then in 2023 there was an adaptation, as they said, of the russian economy to the sanctions policy, and everyone said, you see, the sanctions do not work. now we are entering the autumn of 2024, when after the december decision of the us on secondary sanctions, it is quite obvious that the sanctions. the allies are making it very clear that they will not circumvent bank sanctions and meet russian companies that want to trade in things that cannot be done, they will not facilitate them. this applies to turkey, and china, and the countries of central asia, which are now taking these measures. now you can see

that putin did not manage to get india or china to come to some kind of compromise through his diplomacy. this is quite important. it is clear that the central bank of russia is now assessing the situation with great apprehension, much more so than it was in 2023. when nabiulina said: "yes, nothing, it's fine, we'll get up." in other words, not everything is mechanistic, this is how the economy reacts every time, and now there will be a second stage of adaptation, but it will be a more difficult stage for putin, which will not be easy to cope with. in addition, there are messages right now, that after all sanctions. that is, it is not enough that

the kremlin has big problems with airplanes, as a result of all the aggression, both with civilian airplanes and with civilian transportation, problems on the railways, because the traffic cannot be penetrated to china, because it is huge. now , what previously seemed impossible, sanctions against the merchant fleet have been announced. and this will continue to develop. we have no doubt that if the kremlin does not move in the direction of de-escalation, then sanctions not only on britain and the usa will become more and more painful. yes, what i would say yes, what it is necessary to look without great optimism and at the same time not to assume that russia's resources are inexhaustible. this is certainly not the case. and it cannot be assumed that russia has unlimited human resources. since qualified

military personnel are really scarce, as you rightly said, and they cannot be trained quickly, and this also applies to the navy, and aviation, and so on, and so on, and today also means of communication, that is, all that, that defines war. war today is very little defined, we see it by infantry, untrained infantry. today the whole image of war, which is demonstrated. i want to remind our tv viewers that oleksandr morozov, a political analyst and political scientist who is currently working for them, is in prague. the time of our program has run out, stay tuned to the espresso tv channel. my colleagues, you will be informed about all the most important things that are happening both in ukraine and in the world. take care and your loved ones, do not neglect

the air alarm signals with god and see you on the air. vasyl zima's big broadcast. my name is vasyl zima, this is a big broadcast on the espresso tv channel. two hours of broadcast time two hours of your time. my colleagues and i will talk about the most important things. two hours to learn about the war, about... military, frontline, component, serhii zurets, and how the world lives? yuriy fizar, already with me, and time to talk about what was happening outside of ukraine, yuriy dobrovecher, two hours to be aware of economic news, time to talk about money during the war, olsenchevka field with me, and sports news, i invite yevhen pastukhov to the conversation, two hours in the company of favorite presenters, cultural news, alina chekchenina, our art watcher, is ready to say good evening, the presenters, who have become familiar to many, are already next to me, ready to talk about the weather for a long time. as well as

distinguished guests of the studio, mustafa dzhemilov, the leader of the crimean tatar people, is in touch with us, mr. mustafa, i congratulate you, good day, the events of the day in two hours, the great broadcast of vasyl winter. a project for the intelligent and those who care about espresso in the evening. saturday politclub, live ether, the main events of ukraine and the world, we summarize, analyze, discuss and discuss. vitaly portnikov, andriy smoliy. congratulations friends. we start, we start traditionally with mr. vitaly on the security block, on what concerns the security of our country, the war, the war in our country, and actually everything, everything, everything around it. so, mr. vitaly, in

the current week we saw that russia has formed this striking fist, at least. there, someone calls 40,000, someone calls 60,000, and for the past few days they have been trying to counterattack, trying to allegedly carry out their counteroffensive on the territory of those districts, those territories of the kurdish region, which are now controlled by the defense forces of ukraine. in this context, do you think russia will try in the coming weeks and months. throw the largest possible forces here and will they succeed, relatively speaking, in knocking out the ukrainian forces, and most importantly, in this case, do we need to hold on to these territories as much as possible? well, i think that this is a question for the military command, a question

