political party, de facto 67% of those people, again , who voted, they said that they think trump won this debate, in addition, ancious poll was conducted yesterday, according to these polls, 60% of citizens, again, those , who were interviewed, we cannot say 100% how much... a representative part, stated that it is worth replacing the candidate from the democratic party, and besides that, we also see various kinds of statements, statements from the editorial board of the new york times, from speaker of the house of representatives mike johnson, we see this new cover of the times magazine, time, where, biden... is coming, and,

so to speak, the democrats are in a panic, yeah, and these statements, they've been snowballing like this for two days in a row, what's this about everything shows, it shows really that biden has a problem four months before the vote, i see a poll where 80% of pollsters said they didn't change their priorities after the debate, yeah. such and such a poll as well, and i consider this to be an absolutely real answer to all questions, because it does not matter who thinks who what won the debate, so if 80% or 40% of people said they changed their mind about who they should vote for, we could think biden has a problem if 80% of people still think they'll vote for trump or for biden, they don't care about the debate, so that means it doesn't matter. what will happen there, and

if we are talking about those people who are wavering, who are undecided, we know very well that in reality it is not even about 80 or 90%, i am more than convinced that those voters who are sure of their candidates, they will vote, some for biden, others for trump, they will be convinced by almost nothing, if, if trump voters are not convinced by the fact that he is currently undergoing a dozen different criminal cases for the debate. and moreover , if we are talking about the fact that he has already been sentenced in a number of cases, or is approaching the announcement of these sentences, and still 90% of his voters say, well, we are not interested in it, we are not interested in it, but we we want him, but we well understand that there is still a small part of citizens, voters in in the united states of america, these are the people who are either undecided or wavering, and there are currently seven states that tend to. determine the election process,

ultimately determine the results of the elections, can these debates not affect those few percent of people who are critical now, because the chances of both candidates are 50/50 as of today , no , the work of the candidates in these states will really affect the mood of these people , i want to remind you how george, how donald trump won against hillary clinton. he specifically dealt with those states in which the republicans could theoretically defeat the democracy, and hillary clinton did not deal with these states, because she was sure that these states were in her pocket, in one or two states in which she lost, she didn't even come, because she was sure that she would definitely take them, given the electoral system of the united states, she would win... someone who can accurately calculate

in which states a problem can await a candidate, that is, you need to take into account a simple equation , and here i don't know how it will be, but this is really the number one issue: first, to work with voters in the so-called undecided states, and the quality of the election campaign of biden and trump in these states will depend on ... how they will vote, not on the debate, and to understand which states are problematic for democrats in this particular situation because again, if trump had not been able to carry a few traditional democratic states in what year was it in 16 in 16, he would not have become president of the united states in 20 year these states have already voted for biden, that's it... the main issue, the theme

undecided states and the topic of unexpected states, this is the electoral equation, does it affect the equation? the debate situation, no, first, this is not the first debate, there will be more, second, by and large, all we 've seen in this debate is that biden may be in dire straits physically, i honestly , i don't really understand why, they organized these debates, but look, biden was on a european tour, then at rallies, his donors, he spoke everywhere. met in normandy, the big seven, this rally is for fundraising, just recently, right? why is it interesting that he and his advisers think that an 81-year-old man should work like a 25-year-old guy, but

you and i would work at such a pace, we would look happy at the debate, we are not 80 years old, but this is actually a person, yes, by the way , this is a person who... in the intervals between these trips , he also works as the president of the united states, which is also an incredible daily stress, we saw a simple thing at these debates that trump is more energetic than biden, it's not a matter of age, they are the same age, let's imagine , that trump will win the presidential elections, how old will he be when he finishes his term, just the same, well, a year even older, 82 or 83 years old, 83 when he finishes, and at the time of the elections he will be 82, at the time of the elections 79, and when he finishes, if he is elected, he will be 83, 83, yes, well, well, well, right, right, 83, that is, he is not a boy either, and we also do not know what

he will look like at 81, because this is aging, it happens faster, than we think, so i think i'm honestly surprised by the panic. well, let's even decide that you suddenly opened the eyes of everyone at the new york times, of sumist, of friedman, of everyone else, and you saw that biden is 81 years old, you did not know this, when he decided to run for a second term and no one told you, no one told , mr. president, move on, let's choose another candidate, everyone said biden, only biden only biden, now suddenly everyone, and it turns out to be him, we thought. that this is basil the wise, and this is a frog, well, well, it is strange that you saw it now, that this is not a young person, but the democratic party had primaries, 95% of the participants in these primaries are members of the democratic party of the united states,

