[000:00:00;00] and it is necessary to do something with it, because as shmyhal says, all the warehouses are very quickly emptying , what were the reserves of weapons, and we need more weapons, we need to fight more and we need to produce more in order to ensure our security, and what do you say, about the prediction that the americans make about a possible new cold war, which would inevitably, as the americans say, turn into a hot stage. well , it seems to me to be the most likely option. in general, at the moment it seems that the world is simply rolling towards the third world war war, well, can it be correctly called the fourth, and the third one considered the cold one, well, that's it, that's the details. one way or another, the world is heading for a big war, and on the one hand, i am glad that finally the west is slowly getting used to this idea, because it was quite obvious to us even a year ago, in the west, but they still mostly do not want

to believe ... in the third world war, just as the ukrainians did not want to believe in this death until february 24, this is the impression that until february 24, ukraine stood in this strauss pose, who simply bury his head in the sand, or let's remember this movie, don't look at the sky, that's the position of the west, it still largely remains the same, but finally sober voices have already been heard, which really assess that the threat is so great that the only chance to avoid... a big war is to prepare for it in a hurry , because actually, why didn't the cold war turn into a big world war, but simply that they were ready for it, for a big world war, and that's why the then the axis of evil did not dare to start it, but the current axis of evil is looming precisely because the west relaxed and did not prepare for war for 30 years, and now it is necessary to make up for it, and this arms race has already started, and the entire western defense industry is now

receiving in the last ... one year, the western defense industry received more orders than in previous years 10 or 15, and this continues, on the contrary, orders are only increasing, production capacity is increasing, but the problem is that not everything can be solved only with money, that in addition to money, in addition to money, there is another matter called time, and it is far from you can always just money to compensate for the lack of time, some things are very slow to recover, in particular, for example, it concerns the production of ... even ordinary ammunition, the same artillery shells. well, for reference, how the west lived before that, the annual norm of the french army was 7,000 artillery shells of 155 caliber. currently, the armed forces use from eight to 10,000 155-caliber shells per day. let's compare, let's say, in terms of the size of the country, ukraine and france, both the annual rate and the daily rate. that is, roughly speaking, stocks and production

projectile. 300 times less than what is needed for this scale of wars. and, the west has only now come to its senses, because 30 years since the fall of the iron curtain, the west has been convinced that not a global war, but simply a standard conventional war with a more or less technologically comparable enemy, will never happen again. , but fukuyama then told them that history was over, and they believed it, and for 30 years all western armies were actually preparing only for colonial wars, for wars somewhere in countries of the third world against some mujahideen on jeeps with machine guns, here suddenly instead of mujahideen on jeeps with machine guns , there is the so-called second army of the world, and somewhere behind there is the ghost of the possibly first army of the world, at least in terms of the number of fighters, that is, the chinese people's army,

and on the one hand it is good that this understanding is emerging: that a world war is either inevitable and one must prepare for it, or in order to avoid it after all, one must prepare for it on the run, but there is also a certain minus, because part of these voices are heard on the topic that since there may be a big global war tomorrow, let 's not scatter the heaps of reserves that we have, in particular, let's not scatter them on ukraine, and this is very serious, that when the states are already at full capacity the question of who should give shells to us first, or to israel , and the american military, for example, when there was a question about the atacamas, this was the only case when even the american military was not very happy to give them to us, before that only politicians were against it, and here actually the pentagon said: sorry, we only have about a thousand of these attacks, and maybe tomorrow we will fight for taiwan with china, and this

is a really real problem, and we need to increase our own production of everything we are capable of producing and learn to produce what we not yet able, you know, there's an old joke about how, oh my god. lamented that there would be a global flood in a week, well, and accordingly, the russians have been raging there all this last week, well, because there won't be any more, when the french arrange there huge orgies, and the rebbe gathered the jews in the synagogue and said: well, what news did everyone hear? yes, everyone has heard, so you and i have exactly one week to learn how to breathe underwater, so we most likely still have the 24th year, when we are most likely, me after all. true, false, but they will maintain approximately the current level of western support, this is also the fact that i am optimistic now, but what will happen in the 25th , no one can predict for sure, and even in a good

