in the head and everything will be fine, why did i analyze all this at all, in the end, here is the logic of the soviet man that we see in the kremlin, so this is one point that must be realized, the fear of putin's inadequacy and the lack of understanding of what to do if a nuclear state will really use nuclear weapons over non-nuclear ones, we don't know that, and the west doesn't know that, there is strategic uncertainty, this is a serious problem. the second point, what they started to actively talk about now, you may have seen, was spoken by the river. i think the defense minister was talking to the pentagon of the netherlands, regarding the possibility of using there the western air defense system to close the ukrainian sky, the ineffectiveness of all these measures, it turns out to be ineffective, the americans do not have so many atacoms missiles, and if ukraine uses them on the sovereign territory of the russian federation, it will not have enough missiles in order to fight on their own. by the way,

the white house also announced this. that is, the white house declared that ukraine will not be able to hit 90% of aircraft on the territory of russia with atakoms missiles, and the explanation was this is because they were rebased. although in fact, even today, one of the analysts who are engaged in activity monitoring is actually within their reach. missiles, and this is a conventional 300 km belt there , there are about 20 russian airfields where russian tactical aviation is or can be based, well, that is , the question here is that on the one hand they can be based there, on the other hand they can to relocate them to siberia, not far east, no attack will help, this, by the way, is the advantage of russia, here we ask, their territory, yes, why do they need ukraine at all?

because they, they have always historically won at the expense of territory, ugh, ugh, because in principle you can go very far through the territory of russia, any army, even moscow, as we know, can be reached, as napoleon bonaparte's armies did and adolf hitler, but where to go further, you are bound to break away from the main supply centers, and modern missiles are not enough to cover everything. territory, huh, and by and large there is still a huge territory, so the only real one the recipe for victory over russia territorially, not in some naval battle, not in the japanese war, and not in the crimean war, in a territorial war, can be a joint exit, an exit to the territory of russia, of the armies of ukraine and the people's republic of china, if ukraine and china announce war together with russia, i did it the way they did, by the way, it was us on... the way the soviet union did,

germany with poland, ugh, ugh, well, yes, if the soviet union would not have stabbed poland in the back, fact ribbentrop's molotov, of course the poles could have resisted, and it is not known how it would have turned out the situation is further, but it was a blow in the back, in fact, and here it is the same, let's say, there ukraine is in a rut, and the chinese are entering into a state of peace, this is the end of the world, because now you imagine, you are putin , i ask, where to relocate the planes? but if this is not the case, then of course the russian state can enjoy peace from the point of view of the inviolability of a part of its nationals. in that in number, including in the manufacture of weapons, ammunition there, and so on and so on, and not only, by the way, the capacity that concerns the production of weapons. in the principle

of many things, when they relocated there, relatively speaking, somewhere in the center of their country, that's all, so why, by the way, do you remember why they could do it, because the new non-aggression agreement with japan, which japan never violated, and the soviet union violated at the request of the allies, already after may 45, well, if japan had acted with the soviet union, as the soviet union acted with japan, it is not known how the situation there would have developed, but the japanese did not... began to do this, perhaps because they were not sure of the effectiveness of their army in the russian direction after hulkingol, by the way, we are coming to the visit putin to mongolia, ugh, the japanese and soviet armies met at hulkingola, and the japanese were defeated in principle, they could not carry out their entire operation, and after ...

for this, an opportunity arose for such a reconciliation of the temporary japan and the soviet for the union, perhaps that is why, by the way, for mongolia, for russia, khalhengol is of such great importance, but it is so, it is an opinion. because you are absolutely right that they relocated everything there, the whole essence of the second world war was that they were able to relocate military plants to the urals, to the center of russia, by the way, they relocated many enterprises there, you know what in general, the effect of our and the belarusian economic disaster of the 90s, that they relocated a huge number of enterprises, light industry, food industry and the military enterprises were returned, that is why belarus and ukraine in 1991 the vast majority of the economy based here was a military economy, the economy of the military industry, all that economy, which by

and large would have gone to ukraine and belarus as an inheritance from the russian empire, and this there were developed regions from an industrial point of view because it was europe. then it all remained somewhere in saratov, and they did it on purpose, as you understand? external track: negotiations, mongolia, which we just mentioned, putin spoke again about some negotiations, well, once again, those negotiations that he sees in his head, based on the istanbul agreements, putin stated, once again, he repeated this. as a mantra more than once on various discussion panels, meetings and so on and so on. he also stated that it is necessary to remove the bandits from kurshchyna, and only then, relatively speaking, it will be possible to talk with ukraine. well

