demanding registration for military registration, this can be done exclusively by ukrainian diplomatic missions. ugh. look, here i read, i read different opinions in germany on this matter. first, there was a statement by the minister of justice, who said that we will not extradite ukrainian men, relatively speaking, their opposition member from the christian democratic party says that we will extradite, we want to, even though it is not the government. in estonia, they declare that... who is from

ukraine, we decide which of the ukrainians should protect the homeland, so the government does not will extradite men in ukraine who are evading mobilization, who are in the territory of estonia, but i have not heard such a clear, clear answer from our polish brothers on this matter, that there is expectation and understanding here, they will look for people, not deny them the opportunity to work , there will be no access to social services, medical services , well, that is, a person can be isolated today in a civilized country, if you want, especially in a foreign country, any person... can be isolated to the extent that he comes to the consulate and meets with the employees, but will there be such a desire? you must understand one situation for yourself: deprivation of any right on the territory of a state can only take place based on the principle of violation of the current local polish or other legislation and by a court decision, i.e. the polish authorities...

cannot force anyone to do any actions, if that person has not violated the binding legislation in force in poland, or does not have, i do not know, an international arrest warrant or harassment of the ukrainian authorities, in a court proceeding confirmed that this person, i do not know, should return to ukraine, because, for example, he is a criminal, that is , one thing must be clearly understood: the current ukrainian legislation cannot go beyond the borders of the ukrainian state, we can appeal... to ukrainians, whether ukraine as a state can appeal to ukrainians to be included in the process. we can appeal to the polish government to, for example, restrict employment opportunities for men who are in poland, but this is only an appeal to the authorities, and in turn every lawyer who will to defend such and such a ukrainian in poland, will say: if this person does not have a court decision, this... you cannot

deprive this person of any civil rights, and here we have to be very careful in what we say, because we do not we can, no state will allow itself to violate the legislation that exists in this state in this matter, thank you very much, i wish you success in your work, myroslav skirka, the head of the association of ukrainians in poland was in touch with us and here the question is now that you know, well, someone was is guilty of the fact that these tens of thousands of ukrainians, well, i mean... those who left illegally, and these are also tens of thousands, let's say, 2,000 ukrainians left only through the road system and did not return, that's five brigades, that's not for this, those who left and did not return, 20 thousand ukrainians, this was still six months ago, that is, someone made money from this, that is, you appointed the heads of customs, border detachments, you issued these false certificates, you these people were appointed, everyone there reaches the very top, and the question is that, that's it did anyone earn money and buy a pitchfork?

houses, plots of land, and now you say return the poles, return the germans , it is worth appealing to the ukrainians, and general zaluzhny said very clearly when he was asked how you treat ukrainians who illegally left ukraine, do not want to return to their husbands, he said , i do not want to comment on them in any way as a person, i will only say that i would be very happy if they joined the armed forces of ukraine, this is a competent answer, i hope it will be, i hope it will be, because ukraine... is in danger , and about the situation serhiy sgurets, director of the defense express agency, host of the daily military summaries column, will speak at the fronts. sergey, congratulations. i congratulate you, vasyl, i congratulate our viewers, and today we will really talk about the situation in certain areas of the front, starting with avdiivka, and about the war scenarios from the russian federation in a conversation with our experts, about that in a moment. i will start our column. in the situation around avdiivka, because

today the general staff reported that out of 56 enemy attacks along the entire front line, 32, i.e. more than half, were directed at avdiivka. and inhabited points around it. the commander of osutavria , brigadier general oleksandr ternavskyi, said a day ago that the russian aggressors are determined to at least ensure the capture of the settlement of avdiivka, but they are afraid to enter avdiivka itself in order to avoid fighting in the city, because this, well, will make it difficult for the enemy to further actions, as it was in bakhmut. and yesterday there was another mass. the attack on avdiivka along the entire eastern part with an attempt to break through to the steppe and to kohsokhim, and with the active use of armored vehicles, tanks and bmps, this attack was repulsed, but that was yesterday, and today the situation, i think, is no less complicated, and what

