uh, there was probably a lot of such, such , uh, expectations that maybe there would be some kind of breakthrough, somewhere the russians would attack from all directions, well, there are actually such news that they are trying to advance from everywhere, near zaporozhye, serious attacks, by the way , i noticed that soviet equipment from the 50s was used there even for these offensives and was destroyed, what is really happening, is there a feeling that the russians have some kind of limitless group now there, i don't know... huge and so on like how do you feel now on the front what has changed besides cabs? unlimited number of personnel, rather yes, unlimited number of equipment no, still they have problems with equipment, it has already been noticed, if only, as you said, due to the fact that they started using older and older equipment, but in terms of personnel, they have an extremely powerful mobilization reserve, so... for example, avdiyivka once again

showed that for one ukrainian soldier there were six, and in some places even 12 russians, therefore , accordingly, they recruit, recruit, recruit meat , recently i even read that the russians began to recruit even women from prisons, that is, in principle, they have an extremely powerful mobilization reserve, but not everywhere the quality corresponds to the quality that is in... soldiers, due to the fact that we have significantly different motivations, that is, despite all the training of the russians , which they have, that is, they are not chmobikes, they are really soldiers who are preparing, who know how to fight, this is a country that knows how to fight, it has been fighting for 30 years, after all, the ukrainian motivation, the motivation of the ukrainian soldier to protect those , who is behind us, to protect our reliable rear, gives us a lot more effort to fight against a much more massive enemy, and accordingly there are currently three main directions in which the enemy is trying to advance. this is the kupyan direction,

this is the bahamud direction, it is trying to break through to the temporal abyss, the more, the less it succeeds, for example, in our direction, the fighters of the frontier brigade are doing everything possible and impossible to restrain the enemy, while therefore , the minimal losses below, and of course the recent attacks on robots also tell us that they want to knock us out of the territory that we recaptured during counteroffensive actions in the summer, if we talk about some tactics of the russians, have they changed or been adjusted recently? everything is very situational, because on the territory of ukraine there are a huge number of different brigades, battalions, regiments, divisions, and each of these divisions and regiments has its own peculiarity, for example, in our direction, the enemy began to use some shotguns, the situation from our unit , the fighters of the rubizh brigade conducted a routine reconnaissance in order to need more information about new dugouts, about new trenches. what russians unfortunately

they are digging very well, and now they are shooting down our drones not only with reb-systems, but also with some guns, we think that it could be some kind of drop or something like that, actually, now we need to find new ones methods, how to counter this and of course we will find them, in the last resort and these brigadiers will do everything possible to let them carry out their tasks, in fact... talking about the fact that those shotguns could be useful in the armory as well forces of ukraine, that it would be good if each department had such a weapon in order to fight with the same, that is, in fact, your experience confirms that it can be an effective weapon to fight with small scouting fividrons, that's right, and it works, it works now nets, for example, corrug began to use such intakes to protect his equipment. i don't know what

to call them correctly, it's, for example, an ineffective thing, and the usual fishing net itself proved to be much more effective, due to the fact that the copter can simply get stuck and won't be able to explode due to the fact that, well, he just won't be able to move properly, that's the interesting thing that in this war you learn every time, every time you get some new information, and you understand the methods and look for methods to bypass them , how to use everything in such a way as to destroy. the maximum number of enemies and to prevent russian boots from trampling ukrainian lands any longer, that is, we are doing everything in our power, well, really everything in our power, in order to stop this influx and to destroy, destroy and destroy again more enemies. mr. andriy , you have been fighting for two years already, but soon it will be, uh, i went as a volunteer, i fought from the 14th year, i was in the service until the 18th, until the 19th, so...

i have a long enough war path and a very noticeable difference between what was in the ukrainian army in the 14th year and now is an extremely powerful difference, of course, definitely, eh... in your opinion, a lot of your peers are not subject to mobilization now, because they have a lower level of mobilization age, age, respectively, when you think about your peers, how - which in their moods, whether they are ready to fight and how, in principle, to convey this idea, why, why did it happen that fewer and fewer young people... want and, well, more and more are actually afraid of the very prospect of being at the front. there are two main reasons: the first is that russia invests millions, literally millions of dollars in various such stupid companies, they make people fear the tsk, so that they are afraid

that they will be sent to the front there near avdiivka two days after mobilization , under bahmud or anywhere else, that is, the history of such a huge number of social measure but nevertheless, who you don't ask if you were trained, where you were there and so on and so on, everyone tells you that they were trained and trained, for example, the fighters of the border brigade were trained both in great britain and in germany, and in the baltic countries, that is, the training continues , they train you for at least two months before sending you to the combat zone, so that you know elementary skills, not only elementary skills, they turn a person from civilian work into a soldier, a soldier, who is ready to defend his country, it concerns most of the brigades with which i have one or another contact in front of my brothers, for example, there are other brigades that are currently working in nadeiv, which presented themselves extremely well, from the point of view of defense, despite the great losses, which unfortunately cannot be avoided, they performed your task

