them, while most of the most combat-capable russian units from the second general military army, the 41st combined-arms army, they avoid any serious battles, that is, the most combat-capable there are the 15th, 21st, 30th, separate motorized rifle brigades, the same, they are mostly located somewhere along the second line, the 55th and 74th, so they are near... they are operating there, but in the first line there is an overwhelming first separate motorized rifle brigade, all of the same first army corps, all this indicates that the regulars are now engaged in regrouping and accumulating resources, as well as restoring the combat capability of their units after the failed and first and second waves of assaults on the widow, that is , they are preparing for a more... powerful third

wave, which may take place before the new year in the coming weeks, and this situation, it is quite stressful and threatening precisely because of this. as for avdiyivka, there is an opinion among american analysts of the institute for the study of war that putin wants to capture it as well as kupyansk, well, if there is an opportunity, before the elections in march 2024, and if the situation... around avdiyivka suggests that there are still such possibilities, what do you think, at the expense of kupyansk, is a similar advance possible in this direction? here even the question is not only for avdiivka, in fact, and kupinsk, we see the activation of the russians in many directions at once, directly, this is near bakhmut, we see their activation both in the west of bakhmut, to the west. tion and the southern location

in the direction of klyshiivka and andriivka, and we see their activation and intensification of hostilities in in the maryanka area, in the near future, i am sure of this, the intensification of hostilities near the coal mine will begin, that is, a fairly wide front in some locations, it has become more active, and this can be called a kind of backup plan, a plan b for the russian command, if they cannot, for example, fulfill a-a, fulfill... the task of capturing avdiyivka before the new year, or before the so-called elections in russia, they will have the opportunity to achieve some success in some of these directions. even if we are talking about kupyansk, they are not can start offensive actions directly in the direction of kupyansk itself, until they capture the village of senkivka, and even the capture of the village of senkivka is also in their hands. in the propaganda context, there will be some

gain, that is, putin will be able, for example, either in the new year or during the elections there to declare: you see, we have already captured the very important village of senkivka, and we have almost a little left, so that, as they like that is to say, liberate kupyansk, and if we liberate kupyansk, then it will already be liberated there and kharkiv itself will be liberated very soon, so he may have such a message. precisely pre-election, and this can apply not only to senkivka, not only to avdiyivka or kup'yansk, they can also beat maryanka, klyshchivka, andriivka, and definitely ughledar. tell me, please , mr. oleksandr, in principle, if we talk about the strategic importance of all these efforts to capture avdiivka or melinka there, is it really a strategy or is it just a necessity to have some symbolic victories over the ukrainians.

front, right there before these very presidential elections, let's say, well, if we're talking specifically about avdiyivka, this is really a political symbolism, it does not have any global tactical significance for the russians today, exactly in the position they were in until october 10 of this year, it is a fairly powerful fortified area, it is a logistical hub, but he is not critical for the russians, some kind of critical threat for there... donetsk, in general for the entire bridgehead, no, this, they were not bothered by the presence of the avdivka at all, except for one moment , there are commanding heights, but this is already such a moment, he does not deserve such expenditure of resources, on the other hand on the other hand, if we generally talk about this whole plan b of theirs for some other purposes of a populated place, then the most important among all of them are not even ticks. not andriyivka, not avdiyivka,

no, senkivka, but there is actually ughledar, this is a really tactically very important, important location for them today, ah,... all the others are exclusively all political moments. if we talk about the south, in a little more detail, mr. oleksandr, the defense forces continue their work on the left bank, we can see this from the reports of the general staff. however, this week slipped by information that the evacuation of the civilian population from oleshki, possibly from novaya kakhovka, is being prepared. this information has been denied by the legally elected mayor of novaya kakhovka, volodymyr kovalenko, literally for the past few years. but to a lesser extent, we see quite interesting and symptomatic things in the north of crimea, for example. dzhankoy and helicopters no longer take off there, in fact the logistics for the group that is moving

