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tv   [untitled]    September 5, 2024 10:00pm-10:31pm EEST

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the functioning of the nervous system. dolheit antinevro capsules - help for your nervous system. vitaly portnikov, khrystyna yatskiv, andriy smoliy and invited experts give their assessment and forecast of the development of events based on facts. do you want to understand how our today will affect our tomorrow, see saturday politics club, every saturday on espresso. greetings, this is svoboda live on radio svoboda. we have already approached the serpent himself. the following shots may shock you. news from the scene. live drone attacks, kamikaze. political analytics, objectively and meaningfully. there is none. of the political season,
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exclusive interviews, reports from the hottest points of the front, svoboda life - frankly and impartially, you draw your own conclusions. we are back on the espresso tv channel, and i want to ask mykola shur a question right after the commercial. to lay bridge from the last piece of information that i read before the pause about sirsky's statement that the offensive in the pokrov direction had been stopped, the kurdish operation had a positive effect, we want to believe it, because there are a lot of different, possibly hostile media, so in first of all , the terrorist president declared that the sting operation did not give results, in every interview and press release... putin says that
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the armed forces of ukraine had a plan to disrupt our offensive on pokrovsk with their actions on kurshchyna, they didn't succeed, but there really isn't any promotion, as they say, there are military, tactical promotions, there are no strategic ones, let's briefly reflect on this topic, you as a veteran, as a person who obviously communicates more closely with the military, what can you say, maybe you know, something inside, first of all i think , that this offensive has not been completely stopped. it is definitely suspended, i doubt that, let's say, the russian troops will stop or regroup, this is definitely due to the fact that they are tired, let's say, and not all is well with the muscovites frankly, for to continue storming at such a frantic pace, they are also trying, they are not omnipotent, although if we talk about the entire front line. then we are in the best
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situation, of course, i think we will have a difficult autumn, because the situation at the front continues to be very difficult, and let's put it this way, i would not like anyone to have the idea that everything is stopped, and we we have some time on the front, it's not like that, all these blows and these swings again, they won everything, absolutely. uhu, ours is already, you see how the blows are even now in lviv they are proving to everyone that no one is safe, the war continues, and i would like to say that, and there is also a very good example here, that we must continue to be very actively involved in helping the armed forces, well, let's put it this way , now it is not enough to simply sympathize, now we must all continue to actively act if we have valery. an expert on aviation issues,
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he is already in touch with us, a leading researcher of the state aviation museum of ukraine. mr. valery, we see you, now we hope and will hear, we do. also the script of our program moves in a wavelike manner from international topics to changes in the government and we return to the missile attack on the city of lviv, if i am not mistaken, although you will correct me, it was the city of lviv that did not launch daggers, many were launched in the region, and in particular, this is stryshchyna , we all know about these strikes, but we also flew over the energy infrastructure in frankiv oblast, here among... there are victims, there are destroyed houses, destroyed, and this is the most terrible life of whole families, what can you say, but more than a day has passed since that blow, what it was in peculiarity, why did the russians inflict it
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in this particular way? well, first of all, i wanted to express my condolences to the people of lviv, especially to the families of the victims and all the victims. as for commenting on the attack on lviv, there is nothing new, the continuation of russian terrorist activities, you understand what the russians want now, that they started in the fall of 2022, and continue and even want to intensify this process, so to speak, in the current heating season, their desire, their desire to terrorize the... population, so that through, well, through the armed forces, they cannot to achieve victory, now they want to do it through the population, which will be terrorized, which will begin to demand from the government under any conditions capitulation, if only the war would end,
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if only the horrors of the war would end, these strikes on residential areas, on educational institutions, on in hospitals, in places of concentration, in supermarkets, you understand, all this, all this is included in this single strategy, it is the so -called, well, the elements of the so-called, that is, non-contact war, when somewhere on the front line there are battles, let's say, local importance, and the main emphasis is on destroying the enemy's command centers, the enemy's industry, terrorizing the population and thus achieving... even if the armed forces, well, let's say, leave the armed forces without supplies and without support, that this is the main thing now, the support of our armed forces is maximum, the support of the armed forces is maximum, and our opportunities for
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revival are maximum, well, for the intensification of the production of our weapons, any, strike, anti-aircraft, unmanned drones, because... supplies, that’s right, only in this way can we force the russians to finally, finally somehow stabilize the situation at the front, make them unable to continue the offensive, with the acquisition of anti-aircraft missile systems , shoot down more and more of their missiles, because sometimes, well, in a special way during some raids, well, at least under the time of the massive raid on ukraine. there the overall efficiency was 85%. with the receipt of the f-16, we can still raise it, but we need to master this aircraft well and correctly choose the tactics of its use. ot. overall, i do, i think i've explained what's what
