that he didn't talk about lending there, they won't vote for it, so you need democrat votes, in order to have democrat votes, again, what should this package look like, should it include aid to israel? well, obviously yes, without the help of israel, this project is not needed by the republicans, they will probably find a certain part of the votes of the democrats, that is enough, but here is another question, and what else will be there if the republicans want to write there how they do it... uh, how as a rule , some questions, which, say, are related to drop gas, are made from it terminal in his home state, michael johnson, mike johnson. i'm not sure it will pass the house of representatives. then i don't really understand, it's necessary to sit down and calculate how long such a procedure can take? let's imagine that the draft law needs to be developed next week, the deputies of the house of representatives are already starting, they can, they can start some procedures for it. voting,

but what, but what? and everyone says that this will be the most difficult moment in johnson's political career, especially ukraine, because he is taking risks resignations so, even if he takes a chance, even if this bill passes, and there are enough republican and democratic votes, it still has to go to the senate. and there will be a new problem, because again, how far is the republic. the americans and the democrats in the senate will agree among themselves to what extent the administration will be interested in this bill, if it will have any things that will one way or another harm biden's electoral interests, how much in principle we can hope that it will be quickly approved. now the next question is that you and i clearly understand what is going on.

language, when we hear all this talk about loans and start taking it at face value, how much money does the administration want to allocate to ukraine, if i am not mistaken, at the moment it is 60 billion dollars, but there we are talking about, if we are talking about credit, then there is not the whole amount either, that is, part of the 48 billion dollars goes there. navi for the needs of the military-industrial complex of the united states, which means that these 60 billion are, by the way, too interesting thing, when we say that we will get this money and that's it, we will breathe a sigh of relief, without it we will not survive, this is 12 billion dollars that we will receive if this bill is passed, immediately and in service, all other weapons are still needed produce, so the question arises, why is donald trump so worried, he himself has 12 billion dollars, i am very sorry. trump is a person, maybe

he is gone now, but in principle, this is an amount that donald trump himself can raise, he could give us his own 12 billion dollars and calm down, we all the time we discuss credit rates for the amount of 12 billion dollars for a country whose military budget is hundreds of millions of dollars, hundreds of hundreds of billions of dollars, hundreds, 12 billion dollars , we get help from the european union for 10 billion dollars out of these 50, it looks so childish, i will honestly tell you that i don’t even know how to comment on it, of course, when the tush loan is 60 billion dollars, we give 60 billion dollars, that’s the kind of money they have for us to give them, they don't give them, it's two, they give 12, 48 are jobs in the united states, it is money for the united states. this, this, this is the redistribution of the budget

of the united states, and i am so, frankly, surprised by this, and we are seriously discussing this, so what they are doing, they are taking time, so imagine that they gave us this 60 billion dollars, and 12 billion of them would not be burdened with credit, what would happen? and everyone says that ukraine will never be able to give back this money, why can't we give back 12 billion dollars, what kind of fictions are these, well, that's all, if it wasn't so. er, i would say critical for us, when every penny counts, you could just give it up, to be honest, don't bother yourself, because when you name the whole amount, your eyes naturally open wide when you realize that we are now, and it's about survival now, all this money in the long run is very good, but there will always be a question for which country the lady existed, controlled the borders, so that half the territory was not occupied as a result of delaying everything. these things, and

that's all, frankly, it's cynical. mr. vitaly, you said such and such a phrase or a sentence, they take time, republicans, and that's it. and of course it resonated with me so much why they are taking time, is it within the framework of trump’s election campaign, or are those people who, as of today , are delaying aid to ukraine as much as possible, are opposing aid to ukraine, or are they de facto, so to speak, working out some kind of a subpoena in favor of the kremlin, no, they are working on a subpoena in favor of the kremlin, it makes sense if you look at the world through the eyes of donald trump. donald trump is absolutely sure that ukraine still can't win the war in russia, he doesn't hide it. he is sure that the whole problem is that joseph biden cannot negotiate with vladimir putin, because joseph biden is generally a bad politician and does not know how to negotiate with anyone, although we

remember that joseph biden tried to negotiate with vladimir putin several times in a row before the war, had a long phone conversation with him, remember, once on the phone, twice, yes, i don't think that... trump would have done better, but this, i assure you that trump is sure that he has it will turn out better, everything in trump's life is generally better than others, this is trump, this is trump, you can go vote and go to the headquarters, you understand, this is trump, but why spend money, once, then why escalate , two, then why should ukraine release territories, three, when it will still leave behind only what trump and putin agree on, but why? well, you know, if you are a businessman, these are all completely useless steps, but if putin wants this, this and that, he will get it, the question is simply that on the defense of this territory or on its there, conditionally speaking, released, some number of ukrainians and russians will die, and for

