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tv   [untitled]    December 17, 2023 5:00am-5:31am EET

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block in his coalition, which categorically, openly opposes any money for ukraine, he has grown to about half of it now, they can, if he does this, they can demand his resignation, these are the three things that can to happen in one direction or the other, he really can, even with his resignation, he and they can vote for the draft law for ukraine, but this threat to him can also have a negative effect on him in this sense. as always very interesting analysis, dmytro abramson was in direct contact with us, he is a political commentator of the united states of america , a blogger, thank you, and i urge you, dear viewers, to perceive what is happening not from the point of view of optimism, or pessimism, from the point of view of political realities, and today , as we can see, the ukrainian issue has become... important in
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domestic american politics as well, it appears where it was not before, in relation to issues that concern the future of the united states of america itself, therefore decisions are related to our support, with help for us, they have become more complicated and , unfortunately, it is being adopted now, much slower than we need it, but there is good news, i think you all know it very well, from the european union, meanwhile, despite the ultimatums of some... the european union did make a decision in brussels on the start of negotiations on ukraine's accession to the eu. however, kyiv still has a long way to go, and there is still more than one step on it from the eu members. at least the so-called putin's trojan horse , hungarian prime minister orban, has already warned about this. so, how did it happen? the summit and what remained behind its scenes, anna grishina knows. then, as the negotiations on ukraine's accession to the european community officially begin. we have ahead.
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a difficult path with obstacles, and this was already proven by the summit in brussels, where the fateful decision was made. hungary ignored the vote, but austria began to issue its ultimatums. hungarian prime minister viktor orban categorically insisted: ukraine is not yet ready for european integration, he was persuaded by his colleagues and the eu leadership for 8 hours in brussels. the details were leaked to the press. chancellor of germany scholz figured out how to make a decision bypassing budapest. offered orbán to leave the room for 10 minutes, drink coffee, that is, not to vote, but also not to promise a decision on ukraine. we had a good debate, but in the end i felt that it would be difficult for us to reach an agreement. here scholz made a proposal, can we make a decision without the presence of orbán in the hall? then a unanimous decision is reached without the presence of hungary. according to the rules, it is possible, we were able to make a decision. in the end , all the principles of budapest turned out to be just a pursuit of money. hungary demands the european union
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to pay them 30 billion euros to restore the economy after covid in exchange for their vote for ukraine, and in the meantime they once again blocked the allocation of long-term aid of 50 billion euros to us. brussels answered this: they have a plan b, and each of the member countries is ready to prepare its own financial support packages for ukraine. that is, the eurocouncil confirmed that kyiv will receive the promised 50 billion. we have the tools to ensure that ukraine can count on our support, there is a strong political will of 26 leaders to accept this mega package. blackmails brussels and austria. under during the summit, vienna did agree to give the green light to the start of negotiations, on the condition that the member states, together with ukraine, accept one of austria's favorites - bosnia, which was once part of austria-hungary - into the eu. however, the austrian chancellor left the hall during the vote. for the 12th package of anti-russian
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sanctions, precisely ukraine with its international authority and political weight helps everyone to overcome the european stagnation of the expansion of the european union. some countries from the western balkans have almost started negotiations 20 years ago, and the process did not move. the european union did not understand the importance of enlargement, and now ukraine, resisting russia, has proven how important it is. even before ukraine received candidate status, such countries as france and the netherlands. where denmark denied our membership in the eu, but still voted for the start of accession negotiations. even slovakia, which threatened to promise, supported the start of negotiations on the european integration of ukraine. she explained her decision in a completely hopeless way for the future. we are talking about a political decision, it has nothing in common with reality. the next step is the approval of the negotiation framework, scheduled for march 2024. and it writes again.