version, here we are in the 24th year, to learn self-sufficiency during this time, and this the challenge is as critical now as it was the challenge not to give up at all, but to go into all kinds of terrodefense, to shoot at the orks from every corner in the spring of last year, but at the moment the next challenge of the same scale is to learn how to provide your army and your front yourself. well, in the meantime, nato member countries should accelerate the production of weapons in order to replenish their own arsenals, nato secretary general jens stolten said. he spoke at a forum before representatives of the western military industry, he said that weapons nato is needed to ensure peace and freedom, let's listen to what stolt said. we need either huge stockpiles of weapons or huge spare production capacity to rapidly produce and procure arms and munitions, both of which lead to high costs in peacetime, but are critically

needed for nato to be able to operate in a crisis, e.g. , war in ukraine. as they once said in the soviet union, if you want peace, prepare for war, well, that's about it, absolutely. even though they said that in the union, yes, yes, well, this is a password, stop, by the way, and what does the union have to do with it, voxim parabem, that’s what the ancient romans used to say, and then i, it’s just the soviet union repeated it so often that i thought it was the result of soviet propaganda , yes, no, no, that’s right, they took the ancient classics, you have to give credit, something clever , they knew how to learn from people, yes, yes, yes, and the main thing is to repeat in the right direction... when they need it, sir yevgeny, i want to ask you one more story about the ukrainian army, yuriy

butusov, a well-known military correspondent and blogger, and other bloggers write that on october 20, the administrative department of the headquarters of the armed forces of the armed forces sent an order with a note to all subordinate military units and associations of all levels to provide information about members of the leading bodies of political parties who are mobilized to ranks of the armed forces why did the government start collecting information about politicians at the front? well, the answer here is so simple that with all the deep and sincere respect for butusov, but i don't understand why it is not obvious to him. so, well in fact, well, people already live so much only in the front that they do not see what is actually reflected in the rear in the meantime. and in the rear, meanwhile, the verkhovna rada is on demand. the european union adopted a law on so-called politically influential persons, the english abbreviation pep, that is, the law about peps, anyone can just google the news about this law, by the way, the law itself was really

adopted strictly at the request of the eu, it was one of the critical conditions, well, without which they will definitely not start negotiations on accession with us, and other things the question is how exactly to prescribe this law, and here we are cunning again... well, in my opinion, we have again contrived to justify this ancient proverb that if you force a fool to pray, he will definitely break his forehead, here we now that fool who bangs his forehead on the floor because ye asked for a law on politically influential persons, but excuse me, who to consider them, it was not prescribed by ye, our council decided to be holier than the roman pope and brought all living things to politically influential persons is moving in particular, any person who at least once in his life was a member of the governing body, of any registered political party,

automatically becomes pep. and let me remind you that there are about 500 political parties registered in ukraine. the absolute majority of them never had any representation either in the parliament or in local councils. the absolute majority of them, in general, beyond some marginal circles of interest or someone 's private business projects, have never been raised and, accordingly, they are not involved in politics influenced, well, i am silent about the fact that there are parties that, for example, 20 years ago may have had an influence, but they have long been forgotten, but any person who during all the years of independence was at least once in the political party of the party is now pep, and is subject to increased financial monitoring, here and there , respectively, in this case the armed forces as an institution that pays these people salaries, and it collects information about how many people they have in order to inform the banks about it, that's all , that's all betrayal, that is, i'm sorry, but

