had harris as the official candidate for president, well, let's just say, they are not completely accurate for us for one simple reason: we still haven't seen her team, we still haven't seen her vice president, we haven't seen her clearly formed certain strategy in the foreign politics, not in domestic politics, and therefore one way or another, but so that we understand that the polls give a clearer result, that the poll is really created on the basis that the people who are polled, they ... know what this candidate will do, what are his views on certain problems of domestic and foreign policy, then you and i will be able to clearly say that mr. harris or mr. trump are ahead of each other by such and such percentages, and this is indeed verified leadership. at the moment, we are rather talking about a trend, but the trend that is emerging is very interesting. kamala haris was able to gain such a percentage of american support in just three weeks of the campaign, at least in the context of the prevailing trend. the previous year of

the pr and political technology company of donald trump, and has the same working hours joseph biden's company, which tells us that it's not so much about harris specifically, it's not so much about who she is and what she represents, it's about whether she represents change, her last name is not biden or trump, she is a young politician who will change the establishment, and accordingly such an increase in her rating indicates to us not only her success, but rather that... there is a demand for young leadership, mr. alexander, and how do careless statements affect kamala harris's chances in general , i don't know if here about caution, or is it about the sincere, you know, internal such firmware and opinion of the leader from the republicans, donald trump, when he resorts to such rhetorical figures as generally analyzing the color of her skin, for example, or her positioning? himself, when he

goes into language about the religious affiliations of americans, how it all affects the race in general, you know, for those who are already ready to vote for trump, for his nuclear electorate, it reaffirms why he should be the president, because this is how he is remembered in in the 16th year, he hunted before this: i am an honest man, that's exactly the wording, i will talk to you openly. yes i'm a billionaire, yes i didn't pay taxes, i cheated the system, but i'm honest about it, i'm not like these washington suits sit and tell you how to live, i'll honestly show you how you can become as rich and successful like me, and what he allows himself now, what in america is called racial slur, i.e. derogatory racist rhetoric, what he allows himself to treat himself with such pathos, but when he humiliates his own opponents and also...

appeals to religious topics, and appeals are not always quite successful, it should be said, it simply shows that he is running a campaign on his own behalf, he is not trying to win new voters, he is not trying to please those who does not support him at the moment, he is sure that he will have enough votes from his electorate, he is sure that they will vote for him, because it is him, and that means he can say whatever he wants, he does not need to make excuses, but nevertheless, it means , which is unlikely to be him maybe i will to listen to the voices of those who would otherwise waver, because if we are talking about the united states and americans in general, issues of color, skin, religious preferences, these are very sensitive topics, and to go so far in using, again, these rhetorical figures, as donald trump came in, it's unlikely to reflect so well on his ratings, again among the undecideds, or for...against him, right?

absolutely true, you are right, he, i think, he realizes that he is not will be able to win over these people, these people are already giving their votes to kamala harris, because she represents them first of all, not by skin color or ethnicity or something, she represents their request, their request for a different leadership, for a leadership that neither trump, nor biden, she represents what they want to see in american politics: youth, determination, initiative and inclusion, so... trump really, well, he just, let's say, physiologically has no chance to fight for this audience. trump's logic is slightly different. let's remember how he won in 16th year. in '16, he lost the national vote by several million votes, but he won in key states, and he won the necessary amount of support in the electoral college. and in fact, now trump's bet is precisely to win a sufficient part of the support of the electoral college. it doesn't matter to him that there are five conditionals. 8-10 million americans

support kamala harris more than trump, he doesn't care that independent voters wo n't vote for him, he could care about winning key states, and plus, let's say he seems to me... to analyze the statistics well, because let's not forget that the electoral college is 78% more represented by the generation of donald trump than by the generation and groups represented by kamala harris, so he is hoping not only to win in key states, he hopes that he can eventually appeal to voters and create a so-called electoral college rebellion when they vote differently than their states did. vice president...under kamala harris or on kamala harris's team, whichever is the first, considering all the candidates, now the most likely, how it might affect the chances of the democratic nominee and whether it might in any configuration affect the chances of donald trump. you know, it's pretty

easy to say here, because of the five key candidates, they all have a few key things in common, they're all white men. middle-aged, plus or minus older, with a lot of experience in federal politics, with a lot of experience in local politics, most of them either affiliated with the jewish lobby or part of the jewish minorities in the united states, most of them represent, or rather all of them represent the moderate wing of the democratic party, and this is key for kamala, after all , she still has a train of socialism behind her, she is still a representative of more left circles. of the democratic party, those who call themselves progressives, well, according to european political parameters, this is what we called social democrats. and therefore, in order to unite the party around itself, so that there really was no question about its impartiality, she a vice-president who will represent the very center of the party is necessary, necessary.