what? and you will die too, let a certain amount of american money be spent, but everything is very simple, in november trump wins, this is his idea of ​​life, his headquarters immediately starts some... negotiations with the kremlin, at the moment when trump becomes president, a security agreement is concluded between the states and russia, ugh, and ukraine is simply informed that it has such and such a territory, such and such a status, it must do this, that and that, and it will peace, no one even asks, they just report that south vietnam someone asked when kissenger negotiated with leddekho, no one asked, just report, but that's the deal. between hanoi and washington, well, trump has such an idea of ​​politics, it is from the 70s of the 20th century, there are serious guys, they agree, and there are, well, how to say it, some small

countries there that just have to understand it is, but if you give money, if you create unnecessary illusions, ukraine will start resisting, shouting, why do you know how? as an adult who does not want to hear this children's screams, does not want to get on their nerves, and they simply consider it unnecessary, at the same time, they do not want to appear as people who go against public opinion, they see that the majority of americans are in favor of helping ukraine, and in in this case they just show that we want too, we want to help too, just not like the democrats, we don't want to drink our money, we want to give credit, that's all... empty chatter that can explain, discussion of the amount 12 billion dollar loan, it is not, how can you say, it is obscene for a big state, it is a small state, if you, which gives you 12 billion, and for which this is a serious budget amount, and it tears away from

the heart, from its own taxes, serious money that could have been to build incredible, i would say, some objects there. structure, it says, you know, we want to get interest on this, we want to get this money back when you can, well, when the united states says that, we understand that it's all theater, and i explained to you the reasons for that theater well, trump thinks so, but it's one thing - trump thinks, trump thinks, and it's another matter whether it will still be the way he thinks, because we understand a little about his idea of ​​the world and the real world. slightly different things, i can answer this question by and large, the problem is that trump may see the world differently, but

the year 2025 may somehow be related to the problems of putin himself, we understand that putin has not a bottomless barrel there. resources he may believe he has at some point to stop, at least the war, always a question of when? again, from a logical point of view, from a logical point of view, we were talking about this back in 2022, if you remember, andrei, that putin would drag this war until the presidential election in the united states, at least, and it seemed to many that this some too long, how to make it all the way to the presidential elections, well, please, april 2024, we already understand exactly what he will make it, true, that means after the presidential elections in the united states... putin can, in principle, consider it is necessary to talk with their winner not

so much about the war in ukraine, because this is one of the points of the situation, but about how to coexist. i just don't think he's going to negotiate on terms that donald trump will like. but the fact that an opportunity will open for, let's say, more serious russian-american consultations. and not those, conventionally speaking, closed or episodic, about which we learn from time to time, it is true, here trump is right, it is just a question of who will be the winner of the election, but that the person who will win in in 2024, most likely, we will talk about something with the president of russia, this is also true, this is true, that is, that is, even if... biden becomes the president, secondly, and he has such a chance, we see now the latest

polls, and i also published them on my resources, where, when it comes to the fact that biden has even more now, at least there in the last few weeks we can see that he is growing, so the rating, their chances, my assessment, i think many other analysts are 50/50, now in any case, to say that trump is the winner, whether it will be biden or not. in this case, what is putin doing or biden doing, are the same negotiations taking place again, which we talked about under the conditional trump, so that is , the russian position will be adjusted when biden is elected, re-elected in parallel. to their position that they have on electing trump, i think that their position on

electing trump is not as great for trump as trump might think, they just might have a position, and it's a little bit, and you have to understand that, too, the position is yes, they can now to develop certain positions during these negotiations, you see that they want to talk specifically with the united states, but i will tell you more, i allow... that such consultations can take place even before the presidential elections in the united states. washington may also be interested in some suspension of the conflict until the presidential elections. ugh. in order not to create the illusion that only trump can negotiate with moscow. this can also be a certain calculation. i'm just not sure that putin will go to any presidential talks elections but, as always, the price is a question. and putin's level of understanding

of his own country's institutional problems. we never know, because we do not live in putin's head, to what extent he adequately perceives the economic, say, reality that exists in the third year of the great war. and here we go, you really got me thinking. that putin, conditionally speaking, now in these months, the nearest, the year 2024, in general , can make a so-called leap, in principle he is already making it, we are now seeing a leap in ukrainian energy, we are now seeing in fact, different insiders about the fact that from budanov, we already talked about this with the guests, and from and from foreign media, about the fact that russia is still planning to... again its next offensive for may, june, july, conditionally for the summer,

let's say so, that is, we can relate it to the context of the actual future negotiations, what putin wants now, at least he wants, we will not say whether he will succeed or not, to take certain, certain military steps , occupy, perhaps, new territories, inflict the maximum. i'm saying, if you hit the maximum blows on ukrainian energy, and, accordingly , the ukrainian economy, maybe he will have some other goals, and in this way... get to a better negotiating position? i don't think it's about a better negotiating position, it's about simple things, this is not the logic of politics, it's the logic of a gang, if we manage to capture all of ukraine and destroy it all, well, that's great, we capture, destroy, annex, talk further, if it is not possible to capture all of ukraine, then it is necessary to capture until the moment

