but in reality , in my opinion , there is no strengthening of the negotiating position, why, because both formulas, both putin's formula and the ukrainian formula, do not provide for any compromise. and here many are trying to formulate something between these two positions. we hear the voices of those who are simply speaking loudly for termination. someone is discussing that maybe ukraine will give up the territories, and then the road to peace will open. someone says, let's try to come to an agreement, maybe the kremlin will agree to take some territories and return some, and that's it to end the war, that would be the compromise.

since the istanbul negotiations, the kremlin has annexed not only crimea, but also four oblasts of ukraine. and this fundamentally changes the situation. the kremlin wants and is operating before the istanbul negotiations, but at the same time it constantly emphasizes that the issue of these four regions of ukraine must be firmly resolved in favor of russia, that is, it demands the withdrawal of ukrainian troops from these territories and their transfer under the jurisdiction of russia in general. all this does not create any possible step for real negotiations.

negotiations are underway together with the ministry of education and culture regarding nuclear plants and so on. but , in my opinion, there are no peace negotiations now, and the prerequisites for them are not visible. they knew from the side of the former minister of defense of russia shoigu, yes, who started talking about the fact that there would be some kind of understanding on the topic of not destroying the objects of the energy structure, yes, i don't know, believe shoigu, it's in principle no disrespect, but he became more active, and we understand that, in principle, he does not occupy any powerful position, that is, he is not a full-fledged player, but he went to this interview and went to look at the flaws, what do you think... this means

, in general, the figure of shoigu in this very specific schedule, so at one time, by the way, he was present in istanbul. it must be understood that shoigu simply took the position of patrushev, that is, he became the secretary of the security council of the russian federation. and as the secretary of the security council, he gives this interview, in which he formulates all the same things that patrushev would have said in his place, if he had remained in this position. it's just a consistent statement. aggressive and tough position of the security council of russia regarding this war thus, this should not be perceived as a speech by shuigu himself, it does not matter what his positions are now, they have clearly deteriorated, that is understandable, but in this interview, he does not speak as a personal figure, but as the chairman of the security council, who formulates exactly that , with which putin also advocates, it must be taken into account. yes, that is, well, with fiction. we

have figured out the so-called, the parameters of the new phase of the war, the kurdish operation is extremely successful in military terms, i do not know in what way our military command will develop it, but the kremlin did not wait, and the kremlin did not knows how to sell it to the russian population, well, he says about some ephemeral bandits there, that is, it is not a formula and it is not an answer, and in principle it even caused a certain reaction from the most fashionable public. warriors and so on and so on. so, kursk is a new reality and you very rightly noted that a major drone war has begun to fly. i imagine moscow as the air defense system simply works there during one or another massive visit by ukrainian drones. yes, and we understand, in principle the kremlin did not think that two sides could play such a game, that is, in ukraine we know what to expect from the kremlin, but... russia thought that

the war was somewhere over there, the war in ukraine and so on, here the war came inside russia , and not even just as balls with corpses, not just loads of 200. not just memes about kalina, the car is like that, yes, but specifically, and here is a new phase of the war, as you see it, yes, i am exactly like that looking at it, there's no doubt that we 're seeing from the beginning of august onwards, if you look at the logic of this war and the way it developed, then here we see a new stage, i will not undertake to evaluate the military result, now both the offensive in the kursk region and the military... side of the drone war, but we can definitely say that politically, it turned out to be a very significant event that changes the description war why? first, because the offensive on kursk showed such an important side, because before that there was an idea that putin was waging

a territorial war, and the issue revolves around the borders of 1991. now the situation has changed somewhat obviously because putin was... the only one who blurred the borders 1991 year, and with impunity. he eroded them, annexing part of ukraine to himself. now putin has been shown that if you do not recognize the borders of 1991, you will lose a piece of the border from your old territory, which was constitutionally fixed. the reaction of putin and in the kremlin to the ukrainian attack in the kursk region is phantasmagoric. because absolutely all political headquarters in the whole world, looking at what is happening, thought: yes, for a second, if its own territory is so insignificant for the kremlin, then it is in such case is not significant anywhere, on any other part of the border. for example, let's imagine

