tv [untitled] September 12, 2024 9:00pm-9:31pm EEST
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what is known about the ballistic missiles that russia received from iran, to what extent it can change the course of the war, and is ukraine now? has permission to strike with western weapons on russian territory. we are talking about this on the bbc live from london. i am yevgenia shedlovska. so, iran has handed over short-range ballistic missiles to russia, which can be used in the coming weeks. us secretary of state anthony blinken announced such intelligence data earlier this week. western partners of ukraine call this a significant and dangerous escalation. so after stops in london. blinken, together with
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british foreign minister david lamy, visited kyiv. they assured of support, announced additional financial assistance, but did not respond to the main request of the ukrainian authorities to allow the use of long-range weapons against targets on the territory of russia. this visit itself is significant, because the main diplomats of britain and the united states came together. and that is why, as david lamy said, iran's decision to transfer missiles to russia. very dangerous and changes the debate around aid to ukraine. we see how russia is increasing cooperation with its friends, and we have seen in the last few days this terrible transfer of ballistic missiles from iran to russia. we have additionally introduced new sanctions against the russian tuna fleet. my colleague, the defense secretary, john healy, has announced a new one. kyiv did not answer whether
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ukraine would be allowed to use western weapons on the territory of russia, the needs of ukraine will be discussed tomorrow by president biden and british prime minister keir starmer, who is flying to washington. by the way, when the american president was asked at the beginning of the week whether he is ready to cancel the ban, he replied that his... administration is considering it. indeed, what western countries immediately did was to impose sanctions against iran due to the supply of missiles to russia. the united states, britain, france, and germany are imposing sanctions against iran's state-owned carrier, iran air, as well as against a number of officials involved in transporting weapons and against the vessels that carried them. iran rejects the accusation of supplying russia with missiles, calls it a lie, and russia's statements are also expected. all statements are in the kremlin called baseless. but back to
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the sanctions, will they have an impact on iran? here is the reviewer's opinion on the issues of defense of the publication. there is ample evidence that iran is working with russia to develop weapons. if we talk not only about ballistic missiles, in a broader context, there is a lot of evidence beyond any doubt that russia did not only buy kamikaze drones of the shachet type from iran. it also established the licensed production of these drones at the factory. in central russia and use these drones to attack ukrainian power grids and other targets. except there is also evidence that russia is buying artillery shells and some other weapons systems, but the main area of cooperation is drones. that is why the transition of this cooperation to the transfer of ballistic missiles, which have more power and are more serious weapons, is of such great concern to western countries, and the western ...
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that we are now seeing is directed against individual companies, for example, iranian airlines, but we must take into account the fact that iran has been under severe sanctions for years because of its nuclear program, and basically, there's not much left in iran that can be sanctioned, if you really want to limit the production of these missiles and drones, you have to establish supply chains for materials, for example, drags for drone bodies, gyroscopes , which use for missile guidance systems, as well as other supply chains from china or other countries. this is a very selective process, necessary to prevent the supply of materials itself, instead of general economic and financial sanctions, which in were mainly introduced against iran. at the same time, the british media reveal the alleged details of the supply of iranian missiles like this. the times newspaper previously wrote that russia received more than 200 ballistic missiles from iran.
