the kremlin itself rhetorically refers to the istanbul agreements, but this is only rhetoric today, because the situation has radically changed since the negotiations in istanbul in 2022. they said, since the istanbul negotiations, the kremlin annexed not only crimea, but also four oblasts of ukraine. and this fundamentally changes the situation. the kremlin wants and is operating before the istanbul negotiations, but at the same time constantly emphasizes that the issue of these four regions of ukraine must be firmly resolved in favor of russia, that is, it requires the withdrawal of troops of ukraine from these territories and the transition in general.

all this does not create any possible step for real negotiations. therefore, the negotiations, as they were, are still going along some tracks, the exchange of prisoners, there were probably also some negotiations about the need to stop shelling the infrastructure. negotiations are underway together with the ministry of education and culture regarding nuclear plants and so on. but, in my opinion , there are no peace negotiations now, and the prerequisites for them are not visible. look at the strange signals from the former minister of defense of russia, shoigu, yes, who started talking about what would be there was some kind of understanding on the topic of not destroying energy infrastructure facilities. yes, i don't know, to believe shoi is basically to disrespect yourself, but he... stepped up and

we understand that, in principle, he does not occupy a powerful position, that is, he is not a full-fledged player, but he went to this interview and went to the eyes ot throw away. what do you think this means, in general, the figure of shoigu in this very specific schedule, at one time, by the way, he was present in istanbul. it must be understood that shoigu simply took a position patrushev, that is, he became the secretary of the security council of the russian federation. secretary of the security council, he gives this interview, in which he formulates all the same things that patrushev would have said in his place, if he had remained in this position. this is simply an expression of the consistent, aggressive and tough position of the security council of russia regarding this war. thus, it should not be perceived as a speech by shuigu himself, no matter what his current position is. clearly they have deteriorated, that's understandable, but in this interview he is you. not as a personal

figure, but as the head of the security council, who formulates exactly what putin advocates. this should be taken into account. yes, that is, well, with the so-called fiction, we figured out, yes, the parameters of the new phase of the war. yes, the kursk operation is extremely successful in military terms. i do not know in what way our military command will develop it, but the kremlin did not wait, and the kremlin does not know how to sell. to the russian population, well, he says about some ephemeral bandits there, that is, it is not a formula and it is not an answer, and in principle, it even caused a certain reaction in the most fashionable public, military personnel and so on and so on, so kursk is a new reality, and you very rightly noted about the big drone war, it started to fly, i imagine moscow, the way the air defense system just works there during this or that massive... visit of ukrainian drones,

as we understand, in principle the kremlin did not think that two sides could play such a game, that is, in ukraine we know what to expect from the kremlin, and russia thought that the war was somewhere over there , the war in ukraine and so on, here the war came inside russia, and even not just as balls with corpses, not just loads of 200, not just memes about kalina, the car is like that, yes, but specifically. and here is a new phase of the war, how do you see it? yeah, that's how i look at it. there is no doubt that what we are seeing from the beginning of august onwards, if we look at the logic of this war and the way it has developed, we are seeing a new phase here. i will not undertake to evaluate the military result, now the offensive in the kursk region and the military side of the drone war. however, it can be said for sure that politically... he showed

such an important side, because before that there was imagination. that putin is waging a territorial war and the issue revolves around the 1991 borders. now the situation has changed somewhat, obviously, because putin was the only one who blurred the borders of 1991, and with impunity. he eroded them, annexing part of ukraine to himself. now putin has been shown that if you don't recognize the borders of 1991, then... you get the loss of a piece of the border from your old territory, which was constitutionally fixed. reaction of putin and in the kremlin to the ukrainian attack in the kursk region is phantasmagoric, because absolutely all political headquarters in the whole world, looking at what is happening, thought:

