realistically, it's a different issue, because we understand that hezbollah is a much more serious structure than hamas, because hamas relies exclusively on the infrastructure of the gas sector, and hezbollah relies on the infrastructure of the lebanese state, it is more serious than the gas sector, and hezbollah - this is influence on the government, influence on the armed forces, drug trafficking, mafia activities, welfare of the poor, which they ... themselves made poor, but they help them, that is, it is a huge conglomerate of interests, iran with the help of hezbollah, so you understand, just destroyed and lebanese statehood, here we are talking about something, but who are we talking to in lebanon, when we try to understand who is responsible for this state, there are acting prime ministers, for many years, this person has been acting jazki, this is an illegitimate prime minister, prenister. has already

resigned, but continues to perform his duties, because the government cannot, the parliament cannot elect a new one, and the whole government does, and in lebanese official documents this person is not called the prime minister of israel, this is lebanon, we call her that, and they call her that in the arabic wording, the one who leaves the post is called the outgoing prime minister , and they always clearly say the minister of foreign affairs who leaves the post, not the former. but already the one who resigned, because they are all retired, they don’t have a president, for many years in a row, they can’t elect a president, well, there is also a big question about the elections, about theirs, about the legitimacy of these elections that were allegedly held there , maybe they are taking place, but again these elections lead to the fact that they cannot come to fruition agreement, so that in fact all institutions are completely destroyed, that is, the state does not function, the army is there, but this army is... weaker

than hezbollah's units, but we talk about hezbollah all the time, as if to fly, that it is a political party, and what in this way, a political party has its own army, well, this is also a very strange thing, and this army enjoys the support of the speaker of the lebanese parliament, who is currently one of the highest officials in the absence of the president, because the speaker of the parliament is a political ally of khbola from another shiite party , but a political ally, and this is... such a catastrophe, you understand, and as long as this catastrophe continues, it is absolutely obvious that there can be no talk of any peace in the middle east, and iran is interested in this catastrophe, but that is not all, we are already watching later, after this pager-gate, after the israeli armed forces, the tzahal attacked beirut, that is, they were actually hit... all over lebanon,

not only in beirut, dozens, maybe even hundreds of different objects, in mostly these are military facilities that are related to hezbollah, and we see that it was used there and aviation, we saw that ballistic missiles were also used there, that is, in fact, we can even talk about the fact that israel and lebanon are currently ... in such a state, if not a direct war, then a pre-war one, whether a full-fledged war can occur , well, look, lebanon will definitely not fight with israel, israel can only fight with hezbollah, lebanon does not even have the strength to go to war with israel, but the important thing is that what you are talking about these strikes are, by and large, israel's attempts to destroy the infrastructure , it is not only walkie-talkies, not only a pager, these missile strikes, why, because they are primarily aimed at the top leadership of the khsb, here i want to show you this... graphic, we can't

show it to the audience, but we can look at it ourselves , this is actually a graphic that shows the composition of the leadership of hezbollah, and here you see that the leader of hezbollah, hassan nasarala, he continues to lead the organization, but three of his holo, of his three main deputies, two of ibrahim kil, this was yesterday, and fuat shukr, it was recently, virtually destroyed, of them subordinates from... of the five people who directly led the militants , four out of five have already been destroyed, which means that in fact the leadership of hesbla as such, eliminated under hasan nastrala, there is no one, of course, now new people can appear in these positions , but they will have to get used to it for a certain time, and they can also be eliminated, and in any case , you understand that when you have a kind of politburo with... nine people, of these nine

people already six are destroyed, then it's not very much what khsbol is counting on then, here they are, aren't they did not guess that there would be exactly such a result. well, it was, it was really obvious, if hezbollah continues to escalate the situation, then at least part of the leadership, at least part of their infrastructure facilities will simply be destroyed, what did they expect with their actions? the first thing they count on is the fear that israel will not dare because they will be afraid of the response, and you have to understand that we are dealing with people who are quite fanatical, you don't have to think that hassan nasala even lives in the ... real world , firstly, no one has ever seen him in the real world in his life, all these people, ibrahim akil, fuat shukar, these are people who appeared in the real world, so they could be killed. when was the last time you saw hasan nasralu alive? all his speeches are speeches by video link, right, maybe he doesn't exist, well maybe he, maybe he doesn't exist, but maybe this

