[000:00:00;00] to make it ourselves, they built what they call geranium 2, and we call it shachet 131, 136, however, it is still difficult for me to explain the phenomenon, why in september there are 500 drones, and in october there are half as many, maybe there really are some results of the sanctions on the part of microelectronics, but if you put everything together, then the potential for launching strikes is, will be and will remain until the last day of this war, why are there no such massive strikes now? in my opinion, the value of the body and the expediency of the task of strikes, the heat in ukraine, objectively warm, well, it will be of little use to destroy the infrastructure now, but when it gets colder, from their point of view, such strikes will be more useful in their understanding, i remain in that position once again, forgive me for repeating

my properties, mr. peter, for a snack , just looking at the 20. interesting, blows, one in the kirch, where askolt will no longer swim , at least it will not, in the near future, and it has not been launched and will not threaten with rockets, a blow on this on this, the plant, and more the ministry's statement looked more interesting defense of russia, which said that they had smoked unsuccessfully, all the same, but the video of the locals shows that it seems so, the attack still clearly landed. these two hits, does this mean that we do not have very long-range attacks, but if anything, then we can, well, as goldamey once answered, we analyze this question in two parts, why kerch, because we understand that the fields the crimean bridge is located and it is necessary to very correctly feel the flight paths of potential strikes on it,

again the ratio, cost, expediency bridge, in order for it to fall, several dozen rockets are needed, i emphasize, and that one may take several hundred, because it is long and large, because one section falls, they are repairing it, and it is necessary to hit it in such a way that they can no longer repair it, so that a few hundred go underwater, but we have another inverse question here, calculating one or two missiles is much more difficult, in fact, as strange as it sounds, than a massive missile strike, because a massive missile strike triggers a whole surveillance system according to the enemy, it and we are concerned and conditionally launch 20 missiles, and 16 are shot down, again there is no such ratio called the feasibility of the cost of the price, but it does not exist, everything must be launched in such a way that large massive missile strikes reach their target by 70-80%, but in my opinion, the system of exporting all this works

process, and the fact that they hit another small missile ship, project class 22800 is really good, minus one basic launch platform for eight missiles of the same 3 m14 caliber and most importantly - a dry dob, this is really a very big step forward, why? ago that ships carrying out launches experience endless physical stress from the jet jet of rocket engines, all this requires constant repair, repairs should only be done in dry dock, i really hope that due to the specifics of their logic, we have already talked about this, they will reach the point of the limit the quality of iron and some rocket or some iron, not having survived the rocket, will burst inside the ship and again go to feed the kopzon , that's what i dream of, so that it turns out like this, and in fact the prerequisites for this in the part that there will be no dry docks, they are creating, thank you, petro chernyk, a military expert was with us, we are running on, the topic of war, but this time we are already

moving to the middle east, ihor simy voloos, director of the center for middle eastern studies, is in touch with us, mr. igor, glory to ukraine, congratulations, igor, we are seeing in israel what we would like to see in ukraine as well, the israelis went to the sea, we would also like it, intercepted a ballistic missile for the first time outside the atmosphere of our planet, great, we would also very much like it , and actually, maybe these would also be topics of discussion of president zelensky, if... he got to israel, but something, something, it's not the first time there are statements that he's going, but he can't get there, why isn't he on time, why, oh, why can't he get there, which side is creating obstacles? well, in this case, we are talking about the leakage of information, and obviously for security reasons, it is quite possible that this visit will be canceled, well, for security reasons, well, mr.

igor, but we see maximum activity in the region itself, and blinkin appeared, and this is a whole series of his meetings, even unexpectedly in iraq, unexpectedly. to two aircraft carrier groups, a good-class nuclear submarine suddenly arrives, that is, the americans are also increasing their military presence there, what are they preparing for and what is being played out, if the key players are now on the field, and they are still talking about it publicly, usually they do not shout about such things aloud , and this is such a direct signal, what is being prepared, but nothing is being prepared, i think, what is it? deterrence, the main thing is that this conflict does not turn into a regional one, from which it will be much more difficult to get out, so blinken's mission is precisely to maintain contacts with moderate

