i would say that we have to be careful and cultured about clickable headlines, because all the time we as media consumers react that there is a headline and someone says that they are for peace and every time it causes a violent reaction and feeling that something is happening somewhere, and it is being hidden from us. however, in reality, when leaders like olaf scholz or another european leader or diplomat from... it means only one thing: everyone who has anything to do with the war that russia is waging against ukraine wanted b, for peace to come, this is obvious. however, at the same time, diplomacy cannot be built differently, we cannot imagine that someone supports ukraine, supports ukraine militarily, and at the same time did not declare that peace is necessary.

who on planet earth does not want to be a bloodthirsty person who demands war, war and only war. if we take the real negotiation processes, i would say, it seems to me, and many people see it, that nothing fundamentally new is happening compared to what happened a year ago. in this aspect of negotiations, why is the first important moment. it is sometimes said that changes on the front strengthen the negotiating side. the country in the event that it is successful, or the negotiating side of the kremlin, when, for example, putin carries out a massive attack on infrastructure. but in reality , in my opinion , there is no strengthening of the negotiating position. why? because both formulas, both the putin formula and the ukrainian formula, do not involve any compromise. many

are trying to articulate something between these two positions, we hear the voices of those who are just loudly saying a cease-fire, and that indeed recorded in the sino-brazilian memorandum. someone is discussing that maybe ukraine will give up the territories, and then the road to peace will open. someone says, let's try to negotiate, maybe the kremlin will agree to take some. the kremlin itself rhetorically refers to the istanbul agreements, but this is only rhetoric today, because since the negotiations in istanbul in 2022, the situation has changed radically, everyone knows and understands this and has talked about it many times, the kremlin since the istanbul negotiations...

annexed not only crimea, but also four regions of ukraine. and this fundamentally changes the situation. the kremlin wants and is operating before the istanbul negotiations, but at the same time it constantly emphasizes that the issue of these four regions of ukraine must be firmly resolved in favor of russia, that is, it demands the withdrawal of ukrainian troops from these territories and their transfer under the jurisdiction of russia in general. all this does not create any possible step for real negotiations. therefore, the negotiations, as they were and are going along some tracks, exchanged prisoners, and probably some negotiations were held about the need to stop shelling infrastructure. negotiations are underway with magate regarding nuclear plants and so on.

look, the strange signals from the former minister of defense of russia, shoigu, yes, who started talking about the fact that there would be some kind of understanding on the topic that they will not destroy the objects of the energy structure, so i don't know whether to believe him in principle, this is disrespecting oneself, but he became more active, and we understand that, in principle, he does not hold a... powerful position, that is, he is not a full-fledged player, but he went to this interview went to the eyes so throw in what you think this means in general , the figure of shoigu in this very specific schedule, so at one time he was, by the way , present in istanbul. it must be understood that shoigu simply took the position of patrushev, that is , he became the secretary of the security council of the russian federation, and as the secretary of the security council, he is giving this interview.

to whom he formulates all the same things that patrushev would have said in his place, if he had remained in this position. it is simply an expression of the consistent, aggressive and tough position of the security council. russia, regarding this war. this is how it should be should not be perceived as a speech by shuigu himself, no matter what his current positions are. obviously, they have deteriorated, that's understandable. but in this interview, he does not speak as a personal figure, but as the head of the security council, who formulates exactly what putin speaks with, this must be taken into account. yes, that is, well , we have dealt with the so-called fiction, so the parameters of the new. phases of the war, so the kursk operation is extremely successful in military terms, i do not know in what way our military command will develop it, but the kremlin did not wait, and the kremlin does not know how to sell it to the russian population, well, he says about some ephemeral bandits there, that is, it

is not a formula and it is not an answer, and in principle it even caused a certain reaction from the most fashionable public, military personnel and so on and so on, so... kursk - this is a new reality, and you very rightly noted about the big drone war, it started to fly, i imagine, to moscow, the way the system just works there air defense during one or another massive visit of ukrainian drones, and we understand that, in principle, the kremlin did not think that in such a the game can be played by two sides, that is, in ukraine we know what to expect from the kremlin, and russia thought that the war was somewhere over there, a war in ukraine. and so on, here the war came inside russia, and not even just as balls with corpses, not just loads of 200, not just memes about kalina, the car is like that, yes, but concretely, and here is a new phase of the war, as you see it, yes, that's how i look at it,

