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tv   [untitled]    September 16, 2024 4:00am-4:31am EEST

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who defended freedom and opposed aggressive dictators. many ukrainians would say that these are nice words, but americans should act faster and more decisively in support of ukraine. and i agree with that. as i have already mentioned, i hope that the united states and great britain will lift restrictions on the use of long-range weapons by ukraine on the territory of russia. ukraine has the right. defend itself, and russia cannot expect its territory to remain safe while it attacks all of ukraine, killing civilians and terrorizing ukrainian society bombs, missiles and attacks on the energy infrastructure, worsening the life of the ukrainian people. russia has no right to any privileged status. i hope that in the near future the united states for... i
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was pleased to hear how kamela harris spoke in defense of the freedom of ukraine, it shows that not only joe biden supports ukraine, but also the young generation of american leaders also understands that the struggle of ukraine is our common cause. dear mr. ambassador, frith, one of my most favorite poets, thomas stearns eliot once wrote a poem: barren lands, or waste lands, yes, i would not like ukraine to become a waste land, yes, we understand what we are talking about, because the russians will hit very clearly on our civilian objects jects, so this is no news at all, and accordingly, any major political or politico-military decisions, in addition to being bold, must be quite quickly, and then information appeared that the president
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of ukraine volodymyr zelenskyy presented certain elements of his plan, his vision the american establishment, i don't know what 's included, well, it's probably a state secret, i don't know what's included in zelenskyi's plan, but in any case, we understand that certain things have to happen quite quickly, and there has been information that that the forum, the second forum dedicated to the peace formula, may take place this year. in my opinion, ukrainian... diplomacy during the last peace summit in switzerland was at its best. ukraine chose a wise approach. trying to reach the widest possible consensus on issues that would unite as the largest number of countries, especially in the so-called global south. and in my opinion, the ukrainians coped quite well with this task, they managed to achieve progress in gaining or maintaining support for the decisions of the peace summit in switzerland. at least you got some
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support from countries like india and brazil who didn't sign the declaration but attended the summit. so i think it's quite possible that ukraine will make even more progress at the next peace summit. progress can be defined as the unification of a significant number of countries to support the maximum possible number of agreed ukrainian positions. i don't know what the agreement will look like on... it's not for me to talk about it, since i'm an american, what will the conditions be for the ukrainians to decide? i don't know how this war will end, but it will definitely not end with the russian flag flying over kiev, putin has already missed this moment. we, as a collective event, must prepare to strengthen the security of ukraine, so that after the end of this phase of the war, russia will not be tempted to start aggression again. ukraine should not remain in
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the gray zone, the danger zone on the other side of the line front, outside nato and the european union. the gray areas are a green light for putin's further aggression. currently, in order to join the european union, ukraine must meet eu requirements. nato membership requires an agreement on how the alliance can help ukraine defend itself. we in the west must realize that... in europe it depends on whether ukraine will become part of our community. if this does not happen, russia will choose a convenient moment for its next strike. that is why nato decided to accept new members in the 90s among the former satellite countries of the warsaw pact that have regained their independence. this decision was made because there was an understanding that the gray zone is not a zone of stability, it is eternal.
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a temptation for russian aggression. of course, this will require efforts from the ukrainians themselves. there is no automatic right to eu membership. ukraine must respond. his demands, but i believe that after the war the ukrainian people will insist on transformations that will be worthy of their huge sacrifices. they will want to build a european ukraine, and i am sure that they will ukrainians will be able to achieve this. we must help ukraine achieve this goal. its future should be connected with nato and the european union. and as for the future of russia, it should... thank you, dear ambassador frit, for this difficult, difficult, but honest conversation on the air of the espresso tv channel. i would like to remind our tv viewers that ambassador daniel frith, ex-coordinator of the
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united states state department on sanctions policy, was currently working for them. glory to ukraine. glory to the heroes. events, events happening right now and affect our lives, of course, the news feed reports about them, but it is not enough to know what is happening, it is necessary to understand, antin borkovskyi and invited experts soberly assess the events, analyze them, modeling our future. every saturday at 1:10 p.m., with a repeat on sunday at 10:10 a.m. studio zahid with anton. new week on espresso - a weekly summary information and analytical program, a clear understanding of the key events of the past week, analysis of the causes and consequences of these events from experts, forecasts of the development of the situation for the current week, the opportunity to put your own
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questions and join the discussion, spend the final monday evening with us and confidently step into the new week. the new week project with khrystyna yatskiv and andrii. every monday at 20:00 at espresso. oleksandr morozov, a well-known publicist, political analyst, who is in prague, will be working on the air of the tv channel. greetings, oleksandr, glad to see and hear. good day, anton. good day to those who watch and listen to us. well, the key story is the so-called parameters. which is not there, in particular we are talking about the negotiation process, which does not exist, everyone is talking about it, and from time to time splashes of one or other plans reach us, and in general the situation reminds me of a room stuffed with some kind of cotton wool, yes, but this cotton wool , unfortunately, oozes blood, and blood, in particular