yes, for a second, if its own territory is so insignificant for the kremlin, then in this case it is not significant anywhere, not on any other from. for example, let's imagine that tomorrow there will be an attack on vladivostok, let's say a drone attack on the port in vladivostok, which means that the border of the russian federation is blurred there, and the kremlin cannot answer anything, this is a very significant situation in the political assessment, but that is far from all , because how a new stage of the war has just begun, accordingly the long-standing question arose whether ukraine can be given... permission by american politicians to use longer -range missiles. and now, right before our eyes , a decision is being made: yes, it is possible, but recently it was not possible. in addition, it is obvious that

president zelenskyi and commander-in-chief sirskyi took a risky step by going on the offensive against the kursk region, but he justified himself because the question is about military support for ukraine. and the formulation of how european countries and the usa and great britain will continue to support ukraine, which is very important today. we see, they do not refuse, this is a fundamental point. and the third political point, here is very important in the following, which is very obvious, does not understand what is happening, does not want to understand it, whatever you can call it, but it is about the fact that we see the helplessness of both the population and the authorities. the only thing we see is that vladimir putin

only wants to be flooded with money, pay out money, money, money and nothing else. everything is like that itself, like military operations, is conducted on a commercial basis, the kremlin only wants money, you fight, we pay. the same is the case with the population. yes, you lose your homes. yes, everything was bombed, but it's okay, here's 100,000 rubles and continue to live somehow. this is the logic. so that it was not for nothing that they in the kremlin called an open full-scale war against ukraine a war, they invented this neologism svo, so they were afraid of the term war, because i think that in russia, not only in russia, they are very well aware of grassroots level, which means war. accordingly,

the war has come, there is more talk about the war, but all the same, putin is trying to mobilize the russians, but he does not dare to start a full-scale one. because there are purely technological moments, not because putin, so to speak, nurtures one or another illusions, so he simply understands that there is a lack of middle command staff and trained middle command staff, which we knocked out during the war in the east of our country and in the north, that is, those people our fighters physically eliminated during the battles, well, accordingly, he does not go to mobilization, perhaps it is expected of him, perhaps he... is afraid, realizing that the system may not withstand the overload of such and appropriate training, and in general, if we talk about your feeling, like the kremlin elites see the further unfolding of events, that is, they are going to destroy our energy industry

in order to offer something, wait for what will happen, i don't know, agreement from the ukrainian side, no one like that, a similar agreement of course. won't give it, but the kremlin must have some kind of plan, too. i think now we are witnessing the exhaustion of the kremlin's old plan and its lack of a new plan, because the old... plan consisted of surovikin's plan, i.e. missile attacks and heavy positional struggle at the front without major advances. it should be noted that both one and the other, to a certain extent, since it has been going on for a long time, has exhausted itself for the kremlin, although everything continues. the implementation of surovikin's plan, as well as gerasimov's plan, regarding the front continues. but now is the moment, actually, kursk and strengthening the drone. however, to say that we know a new one

putin's plan is impossible, there are two scenarios here, the first, knowing putin's temperament and character, he is still going to crawl, counting on us to live a long time, something will happen next, and then we'll see. but what to do? we will reason that no further nuclear blackmail by the kremlin will be effective. for he has been crying out for a long time: wolves, wolves, everyone has long been prepared for what this might mean. moreover, mobilization, i agree that... mobilization will choke the whole system, and the kremlin is aware of this, which is why it is not carried out, because

there are no bases, it is impossible to train such a large number of mobilized people, you can only do as they do, collect 30-50 thousand on contracts every month, some of them have some experience, so they can be sent to some automobile parts or somewhere else, because they were once signalmen. in a word, this is how it works, mobilization is possible only under some radical plan, and the kremlin, by its behavior, now shows that putin is showing very clearly that the goal is to reach the administrative borders of the donetsk region, to record this result, it has not yet been realized for him, it is clear that despite the summer offensive, it did not happen. the americans will agree. our friends and the british, and perhaps not only them, that ukraine has the right to use