from the crimea to the kherson region is being reworked on the go, does this mean that we can get away with those bridgeheads on on the left bank, i will say that... there are some successes in terms of evacuation from oleshek or the new kokhovka . demonstration of a gesture of goodwill, such a prerequisite, let me tell you what the prerequisites of a gesture of goodwill are, we can talk about the preparation of a gesture of goodwill, not for the evacuation of collaborators, there is documentation and so on and so forth. and we can talk about the medical personnel of the russian occupiers being withdrawn first, their field forces are collapsing hospitals, as well as withdrawing medical personnel from the city or villages, evacuating the wounded. the second phase is when the withdrawal

of the artillery begins, and the third phase is when the collapse of their means of communication begins, all levels, all equal all units, and after that. you can say that yes, indeed, these are three, three main signs, they say that a gesture of goodwill is being prepared, and they are preparing to run away. so far, we are not observing this, on the contrary, and in the left-bank kherson region, you can now observe how they have increased in the last two weeks their presence from 65,000 to 68,000 personnel of the dnipro troop group and increase further to almost 70,000, they are increasing this potential. that is, they are preparing to really hold this area and oppose our units on the left bank, and the fact that they are reviewing logistics options, they are in some sense even far-sighted here, because the same thing that is happening now near avdiivka is also far-sighted, they understand that

they are unlikely to be able to capture the city itself in the short term, so they plans are being prepared, so-called, and the same with logistics in the south. tell me, please, mr. oleksandr, in principle, if we talk about the offensive capabilities of the parties, then realistically, it can be considered that the russian army is capable of some serious strategic offensives with the aim of occupying new ukrainian regions, in the future, i mean, no no in the distant future, and the year is 2024, and the ukrainian army, the wall street journal said that the ukrainians may be capable of a new major offensive in 2025, if they survive the year is 2024, but realistically, what do we have the opportunity for... for an offensive in the future, a major offensive is such a concept, well , let's put it this way, it applies if it is the liberation of large territories, some large territory, let's remember what happened along the legal coast of kherson oblast, how

conditions were gradually created step by step for the presence of russians on the right bank to be critically suicidal for them. and at the same time, there were no global large-scale military actions with such global e-e with an offensive on a wide front and so on and so on such and such, that is, these were point operations. i do not rule out that something very similar will happen on the left bank, and there will be a prospect for the 24th year, as well as the liberation of some territories on the left bank. if we are talking about another part of our front, i.e. zaporizhzhia region, donetsk. region, luhansk region, the border of luhansk region, the administrative border of luhansk region and kharkiv region, then mostly these will be defensive-type hostilities, and as for the ability of russia to seize new territories of ukraine, then it will be able to

to do it only when it will have the opportunity to translate, to somehow make a pause, to accumulate resources, in the situation in which ... the military-industrial complex of russia is now, it can compensate for losses sometimes almost to zero, and compensation for losses to zero - this is not... the accumulation of resources, i.e. not the creation of new units for large-scale offensive operations, because let's see what is happening near avdiivka, near avdiivka, where several combined arms armies, numbering more than 40 thousand, are trying to occupy small town. if we are talking about a region or such a city, for example, as kharkiv, the city of milyonnyk, then for its... occupation, both the region and the city itself, they will need much more than for an autopilot, and this is a

completely different resource, completely different potential , which the military-industrial complex will not be able to provide, of course, if there is no long-term pause in the war, in hostilities, and we understand that any liberation of our territories on any scale will be possible only in situations where we will be to have constant support from our parties. and we will develop our own capabilities in this sense, on the other hand, in your opinion, can russia open a new direction, but even if it is not opened, because the currently available resources are not enough, simply resort to destabilization somewhere in the sumy oblast, say, well they constantly do this along the border with the sumy region and kharkiv region, they constantly expose the border strip of the border territory to shelling. with 120-82 mm mortars, these are daily shellings,

