so what will happen next, what can we say about the last two or three months, which we, the leaders of our armed forces, and president zelenskyi predicted would be very difficult, well, look, the military can say what, in principle, is within their capabilities for voicing , but in order to understand or summarize the state of affairs today, we must at the strategic level analyze the concept that... this concept was voiced back in early 2012, it was called gerasimov's strategy, which led to the interstate conflict in beyond the limits of war, that is , the ratio of military and military methods of conduct were predicted as 4:1, that is, four - these are hybrid means, these are information operations, these are direct destabilization. it is in the economic sphere, it is

foreign policy active measures, and one is directly already, military intervention or the use of armed forces, and accordingly in the 14th year, what happened was that we witnessed the direct use of the armed forces of the russian federation in donbas, luhansk, further this concept was changed in 2019, it was actually changed to full-scale military operations. and which in current realities was first called a special military operation, then a special military operation, a special component, it is understood that it is conducted by the forces of special intelligence services, in various departments, let me remind you that a full-scale invasion of ukraine was planned by the ninth service of the fsb, and this is probably one of the few cases in military science, when a general military operation was prepared by special services, and in fact there was a lack of coordination. and whether very

the weak interaction of the russian troops, even the absence of a reverse movement on the approaches to kyiv indicated that this operation was being prepared secretly and was aimed only at the direct capture of the capital of ukraine and key cities and infrastructure facilities. at the same time, we must now understand that since the russian federation is militarily exhausted, i do not believe these brazen statements made by the russian general staff... their armies, forces, resources, means are spent, they now need the necessary time on recovery, and this time on the restoration will be an imitation of negotiations, where they form two main elements, this is the pre-negotiation position and directly the contractual position itself, i.e. before the contractual position of the russians there is a demand in ukraine to withdraw its armed forces from those territories that the russians have already announced, in accordance with their... legislative acts directly and

the territory of the russian federation, namely kherson, zaporizhzhya, donetsk, luhansk and regions. further, after that, if we talk about any discussion or the possibility of forming a contractual position of russia, it is still the maximum exhaustion of the russian federation of ukraine, the ukrainian troops, the maximum destabilization of the situation in the middle of the country and the implementation of active foreign policy steps in the external arena to... discredit the ukrainian military and political leadership, the hot phase of the war, it allegedly did not take place, but there is every reason to believe , that in the month of september we will have a critical escalation of the situation, because on the one hand the russians have already accumulated forces, which they will obviously pull up in the direction of pokrovsk, they will be waiting for us behind pokrovsk heavy fighting, because there are only 30 km from pokrovsky to the border with dnipropetrovsk oblast, and you are...

the exit to the administrative border of donetsk, dnipro oblast, it will be such, you know, a populist or political step in order for the russians to say that they have achieved certain at least a whole, which i think, at the expense of this year, then the most difficult period for us will be the period of this inter-election period, when the elections will be held in the united states in early november. but the inauguration of the drive until the inauguration of the president will take place in autumn 2025. during these 2.5 or three months, the russians will make every effort to take all active measures to destabilize the situation in ukraine, internally, and which will be combined with active military actions, attacks on ukrainian infrastructure facilities, missile attacks, etc. we must prepare in principle for an equally difficult situation in the axis. winter

than was predicted in summer. thank you for this difficult forecast, but warned, armed, yes, they say, september can. be a really difficult month, mr. baranov, i have a question for you, well, i know and understand that you are now more engaged in recruiting, searching for personnel who will later become officers, will study to become officers of the armed forces of ukraine, but nevertheless, if we analyze the line front, what do we need to restrain this slow, but nevertheless, in some places along this movement of the occupying forces of the russian federation, there by 1 km to several. landings, on destroyed settlements, in which 20-30 people could live there before, but not less movement, well, look, i want to start with the fact that partner countries, yes ours, here is a dear replenishment, starting with ammunition,