by the arab countries in order to jointly seek an exit option from this crisis, from the gaza crisis, respectively, this is the key , that is, the exit strategy and the answer to the question of what will happen after, after hamas is destroyed, how the infrastructure of hamas will be destroyed in gas ugh. and do you think that blinken will somehow manage to balance and calm the situation in the middle east with his authority, because even in the united states, after all, his ratings are not so good. recent studies show that in many states, including five very important states, trump has more support than biden. so than bye biden, respectively, will the biden team, and in particular blinken, be able to do something now in the middle east, or is this a very temporary phenomenon? well, you know, i think that the ratings are largely related not to

the events in the middle east, although it is also possible that it affects the circumstances themselves, that is, trump, biden, after all , is quite an old man and he ... and this seriously affects the perception of the americans about the future president, and here, too, it is rather necessary to make some other decision regarding candidate for the democrats, well, as one of the options, and as for the war, well , without a doubt, it seriously complicates american foreign policy, because the american strategy was to create a security system in the middle east and a strategic alliance between moderate arab countries and israel in parallel with the resolution of the palestinian issue to contain iran and now this

concept, it is under great threat. mr. igor, i wanted to ask you a little differently now, namely the geopolitical background and sentiments, the european commission's report. was preparing about - a big surge of anti-semitic incidents and sentiments throughout europe, in america itself, the video we watched this weekend , just these uh, tens, maybe hundreds of thousands, of protesters who turned a blind eye to everything that was going on before that and now they only came out in support of palestine and, accordingly, the ruling hamas in america itself, i am talking about these sentiments , i am not talking about what we watched, what was done at the airport, atatürk at the invitation of the president of turkey, there until one and a half a million protesters came out yes, for this rally, which was called by erdogan, i am talking about the mood, these moods

, we close our eyes to this, they show us, in my opinion , washington, so and so about these moods of mass support for palestine and hamas, what is this, well, let's make a video, palestine and hamas, after all, is represented by palestine, palestine has its own government, yes, it is called palestinian autonomy, only, yes, yes, on the right bank of the jordan river, and, and, and this question, in fact, also gets mixed up , when it comes to solving the palestinian issue and supporting hamas, that is, in this case, it is still a little different things, well, i warned that from the very beginning, at the beginning of the conflict, that this situation was going to get worse for israel in terms of support, that is, as more pictures appeared, and

media, more, that in fact , there will be more pictures of dead civilians after similar pictures about, strike, special strikes on the gas sector. then, of course , support for israel will decrease and anti-israel sentiments will grow, including , of course, anti-semitism. mr. yur, i mean here a slightly different aspect of the issues. maybe i'm just bad, i mean, look, when muscovites, and these are peaceful people, good , are called russians, when they bombed aleppo, and there were also civilian casualties, and for some reason then no one ran and screamed, yay yay , shelling, many victims, how is it different from the shelling of the gas sector, why such double reactions, why then, for example, when syria was being invaded by russia... with assad, no one ran out to

such protests, mr. romano, they also ran out then, it's just that it was not in the center of attention, they also took to the streets and protested against podding of linden. mr. igor, the change, in general, the position of turkey, as well as its latest actions, in particular, the recall of the ambassador from israel, how can it change the situation in the middle east, they... pretend, the turks in general pretend to have a huge influence , here they were regulating, trying to regulate the situation in the black sea, somewhere there to reconcile a little between russia and ukraine, help with exchanges, help with the grain corridor, now they tried to show their position and demand that it be supported also in israel and in the gas strip, which can happen further, how far turkey and erdogan are ready to go in support

of palestine and actually in confrontation with israel? well, obviously the turks support palestine, yes, and they have invested a lot of money in reconstruction and in the gas sector, you can pay attention, there are hospitals built there, in principle with the money of turkey, tika, there is cancer, a corps that deals with oncology and the like. that is, in this case, sympathy for most turks is on the side of the palestinians, this is obvious, and erdogan too, he is maneuvering, he is perfectly aware of these sympathies and uses their sympathies to strengthen his power, his positions, on the eve of local elections, this is important for him. come in, or actually from the confrontation between turkey and the united states, i think, today we