without fail, understanding the rush of the enemy that was in that direction, that is, you need to tell people that you will be 100% prepared, 100% will give everything you need, and you need more and more people. understood that we have only two options: either to be masters in one's house, or a servant in the master's house, and regardless of whether it will be a european master or a russian occupation, that is, we have one way, it is to fight for our country, for our independence and for our future, and about it must be told, it must be told that in fact, in fact, no matter how sad it is , we have no alternative at the moment, the only direction we have is to defend our land, to defend our families who are behind , thank you very much, mr. andriy, andriy so, ours, the crew commander of the kara nebesnaya fourth uav rubizh of the operational brigade of the national guard of ukraine, was with us and they told us a little about the situation, in particular, on the front line between luhansk region and donetsk region is now, in particular, on our

interlocutor, the situation at the front is not easy, the russians have an advantage in manpower, and they are also still pestering our eyelash'. very similar to the tactic of dropping from tens of tens of kilometers to the front line from russian planes those so-called kafis of high -power planning bombs, which do a lot of damage and destroy fortifications, although not being very accurate, but nevertheless, this is a very serious weapon, it also causes a concussion to fighters if they burst nearby, and so far we do not have a super good answer to this, although the letter is knocked down. but in three days, five planes, that's a lot of six planes, and it's a very serious blow to the russians, too, and we really hope that some stories are being groped, well, we're really waiting for f16s, which will appear sometime in the summer, as we hope, you know , that the most interesting thing, even though the story is in 16, i can’t help but

say it once again anyway, i remember when there was a conversation about the f16, the spokesperson said it in my own way... of the air force of ukraine, yuriy ignat says, well, there will be a year of training there, then the same whole complex, each plane, then a whole small factory of people who serve , well, it won’t be possible to convey them so quickly, what you are saying, they said that they will be here, they will be here now, in a month, and in two weeks we will learn, but we are such geniuses, good people, anyway it has been more, more than a year will pass , god forbid that there should be more than a year between, well, there is some reality, here we tell, we tell, and then... then, and then they say , why are people all despairing, why are there such low percentages of trust, for example, in the national telethon, well, because, well, let's tell the truth from the very beginning, which it already is, and less to lie, and no , not to lie at all, you can't really lie to people

, there is no excuse for lies, there is none at all, especially for lies that come from the mouth of the government, this is our position, well, gentlemen, let's take a short break now, continue sergey. our super expert, military, company director defense express, let's talk about the situation at the front, whether the russians in zaporozhye can really break through our front. we will discuss all of this, of course, and as always , mr. sergey's balanced, accurate, and almost always 100 percent true analysis and forecast. wait. do you want to increase the yield on your plot and harvest several in one season? you want to protect plants from pests and bad weather. you will be helped by the greenhouse - a smart host from rozpakuy tv. smart greenhouse. the host maintains warmth, accelerates the growth of fruits, and most importantly - allows to start the garden season as early as possible and

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from the revolution of dignity to today's battles. if something happens to me, if it doesn't happen to me, then i know that i died for the truth. 10 years of war, the war for our existence, this is the path that changed us. in the conditions of the occupied territories, we have to the occupied territories losses of the order of potential 7 million hectares of land that are not cultivated. it's been two years. 10 years of war, war for the future. what price do we pay for it? 1,200 of our citizens were deported to russia. depopulation is an inevitable thing. intellectuals, specialists, patriots talk about challenges, threats and our future in a special project for the 10th anniversary of the beginning of russia's armed aggression against ukraine, 10 years of the war for independence. from february 18 on espresso. according to the results of january, the espresso tv channel continues

to hold the first position among information broadcasting channels. 10th month in a row we are the first greetings, it's news time on the tv channel. this november we turned 10 years old, we updated the design, the sound, we continue the saturday political club of khrystyna yatskiv and vitaly portnikov. our values ​​and ukrainian point of view remain unchanged. stay tuned for espresso updates and thank you for your trust. hello, this is svoboda ranok, an informational project of radio svoboda. top guests every day. this is the shipping district, kherson. turn on live. we are somewhere in the vicinity of bakhmut. we tell the main thing. on weekdays at 9:00. well , gentlemen, well... we continue, and serhii zorets joins us, military expert, director of defense express. mr. sergey, good morning. good morning,

i greet you. mr. serhiu, the institute for the study of war and all other experts are wondering what will happen after avdiivka, whether the russians have enough troops there to try to move on. what are we observing there now? if we take into account the reports of our official spokesmen, then... in particular, it is said that the enemy is currently carrying out stabilization measures in avdiivka itself and is actually preparing to further offensive actions, but it rests on the lines of defense to which our defenders have retreated, first of all, over the past day we can see that there were attempts against the enemy to advance to the rubber band, this is precisely one of the settlements that are now held by our military, this is a line from top to bottom , where there are berdychi, steppe, lastychkino and

