tv [untitled] December 30, 2023 9:00am-9:31am EET
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more of our soldiers died , well, we will know later, for now we are not talking about our losses, dear friends, so at 9 o'clock and a minute of silence, we will honor the memory of the ukrainian soldiers and peaceful citizens of ukraine who died in the war, which it developed , with a minute of silence cried russia.
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so, we would like to remind you that we are having a conversation with yevhen dyky, the former commander of the aidar battalion, a veteran of the russian-ukrainian war, a scientist and publicist, we are returning mr. yevhen to the ether, actually you say that it does not work like that, what if we now... ... apparently in the 43rd year, as in times of the second world war, this does not mean that the war will end in two years, not necessarily, it can end earlier, it can end later, i am talking about the balance of forces, but at the moment it is exactly the moment of balance, but it is not the balance which can continue for years, this is the balance from which someone will go further down the hill, and to a large extent it depends on you and me who exactly, you know, i really do not like these sports comparisons, in relation to war, because it is actually
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very unethical when we there we start talking about some points there, about matches, in this one at the very moment, for the sake of being able to say it, someone dies for us, but sometimes these sports comparisons, they are simply very convenient for explanation, there is such a thing as arm wrestling, and there you will never see such a smooth and slow walk arm, for a long time it can seem completely motionless for two years, and it seems that... none of the wrestlers does anything, in fact, both are straining as much as possible and at some point just one arm falls, that's the nature of our war, it's roughly like this and by the way, also comparing with the second world war, it is worth remembering that in the second world war there was no such thing that even the side that won gradually got easier, the fact is that the side that lost, it still resisted to the last and also to the last.
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.. er, let’s say, it mobilized all its reserves, resources and even developed technologically, that is why, for example, the most terrible missile attacks on britain were at the end of the 44th, and there are many similar ones, that is, the same will happen in our country, in our country it won't happen that little by little it will become easier, easier, easier for us, and that's how we will reach it victory, and it will just get harder, harder , harder, until they fall down, then ... they will fall down in an avalanche, it will be a really fast, rapid process, and before that you have to go through several, several more stages, several, let's say, iterations harder, harder, harder, and then they broke. no, of course, or we broke down, but i still believe that if we didn't break down in a much more difficult period at the very beginning of the war, then we won't break down again, but for this we just really need to rebuild a little, because on unfortunately, this year, in my opinion, we sat down a little too much in the heat. bath, we
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are the ukrainian rear, there was never a warm bath at the front for even a minute, and by the way, there were no special illusions about this year at the front, and i will repeat once again that i am not what i am, of course i am dissatisfied by the fact that we did not implement all our plans, but with the resources we had, i believe that our army actually did more than could be expected from it, that is, it is not that there is no reason for us... be unhappy with how we are protected, on the contrary, our defenders actually just do miracles that no one in the world can predict, i will quote, for example, ben godges, the former commander of the us forces in europe, but i think that in the professionalism of this american general, well, somehow there is no reason for us and you to doubt, so he simply stated directly that with the resources that the ukrainians had, the army that he commanded simply would not even begin
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an offensive, and we did not just begin it, but, i repeat once again, inflicted damage on the enemy very significant losses, and among other things, what i ruled mine assessment, is confirmed by what the russians have currently deployed. a powerful information company, which can be roughly characterized in their terminology as forcing a truce, but especially in the western media, they literally, powerfully stick with the fact that there is a hopeless, deaf stalemate, the war has reached a stalemate, let's freeze it, well in fact, this is due to the fact that nothing has come to a standstill in the war, and they know very well how bloodless they are, in fact, this ... year of struggle, in fact, they know how dear to them managed to simply stop our offensive, and they are absolutely not sure that if we continue and repeat it next year, they will already be able to withstand it, and that is why they would very much like, on the contrary, instead to temporarily freeze and
