tv [untitled] September 21, 2024 1:30pm-2:01pm EEST
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demonstrates ukraine's effectiveness in reducing russia's ability to strike ukraine with these devastating weapons, even with much less powerful drones compared to atakams and stormshadow missiles. i certainly expect that washington and london will eventually give the go-ahead, and once ukraine starts using these more effective weapons, i'm sure we'll see a shift in the momentum of the war in ukraine's favor. here's what can make... look, the president of the united states, joseph biden, he doesn't have much time left to work on position, fortunately he is not currently personally experiencing the election campaign, he does not go to pennsylvania and does not assure that he has a peace plan. the key task of president joseph biden is to go down in history, i don't know how, at one time winston churchill went down. winston
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churchill said: "no, we will destroy hitler." i do not idealize churchill, but joseph biden now has several months to make a decision at the level of a prominent, great, political and military figure of the world, that is, he can give ukraine certain permissions and maybe, increase the range of weapons, long-range weapons and aviation, that is, joseph biden can play until the end, or. will he go for something like this, or will he be held hostage by the democratic campaign? president biden is deeply convinced that ukraine should not lose this war. i would like him to state more clearly that ukraine must win this war and define what that means. if pressed, i think he would say that ukraine's victory in the war means the cessation of hostilities on the terms determined by ukraine. biden will keep all integrity authorities before the inauguration. new president
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on january 20, 2025. not only does he have the right to make the decisions he thinks are right, but there is no problem with the fact that his political career will soon come to an end. so his main consideration is how any action he takes to help ukraine might affect us domestic politics and the outcome of the 2024 election. although biden is definitely thinking about how his decision. could affect presidential candidate gary's chances against president trump, because americans, when it comes down to it before the election of the president are usually more focused on other issues, so now biden has a relatively free hand to do what he thinks is right. he is understandably concerned about the possibility of russia escalating to the use of nuclear weapons, but last year, when it emerged that president putin may be planning to use nuclear weapons on the battlefield,
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biden dispatched cia director bill burns to moscow to warn that if a scenario where the us will intervene militarily and destroy russian troops on the territory of ukraine. obviously, such a threat deterred putin. in my opinion, president biden remains as committed to helping ukraine as before. his hands are much looser now than when he was running for president, and although russia's invasion of ukraine is unlikely to be decisive. factor in the us election, it could affect the outcome by a small margin as this election is expected to be very tight. and returning, for example, to the beginning of our conversation, when we we are talking about one or another negotiations, there, i don't know, behind the scenes, semi-public and even public, well, we understand that, in general, similar things, they are included in what are called some informal agreements, but we understand that informal agreements with putin, well, it can’t be, yes, because he... made a mockery of all the international
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treaties in which russia participated, that is, either by not fulfilling them, or simply leaving them, yes, well, we will not mention the so -called budapest memorandum, but if all anyway, somewhere in a couple of months, maybe up to six months, we will see a certain freezing of the situation, a weakening of the intensity of fighting on the front line, so we will understand that something is most likely happening, but someone must be the guarantor of those agreements that may not to be signed on paper, and if even they were signed on paper, what would it look like. at the moment, it is too early to talk about a potential guarantor, because putin has not yet decided to end the war, he continues to throw as many people as possible to the front lines so that they stopped ukrainian bullets and bombs. however, the time will come if the united states, great britain and their allies give permission to use long-range missiles.
