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tv   [untitled]    September 12, 2024 12:30pm-1:00pm EEST

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but then why, i repeat my question, why do we let russia earn from this, why do we let hungary earn from this, and why us, who really need these funds, who every day our government introduces some resolutions to the verkhovna rada, projects laws, increase taxes, fines, excise duties, everything that can be removed from the ukrainians, but we do not want to remove it from the russian oil business, but... i am here i already, well, there is no answer to this, you understand, if , that some answers can be found, although they, too, how weak i think, but to the question i am asking now, why do we not increase the toll for pumping this, and it is i who do not know the answer, in principle, one more question is short enough, mr. oleksiy, about olaf's peace initiatives scholz, because the italian newspaper la repubblica wrote about the fact that they say that scholz has a peace... plan, he wants to be the chancellor
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of peace, and one wanted to be the president of peace, and this one wants to become the chancellor of peace, and they say, at the expense of the territories, which are in ukraine, it is possible to achieve concessions, territorial concessions, to achieve this peace. the chancellor of germany says publicly, it is not public information that was the republic, but chancellor scholz says that the moment has come for peace talks with russia, and this. the country should take part in the global peace summit, which will be in a few months, and he publicly stated this in an interview with cdf, let's hear what scholz said. in my opinion, now is the time to discuss how we can move from this war situation to peace faster than it seems realistic now. it is important that we have another peace conference, and we president... we agree with zelensky that
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russia should be represented at it. mr. oleksiy, do our western partners still hope that putin can be defeated diplomatically and not militarily? here, look, well, first of all, i already know how many of these peace plans, you see, zelensky has a strategy for victory, sholtz has some kind of peace plan, this, well, i am skeptical about all this, look, the first peace summit was three months ago, i have a question. what are his results, well, it's been three months already, you know, not in hot pursuit, but because, well, three months have passed, what, what, what has changed, where, where, where peace has come closer, where maybe russia has lost some allies, where russia has gone there for some, well, i don't know, well, something, well, some result, which one is, he is not, now they tell us, but we will conduct the second one, what will be the result of the second one, preparation for the third one, well, i won’t do it again, they have to say it there, it’s always good, but
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russia only understands one language, the language forces, and the best peace plan from scholz would be to give ukraine taurus, missiles, give tanks, to give doves to beat them, they only understand that, they don't understand any conversations, they proved it to everyone, well, as for giving up territories, scholz says there, well, well, well, if he wants, he can give some german territories, russia recently occupied all of east germany there, well, if there is such a desire in... the german government to give some territories, but they can only dispose of their territories, with all due respect to our ally, which is germany, and with and with thanks for their help, but it should be red here line, well, we in ukraine can discuss something, but if someone is going to discuss abroad which territories to give to whom, well, for me, it is not acceptable in principle, well, that is, it cannot even be talked about at all. thank you, mr.
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oleksiy, for the conversation, it was oleksiy goncharenko, people's deputy of ukraine, we are moving forward according to our plan and according to our schedule, dear friends, but before that i would like to remind you that we are working live on the espresso tv channel and conducting a survey. today we ask you about this, do you think? you are a real cessation of hostilities already this fall, yes, no, please vote on youtube. the appropriate buttons, if you have a personal opinion, please leave it in the comments below this video. if you watch us on tv, take your smart phone or phones and vote on 0800, 211 381, if you think a real cessation of hostilities already this fall and no, 0800 211 382, ​​all calls to these numbers are free, vote at the end of the program we let's sum up the results of this vote. next, we have mykhailo samus, the military, on the air.
