[000:00:00;00] he was saying that now everything with israel in the world will be against you, aid will be reduced, they are intensifying the process in the congress in every possible way, they are trying to sow another betrayal, so the time, which was very close to the anniversary of the ukrainian holiday of dignity and freedom, is also not accidental, and the fact that lloyd is there, as well as the german minister of defense and the president of the european union, they have actually come in such a package in recent days, he is also not accidental, that is, in ukraine very much, every diplomat who comes to the country, he is the first his interview, he speaks with what he came, and lloyd said about it and the german minister also said about it, well, but they came , well, let's be honest, they didn't just come so that their comments were broadcast in a single telethon,

we understand, that's how they brought concrete some ideas, and because it's not only lloyd, pistorius, and the newly appointed minister cameron from great britain has also arrived, that is , they are something, something, they are deriving a triangle, well, they are deriving a triangle, which again there, in one corner, will be there's a scared bunker furel because they're talking about the fact that support for ukraine will not simply not decrease, but will increase and it will not stop, because all...' calculations , in particular the russian ones, were that by now there is definitely fatigue, money is running out, moods are changing, as they say , you can wait, putin really hopes to wait for the elections there in the united states, and he thinks that somehow you can wait, and then this support will fall apart, what all these politicians have brought say the exact opposite, they say

that no support will not decrease support will increase, you saw that there was such a campaign to increase military support by the europeans, there are a number of european countries, there germany announced a doubling of support, but the germans announced two packages of military support in a few days, i think that we cannot know , what lloyd said, but they convinced the ukrainian authorities that the support will... continue, that there will not be such a scenario that they are trying to impose on us, that they say everything will stop now, congress will not vote this package and and you will remain without american support. i completely exclude this scenario in general, most likely they, it was important for them to clarify before ramstein, because these are events, the trips were several days before ramstein, to clarify the needs of ukrainian, of

ukrainians... he voiced everything very clearly, the economist reprinted it article, and accordingly, the americans will react positively. the fact, i paid attention, you must be that the zaluzhny was present for the first time at ramstein, at such and such, and this against the background of, well, that, that, the fog that they tried to let in, not without the help of bankova street, our opponents are there about some quarrels there. between politicians and the military, this is a very revealing fact, it significantly strengthens the position of the industrious, and one of the reasons , perhaps one of, as we say, the messages, lloyd could also convey to the president, in particular, that these things must be stopped at the root, that these games are very dangerous to play, i don't want to spend a lot of time on it, but this is an absolute road to nowhere, and there are no chances for any

intrigue here. we need to stop talking about elections, about some quarrels, there is one task, let's carry out this task, including, it was probably also the mission of these two politicians, to call to consciousness a little, in particular, the ukrainian president, and there and those around him, and pay attention to what is now very important to preserve this team action and not to interfere with the military doing its job. unfortunately, i have to end this one extremely. interesting conversation , thank you, mr. oleg, i want to remind our viewers that oleg hrybachuk, ex-vice prime minister of ukraine for european integration, former chief secretariat of president yushchenko. thank you. do ordinary things become unreal? heavy bags

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turn on discounts. our guest is retired british army colonel glen grand, a military expert. save the king. glory to ukraine, colonel. glory

to the heroes, god, save the king. well, the russians have started another series of offensive actions in the donetsk direction. bahmud, avdiyivka, maryenka, they strengthen their offensive. key story, how might this fit into their vision of the so-called great winter campaign, how do you assess the enemy's intentions now? this is a broad question, because the winter company will obviously be long. what is more important is what they are doing now. it is obvious that putin should go to the elections with a concrete military result. therefore, they decided that will be able to achieve this result somewhere in the east. secondly, the more they put pressure on such areas, the more it forces ukraine to divert reserves and ammunition from the south. there are two key things they pursue in attacking avdiivka. if they take avdiyivka, that will be enough for putin to say that the war is currently successfully