, in general, putin made his visit to mongolia, which we talked about exactly seven days ago, despite the fact that... mongolia should, once again, should have arrested putin, it did not, that is, in fact, putin, laughing at international law, once again spat at any international treaties, at the international criminal court, well, it was quite understandable, and we talked about it with mr. vitaly, and i repeat it again exactly seven days ago in this studio, so if we talk together about this track of changes that putin spoke about and... his arrival in mongolia, why is putin talking about negotiations again, although it seemed like two weeks, three weeks ago, four weeks ago, putin, peskov, there were other so-called talking heads of russia talking about the fact that there will be no changes, that is, do

you not consider this another, another dust in the eye, as they say, on international platforms, again anyway, well, in general, here is his trip to... and how do you rate it? well, if we talk about negotiations, then again, i remind you that putin, one way or another, is not only a politician, he is also a gambler. the task of the habist is to confuse the audience, you say one thing today, tomorrow you say another, we all are lost in what he really wants, he wants to destabilize the situation, i can tell you this for sure, that is, first of all he is talking in order to... start negotiations, ukraine must withdraw its troops from the donetsk, luhansk, kherson, zaporizhzhia regions, demilitarize, to de-nazify, now we are talking about the istanbul agreements, but i think that in fact it is still simpler, when

he talked about all these donetsk, luhansk, kherson, zaporizhzhia regions, we, he said this in russia at internal meetings, uh, on some meeting there. after the kurt region, he generally said to the security council, the security council of nations, that there is no need for any talks with ukraine now. all this was intended for the internal audience, but we are angry, we will never talk to them at all with these nazis who occupied the holy russian land, of course. now this is the eastern economic forum, that is, putin's speechwriter is given a task, it's just a plan, it's being written, it's possible to write theses. of the peace process by ukraine, so that the countries of the global south would like it. there it is not about istanbul as an entity, it is about what he would be happy to see as mediators of the countries of the global south, not the west. and

i'm sorry, it seems that he said this at one of the regular meetings within brics, he also said it, actually, and now he said it at this eastern session, that is, when he saw them. in front of their eyes, as you understand , he wants to say something that they took as a sign of respect, and he does it, uh, why doesn't he do it, it's... it's worthless, but china and brazil put forward a peace plan, he in in principle it is against his interests because he would not want a ceasefire on the contact line, he does not really want a ceasefire on the contact line in principle, but why not tell him that he supports it, that he wants them to mediate , they will be pleased, they are important to him, they help him prevent sanctions, china helps him survive in general, what is the problem, well, he said, there will be a new event tomorrow, the press service will write new theses. this is roughly like theses to medvedev, to medvedev a different idea, if you like

is that he paints himself as a city fool, his post was written today that the united states will soon fall apart, and what is there to do with them, they will fall apart, and this is a response to the statement that russia will fall apart, which certain experts and politicians are doing there, well, you think that... russia will disintegrate, we believe that the united states will disintegrate, you and i are already flowers, that's all, well, that is, i didn't pay attention to these words, i'm coming out of axioms that russian-ukrainian negotiations on the end of the war are impossible in principle, that about it can be forgotten for the simple reason that the task of the russian federation, a logical task from the point of view of the restoration of the imperial power, is the taming of ukraine and the occupation of our country. and the creation of at least a sphere of influence from uzhgorod to ashkabad, maybe not a common