accordingly, this was one of the reasons why kamala hari once became the vice president. biden, who is the informal leader, just the centrists in the democratic party, needed someone who would appeal to the youth and... appeal to the progressives, that is, to the left wing, and kamala harris was just the one to bring the socialists and progressives to biden's side, now she has to beat this situation the other way around, and in relation to trump, well, you know, it's not so much a question as much will kamala's vice president help, as the question is, how much is trump's vice president sinking his ratings now, because usually vice presidents are what they call a sweetener, a switner, that is, he will show the president from a more positive side and... has to appeal to a different group of voters and help the candidate win more votes, and now we see that jaydy vance's anti-rating within the republican party is minus 6%. that is, we are no longer talking about other voters, even within our own party, far from jdv the most popular, so in fact

, i think trump will be hindered most by his own vice president. well, actually, mr. vance didn't really hide his views on donald trump, it's just that. a little earlier, i wonder why, why something changed and why donald trump himself could forget about it. mr. oleksandr, thank you for the high-quality analysis, as always, oleksandr kraev, director of the north america program of the ukrainian prism foreign policy council, an americanist, and of course we will always return to the topic of the latest events of the pre-election race in united states, because it affects the whole world, and it directly affects us. a short pause on the air now and we will continue. there are 15% discounts on trok sevazinel until independence day in pharmacies plantain you and save. when you sleep on an uneven surface, the spine takes the wrong position, because you cannot

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at espresso. hundreds of thousands of square meters of damaged property, apartments, houses that need to be rebuilt. about the situation with recovery in different regions of ukraine. about the rights, opportunities and personal experience of people. this is what olga's house looked like last year, and this is what it looks like now. i am not spending money at the moment. however, how to unite the country in the process. restoration in the project of the urban reconstruction and development program, every saturday at 18:30 at espresso. journalist who joined the armed forces, political expert who became a special agent, taras berezovyts in a new project on espresso. the real front is a thorough analysis of the main events. reports, comments of leading specialists and experts. analytics from the head of the armed forces. how to understand disturbing news and distinguish truth from hostile

propaganda. the real front program by staras berezovets every saturday at 21:30 on espresso. we continue the saturday political club. don't worry, an analyst from vitaly portnikov is waiting for you in the near future, who will join very soon. well, for now we have the opportunity to talk with experts about those events that can change the situation in certain regions on the world map, a little more detail about the near east in the next few minutes. let me remind you that these days things were restless in iran, well , first of all, because literally on july 30 , he was sworn in there after early presidential elections, after the death of the previous one. of president raisa masud pezeshkiyan, and in the context of these events,

ceremonial events, the unexpected happened, although, for whom, actually israel reached out, reached out and quite effectively to one of the political leaders of the terrorist hamas, whose network is still based in the gaza strip, and that is why the operation continues. of the israel defense forces in this sector, in particular for the liberation of its own citizens and hostages. mykhailo yakubovych, orientalist, candidate of historical sciences, researcher at the oriental studies department of the university of freiburg in germany, is in touch with us. mr. mykhailo, i congratulate you, glory to ukraine. glory to the heroes, good evening. a clear precedent, the destruction of the leader of hamas in tehran. and that. this is a very point elimination that israel has succeeded in. the first

question asked, in particular by the common man, how will this affect the effectiveness of the terrorist group hamas? well, first of all, israel did not directly take responsibility for this action, although whether only israel was there, or whether other parties did not help, is a question. it happened here, by the way. this is at the time when ganya came to the inauguration of the new president of iran, which is also quite interesting, by the way, because his positioned by some iranian circles as such a reformer, people... who will enter into a dialogue with the west, actually put the new iranian president in such a position that he immediately has to start with what raisi ended, i.e. talk about the need for a tough policy, answers the struggle with israel, the struggle with america, that is, in essence, the iranian elite

took advantage of the fact that the new president was immediately placed in the place that he was assigned , israel, by the way, played well with him in this. if to talk about gania, then gania arrived in qatar and they are burying him in the same way in qatar, he arrived from qatar and they are burying him there. in qatar , israel would obviously not want to do this, as it would not want to spoil relations with arab countries, but to be honest, ghannia has already got many, like hamas himself, and the saudis, and the emiratis, and the qataris. for many, this situation in the gas sector is, relatively speaking, a big problem that they want to end, and on the one hand, israel continues negotiations, not agreeing to hamas' terms, even today the delegation arrived in cairo again for negotiations, that is, hamas, which is very interesting, did not withdraw completely from the negotiations, and if from a position of strength it would be worth doing it, well, how do you kill our leader and then