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the russians were preparing and were unable to implement it for 2.5 years. now a new attempt and again. there will be terrorist attacks on the population, on the infrastructure, and what resources are they currently using, i.e. where do they get these missiles from, and here the question is, you said about the intensity that ours should be in response, of course to them, and this will probably correspond correctly them by the same token, how long can they prepare for the next such massive strike as you think, not long, uh, it's... time, let's say what strike preparation? let's say, checking the results of the previous strike, if it is considered that the objects are destroyed, everything that follows is selected, after that, diligent
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intelligence processing, including by means of intelligence agencies, you understand that behind each raid there are specific gunners. yes, and i think that it is still necessary to help not only the armed forces, but also our citizens should somehow pay attention to those who hang around military facilities. performs some kind of photography at least on mobile phones, and somehow b contact the police officers who would check this person's documents, that's all, nothing more is needed, drag them to the police station, interrogate them there, check the documents, this will already alert the person and she, well, be afraid to draw attention to yourself in the future, that is, really , well, i think that... now the main thing is still the help of the army and preparation, moral preparation for the fact that
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this heating period will be very difficult for us, and where do they get the missiles from, are they their missiles? sorry, i didn't say about the russian resource, the last report of our chief intelligence management about the potential of the russians was about so in the early spring, right? and they said that the russians are able to launch about 120 missiles per month, so far there is no confirmed data that the russians received some missiles from iran, some ballistics they received from iran, but they probably received some from korea, so far it is not possible to say what percentage, because in general, ballistics goes like this, iskander fraction kn-23, yes. it is clear, that means that these rockets are not yet distinguished, rockets in assemblies,
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that is, what is possible, how can one characterize russian strikes, i said about it more than a year ago, the percentage of ballistics will increase, because it is more difficult for us to hit ballistics, and until today we had five complexes capable of striking on ballistics, today we received information that romania handed over one more.. patriot, and we will be able to cover one more city, or some important object, from russian ballistics, and the number of ballistic missiles in each raid is increasing all the time, but the production of these missiles has not yet increased, because russians and from production, well if i analyze, for example, the data of gur. starting from september, september, october of last year, then they gave in january
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of this year and in the spring, in general, the number of ballistic missiles produced did not increase, but increased, well, to the actual russian production, deliveries of ballistics from north korea were added. mykola buchyn has a question for you, and i have two questions for you. first, please tell me, today we received information that 27 american soldiers were found in the kinzhal missile that was used to attack ukraine. components. how do you think it is realistic to somehow resolve this problem, maybe what we should do, what we are doing, this is the first question, and the second question, you have already partially talked about it somewhere, well, it is said that iran can supply ballistics to russia for about a year already, but in recent days they have very actively started to raise this issue again and talk about the fact that russia is one step away from ... getting iranian ballistics, in particular even those that will hit at 700 or 1000 m, kilometers to beat, i'm sorry, how much
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it's real, how do you rate those chances too, you know, i don't like to guess, yeah, i 'll answer the second question first, yes, if iran transfers missiles, they will be alfagar 110 missiles, and des missiles, yes, sorry, fatih 110 . its development fotek-110 has a range of about 500-700 km depending on where they are playing with the warhead, and the zolfagar is already 700 km and the desful, an iranian missile, is all a derivative of the fatih 110 missile, there is already a range of 1000 km , combat unit 700 kg. if you measure the distance, there will be no bridges left in ukraine. places, not cities, places where it will be possible to live safely without fear
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of ballistics, that's the problem, if russian missiles have the maximum range declared for ballistics so far, the maximum range is 500 km iskander m, well , a longer range, but not much longer than a dagger, all the same , it does not reach 700, 750 km there to a thousand, here, well, this is the situation with ballistics, regarding, yes, regarding the supply of missiles, but i say again, and this is only a report in the press. and they started from the end of last year, the second surge of such messages was in march of this year year, and now the third surge, and they say that already about 400 missiles have been handed over, and the russian military is learning to launch them, i say again, it could just be a duck, it could
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be an element of intimidation, as soon as our forensic institute or... air force experts will say that this is, therefore, a clear confirmation that this is an iranian ballistic missile, well, there are characteristic moments, so to speak, inscriptions in farsi, there are some technological moments, yes, then it is clear that these are indeed iranian missiles, to the first question, i didn't search much, there are not 27 elements, there are also more american ones, and european ones, and japanese ones, and... and, let’s say, from hong kong, radio electronics, everything is there, and from, let’s say, from the middle of the 22nd year, there is a commission, i forgot, yermak marfein