that tomorrow there will be an attack on vladivostok, let's assume a drone attack on the port in vladivostok, which means that the border of the russian federation is blurred there. and the kremlin cannot answer anything, this is a very significant situation in the political assessment, but it is far from everything, because as soon as a new stage of the war began, accordingly , a question arose that has been raised for a long time: can ukraine be given permission by american politicians to use longer -range missiles? and now right before our eyes a decision is made: it is possible, and recently. it was not possible. before that, it is obvious that president zelenskyi took a risky step, and with him commander-in-chief sirskyi, by going on the offensive against the kursk region, but he justified himself because the question of military support for ukraine did not flinch at this,

although the kremlin tried to play it , they say, how does the west support this, and the formulation of how european countries from... we see, they do not refuse, this is a fundamental point. and the third is political point, here it is very important in the following, that the kurdish operation and the new stage of the drone war clearly show how atomized the russian population is, does not understand what is happening, does not want to understand it, whatever you want to call it. however, we are talking about the fact that we see the helplessness of both the population and the authorities. the only thing we see is that vladimir putin only wants to be flooded with money. pay money, money, money and nothing else. everything

, like military operations, is conducted on a commercial basis. in the kremlin, only for money, you fight, we pay. the same is the case with the population. in russia, not only in russia, they are very well aware at the grassroots level what war means. accordingly, the war has come, there is more talk about the war, but all the same, putin is trying to mobilize the russians, but he does not dare a full-scale mobilization,

because there are purely technological moments, not because putin, so to speak, nurtures some or other illusions, yes he just understands that there is a lack of an average team composition. and trained middle team members, who we killed during the war in the east of our country and in the north, that is, those people were physically eliminated by our fighters during the battles, and from... accordingly, he does not go to mobilization , maybe they expect it from him, maybe he is afraid, realizing that the system may not withstand the overload of such and corresponding preparation, and in general, if we talk about your feeling, the way the kremlin elites see the further development of events, that is, they are going to destroy our energy in order to do something, to offer some kind of offer, i don't know what to expect... agreement from the ukrainian side, of course no one will give similar, similar agreement, but the kremlin

must also have some kind of plan. it seems to me that now we are witnessing the exhaustion of the kremlin's old plan and its lack of a new plan, because the old plan consisted of surovikin's plan, that is, missile attacks and a difficult positional struggle at the front without major advances. it should be noted that both one and the other, to a certain extent, since...

counting on the fact that we live a long time, something further from putin, then he is still going to crawl, will happen, and then we'll see, and here's the fork, the second scenario, he has to do something, but what to do, let's reason so that no further nuclear... "wolves, wolves, everyone has long been preparing for what it could to mean, in addition to mobilization, i agree that the entire system will choke in mobilization, and the kremlin is aware of this, that is why it is not carried out, because there are no bases, it is impossible to prepare such a number of mobilized people." just do as they do, collect 30-50 thousand

per month on contracts, among them some part has a certain experience, so they can be sent to some automobile parts or somewhere else, because they were once communications workers, in a word, this is how it works, mobilization is possible only under some radical plan, and the kremlin's behavior now shows what putin is showing very clearly. that the goal is to reach the administrative borders of donetsk region, to record this result. this has not yet been implemented in him. it is clear that despite the summer offensive, this did not happen. both our american and british friends, perhaps not only them, will agree on what ukraine has the right to use long-range weapons on its own responsibility in those territories it considers necessary. of course, in compliance with the geneva convention, that is, to hit military facilities, and

accordingly we understand that the kremlin does not like it very much, because you can bring the entire air defense system to moscow, set up a garden ring, but there are still cities that are powerful centers and where it can also fly, and here is the answer to that, if we talk, for example, about trump's plans, geris. and so on, that is, as far as america will be ready to go to the end. i would say that it is very important for all of us that the republican-democratic consensus regarding the war in ukraine is simply preserved, despite the controversy on other issues. and this consensus exists. in my opinion, it will remain, at least until march next year, that is, until the new us president takes office. to address the document that the white house has now submitted to congress. this is

