[000:00:00;00] regarding taiwan, because, for example, japan, south korea, and a number of other countries are now increasingly talking about the danger, the development of the war in the taiwan strait, about support for taiwan, about a peaceful solution to this problem, that is, there will be a number of issues that will be discussed, well and it is obvious that we cannot do without a discussion of the situation in the near east, in russia, russian aggression against ukraine, and this rapprochement between north korea and russia. and the supply of weapons, another question is whether we will see results, obviously they will not be so bright, as much as we would like, but tell me, do you see any real compromises that can happen, in general, in the future between the states and china, you know, they are talking about what they can, for example, start

to find such foundations, these are climate issues there or bio...biodiversity or some kind of solution to general global issues in the economy, but will the parties, for example, concede to each other on such, you know, important issues regarding their personal interests, i think it is unlikely, that is, will biden refuse from of his policy, regarding the technological development of his technological industry and technological limitations, it is unlikely, whether he will decide , maybe... there are some tariffs, but whether he will completely decide, will decide to reduce these tariffs, is also a very discursive question, also concerning issues of more global character, the same conflict in the middle east, the parties view it very differently, as well as the war of russia against ukraine, so it is very doubtful that, for example, china will join the

position of the united states in resolving these conflicts, that is, for today, we see only the possibility of developing a track for their relations, which will then be supported by their advisers and their ministers in the future, but the fact that putin met with sidpin in beijing, just when they started talking about reality of the summit, between svidzempin and biden, this cannot indicate that russia would still like china to act, if not as an advocate of its interests, then at least as a country... whose leader will try to understand what compromises moscow can have with washington , here follows to say that it is obvious that china, at least if it does not defend, then advocate, then advocate the interests of russia, and what concerns the aggression against ukraine, and it seems to me, well, my personal feelings, after

this meeting became even more real understanding the fact that china would not want the defeat of russia, because the defeat of russia is the defeat of russia before the west, that is, itai does not look at the fact that the defeat in the war against ukraine, let's say, would be only in such a local conflict, no , this is primarily the west and the chinese, they would obviously like that china even more wants to preserve, and face. and its power, because russia is a very good support for achieving china's own interests, and that is why china, in its dialogue with the united states, will obviously defend, or at least support , russia's position, as far as russian aggression against ukraine is concerned, and that concerns a number of other issues that they will discuss, and

tell me if... we are talking about the next presidential election in taiwan, literally in a while, what are china's interests, to what extent is china an active participant in general process? china has a very serious interest, because there is a possibility of peaceful accession, at least, if not peaceful, then at least not so much military accession to taiwan , in the event that the opposition forces come to power, this is the party: the kuomintang is there, the taiwanese national party , because they have joined forces now, yes, as far as i understand, the national kuomintang party, the kuomintang is a party that has been around since the time of chaikangshi, and the taiwan people's party, it was formed just recently, and its candidate also holds a similar opinion , which taiwan has

find a common language with china and must find a platform for peaceful coexistence, while the current party, the democratic progressive party, which has the presidential seat in its hands now and is fielding its candidate, it has a tougher stance on china, and china... even is very seriously concerned that this party wants to declare independence for taiwan. it is obvious that the united states will not allow it to be done, because it will change the situation in the region in a completely different way, and actually speaking, it immediately caused military actions with on the part of china, therefore, china is waiting for what is possible in the event of the victory of these forces, plus, in parallel, there will also be parliamentary elections, respectively. these parties have the opportunity to get more seats in the parliament , to influence politics as well, and in this case it will be possible to establish a closer conflict with the island in order to lay the foundation for a peaceful unification with it, well, that is, kitar is considering different

strategies, accordingly it is very interested in the election ending with the victory of those candidates who are close to him, but on today, the candidate of the current president, i.e. her deputy vice president, has the advantage so far for raping, we will see later, china is very seriously interested in influencing these schedules in relation to the island, and plus, it must be said that the question in taiwan will be seriously discussed, because it has been announced, between biden and xi jinping, because in china it is very important that the united states endure... this policy of their ambiguity, uncertainty, recognition of one china, in which they will not submit any signals to the so-called, as china calls them, separatist forces, so that they do not start these processes of some kind of independence,

