lethal and maybe we will allow to strike deep into russian territory, not 100 km, 500 or 1000 km, so this will generally raise the stakes, but knowing, for example, putin, he will simply, i don’t know, conduct regular ballistic or tactical or non-tactical nuclear exercises weapons, after that we will be on the threshold of the caribbean crisis, after that everything will go down, the level of stakes and the level of aggression, but i fear that all this will happen at our expense. i just don't see that putin is ready to concede anything, maybe i'm wrong. returning to the comment of the ex-speaker of the polish senate, it should be noted that it does not completely cover the whole picture. the economy of the united states is not as large as that of the european union. the european union has a stronger economy. the problem is that member states have decided not to have large defense budgets like the united states. this is exactly what it says. "you have money, you just choose

not to spend it on defense because you rely on us and our own welfare to cover your defense needs. so, european union, you need to use more money to take care of your own defense needs. that's the whole argument. if the polish politician does not interfere with this, it means that he does not really pay attention to the political realities that will come after the election of trump. how would putin react to such a possible agreement, i agree that most likely this would be trump's approach, although we do not know, for sure, we can analyze what is happening now and what happened yesterday, but predict the future is very difficult, and yet, suppose that this scenario would be exactly this: yes, i agree that putin will make more threats with nuclear weapons, but i worry less and less that those threats will work. as my former atlantic colleague wrote.

"look at how putin is behaving in the black sea. ukraine, in fact, having no navy, destroyed or disabled a third of the black sea fleet and forced russia to withdraw such a large part of it from crimea back to russia that now naval experts in great britain they say that the black sea fleet is essentially no longer operational. putin threatened nuclear retaliation if force is used and attacks occur in crimea, but in the end he did what every bully does, gave up and retreated. i think there's no way he'll ever use a tactical nuclear weapon, he'll never use a serious nuclear weapon, but if he did use a tactical nuclear weapon, it would change everything. let's recall how bill burns, director of the cia, went to warn him about a year and a half ago that if russia used tactical nuclear weapons, the united states states will not stand aside.

there will definitely be some nato member countries that will step in and destroy the russian armed forces occupying ukraine, but that's not the scenario anyone wants to see, and i don't think we 'll ever get there, well, we're just seeing putin's hysterical rush , that is , if putin is in such a hurry, we can see it based on the situation on the front line, he does not spare people now and constantly drives them to attack in the donetsk direction, this means that putin wants to fit in his certain place. both literally and figuratively, that's it actually, what kind of deadline does putin have, i think the us presidential election is definitely an important milestone or marker for putin, i don't know if it is a specific deadline for him, but he really hopes that everything that we just talked about , will happen if donald trump is elected president, and then from his point of view, support for ukraine will be much less, and this will give russia more chances to escape. defeat, but there are also internal

uncertain terms, no one knows what is really happening, putin certainly does not know, but now, as the candidate in vice president jaydy vance in an article he wrote last february, russia produces more artillery shells and basic weapons than the united states and the eu combined. i mean it's about three or four times that. consequently, the us and the eu have allowed their defense industries to reduce capacity. investing in non-military defense, but we see that the situation is starting to change: first, german companies say, oh yes, we have to manufacture military products, weapons and artillery shells, then, as in the past, for german companies it is always was a sort of political taboo, meaning they stayed away from a military context because of germany's nazi past. so gradually american and european factories begin to produce more and more weapons. it will take some time, but russia is capable.