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. yes, that here they simply do not pay attention to her, she is already behind the brackets, so to speak, they say that the supply american elements, such as microelectronics elements, microprocessors, programmable gate arrays, ah, let's say, different, different circuits, radio electronic circuits, yes, all this goes en masse to russia through... from the laying company and it is almost impossible to trace, and to the same manufacturers don't particularly, let's say, don't try, it's more profitable for them to sell as much as possible, well, market conditions, market conditions, that's the global market, globalized markets, and that's why it's difficult to fight this problem,
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although it's being monitored all the time, and even well, i don't know if you are aware or not, so our specialists have developed a scheme that allows you to automatically track the customs documents for which all these things arrive, travel around the world, all these things. thank you, valery lumanenko, expert on aviation, well, you see, here is a question, we need to have something to answer to the russians, and we want to believe that those missiles announced by jas will also be in ukraine and we will also be able to hit at 500, 600, 700 km. mr. buchyn. political consequences not only of the attack on lviv, on poltava, on sumy oblast, today putin again began to talk about the negotiations, and not on the terms that existed a few months ago, when he demanded the kherson region to the zaporizhia region, now he mentions the istanbul negotiations and some, as he says, constantly ratified signatures, who does not understand, but
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the no less, terror for the sake of negotiations, for the sake of getting us into the loop of negotiations. this is the title of our program today. then petro baikovsky. well, you know, this is a very likely option, because actually it is very important for russia to get some time for respite, for to mobilize resources, gather. that is, i am leading to the point that we must clearly understand that this is in no way about real negotiations and russia's desire to somehow stop it. that is, rather, i would say that russia wants to get time and opportunities to mobilize. let's say, to settle certain problems, draw certain conclusions from mistakes and strike with new force, that's why we are actually naive here, well, you shouldn't be at all, you need to realistically consider and see this situation, well, i it seems that when we talk about the reasons, i agree somewhere with what was said, that is, russia hit military facilities, it did not bring the result
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that it wanted, it has been threatening there for two years already, 2.5 , which will plunge us into a blackout, she will turn off our energy, as we can see, on this too, well , she probably also got things of course, created certain problems for us, but obviously not the ones she wanted, so she now obviously has another goal, which is, well, first of all, to hit our economy, industry, what else it remains to, say, reduce our chances of long-term struggle and survival, well, and secondly, to terrorize the population so that it is possible that... it was not the population that pushed our political leadership to certain changes, to possibly the trap into which we can get in and, accordingly, give russia the opportunity to strike with new force. this is actually the first. uh, and now i want one more thing, if you allow me to make a little comment on what was said before, because we really have such a wave-like, if today the transmission from one we jump to another, well, first of all, in
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the direction of pokrov, well, it still seems to me that we have now more or less stopped and stabilized the front, because i constantly read the news, and in the last few days, after all, a message has arrived not only that the russians have not advanced there, but there are reports like that which we rejected. russians, for example, today there was a message that we had completely cleared selevydovo and, accordingly, pushed the front line of the gray zone completely away from the city, although two days ago part of the gray zone was in this settlement, that is, we either defended some of the other settlements, or pushed the russians, so somewhere in principle we can talk about a certain stabilization, whether it will continue to be so, well, of course, it is difficult to predict, but it seems to me that... actually, it is partially repeating itself now and the situation that existed in the 23rd year, when the russians captured bakhmut, but captured it with very significant casualties,
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actually putting their most combat-capable forces there, and we got a chance for a counter-offensive. now the situation is partly similar, and this is particularly helped by the kursk events, because there is also a report that russia was forced to throw part of the reserve, which was in the pokrovsky direction, in the kurdish direction, and this is also from... yes, so, accordingly, of course, we understand that in this way, somewhere we achieved that goal, we stabilized the front and maybe we will actually have a chance to turn the situation around, by the way, in that context, i want to remind you that yesterday there was such an interesting statement by girkin, who very often quite realistically assesses which said that in the fall, ukraine will be budegrad, that is the name of kazagrad, who said that ukraine has every chance for autumn. to try to retake crimea, well , i don’t know how realistic it is, but at least he is now talking about the fact that, well, being exhausted,
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the russian army can receive a counteroffensive in response, if we draw certain conclusions from the past not very successful counteroffensive, then perhaps certain efforts and certain results we can get, of course i am not talking about the deoccupation of crimea now, but at least i think that we will get certain chances. let me talk about america, because this is a topic for me a little too close, you asked about when we can really expect certain changes, well , the american elections are very interesting and there are a lot of interesting and decisive dates, that is , there will be elections in november, but on january 6 there will be a meeting in washington, where called electoral college and where the actual result of voting for the president will be. and i think that after that there will be an inauguration on january 20, if i'm not mistaken, and actually we can talk about the fact that formally certain
