[000:00:00;00] sections, we have it there now near avdiivka, and one way or another , but it is in, that is, the russians are pushing it little by little, why, what, what do we lack for defense, in this case, because it is clear, everyone understands that there is happening, everyone understands that there is an offensive, we see these forces and can even see them well enough, that is, it is possible to destroy armored groups and even individually. advancing, and yet the russians manage to push little by little, what explains this from your point of view? well, i think it's just, that moment when some such general things, they fit into the general problem that there is, let's say, of an organizational nature, let's call it so mildly, that the rotation is carried out at least with the existing forces that are there, well, because it is really possible to expand this problem of coilers in relation to the fact that there is

an increase in mobrezv , but let's say so, there are other voices, let's say so, who say that look, well, we have a lot of units in the ground forces, well, what kind of units some units ca n't save a year at the front at all, well, what about they cover the so-called northern operational zone, it would be it is not bad to change them like that, there is something in this, because you know, if we talk about what is happening now with the russians under the cover of the soviet union, then it is not possible, it would not be entirely correct to talk about the fact that they are allegedly changing tactics and the like . that when they started to advance in large columns of armored vehicles, now everything is narrowed down to small assault groups, here you can say that, it’s all just their units, they literally disappear, well, that is, they started to advance with reinforced battalions, and now these all the reinforced battalions have faded to the level of assault groups that can really maintain the continuity of the offensive there, they have a high level of artillery support, and in general, aviation works there too, roughly speaking, we do too, no matter how

banal it is now '. but we, for example, do not have enough of the same f16s , so that the russians would at least drop guided aerial bombs on avdiyivka less, and it would be possible to reduce the level of fire impact on our troops, we seriously do not have enough large-scale artillery, well, because tulips in the russians, unfortunately, for those large-caliber mortars, caliber 240 mm, unfortunately too many, by the way, you could also ask the question like this, and where is our soltsepok in the sense that the russians put on the conveyor, let's say, the conversion of these t72 hitches and even ivan ivan, look, i'm going to interrupt you a little bit now, because we have another guest that we have for a short time, unfortunately, we can just continue the conversation with you, let's now connect ivan shevtsov to the conversation, this is a lieutenant colonel, head of the press service of the assault unit brigade's steel border, from the liman kupyansk direction , and i think, let's look at the steel border now

, actually put up a flag there now, we have such an opportunity, maybe let's look at it now, and then we can say a few words about it reason, well, this is it, it was established in the kharkiv region, in fact, on the border,

so i congratulate mr. ivan. glory to ukraine, glory to the heroes, but you explain to us in more detail what this is, why it is important, and actually, why in general, what, what is happening with us now across the border in such a case, with border guards of the steel border continue to conduct combat operations in the east of ukraine, our brigade is located in the lyman-kupin direction, we participate in both combat operations on the contact line and defend the state border. in the kharkiv region, in the video you saw how our border guards of one of the rapid response border patrols set up a flag at the budarka checkpoint, this checkpoint has not been working since the full-scale invasion of the russian federation, it is located directly on the state border, and this is already the third time, for sure, when we

install the flag of ukraine on the state flag. it is very important for us, because we are border guards and we first of all mark where the state border is, now with the russian federation it is very important for the enemy to... see where the state border is and where it cannot go, but how it can say, in general, our state border in the district of kharkiv, there in sumy oblast, is now a gray zone, can we control it well enough there, how does it all happen? eh, completely for all of kharkiv i can't tell you the region, i can only comment on the area where the border guards of the steel border directly carry out defense and protection. there is no gray zone, it passes there as much as possible, where it is not, it has conflict zones , the state border passes there, but the situation is quite tense, the enemy constantly tries to pass through, with reconnaissance sabotage

groups, practically, well, several times a week, such drgs try to enter, without success, there are also constant shelling of border settlements and combat positions, as well as the defense forces, if we talk about the section of the lyman-kupin direction, then here also the defense forces have repulsed seven enemy attacks in the past day, and the situation remains steadily tense, well, actually, from there, even today, there was a message from the commander ground troops, syrsky that the enemy has actually been strengthening there in recent weeks. attacks and has, as far as i know, an advance in the district of senkivky, or is trying to do it, at least there, how would you describe it in general, or well compared to there a month ago, from a couple of weeks

back, what is happening in general in this direction, where there are the greatest tensions, where there is less, well, what, what exactly, in the kupiv direction, the situation is really the most acute in the direction of senkivka, the thief... has been trying to move forward for more than six months, but he has nothing works, we have not given up a single piece of land, the enemy has not advanced a single centimeter in this area, and if this continues, we will be able to continue to keep the defense on the right track in this direction. senkivka is very important to him, because if he breaks through senkivka, he will have quite good strategic directions for the future. advance to kupinsk, therefore in the direction of senkivka, and we and the enemy have concentrated a large number of personnel and there are active combat operations, but tell me, there

