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tv   [untitled]    September 14, 2024 1:30pm-2:01pm EEST

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an eternal temptation for russian aggression. of course, this will require efforts from the ukrainians themselves. there is no automatic right to eu membership. ukraine must meet his demands, but i believe that after the war , the ukrainian people will insist on transformations that will be worthy of their enormous sacrifices. they will want to build a european ukraine, and i am sure that the ukrainians will be able to do it. to achieve, we must help ukraine achieve this goal. its future should be connected with nato and the european union. and as for future of russia, it must depend on the choice of the russian people. thank you, dear ambassador frit, for this difficult, difficult, but honest conversation on the air of the espresso tv channel. i want to remind our tv viewers that an ambassador was working for them now. daniel
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frith, ex-coordinator of the united states department of state for sanctions policy. glory to ukraine. glory to the heroes. long-acting cream relieves pain, reduces swelling and improves joint mobility. with dolgit cream, you can even walk. dolgit - the only yellow cream for pain in the joints in the latest issue of the magazine. about the heroes who gave their lives for the freedom of ukraine, how the country honors its defenders, how loved ones are informed about the loss, how society chooses a place for military cemeteries, difficult questions that cannot be ignored, ask at the points of sale of the press or subscribe online with the country at the center main events a medicinal plant in the hands of a specialist. belladonna, so dangerous in nature,
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everyone talks about it, and from time to time splashes of one or another plan reach us, and the situation in general reminds me of a room full of people some kind of cotton wool, yes, but this cotton wool , unfortunately, is wrapped in blood, and by blood, in particular, ukrainian blood, we mean that certain processes are carried out, certain signals and impulses are transmitted, in such a way that, in principle, it briefly testifies to the fact that these or that negotiations in different capitals, yes, i don't know, from india and... china to berlin and brussels, that they are talking about something, so we understand that we again have many questions for our partners and allies regarding the supply of heavy weapons and permits for their use on the territory of the aggressor state, that is, the process certain goes, how do you see it and what are its main parameters? first of all, i would say the first thing, i would say that we have to be careful and civil about clickable headlines. because
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all the time we, as media consumers, react that there is a headline, and someone has declared that he stands for peace, and every time it causes a violent reaction and a feeling... that something is happening somewhere, and it is from us hide however, in reality, when leaders like olaf scholz or any other european leader or diplomat mentions peace, it must there is only one thing in mind: everyone who in one way or another has something to do with the war that russia is waging against ukraine would like peace to come, it is obvious, however, at the same time, diplomacy cannot be built and... we cannot imagine that someone supports ukraine, militarily supports ukraine, and at the same time did not declare that peace is necessary. no one on planet earth wants to be a bloodthirsty person who demands war, war, and only war. if we take
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real negotiation processes, then i would say, it seems to me, and this is seen by many, that it is not nothing fundamentally new is happening compared to... with what happened a year ago, in this aspect of the negotiations, why, the first point is important, it is sometimes said that changes on the front strengthen the negotiating side of ukraine in the event that it has success , or the negotiating side of the kremlin, when, for example, putin carries out a massive attack on infrastructure. but in reality, no strengthening of the negotiating position, in my opinion. do not involve any compromise. and here many are trying to formulate something between these two positions. we hear voices
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those who are just loudly saying a cease -fire, and this is indeed recorded in the sino-brazilian memorandum. someone is discussing that it is possible that ukraine will refuse. come to an agreement, maybe the kremlin will agree to take some territories and return some, and end the war there, that will be a compromise. the kremlin itself rhetorically refers to the istanbul agreements, but this is only rhetoric today, because since the negotiations in istanbul from 2022.