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ukrainian. we understand that certain processes are being conducted, certain signals and impulses are being transmitted, so that, in principle, it is a cursory indication that some or other negotiations are crashing... in the capitals, yes, i don't know, from india and beijing to berlin and brussels, that they are talking about something, so we understand what we have again many questions to our partners and allies regarding the supply of heavy weapons to us and permits for their use on the territory of the aggressor state, that is, the process is certain, how do you see it and what are its main parameters. but to treat clickable headlines, because all the time we, as media consumers, react that there is a headline, and someone has declared that he stands for peace, and every time it causes a violent reaction and a feeling that something is happening somewhere, and
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from they hide it from us, but in reality, when leaders like olaf scholz or another european leader or diplomat mentions peace, it is meant. only one thing: everyone who is one way or another related to the war waged by russia against ukraine would like peace to come, that's obvious. however, at the same time , diplomacy cannot be built differently. we cannot imagine that someone supports ukraine, militarily supports ukraine, and at the same time did not declare that peace is necessary. no one on planet earth wants to be a bloodthirsty. war if you take real negotiations with a person who demands war, war, that's all processes, then i would say, it seems to me, and many people see that, that nothing fundamentally new is happening compared to what happened a year ago. in this aspect of the negotiations, why,
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the first point is important, sometimes they say that changes on the front strengthen the negotiating side of ukraine in the event that in... the strengthening of the negotiating position does not happen, in my opinion, why? because both formulas, both the putin formula and the ukrainian formula, do not involve any compromise. and here many are trying to formulate something between them two positions. we hear the voices of those who are just saying loudly about a ceasefire, and this is indeed recorded in the sino-brazilian memorandum. someone is discussing that maybe ukraine will give up the territories, and then the road to
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peace will open. someone says, let's try to come to an agreement, maybe the kremlin will agree to take some territories and return some, and end the war there, that will be a compromise. the kremlin itself rhetorically refers to the istanbul agreements, but this is only rhetoric today, because... they understand and talk about it many times spoke since the istanbul negotiations, the kremlin has annexed not only crimea, but also four oblasts of ukraine. and this fundamentally changes the situation. the kremlin wants and is operating before the istanbul negotiations, but at the same time constantly emphasizes. that the issue of these four regions of ukraine must be firmly resolved in
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favor of russia, that is, it requires the withdrawal of ukrainian troops from these territories and their transfer under the jurisdiction of russia in general. all this does not create any possible step for real negotiations. that is why the negotiations were, and still are walking on some tracks, exchanged captives, also probably. together with the magathe regarding nuclear plants and so on. but there are no peace talks, in my opinion, and the prerequisites for them are not visible. look at the strange signals from the former minister of defense of russia, shoigu, yes, who started it. to talk about the fact that there would be some kind of understanding on the topic of not destroying
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energy structures, i don't know, to believe him is basically to disrespect yourself, but he became more active, and we understand that in principle he does not occupy any powerful position, that is, he is not a full-fledged player, but he went to this interview and went to the eyes of the throwaways. what do you think this means in general, the figure of shoigu in this very specific schedule, so at one time he was present in istanbul until... it must be understood that shoigu simply took the position of patrushev, that is, he became the secretary of the security council of the russian federation. and as the secretary of the security council, he gives this interview, in which he formulates all the same things that patrushev would have said in his place, if he had remained in this position. it's simple statement of the consistent, aggressive and tough position of the security council of russia regarding this war. thus, this should not be taken as a speech by shuigu himself, it does not matter what his
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positions are now, they have clearly deteriorated, that is understandable, but in this interview he does not speak as a personal figure, but as the chairman of the security council, who formulates exactly what what putin advocates, it must be taken into account. yes, that is, we have dealt with the so-called fiction, so the parameters of the new phase of the war, so kursk. the walkie-talkie is extremely successful militarily, i don't know in what way our military command will develop it, but the kremlin did not wait, and the kremlin does not know how to sell it to the russian population, well, it says about some ephemeral bandits there, that is, it is not a formula and it is not an answer, and in principle it even caused a certain reaction in the most fashionable public, warriors and so on and so forth. so, kursk is a new reality, and you are very right from... you learned about the big drone war, it started to fly, i imagine moscow as