is, you know, an image, yes, but he always speaks, addresses people by video link yazku, we are talking about putin's white table, but putin himself. goes out to people, and hasan nasela never does that, that is in theory he, even if he exists, he is there somewhere in some bunkers and is, of course, as well as his counterpart in the gas yahkesinvar and his brother mohamed, these people exist, but no one has ever seen them since the time when this all began , that is, they are hiding in some kind of bunkers, and simply yahysen, unlike khatsaan, is a settlement and does not address anyone with appeals, so it is generally very difficult to understand in which world he lives, so if you live all... in complete isolation from the real world without communicating with any people, if you communicate with this ibrahim makil and faad shukr in the last resort, then you create your own picture of reality, which is beneficial to you, this is the first moment, the second moment, you somehow depend on the country

that supports you, behind your back hasan's fucked up, if he meets someone there, you can always see portraits, ayutals of khamini and ayatals. armenia, and not some lebanese politicians, this is not a person who has state continuity with lebanon, that's the horror: this is a person who has state continuity with iran, because what is lebanon? lebanon is a state that, by and large , was founded in order to ensure the interaction of arabs, christians, sunnis, shiites and druze, and to distribute power in this complex ethno-confessional state between them and the head. one state succession of lebanon is connected with the lebanese christians, because they do not have any other state in the arab world, apart from lebanon, and all the famous lebanese politicians that we mention when we talk about the history of lebanon are christians, maronites, people , which are in

a church that obeys the vatican, is a loan such a different remake of the greek catholic church only on lebanese soil, and hezbollah is an organization that lives the idea. of the shiite world, i.e. iran, shiites of iraq, shiites of lebanon, shiites of bahrain, this is a completely separate state structure, so to speak, supranational, supranational, which should control these states where shiites live. why, by the way, iran still has a claim on azerbaijan, and they show it all the time, trying to somehow strengthen their position there, because in azerbaijan, part of the population is... azerbaijanis shiites, there is a sunni population, and there are also a lot of shiites, here is the answer to your question, so if you are not interested in the state interests of lebanon, but are interested in the state interests of iran, then maybe you can sacrifice lebanese security to lebanon as such in order to inflict a greater an attack on israel,

that is, for hassan, they screwed up, lebanon is just such a weapon, lebanon itself, with the help of which he wants to harm israel, that's all. and if we are talking about in this context about another international track, in particular the united states america, trump has already spoken about it there, well , of course, that could be expected, trump said that muslims should not be allowed into the united states of america, in particular, he said this in the context of his election campaign, hinting that when he becomes president , then, respectively, from gaza. no one will ever come to the united states of america, or at least come, but be subjected to such extensive vetting. but by the way, one more thing, i just mentioned, trump criticized the jews of the united states of america, yes, for allegedly are going to vote for kamala harius, that is,

it is something like this, by the way, a very strange statement, i think that i am actually also shocked by what he says, well, in general, we are shocked by many statements. donald trump in the context of common sense and the technological conduct of the election campaign, there is a lot wrong there. so here are these two statements, how do you evaluate them and why does trump practically alienate an increasingly large category of voters, what is on his mind, especially in the context of this middle eastern conflict? you understand what the matter is, that's it the very statement that if i don't win the elections, the jews will be to blame, it reminds you of nothing when a person who calls himself a friend of israel says it, but if i don't win, the jews will be to blame, we have to blame the jews for this. can a pogrom be staged at all after the defeat of donald trump by a jew? well, you see, from the point of

view of political technology, there is such a harsh reality behind these words. the vast majority of american jews are the electorate of the democratic party. why? because the republicans have been for many years in a row are associated with, let's say, the interest of this average american, let's call him. putin's favorite word there are americans of anglo-saxon origin, yes, and the jews, well, whatever we think there, they are a religious and national minority, but they do not belong to the majority, 2%, as far as i understand in the united states, at least statistics, well, like any minority representatives, they vote for those political forces that support the interests of the minority, although we have already talked about the fact that, in principle, after the seventh in october, a lot of american jews, who have always been supporters of the democrats, they said, listen, we don't like