supporters of this party, people are registered, voted for biden, not 60%, not 73, even which is a record number for us. when the president is elected, 95, well, of course, because the current president, but because there was no real competition, and everyone was for biden. imagine the united states democratic national convention. biden comes out and says, "i'm tired, i'm leaving," quoting another president. and they are they say, well then let there be kamala harris. well, it looks strange. not a single person other than you nominated kamala kharitz from among the party members. in the presidency and didn't vote for it, i'm not talking about any other, could it negatively affect the final result? of course, be, because, because i will, let's say, if i voted for biden and then my delegate to the union of the democratic party came and voted for kamala harris, someone will not vote for kamala halosuvati, but

for someone else, you understand , what struggle will begin at the convention, why i have to be satisfied at all, i will feel insulted, i went, registered, voted, and then ... my vote was trampled, so why should i even participate in all these elections, where there is no candidate for whom i voted? on the contrary, i would believe that such an outcome of the debate should lead to an even greater concentration of those who want donald trump to spend the next four years in prison, and not in the office. this is the main task of all people who would not like to die in the ravages of the third world war, almost inevitable if trump is elected. instead, we see some scumbag, some collective letters, some statements of editorial boards, what speaks of the degradation not of biden, but of the degradation of the american european political class, these people will lead us to the grave and their

countrymen too, i support president barack obama here, who did not throw tantrums in such a situation, recalled that he himself had a failed debate, it was ... the first debate with mitt romney, and by and large this debate did not become problem for obama's election, obama. won this election over romney, you have to remember that too, it's a true story, and biden was characterized by obama and his post -debate statement as a man who always looked out for the interests of the american people, and trump was perfectly logically characterized as a man who only cares about his own interests and in this debate it was obvious, of course biden was much less energetic, but trump in this debate was also trump, a man who blamed, lied,

historicized, looked absolutely terrible, like she always looked the whole time she was on this earth because there wasn't a day in the history of donald trump that he didn't look like donald trump. and here there is another question, not for americans, but for ukrainians. you notice that the closer the presidential election is, the greater the belief becomes. the dignity of the election of donald trump as the president of the united states, the louder the voices of those who believe that if the gentleman is suddenly going to be like that, then you need to be in time to kiss the gentleman's ass, to be the first in line, because then there will be so many people who want to not mr. will not have time to understand that this is exactly your pasionunok, because he will already be sitting and there will already be many people who will be who, well, i can see it all. social networks, analysts' comments, we must understand that trump must win, we must build a relationship with

trump. well, first of all, you need to understand that it is impossible to build a relationship with someone who does not notice you. this is trump's so -called peace plan proposed by his advisers, it once again confirms the simple fact that for donald trump, ukraine does not exist as a subject. there is already a simple idea, you have to force the president of ukraine to start negotiations. with russia, otherwise we will not give him weapons and money, right? trump himself constantly talks about volodymyr zelenskyi, who wants some, well, even at the debate he said, well , he repeated this thesis, yes, who is leaving america with 60 billion dollars all the time, as if zelenskyy is a person who takes this money , because we simply have problems in the economy there, we cannot give ourselves advice, not because we have a war and our infrastructure, the economy is being destroyed by the enemy, fine, but the very idea is that ukraine doesn't have to decide anything, we'll tell her what to do, if she says no, we just

won't give her money, don't let her decide, how they live in this life, trump knows better, there is no such thing in relation to putin, however, no one says, that is, putin is offered certain such, i would say advantages, if he agrees, then we can cancel the sanctions, then we can agree so that the russian troops remain in the territories they are occupied, then... that is, they talk to ukraine like serfs in the language of the whip, they talk to putin like a partner. how do you want to build a relationship with him when he spits on you, was spitting when he was president, spits now and will spit when he is president, no, don't create any illusions. of course, this person, if he becomes the president of the united states, can be pressured with the help of american institutions and american public opinion, it will be possible to force him to make decisions which. will not like it to donald trump himself, using the very american political system that

reacted to his actions during his first presidency, not giving him the opportunity to realize his intentions, which were very dangerous for the ukrainian state as well, but this would be contrary to his true wishes, his a real desire, and he's already expressed it today, that if i'm a smart president of the united states, russia, north korea, and china won't be our enemies, but will do wonderful things, it's... how, what must be done to make them so friends of this incredibly intelligent person. well, i have a question, you know? because you know, i would understand when the plan of trump's advisers was built on some whips for ukraine and russia. here, let's say, we in ukraine do not give money and weapons, we demand negotiations from russia. and for russia, for russia, we emphasize that if it does not negotiate and ends this war, we introduce american troops into the territory