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expert, deputy director of the army conversion and disarmament research center, director of the new geopolitics research network, mr. mykhailo, i congratulate you and thank you for joining the broadcast. greetings, glad to see you. by the way, mr. mikhail, today great britain has already announced that it is imposing sanctions against iran and not only great britain, but also a number of countries are suspending air traffic with iran, france, germany, citing the fact that iran supplies ballistic missiles to the russian federation, antony blinken publicly also under... confirmed this information, which actually these missiles are located on the territory of the russian federation. the chief editor of defense express, oleg katkov, said on espresso that iran probably handed russia about 200 missiles with a range of more than 80 km. let's hear what he
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said. when there was this last integration regarding the transfer of iranian missiles, it was about such parameters as 200 units. but again, these missiles are not the same missiles with a range of 300 km that are currently on the screen, they are smaller, that is, for example, the armanovo bel has a range of 800 km, it is actually more similar on the jemeler missile to hymers according to its own, let's say, capabilities, mr. mykhailo, how is the nature of the russian-ukrainian war changing and is it changing the nature of the russian-ukrainian war? delivery of iranian ballistic missiles to the russian federation? well, actually, here i would say more geopolitical consequences, since the first deliveries of iranian missiles are a test, it is a test of the international reaction, how will the united states, the european
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union, great britain, the un, other organizations react, sanctions are nothing for iran do not mean that unequivocally, and therefore after... the delivery of the fatih 360, which really has a range of 80, 100-120 km, may be followed by the delivery of other missiles, which will already have more operational importance, that is, these missiles are still of more tactical operational importance, and they will affect the combat zone and the border, front-line zone, where russia will be able to strike on ukrainian territory, on ukrainian cities, on critical infrastructure objects and so on, but these will be... limited strikes, limited effect, if they will continue to transmit, the world community will not will not be able to influence iran and russia in any way, then this will mean that russia will receive, in addition to north korean ballistic missiles, with which they hit ukrainian territory, and in
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terms of range, they are approximately equal to the iskander in terms of power, and iran is the same can significantly strengthen russia's missile potential even in conditions when russian... resources cannot allow the mass release of missiles, that is, they cannot increase to the volume when they could actually strike massively with ballistic missiles, such a development events, it means that the world community is again failing the exam to control the situation, well, this is the same as when putin went to mongolia and demonstrated that in fact the international criminal court cannot do anything, the un cannot do anything... international law can also act now actually destroyed, the same and iran and russia are now demonstrating that there are no regimes of restrictions on the supply of missile technology, in principle, hints at nuclear technology, which i am sure are being transferred to iran
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and north korea, now, by the way, iran it has already been said many times, it is on the verge of obtaining nuclear weapons, i do not rule out that these are nuclear weapons early on. there is, and such an increase in military-technical cooperation between russia and iran can have really global consequences, i am not talking about the consequences for ukraine, which will be forced to experience all these shortcomings of, let's say, the international system. is it possible, mr. mykhailo, that this situation will encourage our western partners to make a long-awaited decision in ukraine, a decision on permission. to the blows of western weapons on territory of the russian federation? we would like to believe, we know that it all depends on the opinion or the position of the united states, in the united states, in fact, on one person, this is president biden, who
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is actually already at the final stage of his political career, but he, again, like the entire biden administration, they are actually now hostages of the election campaign of kamela harris, who obviously... i do n't even mean kamala herself, but her political technologists would obviously like to push the ukrainian issue away, push it into a low profile state, so that him, so that this topic is not mentioned somewhere... for some reason, they think that the president, the candidate for the presidency, trump can somehow use it against kamala and lower her rating, so i think that the only chance actually remains, this is an emotional decision of president biden, this last decision is already strong, which may contradict the political technologists of kamala harris, and it may theoretically cause some damage. while i don't really see how this decision could hurt haris' rating, it could
