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under control, watch news at 21, summaries of the week. the usa has finally allowed british and french missiles to be launched against military facilities deep in russia. tons of dead fish in the seim and desna rivers. queue environmental disaster committed by the russians. consequences of the attack on lviv on september 4. people whose homes were destroyed or damaged live. about all this and much more already at 21 on espresso. saturday politclub, live ether, the main events of ukraine and the world, we summarize, analyze, discuss and discuss. vitaly portnikov, andriy smoliy. congratulations, friends. we start, we start traditionally

with mr. vitaly on the security block, on what concerns the security of our country, the war, the war in our country, well, actually everything. everything, everything around this, so, mr. vitaly, in the current week we saw that russia has nevertheless formed this shock fist, at least there someone calls 40 thousand, someone 60 00, and during the last few days it is trying to counterattack, trying to carry out an alleged its counteroffensive on the territory of those districts, those territories of the kursk region, which are currently controlled by the defense forces of ukraine. in this context, do you think russia will try to throw... as many forces here as possible in the coming weeks and months

and will they succeed, relatively speaking, in knocking out the ukrainian forces, and most importantly, in this case, do we need to hold on to these territories as much as possible? well, i think that this is a question for the military command, a question of those resources that are needed in order to defend our positions on the territory of the kurdish region, but we must remember that these are now defensive battles, uh, that when ukrainian troops advanced on these... territories, they actually did not meet any resistance, and the exchanges that we are now observing, today was great exchange, i want to congratulate all relatives, those who returned from captivity with this, this is due to the fact that russia, as you can see, wants to release many conscripts, that for putin, the fact that conscripts are in captivity is a moment of social tension, which he needs to extinguish, so volodymyr zelenskyi was definitely right when he said that this is an accumulation. self-confessed material,

because you know, when a contract worker is captured there , well, he signed a contract, and when a conscript is captured, then his parents of course they can ask questions to the authorities, and how did it turn out that you did not ensure the safety of my child, who was not supposed to take part in hostilities at all, this was the case during both chechen wars, and therefore it really works in russia, but now that it has passed quite a long time, as you remember, from the moment... when the offensive began on the territory of the kurt region, these are already fortified areas, and that the russians will even try to liberate them from the ukrainian troops, these are huge losses, so let's see what the number of troops they will be there accumulate, whether they will have to withdraw these troops from other directions, because they too have a difficult task, you are talking about ukrainian tasks, there are also russian tasks, to continue the offensive on the territory of donetsk and at the same time try to liberate it. to whom

until october 1st, well, this is an assignment and, well, he has a lot, i honestly could never understand why he likes exact dates so much just as an accountant. he's not an accountant, here's the accounting department, you come, they tell you, you need to submit this report, this report, this, and it's clear, this the professional approach is such that, as if you were the commander-in-chief, you have to set before the troops a task that they must fulfill not before some holiday or the end of the quarter, in accordance with the amount of resources involved, and all the time they get into a rather strange situation, when they have such a mandate, but cannot fulfill it. this may be so even now, from a political point of view, or even a geopolitical one, taking into account the fact that the exchange rate operation was actually created, made, and used in order to strengthen ukrainian geopolitical positions in front of

the occupying state, but from the political point of view, taking into account the fact that a counterattack is currently taking place, taking into account the fact that you and i have found out, the ukrainians in fact in... the territory of the kursk region today are mostly on the defensive, or from this political point of view, we need to continue to get these areas as much as possible, but still, conditionally speaking, here we should think over time, again about the withdrawal of our troops, it again depends on how much we manage to get the territory , if we can to get it, what do we have to get out of there? the question arises, so we can be, from where to get out, for example, there is kherson, which was liberated by ukrainian troops, it is constantly under fire from much more than the kurt region, constantly flies there, they constantly want to turn this territory into a desert, well, we could to get out of there, if you thought that it was dangerous there, well

, now it will be dangerous in the kurva region as well, look at this whole situation not as a situation there on the sovereign territories of russia or on sovereign territory of ukraine, looks at it as a front line, if we can some areas on the line. to keep, we keep them, if it turns out that their keeping leads to significant technical and human losses, then of course we don't get them, it's a simple formula. we see that russia still continues to advance in the direction of donetsk region, almost every day, according to deep state maps. that is, after all, the russians did not reject their idea of ​​​​further advancement, despite the... kurdish operation, we see that after all after all, they are not withdrawing most of the troops from this direction, that is, putin, mr. vitaly, geopolitically decided to push further here, and even sacrificing, perhaps for a certain time