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the european union will be the subject of a complex debate at one of the upcoming eu summits, at least by the hungarian prime minister, or putin's trojan horse, as many high-ranking officials call him. brussels has already announced that it can block ukraine's admission to the european union 75 more times. one of the belgian publications noted: ukraine should calmly accept all difficulties on the way to european integration, they say, from time to time the country members will speculate on the ukrainian issue in favor of their interests. however, sooner or later the european union will have to give in and let in a new member, ukraine. from brussels, anna grisch. we are ukraine. marathon - only news. oleksiy buryachenko, the executive director of the international association of small communities, is in direct contact with us now. mr. buryachenko, good morning. good morning. good morning. so, we continue
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to discuss what happened at the summit of the european union, an absolutely historic decision, every day and every night. however, what is our path. i am interested in what is expected next, what will it be like in your opinion? well, you ask an absolutely correct question, because the path will actually be difficult in ukraine, if we take it purely normatively, then it will be necessary to go through the so-called 35 packages of normative synchronization there, but this is not the most difficult process. this process, which depends more on the interaction between the european parliament and the parliament of ukraine, and by the way, already this year a decision was made to open a representative office of the european parliament in ukraine
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about six months ago, which was already the case is an eloquent testimony to the fact that the european union itself is very serious about the opening of roads to full membership of the european union for ukraine, the interests and strategic interests of the european union itself and specific member states will collide on ukraine's path to full membership, and this is absolutely normal, because these are different economic markets, this is a different political conjuncture, and let's say, in austria it can be... the external priority of bosnia and herzegovina, and let's say the same poland, as our closest partner and neighbor, there are more economic priorities of the agricultural sector there, because ukraine, as a big, let's say, really, gramets in this
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market, can simply cause them a lot of problems, so all these things will have to be put in place. economic, political, it will be necessary to synchronize in ukraine and not only with brussels, and this is important, but with those countries of the european union where our politicians must find a common denominator, because if these politicians do not find a common denominator, then these specific countries of the european union union, they are the ones who will start putting sticks in the wheels of ukrainian european integration, and... and let's say that it is possible to react now, to summarize at the beginning of this path, well, first of all, probably, i will take the position of the same podoliak, who highlighted three key aspects there, and then may
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be continuing his point of view, this is deregulation, now ukraine will pay special attention to the fight against corruption, well, i will continue the reform. in the law enforcement sphere, including in the judicial sphere, and of course, to continue the reform in the sphere of security, i.e. the reform of the ukrainian army, which, as was stated, is really much more a nato army than an army of the european union, but in this, continuing this opinion, i would still return to deregulation, and if it is deregulation on the internal agenda, then... on the external side, this is precisely the effective regulation and balancing of various clusters, both european economies with ukraine, and in the problematic aspects that we have already noted between specific countries of the european union and ukraine. this is much more systematic and complex
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work than we did before. we used to have them recommendations from the european commission, certain practices were transferred to... ukraine, they were worked out in the verkhovna rada of ukraine and accordingly adopted and implemented by domestic legislation. now the work will be much more complex. in addition to the regulatory changes that we have to bring to our legislation, thereby, yes, bringing our legislative field closer to the european union, we will also need to bring the real sectors of the economy closer together, and this is already synchronization at the level of governments, at the level of special commissions, as a bilateral interaction with brussels, as well multilateral interaction, where brussels can become the so-called arbiter. to sum up, to sum up, of course, ukraine received a historic decision, of course ukraine received
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a historic decision on december 14, but here we definitely should not rest on our laurels and relax, because we have a lot of work ahead of us. oleksiy, in your opinion, how does the war factor affect these pro... processes that we have already gone through and those that we still have to go through ahead, you know, the war factor has become a mobilization factor, in principles for both ukraine and the european union, paradoxically enough, but ukraine , what it has endured, it has shown to the whole world, indeed, that it does not just declare some... yes values ​​of the western world, but that it is ready on the field battle, perhaps the only one among