underway. we are moving forward, we have seized even more ukrainian land, etc. so, two points: avdiivka for the success of putin and the withdrawal of reserves from the south. well , accordingly, if we are already talking about winter campaign, what will be the main strategic plans of the enemy, i.e. how will they try to deploy their offensive plan , an important message was received from the head of the ukrainian foreign intelligence service, he said that the enemy is counting on the destruction of our civilian infrastructure, in particular, energy facilities with the aim of cause certain public sentiments, we understand that the enemy will make his winter plan from several components. that is, this is a military campaign and a so-called psychological attack on our population. agree: last winter they have done a lot of damage to energy, i'm sure

they intend to do it again this year. of course, it will be very difficult, especially for those who live in the gray zone, for example, in the kharkiv region. shops no longer operate there and people are completely dependent. aid, i must say that a lot of voluntary aid from europe comes precisely to meet the basic needs of the people, the russians will continue to attack the gray area as much as possible for them, trying to penetrate deeper and deeper. not sure exactly where they will attack this year, but it's clear they 'll focus on one or two major cities to try to destroy the infrastructure there. i think that odesa, lviv and kyiv will take the biggest hit, because they are the centers of the greatest activity. lviv, because he comes here. from poland, then of course odesa, because of grain and

farming in winter, and kyiv, because it is the capital. so you have to prepare for powerful attacks. however, strategically, i don't think it will have the effect that russia would like, for the simple reason that the ukrainians already prepared for winter, they are now more psychologically prepared, in particular , i know that ukrainian energy companies are now better prepared for this war than last year, so this strategy will not work. a couple of days ago, putin spoke virtually, of course, the g20 summit, in this summit president joseph biden and chinese leader xi jinping refused to participate, they were not there, instead there was putin, putin started talking about a colossal tragedy that must be stopped. we understand that this is outright pharisaism, it is an outright lie on his part, on the other hand, he used the term instead of svo.

for which in russia they give terms, he used the term war, with which purpose putin began to talk again about some of his peaceful intentions, although the whole world is aware that he is lying, firstly, are we sure that it was putin, and not one of his doubles, if it was the real putin, then it is unlikely that he would have used the forbidden word war, or it has already taken deep root in the head of the person who speaks putin or his double. what is putin trying to do, or what is he trying to do government there, is to give reinforcement to those members of the european union and other countries that are trying to call for peace, and so by saying to countries like slovakia, hungary, india, the brics country that i want peace, putin gives them the confidence to say that peace - this is a good idea in their opinion, that the war has driven everyone to a dead end and that now is the time for negotiations. but this is just putin's game to

muddy the waters in an effort to slow down aid and support to ukraine and nothing more. he has no desire for peace, his the desire is to win by more cunning methods, because on the battlefield it does not succeed. yes, i agree with you, on the other hand, we understand that putin is really preparing for a long war. you and i, mr. colonel, talked about this a little before it became mainstream, but in any case, a lot of experts record russia's preparations for a possible protracted war. perhaps, perhaps the russian economy will not survive, perhaps a double or a triple will act instead of putin, but it does not matter who, but this does not mean that the russian the ministry of defense and the russian general staff are not preparing for certain protracted military operations. your vision of how russia is preparing for the long- term. scenario and what might this

protracted scenario be? my opinion that they want a protracted war has not changed. everything indicates that they are slowly mobilizing so as not to create chaos in moscow and st. petersburg. but finally , the territory of the country is being constantly mobilized, the ability to deliver weapons to the front line is improving, and they are also quite successful in manufacturing radio-electronic means struggle, which a year ago they could only dream of. so russia is preparing for two or three years, or maybe even 10-15 years of protracted war. it will simply continue to hit ukraine until it breaks. they are counting on the fact that sooner or later the west will fail, and then something like the korean scenario will happen. the conflict will be frozen, a border will be created that will separate eastern ukraine or novorossiya and ukraine. this is what

they strive for and what they hope for. in a certain sense, it is good that he is in the russian general staff there are not very bright heads. they are smart in their specific specialty, but definitely not in strategic thinking. it is quite possible that by putting the country on military rails, they actually destroy its economy as a whole. we know that the state of the economy in russia leaves much to be desired in many areas. for example, some airlines are on the verge of collapse because they cannot get spare parts and keep the planes in good condition in the air. this is a reflection. some spheres in the economy, and if airlines are not endure, then other segments must surely be close to collapse, because it cannot be the case that some part of the economy is damaged, and everything else is not. russia is approaching a crossroads where, on the one hand

