tv [untitled] November 4, 2023 9:00am-9:30am EET
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we receive from our western partners, and this behavior is not quite a normal situation, and israel, by the way, shows that there is much more freedom of speech there despite the war. mr. pavle, unfortunately, there is no more time, pavlo lekiychuk was with us, the head of security programs of the strategy 21 globalist center, well, at this time, the news release has been exhausted and kateryna shirokopois will be with you, but first a moment of silence. we will observe a moment of silence in memory of the ukrainian military and civilian citizens of ukraine who died in the war that was unleashed by russia.
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of mobile fire groups, drones, launched by the enemy from kursk region. nine people were injured by russian shelling from the zaporizhzhia region. the enemy hit the out-of-season with a rocket. the head of the region informed that all the victims are receiving medical assistance yury malashko. during the day, the enemy made 126 strikes on 26 towns and villages of the region. residential buildings and infrastructure facilities. russians wounded five people in the kherson region. the enemy shelled the region 97 times, fired more than 500 shells, including 15 at kherson, - noted the head of the region oleksandr prokudin. the enemy fired mortars, artillery, hail, tanks, drones and aircraft. three hits of kap were recorded. damaged residential
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areas. 66 combat clashes took place at the front during the past day - reported general staff of the armed forces. our defenders continue their assaults, to the south of bakhmut , they are entrenched on the achieved boundaries. at the same time , the russians tried to restore lost positions near the tick. the ukrainian military repelled about ten attacks. in addition, the enemy does not leave. surround avdiivka. warriors hold the defense. our aircraft struck nine enemy concentration areas and two enemy anti-aircraft missile complexes. and the missile forces hit the rep station, a radar station, 10 artillery pieces, two warehouses ammunition and seven concentration areas of the occupiers. again about the destruction of ukrainian drones, the ministry of defense reports. allegedly at night, their pppo shot down four
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drones over the territories of the bilhora and kursk regions. the russian agency does not talk about the consequences of the attack. and last day, the defense forces of ukraine eliminated another 830 russian invaders. in general, since the beginning of the full-scale invasion, the russian army has lost 304,100 soldiers. the occupiers also suffered significant losses. losses in technology. our defenders burned 11 tanks, 38 combat armored vehicles, 35 artists and 11 more salvo fire systems. enemy forever. in addition, it was possible to destroy 39 drones in the sky, two enemy anti-aircraft defenses, 25 cars and four units of special equipment on the ground. people's deputy of ukraine oleksandr
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dubinsky was charged with organizing an illegal border crossing for another person. according to the sbu, he illegally smuggled his common-law wife's brother to europe, and for this, through a public organization under his control, he entered the relative into the system dubinsky's former assistant, who now works as the director of the non-governmental organization media defense, was also suspicious of the path, allegedly as a volunteer. the punishment is up to seven years in prison. the embezzlement of 6 million budget hryvnias, the deputy of the odesa oblast council was informed of the suspicion of abuse of official position. he organized the conclusion of contracts with a company under his control, bypassing tender procedures. it is about the installation of street lighting - the national anti-corruption bureau of investigation noted. the contractor overestimated the prices
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six times the deputy organized the forgery of acts of completed works. according to the investigation, this became the basis for increasing budget expenditures. for millions of hryvnias. the kyiv prosecutor's office handed over another 450 million hryvnias of seized funds to the main intelligence department of the ministry of defense and the national guard. according to the investigation , enterprises whose ultimate beneficial owners were residents of russia operated in kyiv and other regions of ukraine. this group of companies was engaged in the production of semi-finished products. from february 24, 2022 the kyiv city prosecutor's office recovered one and a half billion seized funds for the benefit of the military. quite radically, a monk of the russian
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orthodox church who burned down the temple of his own patriarchate was convicted on a beech tree. this was reported in the chernivtsi regional prosecutor's office. the court proved that in april of this year, the 34-year-old. the monk committed several crimes while intoxicated. at first, he tried to steal money from a single village, burned down the church of job of the pochaiv village of milieve, chernivtsi-bukovyna diocese of the russian orthodox church, and robbed a local store. to to hide the theft, he also set fire to the shop. chinets was sentenced to 5.5 years in prison. and in moldova, the chance party, linked to the russian federation, was not allowed to participate in the general local elections scheduled for november 5. this was announced by the prime minister of the country, dorin rechen. he specified that the decision was made by the moldovan emergency situations commission. she heard the reports of the law enforcement agencies, reviewed the evidence and found that the attempts to destroy
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the constitutional order by politicians from the chance party and that they are obvious. the decision was made for reasons of national security under the conditions of the hybrid war he is conducting. in moldova - added repchen. at least 128 people have been killed and dozens injured in nepal, as a result of a strong earthquake in the western district of jair kod. the local authorities said that they still cannot establish contact with the settlements in the mountainous area where the earthquake occurred. about 190,000 people live there. search and rescue. teams are clearing roads blocked by landslides to reach affected areas. the earthquake occurred the previous evening, according to nepalese seismologists, the magnitude was 6.4 points.