long-range weapons on its own responsibility in those territories that it considers necessary, of course, in compliance with the geneva convention, that is, to hit military objects, and accordingly we understand that the kremlin doesn't like it very much, because you can bring the entire air defense system to moscow, set up a garden ring, but still there is... cities that are powerful centers and where it can also fly, and here is the answer to this, if we talk, for example, about the plans of trump, harris and so on, that is, how far america will be ready to go to the end. i would say that it is very important for all of us that the republican-democratic consensus regarding the war in ukraine is maintained, despite the controversy from others. in my opinion, it will remain, at least until

march next year, that is, until the new us president takes office. we need to take the white house document seriously now passed on to congress. this is a description of the us strategy for war. this document sets out at the end of biden's term, all the goals and all the understanding that will pass if harris is president. perhaps there will be some changes, but the basis will remain, this is the second important moment, and the third essential moment, i think, and it is right, no matter what efforts the kremlin uses, that is, propaganda efforts, no matter how it tries to destroy ukrainian society and the societies of neighboring countries, so that they have changed their positions but the fundamental thing will be that no one ever admits the results of a war if it is territorial. it will be like this anyway,

the kremlin will not get out of this in any way, the next leadership of russia or some elite group of the orf will be able to find a way out of the situation, i have no doubt about it, because there are no historical situations from which there is no way out. and therefore find a way out of the situation so that the world community can say that we have ended the war. but no recognition of territorial seizure as a result of unprovoked aggression, just so. it is absolutely clear that the kremlin is not understood and if not, then in this case the kremlin will have to deal in any case in 2025, 26 or 2027, with the fact that the global alliance of support for ukraine, despite the change of governments and parliaments in these countries, will

remain on this line of assessment , starting from 2014, especially after 2022, double and third is unacceptable. it seems to me that there is such a picture here, there will be no other, it seems to me that there is such a picture here, there will be no other, well, but on the other hand, we will also be aware that the kremlin is learning, the kremlin learning from its own mistakes, the kremlin is gradually rebuilding what is called its own economy, it is not only china. this is india, this is what is called collective brix, and we don't know there who will join it and how serious it all is. that is, as far as we understand, in principle, the kremlin is not afraid of a protracted war, of great intensity, of course, they are not ready for the fact that military airfields of strategic purpose will start building somewhere in the murmansk region or

somewhere beyond the urals, they were not ready for this ready, they don't know, they don't have an answer, this is a huge reputational loss, that is... the kremlin is losing prestige in front of its so-called allies. i think that even in north korea from time to time they can laugh at russian allies in quotation marks. but, that is, a protracted story is also a time for the kremlin to rethink, retrain a hundred or two thousand of its people, and so on. to shift certain powers of the economic plan to the collective south or east. well, in a word. china and india do you think are these the countries that the kremlin is hoping for, are they interested in it, or is it possible that xijin ping is already sitting in beijing with a watch and saying, yes, listen, well, it's time to finish it, vladimir vladimirovich, you still have three months to do it , in order to save your face and get out, get out of the war, well there,

is it possible that some other dates are announced, or some terms, or is everyone satisfied with this... here is a great rearrangement of continental security, well, we understand what it is accompanied by, a great destructive bloody war yes, this is an important question, first, you you're right, i agree, there shouldn't be any triumphant mood, that the kremlin is running out and so on, the resource capabilities of the russian federation in this war are preserved, that's obvious, but i want to emphasize one important thing. in 2022, when the sanctions were introduced, everyone said that the sanctions were working, and they were, the kremlin itself admitted it. then in 2023, there was an adaptation, as they said, of the russian economy to the sanctions policy, and everyone said: "well, you see, the sanctions don't work." we are now entering the fall of 2024, when

after the december decision of the us on secondary sanctions, it is quite obvious. allies are making it very clear that they will not circumvent banking sanctions and meet russian companies that want to trade in things that cannot be done, they will not facilitate them. this applies to turkey, and china, and the countries of central asia, which are now taking these measures. thus, it is now clear that putin did not manage to get india or china to make some kind of compromise through his diplomacy, this is quite important. it is clearly visible that the central bank of russia now assesses the situation with great apprehension, with much more than it was in 2023. when nabilina said, yes,