, certain populated areas of the kurdish region, to continue the offensive in donbas, it seems to me that this is not geopolitics, this is a normal war, but why... it was believed that if we capture some settlements in the kursk region, it will stop the russian offensive in donetsk region. i don't understand that. well, they again look at this entire territory as a theater of war. if you imagine that we introduced completely unexpectedly for them, in fact , troops in the territory of the kursk region, and they stopped the offensive in the donetsk region before and after that, which means that they fell into a real trap, both military and political, that they stopped the offensive. forces were withdrawn from there, which means that we can still advance there. well, if you think that they are losing not politically, but rather militarily and technically, from the presence of our troops in the territory of the kurt region. well, we understand that we can have control over enough a limited part of this territory.

during this time, the russian troops, of course, did not give us the opportunity to strengthen, but they themselves strengthened themselves on the strategic frontiers for themselves, near kurchatov, near... the kursk nuclear power plant and near the regional center itself, well, everything else can be located for a certain time in danger zone, but of course, in this situation, to demonstrate that they are ready, as you understand, to abandon the offensive in kursk oblast, in donetsk oblast, because they need to liberate kurshchyn, well that it means to admit that our plan has completely failed in all... directions, this is not the kind of luxury that putin can afford, you see, they gathered troops from different directions for a long time in order not to touch donetsk from the depths of russia, they created, glued a new group, now this new group will try to achieve something there in this territory, well, most likely they

will strengthen this group, well , they will again, but you need to understand how much strength they have, this is again a desire to strengthen and an opportunity it is not the same pod time of war well, it's the same as putin's wish on october 1, yes, on october 1, kyiv in three days, we all know to get some kind of result, and by the way, by october 1. the occupiers are supposed to capture pokrovsk as well, allegedly, according to their reports, so here, as they say, these dates, in 99% of cases, they never coincided, as they say, and fortunately for us, they did not happen. another important event took place this week, which is iran's actual delivery of ballistic missiles to russia. what has been talked about for a long time, and what can be said

to say iran, what iran did not dare to do, at least for a period, it did. well, like, because, again, we don't have accurate information, we know this message from western sources, we haven't seen any rockets yet, but at, but at least the official representatives of the white house, yes, of course, that is, we refer here no longer just the wall street journal or the times, and... we're referring here specifically to the white house, to sullivan, yes, to kirby, who are saying that yes, these missiles were allegedly delivered on the 4th of september to the territory of russia, well, the next step is the technical process, as they say, after all, we understand that this is not a matter of one day, we understand that the russian military on the territory of iran learned that during the summer of now... the current year of 2024 , things did not just happen some consultations, there was direct preparation for the delivery of

these ballistic missiles, that is, the decision was made much earlier. nevertheless, if we are talking about this, as far as the delivery of these missiles and their most likely future use, i think that this is again the message of the white house, the matter of several weeks, how much difference can it make? the schedule, conditionally speaking, of supporting ukraine, and the second question, iran still decided to take this step, can it continue to deliver ballistic missiles, let's say with a longer range, there an average range of 400, 500, 600 km, about that, by the way , the american press also suggests and says that such a possibility is currently under consideration, well, first of all, i think every morning can afford anything. uhu, that he does not risk anything, that is , everything he risks can happen in communication with short-range missiles,

nothing happens from a change in the level of missiles. second, it is obvious that a certain group of allies has formed in the world, which works together to destabilize the west, and not only in the post-soviet space, but also in the near east. because iran plays the main violin in the middle east for destabilization, and russia helps it, and russia plays the main violin in the post-soviet space in the war with ukraine, and iran helps it here, also, by the way, not everywhere, but you may have noticed that when russia raised the subject again trans-border corridor between azerbaijan and nakhchivan, its autonomy, which is separated from the main part of azerbaijan in iran. and for this corridor to be controlled by the fsb of russia, no one in tehran liked it, that is, there are

many interests that they do not have in common, but when there are common interests, anti-american, they are happy to use these interests, this is such a very important moment for me , and this is the result of the war, there are three countries that are ready to exchange weapons, because it is obvious that russia is also helping iran, and helps north korea for. for the sake of joint confrontation with the west, and there is another interesting thing: two of these countries are russia and iran, and north korea already has nuclear weapons, and iran is close to obtaining them in a very short time, if it is not prevented, that is, it is still and a nuclear coalition, that is, it does not foresee any actions that could lead to the external liquidation of the regimes established by these countries. this is a serious test for the west, it is a more global story than just the war in yugoslavia.