was information that the russians were withdrawing some forces from the lyman-kupyan direction in order to to use them in the zaporizhzhia district, somewhere in the zaporizhzhia direction, somewhere in the avdiivka district, have they now returned some... forces there, well , actually, what can you say about it? uh, we don't we are observing some kind of decrease in enemy forces in this area, rotation is constantly carried out, renewal of personnel, as before , units of the first tank army, 20th, sixth, 25th armies are used here, storm and stormz units also take part in combat operations , and lately we have been recording the fact that military personnel of the former wagner unit are taking part in combat operations, in assault operations, as separate groups, and also, they are also taking part

in other assault groups, together with servicemen of the russian federation, and how has the weather now affected the course of hostilities, well, if you were to say who it helps more, the weather helps, first of all, because there are fewer enemies... armored vehicles are used during assault operations, but for military personnel for ordinary soldiers, the weather did not affect them in any way, they both pushed and continue to carry out their meat assaults, and well, you have already said a little about the fact that you expect that it will still not be possible to push through, but, well, maybe a little more in detail, tell us about how you can if the situation develops further, in my opinion, in the future the situation will be characterized by the fact that the enemy will try to conduct assault actions in this direction, in this direction, for him , kupyansk kupyansky nodal is a strategically

important object, because kupiansk-nodal is located a railway junction which had been used by the enemy during the occupation as a good route for supplies, ammunition and personnel to the front line, but we had enough time to establish ourselves in this area, both in the summer and in the autumn, and now in the enemy has no chance, that is... he hasn't made any advances for more than six months. ugh. thank you. thank you, mr. ivan. and we wish you good luck there in your direction, well, actually, and in guarding the border as well. thank you, it was ivan shevtsov, lieutenant colonel, head of the press service of the steel border assault brigade. well, let's go to commercials for a few minutes and return to discussing the situation

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intelligent and caring people in the evening at espresso. we continue the conversation, this is the chronicles of the war and we continue the conversation with ivan kyryachevsky, military expert of defense express, and we have already talked a little about avdiivka, actually about the situation there, about kupianka. the lyman direction, well, actually, from what we know the latest from there, from the kupyansk-lyman direction, this is what is important now, the fighting has recently been most intense in the sinkivka area, but also, since in the silver forestry the russians things are not going well, they are stuck there and

practically do not move, as if they are going there too overlap, the reserves are transferred, and look, ivan, this is the continuation of our conversation with you, which we interrupted, or does this all mean that the russians have enough... a lot of reserves have been accumulated for this winter company, because, well , they don't, well, they don't have to protect them, so they have to protect them so especially , there are continuous assaults on avdiivka , they are now raising reserves and , in principle , the assaults near kupyansk are strong enough, maybe they will be preparing something there , that is, how is it possible, what are they now there are forces that we can know about this at all and what is happening there in general in this regard, well, look, the figure that we can know, even from open sources, about 440,000 russian troops, just along the front line, is not counting, these occupation garrisons, there is a guard and other things, something like that, well, in principle, let's say this, that's exactly what they need to maintain such a level, let's call it that, such a level of activity, as it is now along the entire

front line, it's quite enough, here exactly but in some way, it really logically intersects, that somehow we just didn't have time to agree on how the russians, and unfortunately, for some reason, ours. sections can try under the cover of audio, why does it turn out that they can somehow push our positions, why there is a question at the level of, let's say, even some speakers, who are adequate, and not about those who could think in the first place, what they say it is necessary to carry out at least rotations by brigades, this is the case with them, let's say this , first of all, with them, why exactly with them it turns out that in ours, after all, due to the fact that there is no possibly established system, at least, let's say, rest of the fighters, in them. the fact that they are spraying in seven directions and in principle should not give any result, well, sometimes it gives them the opportunity to push through some individual positions on the mariinsky, as far as there were reports, some problems started in the bakhma direction, well, and accordingly, if we are more precise in the definitions, then in the direction of the event, it is 2 km deep and approximately