negotiate with you here, that is, we see that even the other day , israel conducted a lot of successful operations, that is, when... netanyahu declared that hamas would be destroyed as an organization, many people expressed doubts about it, they said that it would not be possible to completely destroy it, there would be some kind of compromise somewhere. nevertheless, netanyahu is not without the help, of course, of his western partners conducts this policy, it is difficult to predict what will happen next, but obviously now the situation will shift a little from the gas sector to lebanon, because i take into account... whether the latest reports and the iranian response will be through lebanon, and there are already calls for citizens to leave beirut, and in the north of israel, a huge evacuation of the population was carried out and continues to be carried out, and that is, this confirms the predictions expressed by some analysts that a huge, large-scale conflict with

lebanon is being prepared for the fall, when israel has managed to do a lot to weaken hamas in the gaza sector. to defuse the situation there, then now, well, the time has come to give a proper response to hezbollah, hezbollah is also preparing for this conflict, that is, we can wait for the opening of the second front, although whether the hostilities there will reach the scale of 2006 with such full-fledged airstrikes on the south of lebanon, well, this is also a question, although in the future, if not in the next month, then in a year, i think, this is quite possible. vati, because without removing the threat from hezbollah, it is unlikely to talk about any kind of security in israel, well, it is unlikely to talk about any kind of security in israel is it possible, and even more so, strikes on lebanon, they will be perceived very differently than strikes on the gas sector, even in the arab public, because the hands of hezbollah, it does not

have as many supporters in the arab countries as hamas had, because hamas - this is such a sunni movement that... was connected with the muslim brothers, here it turned out that, well , the palestinians, the indigenous population of the region, who are acting against the occupation, that is, the narrative looked relatively attractive, there were some iranian advisers, shiites, fanatics, who came to lebanon, deceived the locals, it is not clear why they are attacking israel, that is , from the point of view of, for example, saudi arabia or the united arab emirates, in principle... it is possible to calmly drain and there will be no special protest, even if we are talking about north africa and those countries so that's why, in principle , such a moment has come, again the question is how israel's allies will react, specifically joe biden, who is now withdrawing from affairs, we can see this, because trump's policy was declaratively more

anti-iranian, and he is now demonstrating that they say, if he was there, hamas would have fallen, well, these are well-known propagandistic theses, and somewhere the israelis are also obviously waiting for the american elections, in this case, even when we see that biden withdrew from the elections and the coming of trump conditionally became more realistic on the horizon, and netanyahu is a bad supporter of it, then israel significantly, well, so to speak, pressed the gas, and began to carry out successful operations in yemen and lebanon. operation, apparently gaining the support of some american circles, and we see that this gave a new signal to the possibility of escalation, well, the issue of... the return of the hostages has been delayed for an indefinite period, because as we can see, netanyahu still does not agree to the terms of hamas. this is roughly the situation now.

regarding the definition of escalation, it seems that before, before this powerful blow, joseph biden called on netanyahu to be more careful, to stop the escalation, and it could even be a question of limited aid from the united states. if the israeli leader does not heed these very subtle but sure counsels. at the same time, the un secretary general considers the elimination of pro-iranian hoodlums in beirut and tehran, as a dangerous escalation, it is interesting, well, besides, i do not know if our viewers and listeners noticed it, but... on july 30 , the inauguration of the new president of iran was attended by a rather high-ranking diplomat from of europe, the european commission sent its

representative there, and actually many people were a little surprised by this, but is this normal in this situation, according to the spokesperson of the european commission peter stano, actually we... need to adhere to the policy of critical interaction, mr. mykhailo, or is this situation normal , or in principle, we simply see and observe certain ceremonial things? i think that from the point of view of the european union, this is quite normal. even this last exchange, when putin's killer was returned from germany, was calm in principle, although germany could react in this way to the murder of even another citizen. with the russian killer, as iran is now trying to react, it is basically the same situation, but the person was deported and, well, it turned out that it is possible, so when we

hear that dialogue with russia is impossible there, it a terrorist state, there can be no negotiations and so on, well, things like that, they put this narrative into serious doubt, because there is a real policy and a rational calculation, if we talk about iran, then diplomatic relations with the iranians are maintained, for example, the biden administration took some restrictions introduced by trump, for example, trump did not let iranians into the united states at all, he did not even open visas for scientists, in fact, i have colleagues who could not leave iran because of such events, despite the fact that people are allegedly not connected to the regime, but also we see the european union, he still believes that there may be some kind of agreement in the future about what iran does not do. after all, nuclear weapons, and we buy cheaper oil, and iran is constantly speculating on this, and the european union does not want iran to finally slip to such