northern, this is such and such a line along which our defenders hold their defense. the enemy is now regrouping and we understand that he has suffered colossal losses and to immediately continue offensive actions there, the enemy will extremely difficult, we know that he pulled up 12 plus brigades, special forces were used there, etc. , but the losses of the enemy were colossal, we remember about 47 thousand dead and wounded enemy soldiers, and now different conclusions are being drawn, what will happen to do... the enemy further, will he transfer those accumulated forces restored from the zavdiiv direction to others, i think that now most likely he will spend some time on stabilization, on restoration and will partially try to press this line of defense, which i said it is just from the steppe to the north

, the fighting around novomykhaivka is also likely to intensify, because... it is very close, and to level the front line, the enemy will try in this area, plus, well, it is not far from bahmud, i think that just these hostilities , which are now the enemy's attempts to advance to the time of the ravine, will be precisely the third component in this area, i do not think that the enemy will now transfer the accumulated forces from this area somewhere to the north or south, because it does not look rational , question the ukrainian side is now with... to ensure the strengthening of this line of defense, which is newly formed in front of avdiivka, to create other lines there, i hope that they are created, because relatively speaking, when umer talks about the fact that we have to draw conclusions, he talks about the fact that there is a need to increase the drones' work there by the anti-aircraft defense complexes that shoot down the cabs,

we are strengthening the fortification there, then i think that the question is we are strengthening the fortification, it should also concern certain organs. changes in the structure of the armed forces, because we now have two brigades and six regiments in the army, engineer regiments, this is very little to carry out tasks for engineering support, we have now assigned these functions to the civilian military administration, although structural changes must be made in the armed forces to increase the number of professional engineer troops who can perform such functions, because the fortifications will continue to accompany these combatants. this is absolutely a logical conclusion, well, those attempts of the russians to storm the robots now, well, to somehow advance there, what they discovered, i’m curious, that, in particular, the russians, as far as i understand, used very old equipment there, well , there is no question of work, now there are two components, as well as a political component, because maybe it will still be convenient for the vorgs there to say that we

captured the avdiivka there and actually knocked the ukrainians out of those plots on which they directed their efforts during their offensive, because they are actually working on this pocket of about 10 by 10 km, which now, well, is included in the area that is still held by the enemy, and now really for five extreme days the enemy is trying to attack the robots not from two directions of the west from the south, there are also attacks on vervove. er is trying, tried to cut through and carry out an attack from er kopans, this is a little west of robotiny, in order to break through to the route that provides robotiny, it did not succeed, these flank attacks did not, did not succeed, which indicates that that our troops have strengthened the flanks, yesterday or the day before yesterday he tried

to break through to the robot frontally, although the robot is not located down there, there is this area... the robot is in principle well shot through and it is difficult to move the enemy, so i think that now with the availability of a sufficient amount of artillery and cluster munitions, we have seen examples of the use of cluster munitions, there are all the reasons for receiving this direction, and for the enemy, i repeat, it is important primarily politically, and i i think that he will still try to push our troops out of the way, and then declare that we actually leveled them. the results of the ukrainian offensive, how it will happen, we will see, everything will depend on the strength of means on each part of the front, the ratio strong wise decisions of the commanders , and contractors to the russian army, therefore there is no need for mobilization, they have enough

capacity to advance in ukraine, can we believe it, will russia have enough resources to continue its offensive and to what extent, in the end , well, really, when we take into account this number of mobilized people in a month... in another month and a half, because different experts treated it differently, relatively speaking, we divided the time period from the beginning of january to today and came to the indicators that russia reduces the pace of mobilization, others took 50,000, like only one january, and this is more than russia mobilized before, because for a certain period of time, somewhere before the middle of last year, we calculated that russia would mobilize 20-25 per month, but it has already passed since the end ... year we began to calculate that russia on average carries out a covert mobilization of 30-40 thousand personnel, this is actually what

allows the enemy to compensate for all losses, even to carry out a certain accumulation of forces, to carry out the training of certain units, and so to speak directly, so far with that format of hostilities, russia believes that there is no point in carrying out a large-scale mobilization there, because the dynamics on the front line allow for the restoration of losses. we will see what will happen after march, and precisely the actions after march will determine what strategy the russian federation takes. but let us remind you that in addition to increasing the number of potential personnel, there is the issue of equipment and training. this is a challenge for the russian federation. now she is trying to minimize this challenge, and according to the conclusions of our military, in particular, when we we are even talking about those units that operated in avdiivka from the russian side, in particular