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military aid packages from the us will be smaller for the time being, but the white house will continue to provide aid to ukraine, this is due to the lack of a decision by congress on additional funding, joe biden's press secretary karin jenpierre said. currently, money for aid to ukraine remains within the framework of the presidential powers program. so the white house spokeswoman called on congress to approve the additional funding package proposed by biden as soon as possible. well, i don't get tired of urging you to donate, because not... big ones small donations, and we must understand that without our help our military cannot fight. so, the espresso tv channel is gathering for the 27th separate rifle battalion, which destroys the russians in one of the eastern directions , for protection from enemy bpls, as well as for
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the continuous operation of starlink, timely charging of drones, tablets and other equipment, they need two portable anti-drone shields, two generators. and two chargers . our goal is uah 5,000. there are already over 63,000. you can now see all details on your screens, so get involved and contribute. our common victory. that's all i have for now, i 'll see you in less than an hour, wait. the quietest, fastest and lowest production cost. the ukrainian front received another batch of modern military drones.
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16 more shock modernized reusable drones are being sent to our defenders, this is already the second batch of uavs as part of the cosmolot airlines project. every ukrainian and all international partners should support ukraine in this war. we chose several projects to support them in ukraine, and i believe that in the production of such bpp, it will have the largest. effect, the production of drones in ukraine is an important function and mission from our side, therefore it is very important for us to support local manufacturers. the efficiency of work is indicated by the characteristics of the devices, it takes no more than 7 minutes to assemble it. weight together with the explosive device, which is a special container up to 8 kg, flies at a speed of 190 km/h, flight radius up to 45 km. in a day, you can do both minimum 3-4 hitting the enemy and reloading again, they hit directly in the rear of the aggressor on the enemy's second line of defense, and
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this is their main value - defenders say. these are very important things, now unmanned aviation is very important for us for reconnaissance and defeating enemy targets that cannot be shot with a rifle, there with a mortar, and so on. these are very, very important tools, they are the second line. enemy positions, where they think they are safe, as they say at the front for a cigarette, and then they fly by, there is no way out, there is only an arrival, that's it the second transfer of uavs as part of the cosmolod airlines project, there are already about 200 units of punishers at the front, you always have an increased chance, in principle, to turn your plane back, because it is very difficult to influence it, and even if it is influenced, the plane, well, it is not ... he remains steadfast. the gambling company allocates 100 million hryvnias to support the front, and these are funds from
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its own profit, not due to fees. well, let's come back, let's talk a little now about the economy, and also, of course , probably about the effectiveness of sanctions, today it we have already discussed the topic, ivan us is with us, the chief consultant of the national institute of strategic studies, candidate of economic sciences, joins us, mr. ivan, good morning to you, good morning, mr. andriy, good morning tv viewers, we are talking one way or another about that certain very important political things are happening, in particular in the united states, which concern the review, in particular the possible reduction of aid to ukraine, in fact, the fact that the reduction will take place is already a given, for us the question is to what extent and over what period of time, of course we follow this, and one of the questions that accompanies all these events against the background of the future presidential elections in the united states, this is a question that is generally fair,
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probably from congressmen, senators, republicans, this question what is the west's strategy for victory in ukraine and in ukraine's war with russia, this is a good question, probably a question, it probably also applies to why the sanctions, what the west promised and compared literally to thermonuclear weapons. at one time, biden was not like that already thermonuclear, because russia continues to build up its military potential. mr. ivan, let's figure out what russia is coming up with by the end of this year, and i see that they have, for example, the dollar strengthened from 100 to 92, that they have record revenues from the sale of oil and gas, something is wrong with those sanctions, well, first of all, the main change that took place is that the federation, which was traditionally a surplus country, i.e. a country that
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earned more externally than it spent, and the budget that earned more money did not spend it. turned into a deficit country this year, well, in principle, in the second half of last year there were already, let's say , signs of a deficit, at the same time, this year they manifested themselves in full, and more, if we recall, let's say the period of the first four months of the current year, then there was generally a situation when...' and the figure of, let's say so , the negative balance of the budget, that is , let's say so, the excess, let's say, of expenses over income, it will exceed... the figure of the deficit that was established plan for the whole year, so they managed, according to the report, i emphasize, to bring the situation more or less to normal, at the same time, you know, first of all there is the question of how far the reporting reflects reality, because the financial times article that appeared