of the armistice, at least as much as can be captured, but again, there is nothing in this new this is a program that appeared after the defeat in 2022, after the blitzkrieg collapsed, it became clear that the puppet government that was supposed to provide all this could not be done here, they decided that they would stop when they seized what what can be seized, that is, at the moment of exhaustion, let's say , russia should seize the maximum of what it can seize and protect from ukrainian. army, as much as possible, this is one moment, then there is another moment, it is diplomatic, the question is not only about captured territories, but now there is this forum in switzerland in june, and it might seem that russia will react to him completely indifferently, because he has not

decided anything in principle, well, representatives and leaders of countries that essentially support ukraine will gather, and they can. people who are not very supportive will come there, they will adopt some kind of vague communique, if there is a global south, even zelenskyi's peace formula will not be included in it, this must be understood, if there is a global south, i mean, just for all the good against all evil, for peace against war, for territorial integrity without a clear indication of how to achieve it and so on, but they went the other way, lavrov flew to beijing, the chinese began to talk about the need for a peace conference with the participation of russia and... ukraine with equal representation of them, and that china can to become an alternative center for holding such a forum, that is, in fact, they are still trying to create an alternative diplomatic track, there is a large forum in switzerland, president biden can come there, that is, if president biden is there, if there will be president zelenskyi, the leaders

of western countries, it will be a representative conference, but one that cannot solve anything, and we propose... a conference where zijinping will put putin here and zelenskyi here and help them come to an agreement. in this case, who looks like a world leader? well, of course, if biden can only talk about peace in ukraine with zelenskyi and macron, and sydzenpin with zelenskyi and putin, if zelenskyi will of course agree to such a game, then obviously, you have a bipolar peace, you have a bipolar one world. everything, everything is bipolar, and peace is bipolar in ukraine, so to speak, through the chinese role, and the world is becoming bipolar, thanks to the role of shizenpin in this whole story, and moscow, in fact, gives beijing a pass for such a game, and it is clear that now, when olaf scholz will go to sydzenpin, and then sydzenpin will go to

paris, sydzenpin will try to explain to scholz and macron what exactly is needed. this format should be used, the strategic autonomy of europe, what about america, let's all gather in beijing and eventually finish it ourselves, and i will agree if you agree, i will agree on this with putin when i have him, and this is a very risky game, in fact, it is an even more dangerous story than the offensive, considering that at least the offensive is carried out by people who are professional soldiers, and we will deal with this story... who are professional pr people who will not even understand what they are being dragged into, in the west they usually already understand this, because this is a serious, serious application and very unexpected, and this despite the fact that, in principle, china , he supports russia, that is, if this does not happen directly, if , conditionally speaking, china does not directly supply weapons,

as they say from the conveyor to russia, then china helps others, for example, an article from the shaded press came out, it says that china supplies russia with goods in bulk conditionally not for military purposes, but it is clear that these are microelectronics, that these are various elements for rockets, machine tools, and so on and the like, everything related to the manufacture of missiles, tanks, and so on and the like, that is, we are talking about that china also... is trying to bring russia to a better negotiating position, with this kind of support, we understand very well that no chinese company would support russia and would not... supply russia with anything if there was no agreement from china's top management, well, of course, it's not such a country, so that it could be there, it is a totalitarian country, well, i don't think that it is a question of a better

negotiating position, read generally they think in terms of a better negotiating position, the west thinks better in terms of a better negotiating position, it wants ukraine to have better bargaining position and that another big illusion of this war is that you will advance here and there, and you will cut off the corridor here and... and you will free this and that here, and you will have a better negotiating policy, a position in the negotiations with russia. i don’t know who made this up, but we heard this all through 2022, then 2023, you see, you couldn’t, and you won’t have a better negotiating position, and they didn’t exist, and still don’t, because russia wasn’t going to hold no negotiations, these are all fictions that live in the heads of western politicians, because they pretend that if they were in such a situation, then they would go to the military, in a worse position, but putin... not them, everything is fine with him, he will simply mobilize a certain number of people there and throw them like cannons on meat, he will do something like that, very

unpleasant for his own countrymen, but necessary for him, so china can think differently, china simply does not want russia to suffer any tactical defeat in this war, that strategically they will definitely win, that is not even a question. they are sure that they have a lot of time, but they see that if russia, say, is forced stop this war not when putin would like it, but, let's say, simply because there are really no more resources to fight anymore, then this is a defeat for russia, even if it retains control over the occupied territories, you know, when the war stops, not because , that there are agreements, but because there is not enough equipment, or people, or something else. this is a defeat, well, there is not enough for further aggressive actions to get something, but it is no longer possible to advance, and missiles to destroy energy, it is no longer possible