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stockpile weapons, stockpile ammunition, conduct a couple more waves of mobilization , but then they will come back, well, accordingly, our task for the next year, on the contrary, is not to give them this pause, well, if we talk about... this emotional pendulum of ours, which has really swung , there is probably a reason for this too, and now it seems to me that the russians are trying very hard to take advantage of this moment, if you listen to putin, who says that we will fight for another 5 years, medvedev says that we will capture kyiv next year, no benz yesterday at the un said that the ukrainians will not be able to hold even the front line that is there, that is, they are trying to frighten now with a full program. but one must see the strengths, strengths and weaknesses of our enemy, and precisely their strong side, especially, by the way, putin personally, has always been this the old kgb skill of bluffing, but he really knows how to keep his face like no one else, especially
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when things are bad for him, he knows how to bluff, tell how well he is doing, scare, and unfortunately, the event very often leads to this , but in fact, they give it out, as it should be, according to freud's excuses. when they tell us on the one hand that odesa and kiev - russian cities are temporarily occupied by banderas, this is medvedev's fresh interview, it's all wonderful, of course, and when putin gives his final annual press conference, remember, as it should be, the emperor talks about great geopolitics, there about the redistribution of the world, well , from our cities, again, russian odessa is poorly mentioned there, and three or four times, i don't remember exactly, it is discussed. all the time, all the time returns to the village of krynky, which before this speech very few people in the world have ever heard, it is logical that they have not heard the village of krynky, so that you understand, it is four streets, four long parallel streets, not even a two-story one house, here is the krynka, and the sovereign emperor in his annual
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he mentions these grievances several times in his speech , and because on the way to russian kyiv, russian odessa , and there almost to the lomanche, but suddenly this happened... the khoklad village of krymky, and the second army of the world has not been able to remove our no wonder, that's why it's actually very, very necessary to clearly distinguish russian myth, russian mythology and what they really succeed in, what they really fail in, this is not to underestimate the enemy, they are a very dangerous enemy and strong enough , in particular thanks to the large amount of cannon meat, well, the side that can calmly take half a million people like this and pour them to the front in a year... well, in any case, it is not a simple enemy, but it is absolutely not the picture that it is an absolutely overwhelming enemy, which has everything wonderful, and who is going to go to kyiv and odesa, this is not at all about their condition. if we talk about the results, the results of our counteroffensive, we do not officially know the losses
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that we suffered primarily during this counteroffensive, but if you believe the same nicolange, who gave an interview to a german, the former german... seems to be the deputy minister of defense for merkel, then he claims that ukraine has kept almost all the equipment that was transferred before this counteroffensive, and reminds that 30% of what was promised was transferred from the force there, and this year in fact , which is coming, all the aid from ukraine will finally arrive in ukraine in a pile with f-16 fighter jets, and that is why he says that he also does not quite understand why such a kind of pro-recessionist mood suddenly prevailed in washington and... and partly in ukraine in the same way, that is, as the russians, last year in their leitmotif was that we didn't start, well today no one in them says that anymore, today simonyan says in them: let's introduce a hundred percent luxury tax and we will give everything to the army for victory, but when
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europe begins and europe begins and states next year, let's not talk about europe and the states, seriously, one of our mistakes this year was that we were very... focused on what europe would give us, what the states would give us, and europe and the states failed, and they failed badly, and you are the only one what was quoted by nikolanga about the fact that we received 30% of... the help that was requested, but it is not as of now, as of the beginning of the offensive, we received even half less, we received, at the beginning of the offensive, 15% of of the resource that we declared as necessary for this offensive, by the way, this is what surprises me, how many ukrainians were able to sit in a warm bath almost until the end of the year, the fact is that yes, in our there were certain very positive expectations at the end of last year, at the beginning of this year. year, they were logical, these the expectations were completely unfounded, but they, they were best expressed in
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this article by zaluzhny and zaborodsky, two of our generals, in september of last year, the idea of our offensive was actually described there, but in this same article it was listed that for us this is necessary, and for some reason the whole country continued to follow this story with the leopards, in general, how they don't give us planes, how they don't give us... kams, how a political decision on tanks is pushed through for three months, and then they start arriving , well they start looking for them literally one car at a time, well, we all saw it, we all watched it, and that's why, well, for example, i already had much less illusions somewhere in the spring, by the actual start of the offensive in the summer there were no more illusions, that's why sorry, when whatever project you are doing, but when they give you 15% of the required resource for this project and also stretch the timing for nine months. instead of three, well, it's absolutely obvious that it will definitely not go according to the plan that was planned,