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them all, to protect them is realistic, and of course, such a position changed not only the attitude towards ukraine, but also evolved the processes in the european union itself. look at what borel says, look at the position taken by charles michel, ursulov. fonden as leaders of the association the european union, which position is taken by the same da scholz from germany, which is the economic locomotive of the european union, they say only one thing, they say that the security component of the european union depends on the successful european integration of ukraine, that is, they have evolved in their perception of themselves . from some kind of soft economic confederation
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to a fairly verticalized supranational structure, the priority of which is the very issue of security, but security is one of those factors that they can it is ukraine to provide, because at least we are currently developing. the military complex, a universal army that works with hybridized standards, mainly nato, here, but the most important thing is that ukraine has, of course, the most powerful army now, in principle, the most reliable army on the continent, they understand that if ukraine is not in the european union, then the security issue for them will be extremely vulnerable, so the whole strategy is now. their verticalization, as they themselves call it, their internal interaction, it largely depends on
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of our successful integration, by the way, they call the model to which they aspire the united states of the european union, well , in fact, that already says a lot. there is literally a moment left, you yourself, mr. oleksiy, have already touched on this topic , macron's statement, which says that he cannot do it alone. person or one small country to terrorize the entire european union, it is absolutely in context, he was talking about hungary, and also a signal from the lithuanian government that hungary could probably leave the european union if it cannot to reach a consensus, as one country against 26 countries, literally your reaction, 30 seconds, yes, this is actually a very true signal, because well , only one hungary cannot blackmail you... the european union and specific countries of the european union,
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gave such a strong statement let her understand that there is no need to tease, yes, the tiger, to pull his whiskers, because the further economic and political blackmail of the european union for hungary, and especially for the russian-oriented orben, can end very negatively and not only fly... but for orbán, even very specific proceedings in the gas sector. oleksiy, in your opinion, how will russia act in order to slow down, and to what extent. is it possible the process of rapprochement between the european union and ukraine and what significance does it have for them? russia will use all possible cracks, even in our relations with the european union. i will tell you, my friends, that there are actually still a lot of these cracks, because ours is neither an economic sphere,
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nor a political one, nor a legislative one, they are still very... far from being adapted to the european union, therefore the russian federation, taking into account hybrids, gerasimov's hybrid strategy , well, there will definitely be something to play on for a long time, reinforcing some internal misunderstandings through ipso , both for our internal audience and spreading it around the world, so we need to concentrate on negotiations with... our partners , do not look in the direction of the aggressor state, because the negative from it will always accompany the process of our european integration, we must treat it in a working, so to speak, mode and just persistently go our way through european integration. thank you very much for taking the time
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to talk with us at such an early hour, oleksiy buryachenko, executive director of the international association of small communities. this week alone, the russians launched 18 ballistic missiles at the capital of ukraine, every one of them was successfully destroyed by the ukrainian air defense forces, what seemed impossible a year ago, now our defenders of the sky are doing it in a filigree manner. however, such attacks are only a test of our air defense system, experts say, in order to inflict a mixed mass missile attack in the future attack what other goals and plans does the enemy have? vlada tsymbalenko will tell. at first. explosions, then alarm. the capital is attacked with fast ballistic missiles. here are the consequences of just one of these attacks: fifty injured, damaged high-rise buildings, burnt cars and a mutilated grandpa. fragments of the knocked down iron were still scattered in all directions. ballistic missiles were also shot down. first it was the 11th,
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eight, then it was already 10. everyone. were destroyed, we are talking now about the iskander m, which is a ballistic missile, and also the s-400, which is what is available in russia. time of approach to the target such a weapon is a matter of minutes, and that's literally. for example, the iskander m missile, which is launched from ground-based installations, can travel 500 km in 4 minutes. another 48n6 is launched from the s-400 installation, has a smaller radius of damage, but is not inferior in speed. they get to the city of kyiv. can be from the bryansk region, the distance of these missiles is up to 240 km, and we have 140 km to the border, and unfortunately, all this bryansk region is forests, that is, they have a place to hide from potential strikes of ukrainian artillery, the main problem is that these missiles fly along a ballistic trajectory, well, they fly quite a bit quickly, so much so that you may not have time to turn on the air alarm in advance, and