of those resources that are needed in order to defend our positions on the territory of the kurt region, but we must remember that this now the defensive battles, well, when the ukrainian troops advanced... in this territory, they actually did not meet any resistance, and the exchanges that we are observing now, today was a big exchange, i want to congratulate all the relatives, those who returned from captivity with this, this is due to the fact that russia, as you can see, wants to release many conscripts, that for putin the fact that the conscripts are in captivity is a moment of social tension that he needs to extinguish, so volodymyr zelensky definitely had he was right when he said that this is a... self-righteous person material, because you know, when a contract worker is captured there, well, he signed a contract, and when a conscript is captured, his parents can of course ask questions to the authorities, and how did it turn out that you did not ensure the safety of my child, who was not at all had to take part in hostilities,

this was the case during both chechen wars, and that's why it really works in russia, but now that quite a long time has passed, as you remember from ... the moment when the offensive on the territory of the kurt region began , these are already fortified areas, if the russians will even try freeing them from ukrainian troops is a huge loss, so let's see how many troops they will accumulate there, whether they will have to withdraw these troops from other directions, because they also have a difficult task, but you are talking about ukrainian tasks, there the russian task is to continue the offensive on the territory of donetsk region and at the same time to try... to free the course of the kursk region until october 1 just like an accountant, he is not an accountant, but you come to the accounting department, they tell you that you need to submit this report

, this report, and it is clear, this is a professional approach here , as if you were the commander-in-chief, you have to set a task for the troops that they must complete before some holiday or the end of the quarter, but in accordance with the amount of resources involved, and all the time they get into a rather strange situation when they have such an assignment and cannot fulfill it, well, it can be like that now, from a political point of view or even geopolitical, taking into account the fact that the kurdish operation was actually created, carried out, involved in order to strengthen the ukrainian. geopolitical positions in front of the occupying state, but from the political point of view, taking into account the fact that a counterattack is currently taking place, taking into account the fact that you and i have found out, ukrainians in the territory of the kursk region today are mostly on the defensive, or from this point of view from

a political point of view, we need to continue to get these areas as much as possible, but still, relatively speaking, here it was worth thinking with... time, again, about the withdrawal of our troops, it again depends on how much we manage to get the territory, and what we can get it, what we have to get out of there. the question arises, so we can leave from anywhere, let's say there is kherson, which was liberated by ukrainian troops, it is constantly under fire from much more than the kurdish region, constantly flies there, they constantly want to turn this territory into a desert, well, we could leave to get out, if they thought that it was dangerous there, well, that's it now it will also be dangerous in the kurt region, look at this whole situation, not as a situation there on the sovereign territory of russia or on the sovereign territory of ukraine, look at it as a front line, if we can hold some areas on... on the front line, we retain them, if it turns out that their retention leads to significant

technical and human losses, then of course we do not receive them, this is a simple formula. we see that russia still continues to advance in the direction of donetsk region, almost every day, according to deep state maps. that is, everything the russians did not reject their idea of ​​further advancement regardless. to the kurdish operation, we see that they still do not withdraw the majority of the troops from this direction, that is, putin, mr. vitaly, geopolitically decided to press further here, and even sacrificing, perhaps for a certain time , certain populated areas of the kurdish region, to continue the offensive on donbass, it seems to me that this is not geopolitics, this is an ordinary war, well... why was it necessary to assume that if we capture some settlements in the kursk region, this will stop the russian offensive