or the war in syria. so, this is one point, another point is very important in this situation, it is connected, of course, with the fact that iran absolutely does not pay attention to any western remarks, it even laughs, here is the minister of foreign affairs of iran, said, listen , we have absolutely no intention to supply missiles to russia, and in general, we have been under western sanctions for decades, we do not have advanced technologies, and you boast that we supply them. and missiles, which we cannot have in such a sanctions situation, well, that's complete delusional, we have seen the shelling of israel with real iranian missiles, high range, and debris found in many countries next to israel, this is no secret, and when the iranians say that we do not have such weapons at all, this is of course mockery, well, the iranians in including and declared that they did not

deliver anything, moreover, iran summoned ambassadors, so parts. in the civilized world and declared that this is an absolute lie, and no one has supplied russia with any missiles, that this is some disinformation policy of the united states of the united states of america, well, they did exactly the same thing with drones, with shaheds, that’s how they said that they didn’t supply them either, they supplied a certain batch, but before the war, ugh, that is, they absolutely calmly believe that in relations with this enemy in the world, outright lying is the best tactic, and it used to be to yourself as well. no one allowed, so when they tell me, look, putin made such a statement, putin made such a statement, well, read the statement of the minister of foreign affairs of iran, who say that there are no missiles, but then you will see how these missiles will be fired at ukraine, but what this really changes, oddly enough, it frees the hands of our allies to a certain extent, in short, they say, listen, if you entered into a direct

confrontation with us, if you use no only your equipment. for the war in ukraine, but also the equipment is connected with iranian production, then we can allow ukraine more than we have allowed until now, because iran no longer asks you how far you send your missiles, to the one you want, to you send that, well, here with ukraine, if we agree with the point of view that the weapons that are placed in... then i think that this idea, which we first heard after , by the way, the offensive of the armed forces of ukraine in the kursk region began, this idea can be spread on missiles, and this is an important point, that by and large iran's supply of missiles to russia, well, first of all, it proved that russia is not going to end any war,

i don't understand, in general, there are still some illusions about a quick end to this war, and - secondly, that... that the allies can act as allies of russia, everything is the same for them and everything is the same for the allies. i don't know if there will be an announcement, something real, that we will be able to use western missiles to attack the sovereign territory of russia, but this is a direct consequence of these iranian actions, as a pretext, on the one hand, and as a demonstration of the unwillingness of the russian federation to end the war, on the other hand . if we talk in the context of security. security situation, including north korea, as far as i understand, also transferred a new batch of missiles to russia, and again, the western world says that they will apply sanctions to iran, sanctions to russia, we understand that such sanctions, they are unlikely to be effective, so in relation

to russia, perhaps more effective than to iran, in this case, which, after all, can ... for iran will there be consequences, or will there be none at all? i think that the real consequence of iran's participation in destabilizing actions towards ukraine may be that the united states will turn a blind eye to certain israeli actions against iran. that is, it is obvious that there are many people in the israeli government whose hands are literally itching to destroy some nuclear reactors iran, interference. iran to continue its nuclear program, but the americans and europeans are constantly grabbing their hands and saying: "don't do this, because we already know that, there will be an escalation, we cannot allow such an escalation, we will somehow come to an agreement with them, we will force them to stop enrichment of iran, or not to start it, we will talk with them there in a harsh khtanah and so on, well, as you can see, iran and

the russian federation absolutely do not listen to this, how will they talk to him?". so in that regard there is this can ease israel's position. israel is interested in this from its side, because it is clear that iran was and remains the main sponsor of these proxy groups that destabilize the life of israeli society, not only on october 7 of last year, but also since october 7, it is hamas, we understand. that it is under full iranian control, as the protectorate said, and this is hezbollah, which is also under iranian control. and in principle , it would be important for israel to strike iran with such effectiveness that would force the iranians refuse to support these organizations poper. and secondly, would force them to abandon the idea of ​​their nuclear program, because if there is still a third nuclear power in this coalition, then it will be a completely different middle east, and the events that can

begin in this middle east not only from the point of view of relations between iran and israel, because precisely in relation to israel, iran may be afraid of the nuclear potential of israel itself, which has never been announced, but probably exists, but if we talk about the sunni countries with which iran now seems to have relations were normalized through chinese... mediation, i mean first of all with saudi arabia, of course, here is a different story, here relations can deteriorate again, blackmail can start again here, i absolutely allow it, so the consequences can be you are absolutely right to say that this is a different point than the sanctions policy, because i always say that the problem is not that the west has exhausted its sanctions resource, but the problem is that the west over the last 10-15 years has not seen the existence of the so-called... alternative economy, primarily the economy of the people's republic of china, which is able to support countries friendly to china and minimize the effect of western sanctions.