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the depths of russian territory, when putin does have to take such a step as you assume, mr. borkovsky, everything that is written on paper like the budapest memorandum, there is none for putin. he understands only one language - the language of the overwhelming power, so his armed forces must be degraded to such an extent that he is no longer able to continue this war against of ukraine. as we know from the 30s of the last century, in particular from the secret agreements between nazi germany and the soviet union, that leaders in moscow used to violate agreements when it was convenient for them. for example, despite previous agreements, plans. invading poland led to world war ii. the same applies to putin, he does not care what is written on paper. thus, it is first necessary to reduce the military potential of russia, and only after that one should think about the methods of verification of any agreement. verification can include a set of states, guarantors or other
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formal mechanisms. we successfully developed methods for verifying nuclear arsenals during the cold war, so it is quite possible to develop a similar approach and that's it. before considering a peace agreement and ways to guarantee it, the main focus should be on reducing russia's military potential. and the last question, i will formulate it briefly: and trump, is he telling the truth, is there some kind of election chaos going on in his head, that is, he is giving a lot of different signals about how he sees conversations with by putin i don't think his default position is to tell the truth. trump always manipulates and talks. what comes to his mind and what he thinks will help him at that moment. he considers himself a great politician and thinks that he can somehow convince or force ukraine and russia to stop the war. however, he hardly has a clear idea of how to achieve this. during a recent debate with kamela harris
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, he was asked if he had an economic plan for the country, to which he replied that he had a concept of a plan, meaning despite the attacks on kamalugar for the lack of his own economy of politics, he essentially admitted that he had no concrete plan, only concepts. the same applies to his approach to russia's invasion of ukraine. he has a concept of a plan and believes himself to be an experienced negotiator capable of finding a way to end the war, but he himself does not seem to fully understand what he really wants. you used the word chaos here very appropriately. thank you very much, dear mr. ambassador bry, for this brilliant analysis on the air of our tv channel. i want to remind the audience what is in store for them now worked matthew bryza, former adviser to the secretary of state of the united states, ex-director of european and eurasian affairs at the us national security council. healthy joints and back
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a military depot has arrived in the tver region of the russian federation. the story is extremely serious, taking into account the fact that there was an explosion of such power that an earthquake occurred, reaching three points on the richter scale, and accordingly we understand that the war entered the territory of the russian federation not only in the form of coffins. or sacks with two hundred, yes, that is, a new phase of the war is beginning, well, and accordingly i would ask you to characterize, outline its parameters, as do you feel it? i wouldn’t say that everything is so clear-cut, with the transition of the war to some new quality, it seems to me that all this is predictable and simply unexpected for the russian way of thinking, they are already used to the fact that if a country is bigger, it is more powerful, in the 21st century the picture has changed somewhat , this was not noticed in moscow. it is about the fact that a large territory
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must be protected if you are at war, and it turns out that russia has too many facilities for which there is simply not enough air defense. including a very large and seemingly modern manufacturing base, this is the tver province, which should to protect, because there were rockets, shells, and whatever else, it didn't work out, it flew in and exploded. what does this mean? that russia lacks the means of modern air defense to cover key points on its own territory, because putin did not have in his head when he began his aggression against ukraine that he would be able to get a response, he did. i don't see any great news in this, because exactly everything happened, for example, in april and may of the 22nd year, when he did not expect an answer on the way to kyiv or gostomel, and met and received this answer in kharkiv as well. so, war has its own logic, the problem is
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that it is very difficult for the russian mentality to understand this modern logic. it is very simple: if this is the european logic and it was that when you live in a glass house, you don't need to throw stones at your neighbors, it can fly back. and putin and his entourage thought that nothing would come in response. and secondly, the most headless, some of them believed that this is our house, glass or not? glass, it is ours. the west will be afraid and will not participate, ukraine will be afraid, zelensky will escape and in three days there will be a victory parade in kyiv. it didn't work out that way. and now a process has already begun, which is difficult to stop. he is terrible, he is bloody. he is destroying ukraine. she is a victim of aggression. there are no questions here, but it destroys russia as well. the only question is that russian public opinion has not yet substantiated this, realized it and is not ready to realize it. and in this sense, ukraine is engaged in providing time and time again very clear, simple lessons for russian
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public opinion. the question is how soon this public opinion can gather courage to admit that putin committed not only a crime by starting this war, but also a mistake. and now you will have to pay for this mistake for a long time and in extremely unfavorable ways. but this is another conversation. in general, it seems to me that the war has gone mad. in the middle of the 20th century, he became possessed, i don’t know if the spirit of nicholas i, or someone else, or some other, i don’t know, stalin’s projections were incarnated, he thinks so, and here the key story is how far this cotton wool with ammonia can penetrate his, well, there is a question about the amount of blood, the amount of destruction, and