to produce so much ammunition and weapons because putin directed 6% of russia's entire gross domestic product to the defense sector. he reorganized the russian economy so that it was complete. military-oriented, and it can last a very long time. how long, who knows, but russian the people also suffer from the fact that they have much less money for health care, much less money for elderly care , much less money for education, and even a dictator like putin must not forget the possibility of revolution. there were many revolutions in russia. no, now russia is not on the verge of revolution, but he knows that he cannot continue. intensive militarization of the russian economy. every day that the entire russian economy is focused on the military is another day that moves russia away from opportunity to modernize its economy and acquire the technologies it needs to compete on the world stage after this

horrific invasion of ukraine is over. i don't know when this deadline will be in putin's head, or when this deadline will come in russian society, i don't know, but it definitely exists somewhere. god bless ukraine, god bless america. thank you very much, dear mr. ambassador bryza, for this brilliant conversation, and for this extremely important analysis on the air of the tv channel, i want to remind our tv viewers that matthew bryza was currently working for you, ex-state adviser of the united states, former director of european and eurasian affairs at the us national security council. glory to ukraine. glory as a hero. the sponsor of the national team represents. united by football, stronger together. verdict with serhiy rudenko. from now on in a new, two-hour format. even more analytics, even

more important topics, even more top guests. foreign experts, inclusion from abroad, about ukraine, the world, the front, society, and also feedback. you can express your opinion on a bad day with the help of a telephone survey, turn on and tune in, verdict with serhii rudenko, from tuesday to friday from 8 to 10 p.m. now the espresso tv channel will be aired by andrii piondkovskiy, a famous political scientist who is in washington. glory to ukraine andriy andreyovych, glad to see you. glory. well, an attempt on trump is much more serious than that. just one or another trick of the killer or the madman, we understand that this generally raises the problem of the internal reorganization of america to an unprecedented level, and trump's victory is already becoming a reality, although the current incumbent, joseph biden is holding up well, but in the united states

there has been another rather significant, symbolic casting, trump has already appointed to the post of potential vice president jaydy vance, and this fig... hurray, it just might indicate certain parallel lines voiced by the same viktor orban, that is, everything is extremely serious, and we see how actively putin is in a hurry. yes, you are right, this is a very important political event, a very important election indicator, trump's choice of vice president. we remember very well his activity in blocking aid to ukraine. he hates ukraine the most in the american congress. for the past five months, he has not left the television screens, from the meetings of the congress commissions, spreading all sorts of lies and hatred towards ukraine. about the fact that aid is stolen, that 20 parties are banned in the totalitarian state of ukraine, that prominent christian preachers

are imprisoned by the ukrainian authorities. it was he who influenced the republican fundamentalists, of whom there are quite a few in congress. and actually, he didn't add any ... mccall, rogers and turner on how to win ukraine. they sharply criticize biden for insufficient support for ukraine from the point of view of average voters, they never put pressure on trump to be against ukraine. for the overwhelming majority of trump supporters, ukraine doesn't exist at all, they hardly know where it is. in the person of the leaders i named, is very strongly in support of ukraine, so the appointment of this person shows how dependent trump is in this position, it is no coincidence that orban, trump, and now his new vice president,

vance, are a team that is working hard on plan for the surrender of ukraine, the so-called trump plan for 24 hours, is essentially putin's plan to force. we understand that the plan of presidential candidate trump is quite pro'. that is, he would roll out a certain ultimatum to our leadership and roll out certain proposals to the kremlin, and the key story is in our ukrainian case, it is a question of resources and support with ammunition, weapons and so on, what concerns russia, i don’t know, trump would would threaten something, yes, but it would mean that putin would de facto, simply raise the degree somewhat higher and could simply disagree, this is the plan that trump, if you believe the american journalists... voiced like this, well, this plan would be doomed, well, at least everything would be done at our expense, everything

is right, wrong, no, not so , because all these stories about how he will put pressure on putin are empty seasoning for the essence of trump putin's plan, and the essence is one - to fix real assets as much as possible, putin is pursuing this, he realized that the war he declared on february 24, 2022 ro... kyiv in three days and nato, take the money and get out of here, he lost this war, he needs to record some honorable draw, which he will sell to his deep people, and this honorable draw is the capitulation of ukraine and its territorial division. andrii andriyevich, the parameters, however putin would see it all, we understand that maybe no one will let him implement anything like that. well, the key story is putin's desire, but he himself, we see that he lied even in his false

