tv [untitled] July 7, 2024 3:00am-3:31am EEST
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ukraine gives itself advice. but we had a difficult period when the united states did not give weapons, blocked, right? when they couldn't vote, and it went on and on. and we understand that this was also a corridor of opportunity for putin. but the european union voted to provide 50 billion. but not 100 billion. well, well, but then you can say why not 150 billion. the states voted for 60 billion. why do you want such money from poor europe, the states are richer, but at the same time the usa is a power, this does not mean that whoever gives, you can vote for 100 billion, but for them you need to buy weapons, that is, to manufacture weapons, the states have weapons, only the united states has such stockpiles of weapons, in our country we are forced to restore and rebuild the arms industry, i am a member of the national defense commission, that is, i am engaged in the army "i know a little
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about the nuances, we have to make a huge effort to return here to what we had before, for this we have to think together, what then, now we have to think and now we have to discuss, to have a concept so that we could start implementing it, you need to know what we have to do, i am also in ukraine to talk about it. thank you very much, mr. marshalka, thank you very much for your openness and for..." this excellent analysis and, of course, for the position. thank you very much. and i want to remind our viewers that bohdan borusewicz, a legendary polish politician, the head of the polish senate from from 2005 to 2015, he works in the senate on defense issues. this is svoboda live on radio svoboda. we have already approached the snake
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shock. news from the scene. live drone attacks, kamikaze. political analytics. objectively and meaningfully. there is no political season. exclusive interviews, reports from the hottest points of the front. svoboda live frankly and impartially. you draw your own conclusions. and now oleksandr morozov, a political scientist who is in prague, will work on the air of the tv channel. glad to see you, oleksandr, but first of all i would like to ask you about the assessment of the so-called astana summit. we understand that this is a story not only about putin, it is even a story not only about xi jinping, this is a story in general about an attempt to form a new, so-called alternative agenda to replace the so-called big summits and big... events of the diplomatic
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international plan, which were held by the so-called collective event, so the astana agenda and putin's readiness to something, what was all this for him? vladimir putin will undoubtedly use this sco summit to build a very important line for him, which will lead to the success of the brics summit in kazan, which will take place in october. this brics summit in cauldrons are extremely important diplomatic for putin. the kremlin actively played with the applications that various countries submit, now it has been decided that there will be no expansion at this summit in kazan, but besides that, it is in kazan that putin is going to demonstrate that he has the support of the countries of the so-called global south, and here on the sidelines of the summit shos, i think, is the main goal of kremlin diplomacy... alexander, but we understand
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that there is a public agenda, and there is a real agenda, yes, we understand that no matter what report, what report at the summit, the key story, the main problems, well, the main problem is that putin is gradually being pressured, he is waiting for the story with the american elections, and on the other hand, there is also the agenda that china is shaping. and the chinese so-called plan, which is not publicly accepted, at least in the west, putin is also trying to engage. so, if we are talking about the chinese plan, well, in particular, it concerns the russian-ukrainian war. how do you think putin will now try to play it in his own interests? to me it seems that the situation was decided after vladimir putin, entering a new term, issued an ultimatum. that is,
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he formulated his vision of the end of the war in four points. this ultimatum leaves no room for diplomacy, neither for china, nor for hungary, nor for turkey. constantly talks about them, creates different goals in different periods, then putin formulated it in its final form. and if the kremlin did it like that, then what can president xi or any other politician do here? what can mr. golovasi or any other politician do here. after all, first of all, this demand of putin contains full recognition, and with the help of international treaties, the annexation of the occupied territories. of course, china cannot act here, china constantly publicly recognizes the territorial integrity of the entire country. this
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is maintained in chinese foreign policy quite strictly. in this ultimatum, putin demands that ukraine acquire neutral status, non-nuclear status and give up. relied on military-technical cooperation only on its own military-technical capabilities, etc., i.e. putin is proposing finlandization, to use an old word from the cold war period. it is impossible to fulfill this demand in any way, because the very war that putin started led to the fact that not only ukraine, but also many other countries and regions, finland, sweden, join nato, and that is why the voices are now heard. in particular viktor orbán and turkish president erdogan said: maybe we don't know this, for sure, but apart from the ceasefire, this is the only thing that remains in the hands of various representatives world political scene, just ask putin a question, do you not want to resort to
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a truce? actually, something like that may have happened on the grounds of the sco summit during bilateral negotiations of some kind. oleksandr, what do you think, and for what purpose... he so quickly and so brazenly announced his ultimatum, that is, the swiss peace summit was held, quite a few things were discussed, well, russian aggression against ukraine was not directly on the agenda, although we understand that that everyone was talking about her, and now putin rolled out an ultimatum, no one his, yes so to speak, he did not pull for a certain place, but no, all the same, the first thing he did was voice something that cannot be, as you rightly noted, accepted in any public'. yes, this is a really important question and quite interesting, because indeed, during more than two years of active war, both putin and his entourage produced many different descriptions, results of the war, etc. and now putin, entering a new