there's no doubt that what we're seeing from the beginning of august onwards, if you look at the logic of this war and the way it's developed, then here we see a new stage, i will not undertake to evaluate the military result, now the offensive in the kursk region and the military side of the drone war, but we can definitely say that politically it turned out to be a very significant event that changes the description of the war. why? first of all, because the offensive on kursk showed such an important side, because before that there was an idea that putin was waging a territorial war, and the question... around the borders of 1991. now the situation has changed somewhat in an obvious way, because putin was the only one who blurred the borders of 1991, and with impunity. he washed them, annexing part of ukraine to itself. now

putin has been shown that if you do not recognize the borders of 1991, you will lose a piece of your old border. because absolutely all political headquarters in the whole world, looking at what is happening, thought: yes, for a second, if its own territory is so insignificant for the kremlin, then in this case it is nowhere insignificant, on any other part of the border. for example, let's imagine that tomorrow... there will be an attack on vladivostok, let's say a drone attack on the port in vladivostok, which means that the border of the russian federation is there blurs, and the kremlin cannot answer anything, this is a very significant situation in the political assessment, but it is far from everything, because

as soon as a new stage of the war began, accordingly , a question arose that has been raised for a long time, can ukraine be given permission by american politicians to use? in addition , it is obvious that president zelenskyi and commander-in-chief sirskyi took a risky step by going on the offensive against the kursk region, but he justified himself because the issue of military support for ukraine did not budge from this, although kremlin'. the usa and great britain will continue to support ukraine, which is very important today. we see, they do not refuse, this is

a fundamental point. and the third political moment, here is very important in the following, which is very clearly shown by the kursk operation and the new stage of the drone war. to what extent the russian population is atomized, does not understand what is happening, does not want to understand it, whatever you want to call it, but it is about what we see without advice. pay out money, money, money and nothing else, that's it itself, like military operations, is conducted on a commercial basis, the kremlin only wants money, you fight, we pay. the same is the case with the population. yes, you lose your homes. yes, everything was bombed, but it's okay, here's 100,000 rubles and you can live somehow,

that's the logic. that's the logic. okay, and putin's war plan? we understand that it was not for nothing that they in the kremlin called an open full-scale war against ukraine a war, they came up with this neologism svo. yes, they were afraid of the term war because i think in russia, not only in russia, they are very well aware at the... grassroots level what war means. accordingly, the war has come, there is more talk about the war, but all the same, putin is trying to mobilize the russians, but he does not dare to engage in full-scale mobilization, because there are purely technological aspects, not because putin, so to speak, nurtures some or other illusions, yes he simply understands that there is a lack of middle command staff and trained middle command staff. which we knocked out during the war in the east of our state and on midnight, that is, those people

were physically eliminated by our fighters during the battles, and accordingly he does not go to mobilization, perhaps it is expected of him, perhaps he is afraid, realizing that the system may not withstand the overload of such and corresponding training, and in general, if to talk about your feeling, the way the kremlin elites see the further development of events, that is, they are gathering... is to destroy our energy in order to anything, to offer some offer, wait for what will happen, i don't know, agreement from the ukrainian side, no one like that of course, he will not give his consent, but the kremlin must have some sort of plan, too. it seems to me that now we are witnessing the exhaustion of the kremlin's old plan and its lack of a new plan, because the old plan consisted of surovykin's plan, i.e. the missile. shelling and heavy positional struggle at the front without major advances.

it should be noted that both one and the other to a certain extent, since it has been going on for a long time, has exhausted itself for the kremlin, although everything continues. the implementation of surovykin's plan, as well as gerasimov's plan regarding the front, continues. but right now, kursk itself and the intensification of the drone war show this clearly enough that this... however , it is impossible to say that we know putin's new plan, there are two scenarios here: first, knowing putin's temperament and character, he is going to continue to crawl , counting on the fact that we live a long time, something will happen next, and then we'll see. script, it has to do something, but what?

