tv [untitled] November 29, 2023 7:30pm-8:01pm EET
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direction and who will invest specifically in human capital, we will learn everything in detail in a moment. i am oleksandr morchyvka, congratulations, this is a column about money during the war. indeed, people are the main asset in the economy, and not only that the economy of ukraine and the economy of the whole world, however, the great war in our country caused, well, forced migration, more than 6 million ukrainians, according to official data only , left their homeland, 5 million became internally displaced, well, hundreds of thousands are now at the front, really a lot confident will return alive and everyone will look for work, today we are talking about human capital, about investments in this direction, about the experience of the european union, why the eu is currently managing its support programs for the development of small and medium-sized businesses, about this in detail later, with
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as a guest, we are joined by dmytro lyvch, executive director of easy business, head of the analytical direction of the economic recovery center. good evening. good evening. mr. dmitry, it is clear that the great war hit all sectors of the economy, and in fact, how this war affected human capital, what changes took place in this area, tell us in detail. in fact, the impact of a full-scale war, it was quite significant. in 2022, the decline of the ukrainian economy was recorded at the level of 29.2%, compared to the gdp of 2021, but it is also worth understand that this impact, it was heterogeneous, from the point of view of regional distribution , that is, the southern regions, partial northern regions, as well as the eastern regions, suffered much more than the western and central regions, also from the point of view of the cross-section of enterprises, small and medium enterprises, businesses
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suffered more than than large enterprises, and also from the point of view of sectors of the economy, that is, we, we are aware that, for example, the agricultural sector, or other, other sectors that are part of the primary sector of the economy, they suffered quite, quite significantly, but at the same time it is worth understanding that the ukrainian economy, thanks to such stable work of both small and medium-sized businesses and large businesses, will suffer... less than what was predicted by international financial institutions, since the fall was predicted for levels of about 35-40%. both here and here we should understand that the impact of a full-scale war on the economy is calculated not only by the impact on the gross domestic product, but also on human capital. we are in the analytical center of easyness, also in the center economic retribution, relatively recently held a large-scale event
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about the future of human capital in ukraine and presented a study in which they estimated the long-term impact of a major war on human capital and the estimate is about 255 billion dollars of underachieved gdp in the next 10 years, if we do nothing about it with this question, and here is completeness, but if there is a short-term perspective, we hope victory, what are the options, here are investments and prospects for human capital, or have they calculated only for 10 years of war? no, we, we carried out, we carried out quite, quite thorough work on forecasting what the future might be, in general, the labor market in ukraine, how to return forced migrants who are currently staying abroad, how to better integrate internally displaced persons, war veterans, socially vulnerable groups of the population, that is, this whole issue is so complex, on which, on which it is necessary, it is necessary to work, if we talk about human capital as a whole, here
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it is a short-term impact, it is mainly is due to the damaged infrastructure in the health care, social and educational sectors , if we talk about the long-term impact, then this is a drop in productivity and here we should understand that if we want to restore the economy and develop it at a pace at the level of not less than 7%, and this is needed in order to double the gross domestic product of ukraine in the next 10 years, we should consider at least three approaches, the first approach is a quantitative approach when we talk about the return of ukrainians, as well as it is possible to attract even foreign labor to the recovery in ukraine, the second approach is a productive or qualitative approach, here we are talking exclusively about investments in labor productivity, this is actually a topic that is discussed not only in ukraine, in the countries of the european union, it took place relatively recently the week of the development of small and medium-sized businesses in the eu countries, and there the topic of skills,
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it was one of the most important along with the topic of the green transition, as well as the digital transition and the development of the single market of the european union, and the third approach, if we we say, this is a balanced... approach in which we talk about returning ukrainians home, and about better involvement of socially vulnerable groups, and improves about a better meeting of available skills on the market, as well as available, available jobs, and we also talk about further increase in productivity in the short, medium and long term. well, you mentioned, mr. dmytro, that the forecast of the international public, international financial institutions, was still negative regarding the events. of the ukrainian economy, and i am convinced that international support, in particular from the european union, and the human potential that exists among us ukrainians help to stay afloat and continue to develop. well, by their own example, it is people who show how to develop in the difficult conditions of war.