is happening right now around avdiyivka, we will talk with our guest, we are now joined by maksym morozov, a major of the ministry of internal affairs, an officer of the legion of freedom. majora, welcome to etheriso, glad to see and hear. glory to ukraine. glory to heroes. i would like you to add a little detail about what is currently happening around avdiivka, against the background of yesterday's tank attacks, what today, what is the enemy doing now in the direction of attacks around avdiivka? again, here i would like not to add, to remind that there are many things about the so-called dates of the capture of the audio. one-time announcements by various mass media, referring to the bald man, more precisely to mol, who sits in the kremlin and to other generals, who are there for themselves, there are gerasimo and others who wanted to capture avdiivka without announcing more than one date, that

is, before that it was december 14, now it's a new year again, the next one, i don't know , may be february 22. what do you want to say, therefore, when such dates are announced by some possible ruler from the kremlin cliques, all this leads to a huge activity in any part of the front where they announce this date, if you remember, this date was december 14th, accordingly they attacked very, very actively, and it was observed that it was already emphasized , it was emphasized by one of the commanders that the enemy is trying to pinpoint and bypass avdivka, if... from the north - it is from the north, from the south, oh, sorry, from the north - it is from tepov, and from the south it is from the north, so to speak that is, to surround avdiivka and avoid street ones battles and it is absolutely necessary, so to speak, to close our defense forces there,

so to speak, so to speak, to force them to surrender this widow, and again, when the new date was announced, it was december 31, that is, until the end new year, we again saw a very sharp. revitalization in our area of ​​the front, that is, we are observing it again, because someone from the leaders of the kremlin constantly declares and announces new dates, and we immediately see, regardless of weather conditions, because the weather conditions in the donbass are now positive temperature and field is not so very strong suitable for the movement of equipment, although the equipment can move, but quickly turns into a static target, where ours are destroyed. and the operators of kamikaze drones, which was especially the plot at the beginning of this broadcast of yours, where daonkamika acquires one of these btns, so once again i connect this surge of activity near avdiivka with the announcement of a new date for the capture of avdiivka, which

they announced there on december 31, well, my impression is that all defenders who are now defending ardiivka, all units... who are called for this, are doing a titanic job and once again, that means , they will expose this general and the entire kremlin clique that wants to take over avdiyka to fools, again , let them not take avdiyka by december 31, once again they will take with their mouths, what they are always used to take with their mouths, and that's it their potential is exhausted, and they will again announce some date of capture, so i connect this really huge surge like this... which is happening now in our directions, this is with another order of some kind, you know, from some general or the kremlin mole herself, who pushed on table and said to take argeivka by december 31, well, i won't take it, mr. maksym, but what about

the situation with the logistical ways that our group lives, what are the risks, what are the opportunities, can we say that logistics is working even despite the threat? you really answered the question right away, the logistics are working, another question is that the threats are, of course, increasing every day, why? because from the very beginning of the full-scale invasion , the whole logi'. the one that went to avdiyka, it was and was fired upon by enemy artillery systems, and right now , a very serious war of drones is taking place near avdiyka, the war of the rebbe, and for some time now the enemy has been outnumbering us in the air with drones, the number of drones, and these same drones, they pose an even greater threat to logistics. another issue is that the defense force is still being found, and i am sure will find temporary opportunities. reba or other logistics, to provide other brigades or those brigades that

are called to provide, provide ammunition, and everything necessary there with food, water, this is for the functioning of the fighters, of course, with the same fuel, the same, the same firewood or fuel briquettes and so on, that is, logistics, of course, every day is more and more under threat, and this is of course due to... the connection with the activity of the kamikaze drones of the enemy , accordingly, there is a need for reebs , individual, let’s call it those that can be put on a car, those that can be put in a pop, and this is enough, so to speak, not 100%, but a sufficiently high percentage to protect yourself from enemy drones, chemical weapons. mr. maxim, general zaluzhnyk, when he was giving a conference related to mobilization the day before yesterday. mentioned about avdiivka, they began to interpret it as saying that