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accordingly, in principle, the unshakable position of the west, we understand that there is nowhere to run in ukraine. under the threat of existential destruction , putin and the kremlin offer only an ultimatum: give us your territory, give us your sovereignty, give us your identity, otherwise the war will continue, that is, this is not a negotiating position, it is only an ultimatum under the threat of the destruction of the people, the state, and so on, that is, de facto putin does not offer anything, but perhaps just one or another liquid with ammonia blood. i am not afraid to say this, they will be able to give him a little, i don't know, change the option in his head? if i understood you correctly, my answer will be as follows: the fact is that russia is two-layered on the one hand, it is european, and on the other, let's say, golden horde. at least ivan vasilievich the terrible consciously used
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the practices of zolotordinsk territorial management, which he borrowed from safa gerei, each time he managed quite strictly. the kazan khanate, there is always opposition to the european intention, where russia was the same empire as, for example, austria-hungary, under the leadership of quite of the europeanized monarchic family of the romanovs, but since 1917, especially after comrade stalin came to power, conventional asian ideas about the organization of power, a kind of sultanate, an oriental way of production, as karl wrote, began to openly dominate. talking about the fact that there is no private property, property belongs to the state, etc., and this is already an empire, rather not of the european type, but of the golden horde, when there is a khan who is not limited by anything, there are no political institutions that would restrain him, there is a military political or military-nomadic
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pseudo-democracy, which is called delegative, i.e. once delegated the powers of the khan. and after that he is not limited by anything, comrade stalin built one, from whom does he protect the russians, from the people of bandera, who are the people of bandera? earlier , there were those who seized power in ukraine, but now it is all of ukraine. it turned out that the same russian people, which he proclaimed to be part of the great russian people, consists of traitors themselves, and this is a purely stalinist approach, a traitorous people, and this is a purely horde approach. the cradle could deprive subjectivity uluz, to relocate from one part of one's territory to another part. here, even putin's logic was turned inside out, starting from the fact that ukraine has no subjectivity, and the ukrainian people do not exist, and all the way to the point in just over two years that this nation should be destroyed because it does not
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obey us, even a logical external contradiction is glossed over and covered up. and you just need to understand putin - collective putin, let it be impersonal, and that collective putin in the person of simonyan, solovyov, shuigu, medvedev, anyone. that system of values which he now promotes and defends, does not correspond to reality. it is twisted, contradicts the natural logic of the development of events. the natural logic is that ukrainians want to be in europe. so, could not overcome this natural. to sovereignty , could not buy yanukovych by peaceful means with 17 billion dollars, which he put on it, ukraine did not agree to it, and yanukovych was expelled, and he cannot forgive ukraine for this and is trying to prove that he is such a figure by military methods, and he also has it doesn't work, and it won't work. the question is which one
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a terrible price for this natural experiment, a foregone conclusion. what does known in advance mean, some understand, some do not, it seems to me that this result is known in advance, it is in any case a deep depression, not to say a disaster for russia. i am not talking about ukraine at all, because it is a victim of aggression. here it is clear that the loss of population, the destruction of the economy, was not initiated by ukraine, it was initiated by collective putin. answering your question, as i understood it correctly, putin is trying... at one time, miloševych and other characters, broke through not a thing. russia is a very big country, has a lot of resources, so
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more blood will have to be shed. what do you say here? i can't imagine the quality of fighting this. and look, dmytro borisovych, well, we understand that putin is not a power in himself, he has certain partners, trade, geopolitical, you know. bivoz komenu china and not only china, iran joins here, but here the question is that exactly, for example, there brazil and china give certain signals regarding these or other peaceful proposals, we understand that a large part of them are not public, they probe the soil, first of all in the united states, maybe in brussels, maybe in london, so ukraine is simply surprised, any proposals that come from the same... heavenly or from brazil, so they reduce it to the fact that it is called peace at the expense of ukraine, the seizure of our territories is constantly discussed,
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they talk about the so-called realities on the ground, although our fighters have demonstrated that the realities on the ground are not so unambiguous, the armed forces of ukraine are on the territory of kursk provinces, but we also suspect that both beijing and brazil and not only, they give certain signals. with the agreement of the kremlin, that is, with the agreement of the kremlin, they give certain signals, broadcast them, and try to check what the reaction will be, and this may mean that the kremlin is ready for something, but here it is a question of the psychotype of this russian milosevic. first, i think that putin made a geopolitical choice and turned russia east, and now, according to his ideas about the beautiful. this is a block that opposes the west,