saw the arrival of blinkin already in turkey. i think that the negotiations will hold, and turkey wants to play its role in regulating this conflict , they are demonstrating their position, yes, but in principle, as far as i understand and see the statements of the turkish leaders of the same kanafidan and the same erdogan, they are ready in principle to agree with the united states, not with israel, but with the united states of america, about their possible participation in the regulation of this conflict after it is completed... and in conclusion, just one last question, mr. igor, whether things will change as a result of this war between israel and hamasaz, the mood in the gas sector itself , a lot came out, including live interviews, i watched tv shows where, without batting an eye, the leaders of hamas said, listen, and we invested money in 500 km of normally equipped tunnels, i told him, why didn't you put these in

money for the lives of their own people... and those on the mountain should be dealt with by the un on the street, and we dig tunnels, because our task is the destruction of israel as such, after all the scandalous stories against the background of this war, the mood in the sector can gas will change? in order for the attitudes of the gas to change and to change in the west bank, a solution to the palestinian issue is necessary, just like that they do not change by some miracle. ugh. thank you, mr. igor, igor simovots, director of the center. of middle east studies about another middle east war so far, we can see the efforts of various world powers locally and actually, so that it does not turn into a regional one and more, in the meantime, we have the next one, so the next guest is andriy magera, an expert of the center for political and legal reforms, mr. andriy, we congratulate you, good day, i congratulate you, we will talk about the elections, yes, it would seem like a war, we should all forget this word for... that time until we win,

but no, and it seems that they don’t let us forget, yes, they don’t let us forget, and that’s the way it is already is determined that those elections will take place, even about the last sunday of march, specifically march 24th, how realistic is it now, i am not talking about constitutionality, but about reality, about whether they will really go to the extent of holding elections in a few months? actually, i have already talked a lot about constitutionality on this topic, and the general conclusion is that, no, it is not constitutional to hold elections during martial law, it is roughly the same as ... excuse me for such a comparison, when either a coward, or a cross or underpants, here one of two, something, if it doesn't happen, but there are organizational ones difficulties, our state voter register has not been updated since 2022 and only now the central election commission was forced to take some measures to

revive this voter register, but we must understand that there are a huge number of problems due to millions. ukrainian internally displaced persons and millions of refugees, and we also do not have information about the voters who are in the occupied territories, whether someone was born there, changed their surname, and so on and so on, these are very serious points that they do not are decided, not in a month, not in two, not in three, as someone somewhere thinks to themselves, and the third point, it consists in foreign policy risks, colossal foreign policy risks, and if these elections in which it is clear under no circumstances can be held according to the main the principles of the right to vote, if they are not recognized by the international community, what then, if the ukrainian government is not recognized, will we have support in the united nations, in the osce, in the council of europe, and so on and so on

, what with the european, euro-atlantic integration, and in the end, what will it look like when during the election process the supreme commander... of the armed forces of ukraine will be criticized during hostilities, what authority will it have for the ukrainian military, that is, there are a lot, a lot of questions that unfortunately, no one will be able to give answers, because martial law is unnatural for elections, and elections are unnatural for martial law. mr. andrii, now, as the former deputy chairman of the central election committee, i will give you a try, yes, amateurishly. demonstrate how of these all your logic, you say very logically and correctly, how any successful graduate of the open truskavet university can come out of all this, now i show you how to do it, which means there is no single register of voters, if everyone has

a smartphone and can bet for a relationship action, even if you are in portugal, even if you are in a trench near avdiivka, put the action, vote and there it is, the second example, how a graduate of truskavetsi bypasses your logical traps, who told you that the constitution prohibits holding elections during martial law, if he himself lawyer, the representative of tritlstyak's team and the head of the verkhovna rada said, you are consuming the constitution incorrectly, you have to with mayonnaise , i read it, said you can, after a week, you said you can't, just the mood has changed, but politically, political will and compliance with the law, that elections take place on the last day. in such and such a term, we will pass, for this we have an application, action full stop, here i have shown you the classic approach, how can they approach this to implement? the application works, it is really useful for some administrative procedures, but it is there

unacceptable for election procedures, why? because the election procedures provide for the control of these procedures , who will control, for example , the correctness of... voter lists, in our country during martial law they will say, you can't look at the voter lists, because it's a matter of national security, there are military personnel, and they will do this in each polling station, so we will be offered cats in a bag at polling stations, as for the fact that there is no prohibition in the constitution to hold elections during martial law for the actual presidential elections, the constitution is not an instruction, for example, there is no direct prohibition of the death penalty in the constitution, but believe me, it is there, it is there because of the systematic understanding of the constitution, through the interpretation of the constitution, so we really lack the official position of the constitutional court, to close this discussion, for me as a constitutional lawyer there is no doubt that the constitution does not allow elections to be held during martial