not betrayal, it's a pity if i disappointed someone, but there is no treason, but i'm sorry, the stupidity of the legislators is taking place, not for the first time, by the way , exactly the same thing happened with electronic declaration, well, there was a very interesting interview of the former ambassador of canada to ukraine, when he had already retired and was able to allow himself to say everything, so he directly said that the event really required electronic declaration... from top officials, and they thought that it would be a few hundred people who would be carefully monitored, well, maybe a couple of thousand with relatives, and ukraine took and entered the entire civil service in this category, received immediately more than 30,000 declarants and thus it is simply a physical impossibility to monitor all these declarations, but now this story has exactly repeated itself with peps. thank you, mr. yevgeny, for the conversation and for being with us, tsevgen dyky, veteran of the russian-ukrainian

war, former platoon commander of aidar battalion. friends, we are live on tv channel as well as on our youtube and facebook platforms, for those who are currently watching us on youtube and facebook, please like this video, subscribe to our social media pages networks, and take part in the vote that we are conducting today on youtube , we are asking you today whether you trust what you see in the only telethon, yes, no, or your own opinion, please write in the comments below video, we are interested to know your opinion. we have a major general in the reserve of the armed forces of ukraine, the former first deputy commander of the special operations forces of the armed forces of ukraine and the former deputy secretary of the nsdc serhiy kryvonost. mr. general, i congratulate you, i am glad to see you on our air. good evening, glory to ukraine. glory to heroes. mr. general,

continue. in the last few weeks, we have seen the activity of the russian occupiers in the avdiiv direction, the way they are destroying the city by shelling it, how much force they are throwing there, experts and military analysts from the american institute for the study of war say that the first offensive operation, which they did in october, it was on october 10, suffered significant losses to the russian occupiers and they lost a lot of equipment, now they are regrouping, you as a person who knows donbas very well, because you are in in 2014, they fought on the eastern front with the russians, please tell me what the russians want to get as a result of the offensive on avdiivka and will they get it? the russians are waiting.

and they want to conquer the new stalingrad, they already don’t have a lot of gold and now they need a cover, this is what concerns the information content of their successes, which is directly related to the practical military necessity, then their desire to capture avdiivka and continue the offensive, and try to dismember the grouping of the armed forces of ukraine in the donbas region direction by half and it is clear that in this situation the ukrainian army has no other option but to simply hold back this rush , a huge rush, which is trying to take the city, which is the gateway to donetsk, they have repeatedly said over the past year and a half that here they are will go to the borders of donetsk and luhansk regions, administrative, as they call these groups of the dpr and lpr, but judging by what they are doing in donbas, there will simply be

scorched earth, there will be destroyed cities, destroyed villages, there is nothing at all that in your opinion, what putin wants from donbas, it will be a gray zone, he wants to create a gray zone between ukraine and russia, or does he want to turn these, this area into landfills or something else, can you explain some logic, if it is possible at all ? there is only one logic, their desire to destroy everything that can be destroyed and leave not even a gray zone, but a dead zone , and so that for many years the word donbas is perceived by any ukrainian as simply a burnt land that is sown with a huge number of human scum, this such

informational psychological influence and with, you know, with a gap for the future of even a generation of ukrainians, this is an attempt to turn... the war simply into a classic genocide of the destruction of ukrainians as a nation, and both the military and the civilian population, i'm not talking about the destruction of the entire infrastructure of donbass. mr. general, yesterday, shmyhalal , denys shmyhal, prime minister of ukraine, in an interview with the financial times, said that there is a huge shortage of ammunition in the world, warehouses are empty, so it is necessary, he said, to adjust the process of production, weapons and ammunition on the territory of the country, does it mean is that the current shortage, which shmyhal is talking about, the shortage of ammunition, will one way or another affect

the russian-ukrainian front next year and our capabilities, well, first of all, it finally woke up after four years, the reign, let's call it that, because when at the beginning of the 20th year, the green government, due to its certain actions, reduced the number of workers by 1,300 people at the artem plant , at that time this powerful enterprise, which could produce 18,000 shells per year, in the prospects for the beginning of the 21st year, was expanding production to shells per year, instead of developing it, the government cut everything and brought the rest of the workers to one day's work in the work week, then the two years we would have if it worked at full capacity, that's about 7000