how this democratic media is close to the democratic party, the media is covering this conflict, we don't like how many of the politicians, the democrats are dealing with this situation, the same bernisan, we are watching and we do not understand what to do, we are in such a state of uncertainty when trump tells them that you will vote, of course he again... them i remind you about anti-semitism, because for any jew, and this is what the leaders of the jewish organizations of america said, by the way, there is anti-semitism in such a statement, you single us out and make us guilty, while you have a huge number of voters , not the jews, on whom you depend, the jews will not bring you victory, because they are 2%, why do you single us out, and because if i do not win, then israel will perish, here again the slippery slope is very expensive. you see, many american jews support the state of israel. it's like that

a historic pact between the founders, one of the founders of the state of israel, david bengurion, and the american leadership of the american congress, that we do not support the departure of american jews to israel, and you support israel politically. and we exist in symbiosis, but this is a pact at the level of political institutions. there are a lot of jews in america. the population that believes that it is in america that jews should live, that they are perceived the best here, that it is the safest here, for sure in america it is safer with israel, we will not argue, but these people are in principle vote not for israel to exist or not to exist, but for the american jewish community to feel equal and safe in the states, this is the first question, for many religious jews, the existence of israel there at all. son of their lives, they are voters, but they generally believe that israel should not be there, well, jews are different, well,

there are many different positions among people of the same origin, but i always remind you that when there was a ukrainian revolution, only jewish parties were neutral, others treated her hostile, and others supported it, and the ministers were part of the governments of petliura and vinnichenko, because they were supporters of that revolution, they were all jewish politicians who, in principle, could gather... in one synagogue there were no malebins, but their political views were diametrically opposed opposites, this is how a normal nation exists in general, this is how ukrainians exist, this is how they exist in the united states, americans themselves, so this is a very strange statement for me, for a jew, because i do not want to be responsible for the defeat or victory of donald trump, even with from the point of view of my own ethnic origin, i imagine what would have happened if i still had an american passport. that he is, therefore, let's put it this way, he really has a chance, there were,

there were, i think there were chances, to attract a part of voters of jewish origin to his side. we have to understand that the electorate, the electorate of donald trump, is much more people than jews, it is evangelical christians, millions of them, much more than jews in the states, there are up to 6 million jews in the states, tens of millions of these people, and they are under... support israel, because they believe that the very existence of israel is evidence that salvation will soon come. for them, the fact of the existence of israel for their religious worldview is a confirmation that... they are absolutely faithfully moving exactly on their christian path, these are the people, this is the traditional electorate of the republican party, johnson, the face of such an electorate, the speaker of the house of representatives, it is unclear why he in such a situation of the jews, why should he say anything about the jews, because it may cause misunderstanding of these christians,

evangelicals who treat jews just fine, by the way, his son-in-law is his husband... ivanka trump's daughter is also a jew, jerit kushner, yes, of course, and ivanka herself accepted judaism, she they, they are jews, let's put it this way, they can't tell you whether they don't somehow influence his position on such issues, you know, the strength and weakness of donald trump is that he is a living person. well, that is, by the way, the strength and weakness of volodymyr zelenskyi, a politician can't afford, if he wants to deal with this story, to be a living person, trump is a living person, so he, relatively speaking, went crazy at a rally, you know, uh, and started to grind like this, i don't think that if he is put in prison like that kristi, to tell him, mr. president, what are you saying, he

admits that he was bitter, but he has such a character, such a temper. dmytro is a show business person, not even from big business, but from show business, do you remember those programs of his, there he was like a fish in water, well programs, ads, so is he, and by the way, it's a known fact that he just had a meeting with the biggest sponsors of the republican party, who told him: listen, you have every chance to win if you calm down, just calm down, grandpa, grandpa, just take it easy, i'll be the president of all americans, tra-ta-ta. nothing will work out for you, i will be what i am, i am this, by the way, it can only be respected that he is ready even to lose, but not to betray his own self, and, but this is the essence of donald trump, by the way , i think a lot of people who vote for him, that's what they respect in him, i sometimes think, but here we are, you and i are political technologists, and we started giving him some

