a huge amount of the same munitions with the production of which the world defense industry is still not able to cope well. i am personally inclined to the fact that it was worth retreating. well, but that would, for example, not have done the offensive, the same there, wagner's infantry, which would, well, they would not have stopped after they captured bakhmut, yes, i think, they would have tried to go further, of course , less vs. it didn't happen, but let's compare the situation in a mirror, the one in the zaporozhye direction and the one in bakhmutsk. the enemy was building a huge number of defenses structures, trenches, explosive and non-explosive barriers, laid minefields 15 km deep, which we overcome in six months. something prevented us from doing the same in the bakhmut area, leveling the front line, shortening it.

length, hiding behind such structures, we would grind the same amount of the enemy as we grinded in street battles, but we would have paid less for it, it seems, huh, and tell me, look, well, the problem was not only in mining artillery of the enemy, the problem is also that, well, actually, what zaluzhnyi wrote in his article, the saturation of drones and the impossibility due to tseska. to concentrate forces in principle, because everything is clearly visible, and actually this problem would not have changed in any way if we had a little more or less artillery there, and i am not even sure that it would have changed much, if we were to add aviation, that is, the problem of saturation with drones and their countermeasures, it remains, and it is somehow not entirely clear to do something about it, first of all, it is not necessary to measure in quantities. who is more effective?

spends available resources, he accordingly gets better results. we have an army of drones, the state special service for communication and technical protection of information buys drones for the ministry of defense, it is not at all clear why it got there. the ministry of culture on television collects for drones for the state border service, our enemy has it easy. from trading centers of merchants and launched there the production of unmanned aerial vehicles of various types, two approaches to solving the problem of gaining dominance in the segment unmanned aerial vehicles of the tactical operational link, you can talk about it, and you can do it, but whoever can handle it better will get the result. the second moment, the counteraction of any-. such a system

, which is controlled via a radio channel, can be organized accordingly by suppressing this channel, the enemy has also suddenly brought to the line of combat a huge number of small local radio electronic warfare systems that cover small positions, individual units of combat equipment, and accordingly we are trying to do. .. exactly but so far we are losing in volume. one more point, these small means of radio -electronic countermeasures, which are needed at platoon strongholds, on an individual tank, self-propelled gun, armored personnel carrier, in the world of such production of the required scale simply do not exist today, this is a discovery that happened in this war, and who is faster adapts , according to the situation, that... has an advantage, but

look, well, with all the stories with drones, with the fact that it is now a very important force on the battlefield, for example, the provision of aviation, those f there 16, which we are all talking about here, has been for a long time, whether she is able to change or significantly change the situation on the battlefield now in this situation, as you assess, it depends on what you fear more. air defense or enemy aviation, now the picture looks as follows: for objective reasons, we have not seen air battles between aircraft for a year and a half, because both sides of the war do not risk flying deep into the enemy's territory and try to reach from outside the zones reach of anti-aircraft means each. from the sides

the second moment, the enemy lost a huge number of highly qualified pilots who started the war, 324 aircraft were lost. this is about 350-400 pilots who died, will no longer return to flight work, or are in our captivity, accordingly, this factor has an equally serious effect, because the qualifications on that side of people who pilot various types of aircraft, well , it has definitely fallen, the next moment a... and we do not see the use of aviation on a massive scale, all that the enemy now has can create an advantage over the battlefield where the operation is conducted forces in the size of a reinforced battalion , a battalion-tactical group, we do not see

the use of squadrons, let alone regiments or aviation brigades, on our side the same thing is happening and this is explained by the fact that... we simply lack aircraft, so if suddenly we receive any type of aircraft from the allies, it will not automatically mean that we have gained some kind of advantage. who has a greater range of detection of an aircraft in the air and a greater range on board means of air destruction, that, strictly speaking, will dictate further development. events , but certainly the receipt of aircraft from the allies will allow us, firstly, to level the situation in the sky, and secondly, to drive away the enemy who is using gliding aerial bombs on targets on the front edge, this will be a very great

relief for the forces on the ground, yes it will really be a very big relief, especially as far as aerial bombs are concerned, so i agree with you completely, let's take a break now for... a very short one and after that we'll talk more, maybe about some plans and what we see in the future. turn it on - it 's when everything is as you want, click and you are in the world of cartoons, click and the world of cinema is around, then, oh, what you need, megogo, turn on hundreds of channels, thousands of movies and sports. there are discounts on broncholithin. you will save 15% in pharmacies plantain. the traveler knows what helps. there has been an accident, nina galamask, your mother. are there other relatives? no. but it seems you have

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93 separate mechanized brigade kholotny yar is in dire need of flow drones. to effectively hit the enemy. and increase losses of living and non-living forces of the occupier, for the approach of victory, which all of ukraine is waiting for. glory to ukraine! glory to the heroes. vasyl zima's big broadcast. two hours of air time, two hours of your time, two hours to learn about the war and what the world is about. two hours to be aware of economic. and sports news, two hours in the company of favorite presenters, presenters who have become likeable to many,