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a russian ship delivered them on september 4, last week. the publication referred to data from unnamed sources in ukrainian intelligence. and now sky news has released this satellite image, believed to be the same one. vessel that probably transported missiles through the caspian sea from iran to russia, its name is port olya-3, one of those against impose sanctions, and according to the tv channel , the photo shows the ship standing in the port of the astrakhan region of russia, six days before it was in the iranian port of imirabat, after which there were no data on its movement. what is known about the fact that iran is believed to have transferred fath-360 missiles to russia, it is a missile... of the surface-to-surface class, their warhead is 150 kg, and the declared range is up to 120 km, and what is known about these missiles, we talk about it in detail with the military-political columnist of the information resistance group, oleksandr kovalenko from we are in touch, i welcome you on the air, how
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can russia use these iranian missiles against ukraine, what can change in its strike tactics? russia can use them in two scenarios: the first scenario is this... just as they have been using soviet-made 5v55 missiles for the s-300 anti-aircraft missile system since 2022. this is an anti-aircraft system for air defense, but it was reconfigured for surface strikes, and due to its rather low accuracy, it was not used for precision strikes, exclusively for the terror of the border villages, settlements of the cities of sumy. kharkiv oblast kharkiv was constantly bombarded specifically with s-300, as well as along the line of battle on the cities of the near rear, for example, strikes on kherson were also carried out on these complexes in zaporizhzhia, kramatorsk and so on, that is , first of all, this is an element of terror against
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the civilian population , and fa 360 missiles, they are very similar in their functionality, that is , the flight range, and the mass of the warhead, the explosive substance. and very similar to 5v55, and therefore, in the first place, they will be used in the same way, i think, as these ez-300 complexes. in addition to everything else, they can also be used to solve some local issues, when striking cities directly on the line of hostilities, where the defense of the defense forces of ukraine continues, because it is precisely for such a function, to strike at... built-up areas, on some block, high-rise buildings, they will also be suitable to cause serious damage and actually even destroy a high-rise building, but how can ukraine protect itself
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from them, that is, how should the air defense be strengthened? in the first place, anti-ballistic means of attack are countered as efficiently as possible by such complexes as the patriot air defense system. unfortunately, we understand that we will not be able to close the entire airspace and the entire line of engagement with the number of patriot and cmt air defense systems that we have available, and even those that are promised to us, and therefore the fight against these missiles may also be according to two scenarios: the first is the destruction of the launcher itself, the action on overtaking, counter-battery fighting, the second is reconnaissance. activities in order to find out where this ammunition is being accumulated, in which warehouses it is located and to directly strike these objects. mr. oleksandr, stay with us, and one more question, how the west will react, whether the united states will allow the use of weapons on the territory of russia, and
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why it has not been done so far, here is the opinion of the former special representative of the united states for ukraine, kurt volker. this is all because of fears of escalation. usa before saying yes, they said no, and by the time it became so final, it was too late, and they were sparing with help, not giving what they could have given, and even in the case of the attacks, there was so much fuss about their giving, and when they finally did , then put restrictions on their use, you can't strike deep into russia, so it's a constant fear of escalation that doesn't come true, and every time we provide the necessary weapons... no escalation from russia is not happening, i am sure, it is because they are not able to do it. if putin could then i would go for it. the war doesn't go according to his plan, so we have to overcome those fears, but unfortunately, this issue will still come up
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in american politics in the future. and we return to our conversation with oleksandr kovalenko, what will change if ukraine is allowed to use it. western weapons on targets in russia, for example, will stormshadow be allowed to be used? a lot will change, because, for example, let's take at least one category of objects that... can be hit with the help of not only stormshadow, another nomenclature, but if stormshadow, these are airfields. and in the radius of action of storm shadow and atacoms, for example, there are approximately 20 air bases, military air bases, which are constantly used by the russian aerospace forces to carry out strikes on the territory of ukraine. not only su-34 front-line bombers and su-35 fighters are used, but also attack aircraft. aviation su-25, su-24, attack helicopters k-52, mi-28,