let's assume that any future nuclear blackmail by the kremlin will not be effective, because it has been shouting for a long time: wolves wolves, everyone has long been preparing for whatever it is could mean in addition to the mobilization, i agree that the entire system will choke in the mobilization. and the kremlin is aware of this, that is why it is not held, because there are no bases, it is impossible to prepare such a large number of mobilized people, you can only do as they do, collect 30-50 thousand on contracts every month, some of them have some experience, so they can be directed to some automobile parts or somewhere else, because they were once signalmen, in one word it works like this, mobilization. is possible only under some radical plan, and the kremlin's behavior

now shows that putin shows very clearly that the goal is to reach the administrative borders of the donetsk region, to record this result, this has not yet been realized for him, it is clear that despite the summer offensive, this did not happen. both our american and british friends, perhaps not only them, will agree that... ukraine has the right to use those long-range weapons on its own responsibility in the territories it considers necessary, of course, in compliance with the geneva convention, that is, it would ... on military facilities and accordingly, we understand that the kremlin does not like it very much, because you can bring the entire air defense system to moscow, set up a garden ring, but still there are cities that are powerful centers and where you can also fly, and here is the answer to this, so to speak , for example, about the plans of trump, geris

, and so on, that is, how much america... will be ready to go to the end. i would say that it is very important for all of us that the republican-democratic consensus on the war in ukraine is simply preserved, despite the controversy from other questions and this consensus exists. in my opinion, it will remain, at least until march next year, that is, until the new us president takes office. we need to take seriously the document that the white house has now... handed over to congress. this is a description of the us strategy for war. this document sets out at the end of biden's term, all the goals and all the understanding of what will happen if harris is president. maybe there will be some changes, but the basis will remain. this is the second important point. and the third important point. i think that too

right, no matter what efforts the kremlin uses, that is, propaganda efforts, no matter how it tries to destroy. ukrainian society and the societies of neighboring countries to change their positions, but the fundamental thing will be that no one will ever recognize the results of the war, if it is a territorial seizure as a result of aggression, it will be the same, the kremlin will not get out of this. the next leadership of russia or some elite group of the orf will be able to find a way out of the situation, i am in it. and therefore find a way out of the situation so that the world community can to say that we have ended the war, but no recognition of territorial seizure as a result of unprovoked aggression, just like that. it is absolutely clear that the kremlin does not

understand this and is not moving, not even going to move. to get out from under this wording, and if not, then in this case the kremlin will have to deal in any case, in 2025, 26 or 2027, with the fact that the global alliance of support for ukraine, despite the change of governments, parliaments in of these countries, will remain on this assessment line, it is unacceptable, as it has been since 2014. especially after 2022. doubles and triples are unacceptable. it seems to me that there is such a picture here, there will be no other. well, on the other hand, we will also be aware of what the kremlin is learning. the kremlin is learning from its own mistakes. the kremlin is gradually rebuilding what

is called its own economy, it is not only china, it is india, it is what is called a collective. brics and we do not know who will join it and how serious it all is, that is, as far as we understand, in principle, the kremlin is not afraid of a protracted war, of great intensity, of course, they are not ready to the fact that strategic military airfields somewhere in the murmansk region or somewhere beyond the urals will begin to be closed, they were not ready for this, they do not know, they have no answer, this is a huge loss of reputation, that is, the kremlin loses prestige in front of those, yes called their... allies, i think even in north korea they can laugh at the russian allies in quotes from time to time, but that is a long story - it's also time for the kremlin to rethink, to retrain one hundred and two thousand of its people and so on, to transfer those or other powers of the economic plan for

the collective south or east, well, in a word, china and india, what do you think? these are the countries that the kremlin is hoping for, are they interested in it, or is it possible that xijin ping is already sitting in beijing with a watch and saying: yes, listen, well, it's time to finish it, vladimir vladimirovich, you still have three months to save your face and get out, get out of the war, well, is it possible that some other dates are announced or some deadlines, or is everyone satisfied with this big rearrangement of continental security. bake well, we understand what it is accompanied by, a big, destructive, bloody war. yes, this is an important question. first, you are right, i agree. there should be some kind of triumphant mood, that the kremlin is being exhausted and so on, the resource capabilities of the russian federation in this war are preserved, this is obvious, but i want