ending with planes, or it is tanks, or it is there and what else, dear equipment, it will always affect dynamic situation in a better condition for our state, this is the first, yes, the second replenishment. er, let's say this, of the armed forces of ukraine, er, er, motivated, er, servicemen who will fulfill their tasks for the protection of our state. i understand very well that now this problem is very, shall we say, critical, because since the beginning of the war, the 22nd year there , maybe the 23rd year there, yes, there were still many, let's put it this way, i don't even... i say, these are willing, and there were many people who really went to defend their state, there were, let's say so, enough of them, yes, from the first time, yes, but already in this very 24th year, we see that the replenishment has weakened a little bit, and therefore

it is necessary, let's say so, to renew it with fresh forces , yes, the personnel, giving those who are already there three years at the front, giving them a break of some kind, so that they ... perform their tasks in full also by the superior forces, this is about armaments and replenishment of the armed forces of ukraine, about deterring the invasion of muscovy, well, i want to tell you something that only with ours, let's put it this way. i don't want to say this word, but with our confident actions, and motivation and the preservation of the nation and the preservation of our lands, we can restrain it in any case, and

no more actions there, they will not affect our state, well, in short, that i will say, taras tetskiv, about the international... situation, it seems to me that one of the most important, one of most important events and one of the most important aspects of this summer, which i don't know if it turns this chessboard upside down or if it seriously changes the balance of power and the arrangement of pieces on it, is that joseph biden decided for himself not to run, he passes kamala harris ahead, in whose ratings even seem to be increasing, and according to... which survey she can be ahead of donald trump. for ukraine. which means, if true, harris can beat trump, or he can't, but it will force the competition in a different context than it was from joseph biden. well,

biden's decision in terms of the american election simply put the initiative in the hands of harris, and harris may indeed win the election. so far, the initiative is on her side. as for ukraine, well... you see, colleagues, it seems to me that biden's strategy regarding the russian-ukrainian war was outlined in this studio. this is a simplified strategy for managing escalation in order to prevent the risks of a nuclear conflict between nato and russia, and ultimately to bring ukraine to the negotiating table. this is a negotiation strategy. deep from my point of view wrong strategy. because the strategy of not letting ukraine lose means that ukraine has already lost. it's not math, it's arithmetic. what might trump's strategy be if he wins the election? trump does not have a clear strategy for the russian-ukrainian war, but from his statements it can be assumed that he thinks something like this: i will call putin when i become president, i will tell him, you

are taking part of the territories, crimea, donbass, i am not taking ukraine into nato, but you're turning your back on china, that's how trump thinks, i think it's complete nonsense, but... but trump must go this way, that is , there are risks for ukraine both there and there, and i do not know today what is better, the predicted camila harris, who will continue biden's policy, or the unpredictable trump. who, according to some american analysts, in the event of a failure of talks with putin, could become the second reagan, when he sees that he does not agree with putin, what does this mean for us? and this means good for us then, only we don't know if it will happen and when it will happen, because it is time for us, and time for us like gold, it can reach that point in six months or a year, we, we will have to hold on, now we are taking ukraine, if in the performance of the ukrainian leadership, the negotiating rhetoric is a tactical step. well, such a maneuver to show that ukraine is ready for various options, then it is not terrible, but if it is

a change of strategy, then it is a way to become a slippery road that will end in disaster. i will explain my position: we need to understand who we are dealing with, as vitaly portnikov aptly said, we are not dealing with marshal zhukov, but with marshal beria, putin is beria, and therefore the kagibi approach to negotiations is that putin never considers negotiations as a... way to solve a problem, he considers negotiations from the point of view of gaining time for himself personally, which is the first goal, and the second more important goal for him, these negotiations are to dismantle ukrainian society from the inside, i want to explain how it will happen: suppose, by the end of the year, we are inclined to negotiate under the pressure of western mediators. ukraine sits down there with mediators at the negotiating table. how are they happening? negotiations begin. and then the ukrainian society is immediately divided into two unequal parts: those who are in favor of

