, which in our country completely covered everything from turkey, bulgaria, romania, all the way to ukraine, so that it was one, a belt that would help us cover the underwater and surface and air situation, which could respond to the actions of the russian federation, then i think in favor with such a principle, it is possible that new unions will be formed, in particular to protect their interests in specific regions, in addition to the unions that already exist now, i am sure that we already remember many times, france, trying to present itself as the leader of europe, declared the creation of a european army, yes, there is nato, but they understand that in nato the main player is the united states, the main player who has the main power, and if you remove the united states from there,

then nato will become much weaker, and the world leaders understand this, including britain and france and germany, who want to have a key role in europe, in order to influence regionally and influence geopolitics, they believe that they need a new army, well their own european one, and it is not excluded , that it will be created, because the threats from the russian federation and other countries are great, and i think this is due to the fact that there will be other unions, maybe there will be a complete review, review the security format, the security format, as it was after the second world war. maybe after all these processes that are happening now, it will also be revised, there will be some global alliances and there will be some regional alliances that will ensure each other's security. mr. colonel, i also want to ask you about the information that appeared in the german publication bild, they write about the fact that the russians tried to modify

the soyuz rocket, which goes into earth orbit, and according to the version of german journalists, this is quite important publication that tells this story that the russians wanted to fill explosives, this, this soyuz carrier rocket and launch it somewhere from plesetsk there near arkhanelsk, and so that this rocket does not go into orbit, falls somewhere in ukraine and preferably somewhere in the districts of kyiv, and this conversation about, this conversation of the former head of roscosmos is being discussed dmytro ragozin and the current head of the roscosmos subsidiary of the progress rocket and space center, dmytro baranov, are also published by bid, who say that they were preparing such a provocation, and it was in january 23, they reported to putin, they said that

we can do something like this to run loaded with this explosive, however, everyone said that it might explode somewhere, this missile is not over ukraine, over russia, because it will not withstand this flight and flight speed, how likely is the use by the russians, well, the missiles of this missile union in order to hit ukraine, the russians can invent anything, it is absolutely obvious, how likely is the threat that they will do it? you know, i am not a specialist in precisely such rockets, precisely space ones, well, and about that other rockets directly there thh, them application, yes, from a military point of view, specifically, about the possibility of such a possibility, whether it can or cannot, as i understand it, such a missile can

be launched only on a ballistic trajectory, and it is also necessary to understand what the composition is, what it is made of. what kind of overloads does it have to withstand, that it goes up there, for example, under the engine, but when it goes ballistic down, then we understand that the overloads there simply under its own weight can be much different, then we need to ask people who are directly engaged in rocket engineering, horbulin, korosel, our, shall we say, meters of rocketry, so uh, if she is capable of this and there all the calculations allow, then uh, i can assume that the russians can do it, if they have more of them, then they can simply use them as a regular ballistic missile, in order to deliver a warhead to one or another part of ukraine, but i say once again, you need to look at the technical characteristics and ask specialists

to what extent they and the tactical and technical characteristics will allow this to be done. thank you, colonel, it was roman kostenko, people's deputy of ukraine, colonel of the sbu. friends, we are live on tv channel and also on our youtube and facebook platforms, for those who are currently watching us live on youtube and facebook, please like us. this video, so that it can be promoted in youtube trends, and subscribe to our pages, in addition , on youtube we are conducting a survey, we ask you about the following: do ukraine need peace talks with russia, yes, no, or your option, write any please in the comments under this video, then we will be in touch with a political scientist, the chairman of the board of the center of applied political studies of penta, volodymyr fesenko, mr. volodymyr, i congratulate you, i am glad to see you on our air, i am also glad to see you , congratulations, let's start zmazka zilon, because today he said that the integrity of ukraine must be sacrificed to avoid

the third world war. on his platform x , he wrote that we need to find peace in ukraine, i think we need to restore normal relations with russia, and if we want to restore normal relations with russia, we must understand that russia has come to ukraine and it is obvious. it will not go from there, well, from those territories that are already occupied by the russian federation. musk repeatedly says this, and it would be possible to ignore it, if not, to understand the influence of musk on the world and on what he says, perhaps crazy things, he says, but he does not accidentally say these crazy things, and it is clear that in the conditions , when russia is constantly trying to push ukraine to peace talks, musk always plays along in this situation. let's go let's make peace with russia, the united states of america, because in principle we have to make peace, because they will be