advice, gave him some kind of injection to calm him down before the rally, and maybe it's not him the tram that... the majority of those who support him vote for, maybe people like live trump, not maybe, but this is not the trump that can be guaranteed to win, he could win if he chose some golden one the middle, but maybe not, maybe he would lose it here, find it, and lose it there, but we don't we know, maybe he will win, well, we don't know how long we have to wait there, a month and 10 days or how many. on the 15th, today we mentioned another country, armenia, yes, and exactly one year ago, these days, exactly one year ago in 2023, about 100,000 armenians actually left

karabakh, yes, we already mentioned that , that now... there, well, the situation in this region is quite such that it is empty, but including, perhaps, it is worth talking about armenia in general today, because the processes that happening in this country, they are quite interesting. armenia, which in principle, for many tens of years, if we talk about the times after the collapse of the soviet union, was a state that was completely dependent on russia, which was completely in the flight... orbit of russia, in principle , armenians were very often in the political orbit of russia, even ukrainian armenians, for example, when i studied at the university, i also had fellow students, people who studied, we communicated with them, i knew their views, today these views are changing, today these

views are becoming different, and in particular the prime minister of armenia pashinyan, he... in fact demonstrates at least this kind of lobbing between the middle between the middle, but he accuses the kremlin of preparing a coup, he says quite negative things about the csto. as far as i understand, in principle, armenia is ready somewhere to leave the csto. we see efforts, at least to move somewhere towards the european union, somewhere towards some european values, at least in terms of contacts with european partners, what now? is happening with armenia, how much after all, for her there is now this corridor of departure from russia and movement towards the european union. and how is this country living now after what happened a year ago with karabakh? well, you know, i have been talking with my

romanian interlocutor since the 90s, and i continue to adhere to this point of view, that karabakh was a real civilizational trap for armenians, well, not a state trap, not even a trap, but a civilizational trap, because independence itself this country was dictated by necessity. to control karabakh, the very idea of ​​the independence movement originated from karabakh, not on the contrary, because armenia was led by the first president of armenia after the restoration of independence, livon trpytor, the head of the karabakh committee, and not by some other organization, this is the first point, the second point, that this victory in the first karabakh war could not have happened without the assistance of russia, and the armenians knew perfectly well that they could not hold this situation without the support of russia, well, it is clear, because look at azerbaijan. look at armenia, but it means that armenia simply did not develop economically, politically, in any way for several decades in a row. all development

was for the sake of maintaining control over karabakh and those regions of azerbaijan that once led this territory. armenia essentially got rid of the normal democratic procedure for the change of power, came to power, and again political clans are completely oriented towards russia, and which were from... karabakh, and the second president in armenia, robert kocheryan, and the third president of the armenians, they are both from karabakh, that is, i am absolutely not going to divide armenians according to the regions of their residence and the countries of their residence, this is armenia, a country for armenians, but the clans are simply pro-russian, it doesn't even matter so much that they are from karabakh, how important is their orientation towards moscow, and on the other hand, if you think about karabakh and its maintenance, and you yourself are a former official from karabakh... robert hrychaya was the president of the nagorno-karabakh republic, self-imposed, then of course you should focus on moscow, what should you focus on, yerevan? so, how do you get this territory, and it

went on for decades, this gordian knot was cut by moscow itself, not baku, because moscow decided that if armenians managed to get rid of their pro-russian leadership, restore democratic processes, and start forming relations with various countries of the world. then it should be as shown that such and such countries and such and such leadership will suffer a fiasco, therefore moscow looked absolutely calmly at the first, at the second karabakh war and at its end, this is a strange thing, in general, the russians promised to keep this armenian population safe karabakh, and when the azerbaijani troops decided to take under their control what was left of karabakh there, the russian the servicemen did not take anything at all. believed, some believed that this was happening because russia was mired in the war in ukraine, on the other hand, some believed that there was no need for such significant forces, however, some