with its long existence in this regime, iran proved in principle the helplessness of the sanctions policy to correct the aggressive course of the country hostile to western values. russia is now proving it, of course, now secondary sanctions can start to take effect. this is also an important point, on the one hand we have. alternatively the western economies of the global south which will the biggest sponsor of the attack on democracy is the dictatorship in the coming decades, the difficult war decades, let's immediately say the 21st century, but on the other hand, this economy of dictatorships depends on cooperation with the economies of the west, i say that if vigorous measures were taken against china, against india, by the way, if b to show these countries that cooperation with russia could lead to their own economic collapse to the problems of the communist party of china haratiya janata. parties, maybe sidzempi on rendermod would stop playing neutrals mediators, well, this is a very cynical game of both politicians, and they thought about the need

to stop cooperation with moscow. we have to take a short break, after which we will certainly continue to talk about this, and about the permission to strike on the territory of russia by the usa and great britain, and of course about the so -called peace initiatives, don't... turn off literally for a few minutes. laughter, physical activity, sneezing. even during such a small load, urinary incontinence can make itself felt. feminost helped me cheers thanks to the natural ingredients, feminost uro helps restore control over urination. feminost uuro - urination under control. bologna miner only on mego. the champions league begins with a match about... the sensational italians and the miners want to bring victory from emilia romagna, cheer on september 18 at 19:45 exclusively on mego. and what do you think about lakalut fix?

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allied resources there. to predict the future was offered to help the united states understand the present and the states to conclude a bilateral security agreement with us, a project for those who care and think politclub every sunday at 20:00 at espresso. watch at 9:00 p.m.: news, summary of the week: the united states finally allowed british and french missiles to be launched at military facilities deep in russia. tons of dead fish in the seim and desna rivers, another environmental disaster perpetrated by the russians. consequences of the attack on lviv on

september 4, where they live. people whose homes were destroyed or damaged. about all this and much more already at 21 on espresso. saturday political club, direct ater, we are back, and now we will talk about the actual topic, which one has apparently become the mainstream of discussion in the last few days, this is a possible authorization to strike. on the territory of russia, by american and british missiles, such a whole parade was reported in the western press , including from official officials, it was expected that such permission would be granted at the time when the secretary of state of the united states of america, anthony blinken, was in ukraine, this was not the case happened, later everyone thought and thought that it would happen during

the meeting. the president of the united states of america and the prime minister of great britain, but again this did not happen. on the other hand, we see statements, official statements, in particular, mr. kirby again, he stated that the us has not yet changed its policy regarding strikes deep into russian territory. however, there are other reports, for example, the guardian writes that the usa and britain still allowed it. decoy strikes on the territory of russia, but did not announce it, and here is the most interesting thing, is it really so, because officially it is not mentioned, officially we see that the representatives of the white house say no, we have not changed our position, but not officially everything can be much more interesting, here is this parade of expectations, parade of information, information flows, parade. statement, what does this

indicate and whether, mr. vitaly, we should really expect such an opportunity in the coming days and weeks, or perhaps we already have such an opportunity, well, we must understand that this period of policy change is being prepared very carefully, so that if it was just an exchange of pleasantries, as you understand, there wouldn't be a whole cycle of meeting, which i'll remind you that just... this week the united states secretary of state anthony blinken went to london, held talks there with british foreign minister david lammy, david lammy and antony blinken arrived in kyiv together, held talks with volodymyr zelenskyi, after that joseph biden met with keir starmer in washington, and they both say that the exchange of views will continue at the session of the un general assembly, that is

, western leaders will also meet there. it is obvious that the strategic course regarding the further russian-ukrainian war will be discussed, and volodymyr zelenskyi will be at this session, so it is obvious that there will be his meeting with the western leaders, so this is just a preparation for a new phase of the war, let's say the war in 2025, and obviously the war in 2025 must be different from the war in 2024, as the war in, say, 2026, if it continues to probably. will differ from the war in 2025 seasonally, we are not even talking about a year now, but it is clear that in november and december there will be a lull in hostilities, preparations for a new round of hostilities in the spring, so this is how events will unfold, well, obviously, that the question of the use of long-range western weapons by the ukrainian army should be a serious signal for russia, by the way, this is not even a question...