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term, spoke like this. different assessments are possible here, but my answer is this. putin did it now, focusing on three audiences at once, he believes. putin formed around himself the new environment, the old people have all been reshuffled and he has created a cabinet of endless war, that is , he has put people he trusts very much in key positions in the new term for the next six years, and with this he is giving them a task, as if to say, this is what you signed up for, this is what you should do for the next 6 years. should be the result of your work? this is the first moment, an appeal to the bureaucracy's own political top. the second important point: putin is undoubtedly addressing ukrainian society with this ultimatum. everyone knows that the kremlin has not even a mood, a constant conviction that
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ukraine should weaken itself from the point of view of its moral, military and political spirit, to break before the irresistible force of the curve, simply put. putin, after president zelensky's term of office ended, first began to emphasize that zelensky is not legitimate, and it is impossible to negotiate with him, etc. and this statement by putin is aimed at pushing, as the kremlin believes, a part of ukrainian society to the fact that this is how it will be, accept it as inevitable, start changing your position and produce a new one. and the third audience, here with. first of all, the united states, after all , putin wants to say here that, regardless of how the scenarios of the american elections in november will develop, who will be the president, the position of the kremlin is as follows: it is absolutely unimportant to us,
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putin wants to say, who will be your president there, here are our demands as to how this war should end. we will deal with any president of the united states or any secretary general of nato, and now he is new, or any member of the european commission, whether he will be in has the european commission established a ministry of defense? that the former prime minister of estonia will head the foreign policy department, the kremlin says: this is the prospect and no other. this leads to the fact that everyone has heard it, no doubt. everyone who makes political decisions, who develops further elements of security policy, everyone heard perfectly well what putin said. yes, but if we are talking about the ukrainian audience, we understand that putin could not have voiced anything more stupid. yes, because it wasn't some kind of proposition that would have to provoke an intra-ukrainian discussion,
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this is, so to speak, an ultimate demand, to give back what the russians have not yet seized, and we also understand that these stories do not work, on the other hand, you very correctly noted, putin is trying to indicate, that is, to display certain markers of one's appetites, and this, without a doubt, is designed for a western audience, and, accordingly, is a key fact. putin is in a big hurry, we understand that he would like to be in time before the elections in the united states, maybe some big events are still planned, because putin really, well, he rapes his generals extremely hard, yes, when he talks about an offensive at any cost, those two months of the summer campaign, well, they are extremely bloody and tense. in general, the situation here is rather strange, as far as it can be seen, the fact is that... on the one hand, in the summer of this year, many predicted , and not without reason, that the kremlin would conduct
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a rather large offensive, not just tactical, but quite convincing, which would record into an asset. such an offensive, which would change the situation in favor of the kremlin quite strongly, is from one on the one hand, and on the other hand, we are surprised to see that at the same time, putin changed the minister of defense and put in the place of the minister of defense, some kind of accountant, a person who is responsible for the armies to be caught. and the second moment of being accused of fraud is extremely historical here: the arrests and accusations of fraud of significant military figures, military generals, are taking place at the same time. not only that general petrov , yesterday we saw a report that the commander of the guards assault brigade, colonel horodylov, seems to be the surname was also blamed by chahra. i would say that this is a rather strange situation for preparing or conducting an offensive, because such
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events, in my opinion, greatly demoralize the military leadership on the ground. that is, if you imagine that they are talking about this in the trenches, and we have an idea about it through, of course, war correspondents, war correspondents, then it is clear that everyone there is confused. how so? for some reason, the most active and authoritative russian military commanders in the trenches follow the article about fraud. are these some strange events? this is one side the other side of all this, after all, despite the fact that in the first half of 2024 , rather insignificant tactical successes of the russian army were recorded, but from the point of view of the entire concept of this war, it is clear that parity has been achieved, and this parity is not broken. that is, yes, the russian army continues to inflict heavy blows on the infrastructure, but ukraine. all six months of this year has been extremely successfully active since it just started receiving
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military aid. but even before that , there was a drone war that was conducted by ukraine quite effective. and i must say that i do not see any ideas in the russian military and political environment. how this parity can be destroyed. so it's a difficult situation. and it seems to me that this is exactly why the kremlin is now a bit under... it keeps and twists the gnotic, organizes throw-ins around the concept of a possible truce or peace, peace documents, peace negotiations, that is why the kremlin once again somewhat confirms the istanbul documents. here, of course, as i said at the very beginning, it plays a big role, surprisingly the brics summit in kazan, because before the october summit, putin already has to pretend to be a peacemaker, he has to constantly hint to the global audience that he is... in general for peace, constantly continue the game that it is kyiv that does not want peace, constantly appeal to some old