signals about his readiness to talk about something there, that is, putin refers very often to the so-called istanbul talks, although he completely reshaped them to suit his ambitions, that is, now, when putin is talking about the so -called istanbul, and there are some unsigned istanbul agreements, but we understand that in the first version it was about something completely different, here now... he is trying to annex those territories which he did not capture and will not capture. this is an unprecedented peace proposal in world history. fix for me the territories that i did not capture. there is no way i can capture kherson and zaporizhzhia, so please give me kherson and zaporizhzhia. that's all chatter, but he hopes that trump will win and join his pressure on ukraine. now is the decisive moment. how the democratic party reacts, it has a chance to win the election from trump, this requires

a non-standard solution and a complete change of personalities and policies. it is obvious that with every hour, i watched in front of our air american tv in politics, biden is already becoming a laughing stock, everyone is demanding that he leave, the real scenario, they cannot understand, american democrats, what is needed is not easy. remove biden from the negotiations, he should resign as president, why? because then garis becomes automatically non -acting, she becomes president before the end of that term, and if she becomes the democratic candidate, she will have more opportunities and powers as president. do not forget that in the middle of the republican party , there is a lot of depth under the surface of the convention that is happening now. split. on the one hand, the trump, vance gang doing putin's bidding, on the other hand,

the three wonderful committee heads that we already mentioned, makol, rogers and turner, the authors of the plan for the victory of ukraine. i propose to publicize the plan published in washington in russian and english with the proposal: biden resigns due to health, garis takes the presidential oath and his first. by the way, it was the republicans who passed the law on military aid with a requirement for the administration to report to congress on its war plan in ukraine within 45 days. 45 days have passed, on his first day, harris must present the republican plan as the administration's plan. it straddle. imagine a democratic president presenting. the republican plan for the us's war in ukraine. this is a step towards the unification

of the political elite, and during her term of the presidency she positions herself with her political statements and military-political decisions as the leader of the free world, leading the fight against the regimes of terrorists and autocrats who have declared war. in particular, together with the french president macron , he coordinates the provision of a large number of aircraft. including those operated by western crews, which andrii's sociology suggests andriyovych or haris, has a sociological chance, yes, because, strangely enough, after the assassination of ... trump, anyway, sociology showed that he is starting to lead the current president biden by 1.5%, 1.5%, well, it's really a pittance, so i and i about it, it's not a matter of changing surnames, but of changing logic and policy, by adopting this republican program , it seems to renounce the biden policy of cowards. democrats must become

the party of victory in ukraine to win trump's election. because it is the weakest point the republican party, as i have already said, is divided between supporters of victory and supporters of putin's forced surrender. if the democratic party in the person of garis completely changes the program on ukraine, taking the republican program of mccall, rogers and turner, then as trump and vance will do, they are completely bound by their plan to surrender ukraine, and they will be strongly against it. and thereby finally discredit themselves as putin's agents. well, you know, there are two more indicators or manifestations of certain political processes, and they concern no only domestically american agenda . yes, certain global players are already saying this. extremely serious player elon musk made a multi-million dollar donation to

donald trump's campaign, right? well, we saw an extremely eloquent photo. with the recent british prime minister, the favorite of all ukrainians, johnson, this also means that a much bigger and broader game is being played. mask's position was well known, he was never a friend of ukraine. i will repeat once again that you can win in trump only by completely changing the concept of the democratic party regarding ukraine. biden, even after his press conference after the nato summit, continued his stupid statements about what is needed... in my opinion, he is the only person in the administration who continues to hold on to the ban on ukrainians from striking deep into russian territory. he began to think that moscow can be hit as well, as it is, and this is what he said the day after the terrible terrorist attack on kyiv, and strikes on ukrainian cities