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and if for them this 300-kilometer, 250-kilometer zone, it will be a risk zone, they will be forced to use almost all of this aviation take it deeper into the territory of russia, there is already a limitation of the characteristics of these planes, they do not even need to be completely destroyed to zero, but simply, if they will be located up to... 300 km from the border with ukraine, most of them in radius, combat range will not be able to fly into the airspace of ukraine. in the airspace of ukraine, more than 70-80% of russian tactical aircraft will immediately become smaller and will be less able to perform relevant combat tasks, and this is only one category that can be influenced by long-range western missile strikes on the territory of russia. but in principle, about what range can it be? language and more, what other goals might ukraine need
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to protect? the range can be up to 300 km, in principle, if we generally consider the export requirements for the transfer of missile weapons, then any missile weapon has a limit, if it goes for export, it is 300 km, so if we even receive some samples that in their modifications can destroy objects at a distance of 500 km. all the same, there will be a limit of up to 300, but even this is enough for the whole the nearest 300-kilometer zone will yield not only air bases, but also warehouses with ammunition, command posts, headquarters, logistics, ultimately through which redeployment is carried out, transportation of material and technical support of a large number of objects. thank you, oleksandr kovalenko, the military analyst was in touch with us. will it become what russia got? iranian missiles are a turning point in the war, and how
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ukraine's western partners will react to it, finally, the assessment of the american viewer and retired colonel, mark kanchana i wouldn't call the delivery of iranian missiles a turning point in this war, since north korea has already supplied russia with ballistic missiles, and this is the first time that iran, in addition to kamikaze drones, has also transferred ballistic missiles, which in turn significantly improves russia's power. on the other hand, these missiles will complicate the work of ukrainian air defense, and this will lead to greater destruction, but this is definitely not a turning point in the war. air defense of ukraine remains vulnerable, not so powerful, as much as they would like it, but they were able to repel the worst attacks. i expect the united states to change its policy on allowing missiles to be used on russian territory. for some time , we hear that... negotiations are underway in this direction regarding the terms of use of these
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long-range systems. i think the united states will demand that they be used only for military purposes, not against civilians, to minimize civilian casualties, and probably to avoid hitting russian infrastructure, particularly oil refineries or energy systems. the ukrainians already have the capacity to carry out such strikes, but i think that the united states would like... to see their systems used exclusively for military purposes. the use of long-range systems on russian territory will allow ukraine to hit more targets internally, and many of these they already do, so it will increase the pressure on russia. they may have to withdraw some of their aircraft from bases near the front, perhaps forcing some of their headquarters to be dispersed. that is, it will be useful. however, this will not change the course of the war too much. well, that's all, see you tomorrow,
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events, events that are happening right now and affect our lives, from here... the news feed reports about them, but it's not enough to know what's happening, you need to understand. antin borkovskii and invited experts soberly assess the events, analyze them, and model them. the future every saturday at 1:10 p.m. with a repeat at 10:00 p.m. studio event with anton borkovsky on espresso. every week, the saturday political club helps to understand the processes taking place in ukraine and the world vitaly portnikov, khrystyna yatskiv, andriy smoliy and invited experts based on
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facts give their assessment and forecast of the development of events. if you want to understand how our today will affect our tomorrow, watch the saturday politics club, every saturday on espresso. 21:15 traditionally every thursday at this time on the air of the espresso tv channel the project velikiy lviv is starting, we summarize all the important events that are taking place. we often say that over the past 7 days, in fact,
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the situation is so dynamic now, not only in ukraine, but in the whole world, that very often for... two or three days we don't have time to summarize, to grasp everything in order to understand what will happen in the coming days, weeks, months, and maybe even years, if we talk about the war that is going on in the territory of our state. good evening everyone and glory to ukraine. glory to the heroes, congratulations to everyone who joined us on the espresso tv channel. vitaly portnikov is with us, our skype guest, we started a conversation with him earlier, we discussed the topic and the debate in the united states of america, where two candidates were debating. for the post of president, and we won't go back to that, after all, in our country you can watch it on youtube, if you can sum it up somewhere, then in any case, we will return to it in the next broadcasts, because the active election campaign in the united states of america will continue, and we will analyze the statements of the candidates and how it affects on some specific settings of their voters, although we will see the result itself as late as