negotiations, and those who are in favor of an uncompromising continuation of the struggle until the end, the latter will be less. then putin negotiates for a long, long, long time, drags, drags, drags, and in the process of these negotiations, those who are for peace begin to divide further. what compromise can be reached, giving putin only crimea, or maybe crimea and donbas, or maybe neutral status, nato not nato, that is. then this side breaks down even further, and then at a certain point when putin respects, he withdraws from these negotiations, declares ukraine a non-negotiating country, and then ukrainians will be divided once again, because some will accuse president zelensky that he conducted the negotiations incorrectly. this is where putin's goal is, his goal is not to negotiate, but to destroy us from the inside, and in the process of these negotiations, what is happening is a massive demobilization of ukrainian society from a mood for... the continuation of the struggle to a mood for peace, and when there is no way out of peace , then at the exit we find ourselves in

a much worse position than we were at the entrance to the beginning of negotiations, and whether zelenskyy, having entered this slippery road, will then be able to re-mobilize ukrainian society for the struggle, this is where a huge question arises, he does not mobilize, and therefore i believe that this is a trap, this is the biggest trap, if we go to this negotiation process, we are dealing with a kagibist, and therefore, in my opinion, this is my call to, i hope that zelenskyi and his entourage understand this danger, i understand that the room for maneuver for zelenskyi has greatly narrowed now on in the third year of the war, because no they give enough planes, they don’t give this, they don’t give this, they don’t give that, people are exhausted, people are tired, every day fighters are dying and we are retreating, not advancing, and therefore in this matter to maintain this and that narrow line between negotiating rhetoric and entering into real negotiations are very difficult. because i assure you, if it is easy to enter into negotiations, but it is very difficult to get out of them, because if we sit down to negotiate with

russia, for example, with three or four mediators, then later these mediators will dictate to us those conditions that are not beneficial to us, which are beneficial to them, and the only point in theory that i would think, purely in theory, is possible where negotiations would end the war, that's just one case where the united states of america, britain, the european union, china, and then the global south, reach agreements and give russia an ultimatum. now tell me, what is the probability of this scenario? but close to zero, close to zero. so what are the negotiations? therefore, the only possible, difficult, very, very painful strategy for ukraine is to stand where we stand now, keeping the front line constantly hot by striking out where we can. of russians, manpower in equipment, this is the only possible strategy, to stand where we stand, the more, the stronger

we stand, the closer the victory, and most importantly, in a war of attrition, the key importance is not only how the front stands, how long it holds the rear, because if the rear falls, the front will fall, so our key task today is to maintain the consolidation of ukrainian society and its union with the ukrainian authorities at all costs. bad ukrainian government, if this union is broken and more the ukrainian society will be divided, and the negotiations will divide the ukrainian society, we have an end, we will come out of these... negotiations with capitulation, this is the danger i would like to draw attention to, and why i am so acutely asking questions about these negotiations, i perfectly understand , what is the other alternative, but if we go down this path, then we become a tearful path that will lead us to defeat, so the negotiations, and we have to endure it, we

just have to endure it, the west will sooner or later be convinced that the negotiations with putin is are impossible, mr. podlesny, how can you not split them? into ukrainian society, you know, taras tetskyv says that negotiations can really, let's say, not electrify ukrainian society, it seems to me that it is becoming less electrified little by little, especially permanent sociologies, different sociologies that cause a great discussion, and even there were such questions, and it seems to me that it is quite logical or even appropriate to conduct during a full-scale war. sociology in a country where it is full-scale, or the retion of a few bloggers, millionaires, who have a large audience after the ochmatite rocket, saying that let 's sit down, this whole horror must end, well, it sounds good, and in the comments there are simply a lot of people who also seem to support it, but that's what we're talking about here , it is normal to solve the problem,

to solve the problem with words, that is, in negotiations it is better than. war, because then they don't die, but i am completely in solidarity with taras stetskov here, we can walk into a trap here, and in order for this trap to open and then close, russia will do countless of these hybrid steps that will polarize society, they are doing it, here the question is first of all for the authorities, how to prevent this polarization and this tension. there are tools for this , unfortunately, they are not used, in particular, when there is a question of mobilization, demobilization, all kinds of people are running around the cities and villages conducting trainings on how to fight mobilization, well, there are already announcements of such people, lawyers who provide services, such people should actually be stopped, and