are taking place every day. democrats have only one the way to avoid defeat is to force biden. to resign and nominate haris as president, who will choose an offensive position regarding the war in ukraine. moreover, this is not only a matter of the election campaign. in the few months that harris is president, he and macron can make a big difference on the battlefield if they take this decisive step. for the first time, zelenskyi named the exact number of planes needed. by the way, i kept saying that 200 planes are needed, but... why is this not a round number? specialists explained that calculated the number of squadrons that he negotiated with france, great britain and sweden, and 128 is the number of aircraft in the scenario where the french,

british and swedes transfer ready-made squadrons of 10-12 aircraft each. this is not a round number, but the most important thing is to overcome the last stupid red line, which macron called for. this is a red line imposed on ourselves, that only ukrainian pilots should be at the helm of planes. this requirement delays the f-16 transfer operation for two years. yes, there there will be a maximum of 40 ukrainian pilots who can participate in this action, and in order to change the course of the war. in order to throw the russian army out of crimea and thereby cause a deep political crisis in russia, 128 planes are necessary, i agree with zelensky. garis is the democrats' only chance to defeat trump and take a firm position to win the war in ukraine. to andrii andriyovych, a simple question,

that is, i understand your concept and your assessment of the current situation, but putin is in an extraordinary hurry even now. i.e. active in the heat of the moment the donetsk operation, 40° in the shade, the towering armored vehicles of the russian interventionists are now a little exhausted, that is, they are running out, they regularly throw in live force, so-called, which turns into dead force, this is just an indicator of that haste, putin is in an extreme hurry, that is, and if the difference here was only trump's arrival or not, he could drag this campaign, yes, but no, he is now... literally gasping hysterically, after all, this is putin's last chance before trump's arrival, nuclear blackmail has been defeated after a wonderful macron's response when putin threatened him with... nuclear weapons, he replied: don't forget, france also has nuclear weapons, and look how the tone of russian propaganda channels has changed. they

now threaten the west with completely different things. we will kill french and english pilots, we will shoot at airfields. of course, this plan to support ukraine by aviation assumes that french, british and swedish planes will be based at airfields. is trying to push for what he hopes is trump's victory when he will join the program of forcing ukraine to surrender, and then what, they were going to fix this putin's dream of fixation? on the ground, well, fixing, fixing, well, we already said how putin wants to fix the partition of ukraine? of ukraine? well, the european

union does not go for it, ukraine does not go for it. ursha fondern has now been re-elected as the head of the european commission. the european commission and all the european powers, well, those who represent, at least the european union, condemned viktor orban's voyage and said that no one gave him a mandate. no current western politician will now adhere to putin's plans for the division of ukraine. pay attention, let me remind you, two years ago, you remember, the same macron was the president then, macron, scholz and draghi came to kyiv. they came then with such a plan of truce, but they were met very properly. first, they were taken to bucha so that they could see the crimes of the russian military, and then they did not even dare this plan about... imagine what progress the consciousness of western politicians has achieved in these two years. no one will discuss this plan except for one person -

trump therefore, all the chances, all the hopes of putin for trump to come to power. the democrats can undermine this situation within the republican party by adopting the plan of the republicans as their program for achieving victory in ukraine. functional. viktor orban and the parameters that orban carried, that is, we understand that orban was in kyiv, orban was in moscow, orban was in beijing, and orban set foot on euro-atlantic soil. so, orbán's plan, what do you think was its main function? but what other functionality? orban was adopted by a well-known person in ukraine shahray mogilevich, back in the late 1990s, and moscow knows this well, he is completely in the hands of moscow. fulfills all putin's orders. the question arises, why does trump treat putin with such respect all the time, and why is he going to meet him now, carrying out