to produce them, because there are no components, here china wants to prevent this, but again, it wants to prevent it so as not to fall under sanctions, and therefore the americans can put pressure on the chinese, but it is no coincidence that janet yellen, the minister of finance of the united states, was in china before lavov's visit... who clearly said that no, you can't cooperate with russia, they say it all the time, of course they can't stop it completely, but these intimidations are purely to hide in them better, if they, the more they hide, the less they they can allow, of course, and that's all, that is , the americans are not idiots either, they understand that china is a strategic ally of russia, that both countries are in a relationship, i said. mutual aid is needed there , that xi jinping and vladimir putin really understand each other, there are no illusions that these two countries are allies

in this whole story, but given that china does not want to admit it, there are always opportunities to do big eyes and say: we want it, and i will find it, and then, then it all goes away everything is deep in deep, and deep in deep is a smaller amount of products, that's true. china, in principle, china is trying to hide its direct support for russia, china is officially official, all the statements of china indicate that we are against any supply of weapons to the parties, they say, you are supplying weapons to ukraine on the battlefield, as this deputy said secretary, i'm sorry, the permanent representative of the security council, the permanent representative of china in the security council, here are these arms deliveries on the battlefield, they only increase the escalation, and we want negotiations. that's peaceful, we don't give anything to russia there, we just trade with it, as i just read, non-military components, although it is clear that these are military components, and

it is clear that russia simply produces a lot of things on its territory, we must also do not forget that russia is still a country with a large number of military-industrial complexes, that is, factories that produce various types of equipment. and they can build all kinds of new factories, as they built, for example, with the same shaheds. by the way, if we are already talking about the shaheds, i would like to talk about another topic, and it concerns another ally of the occupiers, iran. and why is this topic very important, because it also resonates very, very much and is very closely connected with... with ukraine, very, very much, this topic is very much connected with ukraine, i pay a lot of attention to this topic, i someone is writing, what are you writing about, why are we here at all, come on, let's

write about a lot about ukraine. well, let's not write there about israel or iran, but i say that this is a wrong position, because we live not on a separate planet, we live on planet earth, and geopolitical interests in the event of a war or an attack by iran on israel, and in the event that the middle east flares up again, for us these these things and these and these consequences, they are also for us will not be very good, and we also understand that, and... in short, because now we will move on to the questions, our viewers know, and if they do not know, then you well remember that last week there was a strike by the armed forces israel by, by damascus, this is the capital of syria, in fact, several representatives of the leading officers were destroyed there members of iran, yes, who were essentially preparing

attacks there, including on... israel, attacks on other states, and now in the foreign press, and including among politicians such as biden, who has now interrupted his, his, his saturday , his own sabbatical and communicates with his entourage about a possible escalation in the middle east. it's about iran hitting israel in the coming days or the coming weeks, we don't know, i don't think anyone does. exactly when it may or may not happen, but if it does, it's here of course, for our country and for all of us, this will also be a certain moment that will influence the position of the united states of america and many of our other allies in helping ukraine, that is, even medially, militarily, in any way, and now we are approaching to that question,

is there a possibility of a real conflict in the middle east or a possible iranian attack on israel in the next days, weeks or months, and if so, what intensity might it be, and the third question is how it might ultimately affect on ukraine, because it seems to me that russia would be clapping its hands there and would very much like for that to happen and for iran to... attack israel, well, of course, this attack is possible, it will happen in the coming days, everyone understands this very well , this is for months and weeks, but secondly, it was absolutely clear that iran could not but strike back after the high-ranking representatives of the islamic revolutionary guard corps in damascus, the head of this corps in syria and the middle east, were destroyed , general zahadi, thirdly, no one knows. he will be

intensity, because in tehran they also understand very well that the israelis, when they were preparing this attack on the residence of the islamic revolutionary guard corps, often say that this is an embassy, ​​it is not an embassy at all, it is just one of the houses, not far from the iranian embassy, ​​but this it will be ordinary, this must also be clearly said, which does not have any immunity, so israel also perfectly understood that they would strike if there was a successful strike, but... to iran's response, and they knew how they could respond to iran's answer, then, in fact, iran can be trapped if they launch a major force strike, they will thus give israel the opportunity to retaliate against iran, including, of course, its nuclear facilities, and thus close the issue of iran's nuclear program forever,

and do it not. not because of iran, israel is attacking iran, no, this is in response, you attacked us with ballistic or cruise missiles, we answered you, now look, the capabilities of both countries are enormous, ballistic missiles from israel reach iran, i'm sorry, they fly to israel in 12 minutes. cruise missiles in two hours in the reverse direction the same pace. thus , ballistic missiles from israel can reach iran 24 minutes after the launch of iranian missiles. it can all...