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the air defense system just works there during that or another massive visit by ukrainian drones, as we understand, in principle the kremlin did not think that two sides could play such a game, that is, in ukraine we know what to expect from the kremlin, while russia thought that the war was somewhere over there, the war in ukraine and so on, there is a war here. came inside russia, and not even just as balls with corpses, not just 200 loads, not just memes about kalina, the car is like that, yes, but specifically, and here it is... the new phase of the war, how do you see it? yeah, that's how i look at it. there is no doubt that we are we can see from the beginning of august onwards, if we look at the logic of this war and the way it developed, then here we see a new stage, i will not undertake to evaluate the military result, now the offensive in the kursk region,
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and the military side of the drone war, however we can definitely say that politically... such an important side, because before that there was an idea that putin was waging a territorial war, and the issue revolves around the borders of 1991. now the situation has changed somewhat, obviously, because putin was the only one blurring the boundaries 1991, and with impunity. he eroded them, annexing part of ukraine to himself. now putin has been shown that if you do not recognize the borders of 1991, then you will lose a piece of the border from your old territory, which was constitutionally fixed. the reaction of putin and in the kremlin to the ukrainian attack in the kursk region is phantasmagorical, because absolutely all
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political headquarters in the whole world, looking at what is happening... thought, yes, for a second, if its own territory is so insignificant for the kremlin, then it is in such case is not significant anywhere, on any other part of the border. for example, let's imagine that tomorrow there will be an attack on vladivostok, let's say a drone attack on the port in vladivostok, which means that the border of the russian federation is being blurred there, and the kremlin cannot answer anything, this is a very significant situation in aviation. but that's not all, because as soon as a new stage of the war began, the question arose, which has been raised for a long time, whether it is possible for ukraine to be given permission by american politicians to use longer-range missiles? and that's it right now, right before our eyes , a decision is being made: it is possible, and not so long ago it was not
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possible. before this, it is obvious that president zelenskyi and commander-in-chief syrskyi, along with him, did a risky thing by going on the offensive against the kursk region, but he justified himself because the issue of military support for ukraine did not flinch at this, even though the kremlin tried to play that is, they say, how does the event support this? and the formulation of how european countries and the usa and great britain will continue to support ukraine is very important important today we see, they do not refuse, this is a fundamental point. and the third political point, here is very important in the following, which is very clear, the kurdish operation and the new stage of the drone war show how atomized the russian population is, does not understand what is happening, does not want to understand it, whatever you can call it,
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but it is about what we see is the helplessness of both the population and the authorities. the only thing we see is that vladimir putin only wants to be flooded with money. pay money, money, money and nothing else. everything is the same as and military operations are conducted on a commercial basis. the kremlin only wants money, you fight, we pay. the same is the case with the population. yes, you lose your homes. yes, everything was bombed, but nothing. we understand that it was not for nothing that they in the kremlin called an open full-scale war against ukraine a war, they came up with this neologism svo, so they were afraid of the term war, because i
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think that in russia, not only in russia, they are very well aware at the grassroots level, what does war mean accordingly, the war came, about the war they say more, but all the same, putin is trying to mobilize the russians, but he does not dare to engage in full-scale mobilization, because there are purely technological moments, not because putin, so to speak, nurtures one or another illusions, so he simply understands that there is a lack of an average the command staff and the trained middle command staff that we eliminated during the war in... the east of our country and in the north, that is, those people were physically eliminated by our fighters during the battles, well and , accordingly, he does not go to mobilization, perhaps it is expected of him, perhaps he is afraid understand... that the system may not withstand the overload of such and corresponding preparation, and in general, if you are talking about your feeling, the way the kremlin elites
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see the further development of events, that is , they are going to destroy our energy in order to offer something offer, wait, what there will be, i don't know, consent from the ukrainian side, no one like that, of course, will not give such consent, but... but well , the kremlin must also have some kind of plan. it seems to me that now we are witnessing the exhaustion of the kremlin's old plan and its lack of a new one plan, because the old plan consisted of surovykin's plan, i.e. missile attacks and heavy positional struggle at the front without major advances. it should be noted that both one and the other to a certain extent, since it has been going on for a long time, has exhausted itself for the kremlin, although everything continues. the implementation of surovikin's plan, as well as gerasimov's plan regarding the front, continues. but now the moment, in fact, kursk and
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the intensification of the drone war, show clearly enough that this is all over. that is, these plans no longer work. however , to say that we know putin's new plan impossible there are two scenarios here. knowing putin's temperament and character, he is going to continue to crawl, counting on the fact that we live a long time, something will happen next, and then we'll see. and here is the fork. second scenario, he has to do something, but what? we will assume that any further nuclear blackmail by the kremlin will not be effective. shouts: wolves, wolves, everyone has long been prepared for what this could mean. moreover, mobilization, i agree