our relevant special services can do this, on the other hand. this polarization is involved in many ways, including the biden administration, unfortunately, you know , one ukrainian politician, stetsky's colleague mykhailo kosiv, has a very good phrase: he who gives on time gives twice as much, we were not given on time what the industrious asked for, we are not given in the quantity that we ask for, accordingly, our position in the international arena in the... battle is weak, therefore, if we were given what we need and allowed to hit the targets that we consider it expedient to strike as in the occupied territories, as well as in the depths of russia, the situation would be completely different, unfortunately, we are dependent on western weapons, which are given in doses, so this also contributes

to polarization, but returning to... the main thesis here is the information field, if the information field steer in the right direction, there won't be polarization, believe me, but if we allow voices like those you mentioned for ohmadit or those who run and fight against mobilization, well then there will be polarization, but steps that can prevent all this... and ensure another result, they are in power, and i would also like to add that my colleagues are saying very correct things, absolutely, the work of the ukrainian diplomatic service should be much more aggressively tolerant, i will call it that, because today some representatives of our state are very weakly traveling there

, doing something there, negotiating something, and a big there is no large-scale work, i mean. it should be informative, we don’t take, let ’s say, for the west of europe, we take our close neighbors, you go to them, look, society, people have already forgotten, almost forgot that we are at war, it is literally 60 km from from ukraine and that's all, people are already fighting somewhere there, it is not known where, what is being done, there is no information about what is being done in our country, and our diplomatic corps must work aggressively, tolerantly, aggressively, i am not saying to quarrel with someone there, but to remind. .. to talk every day about what we need, not only the representatives there, which are our representatives from the military department, there are weapons and other things, but to work ... information as much as possible, you understand, and demand from our partners, demand, as well as in the un, i respect very much ours representative at the un, he is a very competent and

tolerant diplomat, but you can't talk like that there, you need to talk more aggressively in the un, the same in nato, the same in the european union, you understand, this is our position, that we are very so neat that we won't offend anyone, it doesn't... it doesn't work today, it doesn't work, and we just go, ask, ask, not ask, but demand, if possible, i'll add here, but we had one mistake so, we were stymied by the fact that we have bipartisan support in the us congress, and didn't work with other teams, and that was the problem, and i think this is my belief, maybe subjective, trump would be much better for us, because under the administration of... year under the administration of democrats obama biden crimea was taken from us

and now biden is giving little by little instead of giving something to solve the issue, i just want to finish, i want to take advantage of the fact that we are on the air, live, after all, in administration of the president, in the office of the president, the president should today look at the ministry of foreign affairs from a different angle. what the head of the office suggested, to conduct diplomacy in such a private, well, such a limited perspective, is good, there are no questions, but still diplomats, we have a lot of powerful diplomats, they must be included in the work, they are not working, today everything stopped, and this is the truth, unfortunately, and these are also actions not in our favor. olena trygub, how to get involved, after all, you also spent your time, well, from your side, from your own. diplomatic initiatives work, well, it’s really true, by the way, our embassies have a very small number of full-time employees, they have

very little capacity, in many countries our ambassadors are not proactive, but rather passive, so they simply live in another country, yes, well, i'm like a boy's mind, well, they are not such active ambassadors, that's why they are really ukrainians. civil society in our country is hyperactive , including at the global level, so i, as the head of a public organization, also joined this movement and have already visited korea, and in america, and in italy, and in germany, because there is no informational work at all, and high-ranking generals there in south korea asked me if we have our own language, because they did not know that... we speak ukrainian talking and asking me, they did not know that russia started the war in the 14th year, they did not know this either, you can imagine how much

information is lacking, this is a country where the war is a little closer than in european countries, well, how much closer, the feeling and the breath of war survives, this is a strategically important country for us, south korea, because they are the fifth arms exporter in world and they are a competitor of the usa, they produce there, they also have their own. a korean javelin and a korean stinger, which we could theoretically buy from them even cheaper than in america, but they are still afraid to sell it all to us, but at least in terms of information , we should be sure that they are on our side to have these conversations with them , so i agree, we have a very modest diplomacy, modestly funded, really few people, and we are leading, we are now engaged in a global war, and therefore now every... citizen of ukraine, even if they are not diplomats, but they have access to the media of the world, to western societies, we see it, and our ukrainian students work hard, and writers