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however, international programs are not idle either, we talk about this in the section about money , let's look at a specific business story, how an immigrant was able to open his own business with his favorite business and still make a profit, and then we will talk in detail. there is a water softening system, coal purification, there is initial cleaning, there is an anti-bacterilization system, that is, it is something that kills microbes, there is a waste filter and a silicon one. mr. serhii tells us about the process of water purification, which only at first glance may seem easy and fast, now it is his life's work, however, the story began not so long ago, the man worked as a priest in prisons, in 2017 he decided to start his own business, with the money set aside for a dream vacation in spain, i bought
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special equipment, i say, well, let 's buy equipment, how can we do it there do it now, let's clean the water and let's go, there is a need, there is, especially since it was all in donbas, there, the water there is terrible, in general. yes, the first workshop appeared in dobropilly. the demand was crazy, in addition , he volunteered and delivered purified water to defenders in the east. in three years , i realized that business geography needs to be expanded, so i applied for a grant from europe for business. they began to search there, and already the second grant that we took, it was... already 7,000 dollars, and it was such a real amount that helped us at that moment, at that time to open another shop, funds from european colleagues helped to open a new shop in novodetsk, but on february 24 last year everything changed, the business had to be relocated,
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first the equipment was moved to lviv, and then the family decided to settle in the capital, they started in a small shop on the right bank, more one more... on the left, and later they opened two, in irpen. there were some such fears and cautions, we think it will work out or not , there is a lot of competition there and all that, but, you know, uh, no, steadfastness, it probably did its job, here we are such people that we, well, if , no, we never stop, yes, from two points in the east of ukraine it was possible to create a small network, now six enterprises are functioning, two in the capital, two in kyiv region, in dobropil and dnipro, business continue to build even in the face of difficult conditions and full-scale war. there are only plans for expansion and even new work formats, for example, wedding machines.
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you just need to act, somehow, something, look for something, find something and be a brave enough person in order to... yes, mr. sergey states by example that it is never too late to start a business, the development of entrepreneurship during a great war is only a challenge, not a doom, and the help of a partner, in particular from the eu , is inspiring. such an optimistic story of an entrepreneur who coped with challenges, but also thanks to the support of the uaf business program from the european union. well, we have dmytro lyvych, i'll remind you, as a guest, executive director. mr. dmytro, to what extent is the european union's aid to small and medium-sized enterprises an investment in ukraine's human capital? definitely, that is. development,
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the development of human capital, as well as the development of the economy, this issue is very complex, now and here it requires effective interaction, as the government of ukraine, the public, representatives of small and medium businesses, as well as our, our international partners, and similar examples they, they show, that indeed this stability of ukrainian business, even on small examples, it allows us to show results, it allows us to make that invaluable contribution to the development of our economy, for example, our organization also last year, last year, i worked on the ness grand grant program, in which, in which we helped enterprises from small and medium businesses, including relocation enterprises, with the allocation of grant aid, as well as with training, and here and here it is important to understand that here only financial assistance, it, it is needed now by the business, also, it is also worth investing, investing in retraining programs, in training, in
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programs for entering foreign markets, due to the fact that exports must grow, accordingly, the economy, it quite often depends from how much, how much we export, how big is the foreign exchange earnings, how stable is the exchange rate, the exchange rate of the national currency, so it is also worth thinking about, access to cheap credit resources, as well as investments - this, this is the guarantee of... sustainable recovery and the development of businesses that suffered from a full-scale great war, so such examples, they , they give hope that the business will continue to develop, will be stable and the ukrainian economy will begin to recover, and according to, if we talk about the forecasts of the ministry of economy, regarding growth in 2023 already, then there is also a positive... positive dynamics here, the ministry adjusted its forecasts to 4.8% economic growth