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so, we summed up the results of the 23rd year a little and we are talking now with viktor kevlyuk, a military expert of the center for defense strategies colonel of the armed forces reserve, let's try to predict something that might happen in the year 2000. in the 24th year, and you know, let's start with that

, you probably also saw these thoughts in the bill about what will happen in the 24th year they will try to recapture all of donbas, and well , donetsk and luhansk regions, leave, then go to the dnipro, and then there for the 25th year of the seizure of new territories, what do you think? to these such forecasts, to what extent can they be, well, somehow realistic, or why are such forecasts made at all? they have elections coming up, and despite the fact that it is an election without an election, the first person is worried about her rating and tries to prove to the electorate that she foresees the future, that she has plans, that... the state under her leadership has not lost geopolitical influence, what will happen to them in

the future what to do, they didn't lay down their arms, everything is going according to plan, they are successful, and so, strictly speaking, such statements are made based on the domestic consumer. and tell me, well, what would you call the achievements of the defense forces of ukraine in 2023, which they laid down. some things you can well, it will be developed in the 24th year as well, i will not concede the importance, but more or less chronologically, the first such event is the battles for solidarity, this is the case when our troops calmly and plannedly withdrew to a profitable line, and after stopping the enemy, did so, that no one mentions solidar, probably. for at least seven or eight months, what is happening there,

why the enemy is located in the lowlands on the ruins of the settlement, it is unclear, no tactical gains, no influence on the operational situation, but an example of an organized early withdrawal a prepared frontier, this is a good example of the actions of the troops, it may still be needed, the battles for bakhmut, of course, this is heroism... and courage, the resilience of servicemen, all that happened at the tactical level, this is a contribution to the treasury of tactical skill, this... the experience of combat in the city must be seriously analyzed, studied and disseminated. in the same way, the actions of the assault units further south in the battles for klishchiivka and andriivka were also an example of successful actions, when we defeated larger

enemy formations with limited forces, not only forcing them retreat, but also defeated, well, at least. their combat units, of course, it is difficult to get support units there, an interesting rather military-political than military achievement is ukraine's declaration of six regions of the black sea as dangerous for shipping. suddenly, a country that has very limited means of waging war at sea has imposed its own rules of the game, and the enemy is forced to hide in all black'. fleet along the black sea coast, very good course, very strong, use of drones naval strike means, well , let's say, somewhat changed the imagination of warfare at sea today, very interesting are the actions of the main,

main intelligence agency, which first of all... sea, after that several raids in the crimea, a window was broken in the air defense system and in the radar reconnaissance of the enemy, through this window a number of missile strikes were made, which disabled the headquarters of the black sea fleet, destroyed a submarine, several carriers cruise missiles , it's the same... a very instructive example of how it is possible to comprehensively and systematically penetrate the enemy's defenses in selected directions and inflict enormous damage on him by asymmetric means, because neither a damaged missile corvette nor a submarine, by the end of the war, is ready they will not return, if they return at all, well

, a blow to the headquarters of the black sea fleet, where at the moment it hits. meetings were held and a considerable number of staff officers, both land and sea, were destroyed, it is the same a great achievement, so here i would add the offensive operation in the zaporizhzhia region, this is the first attempt at a large-scale offensive, several operational groups of troops were engaged in combat at the same time, unfortunately... from the outside, all this seemed like three separate operations, not one a great offensive strategy, maybe we did not understand something or did not take care of it, but this is a very positive example, if we take into account the problems and shortcomings, in the future this experience will also be very

valuable, it is an extremely interesting and worth sharing experience. capturing the bridgeheads on the left on the banks of the dnieper, by the marines of ukraine, kherson region, purely tactical actions led to the operational collapse of the enemy's troop grouping of the dnieper, now their commander is forced to throw into battle the incompletely formed 18th general military army, it cannot achieve any result, it suffers huge losses, brings this... nothing can be done with our bridgeheads for now, i think that the size of the bridgeheads will increase, our goal is to move the enemy artillery positions and positions against enemy air defense as far as possible to the left bank in order to give the purely civilian

population on our, on the de-occupied bank of the dnieper, the opportunity to be more or less calm. to live and work, but a very interesting treasure trove of achievements is the defensive operation in the vdiiv direction. the enemy launched an operation at the same time, attacking in 14 directions, and our group proved to be ready for this, that is , our scouts worked, the probable nature of the enemy's actions was predicted very accurately, and the defense stood its ground, being ready for a corresponding repulse. such a large-scale offensive, the situation there is difficult, not critical, but difficult, but we showed what we are capable of, but perhaps the events are the most important for me. well, in addition to showing what they are capable of, in principle they destroyed some fairly serious enemy forces, which is also important in this whole situation, but you know, not so long ago

there was an article in the new york-tams where it was written that as if there is a difference of opinion between russia and ukraine on how to wage a war with the russian federation, the american military seems to believe that ukraine should focus on defense, now arming itself there. well, to somehow concentrate there, to produce weapons in the end, and at the same time, well not to counterattack, at least that’s how i understood it, and it seems that ukraine still wants to conduct offensive actions as well, in order to have more advantageous positions, and in general, is it possible to go on the defensive in practice, and is it even possible, well, if you know, is it correct to talk about... deaf defense? well, first of all , a war for any media is a good reason to remind subscribers that the media exists.