state, it is always a question whether they will have enough strength to create a state, because they may now consider that it is a mistake to create a common state, as they once did galicia annexed to ukraine, but as a result, yes, why experiment again, you can make a vassal a state, but this whole zone should be russian, uh, and of course with russian, and... an army that can enter and leave there, like in kazakhstan, it entered, left, that's how, this is the model, so it's peaceful negotiations are impossible here, negotiations on a cease-fire are possible, as i have already said, at the moment of exhaustion of the demographic, economic, military and political resources of the warring countries, and this is a question that ukraine should fall a day later than russia, that's it, nothing more will happen, this there are no other formulas, dozens of peace forums can be held there. meet, visiting western politicians or putin visiting eastern politicians will not

help. the conflict is existential, existential, such conflicts do not end, if they begin, then one should simply, i would say, realize this and live in a state of this conflict, without inventing unnecessary illusions, and without trying to understand why he is all this said, again , the ceasefire could be at least tomorrow. if he realizes that it is not profitable for him to climb further, then we will stop them, let's say somewhere, they will break into our defense like a rock, if this is like a rock, if it is possible, and let's say, their attacks will not lead to ukrainians freezing in the winter, well, then we need to gather forces, we need a cease-fire, if this level of attack does not work, then another, much stronger one is needed , but it needs to be constructed, maybe it will be in 5 years. so such a ceasefire is possible, everything else i don't see a real application yet. mongolia,

putin arrived in mongolia, mongolia is a party to the rome statute. ugh. should have arrested putin. we also predicted it, said discussed, but less so, the fact is the fact, putin came, putin was received, putin spoke. cried, expressed his point of view and went back to russia , mr. vitaly, what consequences will this have for international law, in general for the geopolitical model, none, none, i can explain to you why, there is also a simple formula, putin of course really wanted to laugh over the international criminal court, he laughed, he succeeded, he came to the signatory country. the roman statute, went back, he was met there with a guard of honor with pomp, there were no lawsuits,

no citizen filed a lawsuit in his own court, this is an important issue, demanding the arrest of a war criminal who arrived on the territory of mongolia, you saw this story that a certain citizen of poland filed a personal lawsuit against zelensky volyn, huh. so, it is obvious that zelenskyi is definitely not responsible for volyn, but as the president of ukraine, he has become a participant in this lawsuit for her, she is trying to use the law of her own country, that is, we... can be surprised by this - this her lawsuit as propaganda, but this is how the law works in democratic areas, the court can take note of this and can answer that i'm sorry, this lawsuit of yours is not against us and is inappropriate, well, according to the law, well, but informationally certain, well, when , well when i what i mean when the president of sudan amar

albashar arrived in the republic of south africa at the invitation of the president of the republic of south africa previous jacob zumin. also like putin before mongolia, there was a court decision that he should be detained, it just didn't happen implemented, and they perfectly understood that there could be a court decision, they just organized it in such a way that he managed to leave, ugh, ugh, there was nothing like that in mongolia, so what am i leading to, it means, andriy, that the formula was mutual, so that it was possible to come to such a country as mongolia. and in order for the court to be controlled in this country, that is, it is necessary to take the list of countries that are signatories of the rome statute, delete from this list all the countries in which the judicial system is not controlled by the president or the monarch, ugh, but putin wanted to go to the south african republic, they explained to him that the court decision could be you too, if you don't

have time, well, that's despite the fact that the south african republic is also a quite corrupt country, but never mind. this is a democratic country a democratic country relatively there may be a judge who will make such a decision and then he may have problems, but he may brazil, then you do not forget, these are all federal countries in essence, there may be at the level there sub' object of the federation the decision, and whether the city in which the opposition is ruling, is absolutely in brazil, that 's all, well, president lula himself was in prison, he was imprisoned by the courts themselves, that a court in brazil can imprison its own president or speaker. parliament, so why can't he impeach putin? well, that means we are crossing out all these countries, we only have those countries in which the president controls the judicial system, as in mongolia, and in which no citizen will even try to do anything, because he is aware of the dependence of his country on russia, well, these countries becomes even less, you know which ones