believed that it was essentially an agreement for azerbaijan, not even that dealmaker, i would not belittle ilham aliyev's political abilities, i think that ilham aliyev just realized that putin will not interfere with him, uh, at this stage of history. is he stuck in the war, or does he just want to get rid of pashinyan, but he didn't get rid of him time after time the karabakh war, maybe this and the exit of the karabakh armenians will lead to a change of power, and this is not the end of the story, you see, they need to return armenia to the russian sphere of influence, as they need to return moldova, uh, as they need to return georgia, this is for them everything and as they need to be returned to the thing. and there is an opportunity for russia to return to armenia now, well, at least we see, with moldova it is under great question,

because there is no unified pro-russian forces in moldova, they are de facto now fragmented, there, despite all that russian propaganda, sandu has sandu, it leads, and its political power leads, in azerbaijan it is a little different and... there is an authoritarian government, the support of turkey, and well, it is very difficult for me to say that azerbaijan, that russia will be able to establish full control over azerbaijan, these are some hybrid things, maybe georgia, well, georgia is actually already drifting there to such a russian extent, it is separate, will it reach it , taking into account the fact that now there will be parliamentary elections, it is not known how they will end and what will happen after. here in fact, this is one of the most litmus tests for russia, and in my opinion, they have a better chance there than in other countries.

i don't think so, or in your opinion, i think it's exactly the same with georgia and azerbaijan, ugh, for other reasons simply, that is, the armenians, you know, they got out of the karabakh fold, politically, but who told you that they got out mentally , they are still incredibly offended by russia for not living up to their expectations of danger, that is, in armenia, armenskyi did not have an idea the people that... here we are for that, conditionally speaking, in order to cooperate with russia, we have to obey them, no armenian has such an idea, they think, well, we are allies there, we have to cooperate with each other, come to an agreement, and what kind of power we will have there is our right, we russians choose our government, we choose ours, what about you, our government is ready for relations with russia, and russia betrayed us,

a fact. supported from the point of view of armenia, azerbaijan in this story, and if russia is here, it will behave with such a hybrid in a way, like in georgia, let's assume, of course, that no political force in armenia will say that, dear citizens, we are for russia, but it can behave conditionally in a hybrid way and, as far as i understand, russia is betting on that , no, why not, that’s exactly what they say there, it’s not the same as in georgia, there is a clear division into... political forces, such as pashinyan’s party, which says that we want, we want to preserve relations with russia, but we believe that we need to orient ourselves to the west, such as building relations with france, the united states, think even about the european union, and the power that says that we should be with russia, no, they say frankly, there is a struggle between these two concepts, that's actually what i'm talking about, this second concept, it can win, maybe because it is perceived.

now as treasonous, because russia itself did everything to prevent this concept from winning, it can win only through a coup d'état, and i tell you once again, put yourself in the place of an average armenian, you can imagine an average armenian, russia you cheated or not? cheated, cheated, that's why i say it again, at the beginning of our conversation about this, i mentioned my acquaintances who were 15 years ago, 16 years ago, 10 years ago. believed in russia, i remember these conversations, believed in russia, now it is a completely different attitude, well, yes, if you are talking about people living in ukraine, who are simply watching for this, imagine a person who has the son died in the war, and either the relatives left for stepant or shosha, and who is to blame for this, well who is pashinyan, of course, he can also be to blame in the eyes of these people, but they will not vote for the forces that will say, you know, putin is not

guilty, we need to be. everything will be fine, because they have already been with russia and did not offend it in any way from their point of view, because they do not think that the armer revolution is against russia, as a result, russia behaved so meanly towards them, that is, putin by and large, he led himself into a trap in armenia, azerbaijan, and, by the way , in georgia, because we will see how the parliamentary elections in this country will end. greetings to all viewers of espresso, i'm noya vamalnyk and this is news. a woman was injured as a result of a hostile drone attack in the dnipro district of kherson. she received a mine explosion

injury and a shrapnel injury to her hands. reported in the regional military administration. in khmelnytskyi, as a result of the drone attack , a residential building was damaged, the roof and upper floors were partially destroyed. the windows in the apartments were rattling. there are no casualties or injuries. all emergency specialists work on site.