law, i can justify it, but believe me it will take a lot of time, but we still don't have it. the decision of the constitutional court, i would really like it to appear, if the president does not want to apply, it can be done, for example, by the ombudsman, if there are any political risks for the president, but it can be done and there is a mechanism for this, mr. andriy , and i understand that you have many arguments , not only you and explanations, why the elections cannot be held now, but if, let's say, it happens that they, the election process will begin, they will begin to hold and even hold. these elections in which, if it is not due to action, there, i don't know, a million ukrainians will take part in the elections, for example, for example, a million ukrainians, or there will be some kind of instrument... a moment with which we can operate so that

analyze and actually, whether these elections will already be recognized as valid and such that they took place and their results will have to be recognized, whether it will be possible to somehow roll back, or whether there will be no point even doing this, because there will be neither time nor money, and maybe not even that at all, purely formally, the election law does not provide for it the presence of some mandatory turnout for elections, for example 50%, as is the case for referenda, but confidence in the results of the elections will be very low, if, relatively speaking , 1 million or 2 million or 3 million ukrainian voters come, the question will arise under what conditions they formed their political will, when and under what conditions they implemented their political will, these are two, so there will be too many questions, imagine if in the midst of an election. and i will remind you that 90 days is not enough, if

a mass attack by russians takes place in the midst of the election process missiles, the infrastructure of ukraine, in particular the electoral infrastructure of ukraine, believe me, it doesn't matter for a russian missile , in ukraine there are elections, no elections, martial law, not martial law, it will not be dismantled, and there will be very serious, i would say, risks to life, the health of ukrainian citizens, well, a person is the highest social value in ukraine, even during martial law, we should not forget about it, that is why i am already looking at this issue from different points of view, and from the point of view of the parliament and the president, i do not i find a positive, in particular for these powerful subjects , why should they hold elections, frankly speaking, i do not see any positive even for them, not to mention mr. andrii, but you remember, but vykrema says very much to you ... as a constitutionalist, because it was important to hear the assessment of the constitutional court of ukraine, but when in the 19th year, in

principle, well, it seems to me that the people are fed up with this verkhovna rada, i disperse it and announce re-elections, and the constitutional court remained silent, therefore, why are we suddenly playing here in one place, not playing here, suddenly, the constitutional court should change the sentiments that may prevail at the top. in the supreme offices on bankova street, or maybe this is the only chance to get a second term only in this way, during martial law, the political technologist does not recommend anything else, he says, there are no other ways, that’s all, and here you are, let’s put it this way, the moods that prevail over the decision of the non-existent judicial court, i think that the judge of the constitutional court should also have an instinct, they should understand that the colossal sums spent on

the maintenance of this constitutional court are again, someone will not receive them, in particular at the front, if the constitutional court will not perform its functions, then ukrainian citizens will have a logical question, why do we need a constitutional court in the country, and remember that in the draft budget for the next year, about 60 % of budget expenditures are external funds that will not be provided to us, that is, the same constitutional court will also function to maintain external external infusions, and in my deep conviction, the constitutional court should to understand one's place and one's role, as it was, for example, in 2014, when the constitutional court literally within two or three days made a decision on the unconstitutionality, the decision on... the constitutionality of the referendum in crimea, it was

done very quickly, and remember , that this is included, judges appointed by yanukovych voted for this decision, during yanukovych's time, all this also happened, unfortunately we have to say goodbye, andriy magera, an expert of the center for political and legal reforms, was with us, now we are going on a break, then they remain we will have news. warning incredible novelty from rozpaku tv: super warm and very comfortable alaska style boots, perfect fit, water-repellent material and a feeling of warmth even in 30-degree frost. alaska style boots have a universal design and practical black color, so they will suit both men and women. sizes from 36 to 46. therefore, take two pairs at once, for yourself and your husband. tic zippers will ensure a perfect fit even on the widest leg. heat sink perfectly retains heat and wicks away moisture, and the top is made of

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