in case they still win these elections, and please tell me how one can understand the idea that in the event of the victory of the representative of the kuomintang in the presidential elections, taiwan will peacefully join china, well, representatives of the kuomintang have led the country many times and there has never been a platform for joining, precisely because taiwan is a democratic country and there all this must be done through the parliament, through a referendum and not it's so easy to arrange all this as you would like in fekin, it's not, not the people's republic of china, after all. obviously, but china has its own position, china considers this as its territory, and it is obvious that it hopes that through peaceful dialogue, that is , there will be such... which has endured for a long time in china, peaceful dialogue, close economic integration, it will help later influence the opinion and the voters, as you said, and all these processes that will take place in the state, so that in the end, this unification will happen,

in fact, this policy of china, for so long continues, so much, it has been ten years, and it is clear that the further , lo... and the mainland are divided among themselves, the stronger the sentiments inside the island itself, regarding the fact that if they are not independent, then de facto after all, they feel that way, and accordingly, this, this strategy of how it will be possible to influence the kuomintang, it is still, perhaps even today there is no such effect, but still, in china... it is considered calmer if not such separatist forces as they call them will be in power, and if they will not yet stir up society and take a series of steps that increasingly distance them from this desire to annex the island in a peaceful

way, and from the fact that these attitudes are changing very seriously in society, because in fact, even during these two years of russian aggression against ukraine, this chinese strategy of so-called... peaceful accession, it suffered very seriously, because within the taiwanese society they began to seriously consider this question, what will china be, what will their future be, or do they want this, besides, at the world level, well, even at the level of european countries, at the level of asian neighbors, taiwan, now they have also begun to very actively discuss the inadmissibility of the fact that china will annex the island not... given his opinions, to his position, and if we take a few years ago, before the start of the war, china was very successful in isolating the island, because its economic relations with various countries were a serious factor not

to interfere in this taiwan issue and no in a way not to discuss it at the international level, and plus before that , for example, during this time, literally in a few years, china managed to convince a number of countries that still recognized... taiwan as an independent state, there were 26 of them, or about five years ago, then reduce to 13 countries that still recognize, due to their personal incentives. that is, to diplomatically isolate the island in every possible way, so that in the future it means its gradual leveling at the international level, well, this is also like the conviction that it is just for nothing, some other territory of theirs, to which others do not have influence, and some international organizations, international contacts, they also seriously lick themselves. thank you, thank you, ms. natalie.

nataliya plaksenko butyrska, east asian expert, master of foreign policy, we were in touch on this broadcast, we have 15 minutes left to talk about another difficult region, the balkans, nataliya ishchenko, project manager balkan columnist, we will be in touch now, the situation in the balkans is really quite difficult, because all the efforts made by the west in order to serbia and kosovo found a common language between themselves, resolved the issue, at least in fact of mutual recognition, all this did not lead to any real results, and if all this did not lead to any real results, this by and large slows down the process of european integration and the republic of serbia , which is, by the way, a candidate for membership in the european union, despite all these pro-russian sympathies that serbian society has, it is absolutely wild from a historical

point of view, but serbia is a candidate member is, by the way, it became a candidate member much earlier than ukraine, and of course, this is a brake on the european inspirations of the republic of kosovo, a small state, the second albanian state in the modern world, whose population suffered a huge trauma in connection with the attempt of the leadership of serbia at the time, led by the dictator and great friend of russia slobodan milosevic, to create all the conditions there for the genocide of the population of kosovo, as you know, this, these serbian attempts were stopped, thanks to the nato operation, the military and infrastructural centers of the aggressor were bombed, after which serbia was forced to abandon the attempts expel the kosovars, they returned to their native homes, but another problem arose, the problem of the serbian minority in kosovo itself, because part of the serbian population remained there, in the territory where they have always been, in fact, a tool in the policy of apartheid against the albanians carried out by the leadership in