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the kremlin wants and is operating before the istanbul negotiations, but at the same time constantly emphasizes that the issue is about these four regions of ukraine. all this does not create any possible step for real negotiations. therefore, the negotiations, as they were and are still going on some tracks, exchanged prisoners, and probably some negotiations were held about the need to stop. attacks on infrastructure. negotiations are underway with magate regarding nuclear plants and so on. but, in my opinion, there are no peace negotiations now, and the prerequisites for them are not visible. look at the strange signals from
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the former minister of defense of russia, shoigu, yes, who started talking about what would be there was some understanding there. on the topic of the fact that they will not destroy the objects of the energy structure, i don't know, to believe shoigo is basically to disrespect yourself, but he has become more active, and we understand that, in principle, he does not hold any powerful position, that is, he is not a full-fledged a player, but he went to this interview and went to see what the odds are, what do you think this means in general, the figure of shoigu in this very specific schedule, yes, at one time, by the way, he was present in istanbul, well, they should... understand , that shoigu simply took a position patrushev, that is, he became the secretary of the security council of the russian federation. and as the secretary of the security council, he gives this interview, in which he formulates all the same things that patrushev would have said in his place, if he had remained in this position. this is simply
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an expression of the consistent, aggressive and tough position of the russian security council regarding this war. in this way, it should not be perceived as a performance of himself. shuigu, it doesn't matter what his position is now, they have clearly deteriorated, that's understandable, but in this interview he does not act as a personal figure, but as the chairman of the council security which formulates exactly what putin advocates, this must be taken into account. yes, that is, well, we have dealt with the so-called fiction, yes, the parameters of the new phase of the war, yes? the kurdish operation is extremely successful militarily. i do not know in what way our military command will develop it, but the kremlin did not wait, and the kremlin does not know how to sell it to the russian population, well, it says about some ephemeral bandits there. that is, it is not a formula and it is not an answer, and in principle, it even caused a certain reaction
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in the most fashionable public, warriors and so on and so forth. so, kursk is a new reality, and you very rightly noted that the big drone war has started to fly, i imagine moscow as the air defense system just works there during one or another massive visit of ukrainian drones, and we understand that. in principle , the kremlin did not think that two sides could play such a game, that is, in ukraine we know what to expect from the kremlin, and russia thought that the war was somewhere over there, the war in ukraine and so on then, here the war came inside russia, and not even just in the form of balls with corpses, not just loads of 200, not just memes about kalina, a car like that, yes, but specifically, and here is a new phase of the war, as you see it, yes, i... yeah, that's how i look at it. there is no doubt that what we are seeing from
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the beginning of august onwards, if we look at the logic of this war and the way it has developed, we are seeing a new phase here. i will not undertake to evaluate the military result, now both the offensive in the kursk region and the military side of the drone war. however, you can for sure to say that politically it turned out to be a very significant and transformative event. description of the war, why? firstly, because the offensive on kursk showed such an important side, because before that there was an idea that putin was waging a territorial war, and the question revolves around the borders of 1991. now the situation has changed somewhat, obviously, because putin was the only one who blurred the borders of 1991, and with impunity. he blurred them, adding a part. to yourself, now putin has been shown, if you do not recognize the borders of 1991, then get the loss of a piece
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border from its old territory, which was constitutionally fixed. the reaction of putin and in the kremlin to the ukrainian attack in the kursk region is phantasmagoric, because absolutely all political headquarters around the world, looking at what is happening, thought: yes, for a second, if... for example, let's imagine what will be inflicted tomorrow strike on vladivostok, let's say a drone strike on the port in vladivostok, it means that the border of the russian federation is blurred there, and the kremlin cannot respond , this is a very significant situation in the political assessment, but it is far from everything, because... how a new stage of the war has just begun, accordingly a question arose that has been raised for a long time:
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can ukraine be given permission by american politicians to use longer -range missiles? and now, right before our eyes , a decision is being made: it is possible, but recently it was not possible. in addition, it is obvious that president zelensky took a risky step and together with him... did not flinch at this, although the kremlin tried to play it, they say, how does the west support this, and the formulation of how european countries and the united states and the great britain will continue supporting ukraine is very important today. we see, they do not refuse. and the third political point here is very important in
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the following, which is very clear, the kursk operation and the new stage of the drone war show how atomized the russian population does not understand what is happening, does not want to understand it, whatever you can call it, but it is about that we see the helplessness of both the population and the authorities. we see the only thing... the same attitude towards the population. yes, you lose your homes, yes, everything is bombed, but it's okay, here's 1,000 rubles and you can live somehow. okay, and putin's