in two or three months avdiivka would have to be surrendered there, although in fact the quote from the volunteer was that if the enemy in two or three months, just like bahmud, destroys avdiivka from the ground where there will be no opportunity to get, then we will really, conditionally speaking, save people, and then we will win it back, so the question is, how do you evaluate there, or from the point of view of destruction. our positions, which is there the situation, or these conclusions that in two or three months there will have to pass an audio test, i think that they are a little too frequent, what would you say about the interpretation of what zaluzhny said, again, i beg your pardon, i am not commenting on the commander-in-chief, the only thing that i can say that all the defenders with whom i communicate, in this case soldiers of different brigades, i emphasize, different brigades, different... units, no one, no one is inclined to leave avdiivka, and again, there is, you know,

there is communication , there is a connection with the management, that is, it is not closed, and if there is a fight now they will say that no, we will not be able to hold it, i think, and the leadership will react, but now there is communication between the fighters and the leaders, in this case, of the battalions and brigades, and no one... is ready to leave avdiivka now, because , again, despite all the destruction that is in avdiivka, the city is basically destroyed almost to zero, but even in such conditions, the fighters, you see, voluntarily fulfill their duty to protect the ukrainian state, and no one is now talking about the fact that it is necessary to retreat from the old one parts, or from a chemist, or to pay off only on coke chemistry, despite the fact that... khrumzona has in fact become gray, and this poses a great threat to the city, but the fighters are ready

to meet the enemy, ready to meet in a street fight, and that's why we see , which moskalt itself demonstrates, seeing the readiness of the defenders and seeing the readiness of various brigades, it is not one brigade, only a heroic one, it is several brigades that heroically defend, and all fighters show readiness to meet the enemy, therefore, accordingly, the enemy sees it and tries not to enter exactly. to the city on this moment, namely to go on the flanks, because he understands that, well, bahmud-2, they haven't been able to withstand avdiyivka alone, so i would n't know bahmud, avdiyivka, marinka, these are all different battlefields, they are different battles, some kind of comparison is possible, but even in terms of losses , you and i can see that the enemy already, according to the most modest calculations, in avdiivka, which before the full-scale attack of his second... had a population of about 30,000, the enemy had already lost 30 and did not

take possession of ovidia, how much will he lose to the enemy in order to take possession, ah, i don't know, 90 then if they come to street fighting, while our defense forces are ready, the enemy's losses can grow exponentially, so again , enough drones, kamikaze, enough ... art shells and this confidence of the defense forces will multiply the losses the enemy is in geometric progression, so all their desire is there, they have a plan, it breaks. about our defense forces, mr. maksym, thank you very much for these as always professional clear comments, for your time, and i would like to remind our viewers that on the air clans maksym morozov, major of the ministry of internal affairs, officer of the legion of freedom was the press officer. and now mykhailo samus, head of the analytical organization new geopolitics research network, is joining us. mr. mykhailo, i congratulate you, i am glad to see and hear you.

greetings, good evening. good evening. i think you saw it. what maksym told about the situation around avdiyivka, and i would like you to give our viewers such a more general view of what is happening on the front line, because everyone sees the enemy, trying to advance, someone there has such certain pessimistic moods, how do you see it, how should we understand this reality, in order, relatively speaking, to be armed in the understanding of what is happening on the front line, well , we really have the enemy, at least since october 10 , is trying, as we know, to break through the front in the audiian direction. in addition, he intensified the offensive in the kupyan direction in october, he is trying to attack even in the south, we know the situation around the work, but in fact, if we look at what the enemy was able to achieve from the

very beginning of october to the end of december, then these the successes are really... minimal, even if we take into account the loss of marinka, which, in principle , the leadership of the armed forces of ukraine has already confirmed, in fact, again, some special operational advantages, even the complete destruction and occupation of what was once called marinka, it doesn't help the enemy, and in fact, i won't say that there are any rosy prospects opening up for the russians, or at all we can talk about any success, even tactical. because every step of the russians, he faces huge losses, and just called losses near 30 thousand were lost only in the lviv direction, i can say that the losses are huge, they can simply be verified by multipart videos, all these losses in both armored vehicles and personnel are