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the enemy also chooses the night for a reason, tries to attack by surprise, reducing the amount of time for reaction, but unsuccessfully, because the ukrainian air defense destroyed all 18 targets launched in the night against monday and wednesday. let's remember may, let's remember june 2023, well , daggers, calibers, hasto 1 and ballistics, and also martyrs were flying around kiev. therefore, in principle, kyiv, unfortunately, cannot get used to this. experts believe that such attacks are just testing by the enemy against the air defense of the capital. the main goal in the future is to deliver a massive mixed attack, that is , at the same time shaheds, ballistics and cruise missiles can be used, the question when they study our air defense, what is anti-aircraft missile defense, a missile flew , it is a piece of iron, if so very roughly, in order to understand it
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and calculate it, a radio beam is sent in its direction from a radio radar station, but this radio beam is both released by us and the enemy has special equipment to see it, and this is how everything is calculated, they us are studying, plus it remains a matter of professional honor for them to destroy at least one patriot anti-aircraft missile complex. and they do not rule out that infrastructure objects and terror populations remain the target. if the information about the use of ballistic missiles from s-400 installations is confirmed, this will indicate a dangerous trend. the enemy has enormous potential. in a part called the s-400 triumf anti-aircraft missile systems, 560 launchers are fired behind, with a total stockpile of between three and five missiles, and some sources say what and... they have all this, it is a colossal potential. but the enemy will not be able to let everyone in, because the primary task of the s-400 is to protect the sky, and the russians need it, because
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drones continue to reach russian cities. this system, it and anti-aircraft defense, at the same time anti-tank defense, their use for missile attacks is their secondary function, but they, from the very beginning, were designed to shoot down planes, not to attack cities. is there infrastructure? and because of such use , the missiles lose their accuracy - says the expert, especially if the distance exceeds 200 km, then the error of damage can reach a kilometer, but this does not reduce their threat, both for kyiv and for all border cities. only the patriot air defense systems, which ukraine needs even more, can protect against the ballistic threat. vlada tsymbalenko, yevhenii olinsky we are ukraine marathon only news. russia has no plans to wage war until 2025, at least now, said the head of ukrainian intelligence kyrylo budanov, according to him, it is not profitable for the occupiers for long
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to prolong the war, because they also have a problem with resources, further quote: the problems are not so much with the support of society, because the opinion of the average russian is of little interest to anyone, the question is in resources, because this war is very expensive, and the resource... there is not unlimited , maybe it will sound a little rude, but we fight for someone else's money, and they for theirs, and they count their money, although it seems that they don't, and very meticulously. kyrylo budanov, head of the main intelligence department of the ministry of defense of ukraine. we are in touch with oleksiy hetman, military observer major reserve. mr. hetman, we congratulate you. good morning. we hear different estimates as to how much. putin is ready to wage a long-term war in ukraine, do you think that a conflict for years or decades is part of the kremlin's plans, and
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what do you think the long-term strategy of the russian federation in this war is based on? well, it is unlikely that they would not have planned like this by ten years, for several years, well, putin in his addresses until recently on december 14, he said that they have plans until the 26th year, i.e. to finish well, entering certain borders , seizing our territories, i.e. donetsk, of course, donetsk, luhansk, there is also kharkiv, zaporizhzhya, dnipropetrovsk, i.e. they have many plans there, and he, when it was his annual, annual speech, he did not , nothing has changed there, the same narratives about denazification of some sort, about demilitarization, to force us to have a neutral status there as well. to control almost all of the entire left bank, so that the russian armed forces, well, the russian federation, what are they planning for the 24th year, well, we know, they set a deadline
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for the capture, at least of avdiyivka, until march 15 of next year, the exit to kupend kupent is nodal, that is, to the oskil river, well , that’s what was said out loud, what are their plans further, well, sooner than it's all a hoax, it's a possibility of some attempt to step on the coalface. well, and the actions in the south, on the left side of the dnipro river, near kherson, trying to squeeze our troops out of that city, do not give us a storididarm, well, and counteroffensive actions near the takmak, well , in the direction of melitopol, well, we know these plans of theirs, president of the country said that we need to build fortifications in certain areas, more precisely in the northern, eastern, and eastern areas of the front , to actively engage our military engineering equipment, and it would be desirable to engage a private builder. company, in order to prevent this attempt by the russians to attack in the winter, we could hold back this offensive, well, then plan for next year, including our counteroffensive actions, because apparently in