countries, but theoretically putin can make the next voyage, do we need it? will he, in general, try, at least carry out and only if he is provided with, no, well , it is clear that some certain negotiations will be held before this, and it is clear that there will be, as they say, for and against, the kremlin regime, how many of these countries, but it is also necessary to understand, in principle, there are not so many countries that signed the roman ones. cross, we are talking about countries that not only signed, but also ratified the roman, not just participants of the international criminal court, well, this

is a huge problem, you see, by the way , armenia is... putin may want to go to armenia, this would really be such a moment for him to put prime minister nikol poshinyan in a difficult situation, but you see, somehow he doesn't really go to armenia, he went to mongolia rather than to armenia, this is also an important point, because there are countries that will simply somehow try to do everything that he did not arrive there. and this is also a huge problem that exists in this country, 122 countries in general, that's how they ratified the rome statute, here i am, i'm looking, yes, here, yes, well, this is most of the world, well, that's right, but it's also a democratic part of the world, don't forget,

there are only 193 states in the un, it's a pain, here you are , if you look at the map. yes, here i look and we see that these are generally african countries, they, among them there are also those who control the judicial system, those who do not control the judicial system, this is the whole, he will look for, of course, such countries, yes, that's all, but there are not many of them, as you can see, you can completely cover europe, north america, strike out latin america, strike out, because there are no dictatorships to control. judicial system, so there are some isolated countries in asia, there are very few of them, they have not ratified almost anything there, as you can see, there are no such countries in asia, in fact. japan does not count, though, and no matter what, oh we, by the way, dear viewers, we can now see

this map on the screen, well, that is, only the countries of africa remain, yes, which mr. vitaly and i are currently considering, you now see on yours screens this map and what you need there is the green color and here you see the member states that have signed and ratified it in green color, so... in that color they signed, but did not ratify, and there is another orange sign, but then they withdrew, and did not sign, did not ratify, yes, putin is interested in these countries, which, as we understand, were in principle signatories and ratifiers of this agreement, because everything else has absolutely no meaning, and here.. . there is a huge problem, of course, so, as they say, the choice is not that, the choice not like that, i think, poor mongolia, they tried

to persuade to this visit for quite a long time, we still understand, and by the way, when this visit took place, our colleagues from mongolia and from the democratic press recorded a special video, translated it into russian, what are you you don't understand that we have 95%. of oil products comes from russia, we cannot arrest putin for the simple reason that we are between russia and china, and here the question is obvious that if putin came to you, you cannot arrest him, the question is what you invited him to, well invited precisely because he told you that you want further economic cooperation, well , of course, in such a situation , we can have economic cooperation only if you come to our meeting and most importantly, the consequences, the international criminal court has no right... even to suspend the authority of the judge from mongolia, who recently started working in the panel of this court, in principle , no real consequences, except for such

a conditional disgrace, the decision of mongolia to invite and release putin, ugh, there is no, and that is why it is a precedent, but i repeat, a precedent only for those countries in which the government clearly controls the judiciary, and putin is fine with that. understands that in some india, as you understand, he will not enter, even if he is invited three times on rendramod, because on rendramod, like lula, like cyril ramaphosa, like everyone else, they cannot give him a guarantee of safety, man type putin will not go anywhere in his life without security guarantees, and that's why he can, it's such a pyrrhic victory, you know, you can go somewhere a couple of times, but in any case, most of the world remains untouchable for him, well, let's continue our conversation live in a few minutes, we'll have a short break, and we 'll be back, don't switch. we are

servicemen of the griga separate unit, named after volodymyr griga, of the unmanned aviation complexes of the 76th separate battalion of the 102nd separate brigade. in the zaporozhye direction , combat clashes take place daily due to the constant assaults of the enemy. it's not going away. and the guliepil direction, which our battalion has been defending for almost 2 years. currently we need three times more buffs and fire damage from the sky. therefore, we are appealing to everyone who cares to collect funds for 20 dji mavic classic drones and 10 3t mavics. yes, the amount is not small, but the life of your siblings and relatives is much more expensive. we really hope for your support, thumbs up and sharing. let's not let the occupier take a single step further and accelerate the victory together. glory to ukraine, to the heroes, glory. straight ater, we