absolutely unacceptable if we are talking about normal armed forces, but we have ... dealing with the russians, so they're going to keep advancing, they 're going to keep trying to storm, but judging by the successes, the minimal successes, or even the complete lack of success that they've had since the beginning of october, hope for i would not believe that the russians will have any significant breakthroughs, that is, the armed forces of ukraine absolutely clearly understand the situation, clearly control the development of events, clearly understand the enemy's plan and what directions of further actions are possible in this or that area of ​​the front . mr. mykhailo, now we are approaching the end of the year, one way or another we are summarizing, trying to draw conclusions from what happened this year, and i would like you, based on your own experience, to say that

we should definitely take into account in the following the year is supported. is there something for us and our partners to take into account from the conclusions of the hostilities in the 24th year? well, really, the 23rd year became very important from the point of view of lessons, from the point of view of, let's say, taking into account mistakes and determining the right actions, the right operations for the next year, you can put it this way, that it became interesting for me that the armed forces of ukraine tried check how correct... there is an expression that doctrines and statutes are written in blood, well , such a famous expression is in the armed forces, it has been used for a long time, starting when a young soldier tries to change something or propose something new, as a rule, they say that the statute is written in blood, there is no need to change anything here, to which i lead that when the offensive operations of the 23rd year were planned, many

experts and westerners, especially they said that without superiority in the air... such operations are not carried out, and they are very risky, if we talk about achieving real results in the planning and implementation of such tasks. in principle , we were convinced that the doctrines, modern doctrines that were written since the 70s, they really were spelled correctly, that is , in order to succeed in such operations as planned by the command of the armed forces, it is necessary to have air superiority and i hope that very soon we will see the availability of modern multi-purpose f-16 fighters in the armed forces, which which... will definitely change the situation and although again many from abroad, including experts, say that f16 will not change anything, the situation will change will remain the same, i

believe that the situation will change, because even if we say that those 18 f16 themselves are not can, of course, provide us with dominance, total dominance in the air, but we definitely neutralize the dominance of the russian aviation in the air, that is, we neutralize the factor that had an influence. very negatively during the 23rd year on our offensive and, in principle, defensive actions, ah, both on the southern and eastern directions of our front, first of all we are talking about cabs, which were actually used by the thousands during each month and did not give the opportunity to implement our tasks to the ukrainian troops, and the tools to fight against the cabals there are very few of us, but the recent downing of several russian su-34s immediately changed the situation, that is, they have not been able to use cabs freely on the vilevo coast of the kherson region for several days, as they

did until now, i think that the appearance of the f16 so itself will change the situation in other areas of the front and will give our troops opportunities to conduct both defensive and offensive operations. and now i would like to talk about the future scenario. an analytical report appeared. from the globsec organization, this is such an international analytical the center with headquarters in bratislava, there they , through an expert survey of 40 experts, including you, by the way, there is a reference to the fact that you also took part in the preparation of this document, five scenarios of the development of events for the next and beyond and for the following years, relatively speaking, two of the five scenarios scored the highest. the number of probabilities from expert assessments, the first scenario is 27%, that events will develop in the format of the third world war

of a hybrid type, where there will be acute regional conflicts and wars all over the world with the erosion of the war in ukraine, he is a war there in the middle east, in the caucasus, the balkans and so on, and scenario number two, where 30% of experts recognized it as such, well, quite and ... probable and probable - this is the fact that the war of attrition with the russian federation will continue, where both sides will resort to hostilities, hostilities will be implemented in the 24th and 25th years, and the least likely scenario, which refers to the fact that there will be a military defeat of russia in ukraine, that there will be de-occupation of territories, restoration of control over internationally recognized borders and so on, repatriations, other... measures, only less than 4% of the surveyed experts assume this possibility next year, so i would like to ask you which scenario you recognized as

the most likely and which scenario should be based on to form our strategy for the next and 25th year? well, in fact , the first two scenarios, they do not exclude the third scenario, that is, in fact, during a landing war and a war... a hybrid war of the third world war, it does not exclude that the ukrainian army will be able to break through the southern front, carry out de-occupation measures, for example in the kherson region, and approach the beginning of the operation to de-occupy crimea. i don't want to say that it will succeed, that is, to de-occupy crimea in the 24th year, although i do not rule it out, but from the point of view of probability, i think that, for example, that... a hybrid war, the third world war, it precisely with the spread of conflicts around the world, it is very likely, because russia is precisely acting at the expense of the formation of this