5 to 7 km wide, there they have a kind of balcony, and this is a specific situation, which if you look in more detail on the map of the area, to put it bluntly, not even the entire perimeter of ogoorozhya covers the avdiiv koksokhima, roughly speaking, but on the other hand, the very appearance of such a balcony of the russians, which hangs over our communications, well, it is in its own way threatening, if we talk about it , how can the russians be replenished, well, you know, if taking into account the fact that their mobilization machine allows for the deployment of 20-30 thousand shticks per month, well, that is, it is throughout the cycle that the otkomat, the training center went through, formed some organisms, transferred them to the front and this is they get 20-300 stocks per month, then according to them all , let's say this, it allows them not only to cover the losses they received, but also gradually, well, or to carry out rotations at least in some areas of the front, well, or

even, well, let's say, move units between, let's say, different directions of the front, so this is how it turns out that they are actually, if you look at them like this... they are not as large-scale as it might seem, but they have enough strength for all this, to press on, so to speak us along the entire front line, of course there you can discuss how successfully they can press somewhere there, well, because there is a left bank, well, the left-bank kherson region, the zaporizhia direction, they have an assault there, an attempt to storm, to put it mildly, they did not succeed, but in principle it is possible to argue about the characteristics of the kupinsky and limansk directions there, well, because we remember, we can remember how you and i talked in the summer about the unpleasant prospects for... supunapinsk, they turn out to be the forces of an entire tank army, they are still fighting near sons, well, something like that doesn't work out, but it's just that they, if they didn't need to accumulate something separately, it's easy for them to constantly look all over the front line, unfortunately, that's a fact. well, yes, but you know, the general impression of

this story is that instead of in the summer, pay attention to this accumulation of russian forces, to the fact that they are fixing this system from... well, for some reason we decided that constant mobilization , constant replenishment, well, own units, this is something that should not be talked about directly should be done, and now it spills out, well, you already know, even into some very strange discussions, political problems and attempts to transfer accusations of some kind to something, although this is actually the responsibility of the political power, well, yes, and in general, possibly the information a politician who just, uh, somehow unsuccessfully tried to tell the citizens that they will not have to do more... effort and well, that's what i see in this now as a problem, because we don't have

2,000 per month ready, so that at least make regular rotations, well, here i will allow you a little not to agree, because let's say so, according to our own observations, based on the work of inquisitive osinters who know how to search for various stories in social networks, right on the wave, let's say so, of new discussions that have been going on there from october to the present moment, but everywhere dodge , some ochylyants, but somehow they appeared at our place, let's say so. the fact looks like this, suddenly there were even pages of the press service for four units officially registered, well, that is, it is not that i am disclosing some state secret there, just on facebook, there are at least three, well, press services three new mechanized brigades, as they declared themselves, and one infantry brigade formed, well, you know that, it should be somewhere around 20,000, well, that is, when there was one crazy frau talking about started telling sensitive data, well, that's why the problem arose , why didn’t they divulge these sensitive data, because it is possible that this is all just being carried out, but the next

question immediately arises, why does it turn out that the mobilized contingent is being recruited, if it is being recruited, then for the formation of new units, under which some kind of there weapons technology from western partners, with this, as we now know, there is a bit of a problem, and why does it not go to the rotation of new units, although on the other hand, due to the fact that some correct solutions are possible, they were missed, roughly speaking, we would in this... you probably know, in order to avoid these problems that exist now, we should talk about mobilization in this way, probably in the fall, just on the wave of victories, well, because i can even understand and assume that part of the military leadership may be healthy logic, not to send recruits, precisely these existing combat brigades , which are already there too, well, let's say, they are tired in the battles, instead try to form a new viable organism, because, well, for the sake of justice, when there are in separate categories, let's say so, adding look, what a correct interview with the truth about the war, and when the tired company commander speaks, well, old , let's say, airborne, one of the old airborne

brigades that were there until february 2022, who declares his readiness to perform the task of considering the losses, well, this is a peculiar situation, new brigades or some new additions are needed in order to, well, not just lose them in battles, not just for that, just for that, they are created in order to win back territories , this is just us, perhaps it turns out, we are reaping something, er, let’s say this, the fruits of those decisions that should have been theoretically adopted a year ago, but unfortunately they were not adopted, now you know how to repair everything on course, probably no one knows why, actually, for to things, why there was talk of the fact that, well, it was entirely necessary, or let's say, of his work, about what is possible, well, or even, why there were intense, let's say, signals from western partners through the inter, that it is possible for us to grow in defense, because if we just stand, in strategic defense, relying on the same line

of fortification, it is possible that we will need at least a year and a half to correct all these problems, because even if we quickly make some decisions on mobilization, well at least a year or so will be needed just for the normal training of the brigades, and not the accelerated training as now, because if we continue the topic about, well, let’s say so professional about the spread of our units, well, the same brigade from the 47th, there, the censornet took a very good the interview seems to commander roto that when people first undergo three different training courses for different application formats for six months, and then they are put first to conduct assault actions, well , it is clear that something can break, and after heavy battles in the south of assault, and then more are transferred to avdiivka, well, it's even somewhat difficult here, let's say to comment like this and it turns out that when there it's simple even if you refer to some' when there some active in the west are just naked in general terms and it's not clear, here you are there some tempo