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documents, in particular those of istanbul, istanbul, but the so-called istanbul documents, let them not be ratified and even not signed, but the istanbul documents go against what putin voiced and what we call putin's ultimatum, and speaking of let's go back to this ultimatum again, it's about psychopathology, do you think the kremlin has any... scenario plan, that is, they follow some clear, i don't know , directive line, or they simply depend on the mood of their fuhrer, in general it is now clear that putin, on the one hand, has taken steps that clearly demonstrate that he is going to fight for a long time. this is primarily evident from the changes he made in the russian political and military leadership after the start of the new term. he showed with these permutations, that it is necessary to calculate the entire calculation of the war in a different way, because it will be
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long. hence all these economic changes in the economic bloc. it. one side, and he clearly shows it. the other side is that the kremlin does not have an answer to the question of how to proceed if the global alliance of support for ukraine is preserved and will strengthen and develop. this is a fundamental factor. putin and the kremlin always say that the war would have ended if the west had not supported ukraine. it is said with an insult, sometimes in an insulting tone, or in the tone of diplomatic exchanges. he gave up, changed his position, but it must be said, there is no such thing, it is clearly visible. on the contrary, if you look at what is happening now at the nato summit, the kremlin media will scream and curse, because at the nato summit
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in washington, which will take place in less than 10 days, it will be clearly demonstrated. that regarding the kremlin and its war against ukraine , long institutions of support have been created and will continue to be created, that is, all support is institutionalized, and regardless of who will be the president of the united states, which parties will win in european parliament, there are long documents voted in the us congress that will not change. regarding this, we can clearly see that the kremlin is churning its own with great energy, like a milk frog, to form sour cream. contacts with the third world, everyone can clearly see it, to cling to at least something, even to a small island state that seems to support the kremlin, to some international institutions, to some agreements with these countries, to offer something, but it must be said that the countries political regimes that openly and openly supported the kremlin on planet earth, i would
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said, besides north korea, we all have big doubts about iran and china. there is a great struggle going on, and by the way, returning to china, yes, and perhaps during this ostana conversation, xijin ping will very specifically voice his sacramental question to putin: putin, how long are you going to fight with ukraine, yes, because the chinese also have their plans for what is called continental cooperation, that is, the chinese measure not just in hundreds of billions, the chinese are now very dependent on keeping their entire bloated economy. there is an important point here: china will never enter into an alliance of direct struggle with the kremlin, but at the same time china is demonstrating to the kremlin. war, especially an aggressive war aimed at territorial conquest, is unacceptable for china. i have no doubt that china and turkey, as well as many other countries in latin america
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, are also ready to render some favor to putin in ending the war. but at the end of the war. and not in continuation on the terms of the ultimatum that putin put forward. however, there are no prospects for this now, because i think many people have asked putin, and he on the sidelines of this summit, erdogan also asked putin once again, saying that maybe you want to take some new steps, so we are ready to help, but putin's answer is obvious. no, everything is formulated in the ultimatum. if you fulfill what is in the ultimatum, trust me again. to where we started: no one has any prospects of conducting any diplomacy regarding the end of the war, and the fact that dozens of politicians on planet earth would like to receive the nobel peace prize for creating a structure for the end of this war, there is no doubt about it, everyone dreams of it. thank you very much, oleksandr, for this
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extremely interesting and informative conversation . i would like to remind our viewers that oleksandr was working for them from prague. i could not calmly look at what was happening here. observing the suffering of women and children, the suffering of families, the suffering of all. country i decided to go, i go to ukraine, join the international legion and try to do something. this is not afghanistan, this is not
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syria, this is completely different, this is the great war of the 21st century against an adversary that is superior you in all components. supply of equipment. and shells, that is the most important thing, and we are now paying for the long delay, because there has been no real effect of this aid on the front lines, so we continue to bleed because of this delay. peacetime does not give birth to strong people, this is the difference between ukraine and europe. if the ukrainians lose this war, the situation in europe will be radically different. i am a combat rescuer on the zero line or waiting for an evacuation call, i am
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a pilot in the reconnaissance and corrections team, i am the first number of the calculation 120 mm mortar, and it's like an orchestra, we coordinate everything and try to find. the enemy before the enemy finds our guys, life or death, in the russian-ukrainian war , there are many foreigners fighting in two armies, moreover, if on the russian side they are mostly people from africa and asia, then as part of the armed forces, fighters from europe, what made people from other countries exchange the comfort of home for trenches and shelling, what? foreign military think about western aid and the prospects of this war, this is about it today in the issue of donbas raalia. me my name is yehor loginov, congratulations.