the axis of evil, including and actually including in its defense-industrial complex, for example , north korea, which has begun to receive investments and can expand its production capabilities, for example, ammunition, and in the future china, although... it cannot directly support this trend , that is, the axis of evil will try to expand the number of conflicts, eroding the efforts of the democratic coalition, and the war of attrition that will continue between russia and ukraine, it will continue unequivocally in the 24th year and in the 25th, but regarding the fact that ukraine can de-occupy the territories in the south and start an operation to de-occupy crimea, i , for example, give... the probability is much higher than 4%, i, for example, think that if the armed forces of ukraine get the opportunity

to neutralize the domination of russia after all. in the air and will continue to receive opportunities for long-range missile weapons, we have the opportunity, for example, by expanding the bridgehead on the left bank of the kherson region, pressure due to pressure in the zaporizhzhia region, after all, to start an operation to de-occupy crimea, and this is a lot, it will change the situation in many ways and will make it possible to implement precisely the plans for the deoccupation of ukrainian territories, well... you are right, because in the conclusions of this report, there are a number of recommendations, which also mention the rate on the fact that our partners should provide us with long-range weapons, aviation, and this will be a prerequisite for carrying out de-occupation measures in the possible forms that the ukrainian defense forces can carry out, and i remember that you repeatedly said that , that nato countries we will still have to fight with the russian federation, and now we see that a number

of reports from the estonian intelligence government say that the time limits for possible inclusion in the conflict with the russian federation range from six to two years, and the closer country to the russian federation, it calls the term of the beginning of such possible hostilities shorter. how do you assess the real readiness of nato countries to conduct hostilities, because today the same minister of foreign affairs kuleba said that the nato countries are not ready and do not know how to fight. then what conclusions can be drawn from this so that they do not have to fight? the problem here is that if, for example, we imagine that trump comes to power in the united states, we can remember what he did in nato and with nato during his first term, in fact he threatened the withdrawal of the united states and the self-isolation of the united states in order to , to solve their own problems, and let europe, as he said, solve its own

security. problems on their own, we already fed them enough with free lunches, as he put it then and so on, that is, the threat in because nato is without the united states , and the united states can change its foreign policy orientation, without the united states europe will not be able to fight, that's enough, let's say, such an expression has the right to life, although of course ukraine plus those countries, for example, poland and. .. germany, france , if we get together, it will be quite a powerful organization, the only thing that is plus great britain, of course, the only thing that is really necessary and ready to accept this challenge, because until now, i absolutely support the minister of foreign affairs of ukraine , that europe is simply psychologically not ready to fight, that is, there is such a main, main, let's say, message - to prevent escalation.

to prevent collusion with russia, in this way, that is, in this way somehow looping, looping this hybrid third world war, let the message of evil exist there, but the ukrainians will fight, we will help them, but we ourselves will not fight, this is a really huge problem, because in fact nato and or the countries of europe that are now part of nato, because i will repeat once again, now in fact for nato it is... not quite simple times are coming, that is, now in principle, just strategically for nato, it is necessary to understand that the next year, the next few years will be key from the point of view of forming a new format of existence, and what is important, the format of existence is really possible in the conditions of not only a hybrid world war, but a real world war, and then it will be necessary

to fight... directly with russia, what is the problem here, again we return to financial opportunities, russia earned 550 billion dollars on february 24 due to the sale of oil and of gas, and just yesterday i saw a report that russia itself declares that due to the fact that opec managed to build communication between saudi arabia and other countries, russia managed to earn 30 trillion. rubles, that is, they themselves say, that is, the russians themselves boast that they succeed, despite the fact that there are sanctions, and it seems that everyone understands the aggressive criminal, criminal essence of the kremlin regime, they manage to continue to make huge, simply fantastic money, this financial resources that allow them implement all the directions that are necessary in order to wage war, this and...