his dirtiest assignment, the organization of forcing ukraine to surrender. the same simple reason: it is clear that he depends on putin, what exactly one can only guess. do you remember the famous scene, the first summit between putin and trump in helsinki? they were together in one room for one and a half... hours, then they left, triumphant with putin and trump's huge carcass in a crushed state. he muttered something, repeated that he believed in putin and did not believe in his special services. putin showed him documents proving trump's complete dependence. so, this whole company that works for putin, trump, orbán, vance, works because of the fear of exposing trump and orbán. we understand what was in trump's pockets, well, if he burned so much aviation kerosene, well , then there were certain reasons for this,

what he was driving and what he tried to synchronize in beijing, moscow, and well washington, you have already hinted plus or minus. orban is an intermediary between putin and trump, in the sense that he is not just an intermediary who discusses something, brings messages, first of all, he is the second intermediary, trump all the time. communicates with putin, first he sent carlson to moscow as a mediator, and then putin sent him orban, so they agreed on the parameters of this plan, and orban already went to china on putin's behalf, to inform in beijing and ask for his support. but it is empty, everything will be decided on the battlefield, the democratic party can save itself, the united states and the world, not just. changing candidate biden to candidate harris, and radically changing the agenda, primarily in the ukrainian issue, using a very

strong move, taking the program. republicans, but not the trump-vance program, but the macaulay rogers turner program, the coming days will be decisive. and finally, andrii andriyevich, i would like to ask you, what should we do with such a seemingly marginal letter, but from medvedchuk to trump’s headquarters, where medvedchuk says that behind the assassination attempt on trump there is attention, laughter behind the scenes , laughter through tears, of course, but there is a ukrainian trace, that's how we are somehow. by the way, medvedchuk was activated by russian propaganda, in this whole program of pressure on ukraine, some new moscow hetman is needed. there were two applicants for this role in moscow, yanukovych and medvedchuk. it seems that in this phantom game of his, putin chose medvedchuk, who very organically fits into this project, but this project, whatever it is, no matter how

washington behaves, nobody. i would like to thank you very much andrii andriyovych for this extremely interesting and informative conversation with our tv viewers to remind that andrii pontkovskyi, a political scientist who is in washington, was currently working on espresso. well, the time of our program has run out, stay tuned to espresso tv channel, my colleagues will inform you about all the most important events of the day. take care of yourself and your loved ones, see you on the air. greetings, this is svoboda live on radio svoboda. we have already approached the serpent himself. the following shots may shock you. news from the scene. live kamikaze drone attacks. political analytics objectively and meaningfully. there is no political seasonality. exclusive interviews, reports from the hottest points of the front. shot!

our population has been left without medical care, that is, right now russia is building something there for the sake of the picture, fuck it, fuck it, that’s all, if i have nowhere to live, and they are rebuilding roads, a passport, a passport of the russian federation for the occupied donbas,

this... he doesn’t give all those rights, as for an ordinary resident of the russian federation, it's a horror, how to live and survive here, this is a gray zone, this is a gray zone, and this is a gray zone with an insane amount of weapons, that's what's left, that's what left from our location, a slipper, it's just some slipper from 3 o'clock in the morning, from 3 o'clock in the morning. military bases, total destruction and humanitarian disaster. you can learn about what is actually happening in the russian-occupied territories of donbass only from anonymous telegram channels, or directly from relatives and acquaintances who for some reason continue to live in the occupation. this is realia donbas and i am olya teribanska. today i will tell you about what the real russian world looks like. videos and photos that publish the occupation authorities and controlled media

demonstrate. to look at the tenth school, there it is, and in the summer of 22, all stakhanivites saw what was happening there. the school was completely occupied by the zsrf, and here is this site, the area nearby, it was all covered with equipment, that is, under every bush there were armored personnel carriers, along the urals, and they dug trenches here. along the apc, along the urals, they dug trenches here. artem karyakin, better known by the nickname eastern, lived for almost 8 years in the occupied kadiivka, formerly stakhanov, in the luhansk region, and

anonymously transmitted to the military. here are data on the movement of russian troops to zahopleny.