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was adopted during a personal meeting between presidents zelenskyi and biden in the united states, which may be the last during biden's presidency, which may take place during the session of the un general assembly, and here it can be so emotional, biden can... at the expense of, for example, that zelensky will give the appropriate arguments to allow ukraine to strike on russian territory, and if there is the permission of biden of the united states, then, of course, all the others will follow, that is, there are no such outspoken opponents now who would not allow to strike with their weapons on russian territory, except for the united states, which sets the tone here and is actually behind the united states... our other allies do not dare to allow it. it is not excluded that this issue will be discussed already
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at the end of this week in kyiv, because the secretary of state of the united states of america, anthony blinken, and the head of the british foreign ministry, david lammy, are going to kyiv. the purpose of the visit has not yet been announced, but it will obviously be about expanding the capabilities of the armed forces of ukraine in strikes on the territory of the russian federation. let's wait and see which ones there will be decisions and what will be the statements, at that time we see how the russians are trying to put pressure on donetsk region, mr. mykhailo, and we see how, uh, we are trying to put pressure on the russians in the kurdish direction, how would you characterize the situation in these two directions now, and whether can we in... in this situation use the kurdish operation of the armed forces
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of ukraine as an argument, or can it help us put pressure on moscow regarding the future negotiation process between ukraine and russia? well, theoretically yes, in fact it is true, if we say that ukraine controls a certain russian territory of russia, the offensive has already been stopped or the situation has been reversed, but obviously the russians do not have enough reserves to not only attack in all the named directions, without this, in principle , they cannot see success in donbas, they do not have enough resources and reserves even in order to break through the ukrainian defenses in the pokrovsky direction, at the same time they have to do something with the kurdistan region, and obviously they have a plan, they promised, i mean the russian generals, to putin that they would deal with the kurdistan region by october 1st, therefore, i can predict that at the moment , russia will still increasingly
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withdraw its forces into the kurtsk region, trying to show some result by october 1, that is, it is possible that there will be counterattacks, perhaps some counteroffensive actions by the russians in in kursk oblast, this can be expected, but a competently constructed operation, which is operated by a ukrainian, which operation is based on the seym river, for example, on geographical conditions, and... at the moment, i do not see the prerequisites for the russians to somehow significantly change the situation in kursk oblast, we will observe to what extent they will be able to strengthen their group in kursk oblast with reserves, then we will be able to talk about the further development of events, well, obviously it will all depend on what weapons will be in the armed forces of ukraine, because it is clear that the decision is what. .. the united states of america and great britain can decide on strikes on the territory of the russian federation with their
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weapons, it may or may not be. meanwhile, it became known that ukraine has developed its own high-precision gliding bomb, which can become a key weapon for strikes against russian military facilities. forbes writes about this with reference to a video of a bomb test, which was published a few days ago by the air force of the armed forces of ukraine. it. the bomb is equipped with a rocket accelerator, retractable wings and a gps system, its flight range can reach 65 km, notes the similarity of the bomb with the french, french ham, french hamer and predicts that if ukraine sets up the serial production of these bombs, it will be able to strike the territory of russia from the same with the frequency with which the armed forces of the russian federation are shelling ukraine with similar projectiles, this is good news, mr. mykhailo,
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the only question is to what extent ukraine can now establish syrian production. any weapon, including this high-precision planning bomb, do we have these capabilities, do we have these capabilities, most importantly, taking into account the constant strikes of the russian federation on the objects of the military-industrial complex of ukraine. i think that there is no problem imposing the production of such bombs now, because technologically this product is not is some kind of peak of technological thought, it is not a ballistic missile. on which ukrainian engineers are working, these are not other super-developed types of weapons, such types of weapons are available, have been in service with various countries of the world for decades, so i think that ukraine has every opportunity to do this, in terms of aa production, production capacities, i do not think , that again there is
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a problem of finding underground ee workshops, underground er, let's say er... capacity, where you can produce such products, and therefore, well, again , it is important here that, it is an organization production, this is the personal responsibility of the state officials who head this program, we have one big problem, a fundamental one, we still do not have such a concept in the arms production system as the head of the state program for the production of weapons, be it ballistic missiles, drones or, for example, an aerial bomb. that is, there should be a clear system, clear responsibility of a specific official for production, coordination, concentration of budgets, organization of production and so on, that is, if this is done, i will not i don't see any problems at all in setting up mass production of such aerial bombs. and oleksandr syrskyi, the commander-in-chief