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that mobilization will choke the whole system, and the kremlin is aware of this, that is why it is not carried out, because there are no bases, it is impossible to prepare such a number of mobilized people, you can only do as they do, collect 30-50 thousand on contracts. every month, among them , some part has some experience, so they can be sent to some auto parts or somewhere else, because they were once signalmen. in a word, this is how it works, mobilization is possible only under some radical plan, and the kremlin's behavior now shows that putin is showing very clearly that the goal is to reach the administrative borders of the donetsk region, he noted. they will agree
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our american and british friends, and perhaps not only them, that ukraine has the right to use long-range weapons on its own responsibility in the territories it deems necessary, of course, in compliance with the geneva convention, that is, to hit military targets. and accordingly we understand that the kremlin does not like it very much, because you can bring the entire air defense system to moscow, set up a garden ring, but still there are cities that are powerful centers and where it can also fly, and here is the answer to this, if talk, for example, about the plans of trump, geris and so on, that is, how far america will be ready to go... to the end. i would say that it is very important for all of us that the republican-democratic consensus is simply preserved. regarding the war in ukraine, despite the controversy on other
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issues. and this consensus exists. in my opinion, it will remain, at least until march next year, that is, until the new us president takes office. the document that the white house has now submitted to congress must be taken seriously. this is a description. us war strategy. in this document sets out at the end of biden's term all the goals and all the understanding that will carry over if harris is president. maybe there will be some changes, but the basis will remain. this is the second important moment, and the third essential moment, i think, and it is correct, no matter what efforts the kremlin uses, that is, propaganda efforts, no matter how it tries to destroy ukrainian society and society.
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the next leadership of russia or some elite group of the orf will be able to find a way out of the situation, i have no doubt about it, because there are no historical situations from which there is no way out. and therefore, to find a way out of the situation so that the world community can say that we have ended the war, but no... recognition of the territorial seizure as a result of unprovoked aggression, just so, it is absolutely clear that the kremlin does not understand this and does not move, is not even going to move to get out of this wording, and if not, then the kremlin will have to deal in any case in 2025, 26 or 2027 with that
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the global... will remain at this grade line, it is not acceptable as it has been since in 2014, even more so, and after 2022, it is doubly unacceptable, it seems to me that there is such a picture here, there will be no other, it seems to me that there will be such a picture here, there will be no other. well, on the other hand, we will also be aware of what the kremlin is learning. the kremlin is learning from its own mistakes. the kremlin is gradually rebuilding what is called its own economy, it is not only china, it is india, it is what is called the collective brics, and we do not know who will join it and how serious it all is. that is, how much we understand that, in principle, the kremlin is not afraid of a protracted war, of great intensity. of course, they are not ready for
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the military to begin. strategic drones somewhere in the murmansk region or somewhere beyond the urals, they were not ready for this, they do not know, they have no answer, this is a huge reputational loss, that is, the kremlin loses prestige in front of its so-called allies, i think that even in north korea from time to time they can laugh at russian allies in quotation marks, but, that is a long story, it is also it's time for the kremlin to rethink, re-prepare. a hundred or two thousand of their people and so on, to transfer one or another power of the economic plan to the collective south or east, well, in a word, china and india. do you think that these are the countries that the kremlin is hoping for, are they interested in it, or is it possible that xi jinping is already sitting in beijing with a watch and saying: yes, listen, well, it's time to finish it, vladimir vladimirovich, you have three more mi
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in order to save your face and get out, get out of the war, well, is it possible that some other dates are being announced, are there any terms, is everyone satisfied with this big rearrangement of continental security, well, we understand what it is accompanied by, a big, destructive, bloody war, yes, this is an important question, it is an important question, first of all, you are right , i agree, there should not be any triumphalism on... that the kremlin is running out and so on, the resource capabilities of the russian federation in this war are preserved, it is obvious, but i want emphasize one important thing: in 2022, when the sanctions were introduced, everyone said that the sanctions were working, and they are, the kremlin itself is admitted then in 2023 there was an adaptation, as they said, of the russian economy to the sanctions policy, and everyone
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said, well... you see, the sanctions don't work. now we're entering the fall of 2024, when , after the december decision by the us on secondary sanctions, it's quite clear that the sanctions have started working again, and they're working in a big way, because the financial system is taking a big, big hit. allies are making it really clear that they will not circumvent banking sanctions and meet russian companies that want to trade. asia, which are now taking these measures. thus, it is now clear that putin did not manage to get india or china to make some kind of compromise through his diplomacy. this is quite important. it is clear that the central bank of russia is currently assessing the situation.

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