of ukraine, and the americans themselves will defend themselves, trump allegedly says according to this plan that he will give more weapons or give more money, but here the question, as far as i understand , is not the withdrawal of russian troops from the territory of ukraine, i will not discuss it at all, that is, we are talking about a freeze, about a frozen conflict, but now the question arises, why does putin have this freeze, here i am you. i've been wondering for a while, and it's really important for me to understand why these people think that putin needs a frozen conflict in such a situation, so will trump give more weapons to ukraine? well, biden is already giving, i generally believe that biden should now give ukraine more weapons, until all this became a reality, but putin does not understand that ukraine can get more weapons, that it can hit russian positions, he is waging a war of attrition, and he will stop this war of attrition precisely because he will not be able to fight further, not because trump will

threaten him with something, so maybe first we need to give ukraine more weapons, more money, to exhaust russia. and then putin himself will want negotiations, trump will not offer negotiations to putin, but putin will offer trump mediation to end this war, at least on some normal terms for the kremlin. well, in theory, there is now such a position of the united states of america that in fact there is a war of attrition, that is, they are now giving us weapons, they are now giving us financial support in order to exhaust russia and incline it to victory, well, because this is the only way , if russia. it's just that due to the previous events that we observed from november to april, we did not receive this help on time, and in fact , this rather large period of time was lost. i do not i argue, but here, too, it is difficult to blame joseph biden for this, and it is easy to blame donald trump for this. and this behavior of trump and his clients. you can

imagine how they will lead when they come to power, this is also a reality. we remember how they behaved, but again, you and andriy, we have to remember that there is no such thing as an ideal situation in the united states. we do not know how the election as such will end, that is, the president, the senate, the house of representatives, the democratic president, well, if biden wins, republican senate, republican house of representatives, or not, republican president, democratic house of representatives, republican senate. there can be different schedules, and each of these schedules, any of these, it's like a chessboard, you can sit down and play with each position, there are a lot of them, a democratic president , a republican senate , a democratic house of representatives, a democratic president, a republican senate, republican house of representatives, democratic president, democratic senate, the republican chamber, and so on , that is, how many options are issued there, 18,

if i'm not mistaken, or 24, you have to sit down and count how many different options there can be. and each of the options changes american politics, and there is a clean option, when the president gets everything, but not for one and a half years, and then the situation changes again, well, then there are 19 options in total, that’s a lot of options, and it also does not give us opportunities to say exactly what american politics will be, because it is not a monarchy, it is not even a fifth republic emmanuel macron, conventionally speaking french, when it is parliamentary elections are very important. perhaps, but the president still remains a sovereign, the american president is not a sovereign, as we can see from these six months of delay with help, if we are talking about the theoretical version of what is being discussed now, do you consider, at least in theory, the possibility replacing

the democratic nominee, well, joseph biden said today that he's not going anywhere, i don't really... understand how that 's supposed to happen, technically, the way it is can happen, technically, it can only happen in one way, technically, not politically, joseph biden is speaking at the convention, before the democratic convention, even before, i think, according to the laws, it seems to the state of ohio, until august 7 there should be a registered presidential candidate for the party, yeah, yeah, in three months, uh, that's how many months, months left, biden should drop out of the, uh, running, the national conference, uh, the democratic party should meet, because in the primary for there will be no time to choose someone as a candidate for the office of the president of the united states. do you believe it? hard. well, what's going to happen is that biden now said, "no, you know, i

realized that i'm not going to, the pressure, his team" is going to say that, well...mr. joe, you have to change, well , in theory, of course , of course, there is not much time left, and it is clear that with a probability of 3/4 or even more, or even 90%, it is difficult to talk about the fact that the candidate will be replaced, there are theories that various candidates are considered up to michelle obam, well we have heard these stories. doesn't even think at all doesn't think for a minute about participating in... this campaign, so absolutely, if, if we're talking about the statements of the candidates at this debate, in particular, trump

said that ukraine would not win a war against russia, yes, although from another trump said that he allegedly does not support putin's actions in ukraine, it is clear that he does, but if we are talking about these. trump's statements are chaotic statements, do they still indicate that he has to abandon his previous rather controversial statements and still support ukraine, or is it trump chaotic man sal in himself as a politician, but he knows exactly what he wants. he wants to come to an agreement with putin, but trump's whole problem is that he lives in a... fictional world, all the time, and he believes in this world that he and putin can come to an agreement, he may be disappointed, until things, putin also believes that he will come to an agreement with

trump during trump's presidential term, well, nothing came of it, as you understand, so trump's wish is clear as far as it can be realized, i don't i know, i'm not sure about it, the more so in principle i think that the friend. trump's term will be very different from the first, because trump in his first term was a man who reckoned with the interests of the establishment of the republican party, and this can be seen in the many memoirs of those who worked close to him during this time in the white house. during these four years of joseph biden's presidency, a situation of complete privatization, one might say, degradation , of the republican party of the united states took place. that is, the grand old party we knew earlier, disappeared from the political arena, and how it happened during such a short period of time, it is not a private political force, why