in donetsk region? i don't understand that. well, they again look at this entire territory as a theater of hostilities. if you imagine that we introduced completely unexpectedly for them, in fact , troops in the territory of the kursk region, and they stopped the offensive in the donetsk region before and after that, it means that they fell into a real trap, both military and political, if they stopped the offensive. forces were withdrawn from there, which means that we can still advance there. well, if you think that they are losing not politically, but rather militarily and technically from their stay of our troops on the territory of the kurt region, well, we understand that we can have control over a rather limited part of this territory. during this time, the russian troops, of course, did not give us the opportunity to strengthen, but they themselves strengthened themselves on the strategic frontiers for themselves, near korchatov, near. kursk nuclear power plant and near the regional center itself, well, everything else may

be in the danger zone for a certain time, but of course in this situation to demonstrate that they are ready, as you understand, to give up offensive in the kurt region, in the donetsk region, because they need to liberate the kursh region, well, this means admitting that our plan has completely failed. in all directions, this is not the kind of luxury that putin can afford, you see, they gathered troops from different directions for a long time in order not to touch donetsk region from the depths of russia, they created, glued together a new group, now the new group will try to achieve something there on this territory, well , most likely they will strengthen this group of us, well, they will again, but you need to understand how much strength they have, this is again the desire to strengthen and the opportunity are not the same thing at the same time. well, it’s the same as putin’s wish on october 1, yes,

on october 1, kyiv in three days, we all know to get a result of some kind, and by the way, by october 1 , the occupiers are supposed to capture pokrovsk as well, allegedly and according to their reports, so here they say these dates in 99% of cases, the cases never coincided as they say and luckily for us. no no did not happen, another important event took place this week, this is the actual delivery by iran of ballistic missiles to russia, something that has been talked about for a long time, and something that, so to speak, iran, something that iran did not dare to do, at least for a while, it did. well, like, because, again, we don't have exact information, we know this message. western sources, we haven't seen a single missile yet, but at least the official representatives of the white house, that is

, we are not just referring to the wall street journal or the times, we are specifically referring to the white house, to sullivan, yes to on kirby, who talk about the fact that these missiles were allegedly delivered to the territory of russia on september 4, well, the technical process is still going on, as they say, after all. we understand that this is not a matter of one day, we understand that the russian military on the territory of iran learned that during the summer... of the current year 2024, there were no longer just any consultations, there was direct preparation for the delivery of these ballistic missiles, that is, the decision was made much earlier. still, if we talk about it, how much the delivery of these missiles and their most likely future use, i think that this

is again, according to the white house, a matter of several weeks, as far as this can change... the schedule, relatively speaking, of supporting ukraine, and the second question, iran after all anyway, he decided to take this step, can he continue to deliver ballistic missiles, let’s say with a longer range, there an average range of 400, 500, 600 km, by the way, the american press also assumes this and says that such a possibility is currently being considered , well, first of all, i think that raran can afford everything. anything that he does not risk, that is, everything that he risks can happen in connection with short-range missiles, nothing happens from the change in the level of missiles. second, it is obvious that a certain group of allies has formed in the world, which works together to

destabilize the west, and not only in the post-soviet space, but also in the near east. because iran is playing the main violin in the middle east to destabilize and russia is helping it and russia is playing the main violin in the post-soviet space in the war with ukraine, and iran is helping it here, too, by the way, not everywhere, but you may have noticed that when russia again raised this topic of the cross-border corridor between azerbaijan and nakhdchuven, its autonomy, which is separated from the main part of azerbaijan armenia and for this corridor to be controlled by the fsb of russia, no one in tigran liked it, that is, there are many interests that they do not have in common, but when there are common interests, anti-american, they are happy to use these interests, this such a very important moment in my opinion, and this is the result of the war, there are three countries that

are ready to exchange weapons, because it is obvious that both russia is helping iran and north korea . for the sake of joint confrontation with the west, and there is another interesting thing, two of these countries are russia and iran, and north korea already has nuclear weapons, and iran is close to obtaining them in a very short time, if it is not prevented, that is, it is still and a nuclear coalition, that is, it does not provide for any actions that could lead to external liquidation of regimes established by these countries. "this is a serious test for the west, it is a more global story than just the war in yugoslavia or the war in syria, so this is one moment, another moment is very important in this situation, it is connected, of course, with the fact that iran absolutely does not pay attention to any western remarks,