a description of the us strategy for war. this document sets out at the end of biden's term all the goals and all the understanding that will carry over if harris is president. maybe there will be some changes, but the basis will remain. this is the second important point. and the third important point. i think, and this is right, no matter what efforts the kremlin makes, that is... propaganda, no matter how it tries to destroy ukrainian society and the societies of neighboring countries, so that they change their positions, but the fundamental thing will be that... no one has ever recognizes the results of the war, if it is a territorial seizure as a result of aggression, it will be so anyway, the kremlin will not get out of this in any way. the next leadership of russia or some elite group of the orf will be able to find a way out of the situation. i do not doubt this, because there are no historical

situations from which there is no way out. and therefore find a way out of the situation. so that the world community can say that we have finished the war, but there is no recognition of territorial seizure as a result of unprovoked aggression, just like that. it is absolutely clear that the kremlin does not understand this and is not moving, it is not even going to move, to get out from under this wording. and if not, then in this case the kremlin will have to deal with anything case or 2027, with the fact that the global alliance of support for ukraine, despite the change of governments and parliaments in these countries, will remain on this line of assessment, it is unacceptable, as it was, starting from 2014, even more so after 2022, twice and three times unacceptable

well, but on the other hand, we will also be aware that the kremlin is learning, the kremlin is learning from its own mistakes, the kremlin is gradually rebuilding what is called its own economy, it is not only china, it is india, it is what is called the collective brics, and we are not we know who will join it and how serious it all is, that is, as far as we understand, in principle, the kremlin is not afraid for too long. war of great intensity, of course, they are not ready for the fact that military airfields of strategic purpose will begin to be destroyed somewhere in the murmansk region or somewhere beyond the urals, they were not ready for this, they do not know, they have no answer, this is a huge loss of reputation , that is, the kremlin is losing prestige in front of its so-called allies, i think even in the north

koreans can occasionally laugh at russian allies in quotation marks, but that is a long-winded one. history is also a time for the kremlin to rethink, to retrain a hundred or two thousand of its people, and so on, to shift one or another power of the economic plan to the collective south or east, well, in a word, china and india. what do you think, are these the countries that the kremlin is hoping for, are they interested in it, or is it possible that xijin ping is already sitting in beijing with a watch and saying. so listen, it's time to wrap it up vladimir vladimirovich, you still have three months to save your face and get out, get out of the war, is it possible that some other dates will be announced or some terms, is everyone satisfied with this big rearrangement of continental security, well , we understand what it is accompanied by a great,

destructive, bloody war, yes, this is an important question, so it is... an important question: first of all, you are right, i agree, there should not be any triumphant mood, that the kremlin is running out and so on, the resource capabilities of the russian federation in this war are preserved, that is obvious, but i want to emphasize one important thing: in 2022, when the sanctions were introduced, everyone said that the sanctions were working, and they were, the kremlin itself admitted it. then in 2023 there was an adaptation. as they said, the russian economy before the sanctions policy, and everyone said: you see, the sanctions do not work. now we're entering the fall of 2024, when, after the december decision by the us on secondary sanctions, it's quite clear that the sanctions have started working again, and they're working in a big way, because the financial system is taking a big, big

hit. allies really make it clear that they don't will be... this applies to turkey, and china, and the countries of central asia, which are currently taking these measures. thus, it is now clear that putin did not manage to get india or china to make some kind of compromise through his diplomacy. this is quite important. good. it can be seen that the central bank of russia is now assessing the situation with great apprehension, with much more than it was in 2023, when nabiulina said: "what's normal, we stand up. now the ruble has gone, inflation does not stop, and the central bank's interest rate has ceased to affect the situation, and everyone there understands it,

among the economic authorities. in other words, not everything is mechanistic. yes, the economy reacts every time, and now there will be some second stage of adaptation. but this will be a more difficult stage for putin, which will not be easy to cope with. plus, right now there are reports that sanctions against the merchant fleet are still to come. that is, it is not enough that the kremlin has big problems with planes as a result of all the aggression, with civilian planes, with civilian transportation. problems on the railway, because the traffic cannot be pushed to china, because it is huge. now what previously seemed impossible has been announced. and this will continue to develop. we have no doubt that if the kremlin does not