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order to reach the borders of our ukraine, drive the enemy out of the borders of our of ukraine in the 91st year, we have to take offensive actions, what does it depend on, well, not only on how we plan, what we can do, what means, what forces, how many people we can mobilize, mobilize... our citizens in the armed forces , and of course from the help of our partners, because we depend on them, well, as mr. budanov said, we depend on them, let's put it this way, our defense industry, our military-industrial complex is not yet able to counter russian aggression on its own, to counter russian military - industrial complex, because it developed earlier, began to develop actively, and they still have resources from the time of the soviet union, certain stocks, weapons, and equipment remained there, therefore... we must continue conversations with our partners about helping us, with money, of course, and what is very important, military equipment, it's planes, it's tanks
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, it's artillery, and so on, it's all of us. we know very well, mr. oleksiy, namely the depth of the mobilization reserve, so where would you place it in the plan of effective resistance to this russian invasion and the continuation of the war, that is, equipment, planes, the depth of the reserve, where it should stand in your opinion, the reserve, well, i think that i would not like to stand first or second place to distribute, most likely it is ... parallel parallel task and well one without the other, as you know, like mathematics , necessary and sufficient conditions, that is, without mobilized people, without those who can use these weapons, it will be extremely difficult for us, well, just like without weapons, there is one thing, well, one cannot work without the other, these things between are very closely related, which is the same as if there was a question about
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weapons, if even we can... mobilize a million people, and there were talks about this, that our mobilization resources, at least a million military personnel, well , without weapons, it also makes no sense, well, we will not have great opportunities, power, so weapons, of course , and people, it is difficult to divide here, these things are so connected, like twins from samsk, that it is impossible to divide them, which is the most important thing. oleksiy, what expectations or forecasts do you currently have regarding the development of the situation on the fronts? in the foreseeable future in connection with the activation of the russian pomade, in fact, in all areas of the front, where ukrainian troops have either gone on the defensive or are gradually going on the defensive, there is nothing wrong with the fact that we are going on the defensive, it is impossible to constantly take offensive actions, we are using the opportunities we had , we took offensive actions, we could advance somewhere, we could achieve certain successes, now we need
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to put the equipment we used in order. renew the staffing of, let's say, those units that have suffered losses and hold the defense now, expecting that the enemy will try to advance all over the area, all over, well, as you say, all along the front, they do not have such a large supply, not of people, but of heavy equipment shells, so that such active offensive actions could be carried out for a long time, they maybe it will be enough for a week, it’s not for a month, and they won’t be able to... it will be several sections, well, it will be the kupinsky direction, it will be the bakhmutsky direction, it will be the avdiyivskyi maryansky direction, and maybe the ughledarsky direction, these now powerful offensive actions, this is the first the wave, it should subside, die down in a few days, maybe weeks, because once again they have shells, they don't have enough to make a barrage of fire, and the offensive actions are a barrage of fire, and then the infantry comes, so
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they... they did with popasna, with lisychansk , with severodonytsk, they tried to do with avdiivka, starting on october 10, when the first wave passed, but once again they do not have enough shells to do as they did a year ago, so it is possible to expect that these offensive actions, well, the first wave, it should subside a little bit, well, avdiivka has already survived probably four of these waves, it can be considered the fourth, well, this is, once again, it is not... not the entire section of the front, it is more than 100 km only of the eastern front, and this is not a local, but a point offensive, they can concentrate on certain areas a large amount of weapons and equipment, but they are stretched across the entire front line, they, well, they do not have so much equipment, especially shells for artillery, mr. oleksiy, but in the case of the transfer of f-16 aircraft to ukraine, well, if you look at it optimistically, the first, the second quarter
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of the following year, and from... respectively, from we can expect a solution to the issue of the use of the russian federation of cabs, their army, to what extent it will help us to change the balance of forces precisely on the front line, well, you know that, we constantly expect from some advanced equipment that our partners transfer to us, that it is clearly can independently solve issues on the front line, namely kabiv, yes, it helps to solve any equipment, and kabiv, well, planes. they don't enter the zone of impact of our anti-aircraft forces, well, the missile systems are fired from 50-60 km away, and we it is already difficult to intercept a cap with nitrous missile bodies, we need to destroy these planes that fly up, if we have, well, if when we have f16s, then there is, well, on every aircraft there is an on-board radar, the on-board radar on the f-16 can see further than any any on-board aircraft radar.

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