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november and no one can predict it 100%, and it would be... probably strange, mr. vitaly, we have finished with you somewhere about those partners on whom russia and we count talked about our neighbors, well , it is often quite sad for us to admit that slovakia and hungary, which are close enough to us, we cannot count on, well not on their support, even they play into our hands enemy, but is there any situation at all due to which this could change, we can somehow work with these countries, we can explain, first of all, i believe that we work with these countries, because of these countries pass goods for ukraine, we have economic cooperation, these countries produce at slovak enterprises military equipment for the ukrainian army, and this did not change after the change of power in slovakia, so i would not exaggerate the importance of this whole process here, and changes will occur
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when there are political changes in these countries, it is also clear that these prem eras, they are not eternal, these political forces are... eternal, there may be changes in the political process, it is a long process, as you understand, but to say that we do not have any cooperation at all, i want you to remind that when the borders with our friendly poland were blocked, where are the politicians they always said that they were our supporters and friends, but the border was not unblocked, and during the current government of donald datutsky, during the previous government of matieš morovecki , this process was long, so we could transport goods through hungary. however, on the contrary , additional opportunities for the transportation of goods for ukraine were opened there, so i would not exaggerate the fact that we cannot cooperate with these countries, we can, we just need to be pragmatic about this cooperation, about the statements of their leaders, remember who and what they are designed for, and to understand that the membership of these countries in nato and the european union will still force them to act within
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the framework of values, and not the wishes of their prime ministers, after all, a large number of ukrainians, in particular... repents in slovakia, in the same bratislava, and what is interesting , very often, i was there a few months ago in this city, you can hear the ukrainian language, which for ukrainian immigrants, we are already so used to talking about it, is not always used to that of poland or germany itself, mr. vitaly, summing up our conversation today, we talked a lot about all statements, peace plans, they just know, as they say, rushing from all sides now, we, i think, all our viewers know in general yours, let's say that. a skeptical position regarding close, effective negotiations there, yes, negotiations that will end in something, but nevertheless, in recent days and weeks, the number of proposals. different kinds of peaceful configurations, china, brazil, scholz says, president zelenskyy is preparing a peace summit at which the russian
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federation will be possible, at the debates of the candidates for the presidency of the united states of america they also talk about how they plan, who will reconcile ukraine and the russian federation, who will help ukraine win, what is connected with such a large number of different things. to peace plans and generally talks about peace talks right now? i think, first of all, some internal problems or foreign policy tasks of those who say this. it is impossible to link statements there in china and statements there by the federal chancellor of germany. the federal chancellor of germany demonstrates that he is a supporter of peace, but is ready to help ukraine in its advocacy its territorial integrity and security. and he repeats the same content that we hear from kyiv about what is at the second summit. there must be a russian delegation, we are ready to abandon it. the chinese idea, well, it is related, as you have already said, to the fact that china always says that it is a supporter of peace, it is not some kind of
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event that supplies weapons to ukraine and thus continues the war, wants there to be no weapons for ukraine, there was no longer a war, well , of course, ukraine would simply be conquered by russia, that would be the end of everything from the chinese point of view, so i can to analyze a huge number of peace proposals, but one must always ask oneself the question: what about russia? want to sit at the table to win? we are seeing the russian offensive in donbas, we are seeing russian attacks on ukrainian infrastructure, maybe we will see it again today or in a few days. i will never discuss whether or not ukraine wants to be at the negotiating table. we have an idea of a just peace, but we also have allies on whom we depend for assistance in the war, and if those allies have a consolidated position on... the need for negotiations, we will be forced to take this position into account. this is reality. but i am not talking about ukraine. i am talking about russia. i see no reason to believe that
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russia will want to end the war in the foreseeable future. and that even if russia sits down at the table for negotiations, the conditions for ending the war will not be such as to mean the disappearance of the ukrainian state from the political map of the world. this is an important point. there may be such peace proposals, which in principle will tell us, in three months or in six months, right here nothing will happen, simply, simply, this is capitulation disguised as peace, it may be, it may be, what putin is basically counting on now, and we have to understand this so as not to discuss all these talks about peace talks, the infrastructural depletion of ukraine, this exactly the same as putin did during the second chechen war. they simply razed chechnya to the ground, bombed cities and towns, destroyed infrastructure so that society would demand peace at any