move in the direction of de-escalation, then sanctions not only on britain and the usa will become more and more painful. so, i would say that one should look without great optimism and at the same time not think that russia's resources are inexhaustible. certainly. this is not the case, and it cannot be assumed that russia has any kind of unlimited human resources, since qualified military personnel are indeed, as you rightly said, few, and they cannot be prepared quickly. and this applies to the navy, and aviation, and so on, and so on, and today also means of communication, that is, everything that determines war. war today is very little defined, we can see that. infantry, not trained infantry. today, the entire image of war that is being demonstrated is completely different. yes, the kremlin is not doing well here.

thank you very much, oleksandr, for this extremely interesting and informative conversation on the air of the tv channel, i want to remind our viewers that oleksandr morozov was working for them now, political analyst, political scientist who is in prague. the time of our program has run out, stay tuned to the espresso tv channel. my colleagues. will inform about all the most important things that are happening both in ukraine and in the world. watch over yourself and your loved ones, do not ignore the air alarm signals with god. and see you on the air. ordinary things become unreal. heavy bags, not for my sore back. for back pain, try the cream. dolgit cream dolgit relieves pain, reduces swelling and improves joint mobility. longitudinal is the only yellow joint and back pain cream. when buying a large package of 150 g, you

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, 57-year-old volodymyr bondaruk lived in the apartment of building number 38 on brativ mikhnovskikh street, but the morning shelling of lviv on september 4, 2024 turned the man's apartment into ruins. well, as you can see, everything, all the plaster has flown away, the windows are broken, the doors, even there... you can see such holes that the wall has moved away, because the load-bearing wall has cracks, the frames are broken, and there you see, there are no windows on the window, in the middle an old woman stands in the husband's bedroom a wardrobe damaged by fragments, it was she who took on all the consequences of the blast wave and covered volodymyr from pieces of glass and fittings, his head was here and there, i

was sleeping here, ba... here is a wardrobe, it was a little partially covered by the wardrobe, then once, and secondly, i, if what, if i were here under that wall, it would have been even worse, maybe it would have flown, with full speed, straight at me, and yes, i was a little under the wall, and everything that fell into the wall just fell on me, i was just lucky that i was in a horizontal position, because if i was walking around the house, as my neighbor, then... i would be reschito the same way. in this building , 12 apartments were left without a roof and with cracks in the load-bearing walls. all of them cannot be repaired. homeowners can only pick up items that have survived. later, the apartments almost in the very center of lviv will be demolished, and their residents have been promised new ones. the commission came, they looked and said that yes, yes, it is true that it is unrealistic to invest money in those houses,

because... the damage is very severe, there were meetings in the district administration, and they said that with each apartment, with each owner, there will be resolve the issue, provide an apartment, and people will move. now mr. volodymyr lives in a modular town on polyuya street, it was deconserved immediately after the russian missile attack on the city on september 4. no one lived in it for almost two years, so at first the administration... connected all the communications, started the electricity supply, prepared 20 residential modules and a kitchen. now there are five families living there, whose homes have been destroyed or badly damaged. it is a modular town, consisting of two parts, and it was opened in order to accommodate people from the east, affected by the war. and taking into account that the module is four-bed, that is , the total number of beds is 320. three meals a day from world central kitchen, then these are

our long-time partners, they are for the first time. supported all shelters where displaced people lived, where war victims lived. mr. stanislav denys with his wife maria and pets are among those who have been living in the modular town for more than a week. they do not complain about the conditions in the module, but they dream of returning to their apartment as soon as possible. there were commissions, well, acts were recorded, here, they said that they would install windows, well, but it will be somewhere , well, at least in a month and a half. residents who lost their apartments as a result of an enemy attack and decided to rent housing, the city will compensate the rent. the relevant decision was taken by the executive committee of the lviv city council on september 5. we are talking about compensations in the amount of 10, 12 and 15,000, according to which apartment people had that was destroyed (one, two or four- room). by the way, according to the same scheme , the lviv city council still...