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war plan, we understand that it was not for nothing that they in the kremlin called it open. a large-scale war against ukraine by war, they invented this neologism of the svo, so they were afraid of the term war, because, i think, in russia, not only in russia, they are very well aware at the grassroots level what war means. accordingly, the war has come, there is more talk about the war, but all the same putin is trying to mobilize the russians, but he does not dare to start a full-scale mobilization, because there are purely technological points, not because...so to speak, he nurtures one or another illusions, so he simply understands that there is a lack of middle command staff and trained middle command staff, which we knocked out during the war in the east of our state and in the north, that is, those people were physically eliminated by our soldiers during the battles, and accordingly he does not go to mobilization,
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perhaps it is expected of him, perhaps he is afraid, realizing that the system may not withstand... such and such a demand training, and in general, if we talk about your feeling, the way the krem elites see the further development of events, that is, they are going to destroy our energy in order to offer something, wait for what will happen, i don't know, agreement from the ukrainian side, no one like that, a similar agreement, of course he won't, but the kremlin must have some kind of plan, he tells me... it seems to me that now we are witnessing the exhaustion of the kremlin's old plan and its lack of a new plan, because the old plan consisted of surovikin's plan, that is, missile attacks and heavy positional struggle on front without major advances. it should be noted that both one and the other, to a certain extent, since it has been going on for a long time,
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has exhausted itself for the kremlin, although everything continues. implementation of the plan continues. however , it is impossible to say that we know putin's new plan, there are two scenarios here, the first, knowing putin's temperament and character. then he is going to continue crawling, counting on the fact that we live a long time, something will happen next, and then we will see, and here is the fork, the second scenario, he must do something, but what to do, we will think that no further nuclear blackmail of the kremlin will not be effective,
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because it has been crying for a long time, wolves, wolves, everyone has been for a long time... besides, mobilization, i agree that the entire system will choke in mobilization, and the kremlin is aware of this, that is why it is not carried out, because there are no bases, it is impossible to prepare such a large number of mobilized people, you can only do as they do, collect 30-50 thousand per month on contracts, some of them have five. in a word, this is how it works, mobilization is possible only under some radical plan, and the kremlin has its own behavior now shows that putin is showing very clearly that the goal is to reach
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the administrative borders of the donetsk region, to record this result, this has not yet been realized. our american and british friends, and perhaps not only them, will agree that ukraine has the right to use long-range weapons on its own responsibility in the territories it deems necessary, of course in compliance with the geneva convention, that is, to hit military targets, and accordingly we understand that the kremlin does not like it very much. because you can download everything air defense system to moscow, equip a garden ring, but still there are cities that are powerful centers and where it can ... also fly, and here is the answer to this, if we talk, for example, about the plans of trump, geris and so on, i.e. , how far
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america will be ready to go to the end. i would say that it is very important for all of us that the republican-democratic consensus regarding the war in ukraine is simply maintained. despite the controversy on other issues. and this consensus exists. in my opinion. it will remain, at least until march next year, that is, until the entry into the position of the new president of the united states. the document that the white house has now submitted to congress must be taken seriously. this is a description of the us strategy for war. this document sets out at the end of biden's term all the goals and all the understanding that will carry over if harris is president. maybe there will be some changes, but the basis will remain. this is the second important moment, and the third essential moment, i think, and it is right, no matter what efforts the kremlin uses, that is, propaganda efforts, no matter how it tries
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to destroy ukrainian society and the societies of neighboring countries to change their positions, but the fundamental thing will be that no one will ever recognize the results of a war if it is a territorial seizure as a result of aggression. it will be like this all the same, the kremlin will not get out of this in any way. the next leadership of russia or some elite group of the orf will be able to find a way out of the situation. i do not doubt this, because there are no historical situations from which there is no way out. and therefore to find a way out of the situation so that the world community could say that we ended the war, but no recognition territorial seizure as a result is not... it is absolutely clear that the kremlin does not understand this and is not moving, it is not even going