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in 2023, and in the conditions of a major war, this this is such an achievement, an achievement of the joint work of many, many participants in this process, as international organizations invest quite a lot in the development, development of the economy, and here it is also worth mentioning the issue of preparing a plan for ukraine. in within the framework of the yuk facility, this is the assistance of the european union for 4 years until 2027, in the amount of 50 billion euros, part of which will be used to help overcome the deficit of the state budget, part of which will be directed to the preparation of ukraine for joining the european union, which will open for us new opportunities both from the point of view of attracting investments, from the point of view of international trade, and from the point of view of increasing productivity, but part of this aid, it will be directed to
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the development of the private sector, and this is extremely it is important, because it is the private sector that allows us to accumulate the necessary funds for the state budget, which are directed to help our defenders and to support our defenders and to invest in freedom and democracy in our country. mr. dmytro, here is such an interesting question, it is clear that you have certain calculations, the preparation of the personnel human reserve for the reconstruction of ukraine. what are the current trends, forecasts, perspectives, some trends, very briefly, one minute. if we want to grow like i said at 7% annually, we may lack about 4.5 million people, and therefore the efforts of the state and public organizations are now directed at retraining the workforce, improving access, participation in the labor market. those people who unfortunately do not currently have the opportunity
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, do not have the opportunity to find, to find a decent job, in the retraining of people in investment in education, including in specialized education, because this issue is one of the key development priorities of our state. thank you for joining the conversation, dmytro lyvch, executive director, head of the analytical direction of the economic recovery center, was a guest of the loss section. even during the war, we monitor human capital, because it is you and i who will rebuild ukraine, we monitor investments, because international aid, in particular from the european union, is a prospect for the next... years, we thank our international partners and thank you for you watched me, stay tuned, there will be more, vasyl zima will tell a lot of interesting things, stay with us. thanks to oleksandr morchyvka, there are many more interesting things ahead and on the big airwaves, and also in the verodyk program, which starts at 20:00, what
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will be discussed today, which guests invited to the conversation, serhii rudenko, now we are with him. let's ask, serhiy, good evening, please speak to you. good evening, vasyl, today i will have a big evening as usual and many guests, three guests in the first hour, three guests in the second hour. in the first part of the program, we will talk about the situation at the front and how russia is trying to destabilize the situation inside ukraine. my guests there will be a veteran of the russian-ukrainian war, oleksiy hetman, people's deputy of ukraine. oleksiy kucherenko and public figure oleg rybachuk, let's talk about the plans of the supreme commander-in-chief of the armed forces of ukraine, volodymyr zelensky, regarding the construction of fortifications in ukraine, because yesterday he stated in his video message that at the supreme commander's meeting
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they talked about the construction of such fortifications in ukraine, how it will be, in what way and why... only now the ukrainian leadership begins to build fortifications. in addition, oleg rybachuk and i will talk about the meeting of the ukraine -nato council, today in brussels there was a big meeting of the ukrainian delegation with the ministers of foreign affairs of the member countries of the north atlantic alliance, and of course we will not miss the publication in zeaconomist, where they are talking about the fact that there are political misunderstandings between the civilian and military leadership of ukraine, whether these misunderstandings exist, if so, on what basis, we will talk about all this during the first hour of our broadcast, from 8 to 9 p.m., at 9:15 p.m., we will be joined by three of
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ukraine's best political scientists, olesya yakhnu, oleksiy holobuts, and volodymyr tsibulko. let's talk about how political life is going now, whether the political life of ukraine is going on, and why valery zaluzhny is now considered one of the competitors, political competitors in the struggle for power in ukraine, all this will be from 20 to 22 hours, so we have there is a big verdict and a big conversation ahead, but the big one... vasyl's evening of winter continues, vasyl, i promise you. thank you very, sergiy, so at 20:00, serhiy rudenko, verdyk program , wait, well, now it’s time to find out about the news from the world of sports, whether the miner managed to keep hope for the league in the spring of the championship and whether the hamburg stadium was gathered, the miner yesterday in the match against antwerp , evgeny pasthov, about everything in detail.