shells , and 7,000 shells at that expense, this is 70 days of active artillery war on the entire russian-ukrainian front at the expense of even our own shells. here is what we have, regarding mr. shmegal's statement that the warehouses are empty, the warehouses are empty for ukraine, this is the first, the second, because no one will to give you projectiles that are in the warehouses of the armed forces of nato countries, and not only nato countries, which are accumulated and stored for the implementation and solution of strategic tasks in the interests of those countries in whose warehouses they are located. a capitalist country cannot afford to have surpluses or to produce surpluses, if there is no need, it must be understood, the shells that we had, again, in huge quantities after the soviet union, some were

sold in a sufficiently large volume, some were blown up under the time of certain explosions of our warehouses at different times years and under different presidents, and some more. was quite successful, let's call it that, disposed of during 12-13 years, when , according to the order of the chief of the general staff, hundreds of thousands of shells were fired, and hundreds of thousands of shells were fired during these two years, under the guise of disposal, we lost a huge amount of ammunition, and at the same time, well, it's just catastrophic, with me the resource of our artillery barrels, even with sandpaper, if we did it, it would be much less damage than what we did at the expense of it

shooting, and it is important for us to understand that it was necessary to process projectiles on the territory of our country a long, long time ago, and it was not necessary to talk about it, it was necessary to deal with it, and at the level of distribution, dispersion of our resources, and using the spur effect, about which i told the authorities to do it a year ago, and as for the production of artillery shells, i also stated that it should have been done in april last year, instead of doing it, the authorities directly did not protect at that time artem plant, and we remember how in in april 2023, more than one rocket flew there, so mr. shmyhal's idea, it has not been...' new for a long time, but how we will be able to implement it now is another question, but it can be done if there is less pr on it, less to tell society where what and how. and do your thing quietly. mr. general, you say that at one time the government did not make the necessary efforts

to create this production, but rather reduced the production of ammunition and weapons, accordingly, you constantly say power, power, power, but every government has there, or the powerful man who makes these decisions, there are probably names, so in principle, i think that you, as the former deputy secretary of the national security service of ukraine, know exactly how it all happened, can you tell who, who, who did it and why did he do it, or was it an evil intention, or did they simply not understand that this could not be done in any way, i doubt that they did not understand the question, because if people agreed to occupy certain positions at a high state level, they had to understand that responsibility , they carry before society, the following, that,

they could have done without understanding what they were doing, this does not exempt them from responsibility, and if you have already sat in this chair, then answer, because you organized such a team that would help develop certain directions, and most importantly, there were plans, there were threats , in 2017, the armed forces led a simply excellent strategic command staff military game, where all options for an attack by the russian federation on the territory of ukraine were considered, and those options that were carried out by russia were considered, this attack from crimea, this attack on the part of belarus, and proposals were worked out and calculations were worked out, which would allow to significantly... reduce or practically make this influx impossible, if the state, those who

are responsible for it from above, were engaged in this, and as for strategic plans again , then at certain moments, those people who came to power in the 19th year, these threats were brought to them and strategic plans for the mobilization of the armed forces were brought to them, as well as the deployment and the possibility of transferring the country's economy to the military. to say that they did not know, it will be a lie, the people who are responsible for it reported it, and proved all these nuances, whether they wanted to hear them, whether they wanted to do it, the question is different, whether they understood what they were apostatizing from, that is also another question, the question in the fact that their responsibility has not become less because of that, i completely agree with you, mr. general, and well , taking into account the fact that russia, russia has now maximally increased the production of its weapons, ammunition,