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so uh, so, actually, it's just, well, everyone, who is somehow connected with the army and the front, these, let's say, expectations, they gradually decreased as we saw how everything was supplied to us, well, by the way, we also did our part of the work, let's say this, well, our allies provided 15% of what we asked for, but in the same article by zaluzhny and zabrodsky, yes... it was said that we need 40 infantry brigades for the offensive. well, let's be honest, at the time of the planned start of the offensive, that is, in the spring, we formed new brigades, excuse me, half of this number yes, by the end of the summer, it was further appreciated, but at that time it was half, that is, the allies fulfilled their obligations by 15%, and we, ukrainians , fulfilled our own obligations by as much as 50%, after that, for some reason, we expected from the army that she will complete the plan 100%. well, unfortunately... it doesn't work like that, we don't live in a helmet, and numbers, unfortunately, are such a strict thing, eh,
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it seems to me that these, let's say, emotional swings at the end of the year, they are very greatly inflated by russian agents, both paid and useful agents by idiots, of which there are also many, that is, it is a well-organized information campaign, in which both good people participate, and those who know well what they are doing, and those who simply do not understand what they are doing. pay attention, among these voices about our failure, there is not a single voice of a professional western military officer , none, but journalists, political scientists, there are diplomats, yes, but they are more visible, yes, but as for ukraine, it seems to me, here just a reluctance to leave the comfort zone, we are just very, here we, the ukrainian rear, do not confuse it with the front, we the ukrainian rear lived this year very comfortably, yes. but we actually decided for some reason that those people who went to fight
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there in the 22nd year, they are already bringing us this war to the end, we just have to suffer a little more, well, yes, well, well, some worries there is a curfew there, certain such small inconveniences, but in principle , you and i live in the rear, which is very little different from the pre-war life, the percentages are 90, it is like before the war, so we can continue to live peacefully just like this . this pre-war life, but to repeat the mantra of faith with faith in the armed forces, and this abstract armed forces, which for some reason suddenly began to consist of not mobilized civilians, who yesterday lived the same life as us, were absolutely also not ready for this war, but did not have any of a special physical shape, moreover , they did not have any professional military skills there, but suddenly they become over people, john rambos, professionals there with many years of experience, and now they are already proving this... war to us, and we will simply repeat it by faith in the zsu and drink coffee, that's
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why we still drink coffee in kyiv and lviv, but not in yalta. well, well, when at the end of the year it becomes clear that this attitude needs to be changed, and accordingly the way of life will have to be changed, well, it causes such a, well , to a certain extent natural, but, to a certain extent, natural reaction of rejection, but it is time to pass it already , this is, well, these are well-known... logical things, the first phase with something unpleasant is always the phase of denial, then it's time to just go through it, enter the phase of acceptance, and sorry, tear off the buttocks and start plowing for the next year to be victorious. objection bargaining acceptance, i don't know, we have already passed the bargaining, and by the way, by the way, it may be that what is happening around the law, this is just the phase of the cake, it may be, by the way, yes, you are right, i think, that what is around of the law on mobilization, this is the bargaining phase, well, i hope that it will be accepted and after that we will get together and work, thank
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you for the conversation, yevhen dyky, veteran of the russian-ukrainian war, ex-com. mouths batal yoidar, a scientist and publicist, was with us, now we are going for a short break, then we will return and an aviation expert will be with us, we will talk about yesterday's massive missile attack, and we will also talk about the flight over feodosia, over novocherkassk and about the modified russian sus and much more why stay with us attention, an incredible novelty from rozpak. warm and very comfortable alaska style boots, perfect fit, water-repellent material and a feeling of warmth even in 30-degree frost. alaska style boots have a universal design and practical black color, so it will suit both men and women. sizes from 36 to 46. therefore, take two pairs at once, for yourself and your husband. side zippers will ensure a perfect fit even on
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future, every saturday at 13:10, with a repeat on sunday at 10:10. studio zahid with anton borkovsky at espresso. verdict with serhii rudenko. from now on in the new two-hour format even more analytics, even more important topics, even more top guests, foreign experts, inclusion from abroad. about ukraine, the world, the front, society. and feedback. you can express your opinion on the bad day with a phone survey. turn on and turn on. verdi with serhii rudenko every weekday from 20 to 22 at espresso. new year's eve with the broadcast of your favorite tv channel. let's sum up the year with top espresso presenters. top