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ukraine will be represented in the eurocups next spring. donets miner guaranteed a place in at least the european league. the day before, in the fifth round of the group round of the champions league, marin pushych's team lost. belgian antwerp. victorious the miner scored a goal in the 13th minute of the match. mykola matvienko blocked a serve from oleksandr zubkov. antwarpan players understood that the defeat would turn into a complete fiasco for them in europe, so they tried to put pressure on dmytro riznyk's goal. the shakhtar goalkeeper did not let him down. the players kept a minimal advantage. it is very happy to win
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to guarantee a place in the europa league, but this is not our ultimate goal. we, we know our next goal and we will go for it, i hope that we will succeed, in such a group this achievement was not easy, because we faced very good teams at a high level, in terms of emotions more than happy, proud of the team, players and all employees of the club. with this victory, the miner condemned belgiytsev to the last place in the quartet h. the miners, on the other hand , scored nine points and occupy the third place in the tournament table of the group. only points in the port, but according to additional indicators , the dragons are ahead of the donetsk people. barcelona leads the quartet with 12 points. the catalans secured a place in the playoffs with a 2:1 victory over porto. champions league. fate the second participant of the elite european tournament will be determined in the face-to-face confrontation between shakhtar and porto in portugal on december 13. in quartet i
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, lazio beat celtic 2:0, and fey nord lost to atletico madrid 1:3. the paris-germain-newcastle match in group f ended with a taste of scandal. kylian mbappe saved his team from defeat in the eighth minute of stoppage time, realizing a dubious penalty. it became known today. that uefa removed the polish referee var tomasz kwiatkowski after the designated one-meter penalty in the goal of soroki. in another game quartet borussia dortmund beat milan 3:1 on the road. in group g, manchester city triumphed in a shootout with leipzig 3:2. city's norwegian striker erlin holland scored his 40th champions league goal, becoming the youngest player to reach the mark. in another match, the swiss young boys defeated the serbian team of cerven. zvezda an aggressor has no place on the basketball court. the international basketball federation continued to suspend russia and belarus from competitions under its
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auspices. international olympic in march the committee recommended that sports federations admit russian and belarusian athletes in neutral status. however, according to fiba's decision , the representatives of russia and belarus remain out of the competition after the start of the full-scale russian invasion of ukraine. the organization did not admit either russia or belarus to the qualifying tournaments of the 2024 games . the international basketball federation also left these national teams out of qualification for eurobasket 2025 and canceled the reservation of places for them at the european youth championships. there is currently a disqualification indefinite, but may be reviewed at the next phoebe central council meeting. well, this is the news of sport, today the rest of the teams will decide their fate in the champions league, i just wanted, before passing on, well, first of all , the enemy shelled nikopolshchyna, there is information from
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this area, which is constantly actually under enemy fire, i have not the region in mind, but the nikopol community, well , they became more active during the day, directed their weapons and the enemy's weapons at nikopol region, attacked the raicenter with three kamikaze drones, a private house was damaged, the marganets community was shelled from... heavy artillery, the enemy fired 10 shells , fortunately there were no dead or wounded everywhere, and this is the most important thing, well, finally, the territory of dnipropetrovsk region is at peace, the day passed peacefully, well, i want to say that the sun was recorded a very powerful m9.82 flash, if you understand what i'm talking about, and someone got into my ear and everything, and that's all, well, part of this flash, which is the strongest of those that was recorded in all history, devices even. .. were failing, which fixed these burning up in the sun, part of this gas and dust and plasma, they fly, it flies towards the earth , well, this will obviously have an effect, maybe natalka
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didenko will also tell us about geomagnetic activity, the earth's magnetic field, ms. natalie, good evening, congratulations you, i hope i didn't steal your bread and didn't tell you too much, please tell me, no, no, vasyl, it's very interesting, i listened to it myself, indeed we will talk about the magnetic activity, which is expected to be increased, but literally in a moment. synoptic hello to everyone and we are talking about weather, here is a little helper near me, he will just now step on the keyboard and he really wants to get to know you, so please get to know him, this is tarasik, the cat tarasik, he is so a little rude, because he walks on the keyboard, well, taras, how does he go on do your important business, cats. and we are talking to you about the difference between ice and icicles, this is important, because now the air temperature, for example, during the day,