to emphasize one important thing: in 2022, when the sanctions were introduced, everyone said that the sanctions were working, and yes, the kremlin itself admitted it, then in 2023 there was an adaptation, as they said, of the russian economy to... politics and everyone said: that's it you see, sanctions do not apply. now we're entering the fall of 2024, when, after the december decision by the us on secondary sanctions, it's quite clear that the sanctions have started working again, and they're working in a big way, because the financial system is taking a big, big hit. the allies are really clearly showing that they will not bypass bank sanctions and go to meet the russians. companies that want to trade in what is not possible will not be facilitated, this applies to turkey, and china, and the countries of central asia, which are now using these

measures thus, it is now clear that putin did not manage to get india or china to make some kind of compromise through his diplomacy. this is quite important. it is clear that the central bank of russia is now assessing the situation. inflation does not stop, and the rate of the central bank has stopped influencing the situation, and everyone there understands this, among the economic authorities, in other words, not everything is mechanistic, this is how the economy reacts every time. now there will be some second stage of adaptation, but it will be a more difficult stage for putin, which will not be easy to cope with. plus directly

now there are reports that sanctions against the merchant fleet are still to come. that is, it is not enough that the kremlin has big problems with airplanes as a result of all the aggression, with civilian airplanes, and with civilian transportation. problems on the railway. no doubt, and it will continue to develop. we do not have that if the kremlin does not move in the direction of de-escalation, then the sanctions not only of britain and the usa will become more and more painful. what i would say is that it should be viewed without great optimism and at the same time not to think that russia's resources are inexhaustible , it certainly isn't, and you can't think that

russia has any kind of unlimited human resources, because qualified military personnel are really, as you rightly said, few and cannot be trained quickly, and this also applies militarily - the navy, and aviation, and so on, and so on, and today... and means of communication, that is, everything that determines war. war today is very little defined, we see it by infantry, untrained infantry. today, the entire image of war that is being demonstrated is completely different, so that the kremlin is not doing well here. i thank you , oleksandr, for this extremely interesting and informative conversation on the air of the tv channel . i want to remind our viewers that oleksandr was working for them now. morozov, political analyst, political scientist who is in prague. the time of our program has run out, stay with espresso tv channel, my colleagues will inform you about all the most important things that

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are engaged in propaganda. russia is throwing millions of petrodollars into turning ukrainians into little russians. ukraine will become russia. countering russian information attacks in the chronicles of information war project with olga len. tuesday, thursday 18:15, repeat, tuesday, friday at 22:00. greetings , this is svoboda live on radio svoboda. we have already approached the serpent himself. the following shots can help you. shock news from the scene live, kamikaze drone attacks, political analytics, objectively and meaningfully, there is no political season, exclusive interviews, reports from the hottest points of the front, liberating openly and without prejudice, you draw your own conclusions. friends, congratulations,

today we will talk about cinema and a lot about music and those films that currently represent ukraine abroad, but let's start with our local cinema, what happened in our country, and one of the most important events that took place this week, this is the distribution of golden breaths, it is probably the most prestigious, well, in my opinion, at least the most promoted film award. in ukraine, and even now , they were distributed quite modestly, i must say that in general, after a full-scale invasion , cultural events, film events take place quite modestly, many organizers generally refuse the red carpet, the black carpet, and just take pictures next to the banner, it is not a carpet at all it is considered, but the golden jugs were handed out for three years, for two days they handed out this

and that award. you see how it happened, just the moviegoers gathered in the hall, you see filip sotnichenko with his little son leo, his wife, valeria sochovyts, they took the most awards with their film la policida, but why two days were given out, because they had been giving out awards for three years, because during the full-scale invasion , the organizer was not so ceremony, i will say that the year before last, oleksiy grandkovskyi received on... serhii mykhalchuk, one of our best operators, and he is now a military man, also received he shoots various documentary footage during the war, and this is us we see 20 days in mariupol, it was the most predictable moment of the ceremony, because because the film won both in the category of the best documentary feature

film and... the best film, well...