in belgrade, even now , rather tense relations continue between the albanian majority and the serbian minority of kosovo, and the government in belgrade is doing everything possible and impossible so that the situation is not normalized, but worsened. because it corresponds to the personal, political intentions of the president of serbia, aleksandar vučić, the former minister of propaganda in the dictatorial government, slobodan. will i put my most chauvinistic attitude towards serbian society, so natali ishchenko, and we will talk about exactly that, what do you think ms. natali is for, congratulations, good evening, president vučić suddenly needed extraordinary parliamentary elections, what is he hoping , on the strengthening of power, you know, analysts, came to the conclusion that ochich,

announces the choice, the election when he believes that he will receive the greatest possible support , that is, he felt that his rating will gradually decrease, and he announced the election precisely when his party, his allies have not yet lost the sympathy of their voters, further will it's worse, vuchich believes, that's why he dissolved the parliament and called elections, and they also dissolved local authorities and called new elections there. the head of the european commission, ursula fonder, emphasized that the normalization of relations between serbia and kosovo is a prerequisite for their european integration they will hear in belgrade, and in pristina, this warning of the european commission, will they act as they have always acted? another reason for the election is that vluchic now wants to delay... solving the issues that

the european union requires him to solve, this is the de facto recognition of kosovo and the introduction of sanctions against russia, the election campaign, and i understand that vulchic , well, not only me, experts in general, that vuchich during the elections, the election campaign, and then there will be the formation of the majority, the government, all this... time, vuchich and the new government will tell the european union that, you see, now we have to formalize the new government, and only later, after that, we will solve some foreign policy issues, as well as the issues of the region, and that is precisely why the student is using the elections in order not to solve urgent issues,

which are needed for european integration, but what will happen next will be clear after it is clear with whom uchich will enter the coalition, because what if he takes the right-wing party into the coalition, as is likely, it is the nationalists vaislav seselya, then, of course, there can be no question of any european integration. i wanted to talk more about black because montenegro finally, many months after the last parliamentary elections, formed a coalition government, and this coalition government talks about its european goal and that its main task... is to bring montenegro to in the european union, on the other hand, pro-russian politician andrii mandych became the head of the montenegrin parliament, who not only expresses his support for the kremlin and vladimir putin there, but was directly a participant in the attempted coup d'état in montenegro organized by the russian and

serbian special services in the hope of stopping montenegro's path to nato. you know, montenegro here... runs the risk of going exactly the way of serbia in the sense that it will declare european integration, will even carry out some reforms that brussels demands, in particular in the economy, but nevertheless, will follow the forerunner of belgrade and synchronize to plan their actions with belgrade in this way is another matter, that after all, montenegro has made progress much... the european integration of pro-western politics is further along, and probably now it will slow down in order to fall behind its taken, to pick up speed so that serbia will catch up with it for it in its

european integration reforms, but you know, montenegro is just that much.. . an experienced country in terms of such, you know , complex regional foreign policy activity , which is possible, and even all these pro-russian politicians, they change their shoes, this also happened, because djukanovych himself, you know, he was an associate of milosevic, but simply became radically pro-western, and there is also the option that all these pro-russian politicians, they put on european, so to speak, clothes and change their course to pro-western, at least, i don’t know if it was staged, but that

nevertheless, the russian media, experts there made a noise that oh , what a betrayal of our allies of montenegro, they agreed to a pro -western coalition, and will hold an event about western politics, we will see, in the end, the first steps will already be clear, what to expect from podgorica, yes, on the other hand, it was too always so, some pro-russian politicians changed their shoes and became pro-european , and immediately other pro-russian politicians appeared, who immediately occupied the electoral field of those who went in the european direction, yes. and this is paradoxical, because, for example, milorat dodik, as i already mentioned , he came to power precisely as the most pro-western politician in the republic of serbia, precisely as the leader of such , so to speak, good serbs, and that now,