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sometimes exceeds 0°, it even rains, and the air temperature drops in the evening and at night up to 3, up to five and up to 7 degrees of frost and very, very slippery, be very careful, and tonight, tomorrow morning, when you go out there on business or to work, well, i want to say once again , what is the difference between an icicle and an icicle. icy is a thin layer of ice, actually on the surface of the earth, on sidewalks, that is, what is relatively horizontal, but icicle is ice that forms on trees, on their trunks, on branches, very dangerously on power lines, on various wires, well, for example, they say, there is such a mistake, and correctly, yes, under the feet of the ozhi. this is wrong, there is ice under the feet, or the tree is covered with ice, this is wrong, the tree can be covered with ice, this is the difference between ice and
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ice, please remember, and now we go to what vasyl was talking about, about the activity of the sun and about the magnetic activity of the earth, and now to your attention is a forecast diagram of this activity, and as you can see, tomorrow an increase in magnetic activity is predicted, the so-called magnetic storms, and therefore please pay more attention to yourself, who has paid attention, perhaps reacting , with a worsening of well-being, then pay attention to this, and actually we are moving on to the weather forecast for the next day, november is getting closer and closer to winter , tomorrow is november 29, so what will happen tomorrow in all of ukraine and in every region of ukraine, in particular , we will traditionally start with the western regions, tomorrow in the west, precipitation is not expected, in general, looking ahead , i will say that no significant precipitation is expected anywhere tomorrow, such anticyclonic the nature of the weather before the cyclones, well -2 -4°
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in chernivtsi, the region in transcarpathia is a little warmer. no significant precipitation is expected in the north of ukraine tomorrow either. the air temperature will fluctuate around zero during the day, but it will freeze to -3-7° at night. i remind you once again, carefully, carefully on the road ozheleditsa. in the east of ukraine, in the kharkiv region, in the luhansk region, in the donetsk region, tomorrow, without precipitation, even sunny clearings are possible, the maximum daytime air temperature is +1-3°. dry weather will also prevail in the southern part of ukraine tomorrow. the air temperature is expected to be between 4°c and 7°c. in crimea it is even higher. and in kyiv, the weather is expected tomorrow, well, i won't say that it's dry, but at least without precipitation. at night -4 -7°, above ground it will get icy, be careful, be careful, during the day it will be warmer to +2. and
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literally one. i want to say again with my little helper that on the first of the next day we expect another southern cyclone to come out and the weather conditions to worsen again, so keep a close eye with tarasyk and tetyanka, who is running somewhere, oh, bye things came, literally a second, if there is one, i can show it, go come here, finally get to know each other, and that's it, we conclude, carefully follow our synoptic profile names on the espresso channel. it was better to see tarassk and tatyayanka, well, tarask even managed to take a picture through the screen. and here to continue the topic of space , by the way, just a few days ago, researchers from the ray telescope discovered an ultra-high-energy cosmic ray uhecr, if that tells you anything about it, with an energy of about 244-v, that's
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about 40 joules. such rays are fixed extremely rare, at least from what i know, but the most interesting thing about this story is that he came from void. a void is a void in space that exists, and the source of such a beam, well, it is a million times stronger than those particle accelerators that are produced in the nucleus, about this complex of ours on earth, and the origin of this beam is not clear, because in that void there is nothing, but such signals, such rays can be emitted by, say, a supernova black hole, well, mysteries of the cosmos, but we are just talking about the earthly and everyday, we will listen, serhiy rudenko, his guests will tell us much more about scandals and political trends, what is worth knowing and understanding more about, stay tuned to the espresso tv channel, the verdyk program in just a few moments, goodbye, see you tomorrow, all the best. good evening, we are from ukraine. glory to ukraine, this is the verdict program,
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my name is serhii rudenko, i congratulate everyone and wish everyone good health. in the next two hours, on your screens, the verdict, we talk about everything that interests you, dear viewers, about ukraine, about the world, about war and about victory, today in the program. russia is ready to take advantage of the political split, rumors about conflicts between zelenskyi and zaluzhnyi emerge in the new year. what consequences will this have for the front? budanov is the number one target for russian special services. what poisoned his wife, and who ordered it? ukraine is even closer to nato. what does the reform plan look like agreed with the alliance. we will talk about this and other things for the next hour with our guests, with a veteran of the russian-ukrainian war, oleksiy hetman, people's dept
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