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journalists will talk to top ukrainians. and more. top ukrainian performers live, let's meet the new year together, happy holiday, victorious new year. listen , now we will also discuss, of course, the results of the russian attack, whether this is really a big failure of russia, as many western experts also write about the fact that after using so many missiles , preparing for so long, and so much money, they actually achieved very little results, and about by the way, the indomitability of ukrainian small business, i really liked this post, i saw it in telegram, this is a small manufacturer of scented candles in kyiv, then the people who make... are so beautiful, and they wrote: friends, unfortunately, the rocket hit our house, the neighboring entrance, we are alive and well, after all, but we did not hear, after all, we did not hear in the workshop, we are in shocks, but the shipment
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will be today, we are normal, there may be a slight delay, and the incredible beautiful ukrainians, as always, show that nothing can stop what is planned, and this, friends, we must continue to demonstrate this incredibleness and beauty to the muscovites. supporting our army, what evgeny dykiy said, about what we should not for a day or a second forget that there is a war going on in ukraine, and not some mythical armed forces can do something, but our relatives and friends can do it, and we must be close to them. well, now we will talk with bohdan dolintse, an aviation expert, we will add him to our broadcast, mr. bohdan, we congratulate you, and finally about yesterday's results as well. the second attack since the beginning of the full-scale invasion is the largest attack organized
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by russia against ukraine, mr. bohdan, or how soon russia, because we understand that it can arrange something like this more than once, how quickly it can arrange such an attack on us again, well , first of all, we must understand that for the last three months russia has been gathering missiles for... one or another attack, and in principle, if you look at the consumption of resources that they used during the last attack, it may be that they still have enough resources to repeat at least several such attacks, but at the same time previous attack, it was mainly used using or ballistic or air-ballistic ee weapons, including cruise missiles, and in principle we understand that these are... precisely those means that they have a rather limited number of, to what extent they, i don't know, tested, exhausted our air defense, well, we have
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to understand that in order to intercept one enemy missile, as a rule , one is used, in some cases, if we are talking about ballistic missiles, then two anti-missiles, and it is clear that such a massive attack of hundreds of missiles. it's quite complicated and quite costly, i would say, for the air defense system, together with how many of the corresponding anti-missiles are currently in ukraine, and how many will be supplied there in the near future or are already being supplied by partners, this is a state secret, therefore, unfortunately, no one won't say exactly how much stock they have left, but on the other hand, we have to mark out that, after all , such massive large-scale attacks are quite costly, because... well, both the pace of production and the number of such missiles in warehouses in our partners, she is not is limitless, unfortunately, and we have to plan how we will use
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these means, and right after several russian planes were shot down in a row, so30, 135, 134, there was a conversation about what is possible in ukraine already has f16s, this was denied, of course, but we are really looking forward to f16s, in your opinion... someone said very well that when they appear in ukraine, we will immediately notice it and our enemies will notice it , it seems, she said on the air of ms. natalie umeniuk, is it really so, how can we immediately notice that f16 is here? it is absolutely true, the appearance of c16 will first of all make it possible to cover the so-called areas not covered by the topic of air defense, aspects of the air space of ukraine. which remain, because after all, if we are talking about stationary means of air defense, they are not highly mobile, and the coverage of one or another territory, as a rule,
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is still limited in them, so the appearance in the 16th allows it is quite effective to close these gaps in the air defense system and in fact to make it impossible for the same cruise missiles and drones to effectively use unclosed air routes by the same shaheds so that they can go deep into the territory of ukraine, that is, to avoid the appearance of 16- in the first place, on the one hand, it will make it difficult for cruise missiles and kamikaze drones to fly , for example, to lviv or to the western central regions, on the other hand, the appearance in the 16th will allow the use of means of defeating air, air with a longer range, that is, we are talking, as a rule, about missiles with a range of up to 160 km, that is, they will be able to effectively destroy enemy aircraft, as well as other objects. such as helicopters near the front line, as well as, for example, near the borders with ukraine, so it will make it difficult in principle to launch, for example, the same, well...