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cost, so that those who told the chechens: listen, we need, we need to agree with the russians simply so as not to die, it is not a question of a just peace or an unjust one, whether we will die or live, let's negotiate, that's the whole idea for you. putin never invents anything new, he repeats the chechen experience, in countries where, believe me, hatred of russians was many times higher than in ukraine now, shocks, and now this country is the republic of the russian federation, with which even the military comes to fight on the ukrainian front, so this is what putin is interested in, he wants to see can he bring us to such a... state, when the request for peace at any cost will be the main thing for ukrainian society, when ukrainian society will tell its authorities, and agree on anything, as long
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as they don't shoot, don't kill , so that there was light, heat, gas, work, money, we are simply not surviving anymore, ugh, this is the drama of the moment, and there are no peace talks, and we need you to stand here and you and not not to accept. not to accept this challenge realistically, so as not to end up in a situation where chechens in a few years, it may be, it is a threat, a real, much more real threat than any peace talks we will see there now. thank you. vitaly portnikov, journalist, writer, tv presenter, publicist and political commentator. mr. vitaly, very often emphasizes that the actions of the russian president, if you can call him that, on the ukrainian air. uh, all of his negotiation suggestions uh are very often aimed at relaxing the opponent and giving him an even more painful blow, and i
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it seems that we often talk about this in our beliefs, and i would like to believe that the ukrainian authorities also understand it well. we are moving to the big studio. we move to the studio, we welcome those guests who are here with us today. we work live on the espresso tv channel. our broadcast continues on the youtube channel velikiy lviv says. we thank everyone who is there with us. you can write comments. we pay attention to them and even address them to those who are in our studio. guess who is with us today? ksenia klym, journalist, volunteer, congratulations. mykola sakhno, chief sergeant of the machine gun platoon of the second mechanized battalion of the 93rd separate mechanized brigade of the armed forces of ukraine. good evening, glory to ukraine. people's deputy of ukraine from the all-ukrainian association batkivshchyna. mykhailo tsimbalyuk is with us. taras batenko, people's deputy of ukraine, chairman of the deputy group for the future. good evening. mykola golomsha, also with us, is a military-political expert, the first deputy
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prosecutor general in 2003-10. in 14-19 years in ukraine. andriy dakhniy, doctor of philosophy of sciences, head of the department of history of philosophy of ivan franko national university of lviv. already according to this tradition, i will not define and make some, let's say, definitions of this tradition, in wartime we traditionally give the first word to military personnel, so mr. mykola, the first question for you, we made such a general title for today's broadcast. thus, the real forecast for autumn, because politicians from all countries of all stripes and from within our state, often start talking about some potential negotiations, each in their own way under the conditions, it is clear that this is said, but we all understand that everything is determined primarily on the battlefield, and the more successful the armed forces of ukraine will be on the territory
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of our state and on... the better the position will be in some hypothetical negotiations of president zelenskyi, but nevertheless , we are all now also carefully watching the pokrovsky direction, where there is no longer such a rapid advance as there was two weeks ago by the forces of the russian federation, but nevertheless they are strengthening flanks they still try to move your estimate of what happening now on the battlefield, watch tactically. the actions of the enemy, they do not change and improve, how, in fact, since the beginning of solidar bakhmut, they have started creeping, let's say, offensives, that is, they push the first line, then accumulate, the second line goes, so to date they have suffered losses serious, but their resource, we, i cannot say. that it
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ends because there are reorganizations, and with new forces they go and go, that is to say that they stopped because of some there are needs, no, it's a birsh for everything, that it will be a regrouping and they will continue with their creeping attacks with new forces. at the same time, we hear from the ukrainian command that, after all , the situation in the pokrovsk region is stabilized, it is steadily difficult, so... how much we managed, well, let's put it this way, i choose my words very carefully, because we work live, but we we remember that two weeks ago, many, both on social media and in various media, had a rather panicky assessment of what was happening at pokrovsky direction, now there is no such thing anymore, i think that in principle the problem is this... it is that people
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in our country begin to understand the situation a little from the other side, when even if a situation improves even a little, then people begin to relax, and this is very negative does not affect today's moment, but it will have an effect in a week or two, a month, that is , what it boils down to is that people are catching some kind of euphoria, they think that this time plus or minus will end somewhere there and... and cease to respond adequately to those actions that are directly on the collision line, i.e. those the military itself, the potential ones that will be there one day, and they will definitely be, because our resource is endless, and we must understand that this resource will be replenished, replenished only qualitatively, in quantity.
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