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almost six months ago is immediately remembered, where it was written that the title of the article , why does the imf repeat economic propaganda, and they said that the data provided by russia are not entirely correct, so the picture we see now, to a large extent, this picture is formed by the data provided by the russian federation, the situation as it's a little worse for me, further, and when they say, that the sanctions had no effect, well, if you look at the little things, well, let's analyze there, for example, here is the crisis that was in russia at the beginning of september, it was the lack of fuel, it seemed. such countries as russia, that is, the country of bedzalons, as some call it, and why did this problem occur, because these problems in the budget, these programs of reducing expenses led to the fact that they reduced the compensation program for domestic sellers of fuel, the difference in prices with foreign prices, i.e., that this
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difference was compensated for them in order for them to sell theirs goods on the domestic market, and they did not compensate, and accordingly they stopped putting their products on the market , so there was a shortage of fuel, here is an elementary example of how problems arise one after another, and we will see how russia will finish this year, at the same time already it can be said that the economic figures that were even last year are the most interesting here, why they say why the effect of sanctions was not so quick, according to the russian federation, the 11th economy in the world was still in the 22nd year, only. at the end of december, sanctions against the key sphere of its economy is hydrocarbons. 67% of russia's exports are hydrocarbons, and now powerful sanctions have appeared, i mean oil is the most important component of hydrocarbons , because coal appeared a little earlier, and here are all the sanctions, you know, in my opinion, this is
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a reflection of chinese philosophy infliction, let's say defeat by a thousand small incisions. so they are all shallow, so they do not lead to the expected result, at the same time they accumulate, and the accumulation of these problems has already led to the fact that russia is in deficit as a country, and let's see what will happen in the next year, because it is unlikely that russia will be able to perform some kind of economic miracle. ae, at the end of october, the russians, the russian centroban raised again the key rate, which means that it is in general. thing is such a key rate, but i will also say that they raised it twice, that is, it was 7.5 , it became 15, is this a serious step, and i will remind you that before the war the rate was 5%, the key in the russian federation, like this affects the situation in general and what does this indicate? first of all , i pay attention to the dynamics of the key rate in
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in ukraine and in russia, in ukraine, let me remind you that it is now decreasing little by little, so it was a very high 25%, then the value of the key rate was unrealistically high, now it is 16 and the national bank promises to make it 15 in december . in russia, on the contrary, they raise the stake. what does key rate mean? it is the percentage at which the banks are given money by the national bank, the central bank of the country, in order for them to be able to carry out their activities. when the key rate goes up, it means money is more expensive, meaning you can't to take a loan under, say so small interest, knowing that you will pay them later, that is, it becomes a significant problem to live on credit, and life in russia, by the way, is another indicator of how the state of the russian economy has deteriorated, more and more people now live not on their own incomes, but at the expense of loans, and these loans become more expensive, that is, the higher
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the key rate, the greater the probability that you will be able to repay the loans you take, because the interest on them will be very substantial, you know, even the russian budget for in 2024, the amount invested in this loan servicing budget is not the loans itself , it is not the actual body of loans, it is the interest on these loans, it exceeds medical expenses, i.e. imagine, the russian federation is a large country, a lot of money is spent on medicine , at the same time the money that is pledged for interest payments, they should be even more, why, because they do not give the russian federation relatively cheap money, and the central bank also does, why is the key rate raised in order to actually raise the value of money in your country, therefore not allow inflation, that. by the way, it allows them to keep the dollar now at the 92-93 mark, at the same time it is quite, in my opinion, temporarily, why, because it is not the first time, the dollar, or rather, the ruble to
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the dollar rate approaches the 100 mark, and i like to joke that former deputy minister of energy of russia milov, he once entered into a public dispute about the fact that there will be 100 rubles to the dollar, and this mark actually was, and he in early september... entered into another public dispute with michael nanki, a russian blogger, about the fact that that in april 2024 there will be 200 rubles per dollar, and he explained this by the fact that there are systemic factors that put pressure on the russian economy , that the currency still works out, that imports, they have increased substantially in russia, and that due to the fact that there is a large excess of imports over exports, the ruble will continue decline, unlike ukraine, where the situation is the same, in russia on... partners who give it grants and loans, grants do not need to be returned, by the way, so when someone says that, oh, now ukraine is driving itself into a big mess pit, well
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actually, partly yes, but it is partly because part of the money that ukraine will receive, primarily from the united states of america, are grants that do not need to be returned at all, as for the european union, the 18 billion euros that we received at the beginning of this year is a 35-year loan, and it must be paid for somewhere. well, a year has already passed, that is, consider nine years, nevertheless, this is a very, very extreme, even preferential condition, which means that at least this period of 10 years will somehow slip by, and russia does not have such partners, and therefore its the problems, as i mentioned, will only grow, russia still has , as i understand it, a surplus, a positive balance of exports and imports, they will not say about ukraine, where we now actually have half as much, we import more than we export, or is it