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of the armed forces of ukraine, stated in an interview with cnn that ukraine had cut back. the gap in the ratio of ammunition with russia, which is now almost one to two (to quote mr. sirsky), the ratio is actually one to two, one to two and a half, a year ago this figure was 1 to 10, 1 to six, we compensate for this difference with unmanned systems, does this mean mr mikhael that the drone war that is going on now in the majority regions of ukraine by the introduction of unmanned systems, it changed the nature of this war, because the war started with one weapon, and this weapon, russia had an advantage in this weapon, and russia gave in to ukraine rather quickly, ukraine gained momentum and really did the weapon that is now, in
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principle, the most used on the battlefield. there are two aspects here, indeed, from the point of view of drone-centricity of this war, it is obvious that drones are ground, air, and sea, they have changed the nature of hostilities, the nature battlefield, there is no doubt that ukraine is the leader in this process, but regarding the ratio of artillery - this is a slightly different process, remember, about a year ago , europe, the united states decided to finally invest in the production of ammunition, just then the implementation began and the '. of these projects regarding the expansion of opportunities and capacities for the production of ammunition, a czech initiative was born regarding purchases in third countries, not in nato countries or the ramstein project, in third countries, which are often even anonymous, but for money precisely the allies of ukraine, and just
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a year later, in fact, all these initiatives began to bear fruit, by the way, western, western. production has not yet reached its peak or even its optimum, that is, we are now in such a state that, in fact, there are already 80% of the implementation of projects to increase the amount of ammunition production, and the peak of these projects in the western countries will be reached somewhere around the beginning of the 25th year, because a year ago in the summer in the fall of the 23rd, this word at the beginning of the 25th year with well... was perceived very, very negatively, since everyone said, well, what if we will fight without ammunition, in principle it turned out that way, we remember how difficult it was... the 24th year, the first half of the 24th year, when there was a failure in terms of ammunition, a failure in terms of american help, that's why right now we are experiencing the implementation of those projects that
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were started a year ago, and in this way we are getting a ratio that is already more or less acceptable in the confrontation with russian artillery. another important topic, mr. mykhailo, is air defense systems, which are so necessary for ukraine, and zelensky has already publicly requested premiere. italian minister giorgio meloni to mediate in negotiations with the united states of america on the transfer of patriot air defense systems to ukraine, the italian publication mesengero reports. according to the publication's sources, zelensky would like melonia, as the head of the big seven , to push washington to transfer a significant number of patriots to the presidential elections in the united states of america by the end of the year. of course, by all systems. patriot, we will not be able to close the ukrainian sky, those who come to us, u what is the other way to avoid these strikes,
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missile strikes, constant drone attacks, combined strikes, what ukraine should do and where ukraine should move in order for this to be less and less, well , look, we said at the beginning of the conversation about... iranian missiles, they are ballistic, ballistic missiles can be shot down by the patriot, well short-range, by the way, we would like those fateh 360 missiles that fly there at 80-100 km, the israeli iron dome would be good, again after all, we know that israel will not hand over these systems to us long-range ballistic missiles, which iran can transfer, which north korea transfers to russia, and russia has its iskanders, well, there is more patriot after all. and in relation, can ukraine get patriots to close all ukrainian territory? maybe because in the united states , there are enough of them on the continental part of the united states, dozens of them, according to
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some data, even hundreds, well, let's say dozens, because we do not know the actual technical combat condition of these machines, of course they are not all new there, from the time it is possible even of the cold war, but they can be restored, it could already be restored, after all, no no... the first day will come, and the united states could hand over to ukraine 25, for example, patriot complexes, which would, in principle, block the main ee ukrainian objects and territories, and if we transferred even more, then we could safely ensure virtually guaranteed protection of ukrainian territory, with a high probability, protection of ukrainian territory from russian ballistic missiles and not only. unfortunately, explain to me logically which ones to find. arguments why the united states ignores transfers to ukraine of the patriot system, which the armed forces of the united states do not need at all, i just emphasize, they are located on