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currently , several foreign units are fighting on the side of ukraine against the aggressor country. these are completely different people from different countries and with combat experience and without it, for example, before the start of a full-scale war, michael had no relation to the army, he worked at home, in belgium, at the post office. i could not calmly look at what was happening here, for several months i ruled with people who were already at war. in ukraine at that time, in particular with one french soldier, asked how i could help, and so i dared, in a week before leaving, i told my mother: i'm going to ukraine,
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i'm joining the international legion and i'm trying to do something, she was certainly not happy, it was really difficult to take action, and it's difficult now, including because there are no people in my country, belgium , with whom it would be possible to talk about this, about my work here, about my decision. i joined the international legion in august last year, i am ex-military, i served in the paratroopers for nine years. putin is acting unacceptable, he is like a little child who threw a tantrum that won't end yet he will not get what he wants. it must be stopped. i wanted to help ukraine as a soldier even after the annexation of crimea, but then it didn't work out. with the onset of full-scale war, watching the suffering.
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new trenches, changing positions. and they are better protected, later it became almost impossible to work with a gunner in this position, after that i was a grenade launcher, later joined to the group of drones, now i am a pilot of the bplao team of scouts and adjusters, we work with the guys in the field, we work with the artillery. by another drone team, the fpv team. and it's like an orchestra, we coordinate everything and try to find the enemy before the enemy finds our guys. i am the first calculation number of a
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120 mm mortar. our positions are in the forest and it is quite difficult, because of the heat and the artillery fire of the enemy there are big fires, if the wind rises, the flames cannot be controlled, we are fighting not only with the enemy, and with fire. andrew was in several wars, served in an anti-terrorist unit in northern ireland, fought in africa. the russian-ukrainian war is the worst he has ever seen. in northern ireland i was exposed to terrorism, a lot of ieds, a lot of sniper shooting, you are not fighting the military in front of you, fight with excuses, in mali it was different, hunting on the haram side, different tactics, and then i got to of ukraine, where we dug in and held positions, held the line under
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permanent... this is the most difficult situation i have ever found myself in. at the moment there is no advance, but i understand that the guys want to advance, for this we need more men and weapons. we lose guys in a day, in a week, it's really hard for us to pull ourselves together, but we have to find the strength, the motivation, give 110% for the guys who paid the ultimate price. a country like the usa really has a good experience of war, but they have no idea what this war is, it's not afghanistan, it's not syria, it's completely different, it's a big war 21 century against an opponent who surpasses you in all components. the time when it was possible to go on the offensive and advance 50 km deep into enemy positions in a day is over.
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the supply of equipment and ammunition is the most important thing. the event must not block or stop this process. this is one of the problems of democracy. there is always someone whose opinion should be taken into account, and he may simply refuse to help. and we are now paying for the long delay of the aid package in the amount of 60.1 billion, because the real consequences of this aid on the front lines have not yet been seen, so we continue bleed through this delay. any spare military vehicles, not just passenger cars, that are registered in the uk and are to be decommissioned should be sent here, be it a land rover
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110 or whatever. at the moment, i see people who, in command of battalions, companies, platoons, have to buy, collect money, beg, borrow cars in order to perform combat tasks, civilian cars are a waste, the amount of money spent on their repair is huge, these military cars to us needed the most, it would be helped a lot. but not only equipment, waiting at the front, people are needed, they also understand this in the west, but they can help only at the level of instructors. at least so far, this is how french president emmanuel macron initiated the creation of a coalition of countries that are ready to send their military instructors to ukraine and suggested that others, great britain, poland, the netherlands, the baltic states and scandinavia, do the same. at the same time , according to the information of the western press, the usa and germany did not support the initiative. the more instructors you bring here, the more.
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