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to move, to get out from under this wording. and if not, then in this case the kremlin will have to deal in any case, in 2025, 26 or 2027, with the fact that the global alliance of support for ukraine, despite the change. will remain on this assessment line, it is unacceptable, as it has been since 2014, even more so after 2022, doubly unacceptable. i think here is such a picture, there will be no other. well, but on the other hand, let's also be aware that... the kremlin is learning, the kremlin is learning from its own mistakes, the kremlin is gradually rebuilding what is called its own economy, it's not just china, it's india, it's what's called
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collective brics, and we do not know who will join it and how serious it all is, that is, as far as we understand, in principle, the kremlin is not afraid of a protracted war, of great intensity, of course, they are not ready for the fact that the courts of war will begin strategic airfields somewhere in the murmansk region. region or somewhere beyond the urals, they were not ready for this, they do not know, they have no answer, this is a huge reputational loss, that is, the kremlin loses prestige in front of its so-called allies, i think that even in north korea from time to time time can laugh at the russian allies in quotes, but that is a long story - it is also time for the kremlin to rethink, to retrain one hundred and two thousand of its people. and so on, flip those or other powers of the economic plan for the collective south or east, well, in one word, china and india. what do you think, are these
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the countries that the kremlin is hoping for, are they interested in it, is it possible that sijin ping is already sitting in beijing with a watch and saying: yes, listen, well, it's time to finish it, vladimir vladimirovich, you have three more months in order to save your face and... get out, get out of the war, well, is it possible that some other dates are announced, or some terms, or is everyone satisfied with this great rearrangement of the continental security, well, we understand what it is accompanied by, a great destructive bloody war. yes, this is an important question, first of all, you are right, i agree, there should not be some kind of triumphant mood, that the kremlin is getting exhausted and so on. the resource capabilities of the russian federation in this war are preserved, it is obvious, but i want to emphasize one important thing: in 2022, when sanctions were introduced, everyone said.
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adaptation, as they said, of the russian economy to the sanctions policy, and everyone said, you see, the sanctions do not work. we are now entering the fall of 2024, when after december decision of the us on secondary sanctions, it is quite obvious that the sanctions have started working again, and they are working significantly. banking sanctions and going after russian companies that want to trade in things that cannot be done will not help them, this applies to turkey, and china, and the countries of central asia, which are now taking these measures. thus, it is now clear that putin
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did not manage to finish. it is clear that the central bank of russia is now assessing the situation with great apprehension, with much more than it was in 2023, when nabiulina said yes nothing, fine, we stand up. now the ruble has gone, inflation does not stop, and the central bank rate has stopped. to influence the situation, and everyone there understands it, among the economic authorities, in other words, not everything is like that, if mechanically, this is how the economy reacts every time, and now there will be some second stage of adaptation, but it will be a more difficult stage for putin to cope with it will not be easy. plus, right now there are reports that sanctions against the merchant fleet
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are still to come. that is, it is not enough that the kremlin has big problems with airplanes, as a result of all the aggression, and with civilian airplanes, with civilian transportation, problems on the railways, because the traffic cannot be broken through to china, because it is huge. now, what previously seemed impossible, sanctions against the merchant fleet have been announced. and this will continue to develop. we have no doubt. that if the kremlin does not move in the direction of de-escalation, then the sanctions not only of britain and the usa will become more and more painful. so i would say that it is necessary to watch without great optimism and at the same time not believe that russia's resources are inexhaustible. of course, this is not the case, and it cannot be assumed that russia has any unlimited human resources, since qualified military personnel do. as
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you rightly said, there are not enough, and they cannot be prepared quickly, and this applies to the navy, and aviation, and so on, and so on, and today also means of communication, that is, everything that determines the war. war today is defined to a very small degree, we see it by infantry, untrained infantry, today the whole image of war that is being demonstrated is completely different. ours i would like to remind tv viewers that oleksandr morozov, a political analyst and political scientist who is currently working for them, is in prague. the time of our program has run out, stay with the espresso tv channel. my colleagues will inform you about all the most important things that are happening both in ukraine and in the world. watch out for yourself and your loved ones, do not ignore
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air warning signals. with god and see you on the air. 14 in ukraine and bring to your attention a news release. iryna koval works for you on the espresso tv channel in the studio. congratulations to all viewers, and simply now about the most important events. the russian occupiers continue to raid kherson and the region. two people were injured due to shelling of the city. the enemy attacked the dnipro district with drones. as a result of the impact , a 55-year-old man, who was in the car at the time, was injured. he was hospitalized in serious condition with explosive and craniocerebral injuries and shrapnel injuries, the city military
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administration reported. the enemy also dropped explosives on the crowd.

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