it even laughs, the foreign minister of iran said, listen, we in..." have absolutely no intention of supplying russia with missiles, and in general, we are for decades under western sanctions, we do not have advanced technologies, and you boast that we supply missiles to russia, which we cannot have in such a sanctions situation, well, this is a complete delusion, we saw the shelling of israel with real iranian missiles, high-range , and the debris that was found in many countries near israel, this is no secret, and when... the iranians say that we do not have such weapons at all, this is certainly an insult. well, the iranians also declared that they did not supply anything. furthermore, iran summoned the ambassadors, yes, of some of the states of the civilized world, and declared that this was an absolute lie, and no one supplied russia with any missiles, that it was some disinformation policy of the united states

of america, well, they did exactly the same with drones, and with the shaheds, yes. they said they didn't supply them, they did. some kind of party, but before the war, ugh, that is, they absolutely calmly believe that in relations with this hostile world, outright lying is the best tactic, and no one allowed themselves to do this before either, that's why when i they say, look, putin made such a statement, putin made such a statement, well, read the statement of the foreign minister of iran, who says that there are no missiles, and then you will see how these missiles will be fired at ukraine, but what does this really change, how not surprisingly, this frees the hands of our allies to a certain extent. they say, "listen, if you're in direct confrontation with us, if you're using more than just your technique." for the war in ukraine, and the equipment is connected with iranian production, then we can allow it

to ukraine more than they have allowed until now, because i rank you not asking at what distance you send your missiles, to the one you want, to the one you send, well, here with ukraine, if we agree with the point of view that those weapons that were placed... in ukraine are already ukrainian weapons, so i think that this idea, which we first heard after the offensive of the armed forces of ukraine in the kurt region began, by the way, this idea can be extended to missiles , and this is an important point that by and large iran's supply of missiles to russia, well firstly, it proved that russia is not going to end any war, i don't understand why there are still any illusions about a quick end to this war, and secondly... that the allies can act like russia's allies, it's all the same to them, and it's all the same to the allies, i don't know if the announcement will be any real that we will be able

to use western missiles to attack the sovereign territory of russia, but this is a direct consequence of these iranian actions, as an excuse, on the one hand, and as a demonstration of reluctance russian federation to end the war, with on the other hand, if we're still talking in the context of... the security, security situation, including north korea, as far as i understand, has also transferred a new batch of missiles to russia, and again, the western world is saying that they will use sanctions against iran, sanctions against russia, we understand that such sanctions, they are unlikely to be effective, so in relation to russia, perhaps more effective than to iran, in this case, which, after all, for iran can be consequences, or there will be none at all? i think that the real consequence of iran's participation in the

destabilizing actions towards ukraine may mean that the united states will turn a blind eye to certain israeli actions against iran. that is, it is obvious that there are many people in the israeli government who are literally scratching their hands to destroy some nuclear reactors of iran. to prevent iran from continuing its nuclear program, but the americans and europeans are always grabbing their hands and saying don't do it, because we already know that, there will be an escalation, we cannot allow such an escalation, we will somehow come to an agreement with them, we will force them to stop enrichment iran, or not to start it, we we will talk with them there in strict khtanas and so on, well, iran, as you can see, and the russian federation absolutely do not listen to this, how will they talk to him? so in this regard, this can ease the position of israel, israel is interested in this from its side, because it is clear that iran was and remains the main sponsor of these proxy