sabotage and reconnaissance units are constantly operating there groups, russians, our counter-subversive units hunt them, it happens in a 24/7 format, so they have to scale these processes to such an extent that we will force our already small weapons and quantitative human resources. will we be forced to simply stretch to an even longer front? and no, we currently have three dangerous, conditionally television stations throughout the territory of ukraine, this is the north, the border with belarus, this is the northeastern location, the border with the russian federation, sumy region, kharkiv region region, and this is odessa region, from the border with the so-called transnistria. there is a concentrated number of units, forces and means

necessary to ensure that they are not the only ones to hold the defense in the event that any unforeseen aggressive actions take place. and, at the same time, in order to carry out an invasion of the sumy region or the kharkiv region, it is necessary to accumulate forces and resources on the part of the russian federation. this is constantly happening. observation, and it is impossible to do it out of the blue, imperceptibly, and on today they do not have such an opportunity to launch such a large-scale strike with the aim of capturing sumy or with the aim of capturing kharkiv, and for this, it is impossible to do, even today under the conditions that have developed, somehow imperceptibly, they need to save up for this, well at least somewhere around 30-40 thousand personnel near the border, and this, of course, accordingly... their concentration, that is, it is not done very quickly and imperceptibly. thank you, thank you, mr.

oleksandr. oleksandr kovalenka, a military-political observer of the information resistance group, was in touch with us. we will now take a break for literally two minutes, but do not switch, there will be many more interesting dialogues. i flew, flew, the cough stopped me. cough is a symptom of a respiratory disease. we treat respiratory, we do inhalation. lord hyal is an inhalant for cough. lord gial is a direct way to expel phlegm. vasyl zima's big broadcast. this is the great ether, my name is vasyl zima, and we are about to begin. two hours of air time. two hours of your time. we will discuss many important topics today. two hours to learn about the war. now it will be about the war. serhiy zgurets will talk more with us and what the world is doing now and what has happened in the world

, yuriy fizar, yuriy dobrovecher will talk in more detail , please, you have the floor, two hours to keep up with economic news, time to talking about money during the war, oleksandr morchivka with us, oleksandr, welcome, please, and sports news, review of sports events from yevhen postakhov, two hours in the company of favorite presenters. thank you very much elina chechen for information about the news of the culture of the presenters, which have become familiar to many. natalka didenko is ready to tell us about the weather for the day. as well as distinguished guests of the studio, andrii parubiy, people's deputy of ukraine, was also the chairman of the verkhovna rada of ukraine. events of the day in two hours, vasyl zima's big broadcast, a project for smart people and those who don't care.

we continue the saturday political club on the

spresa tv channel by khrystyna yatskiv and vitaly portnikov. in this part, we will talk about what is happening in the united states and... about the problems that ukraine has because of it, right away we must note that we are innocent here, there is an absolutely specific political process inside this country, and this political struggle leads to certain delays, including the financing of our military aid, whether it is critical or hopeless, we will talk with our next guest, and he valery chala is already in touch with us. diplomat, former ambassador extraordinary and plenipotentiary of ukraine to the united states in the period 2015-2019, mr. valery, i congratulate you, i congratulate you, i congratulate you, glory to ukraine, glory to the heroes, glory, so let's nevertheless, let's try to understand, we will get, let's make it easier, we will get help from the united states, you know,

everything is so dynamic, it is said that it is better to know less, so... until today, i knew less, i did not make a call to the states in order to they told me the situation, then if i was sure , i could say that yes, by christmas, the probability is very high, now i doubt it, because eh, i will explain why, the situation is constantly changing, now i agree with you, it is unlikely that there will even be any progress at the front, any super successful there our actions anti -corruption, it won't affect them now, they had a fight in what sense, we forget, well, we don't forget, but we don't talk much about the fact that next year there will be not only presidential elections, but a large part of all these congressmen, congresswomen and a third of the senate, and they