, defense is growing, and on the other, the economy is declining. i don't know when it will be at the very center of this crossroads, in a year, a year and a half, but i suspect that at some... stage there will be a large-scale economic failure. another point that we've talked about so much is that china seems to be pulling back somewhat from russia, from recent conversations it seems that the chinese realize that their future is connected with the economy of the west, and certainly not with the economy of russia. there is no russian economy that would help china. if china relies on russia, it will go down the drain. the chinese rely on the european union and the united states, and that's where their money, their investments, and their markets are. china cannot survive without the markets of the european union and the united states. there will definitely be people who will tell the chinese government about it. like,

hey hey, stop, you've gone too far. and what do we get from russia, the old military equipment? no thanks, we don't need that. so, things are happening that can work against russia in the long run. well, in any case, xi jinping has very clearly proposed to the president of the united states , joseph biden, to take and share the influence on the globe. in simple language, it was made public. as far as i understand, there is something in this, we just don't know how beijing will react to the proposals of president joseph biden, so to speak. china helped the russian aggressor much less, but maybe if the chinese are interested, they can really put putin in a very cool way, yes, well, because putin talked about how he relies and that there are almost 2 billion of them with the chinese, but a very

clear position of the united states that would require there are still additional, clear steps ahead of how far president joseph biden and tan will now be willing to go in the current extremely difficult phase of the war. the american military has no say in this matter. everything that is provided to ukraine is approved in the white house. by according to the results of the meeting in ramstein, a corresponding request is submitted, and then the white house decides how much and what of this request will be granted. i heard about it from more than one person. it's all a white house decision. and i am absolutely sure of that. by the way, i was in the states last week, so i'm also absolutely certain that the military would provide a lot more if they could. certainly, the united states has an enormous arsenal of weapons still sitting in the nevada desert under the protection of the national guard, along with other old equipment that they could provide,

especially abrams tanks. but the white house seems, i don't know if it's willing to let the war go slowly, or if it's really worried about having to go to war with china, or maybe both. i also have the impression that there are at least one or two people in the white house who are more positive about russia than they are about ukraine. but now it is very difficult to say, it is difficult to say whether there will be certain changes and shifts. i think that everything will remain unchanged, aid to ukraine will continue to be provided in a leisurely and dosed manner, there will be no big surge, even if the military wants it, on the other hand, we understand that war strategy requires resources, yes, offensive resources, defensive resources, we are talking about strengthening the air defense system, we

understand everything, we recently visited kyiv arrived from three european capitals, three representatives, well, not only european capitals, three representatives of the respective areas, so when he returned to politics , he went to kyiv, the german minister of defense pistorius, the head of the pentagon, lloyd austin, all were in kyiv. i am not sure that they are developing some deep plan in kyiv. we have reached the stage when slovakia has already joined the other side, and hungary has shown that those who strongly support ukraine simply want to convey their position to others. perhaps the president's office got the impression that support is slipping away, it is not slipping away , now it is at a very difficult stage, because all countries, except for: the united states, have already given everything they could, latvia has emptied its warehouses, estonia has done the same and

the czech republic, poland have given a huge amount of equipment and are still waiting for the arrival of new ones. so there are many people who are worried that ukraine may think that they have turned their backs on it, but this is not the case. at the top level, there is an active rethinking of what to do next, where to put money, how to buy things that are difficult to buy, for example, ammunition, they are very difficult to buy now, there is and will be a lot of activity in the background, but this is because right now as it should be, supporting ukraine is no longer so easy, not easy at all. and returning to that about as has already been said many times, in ukraine you need to put your diplomacy in order, because you cannot entrust diplomats. inappropriate level. it is necessary to second the best of the best, because it is the best experts