the deputy commander of the third assault brigade said that these were brigades that were destroyed by the ukrainian side, the russian brigades were fully equipped with equipment and so on, that is, we can understand that in such russia currently maintains such a certain balance of capabilities, will it be significant? increase after march, new mobilization, i believe that rather not, but because now in fact putin is counting on such a creeping situation in both politics and military affairs, and i believe that the format of pursuing the situation without increasing the personnel is quite suitable for him. our, our bet on the renewal of aid from the side of the united states, because there are positive signals that they promise us atkams and unblock the supply of ammunition. cartridges, i hope so, because there are significant reserves, so in any case a political decision on the part of the united states, it will significantly change the balance of forces on the battlefield. actually, now, if we sum up

the results of the munich security conference, there was a lot of pessimism, it seems, but how one nato general said that last year we were too optimistic about ukraine's possible successes and victories, but it is important not to fall into excessive pessimism this year. see what he means? well, in fact, really, i think that this is absolutely such a real perception, because our military actions there in 202, the prerequisites for a counteroffensive, they created an optimistic mood in the europeans, who decided that ukraine is next there, well, it will cope with this russian invasion , then the advance in the south was cold shower for a number of european politicians there. of the european military, we are now in the process of forming a new military strategy, it will, in my opinion, be quite rational and is quite rational in view of the construction

of an active defense there in the presence of a sufficient amount, first of all, of ammunition and means of impression, the europeans understand this, because all fairly sober analysts say that it is necessary to quickly implement the deployment of the european defense industry, to carry out the transformation. european, of the nato armies, this is actually already happening, and i think that this munich conference, although it was, in my opinion, somewhat vague, from the point of view of the harsh messages there and the understanding of the unity of europeans as a whole , is such a good platform for somewhat shake the perception of european leaders that they need to look at their own defense and aid in a different way. in ukraine, we see a lot of positive signals after that , primarily from germany, the netherlands, denmark, sweden, other countries, the baltic countries, which

actually now provide an increase. military aid to ukraine, i hope that it will finally be the turn of the united states. well, regarding the situation with cabals, today we had confirmation again that the biggest problem now is for the ukrainian military, at least those who are currently somewhere in luhansk region, donbas, donetsk region, for them it is cabals, there are dozens of cabals every day, and this is a serious problem , we see the successful use of anti-aircraft defense, downed planes. russian, by the way, how much is this also a large amount of aircraft damage, so does it affect, can affect something, and what will possibly f16 change when they finally appear? well, actually, i think you have to approach the cabs conceptually, we were kind of easy in the first phase of the war on the shaheds until they were scaled, we're the same way there, it's that kind of development there that's not quite technological, now we see that the scaling of this threat is essential, when

we talk about ... about cabs, then russia really found an option, in what way, a cheap way, to influence the front line, it just found an option to protect its planes and finalized these solutions, which give a certain effect on the battlefield, and now the ukrainian side is required to respond, because it will be difficult to act without compensation for this threat, now we see the first actions related to the use of countermeasure complexes. of air defense - this is the way, well, it's not easy, because we understand the risks for air defense systems, and on the other hand , we need to look for other versions, i think that in addition to this, we need to use options for methods of attacking russian airfields in depth, it is necessary to destroy carriers cabs, cab storage bases, that is, this is a separate component of our strategy, which should... give

effective results, because the enemy will now use these stocks of cabs, well , quite effectively in various areas of the front, we saw this first of all near avdiivka, where for one 60-80 cabs were used per day , it used to be almost a monthly norm at the end of last year, now it is actually a daily mass that fell on the heads of our defenders, so the fight against cabs, i think is one of the priorities, i think it has be... the answer to which must be found by the leadership of the armed forces, as well as our partners. well, thank you very much, mr. serhiy, serhii zurets, a military expert from the defense express company, was with us, they talked about the situation at the front and that we shouldn't fall into such pessimism, you know. in fact , our troops are standing, there are shells, they want them, of course, not as many as we would like, we cannot continue serious offensive

actions now, nevertheless. enough to destroy the russians and thwart their offensive attempts, despite the fact that they still have certain advantages, in particular in the air, we are waiting for the unblocking of american aid, we really hope from good signals that even the republicans understand the need for this aid, understand that we cannot repeat the mistakes, even those that were made in the forties, today i said about them what happened, this is already... in the history of america , they also had those already american movements, america is in the first place, but in the end , the americans themselves had to fight in europe in order to stop it hitler, i hope that they also understand who the current hitler is and where he is, then the truth was that there were two hitlers, because there was hitler and stalin, now there is, but the truth is that there is china and so on, but now the main threat is russia and it is necessary stop. gentlemen, that's it. we

now have a traditional minute of silence, we remember all those who died in this war. let's observe a moment of silence in memory of the ukrainian military and civilian citizens of ukraine who died in the war started by russia.