of the counterattack is unclear and there i was also one of those people who were ready to rush, sorry for the title, but when these people themselves took it, unfolded the thesis in their publications, then the picture was turned upside down, they also reported about the fact that, well, people forgive you for that , in order to to carry out the tasks that you put forward with the counterattack of the brigade, it was necessary to prepare for at least a year according to the intensity and conditions that the us army can afford, and not like now, so it turns out that we, you know, it is even too late for some reason to state that some decisions were not made even a year ago, it is time to talk about how this whole mechanism can be repaired on the go, maybe it is really even worth listening to the western partners for some reason and just dedicate the year 2024 strategic defense, simply to prevent the russians from going forward somewhere, or to make it so that when they try to advance , they wear out as much as possible, their mass of manpower, well, did not give the effect that they hoped for, well,

otherwise we are in trouble, well, ivan, how much in general, it is not a utopian idea to think that someone will allow us to stand on the defensive, i mean first of all the enemy, that the defense will not turn into a simple retreat, because you know, it is a two-way process, if you do not attack yourself, well, the enemy, well, it's somehow easier, also, he can understand for himself that there will be no offensive actions, and well, you can freely maneuver the front here and there, transfer troops here and there and push somewhere in different places, that's the same. in principle, obvious things, and not to keep a reserve, which is there, because you do not know where from which side someone will start to advance, but how much is it in general, well, it is not a utopian idea to think that they are on the defensive, well, and cool, and we stand and no one bothers us, well, it's not like that , well, you know, let's say it like this, but i will make

one more remark here, before i personally there he issued a publication in the law, some of his scientific centers at e zso, you know, such a little extensive analytical reference about how someone successfully broke the fortified lines in world history, and you know, the only general line that was clearly followed there, all successful breakthroughs of the defense lines, they took place in complete silence, not like there , let's say, individual operatives promised in november 2022 that in a year we would be in crimea drinking cognac, giving concerts and the like, but simply in the regime of silence, respectively, let's even say so, well, it's obvious that some direct decision must be made by the military, first of all, the military command about simply standing on the defensive or preparing something for an unpleasant surprise, what about the russians, we can think about it , but on the other hand, taking into account even the fact that if there are any active actions, this time they need to ensure maximum silence, and not like this, if there is all the fanfare, counter-offensive, counter-offensive, we are discussing for six months, uh, the direction, where can go

counteroffensive, and then we wonder why the russians prepared in such a way, so in order to preserve this real... quiet and real regime , let's say, unpredictability for the enemy, it will still be worth it for us, in the interests of our homeland, to talk about the fact that oh, we are just preparing for strategic defense, even if the signs in the open sources say otherwise, because on the other hand , it would seem that why should we form three new mechanized brigades there on bmp and on others there, let's say cars, well, they are not for so that they are just there, you know, for the reporting of the special services or not just for maintaining a maneuverable defense. clearly for something else, but for what else, let's not develop this topic, let's just pretend that we think that the armed forces of ukraine in 2024 will spend only in strategic defense. well, well, well, well, then in this case we also see the fortification construction of these, well, actually fortifications, it’s also all in the same, well, as if like a story, well, the same exits, that is, at

the same time, well, more than on the other hand as they say, some people advance... even resisting the fortifications, it is more convenient to advance, well, because the troops can be sheltered there in something, so there, regardless of what the enlisted man can prepare for the spring of 2024, you and i, i think, at least in order to somehow simplify the matter for our eye, our homeland, well, it is still worth talking from the perspective that, oh, what a good idea about strategic defense, because you know, if you read russian non-rashion millogers, which are constantly marketable there reports cited by the institute the study of war, let's say so, let's call it rashan military teoretics. then they think that they have already won, and maybe here it would be very good if they went on some big offensive and let's say , ignoring the basic rule of clauses, that defense is always a stronger type of combat than offense, well maybe it would be nice for them, let's say, to suffer heavy losses and still worsen their negotiating positions, or in principle worsen the strategic position of the war, that's why we are like that, you know, we in principle, we are entering a very interesting period

after the war, where nothing can be discussed in simplified terms. as it is used to do on the topic of a marathon, but unfortunately, we have limited air time, thank you, interesting opinion , interesting, well, we will try to do it, thank you, it was the chronicles of the war and ivan kirichevsky, military defense expert express and see you. when will israel resume hostilities in the gaza strip, what is the current situation on the polish-ukrainian border and how is pavlo lebid's case progressing? good evening, this final news release, anna javamelnik is with you. pavlo lebid, ex-abbot of