in their field who can influence the increase of support from different countries. if you do not send tops, then the result will not be top. you won't get what you need. therefore , diplomacy is absolutely vital. it's time to stop sending your friends from the bank, choose instead. the most professional representatives. but is there, for example, in americans will make a political decision, yes, which would concern an increase in military aid. the only thing that added a powerful volvo charge was russia's attack on nato, it would have completely changed the game. and there is no doubt about it. however , i do not think that putin is ready for such a change, if only because his army is currently the weakest, if we talk about the last three. 40 years old. attacking nato now would be suicide for the country, and they know it. i don't think that

will happen. most likely, they will simply continue their efforts to bleed ukraine to death and exhaust the enthusiasm of the west, while simultaneously carrying out hybrid actions to draw more and more countries into russia's sphere of influence. i said there was a lot more to come. i am sure that russia... now it is thinking about other stories. one such story was hamas. they are definitely planning other actions in other countries and in other places to create problems for the west and for america. dear mr. colonel, the southern operational direction, we understand that certain bridgeheads have been created in the territories temporarily occupied by russian interventionists in the kherson region. extremely difficult battles are going on, we understand that now the enemy is being pushed back from the banks of the dnieper. on the other hand, we understand that this applies rather to the entire

southern operational space, because in the zaporizhzhia region there are also ongoing battles in the district recruitment works and so on. your vision of possible scenarios for the development of the situation in the south. boys and girls are now fighting smartly in the zaporizhzhia region, moving forward as confidently as possible. they can't advance faster because of mines, not enough the number of artillery and in general the difficulty of fighting, managed to cross the dnieper, and this is a completely different matter, and i do not think that russia was ready for this. this will give them problems with the reserves, because now they have to decide whether they will field men east of avdiyvka, or take the best from avdiyvka and field them in front of kherson. it is known that the troops in the kherson district are slowly moving forward, they will continue to move forward, since russia now has no opportunity to push them

back. so i think the tipping point, or whether in zaporizhzhya or kherson region, it will definitely come. it's only a matter of time. it may not happen this winter, but i think both of these areas will continue to slowly move forward until something happens. that's why you have to... pray that the russians really just won't be able to cope with three fronts at the same time. and finally, i would like to clarify whether you feel that the decision regarding the f-16 has already been made and soon they will appear in our skies, or it may still take some time? ukrainian pilots are currently being trained. already worked training center in romania. it is known that f-16 pilots are trained in other countries, so there will be f-16s soon. what an impact. they will have and when they appear, maybe there won't be any special effect until the air force, the army start working together and how best

to use the f-16 and in the initial stages it can be... not an easy task. of course, there will be a specific effect, but you shouldn't expect anything grandiose. because russia has been preparing for the appearance of f-16 fighters for a long time. they are ready and will do anything to make it difficult for them in the air activity. the f-16 will change the rules of the game, but maybe not as much as we expect. what will matter is how smart. the hq is using these fighters, how purposefully they will be used to break through in areas where possible, or at least to remove russian aircraft from the sky, because the enemy is not ready to engage the f-16, but i don't know when you will receive them, and it is doubtful that anyone can know it, thank you very much, mr. colonel,

for this extremely important analysis on the air of the tv channel, to our tv viewers: i want to remind that currently on the espresso air , a retired british army colonel, military expert glen grant, was working for them. get zakin, glory to ukraine. glory to the heroes, god, protect the king and express your respect to every ukrainian soldier who is currently fighting in bagnyuk and in this horror in ukraine, we must give them all our support. the time of our program has run out, stay tuned to the channel and comment on the most relevant social issues. discussions, what news will be analyzed by the guests of the project this week and, in fact, who will be the guest of the studio, we will find out already this sunday, the topics will definitely be relevant, the guests will be special, proper names with myroslava barchuk sunday 1710 at espresso. i'm

thundering, brothers 15:59, everyone get ready, how can you hear me? i'm wind start, ready, thunder, i'm thunder, i can hear you well, mr. colonel, attention, let's start, big sideways.

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