nothing, it's fine, we will stand. now the ruble has gone. inflation does not stop, and the rate of the central bank has ceased to affect the situation, and everyone there understands this, among the economic authorities, in other words, not everything is as if it were mechanistic, this is how the economy reacts every time, and now there will be some second stage of adaptation, but it will be more difficult for putin, it will be a difficult stage to cope with, plus right now there are reports that after all. sanctions against the merchant fleet are still to come, that is, it is not enough for the kremlin big problems with airplanes, as a result of all the aggression, and with civilian airplanes, and... civilian transportation, problems on the railways, because the traffic cannot be broken through to china, because it is huge. now,

what previously seemed impossible, sanctions against the merchant fleet have been announced. and it will continue to develop. we have no doubt that if the kremlin does not move in the direction of de-escalation, the sanctions will increase not only on britain and the usa. so i would say that you have to look without much optimism and at the same time do not think that the resources russia is inexhaustible, of course it is not, and it cannot be assumed that russia has some kind of unlimited human resources, because the qualified military really, as you rightly said, are few and cannot be trained quickly, and this also applies to the navy and ... war today is very little

defined, we see it by infantry, untrained infantry. today, the entire image of war that is being demonstrated is completely different, so the kremlin is not doing well here. i thank you, oleksandr, for this extremely interesting and informative conversation on the air of the tv channel. i want to remind our tv viewers that oleksandr morozov, a political analyst and political scientist who is currently working for them, is in prague. the time of our program has run out, stay with the spresso tv channel, my colleagues will inform you about all the most important things that are happening both in ukraine and in the world. take care of yourself and your loved ones, do not ignore the air alarm signals, with god, and see you on the air. laughter, physical activity, sneezing, even during such a small load, urinary incontinence can give about

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contrary to all expectations, russian soldiers. the kremlin did not send them to the front, yet they ended up on the front line during the operation of ukrainian troops in the kursk region of the russian federation. this is realia donbas and i am olya terebynska. today in the program you will see an interview with russian conscripts who got into polon of the zsu, and we will find out what now awaits conscripts in russia. the operation of the armed forces of ukraine on the territory of the kursk region began on the sixth. in august , ukrainian troops crossed the border of the zrf, while moving through the border regions, on the same day, information appeared on the network about russian military personnel who were en masse surrendering as prisoners in ukraine? were you in ukraine? will you president of ukraine volodymyr zelenskyi said that the ukrainian armed forces captured more than 600 soldiers in kursk region, among them hundreds of conscripts.

this conscript says that he stayed at the border for four months, he says, he understood that it was dangerous there, but he had no idea about the breakthrough of the armed forces. silence, everything is happening in the belgorod region. another prisoner said that they didn't even really know where are located, even after the offensive of ukrainian troops. just went to the forest. we slept for two days somewhere in the forest strips, moved during the day closer to the evening, then left during the day, we looked for water and food, we had not eaten or drank for a long time, we found the position of our mortars, rapiers, until the moment when we were captured on rapiers, i didn’t see a single person, anywhere, only drones, mavics and everything, drones, there are some, according to the third prisoner of war, at the beginning

of their military service, everything is quiet, calm, the conscripts admit, they were scared only in first minutes after how they ended up in captivity, they say, there were various rumors among fellow servicemen about what was happening to the prisoners in ukraine. they said that prisoners of war were beaten, insulted, and malnourished, but when we were captured, they immediately changed our clothes, we went to wash, they fed us three times a day, they gave us clean bed linen, well, no one complains,

everything is fine. threw a grenade at our feet, we agreed, hugged and threw the grenade so as not to surrender, the guy was not from our platoon, the guy was not from our platoon, he tried to blow themselves up with a grenade, it seems that when the attack came, they sat in the trenches for several days, thought of going for provisions and came across a ukrainian. they were probably afraid, there were rumors that there were beatings, cutting, all that kind of thing, in reality it's not like that, that doesn't happen. all three say that they went to serve solely so that there would be no problems with work in the future, and they do not want to return to the army after the exchange. 115 exchange took place on august 24.