groups that destabilize the life of israeli society, not only since october 7 of last year , but since october 7 also, it is hamas, we understand that it is there under the full yuranian one, i would say the protectorate, and this is hezbollah, which is also under it. and in principle , it would be important for israel to strike iran with such effectiveness that would force the iranians to abandon their support for these organizations, firstly, and secondly, would force them to abandon the idea of ​​their nuclear program, because if there is a third a nuclear power in this coalition, then it will be a completely different middle east, and the events that can begin in this middle east, not only in terms of relations between iran and israel, because... what about israel, iran may fear the nuclear potential of israel itself, never declared but probably existing. but if we talk about sunni countries, with which now iran

has normalized relations, as if through chinese mediation, i mean, first of all, saudi arabia, of course. here is another story. this is where relations can deteriorate again, this is where blackmail can start again, i absolutely allow it, so the consequences can be like this, you are absolutely right you say that this is a different point than... the sanctions policy, because i keep saying that the problem is not that the west has exhausted its sanctions resource, but the problem is that the west over the last 10-15 years has not seen the existence of the so-called alternative economy, primarily the economy of the people's republic of china, which is able to support countries friendly to china and minimize the effect of western sanctions. iran, with its long existence in this regime, proved in principle the helplessness of sanctions. correction policies aggressive course of a country hostile to western values. russia is now proving it, of course, now secondary sanctions can start to take effect. this is also an important point, on the one

hand. we have an alternative western economy of the global south, which will be the biggest sponsor of the offensive of dictatorial democracy in the coming decades, difficult war decades, let's immediately say the 21st century, but on the other hand, this economy of dictatorships is dependent on cooperation with economies measures, i say that if aggressive measures against china, against india, to things, if these countries were shown that cooperation with russia could lead to their own economic collapse to problems in the nature of the chinese communist party. would stop playing neutral mediators, ugh, this is a very cynical game of both politicians, and think about the need to stop cooperation with moscow. we have to take a short break, after which we will certainly continue to talk about this, and about permits, beatings on the territory of russia by the usa and great britain, and of course about the so

-called peace initiatives. don't switch literally a few minutes. see this week in the collaborators program. leaders of putin's youth organizations in the occupied territories. today, the entire

zaporizhzhia region celebrates the day of reunification. but what prospects do the rashists offer teenagers for betraying ukraine? i advise you to contact the ministry of youth policy. watch the collaborators program with olena kononenko on espresso tv channel on tuesday, september 17 at 5:45 p.m. we are military personnel of a separate unit of gryga, named after volodymyr gryga, a unit of unmanned aerial vehicles. complexes of the 76th separate battalion of the 102nd separate brigade. in the zaporozhye direction , combat clashes occur daily due to constant enemy assaults. this does not avoid the direction of guleipil, which our battalion has been defending for almost two years. right now we need three times as many modifiers and fire damage from the sky. therefore, we are appealing to everyone who cares to collect funds for 20 duj mavic classic drones and 10 3t mavics. yes, the amount is not small, but the lives of

your siblings and relatives. much more expensive, we really hope for your support, tone and distribution, let's not let the occupier take a step further and let's speed up the victory together, glory to ukraine, glory to the heroes, join the ranks of the 100th separate mechanized brigade of the armed forces of ukraine, protect yours, the result of their work is our safety and yours, they, the boys from volyn to... that everyone can be a warrior, the strong in spirit appreciate the ability to stand side by side with their brothers until the holy victory. everyone who pilots a uav understands it, prepares, treats, repairs, winds kilometers of roads, fills piles of documents, significantly strengthens those who covers the enemy with heavy fire and returns meter by meter our native land. stand down in the hundredth separate mechanized brigade of the armed forces of ukraine. let's stick together. get closer to victory together

with tssoa asbu. join one of the best special forces in the country. we are expanding and hiring. we invite civilian specialists of various fields. experienced commanders will ensure your high-quality training and education. fill out the questionnaire and choose the direction where you can be most effective. we are waiting for you in the tssoaa-sbu team. together we will write the history of victory. details on official pages of the sbu. saturday political club, live broadcast. we are coming back, and now we will talk about the topic itself.