such transformations took place at all from one of the oldest political forces in the world, but because the party that existed relied on that electorate , which can no longer bring her victory, ugh, it was these, i would say, traditional ones. americans, let's say, with conservative values, which are becoming fewer demographically, it's just that we're dealing now not with uh, traditional america, but with a new america, and there is such a phenomenon that the democratic party in this new america has retained its traditional nuclear electorate, because the democratic party, in addition to people of, let's say, conventionally liberal... views , are voted for by representatives of various minorities, from national to er political minorities, even, let's say, you know, very

radical people on the left also vote for the candidate from the democrats, and these latin americans, representatives of the lgbt community, the jewish community, all over the world, all over the world vote for democracy and these people are not... not decreasing, but is increasing, demographically, there are even more latin americans, people arrive every month, they do not receive donas, and they will become naturalized in the future, he wants to expel them, i mean, we understand why he wants this, because these people are naturalized, of course, that those who arrived, that those who arrived yesterday or last year will not vote, and those who arrived 10 years ago, of course, but the republicans, who always gathered... here at these traditional evangelical circles, of which mike johnson is a native, they become them less, the question arises, how can the republican party win then, demographically, only

if it becomes the party of populism, it has no way out, it can be either the party of trump or the party of eternal losers, and they do not want to, you understand that such politicians , like mike mcconnell, who or george mccain, that's the past, ugh. there are no such politicians in the republican party anymore, john mccain is no longer among us, how many years old is mcconol, also in his 80s, and all this elite, they are not young, but look at the new people in to the republican party, to taylor green, to mike johnson, even to mccarthy, these are completely different people, without any great, i would say, political values, maneuverable, cynical. populist-minded, sometimes fanatical, it's a different story, a different party, it didn't happen in four years, it happened

over a much longer period, but just... after four years, especially after the storming of the capitol, there was obviously an understanding that the republican party can either win with trump or not win at all. this, to things, wonder why, because we saw nikki haley beat biden by a much bigger margin than ee donald trump. but for republicans, it means betraying their own approach to politics. because why does nikki haley win? because as herself. a person who comes from minorities, he draws attention to himself from people who traditionally could vote for democracy, and this is, so to speak, a temporary victory, because everyone is considered, where should we take this nikiheili again, it is temporary, but here is the course trump is a coward who promises success all the time, why everyone else the candidates, except nikki haley, were little trumps, you remember who the candidates were, and they were even more radical, even more radical than trump, otsey, i don't

remember what his last name was, there was one other candidate , who was generally pro-putin, this is such a republican party, and this, by the way, largely reflects the strengthening of the far-right, far-right political vector in the world in general, which is beginning to win precisely on such wild populism, the former president of brazil. bolsonaro, is that trump? the new president argentina, javier miley? is that trump? viktor orban is essentially trumpism. the new reincarnation of marine le pen is trumpism by and large. here is this new, not the same national association before, but

now this policy. you see, marine lippen under the israeli flag, that's not jean-marie lippen with anti-semitic statements, but why is she under the israeli flag, an outpost of the west in the middle east, uh, it's like how these far-right forces once supported the south african republic, closed on something, but they believed that this was their position, and many such examples can be given, that is... when trump became the president of the united states for the first time, he had almost no allies in the world. now he can gather miley, le pen, orban, andrzej duda for his inauguration, because pidzha is now in the ultra-right faction in the european parliament, you know? yaroslav kaczyński, here to george

maloney. imagine the number of politicians who share trump's principles in latin america and europe. and this also suggests that the republicans understood which way should be followed in order to maintain power. politics is always a struggle for power, and the means for this struggle are very often not chosen. and so those people who, like mitch mcconnell, talk about the need to preserve values, they. become marginal, because the republicans of the 21st century have different values, and the democrats may find themselves in a difficult situation, because they are forced to play on several boards at once, here are liberals, here are left radicals, here is biden, here is sanders, and all of them need to be to unite, it is necessary to support israel and provide humanitarian aid to the gas sector.

donald trump calls george biden ridiculously bad for the palestinians, it's clear who to count on, well, here's the whole story in which these two parties find themselves, in 2024, the situation will only get worse, because the demographics of the united states will continue to change, or there will be fewer so-called classic americans. the more radical the republican party of the united states, the radical right, and the more radical the world around it, the less there will be democracy in latin america and more populism, the less democracy there will be in europe and more populism, i generally think that european democracy in many countries is living its life.