faced the fact, republicans, that they are very ... dependent on the support of trump , on the support of this group, in their primaries in the republican party, well, not only trump, these several influential people in the media, the same carlson, other channels are special, such as right-republican, and if they say in an open text already now, if i take a position, and now in... this is a dangerous thing, not just a combination with the border, support for ukraine, well, funding, then they can take away my district, i can lose district , this is a new thing, what has appeared recently, those who are behind this position of the republicans, now they have divided the party, not even into two, into three parts, and this is not

a very good signal, so i will tell you honestly, i can't predict tonight when will it be. i have no doubt that the political support of the usa will not go anywhere. i have no doubt that they will vote their own budget, and there is already ukrainian money in the military budget. well, we are not talking about them now, because they are small from the point of view, well, from this package, it is 300 million. but they open other keys to other directions. financing, that is, there is paragraph 1224, it is a lend-lease, maybe the table will turn the option of a lend-lease, and now it will be delivered in a completely different way, that is... the mechanisms that can be applied, even if the congress does not vote by the end of the year, there is, but this will be a bad signal to

moscow, to the kremlin, because there they can further spin this narrative that america is leaving ukraine, although this is not the case, america will definitely not leave ukraine, moreover, i am sure, they will collect 100% for military and technical assistance with their various mechanisms, they will collect it. or the germans will leave, then they will add, that is, we will not lose military support, but some other articles are under great threat, and the last one, of course, all this now rests on what joseph biden either gave, well, in fact, it is about his rating , he gives the issue of illegal immigrants to the republicans, and they have now introduced a lot of bills to make it difficult for children to study illegally in... to make it difficult for those who are staying illegally to get a status in america in general, this is, of course, very unpopular things in the environment of democracy, if joseph biden

passes it, he loses the election, and the congressman democrats lose, but - the positive thing is that it seems to me that the administration of joseph biden, so -called, has already sided with the election campaign this slogan of support for ukraine, that is, that's it. their choice of election campaign , so let's hope that it will remain so, and they will find leverage, and make compromises in order to preserve the package, and we must say a few words, probably about the ratings, which are now slowly coming in, if i'm not mistaken, the wall street journal published the support of joseph biden, falling to a record level during his presidency, the support of donald trump, as a possible ... to give from the republicans at a fairly high level, and it's already done the fact that if the democrats, then exclusively biden, he said by the way that he might not

have gone for a second term if trump had not run, and there was such certainty, and can we be sure that if the republicans, then they will nominate trump and no one else, well, first of all, these sociological studies must be looked at in some list, for example, in the fact that you read that the fall of biden there is kennedy, well, kennedy 8%, well, what do we think that kennedy will remain, he is a very extravagant candidate, this is not the kennedy we know historically, this a descendant of sima kennedy, but he is very populist, very much like trump in terms of populism, so i don't think that he will look anywhere further, and what do you know, there are four or five more democratic candidates, nobody knows them know, that's why it's... this kind of sociology actually has problems with the fact that despite the economic successes, americans estimate that the economic problems, well, it's very strange, that actually, the

biden administration, to be honest, it has contained inflation, it better than europe comes out of because of the crisis, they created a huge number of jobs there, trump didn't even think that much, it's objective, well, that's the way we live now, everyone is watching the picture. everything is fine with everyone, he says: i don’t feel well economically, tell me what you feel bad about, you got better, yes, it got better, more, prices have risen, but salaries have also risen, when you start asking an american how the dynamics are everything, they say that everything is fine, here it suddenly comes, how is it so, and why do we give illegals the opportunity of our jobs, and why do we have abortions, it means a fence, well, you see, it's the same as everything in our country. the spectrum of the discussion , everyone does not go beyond a deep discussion, the american is not much different from the ukrainian voter, very little today,