're coming back. andrii smolii, vitaly portnikov, and we continue our conversation. another important event took place on the current one weeks, this is the so-called reformatting of the government. in fact, we saw that a number of ministers wrote statements of their own volition, after which these statements were submitted to the verkhovna rada of ukraine for consideration, and the president, on the other hand, and the majority, on the other hand, actually considered the appointment of new ministers, such a reshuffle resulted, although some of those government officials who worked. before this change, they were shuffled to the office of the president of ukraine, in particular, we saw that iryna vereshchuk was appointed deputy head of

the president's office. of ukraine on your screens now we can actually see these reshuffles, who became who, someone got a promotion, someone from the deputies got the position of minister, well , we have what we have, but here the question arises for many people, for many experts, for many journalists, what is this... shuffling, this reshuffling in the government, it was actually of such a formal nature, because it did not happen almost once after the resignation of the report of these people, so we saw these reshuffles between different authorities, why the president, why is the government shuffling now, it does not matter at all none the meaning of the deck and and and what does it all mean, why

now? does not matter at all, now, not now, we have to realize a fairly simple thing, if we want to be a european country at all, ministers are, as a rule, politicians in normal countries, they are political figures who come from certain political forces and carry out their own the positions of the political program of these parties, these are not managers, managers in the government, which is formed by political power, in principle do not exist, cannot by definition, whether it is russia or belarus. there managed by managers and the management of ukraine is very similar to this, if we are serious, because here we are now, did we talk about the most notable person there in international terms in the government was dmytro kuleba, and we discussed what kind of minister dmytro kuleba was, what kind of minister andriy will be sebygo, but i apologize, dmytro kuliba and andriy sebygo, they are professional diplomats, a diplomat should not head the ministry of foreign affairs, it is not normal in education, anywhere, but

dmytro koleba was warmly spoken about. she is a diplomat, she is the leader of the green party, i'm sorry, the candidate for the position of chancellor, it's just that the greens didn't win the elections, antoni blinke spoke warmly about dmytro kolyba, he's a professional diplomat, he's a politician and an expert, or, i don't know, the italian minister of foreign affairs, tajani, he's a diplomat , he is the leader of berlusconi's party, sikorsky, what is he? a diplomat, he was once the minister of defense, he is a political activist, he was one of the leaders of the law and justice party, and then the civil platform party, when, when the views of the leaders of law and justice began to contradict him political views, and we are constantly discussing some changes in some council of ministers of the ukrainian ssr, these are managers, they can be better, they can be worse, but in a european country, managers

do not manage ministries. these people, they should be, for the most part, in the positions of state secretaries of ministries, choose such a career, and move along this line, and ministers should be politicians, in conditions where ukrainian society does not, in principle, understand that such is politics, and when the head of state never engaged politics, he's already talking, he's running several managers with me, it can't be like that, sullivan is not a manager, he's... a political expert, he's a figure that's in the biden administration, why is it important that we understand, because when the country managers are in charge, there is no political discussion, here is volodymyr zelenskyi, he has single-handedly ruled the country since 2019, in fact, he is the only person who makes all decisions on the entire vertical of power, in fact, anyone else does not make any decisions, does not make any decisions of the prime minister the prime minister, who is not even came to change in his own government.

actually about this and actually why are you coming if he is a manager? none of the representatives of the office of the president of ukraine makes a decision, because they are managers, managers do not make decisions, they provide. so, there is one person who until 2019 was engaged in anything but politics, and this person is in the conditions when it comes to whether this state will exist on the political map of the world tomorrow, or has disappeared, as if it never existed and will become part of russia, one person makes all decisions in accordance with what... here are the reports and views offered by people who are not interested in a political career, here is the most important thing: not interested in a political career, because the minister should be interested in a successful political career, in how to find a dialogue with people, not with zelensky, but with citizens who will later vote for him, because he is a politician,

annalina berbak does not think how to please... olaf scholz. she thinks.