and musicians, but really you are right , our president, he should also solve this so that the diplomatic corps works properly, and not just society. mr. andreykiv, did you want a thesis, please? i spent a few minutes before the end of my expesuval, to my friends, and when we were putting my suitcases into my friend's trunk at the bengurion airport, i saw that he had a plate carrier, a bulletproof vest, a fairy tale in his trunk. and shoes, i was surprised to ask if he is currently in the army, he said no, he is a reservist, and the same thing happens with people who work as doctors, people who work in offices, they have been living in a state of war for a very long time , and even having no... significant experience of reservists or training or service in the army or law enforcement agencies are not always ready, so in my car, despite the fact that i am not currently serving, there is always

a bulletproof vest. and a first-aid kit, and my wife, who works as a doctor, has the same thing, which i am talking about i'm talking, i'm talking about subjectivity, if each of us will be a subject of this war, to realize that he has not only declaratively there or even at the level of volunteering, to count that he has fulfilled his duty, it is quite disingenuous and wrong, because the war affects everyone, and it should affect everyone in a practical way, to the point that everyone should be ready at any moment ... to put on a bulletproof vest, a fairy tale and a rafter and take up arms, this is the first , to which i lead, i lead to subjectivity, you know, this rhetoric, honestly saying, it is critically negative for me, for the zadonat people, for the anglo-saxons, for our western partners, help, but who are we, what do we want, what can we do, what are our strengths, listen, we were the sixth arms exporter in the world, therefore a return to internal subjectivity, the formation of an understanding that...

no matter what this war was, no matter how it ended, everyone is a participant in this war and the state will win when there is an internal belief that it must win ours, every citizen himself itself, in its line, in its weakness, in its information bubble, so to speak, this war continues, it will go on for a long time, and the conscious participation of each of us is needed. thank you, we have to finish, taras tetskiv, we finish on espresso. 23:00 we say to all viewers unconventionally , see you next week, we are going on a short summer break, this is two weeks on august 22, the planned return of the project says velikiy lviv on the air of the tv channel and our youtube, says velikiy lviv, why do i say planned, because we live in such a time , what if it turns out like this events, that we will make a decision to gather in this studio and discuss all the important events that

will take place, then we will definitely do it and will go out in an unscheduled format, at the same time on the youtube channel, the great lviv is speaking, our daily streams will continue, where our journalists will be analyze all the most interesting events and will talk with the most expert guests, thank you for your attention, thank you, take care! the book women at war is a joint project of the espresso tv channel and duhi litera publishing house, a book based on reports

the presenter of the espresso tv channel. christina parubiy. 20 stories, 20 fates, 20 women who defended the country. the book is dedicated to women who chose the path of fighting the enemy in the ranks of the military. women at war, search in bookstores of ukraine. with the support of the kostyantyn zhivago charitable foundation. there are 15% discounts on linex forte until independence day in pharmacies plantain bam until savings. national tv on mego is many channels. there are a lot of channels, as well as movies, cartoons, series and favorite shows. enable megogo on various devices without unnecessary wires and antennas. and that's all it is from uah 49 per month. there are discounts until independence day on templegin 10% tablets at podorozhnyk, bam and ochadny pharmacies. allergy as if leo will overcome ci3lev. c3 neo protects against the most common allergens. there are discounts until

independence day on the cor. 10% in travel bam pharmacies and savings. an unusual look at the news. good health and gentlemen, my name is mykola veresin. sharp presentation of facts and competent opinions. for example, if mykola veresin had done so, he would have gone to prison. a special look at events in ukraine, so needless to say, that the fish rots from the head. no, not off the top of my head. and beyond its borders, who then is china, my heart aches. all this in an informational marathon with mykola veresny. saturday 17:10, sunday 18:15 at espresso. the verkhovna rada regularly passes new laws, but how do these changes affect our lives? we have analyzed the new resolutions to inform you about the latest changes in ukrainian legislation, as legislative norms.