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normal in ours, i explain it by the fact that ukraine does receive some aid, and it spends it on buying some things abroad, which , in my opinion, are not compatible, and our partners see this, and when now we are with you they started with the fact that they may not give funds to ukraine, or reduce the amount of money that is given to ukraine, whether it also arises because our partners see these statistics. at the same time, on the other hand, it should also be emphasized that when aid is given to ukraine, part of it is spent on the purchase of streams for western education, so to say that taxpayers in western countries lose from ukraine's aid would not be entirely correct, because as a result, the same money comes to their economy through the purchase of their goods, and this should be an explanation. for citizens, primarily of the european union, which you know, don't think that this money, it disappears somewhere, it still returns to your economy through the purchase of goods, that is, yes
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, it, no, it can not have a very positive effect on ukraine, at the same time for the voters in the eu countries, this argument should to be serious that it helps them to work, by the way, like the provision of military aid to ukraine, this is primarily money that is received by american and other ... arms production companies, which actually provide jobs to the citizens of their countries, that is, it is an emphasis that which is still there a benefit, a direct benefit for both the usa and the eu from aid to ukraine precisely through the employment of people in the military-industrial complex, so the main thing here is to find, let's say, separate components in these statistics that will help us explain to our partners that they also benefit from of this process, as far as russia is concerned, yes, there is an excess of exports over imports, at the same time there is a very interesting detail,
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it is what specifically russia receives from its exports, because let's take one example, india, in india, india is one of the three leading russia's partners, now, by the way, interestingly, it is china, it is india, and the third is not turkey, turkey. it is the fourth, and what about the european union, that is, there is still quite significant trade in russia, the eu even now, and this is about where it is still possible to work in sanctions, so here is india, it pays in rupees, and this also leads to a rather negative situation in the russian economy, when they accumulate the involuntarily convertible currency of indian rupees, they cannot exchange it without the permission of the central bank of india, which it does not give. is because india says ok you have rupees, invest in our economy, make investments and buy goods from us , that is, russia does not really need them, and
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the situation turns out that... according to the numbers , everything is fine in russia, very good revenues from exports, and in fact, when you look at what these revenues are, the situation is such that it is not an involuntarily converted currency, so everything is so good, and i do not exclude that already next year this factor will put even more pressure on the state , the situation in this country, well, in conclusion, we still have a couple left just a moment, literally, in ukraine we are watching the revitalization of the economy, our macroeconomic forecasts are improving , well, of course, we fell very low in the first months of the war, nevertheless, in your opinion, do we if the war drags on, maybe it will go into less such a hot phase, do we have the opportunity in such conditions to go to some , on, well, you know, zelsky was asked in washington the last time he was,
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the congressmen, the democrats asked a direct, very, very direct question, what will happen if we stop , we will stop giving money in ukraine, or we we will be able to say, for example, next year in a year that we will endure, but it will simply make life difficult for us, you know, first of all, after all, ukraine has demonstrated adaptability to the situation, this is a very important thing, because if we return there in february in march of the 22nd year, many people said that oh, now there will be a collapse, no, the collapse did not happen, that is, the adaptation was reflected. at the same time, when you look at the budget of ukraine and elementary 1,700 billion revenues, 3 trillion 300 billion expenditures, you understand that all this difference between revenues and expenditures is covered at the expense of external aid, if there is no external aid, this will fundamentally complicate this process, very fundamentally, but it will not lead to a collapse, another issue is that then a lot will have
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to be sacrificed and there will be a lot of dissatisfied citizens who live at the expense of the budget, that is, first of all teachers, doctors, i.e. those versts of the population who are not unrelated, let's say, with the commercial component, i mean state structures and all state entrepreneurs, and i will emphasize this, i will repeat even a very big problem, at the time it will not lead to collapse but in order to win this war, here i will, you know, go back a little... analogies with the first world war, when germany , it did not lose the first world war militarily, it lost economically, and so that ukraine does not lose this war , we need, let's say, not only a military component, but an economic one, and in this regard it is very important that mr. zaluzhnyi wrote his article in the economist magazine, that is, there are many other magazines, but specifically the economist, why, because the emphasis the role of economists in the modern war, because if the economy does not survive, then
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ukraine can lose this war because of it, well, mr. ivan, thank you for this conversation , ivan, the head of the national institute of economic research, was with us, we are going for a short break, thank you for the conversation, and then we will talk a little about the ukrainian sky and when the f16 will appear in it, well, and also about the threat that the russian federation announced about its new super fighter, and about the fact that they invented new missiles for it, let 's talk about it. and what do you think about lakalut fix, reliably fixes, i am a dentist mine advised, yes, and particles of food do not get under the prosthesis, and the price is good, the right choice for my pension. lakkal fix, a new cream for extra strong fixation of dentures and healthy gums, so your choice is ralfix. meet the novelty, a profitable package of 70 g.
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