publications in even the world's leading media are a reason to talk, but not a reason to adjust military plans. as for purely expert opinions on this reason which, nevertheless, are spread in a slightly different information environment, the idea of ​​deaf defense is a pre-emptively failed idea, defense can be successful only if it is active, but the scale of activity should be talked about, i would like to those who are interested in the problem war, i would advise you to re-read the interview that... bbc took with the former commander-in-chief of the armed forces of ukraine, general muzhenko. he shares his vision and recommends switching to

a strategic defense, periodically making counterattacks. i share exactly this point of view, after all, if the enemy does not impose our will, in the end he will seize the initiative and force us to play by his rules. look, of course we understand, and at least we have already heard it from the russians, that the russian army of occupation is still going to take offensive actions, this year they did not succeed in large-scale actions, but we heard, for example, at putin's press conference, he is there told that they had already concentrated 600,000 of their troops there , precisely in the area of ​​hostilities. well , actually, how do you evaluate them, this ability to of such a larger-scale offensive and what its directions might be, well

, somehow let's try to predict their actions, everything is much simpler: from what the person who says that he is putin, there are two, three, or however many there are, has concentrated, this does not mean that it actually happened, all are available. and the means of the enemy are involved in hostilities today, he has practically no operational reserves and absolutely no strategic reserves, he has formed two armies 18-25, both have been fighting for two months, being underformed, not having military units of the army kit, but the need for infantry is forced by the military leadership of the enemy. the military units of the unit are not fully ready to throw into combat operations, based on what we

see now and what the leader of the enemy said at a press conference the other day, we can conclude the following: until the elections they have there in march months should take place, the enemy will not try... to go to the frontier along the oskil river in the kharkiv region. if he succeeds, the opponent will try next year capture the kharkiv region completely. today, we can see that out of four tank divisions, having three in the kharkiv direction, the enemy was unable to do absolutely anything, except to lose a huge number. military equipment and advanced 2-3 km in separate directions, to say that suddenly some kind of miracle will happen, and they will still reach the bank of the

otskil river. will come out, i don’t see any chance, a little further south is bakhmut, likewise, in order to take full control of the donetsk region , the enemy must break through border in the area of ​​bakhmut and avdiyivka, then fight in the time gap somehow in pokrovsk and further through kurakhov. to move another 80 km, with an advance rate of 2 km per month, they will have to go there for 40 months, the math says so, so there are no chances to fulfill the tasks of the russian president and take control of the luhansk and donetsk regions in full, not only before the elections, there are absolutely no chances. battles near avdeivka, the enemy has a colossal advantage, but he is not fighting there for a military

victory, but... an informational excuse for elections to announce that we won the victory, well, so far the victory is kind of conditional, it doesn't work out very well, resources are being spent enormously, and i think that this hard struggle, sometimes in favor of the enemy, then in our favor, will continue there for one month, even further, to the south, zaporizhzhia, zaporizhzhia region. south-western part of donetsk region. the enemy is defending. unfortunately, we do not have enough resources to develop our offensive. but in some areas we are confidently overcoming the second defensive line. if we focus on that very success develop, it can fundamentally disrupt the operational situation at the front. kherson

region. i very much hope that we will have the strength and means to combine several tactical bridgeheads into one operational one, of sufficient depth, 10-15 km, so that the enemy, well, at least 80% of his firepower will lose the ability to inflict hit the right bank of the dnieper, and we, on the contrary , gained the opportunity to transfer a heavy ship onto this platform. equipment and artillery at least with a firing range of 20-30 km, which is just as much can significantly change the situation in this direction, because the kherson region is the key to crimea. i think that events should develop in this way. if you look at the floor above, most likely, the next six months the enemy will impose their favorite sauce.

there are some negotiations about an armistice , about a temporary cease-fire, as we already had, if not the christmas armistice, then new year's, easter, knowledge day, harvest, and something else, but all this is just a smoke screen, the enemy will prepare, to accumulate operational strategic reserves in order to continue the offensive and act in the manner in which ... the other day the president of the russian federation spoke. well, it's clear. it seems that the plan for the coming months for the defense forces of ukraine is to hold the defense and achieve maximum depletion of the enemy's resources where possible. in fact, this is what it all boils down to. thank you, it was viktor kyvylyuk, a military expert of the center for defense strategies, a reserve colonel of the armed forces of ukraine, who gave us a little, well, you know, insiders of what could happen in the 24th year on

the field. we will see each other again, that's it. dear viewers, anayeva is with you melnyk and the novyn team are ready to sum up today's day. the prosecutor's office has started an investigation into the shooting of ukrainian prisoners of war near zaporizhzhia. according to the investigation, in december 2023, during a combat clash with ukrainian defense forces near the village of robotyne in the zaporizhzhia region, the russian military captured three ukrainian defenders. an hour later, in violation of the geneva convention, the occupiers shot them.