they are switching to military rails, they are reconfiguring production , they try to catch up, and do more, missiles to fire at us, they are trying to make more ammunition to secure the front, from what happened between february 24th, 2020 and october 25th, 2023, were there any signs, are we seeing any signs that the country has readjusted and also switched to military lines and the factories there have started to work differently, well, those that are still working, are there any changes, what do you see, and if there is none, then how, how to interpret it, well, pr and stories, which we che very often our leaders, you know, say with verbs

unfinished action, we plan, we are waiting, we will, we will do, but we have done and implemented , it is practically unheard of, it is firstly, secondly, as regards the definition of those needs that are necessary for the armed forces in primary, secondary, according to different degrees importance, then... at the moment, probably, first of all, we need shells. i will say that, last week, when the offensive began, the moskals near avdiivka, our intelligence was excellent, they timely detected the advance of the enemy columns, in the battalion columns, they promptly gave the coordinates, but the number of artillery shells, which was at the disposal of our gunners, was so small that we were practically not particularly able to... let's call it that, disturb, and let's say, if it was planned, and there was provision, to destroy or inflict a decent,

powerful fire damage to the enemy, that is, in why the problem, the most important thing: in war, bravery is not at the level of the first trench of our positions, in war, the most important thing is to detect the enemy in advance, react in time to his advance, to his location and inflict a powerful fire damage, with which to disrupt his intention to inflict damage on in war, the first to strike very often wins, and it is important for us to understand this. that in the absence of artillery shells, the initiative will not be on our side, but to fight with human flesh, as the russians do, we cannot afford such a thing, our resources are not so large anymore, but this issue concerns not only artillery shells, these , you know, songs by our managers about thousands

and hundreds of thousands of released drones, i would like to... ask, maybe you are making them somewhere, but for some reason we don't see them in the ukrainian sky and we don't see them actively destroying russian equipment and personnel, this is also , once again, feeding them with promises, but without realizing our wishes, if it were again in that avdiiv direction, when the enemy left columns, we were able to raise 1000 drones there and even one drone, which would have destroyed a unit of equipment or several soldiers, then the offensive would have been disrupted and our battles in the avdiivka area would have been much weaker in intensity. also, a huge problem that exists, which must be resolved, it is the presence of different calibers in the armed forces of ukraine, especially with regard to small arms, and especially in matters of the introduction of urban battles, in

the conditions of urban development, the role of small arms. and the role of mortars of caliber 120, 82-60 is growing very strongly, and we have small arms in caliber 545 soviet, 556 nato in many parts, i’m not saying the same in machine gun versions, and this does not add to the capacity of our logistics , and significantly and in difficult ones, then during these times, from the 14th year already it was possible to make some rather ... powerful decision, strain some of our resources, ask our allies to meet us and provide all combat units, those at the front, with a single weapon in a single caliber 556, this would greatly improve our logistical capabilities, that is, such independence decisions

, no matter how difficult they say, would not be revealed, but we have to them... of course, the same applies directly to artillery, we have a huge number of different alterilite systems, and this also imposes certain prints, well it is clear, mr. generals, that now any country is thinking first of all about itself, about its capabilities, about what it has now in the confrontation against the so-called axis of evil, because in the united states of america they openly talk about what will pass another three or four years and maybe the americans will have to fight with the russians and the chinese, because there are such predictions that this will inevitably happen, and this is at the level of the congress of the united states of america, a bipartisan commission is talking about it, considering the fact that the world is now going but in the era of the cold war, in some moments there is

hotspots like the great war in ukraine. and i understand that in the near east it is also on the verge of what is happening there now, a big war can start there at any moment, in what way in your ukraine, do not keep attention on yourself and get from the west what what do we need now in a difficult situation, what should we do? well, let's see how fast enough it is. did israel react to this rush that tried to harm israel, i'm not talking about the missed goal in their goal, which is about a surprise attack, but between therefore, they avoided such a blow to the head quickly enough, their mobilization system performed excellently and each reservist arrived on time to their