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so-called winged aerial bombs, which are capable of covering a distance of 50 to 70 km there and cause significant damage to our logistics and warehouses. how many more of these sus are there in the russian aircraft fleet? yes, if we talk about the russian aircraft fleet in general, despite the fact that hundreds of units have already been destroyed, unfortunately, the number of aircraft of the russian federation remains quite high, here... and there, at the beginning of the invasion, it was said that more than 1,200 aircraft of various types were prepared, here, if we are talking specifically about the su-35s corresponding there, that is, these are the latest modifications, there we are talking after all, there are fewer of those planes, but today, according to various estimates , there were more than 100 of them, and the destruction of even a few is actually very tangible, because there are two important
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components, the first important component is destruction of pilots trained with combat experience actions the second important component is, of course, that not all aircraft that are in service with the armed forces federation, they are so-called in readiness, that is, some aircraft need repair, some aircraft need maintenance, that is, the destruction of even a small number of aircraft, it can be quite significant, and we saw this in principle, that after the destruction of several aircraft, namely the su35, the number of launches of so-called guided aerial bombs decreased. er, and that's actually a good thing, because these planes and such sets are for the crown aviation bombs, they allowed the use of the so-called soviet old blunt bombs in order to deliver actually reasonable strikes with an average range, that is , up to 50, 60, sometimes up to 70 km, this is quite difficult, because the bomb, as a rule, there are small samples have a power equivalent of
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250. there are samples that have a power of up to 1.5 tons, this is a very serious weapon. how long does it take to build such a military plane? yes, if we talk about the period of aircraft construction, then, as a rule, the aircraft, the combat cycle of its production is there from 24 months or more, in these cases , on average, we are talking about three years, and sometimes it can even reach 5 years , depending on how complex the aircraft is. as far as there are problems with the supply of certain parts, if we are talking specifically about the su-35, then they also use a certain proportion of western components of western electronics, and according to reports, under the conditions of sanctions, the term may be higher, that is, after all, three or four and more than years, this is a completely real production cycle of one combat vehicle, but we have to understand that the factories that manufacture airplanes, as a rule, at the same time they can produce there up to 50 or more units at the same time, if
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we talk about civilians. aviation , which is also russian civil aviation, suffers from the fact that sanctions have been imposed, but we see that , for example, sergey chemezov, the head of the rostec company, stated at a meeting with putin that by 2030 russia should produce more than 500 aircraft of various types, civilians, it is meant, and if evaluated. for these statements , we must still understand that even soviet the union did not produce planes at such a pace , that is, the plane is still a relatively complex system and comparing, for example, the production of serial planes, that is, if we are talking about the same military planes of the su type, then we understand that this is serial production, which there has been working for decades and still has a certain scale and everything, scaling production is not so easy, it is expensive and it is not always
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possible, but if we talk about... the production of civil aircraft, then it is even a little more difficult, due to the fact that they demand a lot larger hangars, larger areas, corresponding aircraft manufacturing enterprises, if we look at that history, the amount of production in principle, which the russian federation produced, then to date they have produced a little less than 200 units of these very dry super jet 100 aircraft, but we understand that the process production actually lasted 10 years, that is, we can estimate their potential in production of about 20 years. 300 aircraft per year, and that is, talk about the fact that 500 or more machines will be produced there by the 30th year is completely unrealistic, in first of all, precisely under the conditions of sanctions, because even the ssj100, in the amount it exists today, it was manufactured without such strict sanctions, that is, there was absolutely access to western components and this aircraft is 50% made up of western components, if the plane will be completely
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