now he is simply the brightest representative of such a radical. chauvinistic kremlin course, which is only in this the region, well, the question is quite simple, do you generally believe in such situations , in the european integration of the western balkans, well, why do we have kosovo, and serbia, which cannot find a common language among themselves, montenegro, in which the pro-russian struggle, pro-serbian forces with pro-montenegro, pro-european forces, bosnia, in which there is a struggle between three , how to say, identities, yes, in this country, and milora dodik, about whom you already know, he obviously looks in the other direction, not in the direction of europe, well and

it stays more or less there realistically, yes let's say, albania and north macedonia, yes, which do not have such, such problems , already already, already such, you know, actually, i think that until the 14th year there was such a, such a conspiracy, so to speak, within the european union. and this conspiracy was led by mr. orbán, he wanted to drag into the european union, countries that would be his allies, well, first of all, it is serbia, and it is not by chance that the european commissioner is now a hungarian politician, you mean him, yes from enlargement, yes from the extension that

corresponds, and then a very... extension of the european union at the expense of the balkans, and european evaluations were focused purely on economic issues, and just then, serbia gradually began to gain points, because, well , economic reforms really took place there, what can i say, but when russia's war against ukraine began, there were questions about external political course of serbia, serbia again continued to maneuver, but in the 22nd year, this period of maneuvers ended, and now, as i understand it, a crisis has come, the crisis of this project, involvement in the european the union of countries that are suitable for the eu according to economic parameters, even according to parameters... for example, the rule of law in the formal sense of the word, but the external political course is completely different, but

only now the question has arisen, well, you understand, since the 14th year war is going on, serbia has been conducting joint exercises with the csto, russia-belarus all this time , there were no sanctions, putin even came to serbia for a military parade, that is, it does not enter his mind, no question from the side. it was not before belgrade, and it is only now starting uchich has some problems, and right now this election campaign is his goal, somehow to remove the focus from the external political course of belgrade, but hey, you understand that it cannot be that... the union turned a blind eye all this

time for the fact that the leaders of european integration, and montenegro and serbia together, they are the leaders of european integration, conduct a completely anti-european foreign policy, but for some reason or other, the eyes were closed, and only now, perhaps, the european union will exert powerful pressure to it somehow changed. thank you. mrs. natalya, natalya ishchenko, head of the balkan observers project, with this conversation we essentially complete our circle of overview of what is happening in difficult regions of the world, unfortunately, we are also in a difficult region and sincerely to all of you friends, i wish that we come out here in this state of the country, which is located in a difficult region, this is the most important thing, and it is possible, of course, with our victory, i sincerely wish you... this is the end of our conversation with you today, thank you all, until the next meetings, stay with espresso, let

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interviews, reports from the hottest points of the front. shot. freedom life frankly and impartially. you draw your own conclusions. congratulations. russian propaganda had a problem all week. how to explain that the russian federation has been at war with ukrainian nazis since 2014, and jewish pogroms are taking place in russia. october 29 at the airport of makhachkala, this is dagestan. a typical jewish pogrom took place, see. dear ladies and gentlemen, says the commander: please, save your seats and don't try to open the doors of the plane, there's an angry crowd on the street, please stay in your seats planes and follow all instructions, thank you

for your attention, and of course, this is the only explanation for this. you will laugh, but it was the ukrainians who incited and organized all these riots. putin held a meeting with members of the security council of russia following the events in dagestan. the president stated that the pogroms in makhochkala were inspired by the territory of ukraine, by the hands of western agents, as a reason for the violence that was used by the western special services, their ukrainian tobacco, including the escaped terrorist panomarev, became brutal. gaza and all of israel and the death of thousands of palestinian children and women. the events in makhachkala yesterday evening were inspired , including through social networks, not least from the territory of ukraine, by the hands of agents of the western special services? in this connection, i want to ask myself a question, but is it possible to help

palestine by trying to attack the fathers and sisters?