even i would say, maybe it will be strange, the ukrainian voter is more like that , well not that critical, well critical yes, by the way, the ukrainian voter is very divided, either black or white, let's say, there is no gray, the american is the same. now it becomes, he no longer has any intermediate moments, or ours, or not ours, so it is too early to talk about the ratings , firstly, secondly, it is specific to the usa, elections there are not based on the number of voters, you know that hilary clinton won 3 million more than trump, and she is a program, there is its own system, and therefore you have to look at each state, it is still too early, but nikki haley, for example, has a chance to become a representative of the republican party in the election, there is, in fact there is, there will be. no one knows, now her endorsement was given to her by ee dep depot, that is, depot is a network, a large network, well, i will not name the company here,

which does it, but it's... big stores for repairs, for hot equipment, and all americans in this hot, like all americans in amazon, like all americans in the systems there, well, and then the company, so now it's supported, it very interesting because hom depo means it is already part of the middle class and before that it was supported by the koh, so the koh family is very much a family that... can finance together with some others the nikki haley company, they don't want too, completely incomprehensible in his rush of thoughts donald trump. i don't know, no one will tell you, again, who will win in america, but what can we say today? we cannot say who will become the president, but already from today's battles we can say that the senate can be returned to the republicans, and then

this is the whole shaft. laws that are unpopular with the democrats, there's just going to be a huge, even as soon as next january , so there could actually be a huge change in america, even if joseph biden remains president, for one thing, when you're president and you have one house, and it's another thing when you're president, you have two houses of republicans, well, the opponent, that is , the split of the republican party, america will be a very turbulent place next fall, and there will be very ... everything difficult, that's why this package is important to us for a year and a financial one, so that we can guarantee that there will be no more of this mess, and i will say that the situation is not getting easier, it is getting more complicated, and well, the white house knows, of course, what it is ready for to go, the question is already here, what are they, you know, they they play this game, who will be the last to sit on the chair, ugh, well, that children's game, when the chairs... the fewer

the people around them, then they play this game until december 15, such is the advantage of the fact that both can sit on this chair not to fall, there is, it arose, but today, yesterday it wasn’t there yet, today it arose, some strange proposals of the democrats have gone, well, that is, the game has started in such a way that it is impossible to predict it at all, but once again it is a good thing that the americans did it all -still. already part of his plan, is the statement of the deputy selevan, the national security adviser , that next year they will change, i have been talking about it for a long time, finally they will change their approach, this means, i really hope, i can not say, but they have already received missiles to replace the atakamse , that is, they used to say, it’s not enough, we don’t have so much, now piers are prestige,

missile is 400 km, it’s a new type of rockets that are also loaded with hymers, yes, the same m142 and 270 installation, only 400 km, then they can, in principle, give us more than one hundred, well, hymers, of course, and takams, if it will be so, and f-16 planes, then someone over there in america bought all the f-18s, 41 pieces of australian hornets, maybe this is all and part of this whole plan. i really hope so, because money is needed, mr. valery, money? no, no , no, look, the australian ones are written off, and for the fact that australia, yes, if you buy, for money, you are right, but the australian ones can leave, for example, in exchange for submarine services, there is its own program, americans participate, that is, there are options, alendliz, you don't need to be afraid of this phrase that the lendlist is necessarily about

money, so you're showing it now, right? it was a very beautiful ceremony on may 9 in honor of the russian or the counterbalance, and i think that it is a mistake that it was not protested, we should have tried to sign a bilateral agreement, we do not have a bilateral agreement, without a government agreement this lendlis will not go , then the conditions of granting, who said that we must prescribe that all loans, yes, or maybe it is such a system that... we take, well, we take the same the loan itself with tanks or missiles, but we give it back only if they are undamaged, yes, you can write down why it wasn’t done, well, i know why, but it’s wrong, it’s wrong, and why did you officially play along with it, it was a wrong move , it was necessary to convince the white house that the instrument should be on the table and now it can appear again, the nda24 will be voted on by the 17th, so i can say that you ...