a satellite shared between china and russia, and the iranians themselves do not want this, in they have a very long history of dialogue both with israel and with the west, you can recall the events 7-8 years ago, when iran dispatched its military to fight against edil, which, by the way, europeans... were encouraged in every way and in fact, when, for example, mosul and the north of iraq were liberated from edil in this way, there were a lot of iranian troops there, and the bombing was carried out from the north by the americans and members of the coalition, in fact they were allies, which led to the preservation of the regime bashar assad, and there are many such questions, by the way, about iraq, in general , iraq is trying to balance successfully between the west and iran, that is, these relations, according to him... european diplomacy did not cross red lines, even, let's take the question the supply of iranian weapons to russia, well , except for these shahids, which are already produced by

russia itself, well, in principle, iran throws something in there from time to time, but it is not weapons of the level of ballistic missiles. also, for example, the russians produce many of their weapons using israeli technologies and others, and no one says that israel supplies them. arms to russia, so the issue here with iran and sanctions is very ambiguous, and unfortunately, european diplomacy here in many respects shows the same amorphousness as it shows even in the matter of the russian invasion of ukraine, that's why here we europeans still believe that it will be possible to come to an agreement with iran very calmly and easily, and this agreement with iran is future, it is even more realistic than the agreement there. with russia, because iran still, well, formally, until now it did not attack anyone, directly only worked through a proxy, and the israeli attack was successful,

there was an attack on israel. was successfully repelled and resembled, to be honest, rather, well, such, you know, a controversial show off, rather than a real blow. mr. mykhailo, thank you for this quality analytics for our viewers and listeners, mykhailo yakubovych, orientalist, candidate of historical sciences, researcher at the oriental studies department of the university of freiburg in germany, joined the saturday political club, in which vitaly portnikov, whom we are all eagerly waiting for, will appear in a few minutes . there are discounts until independence day on bionorm detox 10% at psylshynic, bam and ochad pharmacies, there are discounts until independence day on detoxyl tablets 15% at psylshynic bam and ochad pharmacies. national tv on megogo is a lot channels, well, a lot of channels, and also movies, cartoons, series and favorite shows. turn on

mego on various devices without unnecessary wires. and antenna and all this from uah 49 per month. there are discounts until independence day on eurofast softcaps of 10% in pharmacies psylansky, bam and oskad. education is the future of every country. what is changing in ukrainian schools, what will the university of tomorrow look like? the country is immersed in the world of educational transformations. we ask experts, listen to teachers, listen to parents and children. from nush to high school, we explore the labyrinths. educational of reforms, read to understand, understand to change, ask the country at press sales points or pre-pay online, there are discounts until independence day on troxevasingel 15% at pharmacies psyllium, bam and oskad. fm, galicia. listen! there are

10% discounts on citramondarnytsia until independence day at podorozhnyk pam and oskad pharmacies. there are discounts until independence day on templen tablets 10% in podorozhnyk bam and vasyl winter's big ether pharmacies. two hours of airtime, two hours of your time, two hours to learn about the war and what the world is about, two hours to keep abreast of economic and sports news, two hours in the company of favorite presenters, presenters who have become likeable to many, as well as distinguished guests of the studio, events of the day in two hours, vasyl zima’s big broadcast, a project for intelligent and caring people, in the evening on espresso. events, events from...

are happening right now and affect our lives, of course, the news feed reports about them, but it is not enough to know what is happening, it is necessary to understand, antin borkovskyi and invited experts soberly assess the events, analyze them, modeling our future, every saturday at 1:10 p.m. with a repeat at 10:00 p.m. studio zahid with anton borkovsky at spresso. this is saturday's political club, my name is khrystyna yatskiv, and in the future we have more than an hour to enjoy and analyze, critically analyze the latest events, and i am already happy to welcome vitaly portnikov to our kyiv studio, without whom this the program cannot be imagined. i congratulate you, mr. vitaly. greetings, ms.

khrystyna, long time no see. very mutual, long time no see, and i'm glad to be with again you in one ethereal context. i wanted to start with you on the subject of the great exchange of prisoners. i would like to remind the audience that russia and belarus on the one hand, the united states, germany, slovenia and great britain on the other, carried out a prisoner exchange. and this is an extremely large-scale event, which is already growing with certain analytics, but just now. in the minds of ukrainians, it also meets some quite understandable criticism, we will talk about it a little later. to you, mr. vitaly, the main question is: why this exchange right now for putin, and why , on the other hand, for the united states in person joseph biden, and the democrats? well, i think that putin has had one goal for quite some time now, quite important, which is to release krasikov, a man who is known for his...

assassination right in berlin at tergant.