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the continental part of the united states, with a range of 150 km, can reach the territory of the united states, neighbors, that is, canada and mexico, from who the united states is going to defend in this way, it is not clear, it is a tactical system, it is an army system. on the scale of the united states, they use completely different systems for anti-missile defense, including ballistic. the patriot isn't even in the nomenclature of those anti-missile systems there, so i think the idea is to somehow, in any way, convince biden with a melon, with whatever arguments the united states could give us these systems, i think that they... should be used now, for example, i even advocated such a project, transfer to europe, to european countries, for example, romania and poland, transfer 30 systems, they can then
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be restored and gradually transferred to ukraine , it would be better than just talking about that romania is handing over to us a single patriot air defense complex, or that poland and romania are to shoot down some aerial objects over ukrainian territory, well, this... you know, this is delaying, this is obfuscating the situation, we need concrete solutions right now, this very second , not endless negotiations, right now there are 25 patriots that are available, that are just standing in the deserts in the united states, and are of no use. thank you, mr. mykhailo, for the conversation, this was mykhailo samus, military expert, director of the new politics research network. friends, we we continue to work live on the tv channel. also on our youtube and facebook platforms, for those who are watching us live there now, please subscribe to our pages and also take part in our survey, today we ask you this: do you think the cessation
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of hostilities is real ? in ukraine already this fall, yes, no, everything is quite simple on youtube, if you have your own separate opinion, please leave it in the comments under this video, if you are watching us on tv, pick up your smartphone or phone and vote on the numbers 0800, 211 381, if you think the cessation of hostilities is real, no 0800 211 382, ​​all calls to these numbers are free, vote, at the end of the program we will sum up the results of this vote. we will be in touch with volodymyr next. tsibulko, political analyst, writer, people's deputy of ukraine of the fourth convocation. mr. volodymyr, i congratulate you, thank you for being with us today. congratulations, glory, heroes, glory. mr. volodymyr, shmyhal's government was updated last week. the cabinet of ministers has already been renamed the ministry of culture and information policy to the ministry of culture and strategic communications. it was headed by mykola tochytskyi, a former diplomat. whose diplomat,
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in addition, the ministry of development of communities, territories and infrastructure was renamed the ministry of development of communities and territories, that is, it was first divided, then brought together, now they are divided again, brought together again, with what and what fundamentally distinguishes the current government and the current structure from what we had until the beginning of september 2024. well, first, what are they unites, its part. government officials appointed illegally, as well as the absence of a government program. we do not know what this government is working for, whether it is working for victory or it is working for defeat, it does not report to the public, it does not inform the public about its intentions. well, now what, how is it different? it differs in that during the period of the american elections we will have a transition period, that is... so, relatively
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speaking, a period of irresponsibility, and it will last, at least until the end of the american elections, then, in view of the uh, er, the candidate chosen by the american voters, the authorities will have to adapt very quickly to the program of the new president of the united states, and accordingly, most likely, they will have to look for some forms. survival, it is most likely that somewhere we all conditionally count on the fact that there will be no reason for russia to continue the war with the election of a new president, that is, it will run out, since the united states cannot play in such a situation of strategic uncertainty afford, they most likely will. that ukraine
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quickly found herself in the european union and nato, and russia has nothing else to do, that is , there will be no choice but to leave ukrainian territory, otherwise, russia will never get out of the sanctions system. i would like to remind you that the law of jackson veenik, which is a ban that was adopted due to the ban by the soviet union, for the departure of jews, it is in one form or another. still exists, well, now for russia it exists in russia, they know very well that the american sanctions are for a long time, and either they begin to behave more or less according to the rules of the world coexistence, or will exhaust their resources to the last. mr. volodymyr, obviously the way the world perceives ukraine will now depend on the ministry of culture
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and... strategic communications, because before it was a mini.

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