with the chinese, with iran, they will create a new axis of evil. how do you feel about these proposals of musk, and what are they connected with, that is, there must be some logic in everything, no , well, the logic is here, and it is simple enough that the proposals themselves, well, unfortunately, man, although it is known, the revolution in the latest technologies, but the person probably does not know history, at one time they were definitely going to appease hitler, and what happened when they go to concessions to aggressive dictators, people who create a new empire, concessions do not work , on the contrary, they only tempt the aggressor, they only under...' push him to new aggressive actions, he seized one country or

part of the country, they made concessions to him, like in his time with hitler on the czech republic, he went further, yes, and eventually it all came to world war ii, because they started making concessions to hitler, and that's why musk just probably doesn't know the history, but why does he say that, because there are such sentiments both in the usa and in the west, in many countries. of the world, somewhere there is a pro-russian sentiment that it is better not to quarrel with russia, it is better to come to an agreement with russia, and a lot has already been written and talked about in musk's circle, it seems that there are people connected with russia who influence musk's thoughts, his worldview , on his attitude there to the crimean problem, well, and in general now to ukraine, but in addition , these are banal concerns, this is, i would say, pacifist... opportunism, musk, like many, is afraid of war, and he believes and

let's better agree, let's agree, let's go let's make concessions, yes, and that's it, there will be no war then, unfortunately, it doesn't work, this method doesn't work, so in this case, it's a vivid illustration of how a person who is a revolutionary in modern technologies is an absolute ignorant in politics and in history, today the speaker of the parliament... of the czech republic, marketta pekarova adamova, who spoke at the second parliamentary summit of the crimean platform held in prague, said that the world needs to respond to russia's crimes, let's listen to what she said. the illegal annexation of crimea in 2014 was the first of at the time of the collapse of the soviet empire, the direct and deliberate use of military force by one state to seize the territory of another state, and the absence of an adequate reaction to this by the international community, including

our countries, was perceived in the kremlin as a sign of our weakness. mr. volodymyr, madam speaker of the czech parliament is right about 2014, but why, why didn't the world see putin in 2008, when he attacked georgia, because it's also a question, why didn't they react in the 14th, and why didn't they react in the 8th to year, well, listen, if they didn't react in the 14th, didn't react to crimea , that was a real mistake, that's right , what we heard is just a testimony of the learned lessons of history, well, because this bitter experience of the of the czech republic, and understanding precisely those mistakes that were made in the 14th year, it is good that many western politicians both in europe and in the usa

have learned these lessons, in the eighth year, i think , there was no feeling at all , the realization that putin is already different, putin already wants revenge, putin already wants to change world order, maybe 2008 was just a rehearsal for putin , an attempt to show his muscles, to demonstrate his muscles, to demonstrate his western strength, the fact that the west went so quickly to negotiate, well, maybe it convinced putin, well, so you can do that. to act, by the way, then, in ukraine, just recently, well, two months ago, there was such a sad anniversary, 15 years, of russia’s attack on georgia, and someone mentioned that we had written, here i was, i remembered the article by oleksandr sushko, our colleague, who now heads the revival foundation, he wrote that the war in russia against georgia is a warning, the next

could be ukraine and crimea, in particular, yes, unfortunately. happened, that's why in ukraine, at least some people had such an understanding, yes, far from everyone, and we were all afraid and let's say this, did not want to believe in russia's war against ukraine, i remember, even in march 14 year, when crimea was already seized, the people with whom i spoke, ordinary people, said that they never thought that they would live to see the war with russia, they did not believe in it, and in the west they did not believe in it, but in the fact that very soft, inadequate, soft reacted to russian aggression and the seizure of crimea, and russia's hybrid war against ukraine. this was a huge mistake, which eventually led to a direct full-scale attack by russia on ukraine, and by the way, now, i think that the lesson of the events surrounding israel and the attack by hamas, there is already

an opinion, well, it can be considered conspiratorial, but i think that it is necessary to carefully monitor the situation, whether russia has started a hybrid war, not only against ukraine, but a direct war is already underway against us, full-scale, but didn't russia start a hybrid war against the west, provoking such a chaos of international relations, a chain, a chain reaction of various regional conflicts, in order to divert attention from ukraine and to drag the west into a whole series of such conflict situations, again in order for putin to resolve his issues regarding ukraine there, as it is called. the leader of the republicans in the united states senate, mitch mcconnell, is quite an influential political figure on the chessboard of american politics. he says that china, russia and iran are a new axis of evil in the world. i spoke with