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the problem is that putin is not in this block the leader, he is there under the song of china, and the west, especially the western hemisphere, america, western europe, is not liked by many countries, such as brazil and others. tai is not in the states, it's a matter in general. in what specific forces are currently there. brazil leads the left forces. there is no beast more terrifying than american imperialism. and russia has never occupied brazil. so why not support russia? all this is actually secondary, that is, putin broke away from the dominant trend of global development and turned to second-rate, sorry for the directness of political regimes and brought russia there too. to me, as a russian, it seems... terrible and counterproductive, and what is called the exit from the war in europe, there have been no such serious warriors on the territory, at least for almost 100 years. the last one was hitler's, who
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talked about living space. germany, it turns out, can perfectly exist without the hegerstrand life space. europe's largest economy had no need to seize ukrainian black soil. baku oil or donetsk steel and coal, what was he talking about. hitler, well, that's normal the trend of development, intensification of space instead of taking over someone else's territory. putin is rolling back to the strategy of geopolitics of the 19th century, geopolitics of squares, etc. and in this geopolitics, he will also lose, because you are already in kursk oblast. in fact, it is getting close to the end of the war, it seems to me, because there are heavy losses on both sides, on both sides. in two years , problems with the economy have accumulated in volumes on both sides. that's why european wars stopped, because in them it is not possible to finally
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defeat someone. victory happens in less developed socio-cultural space, it will still have to be negotiated at some point, and for putin the presence of russian territories under the control of ukraine is a very serious geopolitical mistake, because in this system of values in which russia lives. and it turned out that the fairy tale is swallowed with pleasure by the public putin undertook to liberate the russian people, this opinion on the territory of ukraine. well, ukraine is not a subject, but a russian territory, as putin dismisses, as solov'ov says there. but all this is paid for by the kursk region, which is an internationally recognized territory of russia, is under the control of ukraine.
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under his control, this is a propaganda fact, because until this is done, putin cannot say that he is an effective defender of the russian people. and in this sense, ukraine struck a very painful blow, just to the heart. and if our military, for example, would approach kursk, that is, the regional center, and maybe even take it in a vice. do you remember how at one time... how they captured ukrainian regional centers there, but if the armed forces of ukraine would have surrounded kursk. again, if i understand you correctly, it seems to me that sooner or later the war will end and negotiations will begin to get out of this unnatural situation. currently, the armed forces of ukraine have brought zelensky a very
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big trump card in these negotiations. regions that he has already declared russian, and all talks about the reconquest of these four have turned into emptiness, but if you start negotiations with a part of the kurdish region under the control of ukraine, then this is an unbearably difficult political situation for putin. let me remind you that in the coming months it will be putin's main task to push the armed forces out of kurdish region. and then, as it will be. as for pokrovsk, the same kurt region does not allow russia to advance with a wide front. russia now has the opportunity to advance in only one narrow direction, to pokrovsk. it is clear that this will be an important point, but even if russia
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takes it under control in 3-4 months, maybe sooner or later. and at the same time a piece of the kursk region will remain, it will not be good for putin, but he needs to paint a victory on his flags, explain that he has ensured the security of the russian people, and after that to move on to those onerous agreements that are still waiting for him. all those conflicts end when both parties feel exhausted and unable to seriously move forward. it seems to me that the situation has already approached such a state, we can see that the front line has generally stabilized, if we are not talking about pokrovsk in particular, there are some advances, but they cannot be called rapid and victorious, and so from a strategic point of view, it is clear that putin's plans regarding physicalization, demilitarization, removal of the bloody kyiv regime, nato, what has not been implemented and will not be
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implemented. now the collective putin is thinking about how to pay off this story with a beautiful facial expression. the kurdish region does not add a beautiful facial expression to putin, which means that the strategic idea of abandoning european value systems and switching to the chinese, kadyrov-north korean value system is a strategic failure. thank you very much, dear. dmytro borisovyt for this extremely interesting and informative conversation, i want to remind our viewers that dmytro worked for them now areshkin, political scientist, professor of the free university of riga. thanks again for this analysis. thank you, goodbye. well, the time of our program is over, stay with the espresso tv channel. my colleagues will inform you about all the most important events of this day. watch out for yourself and your loved ones, do not ignore air warning signals.
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god help you. see you soon. on the air greetings to all espresso viewers. yana yavomelnyk and this news. in kryvyi rih on monday. the day of mourning for those who died as a result of the night attack of the russians. the enemy hit residential buildings with rockets quarters three people died, including a 12-year-old boy and two women. three more townspeople were wounded, serhiy lysak, the head of the regional military administration, said. also , two private houses were occupied in the city, more than two dozen houses were damaged. two more were destroyed. in nivychchyna, school, garage and.
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