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changes can potentially take place, that is, the dates are clearly defined here, and also one thing i would like to say, well, it's probably very difficult to predict what the actions will be now, whether kamale harris or donald trump as the winner of the election, because we have to understand that a lot of things right now are ... election rhetoric, that is, they are understandable , that americans, they must act through the prism of america's national interests, it is clear that they must say what the voters like, so it is far from always that what the presidential candidate is saying now will be done by the already elected president, and therefore it is also not must be done the tragedy of the fact that hariis herself did not mention ukraine, she spoke about what her electorate needed, and what... she will do after becoming president may be completely different and may be more valuable to us, at least i estimate that there are much more chances that, after all, let's be honest, rather frail and
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cautious biden will be replaced by a bolder candidate who will be able to accept, well at least we can hope, more decisive for ukraine and the necessary results. a word with boikovsky, i just wanted to say that i see mr. adrian mykalchyshyn, you have something to add, but mr. baikovsky hasn't spoken yet, i have something too, mr. baikov. yeah, uh, look, if there's still that threat in the context of the american election, because the election is so close, yeah, that's the difference between the candidates, if kamal harris wins, trump is more likely not to admit defeat, and that's a big danger because it's great turbulence in the american political system itself, and therefore the attention and media is less experienced kamala harris than biden, when trump tried to shake. situation, then trump was more effective, judging by everything yes, but you understand how much the situation has heated up during this time, that, well, well, two sides are actually fighting each other,
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and and and the difference. between the candidates will definitely be small, trump will not recognize the election, and then this process will begin, if trump wins, well, the reaction of the democrats and american society will be great, that is , it is still worth expecting that the attention of the world and american society can go into this society, and ukraine may find itself somewhere, let's say, in the top topic, that's the scenario. please, which one for us then way out of this situation, what scenario can be positive for us in your opinion? you see, there is, trump is a big risk, on the other hand, there may be greater prospects, if trump wins, for sure he will try to meet with putin, most likely, and by the way, this rhetoric, you know, about negotiations, that's all, i think russia will
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incite before the american elections, so... to incite, her problem, if kamela harris wins, well, first of all, she has not been involved in foreign policy during her career, yes, the same the vice president is not his sphere, it is very important to us who will be the secretary of state or the advisor of the special staff of foreign policy, this actually affects what the position will be rather, it is, well, a matter of chance. the victory of kamala and the president, it is very important for us to maintain, well, develop relations with the two camps, because there is also a senate, there is also a house of representatives, a very complicated configuration, we cannot afford it, you know that for us, a victory there is very important kamala or trump or trump, regarding these, well, putin's statement about these, well this is not new, that is, actually throughout
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the war. we have this constant discourse: let's negotiate, let's talk, this, it's somewhere, it, it, it's somewhere, what, what putin wants, putin wants us to peck at this bait and po and, let's say, somewhere they said, maybe , yes, as soon as we do it, the big army, in the west , will play along with it, and it seems to me, of course, that the pressure of the ukrainian society is the same, and that's why here we receive strikes on the civilian population in order to also ... pressure on the ukrainian authorities, and perhaps was in this direction, well, somewhere, somewhere, somewhere, somewhere, mr. pavlyuk, no matter what we say, we will, we depend on america, certainly, we depend on all sides, whether it will be biden, whether it will be harris, or it will be trump, i told you, you asked what to do, of course, to cooperate with america, because we have no other way out, to develop
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regional ones. unions, what has been repeatedly said is our chance, it is changing, politicians will change in france, they are changing, the same situation will be in germany, we will not have that support even from europe, it will not be in we, in america, don’t know how it will be 50/50, if we don’t do this , work for regional teams, i don’t know what small unions there are, we will be in big trouble in the future, we will again be left with... alone with the russian federation and muscovites, you will see, i would really like to ask the state leadership today to create a group of specialists, diplomats from various specialists and start working in this direction, this is our chance in the future. taras stetskiv, i have a question for you, you have repeatedly said on our broadcast that any negotiations with for putin, this is a trap, but if in our country, as your colleague mr. mykovskyi says, if we
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will be pushed from all sides to these negotiations, how should we, as our state, the leadership of our state, behave, you obviously you read many analysts who say that this autumn can be quite decisive, especially when it becomes known who will be the president of the united states of america, who today spoke about negotiations without any conditions, in austria they started talking about it today, that is, anyway this the track is carried from different directions. well, i still believe that negotiations it's a trap, even the very talk of negotiations is a trap, because i actually encourage a lot of people in the west to play along, as soon as the ukrainian leadership begins to agree even verbally that negotiations are possible someday, it instantly activates putin's friends in europe in the united states the united states of america, this is the first circumstance, the second circumstance, it all depends on how the situation on the battlefield will develop , uh, as for the american people, if it will develop in...

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